ABSTRACT
Delayed graft function (DGF) after kidney transplantation heralds a worse prognosis. In patients with hyperoxaluria, the incidence of DGF is high. Oxalic acid is a waste product that accumulates when kidney function decreases. We hypothesize that residual diuresis and accumulated waste products influence the DGF incidence. Patients transplanted between 2018-2022 participated in the prospective cohort study. Pre-transplant concentrations of oxalic acid and its precursors were determined. Data on residual diuresis and other recipient, donor or transplant related variables were collected. 496 patients were included, 154 were not on dialysis. Oxalic acid, and glyoxylic acid, were above upper normal concentrations in 98.8%, and 100% of patients. Residual diuresis was ≤150 mL/min in 24% of patients. DGF occurred in 157 patients. Multivariable binary logistic regression analysis demonstrated a significant influence of dialysis type, recipient BMI, donor type, age, and serum creatinine on the DGF risk. Residual diuresis and glycolic acid concentration were inversely proportionally related to this risk, glyoxylic acid directly proportionally. Results in the dialysis population showed the same results, but glyoxylic acid lacked significance. In conclusion, low residual diuresis is associated with increased DGF incidence. Possibly accumulated waste products also play a role. Pre-emptive transplantation may decrease the incidence of DGF.
Subject(s)
Delayed Graft Function , Diuresis , Glyoxylates , Kidney Transplantation , Oxalic Acid , Humans , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Delayed Graft Function/etiology , Delayed Graft Function/epidemiology , Adult , Prospective Studies , Aged , Renal Dialysis , Glycolates , Hyperoxaluria/etiology , Risk Factors , IncidenceABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The implication of gut microbiota in the gut-kidney axis affects the pathophysiology of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Gut microbiota composition changes during CKD. We aimed to determine the relative frequency of important gut microbiota members in end-stage renal disease (ERSD) patients before and after renal transplantation compared to healthy subjects. METHODS: Fifteen kidney transplant patients and 10 healthy subjects were recruited in this case-control prospective study. Fecal samples were taken sequentially from all patients before kidney transplantation, 1 week, and 1 month after it. The relative frequency of Lactobacillus spp., Bifidobacterium spp., Akkermansia muciniphila, Bacteroides fragilis, Escherichia coli, and Faecalibacterium pruasnitzii were determined through quantitative PCR. The obtained data was statistically analyzed by Stata software (Stata Corporation, USA). RESULTS: The mean log number of all bacteria was significantly higher in healthy individuals than kidney transplant recipients (p < 0.001) except for Lactobacillus where the mean levels were almost identical in the two groups (p = 0.67). Moreover, 20% (3) of patients developed a urinary tract infection. Besides, 2 (13.33%) patients were diagnosed with delayed graft function. There were no statistically significant differences regarding changing trends in bacteria log number of Akkermansia muciniphila (p = 0.12), Bacteroid fragilis (p = 0.75), Bifidobacterium (p = 0.99), Escherichia coli (p = 0.5), Faecalibacterium (p = 0.98), and Lactobacilli (p = 0.93) between patients with and without delayed graft function (DGF). CONCLUSION: Gut microbiota composition in patients with ESRD was significantly different from those without it. However, the microbiota profile did not significantly differ in patients with and without DGF.
ABSTRACT
As the global incidence of diabetes rises and diagnoses among younger patients increase, transplant centers worldwide are encountering more organ donors with diabetes. This study examined 80 donors and 160 recipients, including 30 donors with diabetes (DD) and their 60 recipients (DDR). The control group comprised 50 non-diabetic donors (ND) and 100 recipients (NDR). We analyzed clinical, biochemical, and pathological data for both diabetic and control groups, using logistic regression to identify risk factors for delayed graft function (DGF) after kidney transplantation. Results showed that pre-procurement blood urea nitrogen levels were significantly higher in DD [18.20 ± 10.63 vs. 10.86 ± 6.92, p = 0.002] compared to ND. Renal pathological damage in DD was notably more severe, likely contributing to the higher DGF incidence in DDR compared to NDR. Although DDR had poorer renal function during the first three months post-transplant, both groups showed similar renal function thereafter. No significant differences were observed in 1-year or 3-year mortality rates or graft failure rates between DDR and NDR. Notably, according to the Renal Pathology Society (RPS) grading system, kidneys from diabetic donors with a grade > IIb are associated with significantly lower postoperative survival rates. Recipient gender [OR: 5.452 (1.330-22.353), p = 0.013] and pre-transplant PRA positivity [OR: 34.879 (7.698-158.030), p < 0.001] were identified as independent predictors of DGF in DDR. In conclusion, transplant centers may consider utilizing kidneys from diabetic donors, provided they are evaluated pathologically, without adversely impacting recipient survival and graft failure rates.
Subject(s)
Delayed Graft Function , Graft Survival , Kidney Transplantation , Postoperative Complications , Tissue Donors , Humans , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Delayed Graft Function/epidemiology , Delayed Graft Function/etiology , Risk Factors , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Kidney/physiopathology , Kidney/pathology , Survival Rate , Logistic Models , IncidenceABSTRACT
ABSTRACT Purpose The clinical outcomes of kidney transplantation from deceased donors have seen significant improvements with the use of machine perfusion (MP), now a standard practice in transplant centers. However, the use of perfusate biomarkers for assessing organ quality remains a subject of debate. Despite this, some centers incorporate them into their decision-making process for donor kidney acceptance. Recent studies have indicated that lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), glutathione S-transferase, interleukin-18, and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) could predict post-transplant outcomes. Materials and Methods Between August 2016 and June 2017, 31 deceased-donor after brain death were included and stroke was the main cause of death. Pediatric patients, hypersensitized recipients were excluded. 43 kidneys were subjected to machine perfusion. Perfusate samples were collected just before the transplantation and stored at -80ºC. Kidney transplant recipients have an average age of 52 years, 34,9% female, with a BMI 24,6±3,7. We employed receiver operating characteristic analysis to investigate associations between these perfusate biomarkers and two key clinical outcomes: delayed graft function and primary non-function. Results The incidence of delayed graft function was 23.3% and primary non-function was 14%. A strong association was found between NGAL concentration and DGF (AUC=0.766, 95% CI, P=0.012), and between LDH concentration and PNF (AUC=0.84, 95% CI, P=0.027). Other perfusate biomarkers did not show significant correlations with these clinical outcomes. Conclusion The concentrations of NGAL and LDH during machine perfusion could assist transplant physicians in improving the allocation of donated organs and making challenging decisions regarding organ discarding. Further, larger-scale studies are required.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: The study purpose was to review retrospectively our single-center experience transplanting kidneys from deceased donors (DD) with acute kidney injury (AKI) according to terminal serum creatinine (tSCr) level. METHODS: AKI kidneys were defined by a doubling of the DD's admission SCr and a tSCr ≥ 2.0 mg/dL. RESULTS: From 1/07 to 11/21, we transplanted 236 AKI DD kidneys, including 100 with a tSCr ≥ 3.0 mg/dL (high SCr AKI group, mean tSCr 4.2 mg/dL), and the remaining 136 from DDs with a tSCr of 2.0-2.99 mg/dL (lower SCr AKI group, mean tSCr 2.4 mg/dL). These two AKI groups were compared to 996 concurrent control patients receiving DD kidneys with a tSCr < 1.0 mg/dL. Mean follow-up was 69 months. Delayed graft function (DGF) rates were 51% versus 46% versus 29% (p < 0.0001), and 5-year patient and death-censored kidney graft survival rates were 96.8% versus 83.5% versus 82.2% (p = 0.002) and 86.7% versus 77.8% versus 78.8% (p = 0.18) in the high tSCr AKI versus lower tSCr AKI versus control groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a higher incidence of DGF, patients receiving kidneys from DDs with tSCr levels ≥3.0 mg/dL have acceptable medium-term outcomes compared to either AKI DDs with a lower tSCr or DDs with a tSCr < 1.0 mg/dL.
Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury , Graft Survival , Kidney Transplantation , Tissue Donors , Humans , Acute Kidney Injury/etiology , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Tissue Donors/supply & distribution , Follow-Up Studies , Prognosis , Survival Rate , Graft Rejection/etiology , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Risk Factors , Delayed Graft Function/etiology , Adult , Kidney Function Tests , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Creatinine/blood , Severity of Illness Index , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgeryABSTRACT
Describing risk factors and outcomes in kidney transplant recipients with oxalate nephropathy (ON) may help elucidate the pathogenesis and guide treatment strategies. We used a large single-center database to identify patients with ON and categorized them into delayed graft function with ON (DGF-ON) and late ON. Incidence density sampling was used to select controls. A total of 37 ON cases were diagnosed between 1/2011 and 1/2021. DGF-ON (n = 13) was diagnosed in 1.05% of the DGF population. Pancreatic atrophy on imaging (36.4% vs. 2.9%, p = 0.002) and gastric bypass history (7.7% vs. 0%; p = 0.06) were more common in DGF-ON than with controls with DGF requiring biopsy but without evidence of ON. DGF-ON was not associated with worse graft survival (p = 0.98) or death-censored graft survival (p = 0.48). Late ON (n = 24) was diagnosed after a mean of 78.2 months. Late ON patients were older (mean age 55.1 vs. 48.4 years; p = 0.02), more likely to be women (61.7% vs. 37.5%; p = 0.03), have gastric bypass history (8.3% vs. 0.8%; p = 0.02) and pancreatic atrophy on imaging (38.9% vs. 13.3%; p = 0.02). Late ON was associated with an increased risk of graft failure (HR 2.0; p = 0.07) and death-censored graft loss (HR 2.5; p = 0.10). We describe two phenotypes of ON after kidney transplantation: DGF-ON and late ON. Our study is the first to our knowledge to evaluate DGF-ON with DGF controls without ON. Although limited by small sample size, DGF-ON was not associated with adverse outcomes when compared with controls. Late ON predicted worse allograft outcomes.
Subject(s)
Graft Survival , Kidney Transplantation , Phenotype , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Prognosis , Follow-Up Studies , Postoperative Complications/diagnosis , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Delayed Graft Function/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Oxalates/metabolism , Kidney Function Tests , Kidney Diseases/etiology , Kidney Diseases/surgery , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgery , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Graft Rejection/etiology , Graft Rejection/diagnosis , Graft Rejection/pathology , Survival RateABSTRACT
Delayed graft function (DGF) is a frequently observed complication following kidney transplantation (KT). Our prior research revealed dynamic shifts in salivary microbiota post-KT with immediate graft function (IGF), yet its behavior during DGF remains unexplored. Five recipients with DGF and 35 recipients with IGF were enrolled. Saliva samples were collected during the perioperative period, and 16S rRNA gene sequencing was performed. The salivary microbiota of IGFs changed significantly and gradually stabilized with the recovery of renal function. The salivary microbiota composition of DGFs was significantly different from that of IGFs, although the trend of variation appeared to be similar to that of IGFs. Salivary microbiota that differed significantly between patients with DGF and IGF at 1 day after transplantation were able to accurately distinguish the two groups in the randomForest algorithm (accuracy = 0.8333, sensitivity = 0.7778, specificity = 1, and area under curve = 0.85), with Selenomonas playing an important role. Bacteroidales (Spearman's r = - 0.4872 and p = 0.0293) and Veillonella (Spearmen's r = - 0.5474 and p = 0.0125) were significantly associated with the serum creatinine in DGF patients. Moreover, the significant differences in overall salivary microbiota structure between DGF and IGF patients disappeared upon long-term follow-up. This is the first study to investigate the dynamic changes in salivary microbiota in DGFs. Our findings suggested that salivary microbiota was able to predict DGF in the early stages after kidney transplantation, which might help the perioperative clinical management and early-stage intervention of kidney transplant recipients. KEY POINTS: ⢠Salivary microbiota on the first day after KT could predict DGF. ⢠Alterations in salivary taxa after KT are related to recovery of renal function.
Subject(s)
Delayed Graft Function , Kidney Transplantation , Microbiota , RNA, Ribosomal, 16S , Saliva , Humans , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , Saliva/microbiology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , RNA, Ribosomal, 16S/genetics , Adult , Bacteria/classification , Bacteria/isolation & purification , Bacteria/geneticsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Ischemic-reperfusion injury resulting from kidney transplantation declines the post-transplant graft function. Remote ischemic conditioning (RIC) is known to be able to reduce the criticality of ischemic reperfusion injury. This study aimed to meta-analyze whether the application of remote ischemic conditioning to kidney transplantation patients improves clinical outcomes. METHODS: Researchers included randomized controlled studies of the application of RIC to either kidney donors or recipients. Articles were retrieved from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. The risk of bias was evaluated using RoB 2.0. The primary outcome was mortality after transplantation. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of delayed graft function, graft rejection, and post-transplant laboratory results. All outcomes were integrated by RevMan 5.4.1. RESULTS: Out of 90 papers, 10 articles (8 studies, 1977 patients) were suitable for inclusion criteria. Mortality collected at all time points did not show a significant difference between the groups. Three-month mortality (RR, 3.11; 95% CI, 0.13-75.51, P = 0.49) tended to increase in the RIC group, but 12-month (RR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.14-3.45, P = 0.67) or final-reported mortality (RR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.23-1.06, P = 0.07) was higher in the sham group than the RIC group. There was no significant difference between the RIC and sham group in delayed graft function (RR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.30-1.35, P = 0.24), graft rejection (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.73-1.73, P = 0.59), and the rate of time required for a 50% reduction in baseline serum creatinine concentration of less than 24 h (RR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.61-1.56, P = 0.93). CONCLUSIONS: It could not be concluded that the application of RIC is beneficial to kidney transplantation patients. However, it is noteworthy that long-term mortality tended to decrease in the RIC group. Since there were many limitations due to the small number of included articles, researchers hope that large-scale randomized controlled trials will be included in the future. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42022336565.
Subject(s)
Ischemic Preconditioning , Kidney Transplantation , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Kidney Transplantation/mortality , Humans , Ischemic Preconditioning/methods , Reperfusion Injury/prevention & control , Reperfusion Injury/mortality , Graft Rejection/mortality , Graft Rejection/prevention & control , Delayed Graft FunctionABSTRACT
Therapeutic measures aimed at optimising organ function prior to transplantation-whether by conditioning the donor after determination of brain death or by improving organ preservation after kidney removal-have the potential to enhance outcomes after transplantation. The particular advantage is that, unlike any optimised immunosuppressive therapy, a favourable effect can be achieved without side effects for the organ recipient. In recent years, several such measures have been tested in controlled clinical trials on large patient cohorts following kidney transplantation. Hypothermic pulsatile machine perfusion, in particular, has become the focus of interest, but interventions in the donor prior to organ removal, such as the administration of low-dose dopamine until the start of cold perfusion as an example of conditioning antioxidant therapy and therapeutic donor hypothermia in the intensive care unit after brain death confirmation, have also significantly reduced the frequency of dialysis after transplantation with far less effort and cost. With regard to benefits for graft survival, the database for all procedures is less clear and controversial. The aim of this review article is to re-evaluate the available clinical evidence from large multicentre controlled trials, which have also significantly influenced later meta-analyses, and to assess the significance for use in routine clinical practice.
ABSTRACT
Urine-derived renal epithelial cells (URECs) are highly voided after kidney transplant and express typical kidney markers, including markers of kidney epithelial progenitor cells. Recently URECs have shown promising immunomodulatory properties when cultured with Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cells (PBMCs), promoting an increase in the T regulatory cells. In vivo, kidney cells are highly exposed to damage associated molecules during both acute and chronic kidney injury. Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) is one of the most -known early marker of acute and chronic kidney damage. However, its role on the evolution of renal damage has not yet been fully described, nor has its impact on the characteristics of renal-derived cells during in vitro culture. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of NGAL on the characteristics of URECs isolated after kidney transplant, by exposing these cells to the treatment with NGAL during in vitro culture and evaluating its effect on UREC viability, proliferation, and immunomodulatory potential. The exposure of URECs to NGAL reduced their viability and proliferative capacity, promoting the onset of apoptosis. The immunomodulatory properties of URECs were partially inhibited by NGAL, without affecting the increase of Treg cells observed during UREC-PBMCs coculture. These results suggest that the exposure to NGAL may compromise some features of kidney stem and specialized cell types, reducing their viability, increasing apoptosis, and partially altering their immunomodulatory properties. Thus, NGAL could represent a target for approaches acting on its inhibition or reduction to improve functional recovery.
Subject(s)
Epithelial Cells , Kidney Transplantation , Lipocalin-2 , Humans , Apoptosis/drug effects , Cell Proliferation/drug effects , Cell Survival/drug effects , Cells, Cultured , Epithelial Cells/metabolism , Epithelial Cells/drug effects , Kidney/cytology , Kidney/metabolism , Lipocalin-2/metabolismABSTRACT
Backgrounds/Aims: Thirty percent of liver grafts in donors after brain death (DBD) in Spain are rejected by procurement surgeons owing to marginal graft quality. Poor donor indocyanine green (ICG) clearance has been associated with graft discard and malfunction. This study aimed to internally and externally validate the predictive value of ICG-plasma disappearance rate (ICG-PDR) to reject grafts before donation and set a cut-off to avoid missing any potential effective donors. Methods: Between March 2017 and August 2023, ICG clearance test was performed immediately before procurement in 71 DBD. The surgeon was blinded to test results. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to detect independent predictors of graft discard. Discrimination and calibration of predictors were assessed and a cut-off with 100% specificity was set. External validation was performed on 17 donors evaluated by three other transplantation teams. Results: In the training cohort, 30 of 71 grafts were discarded for transplantation. ICG-PDR was the only donor variable independently associated with graft discard. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve for ICG-PDR was 0.875 (95% confidence interval: 0.768-0.947) and good calibration was observed. Below a PDR of 13.5%/min, no graft was accepted for transplantation. These results were successfully validated using the external cohort of donors. Conclusions: ICG clearance test performed in DBD was internally and externally validated to predict liver graft discard. It could be used as a screening tool before donation to avoid unnecessary costs of travel and human resources.
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Delayed graft function (DGF) increases morbidity and mortality in kidney transplant recipients. Operative parameters, including hemodynamic manipulation through vasopressors and fluids, can impact perfusion to the newly transplanted kidney and influence DGF incidence. We analyzed intraoperative time-series data in 5-minute intervals from kidney transplant recipient operations (N = 545) in conjunction with pretransplant characteristics and postsurgical outcomes, including DGF incidence, 60-day creatinine, and graft survival. Of the operations, 127 DGF events were captured in our cohort from a single academic transplant center (57/278 donations after brainstem death [DBDs], 65/150 donations after circulatory/cardiac death [DCDs], 5/117 live donations). In multiple regression, postanastomosis hypotension defined as mean arterial pressure (MAP) <75 mmHg was a risk factor for DGF independent of conventional predictors of DGF in DCD and DBD kidneys. DCD recipients with DGF had lower average postanastomosis MAP (DGF: 80.1 ± 8.1 mmHg vs no DGF: 76.4 ± 6.7 mmHg, P = .004). Interaction analysis demonstrated above-average doses of vasopressors and crystalloids were associated with improved outcomes when used at MAPs ≤75 mmHg, but they were associated with increased DGF at MAPs >75 mmHg, suggesting that the incidence of DGF can be highly influenced by intraoperative hemodynamic controls. This analysis of surgical time courses has identified potential new strategies for goal-directed anesthesia in renal transplantation.
ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: The clinical outcomes of kidney transplantation from deceased donors have seen significant improvements with the use of machine perfusion (MP), now a standard practice in transplant centers. However, the use of perfusate biomarkers for assessing organ quality remains a subject of debate. Despite this, some centers incorporate them into their decision-making process for donor kidney acceptance. Recent studies have indicated that lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), glutathione S-transferase, interleukin-18, and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) could predict post-transplant outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between August 2016 and June 2017, 31 deceased-donor after brain death were included and stroke was the main cause of death. Pediatric patients, hypersensitized recipients were excluded. 43 kidneys were subjected to machine perfusion. Perfusate samples were collected just before the transplantation and stored at -80ºC. Kidney transplant recipients have an average age of 52 years, 34,9% female, with a BMI 24,6±3,7. We employed receiver operating characteristic analysis to investigate associations between these perfusate biomarkers and two key clinical outcomes: delayed graft function and primary non-function. RESULTS: The incidence of delayed graft function was 23.3% and primary non-function was 14%. A strong association was found between NGAL concentration and DGF (AUC=0.766, 95% CI, P=0.012), and between LDH concentration and PNF (AUC=0.84, 95% CI, P=0.027). Other perfusate biomarkers did not show significant correlations with these clinical outcomes. CONCLUSION: The concentrations of NGAL and LDH during machine perfusion could assist transplant physicians in improving the allocation of donated organs and making challenging decisions regarding organ discarding. Further, larger-scale studies are required.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers , Delayed Graft Function , Kidney Transplantation , Lipocalin-2 , Organ Preservation , Perfusion , Humans , Female , Biomarkers/analysis , Male , Middle Aged , Perfusion/methods , Adult , Lipocalin-2/analysis , Organ Preservation/methods , Tissue Donors , ROC Curve , Treatment Outcome , Time Factors , L-Lactate Dehydrogenase/analysis , Reference Values , Predictive Value of TestsABSTRACT
Kidney transplantation is currently the most effective treatment for end-stage renal disease. Delayed graft function (DGF) is one of the most common complications after renal transplantation and is a significant complication affecting graft function and the survival time of transplanted kidneys. Therefore, early diagnosis of DGF is crucial for guiding post-transplant care and improving long-term patient survival. This article will summarize the pathological basis and clinical characteristics of DGF after kidney transplantation, with a focus on contrast-enhanced ultrasound. It will analyze the current application status of ultrasound technology in DGF diagnosis and provide a comprehensive review of the clinical applications of ultrasound technology in this field, serving as a reference for the further application of ultrasound technology in kidney transplantation.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Delayed graft function (DGF) is an important complication after kidney transplantation surgery. The present study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for preoperative prediction of DGF on the basis of clinical and histological risk factors. METHODS: The prediction model was constructed in a development cohort comprising 492 kidney transplant recipients from May 2018 to December 2019. Data regarding donor and recipient characteristics, pre-transplantation biopsy results, and machine perfusion parameters were collected, and univariate analysis was performed. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used for variable selection. The prediction model was developed by multivariate logistic regression analysis and presented as a nomogram. An external validation cohort comprising 105 transplantation cases from January 2020 to April 2020 was included in the analysis. RESULTS: 266 donors were included in the development cohort, 458 kidneys (93.1%) were preserved by hypothermic machine perfusion (HMP), 96 (19.51%) of 492 recipients developed DGF. Twenty-eight variables measured before transplantation surgery were included in the LASSO regression model. The nomogram consisted of 12 variables from donor characteristics, pre-transplantation biopsy results and machine perfusion parameters. Internal and external validation showed good discrimination and calibration of the nomogram, with Area Under Curve (AUC) 0.83 (95%CI, 0.78-0.88) and 0.87 (95%CI, 0.80-0.94). Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSION: A DGF predicting nomogram was developed that incorporated donor characteristics, pre-transplantation biopsy results, and machine perfusion parameters. This nomogram can be conveniently used for preoperative individualized prediction of DGF in kidney transplant recipients.
Subject(s)
Kidney Transplantation , Humans , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , Delayed Graft Function , Nomograms , Graft Survival , Kidney , Tissue Donors , Biopsy/adverse effects , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: The decision for acceptance or discard of the increasingly rare and marginal brain-dead donor kidneys in Eurotransplant (ET) countries has to be made without solid evidence. Thus, we developed and validated flexible clinicopathological scores called 2-Step Scores for the prognosis of delayed graft function (DGF) and one-year death-censored transplant loss (1y-tl) reflecting the current practice of six ET countries including Croatia and Belgium. METHODS: The training set was n=620 for DGF and n=711 for 1y-tl, with validation sets n=158 and n=162. In step 1, stepwise logistic regression models including only clinical predictors were used to estimate the risks. In step 2, risk estimates were updated for statistically relevant intermediate risk percentiles with nephropathology. RESULTS: Step 1 revealed an increased risk of DGF with increased cold ischaemia time, donor and recipient BMI, dialysis vintage, number of HLA-DR mismatches or recipient CMV IgG positivity. On the training and validation set, c-statistics were 0.672 and 0.704, respectively. At a range between 18% and 36%, accuracy of DGF-prognostication improved with nephropathology including number of glomeruli and Banff cv (updated overall c statistics of 0.696 and 0.701, respectively).Risk of 1y-tl increased in recipients with cold ischaemia time, sum of HLA-A. -B, -DR mismatches and donor age. On training and validation sets, c-statistics were 0.700 and 0.769, respectively. Accuracy of 1y-tl prediction improved (c-statistics = 0.706 and 0.765) with Banff ct. Overall, calibration was good on the training, but moderate on the validation set; discrimination was at least as good as established scores when applied to the validation set. CONCLUSION: Our flexible 2-Step Scores with optional inclusion of time-consuming and often unavailable nephropathology should yield good results for clinical practice in ET, and may be superior to established scores. Our scores are adaptable to donation after cardiac death and perfusion pump use.