ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: A nomogram is progressively being used as a useful predictive tool for cancer prognosis. A nomogram to predict survival in nonresectable pancreatic cancer treated with chemotherapy has not been reported. METHODS: Using prospectively collected data on patients with nonresectable pancreatic cancer receiving gemcitabine-based chemotherapy at five Japanese hospitals, we derived a predictive nomogram and internally validated it using a concordance index and calibration plots. RESULTS: In total, 531 patients were included between June 2001 and February 2013. The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM stages were III and IV in 204 and 327 patients, respectively. The median survival time of the total cohort was 11.3 months. A nomogram was generated to predict survival probabilities at 6, 12, and 18 months and median survival time, based on the following six variables: age; sex; performance status; tumour size; regional lymph node metastasis; and distant metastasis. The concordance index of the present nomogram was higher than that of the AJCC TNM staging system at 12 months (0.686 vs 0.612). The calibration plots demonstrated good fitness of the nomogram for survival prediction. CONCLUSIONS: The present nomogram can provide valuable information for tailored decision-making early after the diagnosis of nonresectable pancreatic cancer.
Subject(s)
Deoxycytidine/analogs & derivatives , Nomograms , Pancreatic Neoplasms/drug therapy , Prognosis , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Deoxycytidine/administration & dosage , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Humans , Lymphatic Metastasis/pathology , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Pancreatic Neoplasms/pathology , Pancreatic Neoplasms/surgery , Treatment Outcome , GemcitabineABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The renin-angiotensin system (RAS) is thought to have a role in carcinogenesis, and RAS inhibition may prevent tumour growth. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated the impact of angiotensin I-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin II type-1 receptor blockers (ARBs) in 155 patients with pancreatic cancer receiving gemcitabine monotherapy. Patients were divided into three groups: the ACEI/ARB group (27 patients receiving an ACEI or ARB for hypertension (HT)), the non-ACEI/ARB with HT group (25 patients receiving antihypertensive drugs other than ACEIs or ARBs), and the non-HT group (103 patients receiving no antihypertensive drugs). RESULTS: Patient characteristics were not different, except for age and HT medications. Progression-free survival (PFS) was 8.7 months in the ACEI/ARB group, 4.5 months in the non-ACEI/ARB with HT group, and 3.6 months in the non-HT group. Overall survival (OS) was 15.1 months in the ACEI/ARB group, 8.9 months in the non-ACEI/ARB with HT group, and 9.5 months in the non-HT group. The use of ACEIs/ARBs was a significant prognostic factor for both PFS (P=0.032) and OS (P=0.014) in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The ACEIs/ARBs in combination with gemcitabine might improve clinical outcomes in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. Prospective trials are needed to test this hypothesis.
Subject(s)
Angiotensin II Type 1 Receptor Blockers/administration & dosage , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/administration & dosage , Antihypertensive Agents/administration & dosage , Antimetabolites, Antineoplastic/therapeutic use , Deoxycytidine/analogs & derivatives , Pancreatic Neoplasms/drug therapy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Deoxycytidine/administration & dosage , Deoxycytidine/therapeutic use , Drug Therapy, Combination , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pancreatic Neoplasms/mortality , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , GemcitabineABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Anomalous pancreaticobiliary junction (APBJ) is associated with pancreaticobiliary cancer. Limited data are available on endoscopic biliary drainage for unresectable malignant biliary obstruction with APBJ. This study evaluated the efficacy and safety of self-expandable metallic stents (EMSs) for the management of malignant biliary obstruction with APBJ. METHODS: Between 1993 and 2005, 324 patients with unresectable malignant biliary obstruction underwent insertion of an EMS. Six of these patients with concomitant APBJ constituted the subjects of this study. Early (30 days after EMS insertion) stent-related complications and stent patency were evaluated in these six patients. RESULTS: The cause of biliary obstruction was gallbladder cancer in four patients and pancreatic cancer in two patients. Uncovered EMSs were inserted across the common channel without performance of a biliary sphincterotomy. The diameter of the uncovered EMS used was based on the diameter of the common channel. For all six patients, endoscopic biliary drainage was successful, and their jaundice subsided steadily. None of the six patients experienced early complications, including acute pancreatitis. The mean stent-related complication-free period was 163 days. Stent occlusion caused by tumor ingrowth occurred in two patients. Acute cholangitis and cholecystitis were observed in one patient each. CONCLUSIONS: Uncovered EMSs are effective for palliation of unresectable malignant biliary obstruction in patients who have APBJ without increasing the risk of stent-related early complications.