The effectiveness and predictors influencing the outcome of onabotulinumtoxinA treatment in chronic migraine: understanding from diverse patient profiles in a single session.

Objective: This real-world study aimed to investigate how onabotulinumtoxinA affects the outcome of migraine, along with accompanying anxiety, depression, and bruxism among a group of patients with chronic migraine (CM) and define predictors of good response. Methods: Patients diagnosed with CM who received onabotulinumtoxinA were included in this single-center, real-world retrospective cohort study. Monthly headache days (MHDs), monthly migraine days (MMDs), headache intensity (numeric rating scale-NRS) and headache characteristics were evaluated at baseline and 12 weeks post-treatment. Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) included Migraine Disability Assessment Scale (MIDAS), Headache Impact Test-6 (HIT-6) scores, 12-item Allodynia Symptom Checklist (ASC-12), Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI) and Beck Depression Inventory (BDI). Response to onabotulinumtoxinA (% reduction in MHDs) and treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) were also evaluated. OnabotulinumA was applied to the masseter muscles in patients complaining of bruxism. Results: A total of 72 patients (mean ± SD age: 36.3 ± 8.5 years; 91.7% were female) diagnosed with CM were included. OnabotulinumtoxinA revealed significant decrease in median (IQR) MHDs [from 20(15-25) at baseline to 6(4-10), p < 0.001], MMDs [from 9(6-12) to 3(1-6), p < 0.001] and NRS [from 9(8-10) to 7(6-8), p < 0.001], and the MIDAS [from 54(30-81) to 16(7-24), p < 0.001], HIT-6 [from 67(65-69) to 58(54-64), p < 0.001], ASC-12 [from 6(1.5-9) to 2(0-9), p = 0.002], BAI [from 12(6.5-19) to 9(3-17), p < 0.001] and BDI [from 11(6.5-17) to 3(2-7) p < 0.001] scores at 12 weeks post-treatment. Patients complaining of bruxism received onabotulinumtoxinA injections in the first n = 27 (37.5%) and 12. week post-treatment n = 19 (70.4%) periods. Overall, 70.8% of patients responded (≥50% reduction in MHDs), while 29.2% did not (<50% reduction). Both groups showed similar characteristics in demographics, migraine history, baseline PROMs scores, comorbidities, and prior treatments. Conclusion: OnabotulinumtoxinA is an effective treatment option that rapidly improves migraine outcomes, disability, and impact while also alleviating comorbid depression and/or anxiety. This study's noteworthy finding is that onabotulinumtoxinA is effective in a majority of CM patients, irrespective of their prior treatment history, migraine characteristics, or concurrent comorbidities. Furthermore, we identified no specific predictors for a favorable response to onabotulinumtoxinA. Applying onabotulinumtoxinA to the masseter muscles can relieve discomfort associated with concurrent bruxism; however, it does not impact migraine outcomes.

Caregiver burden and its sociodemographic determinants in family caregivers of patients with schizophrenia attending a psychiatric tertiary hospital in South Africa.

Background: Chronic mental illnesses such as schizophrenia affect patients' functioning, making caregiving necessary although burdensome. Aim: This study aimed to determine caregiver burden and its sociodemographic determinants in family caregivers of patients with schizophrenia attending a Psychiatric Outpatient Department (POD). Setting: Tertiary hospital in Northern Pretoria, South Africa. Methods: In this cross-sectional study conducted over 3 months, 300 consecutive family caregivers who attended the POD were administered a 22-item Zarit Burden Interview (ZBI-22), which has a score of 0-88, with higher values indicating more burden. Their sociodemographic characteristics were ascertained. Linear and ordinal logistic regression analyses were performed to identify determinants or predictors of total and severe burdens, respectively. Results: Most caregivers were aged 46.0 ± 14 years, females (62%), parents (39%), of low-income status (93.7%), had secondary education (70%), resided with the patient (87%), and helped with all troublesome activities (95.3%). The median ZBI-22 score was 19.0 (interquartile range: 13.0-30.5). The determinants of both total and severe burdens were: caregiver age ≥ 50 years adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 2.55, confidence interval (CI): 1.49-4.36; residential area farther away from the hospital aOR: 1.76, CI: 1.3-2.99; increasing months of caregiving aOR: 1.0, CI: 1.001-1.009, p = 0.006; and not having another family member that needs care aOR: 0.43, CI: 0.24-0.78. Conclusion: Having mental healthcare facilities close to residential areas and assisting caregivers aged ≥ 50 years who have multiple family members who need care may alleviate the burden. Contribution: Predicting total and severe caregiver burdens contemporaneously is effective for identifying potential burden interventions.

Neuropsychiatric drugs and a neurophysiological marker as predictors of health-related quality of life in patients with phantom limb pain.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the relationship between sociodemographic, clinical, and neurophysiological variables and health-related quality of life (HR-QOL) of patients with phantom limb pain. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional analysis of a previous clinical trial. Univariate and multivariate linear and logistic regression analyses were used to model the predictors of HR-QOL. We utilized a sequential modeling approach with increasing adjustment levels, controlling for age and sex, and other relevant clinical variables (time since amputation, level of amputation, and pain). HR-QOL was assessed by the SF-36 Health Survey and its eight subdomains. RESULTS: We analyzed baseline data from 92 patients with lower-limb amputations. They were mostly male (63%), 45.2 ± 15.6 years, with a mean time since amputation of 82.7 ± 122.4 months, and an overall SF-36 score of 55.9 ± 21.5. We found an association between intracortical facilitation in the affected hemisphere (ICF), gabapentin usage, and HR-QOL. ICF is a predictor of better HRQOL, whereas gabapentin usage was associated with a poorer HR-QOL, with the main model explaining 13.4% of the variance in the outcome. For the SF-36 subdomains, ICF was also a positive predictor for social functioning, bodily pain, and vitality, while medication usage was associated with lower scores in mental health, general health perception, bodily pain, and vitality. CONCLUSION: We found firsthand two new independent predictors of HR-QOL in individuals with PLP, namely, the neurophysiological metric ICF and gabapentin usage. These results highlight the role of the motor cortex excitability in the HR-QOL and stress the need for treatments that favor the neuroplastic adaptation after amputation, for which ICF may be used as a possible marker.

A comparison of clinical profile and treatment outcome of Hodgkin's Lymphoma in Tanzania according to HIV status during the HAART era.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL) in people living with HIV (PLWHA) and on HAART is approximately 20-30 times higher than in HIV-negative individuals. Most patients with HIV-HL present at an advanced stage (III-IV) have 'B' symptoms and extranodal involvement. The natural history and risk stratification of HIV-HL has undergone a significant change as a result of HAART's rollout. This study investigated the differences in clinicopathological and survival patterns of HL among individuals with and without HIV disease in Tanzania during the HAART era. METHODOLOGY: This hospital-based retrospective cohort study was conducted at the ORCI, Dar-Es-Salaam, Tanzania. Chi-square and Fisher's exact tests were used to compare proportions. The student t-test was used to compare means. To determine factors that predict survival, we used the log-rank test to analyze the variables in univariate analysis. A Cox regression model was used to analyze the significant factors from univariate analysis in multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Eighty-three patients with HL were recruited, and the prevalence of HIV-positive status was 27.7%. Most of the patients with HIV-HL had an age of > 30 years (73.9%), while most of the non-HIV-HL patients had an age of ≤ 30 years (63.3%) (P = 0.02). The 2-year OS rate for HIV-HL was 34%, while that for non-HIV-HL was 67%. Among the HIV-HL patients, predictors of a poorer outcome were a CD4 count ≤ 200 cells/mm3 (P = 0.05), lack of HAART use (P = 0.00), and the use of HAART for ≤ 10 months (P = 0.00). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of HIV-HL was 27.7% among HL patients. HIV positivity is still a poor prognostic factor in our setting, especially for patients not on HAART, on HAART for ≤ 10 months, or with a low CD4 count below 200 cells/mm3. Patients with HIV-HL were older and had higher LDH levels, whereas patients with non-HIV-HL were younger and had low LDH levels.

Predictors of Frailty in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis.

Introduction Frailty is noticed in a large number of cirrhotic patients with advanced liver disease. Frailty not only disposes cirrhotic patients to increased rates of decompensation and hospitalization but also leads to prolonged hospital stay and increased psychological and social impact, resulting in the delisting of these patients from the transplant list. Therefore, our aim was to identify the factors that are independent predictors of frailty in patients with liver cirrhosis. Methods This cross-sectional study was carried out at the Department of Hepatogastroenterology, Sindh Institute of Urology and Transplantation, Karachi, Pakistan, from March 1, 2022, to August 31, 2022. All the patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis and aged 18-70 years were included in the study. The excluded patients comprised those with disorders that over-estimate frailty such as cardiopulmonary disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. The measurement of the Liver Frailty Index (LFI) was done using the hand grip strength method, timed chair stands, and balance testing. Patients with LFI >4.5 were considered frail. All data was entered and analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 22.0 (Released 2013; IBM Corp., Armonk, New York, United States). Continuous variables were analyzed using the student-t test while categorical variables were analyzed using the chi-square test. Variables with significance on univariate analysis then underwent multivariate analysis to identify the independent predictors of frailty in cirrhotic patients. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results A total of 132 patients were included in the study. Out of them, 89 (67.4%) were males. On assessment, 51 (38.6%) patients were frail on presentation. On univariate analysis, female gender, advanced age, raised total leucocyte count, increased percentage of neutrophils on peripheral smear, raised serum creatinine, raised total bilirubin, raised prothrombin time, high Child Turcotte Pugh (CTP) score, and high model for end-stage liver disease along with low hemoglobin and low serum albumin levels were statistically significantly associated with frailty in cirrhosis. On multivariate analysis, female gender, age >40 years, CTP>B7, Hemoglobin <10g/dl, and neutrophils >60% on peripheral smear were independent predictors of liver frailty in cirrhotic patients. Conclusion Female gender, advanced age, increased neutrophils on peripheral smear, decreased hemoglobin along with increased degree of liver dysfunction were independent predictors of increased frailty in patients with chronic liver disease.

Predictors for Hemorrhagic Transformation among Patients with Ischemic Stroke Admitted in a Tertiary Hospital in the Philippines from July 2018-July 2019.

Background: Among the multiple scoring systems for hemorrhagic transformation, only few of these address spontaneous hemorrhagic transformation after an ischemic stroke, with most done with Western population data. Objectives: This study aims to identify the predictors for hemorrhagic transformation among patients with ischemic stroke admitted in a tertiary hospital in Cebu City, Philippines. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients with ischemic stroke admitted in a tertiary hospital in Cebu City. Patients' baseline characteristics, clinical, and radiologic data were collected. Chi square test and t-test were used to determine which variables were significantly different between patients with and without hemorrhagic transformation. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were determined to measure the association between the different variables and hemorrhagic transformation. Results: A total of 500 ischemic stroke patients were included in the study. There were 28 (6%) ischemic stroke patients with Hemorrhagic Transformation. The mean age of these patients is 66.93 ± 12.42 years, 48.8% male, 10.8% had atrial fibrillation, and 2.4% had myocardial infarction. Controlling for the effect of confounders, white blood cell count (OR 1.11; 95% CI 1.03-1.19), myocardial infarction (OR 5.25; 95% CI 1.13-24.34), and presence of brain edema (OR 2.86; 95% CI 1.05-7.80) were significant predictors of hemorrhagic transformation. Conclusion: White blood cell count, presence of brain edema, and myocardial infarction were significantly associated with hemorrhagic transformation among ischemic stroke patients.

Determinants of knowledge and perception about menopause among Saudi women: A cross-sectional study.

Background: Healthcare professionals and educators closely monitor the occurrence of climacteric symptoms in women's primes. Knowledge and perception of menopause play a crucial role in improving quality of life. This study aimed to assess the knowledge and perceptions of menopause among Saudi women and identify its predictors. This study is the first of its kind in the southern region of Saudi Arabia. Methods: Conducted in accordance with the STROBE guidelines, this cross-sectional study was carried out in the Jazan region from May 2022 to January 2023 and involved 480 Saudi women who provided consent. Data were collected through interviews using a validated questionnaire and random sampling. The questionnaire consisted of four parts: informed consent, demographics, 21 knowledge questions, and ten menopause perception questions. The validity of the content and the internal consistency were evaluated before data collection. Primary healthcare centers were randomly selected from four governorates with a proportional sample size to the population. Descriptive analysis, Pearson correlation, and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed using IBM-SPSS. Results: Among the participants, 64 % were under 40 years old, 80 % had experienced menarche between the ages of 10 and 15, 48 % were employed, approximately half held a bachelor's degree, and they had a good family income. The mean knowledge score of the participants was 48.87 ± 11.72, with a minimum score of 27 and a maximum score of 78. In terms of knowledge categories, 56.3 % of the participants (N = 270) were classified as having low knowledge, while 43.8 % (N = 210) were classified as having high knowledge. Most of the participants had positive perceptions and agreed that menopause is a natural event in women's lives. There was a significant positive correlation between knowledge and perception (R = 0.219, P < 0.01). Variable findings were observed regarding the role of explanatory variables in women's knowledge of menopause between univariate and multivariate models. The results of the multivariate model showed that age (46-50 years, OR = 0.42), having children (OR = 1.09), residence (OR = 0.45-5.73) and family income categories (medium: OR = 3.98, good: OR = 3.78, and excellent: OR = 1.95) had a significant impact on knowledge, highlighting the correlation between demographic factors and knowledge. Conclusions: Based on the study findings, we recommend implementing workplace and community-based activities to increase women's awareness of menopause and incorporating it as an integral part of counseling sessions for women in this age group. Therefore, the results of the study will be shared with the relevant authorities responsible for women's health, enabling them to effectively support and educate women.

Association between acute peripancreatic fluid collections and early readmission in acute pancreatitis: A propensity-matched analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) frequently experience hospital readmissions, posing a significant burden to healthcare systems. Acute peripancreatic fluid collection (APFC) may negatively impact the clinical course of AP. It could worsen symptoms and potentially lead to additional complications. However, clinical evidence regarding the specific association between APFC and early readmission in AP remains scarce. Understanding the link between APFC and readmission may help improve clinical care for AP patients and reduce healthcare costs. AIM: To evaluate the association between APFC and 30-day readmission in patients with AP. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study is based on the Nationwide Readmission Database for 2016-2019. Patients with a primary diagnosis of AP were identified. Participants were categorized into those with and without APFC. A 1:1 propensity score matching for age, gender, and Elixhauser comorbidities was performed. The primary outcome was early readmission rates. Secondary outcomes included the incidence of inpatient complications and healthcare utilization. Unadjusted analyses used Mann-Whitney U and χ 2 tests, while Cox regression models assessed 30-day readmission risks and reported them as adjusted hazard ratios (aHR). Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests verified readmission risks. RESULTS: A total of 673059 patients with the principal diagnosis of AP were included. Of these, 5.1% had APFC on initial admission. After propensity score matching, each cohort consisted of 33914 patients. Those with APFC showed a higher incidence of inpatient complications, including septic shock (3.1% vs 1.3%, P < 0.001), portal venous thrombosis (4.4% vs 0.8%, P < 0.001), and mechanical ventilation (1.8% vs 0.9%, P < 0.001). The length of stay (LOS) was longer for APFC patients [4 (3-7) vs 3 (2-5) days, P < 0.001], as were hospital charges ($29451 vs $24418, P < 0.001). For 30-day readmissions, APFC patients had a higher rate (15.7% vs 6.5%, P < 0.001) and a longer median readmission LOS (4 vs 3 days, P < 0.001). The APFC group also had higher readmission charges ($28282 vs $22865, P < 0.001). The presence of APFC increased the risk of readmission twofold (aHR 2.52, 95% confidence interval: 2.40-2.65, P < 0.001). The independent risk factors for 30-day readmission included female gender, Elixhauser Comorbidity Index ≥ 3, chronic pulmonary diseases, chronic renal disease, protein-calorie malnutrition, substance use disorder, depression, portal and splenic venous thrombosis, and certain endoscopic procedures. CONCLUSION: Developing APFC during index hospitalization for AP is linked to higher readmission rates, more inpatient complications, longer LOS, and increased healthcare costs. Knowing predictors of readmission can help target high-risk patients, reducing healthcare burdens.

Predictors, prevalence and outcome of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy in Nigerian tertiary health facilities: A secondary analysis of the Maternal and Perinatal Database for Quality, Equity and Dignity Programme.

OBJECTIVE: Determine prevalence, risk factors and outcomes of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP). DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of data captured in the Maternal and Perinatal Database for Quality, Equity and Dignity (MPD-4-QED) between September 2019 and August 2020. SETTING: Fifty-four referral level facilities in Nigeria. POPULATION: Women whose pregnancy ended (irrespective of the location or duration of pregnancy) or who were admitted within 42 days of delivery. METHODS: Descriptive statistics and multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression models. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of HDP, sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with HDP and perinatal outcomes. RESULTS: Among the 71 758 women 6.4% had HDP and gestational hypertension accounted for 49.8%. Preeclampsia and eclampsia were observed in 9.5% and 7.0% of all pregnancies, respectively. The predictors of HDP were age over 35 years (OR1.96, 95% CI 1.82-2.12; p < 0.001), lack of formal educational (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.06-1.32; p = 0.002), primary level of education (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.03-1.4; p < 0.002), nulliparity (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.12-1.31; p < 0.001), grand-multiparity (OR 1.36, 95%CI 1.21-1.52; p < 0.001), previous caesarean section (OR 1.26, 95%CI 1.15-1.38; p < 0.001) and previous miscarriage (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13-1.31; p < 0.001). Overall 3.7% of the patients with HDP died, with eclampsia having the highest case fatality rate of 27.9%. Stillbirth occurred in 11.9% of pregnancies with hypertensive disorders. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertensive disorders in pregnancy are not uncommon in Nigeria. They are associated with adverse outcomes with over one-quarter of women with eclampsia dying. The main predictors include older age, poor education, extremes of parity and previous CS or miscarriage. Maternal and perinatal outcomes are poor with about a quarter developing complications and about 1 in 10 having stillbirths.

Predictors of COVID-Related stress in a community sample in Turkey: a cross-sectional study.

The distinctive mental health features associated with COVID-19 have gained importance as the psychological effects of the pandemic on the community become more visible. This study aims to assess the COVID-related stress status and associated factors in the community sample of Turkey. The sample of this cross-sectional study is composed of 2.065 people between the ages of 18-90. Data were collected through an online survey prepared by Google.docs between October-December, 2020. Mild to moderate stress was found in the community with the most common symptoms of the fear of contamination and danger. Some variables, such as being female and the severity of COVID-19 illness, were associated with higher COVID-related stress. Vulnerable groups associated with high stress should be monitored during the pandemic. The findings of this study will guide the practices of professionals working in the field of public health, healthcare, or mental health in possible future pandemics.

Modifiable predictors of mental health literacy in the educational context: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Mental health literacy is vital for well-being in educational settings, extending beyond academics to include social and emotional development. It empowers individuals, allowing them to recognize and address their mental health needs and provide essential support to their peers. Despite the acknowledged importance of modifiable factors, there is a noticeable research gap in those amenable to change through educational interventions. Thus, this systematic review aims to identify potentially modifiable predictors of mental health literacy in the educational context. A systematic search was conducted for quantitative studies published between 2019 and October 2023 using several databases following PRISMA guidelines. Studies needed to focus on potentially modifiable predictors of mental health literacy in the educational context. Study quality was assessed using the Appraisal tool for Cross-Sectional Studies (AXIS tool). In total, 3747 titles and abstracts were screened, 60 articles were assessed in full-text screening, and 21 were included in the review. Significant correlations between mental health literacy and modifiable predictors, including stigma toward professional help, self-efficacy, attitudes toward help-seeking, social support, positive psychological states, receiving mental health training, and psychological distress, were identified. By addressing these factors, educational institutions can cultivate community's adept in mental health, fostering an environment marked by empathy, understanding, and proactive engagement in addressing mental health issues. The implications serve as a foundation for future research, policy development, and implementing of practical strategies to enhance mental health literacy in diverse educational settings.

Risk factors of cerebral aneurysms rupture in an Indonesian population.

BACKGROUND: The demographic, clinical, and angiographic features of ruptured aneurysms compared to unruptured cerebral aneurysms in Indonesia are still limited. This study aims to determine risk factors for rupture according to clinical patterns and morphological features in the Indonesian population. METHOD: We retrospectively reviewed all cerebral aneurysm registries at the largest comprehensive stroke center in Indonesia from January 2019 to January 2022. We compared demographic and vascular risk factors as well as angiographic features between patients with ruptured and unruptured aneurysms with univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Of 275 patients, 231 (84%) had ruptured cerebral aneurysms. We found a significant difference between the ruptured and unruptured groups in variables such as age, hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking, location, and type of aneurysm. It was found that only the anterior circulation site (OR 4.91, 95% CI 1.47-16.48; p < 0.01) and saccular type (OR 5.45, 95% CI 1.42-20.93; p = 0.01) were significantly linked to ruptured aneurysms. CONCLUSION: Our findings revealed that anterior location and saccular type were substantially linked with ruptured aneurysms in the Indonesian population.

Predictors for the development of motoric cognitive risk syndrome in older adults.

BACKGROUND: Motoric cognitive risk (MCR) syndrome refers to a condition where both slow gait and memory complaints coexist, which heightens their vulnerability to developing dementia. Considering that the risk factors of MCR are elucidated from cross-sectional studies and also likely vary based on socioeconomic status, we conducted a community-based longitudinal study to determine the predictors of MCR among older adults in Malaysia. METHODS: Out of 1,249 older participants (aged 60 years and above) without MCR at baseline (Wave II of LRGS-TUA cohort study), 719 were successfully followed up after 3.5 years to identify predictors of subsequent MCR development. A comprehensive interview-based questionnaire was administered for sociodemographic information, cognitive function, psychosocial, functional status, and dietary intake. Anthropometric measurements, body composition, and physical performance were assessed. Univariate analyses were performed for each variable, followed by a hierarchical logistic regression analysis to identify the predictors of MCR that accounted for confounding effects between the studied factors. RESULTS: The incidence rate of MCR was 4.0 per 100 person-years. Smoking (Adjusted Odd Ratio (Adj OR) = 1.782; 95% Confidence Interval (CI):1.050-3.024), hypertension (Adj OR = 1.725; 95% CI:1.094-2.721), decreased verbal memory as assessed by the lower Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test (RAVLT) (Adj OR = 1.891; 95% CI:1.103-3.243), and decreased functional status measured using instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) (Adj OR = 4.710; 95% CI:1.319-16.823), were predictors for MCR incidence. CONCLUSIONS: Our study results provide an initial reference for future studies to formulate effective preventive management and intervention strategies to reduce the growing burden of adverse health outcomes, particularly among Asian older adults.

Prediction of Long-Term Poor Clinical Outcomes in Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Using Neural Networks Model: The BEAST Study.

Introduction: Risk prediction models are commonly performed with logistic regression analysis but are limited by skewed datasets. We utilised neural networks (NNs) model to identify independent predictors of poor outcomes in cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) due to the limitations of logistic regression (LR) analysis with complex datasets. Methods: We evaluated 1309 adult CVT patients from the prospective BEAST (Biorepository to Establish the Aetiology of Sinovenous Thrombosis) study. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve confirmed the goodness-of-fit of prediction models. The normalised importance (NI) of the NNs determines the significance of independent predictors. Results: The stepwise logistic regression model found thrombolysis (OR 32.1; 95% CI 3.6-287.0; P=0.002), craniotomy (OR 6.9; 95% CI 1.3-36.8; P=0.02), and cerebral haemorrhage (OR 4.5; 95% CI 1.3-15.4; P=0.01) as predictors of poor clinical outcome with the AUROC of 0.71. Conversely, the NNs model identified major independent predictors of long-term poor clinical outcomes as cerebral haemorrhage (NI 100%) and thrombolysis (NI 98%), as well as trivial predictors of age (NI 2.8%) and altered mental status (NI 3.5%). The accuracy of the NNs model was 95.1% and 94.1% for self-learned randomly selected training and testing samples with an AUROC of 0.82. Positive and negative predictive values for poor outcomes were 13.2% and 97.1% for the LR model, compared with the NNs model of 18.8% and 98.7%, respectively. Conclusion: Cerebral haemorrhage and thrombolysis was a strong independent predictor, whereas age merely impacts the long-term poor clinical outcome in adult CVT. Integrating unorthodox neural networks risk prediction model can improve decision-making as it outperforms conventional logistic regression with complex datasets.

The influence of previous preterm birth with singleton pregnancy on the risk of recurrence in subsequent twin pregnancy: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth is a significant obstetrical concern around the globe. With this study, we aimed to determine whether a prior singleton pregnancy preterm birth increases the likelihood of preterm birth in subsequent twin pregnancies. We designed his systematic review to provide valuable information for pregnant women and obstetricians during counselling and for individuals involved in the planning of preventive strategies. METHODS: We comprehensively searched the PubMed, Embase and Scopus databases to identify relevant studies published until October 2023 following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. We applied a random-effects meta-analysis to the data gathered from the selected studies. RESULTS: Among the 460 initially identified studies, only eight met the eligibility criteria. The analysis of incidence revealed an event rate of 9.5% (95% CI, 4.4-19.5%) for a history of preterm singleton birth in the cohort of women with subsequent twin pregnancies. Subgroup analyses focused on the risk of preterm twin births (<37 weeks, <34 weeks and <32 weeks) in women with prior preterm singleton births. Our results revealed a significantly elevated risk of subsequent preterm twin births associated with prior preterm singleton births at <37 weeks (OR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.99-4.33; p < .001), <34 weeks (OR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.67-2.14; p < .001) and <32 weeks (OR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.58-3.99; p < .001), without heterogeneity in the included studies. CONCLUSIONS: Our systematic analysis indicates a consistent and statistically significant association between a history of preterm singleton births and preterm twin births at various gestational ages. These findings underscore the importance of the obstetric history during assessments to predict the risk of preterm births in twin pregnancies. Clinicians should monitor pregnancies with a history of preterm singleton births, as targeted interventions and improved prenatal care can mitigate the risk of preterm birth during twin pregnancies.

Preterm birth, a global concern, prompted a study examining whether a prior preterm singleton birth raises the risk of preterm birth in subsequent twin pregnancies. Conducting a systematic review of 460 studies, only eight met the eligibility criteria. The meta-analysis revealed a 9.5% incidence of preterm singleton births in subsequent twin pregnancies. Further analysis demonstrated a significantly elevated risk of preterm twin births at <32 weeks for those with a history of preterm singleton births. The study concludes that a consistent and statistically significant association exists between prior preterm singleton births and increased preterm twin birth risk at various gestational ages. This underscores the importance of considering obstetric history in assessing preterm birth risk in twin pregnancies. Clinicians are advised to closely monitor pregnancies with a history of preterm singleton births for interventions targeted and improved prenatal care.

Incidence of myopia in Swedish schoolchildren: A longitudinal study.

PURPOSE: The prevalence of myopia in Scandinavia tends to be lower than in other parts of the world. This study aimed to investigate the incidence of myopia and its predictors in Swedish children to characterise this trend. METHODS: A 2-year longitudinal study was conducted following a cohort of schoolchildren aged 8-16 years. Myopia was defined as a spherical equivalent refraction (SER) ≤ -0.50 D. The study enrolled 128 participants, 70 (55%) females with a mean age of 12.0 years (SD = 2.4). RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of myopia during the follow-up period was 5.5%, and the incidence rate of myopia was 3.2 cases per 100 person-years. Participants with myopia at baseline exhibited a faster increase in refractive error during the follow-up period. Likewise, participants with two myopic parents exhibited a more marked change towards myopia, regardless of their initial refractive error. CONCLUSION: In the current study, similar to prevalence, the incidence of myopia was low when compared with other parts of the world. These results lead us to formulate a new hypothesis that the normal emmetropisation process may be protected by low educational pressure practised in Sweden during early childhood. Further research is necessary to test this new hypothesis.

Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Type A Acute Aortic Syndrome: Data From the RENADA-RO Registry.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to analyse the baseline characteristics of patients admitted with acute type A aortic syndrome (ATAAS) and to identify the potential predictors of in-hospital mortality in surgically managed patients. METHODS: Data regarding demographics, clinical presentation, laboratory work-up, and management of 501 patients with ATAAS enrolled in the National Registry of Aortic Dissections-Romania registry from January 2011 to December 2022 were evaluated. The primary endpoint was in-hospital all-cause mortality. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to identify independent predictors of mortality in patients with acute Type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) who underwent surgery. RESULTS: The mean age was 60±11 years and 65% were male. Computed tomography was the first-line diagnostic tool (79%), followed by transoesophageal echocardiography (21%). Cardiac surgery was performed in 88% of the patients. The overall mortality in the entire cohort was 37.9%, while surgically managed ATAAD patients had an in-hospital mortality rate of 29%. In multivariate logistic regression, creatinine value (OR 6.76), ST depression on ECG (OR 6.3), preoperative malperfusion (OR 5.77), cardiogenic shock (OR 5.77), abdominal pain (OR 4.27), age ≥70 years (OR 3.76), and syncope (OR 3.43) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality in surgically managed ATAAD patients. CONCLUSIONS: Risk stratification based on the variables collected at admission may help to identify ATAAS patients with high risk of death following cardiac surgery.

Long-term risk factors of recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction and death in patients leaving hospital with a diagnosis of ischemic stroke or TIA.

Objectives. The prevalence of patients with prior stroke is increasing globally. Accordingly, there is a need for up-to-date evidence of patient-related prognostic factors for stroke recurrence, post stroke myocardial infarction (MI) and death based on long-term follow-up of stroke survivors. For this purpose, the RIALTO study was established in 2004. Design. A prospective cohort study in which patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke (IS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) in three Copenhagen hospitals were included. Data were collected from medical records and by structured interview. Data on first stroke recurrence, first MI and all-cause death were extracted from the Danish National Patient Registry and the Danish Civil Registration System. Results. We included 1215 patients discharged after IS or TIA who were followed up by register data from April 2004 to end of 2018 giving a median follow-up of 3.5-6.9 years depending on the outcome. At the end of follow-up 406 (33%) patients had been admitted with a recurrent stroke, 100 (8%) had a MI and 822 (68%) had died. Long-term prognostic predictors included body mass index, diabetes, antihypertensive and lipid lowering treatment, smoking, a sedentary lifestyle as well as poor self-rated health and psychosocial problems. Conclusions. Long-term risk of recurrent stroke and MI remain high in patients discharged with IS or TIA despite substantial improvements in tertiary preventive care in recent decades. Continued attention to the patient risk profile among patients surviving the early phase of stroke, including comorbidities, lifestyle, and psychosocial challenges, is warranted.

Predictors of Clinical Outcomes among People with HIV and Tuberculosis Symptoms after Rapid Treatment Initiation in Haiti.

Introduction: Few studies have evaluated baseline predictors of clinical outcomes among people with HIV starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the modern era of rapid ART initiation. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial of two rapid treatment initiation strategies for people with treatment-naïve HIV and tuberculosis symptoms at an urban clinic in Haiti. We used logistic regression models to assess associations between baseline characteristics and (1) retention in care at 48 weeks, (2) HIV viral load suppression at 48 weeks (among participants who underwent viral load testing), and (3) all-cause mortality. Results: 500 participants were enrolled in the study 11/2017-1/2020. Eighty-eight (18%) participants were diagnosed with tuberculosis, and ART was started in 494 (99%). After adjustment, less than secondary education (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.21, 95% CI 0.10-0.46), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 2.57, 95% CI 1.22-5.43), age (AOR 1.42 per 10-year increase, 95% CI 1.01-1.99), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 3.92, 95% CI 1.36-11.28) were significantly associated with retention. Age (AOR 1.36, 95% CI 1.05-1.75), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 1.75, 95% CI 1.07-2.85), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.28-0.89) were associated with viral suppression. Higher CD4 cell count at enrollment (unadjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.69, 95% CI 0.55-0.87) and anemia (OR 4.86, 95% CI 1.71-13.81) were associated with mortality. Conclusions: We identified sociodemographic, treatment-related, clinical, and laboratory-based predictors of clinical outcomes. These characteristics may serve as markers of sub-populations that could benefit from additional interventions to support treatment success after rapid treatment initiation.

Risk factors and predictors of recurrence of febrile seizures in children in Nantong, China: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although most children with febrile seizures (FS) have a favorable prognosis, some experience recurrence within 1-3 years. Age, peak temperature, and family history are now recognized as important risk factors for FS recurrence, yet studies in this area are lacking in China. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for FS recurrence in children in Nantong, China, and to develop a prediction model. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed 463 children diagnosed with febrile seizures (FS) who presented to the Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University between January 2015 and June 2020. Basic information, disease characteristics, and laboratory and imaging data were collected. A follow-up survey was conducted one year post-discharge to assess the recurrence status of FS in children. Univariate logistic regression and random forest models were used to identify and rank the predictive ability of risk factors for recurrence. RESULTS: Of the 463 children with FS, 70 experienced recurrences within 1 year of discharge, resulting in a one-year recurrence rate of 15%. Age (OR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.46, 0.80, P < 0.001), duration of the first episode (OR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.06, P = 0.040), and peak temperature (OR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.47, 0.98, P = 0.036) were identified as independent risk factors for FS recurrence. Age had the highest relative importance in predicting FS recurrence, followed by the duration of the first episode, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.717. CONCLUSION: Young age and duration of the first seizure are important independent risk factors for FS recurrence and are key considerations for predicting recurrence. Further research is needed to confirm the potential use of Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a predictor of FS recurrence.