Recommendations for broadening eligibility criteria in esophagus cancer clinical trials: the mortality disparity of esophagus cancer as a first or second primary malignancy.

Background: Esophagus cancer as a second primary malignancy (esophagus-2) is increasingly common, but its prognosis is poorly understood. This study aims to examine the overall, non-cancer related and cancer-specific survival of patients diagnosed with esophagus-2 compared to the first primary esophagus cancer (esophagus-1). Methods: We included primary esophagus cancer patients diagnosed from 1975 to 2019 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Esophagus-2 was identified in patients with a previous diagnosis of non-esophageal primary malignancy. Hazard ratios of overall, esophagus cancer-specific and non-cancer related mortality were estimated among patients with esophagus-2 compared to esophagus-1, adjusting for age, gender, tumor stage and other demographic and clinical characteristics. Results: A total of 74,521 and 14,820 patients were identified as esophagus-1 and esophagus-2 respectively. Esophagus-2 patients suffered lower risk of esophagus cancer-specific mortality in initial 5 years but with similar risk thereafter, independent of tumor characteristics and treatment. In the first 5 years after diagnosis, patients with esophagus-2 had similar risk of overall mortality with those with esophagus-1 but increased risk thereafter. As for non-cancer related mortality, esophagus-2 patients had higher risk all along. Conclusions: Esophagus-2 patients should not be entirely excluded from clinical trial and a 3-year exclusion window is suggested. A conservative approach to manage esophagus-2 solely based on malignancy history is not supported but effort should be put into surveillance, prevention and management of the comorbidities and complications for the first malignancy.

Lower energy intake associated with higher risk of cardiovascular mortality in chronic kidney disease patients on a low-protein diets.

OBJECTIVE: An increasing number of studies shown that inadequate energy intake causes an increase in adverse incidents in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients on low-protein diets (LPD). The study aimed to investigate the relationship between energy intake and cardiovascular mortality in CKD patients on a LPD. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study, a total of 4264 CKD patients were enrolled from the NHANES database between 2009 and 2018. Restricted cubic spline plots and Cox regression analysis were used to analyze the association between energy intake and cardiovascular mortality in CKD patients on a LPD. Additionally, a nomogram was constructed to estimate cardiovascular survival in CKD patients on a LPD. RESULTS: Among CKD patients on a LPD in the United States, 90.05% had an energy intake of less than 25 kcal/kg/day, compared to 36.94% in CKD patients on a non-LPD. Energy intake and cardiovascular mortality showed a linear relationship in CKD patients on a LPD, while a 'U-shaped' relationship was observed in CKD patients on a non-LPD. Multifactorial Cox regression models revealed that for Per-standard deviation (Per-SD) decrement in energy intake, the risk of cardiovascular mortality increased by 41% (HR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.12, 1.77; P = 0.004) in CKD patients on a LPD. The concordance index of the nomogram was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75, 0.83). CONCLUSION: CKD patients, especially those on a LPD, have significantly inadequate energy intake. Lower energy intake is associated with higher cardiovascular mortality in CKD patients on a LPD.

Predictors of Outcomes in Cerebellar Stroke: A Retrospective Cohort Study From the National Inpatient Sample Data.

Cerebellar strokes have high morbidity and mortality due to bleeding or edema, leading to increased pressure in the posterior fossa. This retrospective cohort study analyzed three outcomes following a cerebellar stroke: in-hospital mortality, length of hospital stay, and total hospitalization costs. It uses data from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) and aims to identify the predictors of outcomes in cerebellar stroke patients, including 464,324 patients, 18 years of age and older, hospitalized between 2010 and 2015 in US hospitals with cerebellar strokes. In our study, for every decade age increased beyond 59 years, there was a significant increase in mortality; those aged 80+ years had 5.65 odds of mortality (95% CI: 5.32-6.00; P < 0.0001). Significant differences in patient characteristics were observed between patients who survived to discharge and those who did not, including older age (77.4 vs. 70.3 years; P < 0.0001), female sex (58% vs. 52%; P < 0.0001), and being transferred from another healthcare facility (17% vs. 10%; P < 0.0001). Patients admitted directly rather than through the emergency department were more likely to die (29% vs. 16%; P < 0.0001). The mortality rate was lower for blacks (OR: 0.75; P < 0.0001), Hispanics (OR: 0.91; P = 0.005), and Asians (OR: 0.89; P = 0.03), as compared to the white population, for females in comparison to males, and geographically, in all other areas (Midwest, South, and West) in contrast to the Northeast. Cerebellar stroke incidence and high mortality were seen in the traditional stroke belt. Mortality is also affected by the severity of the disease and increases with the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), All Patient Refined Diagnosis Related Groups (APR-DRG) scores, and indirectly by place of receiving care, length of stay (LOS), cost of stay, type of insurance, and emergency department admissions. LOS increased with age, in males in the Northeast, and was less in whites compared to other races. Trend analysis showed a decrease in LOS and costs from 2010 to 2015. Increased costs were seen in non-whites, males, higher household income based on zip code, being covered under Medicaid, transfers, CCI ≥ 5, and discharges in the western US. Median household income based on the patient's zip code was well-balanced between those who lived and those who died (P = 0.091). However, payers were not evenly distributed between the two groups (P < 0.0001 for the overall comparison). A higher proportion of discharges associated with in-hospital mortality were covered under Medicare (70% vs. 65% in the died vs. lived groups, respectively). Fewer discharges were associated with death if they were covered by commercial insurance or paid for out-of-pocket (15% vs. 19% for commercial insurance and 3% vs. 5% for out-of-pocket). In-hospital mortality was associated with a longer length of hospital stay (5.6 days vs. 4.5 days; P < 0.0001) and higher costs ($16,815 vs. $11,859; P < 0.0001). Variables that were significantly associated with lower total costs were older age, having commercial insurance, paying out-of-pocket or other payers, not being admitted through the emergency department, having a lower comorbidity index (CCI = 1-2), and being discharged from a hospital that was small- or medium-sized, located in the Midwest or South, and/or was non-teaching (rural or urban).

Permanent and Persistent Atrial Fibrillations Are Independent Risk Factors of Mortality after Severe COVID-19.

Background: The new coronavirus disease (COVID-19), a pandemic infection caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), had a deep global influence on morbidity and mortality profiles. Comorbidities, especially cardiovascular diseases, were identified to strongly modify the clinical course of COVID-19. However, the prognostic role of incident or prevalent atrial fibrillation has not been fully explained. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between atrial fibrillation and outcomes following hospitalization in patients with severe COVID-19. Methods: We analyzed 199 patients (72 female, median age 70 years) with severe COVID-19 hospitalized between November 2020 and February 2021, due to SARS-CoV-2 infection. The study cohort included 68 patients with a history of AF (34 patients with paroxysmal AF, 19 with permanent AF, 15 patients with persistent AF), and 51 patients presented with AF during hospitalization. Results: Overall mortality during 90 days from the admission to hospital was 41% (n = 82). Non-survivors were older, had significantly elevated inflammation markers (CRP, WBC, procalcitonin, IL-6), NT-proBNP and D-dimer on the first day of hospitalization, lower left ventricular ejection fraction and worse kidney function, as compared to those who stayed alive during the follow-up. Among the hospitalized patients with COVID-19, a history of AF and the presence of AF during hospitalization contributed to higher mortality. Patients with permanent and persistent AF were at the highest risk of death. Different presentations of AF (any history of AF, the subtypes of AF-paroxysmal, permanent, persistent-and the presence of AF during hospitalization) were included in multivariate analysis, aiming to identify independent risk factors of death in the study period. We found that AF was related to worse prognosis, and persistent or permanent forms represented an independent predictor of mortality. Conclusions: Different clinical presentations of AF have varying impacts on survival in severe COVID-19. Mortality in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19 was higher among patients with a history of AF, especially with persistent and permanent types of AF, and with AF present during hospitalization.

Ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease and all-cause mortality in Chinese elderly patients: a propensity-score matching study.

BACKGROUND: Ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. However, studies focusing on elderly and very elderly patients are scarce. Hence, our study aimed to characterize and investigate the long-term prognostic implications of ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular diseases in elderly Chinese patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 1026 patients aged ≥ 65 years who were categorized into the mono ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease (MICCD) (either coronary artery disease or ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack) (n = 912) and the comorbidity of ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease (CICCD) (diagnosed with both coronary artery disease and ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack at admission) (n = 114). The primary outcome was all-cause death. The mortality risk was evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards risk model with multiple adjustments by conventional and propensity-score-based approaches. RESULTS: Of the 2494 consecutive elderly patients admitted to the hospital, 1026 (median age 83 years [interquartile range]: 76.5-86.4; 94.4% men) met the inclusion criteria. Patients with CICCD consisted mostly of very elderly (79.2% vs. 66.1%, P < 0.001) individuals with a higher burden of comorbidities. Over a median follow-up of 10.4 years, 398 (38.8%) all-cause deaths were identified. Compared with the MICCD group, the CICCD group exhibited a higher adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidential interval, CI) of 1.71 (1.32-2.39) for long-term mortality after adjusting for potential confounders. The sensitivity analysis results remained robust. After inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) modeling, the CICCD group displayed an even worse mortality risk (IPTW-adjusted HR: 2.07; 95% CI 1.47-2.90). In addition, anemia (adjusted HR: 1.48; 95% CI 1.16-1.89) and malnutrition (adjusted HR: 1.43; 95% CI 1.15-1.78) are also independent risk factors for all-cause mortality among elderly and very elderly patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our results thus suggest that elderly patients with ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease and anemia or malnutrition may have higher mortality, which may be predicted upon admission. These findings, however, warrant further investigation.

Overall and cause-specific mortality in anorexia nervosa; impact of psychiatric comorbidity and sex in a 40-year follow-up study.

OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the overall and cause-specific mortality in males and females with anorexia nervosa (AN) from 1977 to 2018, focusing on the impact of psychiatric comorbidity on mortality risk, a less explored aspect despite a high prevalence in patients with AN. METHOD: We conducted a nationwide population-based cohort study in Denmark including all patients with AN (n = 14,774) with a median follow-up time of 9.1 years and a 1:10 age- and sex-matched general population comparison cohort. Using Cox proportional hazard model, we calculated adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for death stratified by psychiatric comorbidity, sex, and age at AN onset and evaluated the causes of death using Fine and Gray sub-distribution hazard ratios (SHR). RESULTS: In patients with AN, the weighted average aHR for all-cause mortality was 4.5 [95% CI 4.1-4.9] with up to 40 years follow-up. Psychiatric comorbidity was present in 47% of patients with AN at index date, which was associated with a 1.9-fold increase in 10-year mortality compared with patients without comorbidity and a notably four-fold increase, when diagnosed at age 6-25 years. The mortality risk was similar according to sex. 13.9% of all deaths in patients with AN were due to suicide (SHR 10.7 [8.1-14.2]). The risk of dying of natural causes was increased with a SHR of 3.8 [95% CI 3.4-4.2]. DISCUSSION: The increased mortality risk in both males and females with AN and psychiatric comorbidity, particularly when diagnosed at young age, underscores the need for comprehensive treatment addressing both AN and coexisting psychiatric conditions. PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE: The mortality in patients with anorexia nervosa (AN) is high and we show in our study that the mortality is doubled in the presence of psychiatric comorbidity particularly the first 10 years after diagnosis seen in both sexes and with suicide as a major cause of death. These findings stress the importance of detection and treatment of psychiatric comorbidities alongside the eating disorder to prevent fatal outcome.

The impact of hyperkalemia on ICU admission and mortality: a retrospective study of Chinese emergency department data.

OBJECTIVE: This study assesses the influence of hyperkalemia on both disease severity and the risk of mortality among patients admitted to the emergency room. METHODS: This retrospective observational study utilized data from the Chinese Emergency Triage Assessment and Treatment database (CETAT, version 2.0), which was designed to evaluate and optimize management strategies for emergency room (ER) patients. Patients were systematically categorized based on serum potassium levels. Relationships between serum potassium levels, risk of mortality, and the severity of illness were then analyzed using multifactorial logistic regression and through Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. The effectiveness of various treatments at lowering potassium levels was also investigated. RESULTS: 12,799 emergency patients were enrolled, of whom 20.1% (n = 2,577) were hypokalemic and 2.98% (n = 381) were hyperkalemic. Among hyperkalemic patients, the leading reasons for visiting the ER were altered consciousness 23.88% (n = 91), cardiovascular symptoms 22.31% (n = 85), and gastrointestinal symptoms 20.47% (n = 78). Comparative analysis with patients exhibiting normal potassium levels revealed hyperkalemia as an independent factor associated with mortality in the ER. Mortality risk appears to positively correlate with increasing potassium levels, reaching peaks when blood potassium levels ranged between 6.5 and 7.0. Hyperkalemia emerged as a strong predictor of death in the ER, with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.89. The most frequently prescribed treatment for hyperkalemia patients was diuretics (57.32%, n = 188), followed by intravenous sodium bicarbonate (50.91%, n = 167), IV calcium (37.2%, n = 122), insulin combined with high glucose (27.74%, n = 91), and Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy (CRRT) for 19.82% (n = 65). Among these, CRRT appeared to be the most efficacious at reducing potassium levels. Diuretics appeared relatively ineffective, while high-glucose insulin, sodium bicarbonate, and calcium preparations having no significant effect on the rate of potassium decline. CONCLUSION: Hyperkalemia is common in emergency situations, especially among patients with altered consciousness. There is a strong positive correlation between the severity of hyperkalemia and mortality risk. CRRT appears to be the most effective potassium reducting strategy, while the use of diuretics should be approached with caution.

Establishment of prediction model for mortality risk of pancreatic cancer: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Pancreatic cancer possesses a high prevalence and mortality rate among other cancers. Despite the low survival rate of this cancer type, the early prediction of this disease has a crucial role in decreasing the mortality rate and improving the prognosis. So, this study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, we used 654 alive and dead PC cases to establish the prediction model for PC. The six chosen machine learning algorithms and prognostic factors were utilized to build the prediction models. The importance of the predictive factors was assessed using the relative importance of a high-performing algorithm. RESULTS: The XG-Boost with AU-ROC of 0.933 (95% CI= [0.906-0.958]) and AU-ROC of 0.836 (95% CI= [0.789-0.865] in internal and external validation modes were considered as the best-performing model for predicting the mortality risk of PC. The factors, including tumor size, smoking, and chemotherapy, were considered the most influential for prediction. CONCLUSION: The XG-Boost gained more performance efficiency in predicting the mortality risk of PC patients, so this model can promote the clinical solutions that doctors can achieve in healthcare environments to decrease the mortality risk of these patients.

Comparing suicide completion rates in bipolar I versus bipolar II disorder: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Bipolar disorder (BD) has a high disease burden and the highest mortality risk in BD comes from suicide. Bipolar disorder type II (BD-II) has been described as a milder form of bipolar disorder; however, extant literature is inconsistent with this description and instead describe illness burden and notably suicidality comparable to persons with bipolar I disorder (BD-I). Towards quantifying the hazard of BD-II, herein we aim via systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the rates of completed suicide in BD-I and BD-II. METHOD: We conducted a literature search on PubMed, OVID (Embase, Medline) and PsychINFO databases from inception to June 30th, 2023, according to PRISMA guidelines. Articles were selected based on the predetermined eligibility criteria. A meta-analysis was performed, comparing the risk of completed suicide between individuals diagnosed with BD-I to BD-II. RESULTS: Four out of eight studies reported higher suicide completion rates in persons living with BD-II when compared to persons living with BD-I; however, two of the studies reported non-significance. Two studies reported significantly higher suicide completion rates for BD-I than BD-II. The pooled odds ratio of BD-II suicide rates to BD-I was 1.00 [95 % CI = 0.75, 1.34]. LIMITATIONS: The overarching limitation is the small number of studies and heterogeneity of studies that report on suicide completion in BD-I and BD-II. CONCLUSION: Our study underscores the severity of BD-II, with a risk for suicide not dissimilar from BD-I. The greater propensity to depression, comorbidity and rapid-cycling course reported in BD-II are contributing factors to the significant mortality hazard in BD-II.

Mortality in clostridioides difficile infection among patients hospitalized at the university clinical hospital in Wroclaw, Poland - a 3-year observational study.

BACKGROUND: In the last two decades, a significant increase in the number of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) cases has been observed. It is understandable to attempt to determine the factors that can predict the severity of the course of the infection and identify patients at risk of death. This study aimed to analyze the factors affecting the incidence and mortality of CDI in inpatient treatment at the University Clinical Hospital in Wroclaw in 2016-2018. METHODS: Statistical analysis of data obtained from patients' medical records was performed. Only patients with symptoms of infection and infection confirmed by laboratory tests were enrolled in the study. When analyzing the number of deaths, only adult patients who died in hospital wards were included. The quantitative data including laboratory tests, used antibiotics and Nutritional Risk Screening (NRS) were assessed. Also, the qualitative data such as sex, year of hospitalization, occurrence of diarrhoea on admission to the hospital, presence of additional diseases, as wee ad the use of antibacterial drugs or proton pump blockers and ranitidine during hospitalization were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 319 adult CDI patients (178 women and 141 men) were enrolled of which 80 people died (50 women and 30 men). The mean age of the patients was 72.08 ± 16.74 years. Over the entire period studied, the morbidity was 174 cases per 100,000 hospitalizations while mortality was 25.08%. The group of deceased patients was characterized by: older age (by 9.24 years), longer duration of hospitalization (by 10 days), reduced albumin levels (Rho = -0.235, p < 0.001), higher urea levels, use of more antibiotics, higher risk of malnutrition in NRS (Rho = 0.219, p < 0.001), higher incidence of sepsis, heart failure, stroke, hypothyroidism. Pneumonia was diagnosed twice as often. It was also shown that deceased patients were significantly more likely to take penicillin and fluoroquinolones. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the morbidity was lower, but mortality was higher compared to similar hospitals in Poland. CDI patients were characterized by older age, multimorbidity, extended hospitalization, and the use of broad-spectrum antibiotics. Risk factors for death included advanced age, prolonged hospital stays, lower albumin, higher urea, malnutrition, and comorbidities like heart failure, stroke, pneumonia, sepsis, and hypothyroidism. Increased antibiotic use, particularly penicillin and fluoroquinolones, was associated with a higher mortality risk.

Haematological Indices in Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients in Ethiopia: A Comparative Cross-Sectional Study.

Background: Numerous biomarkers are used as diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive indicators of myocardial ischemia. The most commonly used biomarkers are cardiac troponin I (Tn-I) and creatinine kinase (CK-MB). However, in developing nations, their availability in primary care settings is extremely limited. In such situations, easily available assays such as complete blood count (CBC) should be investigated as prognostic indicators in individuals with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Objective: This study aimed to compare the pattern of haematological indices and blood cell ratios of ACS patients compared with apparently healthy controls. Methods: Patients diagnosed with ACS were recruited consecutively between 01 May 2022 and 31 October 2023 at Jimma Medical Center (JMC). Biochemical analyses and complete blood counts were performed. Analysis of variance was performed to compare the continuous variables. Spearman correlation coefficient tests were performed to correlate hematologic parameters with high sensitive troponin-I (hs-Tn-I) levels. Results: This study enrolled 220 participants (110 patients with ACS and age, sex, and place of residence matched 110 non-ACS controls). From ACS group 99 (90%) were diagnosed with ST-elevated myocardial infarction. The ACS group had a significantly greater mean platelet volume (MPV), white blood cell count, red cell distribution width (RDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio. The RDW (r = 0.248, p = 0.009) and MPV (r = 0.245, p = 0.009) were significantly positively correlated with hs-Tn-I levels in the ACS group. MPV, RDW, and monocyte count were significantly higher in non-survivor ACS patients (p <0.05). Conclusion: The significant differences observed in haematological parameters between individuals with ACS and healthy controls suggest the potential utility of these easily accessible and cost-effective diagnostics in predicting future morbidity and ACS risk. Incorporating these routine evaluations into clinical practice could enhance risk assessment and improve patient outcomes.

Ambient fine particulate matter and daily mortality: a comparative analysis of observed and estimated exposure in 347 cities.

BACKGROUND: Model-estimated air pollution exposure products have been widely used in epidemiological studies to assess the health risks of particulate matter with diameters of ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5). However, few studies have assessed the disparities in health effects between model-estimated and station-observed PM2.5 exposures. METHODS: We collected daily all-cause, respiratory and cardiovascular mortality data in 347 cities across 15 countries and regions worldwide based on the Multi-City Multi-Country collaborative research network. The station-observed PM2.5 data were obtained from official monitoring stations. The model-estimated global PM2.5 product was developed using a machine-learning approach. The associations between daily exposure to PM2.5 and mortality were evaluated using a two-stage analytical approach. RESULTS: We included 15.8 million all-cause, 1.5 million respiratory and 4.5 million cardiovascular deaths from 2000 to 2018. Short-term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with a relative risk increase (RRI) of mortality from both station-observed and model-estimated exposures. Every 10-µg/m3 increase in the 2-day moving average PM2.5 was associated with overall RRIs of 0.67% (95% CI: 0.49 to 0.85), 0.68% (95% CI: -0.03 to 1.39) and 0.45% (95% CI: 0.08 to 0.82) for all-cause, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality based on station-observed PM2.5 and RRIs of 0.87% (95% CI: 0.68 to 1.06), 0.81% (95% CI: 0.08 to 1.55) and 0.71% (95% CI: 0.32 to 1.09) based on model-estimated exposure, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality risks associated with daily PM2.5 exposure were consistent for both station-observed and model-estimated exposures, suggesting the reliability and potential applicability of the global PM2.5 product in epidemiological studies.

Mortality following noncardiac surgery assessed by the Saint Louis University Score (SLUScore) for hypotension: a retrospective observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Saint Louis University Score (SLUScore) was developed to quantify intraoperative blood pressure trajectories and their associated risk for adverse outcomes. This study examines the prevalence and severity of intraoperative hypotension described by the SLUScore and its relationship with 30-day mortality in surgical subtypes. METHODS: This retrospective analysis of perioperative data included surgical cases performed between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2020. The SLUScore is calculated from cumulative time-periods for which the mean arterial pressure is below a range of hypotensive thresholds. After calculating the SLUScore for each surgical procedure, we quantified the prevalence and severity of intraoperative hypotension for each surgical procedure and the association between intraoperative hypotension and 30-day mortality. We used binary logistic regression to quantify the potential contribution of intraoperative hypotension to mortality. RESULTS: We analysed 490 982 cases (57.7% female; mean age 57 yr); 33.2% of cases had a SLUScore>0, a median SLUScore of 13 (inter-quartile range [IQR] 7-21), with 1.19% average mortality. The SLUScore was associated with mortality in 12/14 surgical groups. The increases in the odds ratio for death within 30 days of surgery per SLUScore increment were: all surgery types 3.5% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 3.2-3.9); abdominal/transplant surgery 6% (95% CI 1.5-10.7); thoracic surgery1.5% (95% CI 1-3.3); vascular surgery 3.01% (95% CI 1.9-4.05); spine/neurosurgery 1.1% (95% CI 0.1-2.1); orthopaedic surgery 1.4% (95% CI 0.7-2.2); gynaecological surgery 6.3% (95% CI 2.5-10.1); genitourinary surgery 4.84% (95% CI 3.5-6.15); gastrointestinal surgery 5.2% (95% CI 3.9-6.4); gastroendoscopy 5.5% (95% CI 4.4-6.7); general surgery 6.3% (95% CI 5.5-7.1); ear, nose, and throat surgery 1.6% (95% CI 0-3.27); and cardiac electrophysiology (including pacemaker procedures) 6.6% (95% CI 1.1-12.4). CONCLUSIONS: The SLUScore was independently, but variably, associated with 30-day mortality after noncardiac surgery.

Impact of quality of life on mortality risk in patients with esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the impact of quality of life (QoL) on mortality risk in patients with esophageal cancer. A literature search was conducted using the CINAHL, PubMed/MEDLINE, and Scopus databases for articles published from inception to December 2022. Observational studies that examined the association between QoL and mortality risk in patients with esophageal cancer were included. Subgroup analyses were performed for time points of QoL assessment and for types of treatment. Seven studies were included in the final analysis. Overall, global QoL was significantly associated with mortality risk (hazard ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.04; p < 0.00004). Among the QoL subscales of QoL, physical, emotional, role, cognitive, and social QoL were significantly associated with mortality risk. A subgroup analysis by timepoints of QoL assessment demonstrated that pre- and posttreatment global and physical, pretreatment role, and posttreatment cognitive QoL were significantly associated with mortality risk. Moreover, another subgroup analysis by types of treatment demonstrated that the role QoL in patients with surgery, and the global, physical, role, and social QoL in those with other treatments were significantly associated with mortality risk. These findings indicate that the assessment of QoL in patients with esophageal cancer before and after treatment not only provides information on patients' condition at the time of treatment but may also serve as an outcome for predicting life expectancy. Therefore, it is important to conduct regular QoL assessments and take a proactive approach to improve QoL based on the results of these assessments.

Increased mortality risk from airborne exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons.

BACKGROUND: The potential health effects of airborne polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) among general population remained extensively unstudied. This study sought to investigate the association of short-term exposure to low-level total and 7 carcinogenic PAHs with mortality risk. METHODS: We conducted an individual-level time-stratified case-crossover study in Jiangsu province of eastern China, by investigating over 2 million death cases during 2016-2019. Daily concentrations of total PAH and its 7 carcinogenic species including benzo[a]anthracene (BaA), benzo[a]pyrene (BaP), benzo[b]fluoranthene (BbF), benzo[k]fluoranthene (BkF), chrysene (Chr), dibenz[a,h]anthracene (DahA), and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene (IcdP), predicted by well-validated spatiotemporal models, were assigned to death cases according to their residential addresses. We estimated mortality risk associated with short-term exposure to increase of an interquartile range (IQR) for aforementioned PAHs using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: An IQR increase (16.9 ng/m3) in 2-day (the current and prior day) moving average of total PAH concentration was associated with risk increases of 1.90% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.71-2.09) in all-cause mortality, 1.90% (95% CI: 1.70-2.10) in nonaccidental mortality, 2.01% (95% CI: 1.72-2.29) in circulatory mortality, and 2.53% (95% CI: 2.03-3.02) in respiratory mortality. Risk increases of cause-specific mortality ranged between 1.42-1.90% for BaA (IQR: 1.6 ng/m3), 1.94-2.53% for BaP (IQR: 1.6 ng/m3), 2.45-3.16% for BbF (IQR: 2.8 ng/m3), 2.80-3.65% for BkF (IQR: 1.0 ng/m3), 1.36-1.77% for Chr (IQR: 1.8 ng/m3), 0.77-1.24% for DahA (IQR: 0.8 ng/m3), and 2.96-3.85% for IcdP (IQR: 1.7 ng/m3). CONCLUSIONS: This study provided suggested evidence for heightened mortality risk in relation to short-term exposure to airborne PAHs in general population. Our findings suggest that airborne PAHs may pose a potential threat to public health, emphasizing the need of more population-based evidence to enhance the understanding of health risk under the low-dose exposure scenario.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting specific mortality risk: A study of competing risk model based on real endometrial cancer patients.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to construct a competing risk prediction model for predicting specific mortality risks in endometrial cancer patients from the SEER database based on their demographic characteristics and tumor information. METHODS: We collected relevant clinical data on patients with histologically confirmed endometrial cancer in the SEER database between 2010 and 2015. Univariate and multivariate competing risk models were used to analyze the risk factors for endometrial cancer-specific death, and a predictive nomogram was constructed. C-index and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) at different time points were used to verify the accuracy of the constructed nomogram. RESULTS: There were 26 109 eligible endometrial cancer patients in the training cohort and 11 189 in the validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that Age, Marriage, Grade, Behav, FIGO, Size, Surgery, SurgOth, Radiation, ParaAortic_Nodes, Peritonea, N positive, DX_liver, and DX_lung were independent prognostic factors for specific mortality in endometrial cancer patients. Based on these factors, a nomogram was constructed. Internal validation showed that the nomogram had a good discriminative ability (C-index = 0.883 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.881-0.884]), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUC values were 0.901, 0.886 and 0.874, respectively. External validation indicated similar results (C-index = 0.883 [95%CI: 0.882-0.883]), and the 1-, 3-, and 5- AUC values were 0.908, 0.885 and 0.870, respectively. CONCLUSION: We constructed a competing risk model to predict the specific mortality risk among endometrial cancer patients. This model has favorable accuracy and reliability and can provide a reference for the development and update of endometrial cancer prognostic risk assessment tools.

The Association between Bone Mineral Density and Risk of Mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study of 233,397 Taiwanese.

PURPOSE: Osteoporosis is an important public health challenge given its high prevalence in western populations and the prevalence has shown an upward trend in recent decades in Asia. However, epidemiological evidence on the association between bone mineral density (BMD) and mortality risk in the Asian population is sparse. METHODS: The Cox proportional hazards model and cause-specific hazard models were used to investigate the association of BMD with the risk of all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: The present study comprised of 3,332,207 person-years with a median follow-up of 14.6 years. 27,508 participants (15,967 men and 11,541 women) died among 233,397 participants (112,348 men and 121,049 women) during the follow-up period. Compared to those with normal BMD level, both men and women with low BMD had a significantly higher risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality after adjusting for the covariates. [For men with osteoporosis: all-cause: 1.37 (1.27-1.49); CVD: 1.28 (1.08-1.52); cancer: 1.29 (1.12-1.49); For women with osteoporosis: all-cause: 1.72 (1.63-1.82); CVD: 1.85 (1.64-2.08); cancer: 1.47 (1.35-1.61)]. The P for interactions for BMD with sex were significant for all-cause and CVD mortality. The adverse effects of BMD on the risk of all-cause and CVD were higher in women than in men [men vs. women: all-cause: 1.37 (1.27-1.49) vs. 1.72 (1.63-1.82); CVD: 1.28 (1.08-1.52) vs. 1.85 (1.64-2.08)]. In the nonlinear dose-response analyses, the association between BMD increments and all-cause mortality risk shows an L-shaped pattern in men and a similar U-shaped trend in women (P for non-linear association: <0.001). Likewise, a similar L-shaped association was observed between BMD levels and cancer mortality risk in men. CONCLUSIONS: Low BMD had an increased risk of all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality in both men and women. Women had a stronger positive association between low BMD and an increased risk of all-cause and CVD mortality compared to men.

Sex Differences in Mortality Risk after the First Hospitalisation with Lower Extremity Peripheral Arterial Disease.

OBJECTIVE: Lower extremity peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is a severe condition that increases the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events, major adverse limb events, and all cause mortality. This study aimed to investigate the mortality risk among females and males hospitalised for the first time with lower extremity PAD. METHODS: Three cohorts of patients who were admitted for the first time with lower extremity PAD in 2007 - 2010, 2011 - 2014, and 2015 - 2018 were constructed. For the 2007 - 2010 and 2011 - 2014 cohorts, the 28 day, one year, and five year mortality rates were calculated, assessing survival time from date of hospital admission until date of death, end of study period, or censoring. For the 2015 - 2018 cohort, only 28 day and one year mortality were investigated due to lack of follow up data. Mortality rates of these cohorts were compared with the general population using standardised mortality rates (SMRs), and the risk of death between sexes was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models. Cox models were adjusted for age, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus to account for potential confounding factors. RESULTS: In total, 7 950, 9 670, and 13 522 patients were included in the 2007 - 2010, 2011 - 2014, and 2015 - 2018 cohorts, respectively. Over 60% of individuals in each cohort were males. Mortality rates at 28 day and one year remained stable across all cohorts, while the five year mortality rate increased for both males and females in the 2011 - 2014 cohort. The SMRs both of females and males with PAD were significantly higher than in the general population. Multivariable regression analyses found no significant differences in mortality risk between sexes at 28 day and one year. However, the five year mortality risk was lower in females, with a hazard ratio of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83 - 0.97) in the 2007 - 2010 cohort and 0.88 (95% CI 0.82 - 0.94) in the 2011 - 2014 cohort. CONCLUSION: The five year mortality risk has increased, and females face a lower mortality risk than males. Lower extremity PAD still carries unfavourable long term consequences compared with the general population.

The Uncontrollable Mortality Risk Hypothesis: Theoretical foundations and implications for public health.

The 'Uncontrollable Mortality Risk Hypothesis' employs a behavioural ecological model of human health behaviours to explain the presence of social gradients in health. It states that those who are more likely to die due to factors beyond their control should be less motivated to invest in preventative health behaviours. We outline the theoretical assumptions of the hypothesis and stress the importance of incorporating evolutionary perspectives into public health. We explain how measuring perceived uncontrollable mortality risk can contribute towards understanding socioeconomic disparities in preventative health behaviours. We emphasize the importance of addressing structural inequalities in risk exposure, and argue that public health interventions should consider the relationship between overall levels of mortality risk and health behaviours across domains. We suggest that measuring perceptions of uncontrollable mortality risk can capture the unanticipated health benefits of structural risk interventions, as well as help to assess the appropriateness of different intervention approaches.