ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION AND AIM: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome with high short-term mortality, and predicting the prognosis is challenging. This study aimed to compare the performance of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and cystatin C (CysC) in predicting the 90-day mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated ACLF (HBV-ACLF). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective, observational study enrolled 54 patients with HBV-ACLF. The serum NGAL and CysC levels were determined. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of mortality. RESULTS: Serum NGAL, but not CysC, was found to significantly correlate with the total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD). Serum NGAL [odds ratio (OR), 1.008; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.004-1.012; P < 0.01], but not CysC, was an independent risk factor for developing hepatorenal syndrome. Moreover, NGAL (OR, 1.005; 95% CI, 1.001-1.010; P < 0.01) along with the MELD score was independently associated with the overall survival in patients with HBV-ACLF. Patients with HBV-ACLF were stratified into two groups according to the serum NGAL level at baseline (low risk: <217.11 ng/mL and high risk: ≥ 217.11 ng/mL). The 90-day mortality rate was 22.73% (5/22) in the low-risk group and 71.88% (23/32) in the high-risk group. Moreover, NGAL, but not CysC, significantly improved the MELD score in predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. CONCLUSION: The serum NGAL might be superior to CysC in predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF with the normal creatinine level.