An explainable Artificial Intelligence software system for predicting diabetes.

Implementing diabetes surveillance systems is paramount to mitigate the risk of incurring substantial medical expenses. Currently, blood glucose is measured by minimally invasive methods, which involve extracting a small blood sample and transmitting it to a blood glucose meter. This method is deemed discomforting for individuals who are undergoing it. The present study introduces an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) system, which aims to create an intelligible machine capable of explaining expected outcomes and decision models. To this end, we analyze abnormal glucose levels by utilizing Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). In this regard, the glucose levels are acquired through the glucose oxidase (GOD) strips placed over the human body. Later, the signal data is converted to the spectrogram images, classified as low glucose, average glucose, and abnormal glucose levels. The labeled spectrogram images are then used to train the individualized monitoring model. The proposed XAI model to track real-time glucose levels uses the XAI-driven architecture in its feature processing. The model's effectiveness is evaluated by analyzing the performance of the proposed model and several evolutionary metrics used in the confusion matrix. The data revealed in the study demonstrate that the proposed model effectively identifies individuals with elevated glucose levels.

Hour-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Prediction Combining BiLSTM and Bayesian Optimization Algorithm, with Bootstrap Resampling for Interval Predictions.

Photovoltaic (PV) power prediction plays a critical role amid the accelerating adoption of renewable energy sources. This paper introduces a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) deep learning (DL) model designed for forecasting photovoltaic power one hour ahead. The dataset under examination originates from a small PV installation located at the Polytechnic School of the University of Alcala. To improve the quality of historical data and optimize model performance, a robust data preprocessing algorithm is implemented. The BiLSTM model is synergistically combined with a Bayesian optimization algorithm (BOA) to fine-tune its primary hyperparameters, thereby enhancing its predictive efficacy. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated across diverse meteorological and seasonal conditions. In deterministic forecasting, the findings indicate its superiority over alternative models employed in this research domain, specifically a multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network model and a random forest (RF) ensemble model. Compared with the MLP and RF reference models, the proposed model achieves reductions in the normalized mean absolute error (nMAE) of 75.03% and 77.01%, respectively, demonstrating its effectiveness in this type of prediction. Moreover, interval prediction utilizing the bootstrap resampling method is conducted, with the acquired prediction intervals carefully adjusted to meet the desired confidence levels, thereby enhancing the robustness and flexibility of the predictions.

Application of AI for Short-Term PV Generation Forecast.

The efficient use of the photovoltaic power requires a good estimation of the PV generation. That is why the use of good techniques for forecast is necessary. In this research paper, Long Short-Term Memory, Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory and the Temporal convolutional network are studied in depth to forecast the photovoltaic power, voltage and efficiency of a 1320 Wp amorphous plant installed in the Technology Support Centre in the University Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid (Spain). The accuracy of these techniques are compared using experimental data along one year, applying 1 timestep or 15 min and 96 step times or 24 h, showing that TCN exhibits outstanding performance, compared with the two other techniques. For instance, it presents better results in all forecast variables and both forecast horizons, achieving an overall Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0024 for 15 min forecasts and 0.0058 for 24 h forecasts. In addition, the sensitivity analyses for the TCN technique is performed and shows that the accuracy is reduced as the forecast horizon increases and that the 6 months of dataset is sufficient to obtain an adequate result with an MSE value of 0.0080 and a coefficient of determination of 0.90 in the worst scenarios (24 h of forecast).

Pneumonia and Pulmonary Thromboembolism Classification Using Electronic Health Records.

Pneumonia and pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) are both respiratory diseases; their diagnosis is difficult due to their similarity in symptoms, medical subjectivity, and the large amount of information from different sources necessary for a correct diagnosis. Analysis of such clinical data using computational tools could help medical staff reduce time, increase diagnostic certainty, and improve patient care during hospitalization. In addition, no studies have been found that analyze all clinical information on the Mexican population in the Spanish language. Therefore, this work performs automatic diagnosis of pneumonia and pulmonary thromboembolism using machine-learning tools along with clinical laboratory information (structured data) and clinical text (unstructured data) obtained from electronic health records. A cohort of 173 clinical records was obtained from the Mexican Social Security Institute. The data were preprocessed, transformed, and adjusted to be analyzed using several machine-learning algorithms. For structured data, naïve Bayes, support vector machine, decision trees, AdaBoost, random forest, and multilayer perceptron were used; for unstructured data, a BiLSTM was used. K-fold cross-validation and leave-one-out were used for evaluation of structured data, and hold-out was used for unstructured data; additionally, 1-vs.-1 and 1-vs.-rest approaches were used. Structured data results show that the highest AUC-ROC was achieved by the naïve Bayes algorithm classifying PTE vs. pneumonia (87.0%), PTE vs. control (75.1%), and pneumonia vs. control (85.2%) with the 1-vs.-1 approach; for the 1-vs.-rest approach, the best performance was reported in pneumonia vs. rest (86.3%) and PTE vs. rest (79.7%) using naïve Bayes, and control vs. diseases (79.8%) using decision trees. Regarding unstructured data, the results do not present a good AUC-ROC; however, the best F1-score were scored for control vs. disease (72.7%) in the 1-vs.-rest approach and control vs. pneumonia (63.6%) in the 1-to-1 approach. Additionally, several decision trees were obtained to identify important attributes for automatic diagnosis for structured data, particularly for PTE vs. pneumonia. Based on the experiments, the structured datasets present the highest values. Results suggest using naïve Bayes and structured data to automatically diagnose PTE vs. pneumonia. Moreover, using decision trees allows the observation of some decision criteria that the medical staff could consider for diagnosis.

System Design for Emergency Alert Triggered by Falls Using Convolutional Neural Networks.

The world population ageing is on the rise, which has led to an increase in the demand for medical care due to diseases and symptoms prevalent in health centers. One of the most prevalent symptoms prevalent in older adults is falls, which affect one-third of patients each year and often result in serious injuries that can lead to death. This paper describes the design of a fall detection system for elderly households living alone using very low resolution thermal sensor arrays. The algorithms implemented were LSTM, GRU, and Bi-LSTM; the last one mentioned being that which obtained the best results at 93% in accuracy. The results obtained aim to be a valuable tool for accident prevention for those patients that use it and for clinicians who manage the data.