Technology enabled home-based cardiac rehabilitation among women with cardiovascular disease: A longitudinal cohort study.

Technology-enabled home-based cardiac rehabilitation (HBCR) is an emerging alternative to traditional center-based cardiac rehabilitation (CBCR), but little is known about outcomes in women. We analyzed 753 diverse and medically complex women who participated in HBCR and CBCR within an integrated health system and found both groups had similar clinical outcomes. Results suggest HBCR is a viable alternative to CBCR among women, including women with multiple comorbidities.

Real-world value of direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C at Kaiser Permanente Southern California.

OBJECTIVES: Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) lead to cure in more than 95% of recipients; however, payers may limit access to these lifesaving drugs due to high initial cost. Here, the cost-effectiveness of treating HCV with DAAs vs no treatment over a lifetime horizon is evaluated from the perspective of Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC). STUDY DESIGN: A hybrid decision-tree Markov model. METHODS: The model simulated the health and economic outcomes for a real cohort of patients with HCV treated with either ledipasvir-sofosbuvir or sofosbuvir-velpatasvir between November 1, 2014, and October 31, 2019, at KPSC. Patients entered the model at different stages of liver disease and received either active treatment with DAAs or no treatment. Patients who did not achieve sustained virological response experienced disease progression; those who achieved sustained virological response experienced either significantly slower or no disease progression depending on the stage of fibrosis at model start. Demographics, treatment experience, genotype, baseline fibrosis stage, treatment rates, and treatment efficacy were sourced from KPSC real-world data. Costs and utilities were sourced from published literature. RESULTS: A total of 7255 patients with a mean age of 59 years were treated during the study period. Over a lifetime horizon, DAAs resulted in significant reduction in advanced liver disease events and a total cost savings of $1 billion compared with no treatment based on a hybrid decision-tree Markov state-transition model. Cost savings were achieved after only 3 years. DAA intervention dominated no treatment on a per-patient and cohort basis. CONCLUSIONS: DAA treatment at KPSC is predicted to significantly reduce HCV-related morbidity and mortality, providing an anticipated return on investment in drug costs after 3 years of treatment.

Human Amniotic Membrane Wrapping of the Ulnar Nerve During Cubital Tunnel Surgery Reduces Recurrence of Symptoms.

Background: Compare the recurrence rate of paresthesias in patients undergoing primary cubital tunnel surgery in those with and without wrapping of the ulnar nerve with the human amniotic membrane (HAM). Methods: A retrospective investigation of patients undergoing primary cubital tunnel surgery with a minimum 90-day follow-up was performed. Patients were excluded if the nerve was wrapped using another material, associated traumatic injury, simultaneous Guyon's canal release, or revision procedures. Failure was defined as those patients who experienced initial complete resolution of symptoms (paresthesias) but then developed recurrence of paresthesias. Results: A total of 57 controls (CON) and 21 treated with HAM met our inclusion criteria. There was a difference in the mean age of CON (48.4 ± 13.5 years) and HAM (30.6 ± 15) (P< 0.0001). There was no difference in gender mix (P=0.4), the severity of symptoms (P=0.13), and length of follow-up (P=0.084). None of 21 (0%) treated with HAM developed recurrence of symptoms compared to 11 of 57 (19.3%) (P=0.03) (CON). Using a multivariate regression model adjusted for age and procedure type, CON was 24.4 (95% CI=1.26-500, P=0.0348) times higher risk than HAM of developing a recurrence of symptoms. Conclusion: The HAM wrapping used in primary cubital tunnel surgery significantly reduced recurrence rates of paresthesias. Further prospective studies with randomization should be carried out to better understand the role HAM can play in cubital tunnel surgery.

Comparison of Home-Based vs Center-Based Cardiac Rehabilitation in Hospitalization, Medication Adherence, and Risk Factor Control Among Patients With Cardiovascular Disease.

Importance: Prior studies have suggested that participation in home-based cardiac rehabilitation (HBCR) vs center-based cardiac rehabilitation (CBCR) results in similar clinical outcomes in patients with low to moderate risk; however, outcome data from demographically diverse populations and patients who are medically complex are lacking. Objective: To compare hospitalizations, medication adherence, and cardiovascular risk factor control between participants in HBCR vs CBCR. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study was conducted among patients in Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC), an integrated health care system serving approximately 4.7 million patients, who participated in CR between April 1, 2018, and April 30, 2019, and with follow-up through April 30, 2020. Data were analyzed from January 2021 to January 2022. Exposures: Participation in 1 or more HBCR or CBCR sessions. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was 12-month all-cause hospitalization. Secondary outcomes included all-cause hospitalizations at 30 and 90 days; 30-day, 90-day, and 12-month cardiovascular hospitalizations; and medication adherence and cardiovascular risk factor control at 12 months. Logistic regression was used to compare hospitalization, medication adherence, and cardiovascular risk factor control, with inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) to adjust for demographic and clinical characteristics. Results: Of 2556 patients who participated in CR (mean [SD] age, 66.7 [11.2] years; 754 [29.5%] women; 1196 participants [46.8%] with Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥4), there were 289 Asian or Pacific Islander patients (11.3%), 193 Black patients (7.6%), 611 Hispanic patients (23.9%), and 1419 White patients (55.5%). A total of 1241 participants (48.5%) received HBCR and 1315 participants (51.5%) received CBCR. After IPTW, patients who received HBCR had lower odds of hospitalization at 12 months (odds ratio [OR], 0.79; 95% CI, 0.64-0.97) but similar odds of adherence to ß-blockers (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.98-1.42) and statins (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.84-1.25) and of control of blood pressure (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.81-1.17), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.81-1.20), and hemoglobin A1c (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.82-1.18) at 12 months compared with patients who received CBCR. Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that HBCR in a demographically diverse population, including patients with high risk who are medically complex, was associated with fewer hospitalizations at 12 months compared with patients who participated in CBCR. This study strengthens the evidence supporting HBCR in previously understudied patient populations.

Statin Use and Mortality among Patients Hospitalized with Sepsis: A Retrospective Cohort Study within Southern California, 2008-2018.

Background: Despite early goal-directed therapy, sepsis mortality remains high. Statins exhibit pleiotropic effects. Objective: We sought to compare mortality outcomes among statin users versus nonusers who were hospitalized with sepsis. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of patients (age ≥18 years) during 1/1/2008-9/30/2018. Mortality was compared between statin users and nonusers and within statin users (hydrophilic versus lipophilic, fungal versus synthetic derivation, and individual statins head-to-head). Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for 30-day and 90-day mortality. Inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) analysis was performed to account for indication bias. Results: Among 128,161 sepsis patients, 34,088 (26.6%) were prescribed statin drugs prior to admission. Statin users compared to nonusers had a 30-day and 90-day mortality HR (95% CI) of 0.80 (0.77-0.83) and 0.79 (0.77-0.81), respectively. Synthetic derived statin users compared to fungal derived users had a 30- and 90-day mortality HR (95% CI) of 0.86 (0.81-0.91) and 0.85 (0.81-0.89), respectively. Hydrophilic statin users compared to lipophilic users had a 30-day and 90-day mortality HR (95% CI) of 0.90 (0.81-1.01) and 0.86 (0.78-0.94), respectively. Compared to simvastatin, 30-day mortality HRs (95% CI) were 0.85 (0.66-1.10), 0.87 (0.82-0.92), 0.87 (0.76-0.98), and 1.22 (1.10-1.36) for rosuvastatin, atorvastatin, pravastatin, and lovastatin, respectively. Conclusion: Statin use was associated with lower mortality in patients hospitalized with sepsis. Hydrophilic and synthetic statins were associated with better outcomes than lipophilic and fungal-based preparations.

Urgent PC Versus a Generic Posterior Tibial Neurostimulator for Overactive Bladder: A Retrospective Noninferiority Study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine whether a generic posterior tibial neurostimulator was noninferior to Urgent PC in the treatment of nonneurogenic OAB, urgency urinary incontinence, and mixed urinary incontinence. Secondary outcomes include rates of starting and completing 3 months of maintenance therapy, treatment success after 3 months, and adverse events. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of women whose nonneurogenic OAB, urgency urinary incontinence, or mixed urinary incontinence was treated with either Urgent PC or a generic posterior tibial neurostimulator. Previous research shows a 55% treatment success rate for posterior tibial nerve stimulation (PTNS). To demonstrate noninferiority with a limit of 14% and 80% power, our analysis required 157 patients per group. RESULTS: We included 267 Urgent PC and 234 generic patients and excluded 51 patients from analysis. A per-protocol analysis demonstrated treatment success in 55.3% (121 of 219) of the Urgent PC and 48.6% (85 of 175) of the generic cohort (P = 0.187). An intention-to-treat analysis showed treatment success in 45.3% (121 of 267) of the Urgent PC and 36.3% (85 of 234) of the generic cohort (P = 0.690). There were no significant differences in rates of starting (82.2% vs 78.2%, P = 0.409) or completing (79.9% vs 70.9%, P = 0.129) 3 months of maintenance therapy, treatment success after 3 months (78.5% vs 73.8%, P = 0.485), and adverse events (0.37% vs 0.85%, P = 1.000) in the Urgent PC versus generic group, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of women undergoing PTNS for nonneurogenic OAB, urgency urinary incontinence, or mixed urinary incontinence, the generic neurostimulator demonstrated noninferior rates of treatment success compared with Urgent PC.

Elevated von Willebrand Factor Antigen Is an Early Predictor of Mortality and Prolonged Length of Stay for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Inpatients.

CONTEXT.­: Coagulation factor and endothelial injury marker, von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF:Ag), is elevated in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). OBJECTIVE.­: To assess the prognostic value of vWF:Ag for COVID-19 inpatients. DESIGN.­: Citrated plasma samples collected from COVID-19 inpatients for D-dimer measurement were tested for vWF:Ag. Measurements of vWF:Ag and common acute-phase reactants were correlated with clinical outcomes and length of stay (LOS). RESULTS.­: We included 333 samples from a diverse group of 120 COVID-19 inpatients. There was a clear association of higher peak measurements of vWF:Ag and other acute-phase reactants with adverse clinical outcomes. Peak vWF:Ag >300% was associated with a 5-fold increased risk of death (odds ratio [OR], 5.08; P < .001) and a 30-fold increased risk of prolonged (>4 days) LOS (OR, 29.65; P = .001). Peak D-dimer >3.8 fibrinogen equivalent units (FEUs) mg/L was associated with a 15-fold increase in risk of death (OR, 14.73; P < .001) and a 5-fold increased risk of prolonged LOS (OR, 4.55; P = .02). Using the earliest paired measurements of vWF:Ag and D-dimer from each patient and the same cutoffs, vWF:Ag was associated with a 3.5-fold increase in risk of death (OR, 3.54; P = .004) and a 20-fold risk of prolonged LOS (OR, 20.19; P = .004). Yet D-dimer was not significantly associated with either death (OR, 1.9; P = .29) or prolonged LOS (OR, 1.02; P = .98). CONCLUSIONS.­: Both peak and early postadmission vWF:Ag >300% were highly predictive of death and prolonged LOS among COVID-19 inpatients. Measurement of vWF:Ag may prove a valuable tool to guide escalation of COVID-19 treatment, particularly anticoagulation.

Retrospective assessment of antimicrobial stewardship initiative in outpatient use of ertapenem for uncomplicated extended spectrum beta lactamase Enterobacteriaceae urinary tract infections.

BACKGROUND: Urinary tract infections (UTI) are often over-diagnosed and over-treated, which can induce and select for resistant pathogens. After observing wide-spread outpatient use of ertapenem, a broad-spectrum antibiotic, a structured antimicrobial stewardship initiative (ASI) to improve appropriate antimicrobial prescribing was undertaken. ASI objectives were to achieve a goal of reducing ertapenem utilization for extended spectrum beta lactamase Enterobacteriaceae (ESBL-EB) UTI by 10% and evaluate the clinical outcomes associated with the ASI. METHODS: A pre-to-post cohort study was conducted at a single-center integrated healthcare system between November 1, 2014 and February 26, 2017. An intensive, 90-day, pharmacist-driven, structured ASI was implemented between November 1, 2015 and January 29, 2016. Female patients aged ≥18 years who were treated for an uncomplicated, ESBL-EB urinary tract infection (UTI) were included. Primary outcome was clinical resolution defined as cure, persistence, relapse and recurrence. Secondary outcome measured was monthly ertapenem use expressed as number of days of therapy (DOT)/1000 adjusted patient days (APD). Segmented regression analysis for interrupted time series was performed to estimate ASI intervention effect. RESULTS: A total of 184 patients were included in the study. Ertapenem utilization decreased from 0.0145 DOT/1000 APD in Nov. 2014 to 0.0078 DOT/1000 APD Feb. 2017(p < 0.01). The mean ertapenem DOT declined 19% overall from the pre vs. post intervention periods (32 vs 26, p < 0.01). Frequency of recurrent UTIs between treatments did not significantly differ and no adverse effects were reported in patients treated with aminoglycosides. CONCLUSIONS: A structured ASI for uncomplicated ESBL-EB UTI was associated with a clinically meaningful decrease in ertapenem utilization and once-daily, 5-day aminoglycoside treatment was well-tolerated.

Predictors of hepatitis A immunity in adults in California in order to better utilize hepatitis A vaccine.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis A vaccine recommendations now include homelessness, illegal drug use, and HIV, as well as traditional risk factors and travel to areas endemic for hepatitis A. We examined a large diverse population for predictors of Hepatitis A immunity in order to better utilize Hepatitis A vaccine. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional descriptive study of members of a large integrated health plan with a test for Hepatitis A Immunoglobulin G (IgG) between January 1st, 2007, and December 31st, 2017. Exclusion criteria included age <18 years, <6 months of continuous enrollment, and Hepatitis A vaccine prior to Hepatitis A test. Variables of interest were age, gender, primary language spoken, ethnicity/race, neighborhood household income, and history of travel or history of jaundice. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association of risk factors on Hepatitis A immunity. RESULTS: Of the 318,170 persons ≥ 18 years tested for Hepatitis A immunity, 155, 842 persons had a reactive Hepatitis A IgG test (49%). The lowest prevalence was for Whites at 28.1% followed by Blacks at 35.8%. Hispanics and Asian/Pacific Islanders had prevalence rates of 63% and 68.2% respectively. In adjusted analyses, Asian/Pacific Islanders, Hispanics and Blacks were 5.17, 3.44 and 1.42 times more likely to have Hepatitis A immunity than Whites. Those that spoke Spanish or language other than English or Spanish as their primary preferred language were 6.11 and 3.27 time more likely to have immunity than English speakers. Known travel history conferred a 2.16 likelihood of Hepatitis A immunity. CONCLUSIONS: Persons of Hispanic and Asian/Pacific Islander background as well as persons with a preferred spoken language other than English have a high prevalence of Hepatitis A immunity. Testing for Hepatitis A immunity prior to vaccination should be considered for these groups.

Effect of Bisphosphonates on Fracture Incidence in Young Adults With Low Bone Density.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of bisphosphonates on fracture incidence in young adults over a 5-year follow-up period. METHODS: Based on the Kaiser Permanente electronic health record, this retrospective study investigated patients aged 19 to 40 years with abnormal bone density (either any Z-score of ≤-2 standard deviation [SD] or any T-score of ≤-2.5 SD). The incidence and time to fracture between the control (patients with <6 months of bisphosphonate exposure) and treatment (patients with ≥6 months of bisphosphonate use within 4 years of their first dual energy x-ray absorptiometry scan) groups were compared. Comparisons were analyzed with Χ2 test for categorical variables and Wilcoxon rank sum test for continuous variables. RESULTS: A total of 422 patients met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Fractures occurred in 18 patients (5.0%) of the control group (n = 358) and 5 patients (7.8%) of the treatment group (n = 64; P = .37). T-scores were significantly lower in the treatment group (-2.53 ± 0.58 SD) than those in the control group (-2.30 ± 0.80 SD; P = .002) but did not correlate with fracture risk. No significant differences were found in total fracture incidence (hazard ratio = 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 0.26-6.26). Similarly, no correlation was noted between the length of bisphosphonate therapy and fracture incidence (odds ratio = 0.99; 95% confidence interval, 0.966-1.026). CONCLUSION: In summary, we did not find a clear correlation of fracture incidence with the use of bisphosphonates in young adults. Further research into the pathophysiology, specific etiologies, and treatment options in this population is needed.

The Natural History of NAFLD, a Community-Based Study at a Large Health Care Delivery System in the United States.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a global public health problem. However, the natural history of NAFLD is incomplete. This is a retrospective cohort study of patients identified with NAFLD by diagnosis codes in a large, community-based health care delivery system. The objectives were (1) to follow patients from initial NAFLD presentation through progression to cirrhosis and/or decompensated cirrhosis to liver cancer, liver transplant, and death for up to 10 years; and (2) to conduct disease progression analysis restricted to patients with NAFLD identified as having diabetes at baseline. A total of 98,164 patients with full NAFLD and 26,488 with diabetes were divided into three baseline prevalent states: (1) no cirrhosis, (2) compensated cirrhosis, and (3) decompensated cirrhosis. In baseline patients without cirrhosis, annual rates of compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and death were 0.28%, 0.31%, and 0.63% per year, respectively. With baseline compensated cirrhosis, the annual rates of decompensation and death were 2.4% and 6.7% per year. Finally, in those with decompensated cirrhosis at baseline, the death rate was 8.0% per year. In those without cirrhosis and with cirrhosis at baseline, the rates of liver cancer and death were increased approximately 2-fold in the diabetic subpopulation compared with the full NAFLD cohort. Age and comorbidities increased with increasing disease severity. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that cirrhosis was strongly associated with death and liver cancer, and that diabetes was associated with a significant increase in the hazard of both liver cancer and death (2.56 [2.04-3.20] and 1.43 [1.35-1.52]), respectively. Conclusion: The findings of this community-based study further our understanding of the natural history of NAFLD and demonstrate that diabetes is a major factor in the progression of this disease.

Prevalence and Characteristics of Chronic Hepatitis C Among Asian Americans Are Distinct From Other Ethnic Groups.

GOAL: The goal of this study was to determine the prevalence and characteristics of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) among Asian Americans compared with other ethnicities. BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) affects an estimated 2.7 million in the United States, but there are limited data on HCV among Asian Americans. STUDY: A total of 3,369,881 adults over the age of 18 who were patients of the integrated health care system in Southern California and 4903 Asian participants at community hepatitis screenings were included in a cross-sectional study. Variables included HCV serology, HCV genotype, comorbidities, and coinfections. RESULTS: The prevalence of CHC was 1.3% in the general population (8271 adults) and 0.6% among Asians. The prevalence of CHC was significantly higher in the 1945-1965 birth cohort with 2.7% (5876) in the general population and 1.0% (313) among Asians (P<0.001). Asians had the highest rates of hepatitis B coinfection (2.9% vs. 0.2%, P<0.001). The distribution of genotypes among Asians differed from the general population with the most common genotype being 1b (27.5%) and a higher presence of genotype 6 (9.5%) (P<0.001). The presence of cirrhosis was 17.6% in Asians. Disaggregated Asian data showed that CHC was highest among Vietnamese and Cambodian and that genotype 6 was predominant among these 2 subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of chronic HCV was significantly lower in Asians compared with other ethnicities. However, disaggregated data among Asians showed the highest prevalence rates among adults from Vietnam and Cambodia.

Perioperative outcomes after robotic versus vaginal surgery for pelvic organ prolapse.

The objectives of the study were to compare post-anesthesia care unit opioid use and pain scores, surgical and hospitalization times, and perioperative adverse events rates following robotic sacrocolpopexy (RSC) versus transvaginal uterosacral ligament suspension (USLS). This was a retrospective analysis of women 18 years and older who underwent either robotic sacrocolpopexy (n = 87) or transvaginal uterosacral ligament suspension (n = 103) between January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2017 at Downey Medical Center by two surgeons. Data including nurses' verbal pain scores and opioid use were abstracted from electronic medical records. Adverse events were classified using the Clavien-Dindo scale. Women in the robotic group were older (62 ± 8 years vs 58 ± 11 years, p = 0.005), had higher rate of stage III or IV prolapse [49/87 (56%) vs 15/103 (15%), p < 0.0002], lower postoperative pain scores (2.6 ± 1.8 vs 4.2 ± 2.4, p < 0.0001), and used less opioids (26 ± 17 mg morphine dose equivalent vs 35 ± 24 mg morphine dose equivalent, p = 0.005) than those in the transvaginal group. Readmissions and reoperations for adverse events were not significantly different between the RSC and USLS groups [5/87 (6%) vs 12/103 (12%), p = 0.16], respectively. Moreover, Dindo-Clavien scores of II or higher occurred at similar rates between the two groups [20/87 (23%) vs 26/103 (25%), p = 0.72]. However, patients had a higher rate of prolonged urethral catheterization following USLS (0/87) than RSC (6/103) (p = 0.03). Robotic sacrocolpopexy was associated with less immediate postoperative pain and opioid use compared to uterosacral ligament vaginal suspension.

Fractional Exhaled Nitric Oxide-Assisted Management of Uncontrolled Persistent Asthma: A Real-World Prospective Observational Study.

CONTEXT: The utility of fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) measurement in real-world asthma management requires investigation. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether FeNO-assisted care added to standard asthma management improves asthma control in a managed care organization. DESIGN: Prospective observational study in patients aged 12 years and older with uncontrolled persistent asthma identified during a scheduled visit to an Allergy Department that routinely used FeNO (FeNO-assisted care, n = 426) vs visits to 4 Allergy Departments that did not, but followed routine guideline-based care (standard care, n = 925). The FeNO-assisted care was based on FeNO level, asthma control status, and step-care level. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Composite primary outcome was 1 or more asthma exacerbations or 7 or more dispensed canisters containing short-acting ß2-agonists in the follow-up year. Inverse probability of treatment weighting propensity scoring balanced covariates, and multivariable regression analyses compared outcomes between groups. RESULTS: Compared with standard care, FeNO-assisted care was not associated with reducing the primary composite outcome (adjusted risk ratio = 0.94, 95% confidence interval = 0.69-1.29, p = 0.71), nor with a reduction in asthma exacerbations or dispensing of 7 or more short-acting ß2-agonist canisters as separate outcomes. In an atopic subgroup with aeroallergen sensitization, the composite outcome was similar between groups, but the rate of asthma exacerbations was lower with FeNO-assisted treatment (adjusted rate ratio = 0.67, 95% confidence interval = 0.49-0.91, p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest future studies of FeNO-assisted care should be directed at the atopic phenotype.

Effect of Warfarin on Ischemic Stroke, Bleeding, and Mortality in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Peritoneal Dialysis.

BACKGROUND: There is limited information on the risks and benefits of anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation receiving peritoneal dialysis. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to determine the risk of mortality, ischemic stroke, and bleeding associated with warfarin use in patients with atrial fibrillation receiving peritoneal dialysis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study of a multi-ethnic cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation receiving peritoneal dialysis in the United States. Using a dialysis registry, we identified 476 patients with atrial fibrillation receiving peritoneal dialysis. Among these patients, 115 (24%) were treated with warfarin. Cox proportional hazard models were used to compare risks of mortality, ischemic stroke and bleeding between the groups. RESULTS: Compared to untreated patients, patients receiving warfarin were older (67.3 ± 10.8 vs 62.9 ± 13.3 years) and more likely to be white (42% vs 31%). Prevalence of comorbidities including hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, heart failure, and prior ischemic stroke were similar between the two groups. All cause mortality rates were 19.9 per 100 person-years in the warfarin group and 21.0 per 100 person-years in the untreated group. There was no difference between groups in the risk of mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 0.8, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.53-1.2, p = 0.28], ischemic stroke (HR 2.3, 95% CI 0.94-5.4, p = 0.07), hemorrhagic stroke (HR 2.0, 95% CI 0.32-12.8, p = 0.46), gastrointestinal bleeding (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.39-2.2, p = 0.86), or any bleeding (HR 1.2, 95% 0.60-2.3, p = 0.65). Even in the subgroup of patients with > 70% time in therapeutic range, no association was seen between warfarin treatment and mortality. CONCLUSION: There is no significant association between warfarin treatment with risks of mortality, ischemic stroke or bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation receiving peritoneal dialysis.

Development of a pediatric asthma predictive index for hospitalization.

BACKGROUND: Variation in emergency department (ED) management for asthma exacerbation leads to disparities in care. Current asthma severity scores are insufficient to be used for hospitalization decisions. OBJECTIVE: To develop and internally validate an asthma predictive index for hospitalization (APIH) to guide practitioners in their admission decision for children with asthma exacerbations. METHODS: Data were collected from 12,066 children between 5 and 18 years old diagnosed with asthma exacerbation in the ED. Epidemiologic findings, number of inhaled corticosteroid canisters, short-acting ß-blocker canisters, oral steroids, coexisting atopy, family history of atopy, insurance, and prior asthma ED visits or hospitalizations were compared between patients hospitalized and discharged. We used univariate analysis and multivariate analysis to determine the best predictor variables for hospitalization. Our study internally validated the prediction index to estimate future performance of the prediction rule. RESULTS: The highest risk factors associated with asthma hospitalization from the ED are oxygen saturation less than 94%, respiratory rate greater than 31/min, history of pneumonia, and asthma ED visits in past 12 months. With a reduced predictive model that combined these risk factors, the odds ratio was 44.9 (95% CI, 32.8-61.4), which is extremely significant. Our C index of discrimination of 0.77 was similar to the validation C index of 0.78, which confirms a solid prediction model. CONCLUSION: We have developed and internally validated a pediatric hospitalization prediction index for acute asthma exacerbation in the ED. Further studies are needed to externally validate the APIH before its implementation into clinical practice.

Risk of Febrile Neutropenia Associated With Select Myelosuppressive Chemotherapy Regimens in a Large Community-Based Oncology Practice.

Background: NCCN has classified commonly used chemotherapy regimens into high (>20%), intermediate (10%-20%), or low (<10%) febrile neutropenia (FN) risk categories based primarily on clinical trial evidence. Many chemotherapy regimens, however, remain unclassified by NCCN or lack FN incidence data in real-world clinical practice. Patients and Methods: We evaluated incidence proportions of FN and grade 4 and 3/4 neutropenia during the first chemotherapy course among patients from Kaiser Permanente Southern California who received selected chemotherapy regimens without well-established FN risk. Patients given granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) prophylaxis were excluded. Sensitivity analyses were performed to account for FN misclassification and censoring. Results: From 2008 to 2013, 1,312 patients with breast cancer who received docetaxel and cyclophosphamide (TC; n=853) or docetaxel, carboplatin, and trastuzumab (TCH; n=459); 1,321 patients with colorectal cancer who received capecitabine and oxaliplatin (XELOX; n=401) or leucovorin, 5-fluorouracil, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX6; n=920); 307 patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma who received bendamustine with or without rituximab; and 181 patients with multiple myeloma who received lenalidomide with or without dexamethasone were included. Crude FN risk was >20% for both breast cancer regimens (TC and TCH). Crude FN risks for XELOX, FOLFOX6, bendamustine, and lenalidomide were <10%; however, when potential FN misclassification and censoring were considered, FN risks were >10%. Conclusions: Our results support published literature highlighting the real-world, "high" FN risk of the TC and TCH regimens for breast cancer. There is strong suggestive evidence that FN risks for XELOX, FOLFOX6, bendamustine, and lenalidomide are >10%. Calculation of chemotherapy course-level FN incidence without controlling for differential censoring for patients who discontinued regimens early, or possible FN misclassification, might have resulted in bias toward an underestimation of the true FN risk. These findings help define FN risk of the selected regimens in the real-world setting and inform prophylactic G-CSF use.