Imaging meningioma biology: Machine learning predicts integrated risk score in WHO grade 2/3 meningioma.

Background: Meningiomas are the most common primary brain tumors. While most are benign (WHO grade 1) and have a favorable prognosis, up to one-fourth are classified as higher-grade, falling into WHO grade 2 or 3 categories. Recently, an integrated risk score (IRS) pertaining to tumor biology was developed and its prognostic relevance was validated in a large, multicenter study. We hypothesized imaging data to be reflective of the IRS. Thus, we assessed the potential of a machine learning classifier for its noninvasive prediction using preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Methods: In total, 160 WHO grade 2 and 3 meningioma patients from 2 university centers were included in this study. All patients underwent surgery with histopathological workup including methylation analysis. Preoperative MRI scans were automatically segmented, and radiomic parameters were extracted. Using a random forest classifier, 3 machine learning classifiers (1 multiclass classifier for IRS and 2 binary classifiers for low-risk and high-risk prediction, respectively) were developed in a training set (120 patients) and independently tested in a hold-out test set (40 patients). Results: Multiclass IRS classification had a test set area under the curve (AUC) of 0.7, mostly driven by the difficulties in clearly separating medium-risk from high-risk patients. Consequently, a classifier predicting low-risk IRS versus medium-/high-risk showed a very high test accuracy of 90% (AUC 0.88). In particular, "sphericity" was associated with low-risk IRS classification. Conclusion: The IRS, in particular molecular low-risk, can be predicted from imaging data with high accuracy, making this important prognostic classification accessible by imaging.

Cardiovascular Risk Estimation and Stratification Among Individuals with Hypercholesterolemia.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: This review aims to assess the variability in considering hypercholesterolemia for cardiovascular risk stratification in the general population. Recent literature on the integration of hypercholesterolemia into clinical risk scores and its interaction with other risk factors will be explored. RECENT FINDINGS: The impact of hypercholesterolemia on risk estimation varies among different cardiovascular risk calculators. Elevated lipid levels during early life stages contribute to atherosclerotic plaque development, influencing disease severity despite later treatment initiation. The interplay between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLc), inflammatory markers and non-LDL lipid parameters enhances cardiovascular risk stratification. Studies have also examined the role of coronary artery calcium (CAC) score as a negative risk marker in populations with severe hypercholesterolemia. Furthermore, polygenic risk scores (PRS) may aid in diagnosing non-monogenic hypercholesterolemia, refining cardiovascular risk stratification and guiding lipid-lowering therapy strategies. Understanding the heterogeneity in risk estimation and the role of emerging biomarkers and imaging techniques is crucial for optimizing cardiovascular risk prediction and guiding personalized treatment strategies in individuals with hypercholesterolemia.

Evidence of gene-nutrient interaction association with waist circumference, cross-sectional analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Waist circumference (WC) is a significant indicator of body adiposity and is associated with increased mortality and morbidity of cardiovascular diseases. Although, single nutrient intake and candidate genes were previously associated with WC. Little is known about WC association with overall diet quality, genetic risk score and gene-nutrient interaction. This study aims to investigate the influence of overall diet quality and multiple WC-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms on WC. In addition to investigating gene-nutrient interaction association with WC. METHODS: This study explored cross-sectional data from two large sample-size studies, to provide reproducible results. As a representation of the UK population, the Airwave Health Monitoring Study (n = 6,502) and the UK-Biobank Cohort Study (n = 171,129) were explored for factors associated with WC. Diet quality was evaluated based on the Mellen Index for Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (Mellen-DASH). The genetic risk score for WC (GRS-Waist) was calculated by screening the population genotype for WC-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms. Multivariate linear regression models were built to explore WC association with diet quality and genetic risk score. Gene-nutrient interaction was explored by introducing the interaction term (GRS-Waist X Mellen-DASH score) to multivariate linear regression analysis. RESULTS: The prevalence of high WC (Female > 80 cm, Male > 94 cm) was 46.5% and 51.7% in both populations. Diet quality and genetic risk score of WC were significantly associated with WC. There was no evidence of interaction between GRS-Waist, DASH diet scores and nutrient intake on WC. CONCLUSION: This study's findings provided reproducible results on waist circumference association with diet and genetics and tested the possibility of gene-nutrient interaction. These reproducible results are successful in building the foundation for using diet and genetics for early identification of those at risk of having high WC and WC-associated diseases. In addition, evidence on gene-diet interactions on WC is limited and lacks replication, therefore our findings may guide future research in investigating this interaction and investigating its application in precision nutrition.

Performance of risk scores in predicting mortality at 3, 6, and 12 months in patients diagnosed with community-acquired pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Risk scores (RS) evaluate the likelihood of short-term mortality in patients diagnosed with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, there is a scarcity of evidence to determine the risk of long-term mortality. This article aims to compare the effectiveness of 16 scores in predicting mortality at three, six, and twelve months in adult patients with CAP. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study on individuals diagnosed with CAP was conducted across two hospitals in Colombia. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed at 3, 6, and 12 months to assess the predictive ability of death for the following scoring systems: CURB-65, CRB-65, SCAP, CORB, ADROP, NEWS, Pneumonia Shock, REA-ICU, PSI, SMART-COP, SMRT-CO, SOAR, qSOFA, SIRS, CAPSI, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). RESULTS: A total of 3688 patients were included in the final analysis. Mortality at 3, 6, and 12 months was 5.2%, 8.3%, and 16.3% respectively. At 3 months, PSI, CCI, and CRB-65 scores showed ROC curves of 0.74 (95% CI: 0.71-0.77), 0.71 (95% CI: 0.67-0.74), and 0.70 (95% CI: 0.66-0.74). At 6 months, PSI and CCI scores showed performances of 0.74 (95% CI: 0.72-0.77) and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.69-0.74), respectively. Finally at 12 months, all evaluated scores showed poor discriminatory capacity, including PSI, which decreased from acceptable to poor with an ROC curve of 0.64 (95% CI: 0.61-0.66). CONCLUSION: When predicting mortality in patients with CAP, at 3 months, PSI, CCI, and CRB-65 showed acceptable predictive performances. At 6 months, only PSI and CCI maintained acceptable levels of accuracy. For the 12-month period, all evaluated scores exhibited very limited discriminatory ability, ranging from poor to almost negligible.

A comprehensive analysis of germline predisposition to early-onset ovarian cancer.

The subset of ovarian cancer (OC) diagnosed ≤ 30yo represents a distinct subgroup exhibiting disparities from late-onset OC in many aspects, including indefinite germline cancer predisposition. We performed DNA/RNA-WES with HLA-typing, PRS assessment and survival analysis in 123 early-onset OC-patients compared to histology/stage-matched late-onset and unselected OC-patients, and population-matched controls. Only 6/123(4.9%) early-onset OC-patients carried a germline pathogenic variant (GPV) in high-penetrance OC-predisposition genes. Nevertheless, our comprehensive germline analysis of early-onset OC-patients revealed two divergent trajectories of potential germline susceptibility. Firstly, overrepresentation analysis highlighted a connection to breast cancer (BC) that was supported by the CHEK2 GPV enrichment in early-onset OC(p = 1.2 × 10-4), and the presumably BC-specific PRS313, which successfully stratified early-onset OC-patients from controls(p = 0.03). The second avenue pointed towards the impaired immune response, indicated by LY75-CD302 GPV(p = 8.3 × 10-4) and diminished HLA diversity compared with controls(p = 3 × 10-7). Furthermore, we found a significantly higher overall GPV burden in early-onset OC-patients compared to controls(p = 3.8 × 10-4). The genetic predisposition to early-onset OC appears to be a heterogeneous and complex process that goes beyond the traditional Mendelian monogenic understanding of hereditary cancer predisposition, with a significant role of the immune system. We speculate that rather a cumulative overall GPV burden than specific GPV may potentially increase OC risk, concomitantly with reduced HLA diversity.

Effectiveness and safety of combined nimotuzumab and S-1 chemotherapy with concurrent radiotherapy for locally advanced esophageal cancer in malnourished and elderly patients: A prospective phase II study.

Objective: Definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) is the standard treatment for unresectable locally advanced esophageal cancer. However, this treatment is associated with substantial toxicity, and most malnourished or elderly patients are unable to complete this therapy. Therefore, there is a need for a more suitable radiotherapy combination regimen for this population. This study was aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of a combination regimen comprising chemotherapy with nimotuzumab and S-1 and concurrent radiotherapy for patients with fragile locally advanced esophageal cancer with a high Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002) score. Methods: Eligible patients with unresectable esophageal carcinoma who had an NRS-2002 score of 2 or higher were enrolled. They were treated with S-1 and nimotuzumab with concurrent radiotherapy, followed by surgery or definitive radiotherapy. The primary endpoint was the locoregional control (LRC) rate. Results: A total of 55 patients who met the study criteria were enrolled. After completion of treatment, surgery was performed in 15 patients and radiotherapy was continued in 40 patients. The median follow-up period was 33.3 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 31.4-35.1)] months. The LRC rate was 77.2% (95% CI, 66.6%-89.4%) at 1 year in the entire population. The overall survival (OS) rate and event-free survival (EFS) rate were 57.5% and 51.5% at 3 years, respectively. Surgery was associated with better LRC [hazard ratio (HR)=0.16; 95% CI, 0.04-0.70; P=0.015], OS (HR=0.19; 95% CI, 0.04-0.80; P=0.024), and EFS (HR=0.25; 95% CI, 0.08-0.75; P=0.013). Most adverse events were of grade 1 or 2, and no severe adverse events occurred. Conclusions: For malnourished or elderly patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer, radiotherapy combined with nimotuzumab and S-1 is effective and has a good safety profile.

Clinical significance and immune landscape of a novel immune cell infiltration-based prognostic model in lung adenocarcinoma.

Tumor-infiltrating immune cells (TICs) play a central role in the tumor microenvironment, which can reflect the host anti-tumor immune response. However, few studies have explored TICs in predicting the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). In our study, we enrolled 2470 LUAD patients from TCGA and GEO databases, and the normalized enrichment scores for 65 immune cell types were quantified for each patient. An immune-related risk score (IRRS) was built on the basis of 17 selected TICs using LASSO regression analysis, and the results showed that high-risk patients were correlated with shorter survival time for the LUAD cohorts. Correlation analyses between IRRS and clinical characteristics were also evaluated to validate the clinical use of IRRS. In addition, we analyzed the differences in the distribution of immune cell infiltration and immunoregulatory gene expression, which may facilitate individual immunotherapy. Based on the above result, we conclude that IRRS can act as a powerful predictor for risk stratification and prognosis prediction, and may facilitate the decision-making process for LUAD patients.

Construction of a new prognostic model for colorectal cancer based on bulk RNA-seq combined with The Cancer Genome Atlas data.

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths, and improving the prognosis of CRC patients is an urgent concern. The aim of this study was to explore new immunotherapy targets to improve survival in CRC patients. Methods: We analyzed CRC-related single-cell data GSE201348 from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database, and identified differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Subsequently, we performed differential analysis on the rectum adenocarcinoma (READ) and colon adenocarcinoma (COAD) transcriptome sequencing data [The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-CRC queue] and clinical data downloaded from TCGA database. Subgroup analysis was performed using CIBERSORTx and cluster analysis. Finally, biomarkers were identified by one-way cox regression as well as least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. Results: In this study, we analyzed CRC-related single-cell data GSE201348, and identified 5,210 DEGs. Subsequently, we performed differential analysis on the TCGA-CRC queue database, and obtained 4,408 DEGs. Then, we categorized the cancer samples in the sequencing data into three groups (k1, k2, and k3), with significant differences observed between the k1 and k2 groups via survival analysis. Further differential analysis on the samples in the k1 and k2 groups identified 1,899 DEGs. A total of 77 DEGs were selected among those DEGs obtained from three differential analyses. Through subsequent Cox univariate analysis and LASSO analysis, seven biomarkers (RETNLB, CLCA4, UGT2A3, SULT1B1, CCL24, BMP5, and ATOH1) were identified and selected to establish a risk score (RS). Conclusions: To sum up, this study demonstrates the potential of the seven-gene prognostic risk model as instrumental variables for predicting the prognosis of CRC.

ARISCAT and LAS VEGAS risk scores for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications after cardiac surgery: a cohort study.

Background: Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) could lead to morbidity, mortality, and prolonged hospital stay. Different risk-scoring systems are used to predict the identification of patients at risk of developing PPCs. The diagnostic accuracies of the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia (ARISCAT) and Local Assessment of Ventilatory Management During General Anaesthesia for Surgery (LAS VEGAS) risk scores are compared in prediction of PPCs taking pulmonary complication as the gold standard in cardiac surgery. Materials and methods: A prospective cohort study with consecutive sampling technique. A total of 181 patients were included. Quantitative data is presented as simple descriptive statistics giving mean and standard deviation, and qualitative variables are presented as frequency and percentages. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and diagnostic accuracies are also calculated. Results: Total 181 post-cardiac surgery patients were analyzed. The median [interquartile range] of age, height, weight, and BMI were 60.0 [52.0-67.0] years, 163.0 [156.0-168.0] cm, 71.0 [65.0-80.0] kg and 27.3 [24.2-30.4] kg/m2. 127 (70.2%) were male, and 54 (29.8%) were female. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and diagnostic accuracy of ARISCAT for the prediction of PPCs were (94.9%, 4.65%, 76.1%, 22.9% and 73.4%), whereas LAS VEGAS were (97.1%, 4.65%, 76.5%, 33.3% and 75.1%), respectively. Conclusion: Both the ARISCAT and LAS VEGAS risk scores are of limited value in cardiac surgery patients for the prediction of postoperative pulmonary complications, based on the predicted scores in this study.

Frailty is a predictor for worse outcomes in patients hospitalized with Clostridioides difficile infection.

Background: Frailty has major health implications for affected patients and is widely used in the perioperative risk assessment. The Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) is a validated score that utilizes administrative billing data to identify patients at higher risk because of frailty. We investigated the utility of the HFRS in patients with Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) to determine whether they were at risk for worse outcomes and higher healthcare resource utilization. Methods: Using the 2017 National Inpatient Sample, we identified all adults with a primary diagnosis of CDI. We classified patients into 2 groups: those who had an HFRS <5 (NonFrailCDI) and those with a score ≥5 (FrailCDI). We assessed differences in hospital outcomes and healthcare resource utilization based on frailty status. Results: We identified 93,810 hospitalizations, of which 54,300 (57.88%) were FrailCDI. FrailCDI patients were at higher risk for fulminant CDI (odds ratio [OR] 1.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.6-2.3), requiring colectomy (OR 4.1, 95%CI 1.5-11.2), and inpatient mortality (OR 4.5, 95%CI 2.8-7.1). Furthermore, FrailCDI patients had higher odds of requiring Intensive Care Unit admission (OR 13.7, 95%CI 6.3-29.9) or transfer to another facility on discharge (OR 2.2, 95%CI 2.0-2.4), and had longer hospital stays and higher total charges when compared with NonFrailCDI. Conclusions: Frailty as defined by the HFRS is an independent factor for worse outcomes and higher healthcare utilization in adults admitted for CDI. Risk stratifying patients by frailty may improve outcomes.

Association of Mosaic Chromosomal Alterations and Genetic Factors with the Risk of Cirrhosis.

Background and Aims: Age-related mosaic chromosomal alterations (mCAs) detected from genotyping of blood-derived DNA are structural somatic variants that indicate clonal hematopoiesis. This study aimed to investigate whether mCAs contribute to the risk of cirrhosis and modify the effect of a polygenic risk score (PRS) on cirrhosis risk prediction. Methods: mCA call sets of individuals with European ancestry were obtained from the UK Biobank. The PRS was constructed based on 12 susceptible single-nucleotide polymorphisms for cirrhosis. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to evaluate the associations between mCAs and cirrhosis risk. Results: Among 448,645 individuals with a median follow-up of 12.5 years, we identified 2,681 cases of cirrhosis, 1,775 cases of compensated cirrhosis, and 1,706 cases of decompensated cirrhosis. Compared to non-carriers, individuals with copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity mCAs had a significantly increased risk of cirrhosis (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.81). This risk was higher in patients with expanded cell fractions of mCAs (cell fractions ≥10% vs. cell fractions <10%), especially for the risk of decompensated cirrhosis (HR 2.03 [95% CI 1.09-3.78] vs. 1.14 [0.80-1.64]). In comparison to non-carriers of mCAs with low genetic risk, individuals with expanded copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity and high genetic risk showed the highest cirrhosis risk (HR 5.39 [95% CI 2.41-12.07]). Conclusions: The presence of mCAs is associated with increased susceptibility to cirrhosis risk and could be combined with PRS for personalized cirrhosis risk stratification.

Development and validation of a clinical risk score nomogram for predicting voriconazole trough concentration above 5 mg/L: a retrospective cohort study.

The therapeutic range of voriconazole (VRC) is narrow, this study aimed to explore factors influencing VRC plasma concentrations > 5 mg/L and to construct a clinical risk score nomogram prediction model. Clinical data from 221 patients with VRC prophylaxis and treatment were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and binary logistic regression analysis was used to select independent risk factors for VRC plasma concentration above the high limit (5 mg/L). Four indicators including age, weight, CYP2C19 genotype, and albumin were selected to construct the nomogram prediction model. The area under the curve values of the training cohort and the validation cohort were 0.841 and 0.802, respectively. The decision curve analysis suggests that the nomogram model had good clinical applicability. In conclusion, the nomogram provides a reference for early screening and intervention in a high-risk population.

Prediction of Different Risk Factors in Relation to Hyperlipidemia Using Framingham Risk Score and Cholesterol Risk Score in a Tertiary Care Hospital.

BACKGROUND: A condition that affects the circulatory system of the human body is referred to as a cardiovascular disease (CVD). Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are responsible for a significant number of fatalities globally. Annually, CVDs result in the demise of 17.9 million people, which accounts for 31% of all fatalities on a global scale. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to assess the demographic profile of diabetic and nondiabetic patients suffering from cardiovascular disease. The aim of the study is to predict risk factors in relation to hyperlipidaemia using two different scales, the Framingham Risk Scale (FRS) and the Cholesterol Risk Calculator (CRC), and to determine the frequency of hypercholesterolemia in relation to CVD. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in Guru Gobind Singh Medical College and Hospital, Punjab, India. RESULTS: The mean age of patients was found to be M= (51.23), SD= (9.348) years, and among 331 patients (52.6%) were female patients. The mean of Framingham Risk Score was found to be (29.07%). The Framingham Risk Score was found significant with gender and calorie intake below the recommended dietary allowances of the patient (p=0.001). The Framingham Risk Score was found significant with physical activity and employment status of the patients (p= 0.001). In linear regression, the Framingham Risk Score was found significant with the lipid profile of the patients (p=0.001) i.e., the higher the value of cholesterol level, the higher the Framingham Risk Score. The chi-square test showed a significant relation between Cholesterol Risk Score and employment status, physical activity, calorie intake, gender, and occupation of the patients (p=0.001, p=0.001, p=0.001, p=0.004) respectively. CONCLUSION: The present study demonstrated that patients with high Framingham risk score and cholesterol risk score are at increased risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease. The present study concludes that the FRS is higher in patients below RDA, patients doing low physical activity, and sedentary workers. In order to provide proper assistance and counselling, healthcare professionals must continuously analyze each patient's risk factor for CVD and barriers to healthy and preventive behaviors. There is a lack of comprehensive studies comparing the effectiveness of the Framingham Risk Score and Cholesterol Risk Score in predicting hyperlipidemia and associated cardiovascular risks within the context of a tertiary care hospital setting.

Volatilome: A Novel Tool for Risk Scoring in Ischemic Heart Disease.

Developing a novel risk score for accurate assessment of cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality is an urgent need in terms of early prevention and diagnosis and, thereafter, management, particularly of ischemic heart disease. The currently used scores for the evaluation of cardiovascular disease based on the classical risk factors suffer from severe limitations, including inaccurate predictive values. Therefore, we suggest adding a novel non-classical risk factor, including the level of specific exhaled volatile organic compounds that are associated with ischemic heart disease, to the SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP algorithms. Adding these nonclassical risk factors can be used together with the classical risk factors (gender, smoking, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, diabetes mellitus, arterial hypertension, ethnicity, etc.) to develop a new algorithm and further program to be used widely.

Effects of polygenic risk score and sodium and potassium intake on hypertension in Asians: A nationwide prospective cohort study.

Genetic factors, lifestyle, and diet have been shown to play important roles in the development of hypertension. Increased salt intake is an important risk factor for hypertension. However, research on the involvement of genetic factors in the relationship between salt intake and hypertension in Asians is lacking. We aimed to investigate the risk of hypertension in relation to sodium and potassium intake and the effects of genetic factors on their interactions. We used Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study data and calculated the polygenic risk score (PRS) for the effect of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP). We also conducted multivariable logistic modeling to evaluate associations among incident hypertension, PRSSBP, PRSDBP, and sodium and potassium intake. In total, 41,351 subjects were included in the test set. The top 10% PRSSBP group was the youngest of the three groups (bottom 10%, middle, top 10%), had the highest proportion of women, and had the highest body mass index, baseline BP, red meat intake, and alcohol consumption. The multivariable logistic regression model revealed the risk of hypertension was significantly associated with higher PRSSBP, higher sodium intake, and lower potassium intake. There was significant interaction between sodium intake and PRSSBP for incident hypertension especially in sodium intake ≥2.0 g/day and PRSSBP top 10% group (OR 1.27 (1.07-1.51), P = 0.007). Among patients at a high risk of incident hypertension due to sodium intake, lifestyle modifications and sodium restriction were especially important to prevent hypertension.

Predictive risk score for isolated brain metastasis in non-small cell lung cancer.

Background: Brain metastasis is common with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Patients with some early-stage cancers don't benefit from routine brain imaging. Currently clinical stage alone is used to justify additional brain imaging. Other clinical and demographic characteristics may be associated with isolated brain metastasis (IBM). We aimed to define the most salient clinical features associated with synchronous IBM, hypothesizing that clinical and demographic factors could be used to determine the risk of brain metastasis. Methods: The National Cancer Database was used to identify patients with NSCLC from 2016-2020. Primary outcome was the presence of IBM relative to patients without evidence of any metastasis. Cohorts were divided into test and validation. The test cohort was used to identify risk factors for IBM using multivariable logistic regression. Using the regression, a scoring system was created to estimate the rate of synchronous IBM. The accuracy of the scoring system was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis using the validation cohort. Results: Study population consisted of 396,113 patients: 25,907 IBM and 370,206 without metastatic disease. IBM was associated with age, clinical T stage, clinical N stage, Charlson/Deyo comorbidity score, histology, and grade. A scoring system using these factors showed excellent accuracy in the test and validation cohort in ROC analysis (0.806 and 0.805, respectively). Conclusions: Clinical and demographic characteristics can be used to stratify the risk of IBM among patients with NSCLC and provide an evidence-based method to identify patients who require dedicated brain imaging in the absence of other metastatic disease.

Ten-year risk of cardiovascular events among the adult population of West Tripura District of India by the Framingham risk score: A cross-sectional study.

Background: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading causes of mortality worldwide. Predicting the 10-year risk of cardiovascular events (CVEs) may save lives through timely intervention. Framingham risk scoring (FRS) can effectively predict this risk. Objectives: This study aimed to estimate the 10-year risk of CVE using FRS and to estimate the prevalence of CVD risk factors and their associations with FRS among adults in the West Tripura District of India. Methodology: This community-based cross-sectional study was conducted from 1 November 2019 to 30 November 2021 in the West Tripura District of India, using FRS 2008 and a pretested interview schedule among 290 individuals aged ≥ 30 years chosen by multistage sampling. Result: The majority, that is 61.7%, of the study subjects had low risk, 18.6% had intermediate risk and 19.7% had high risk of CVE within 10 years. The prevalence of hypertension was 55.6%; diabetes mellitus, 55.9%; smoking, 96.2%; dyslipidaemia, 34.3%; alcohol consumption, 96.2%; physical inactivity, 54%; and obesity, 64.6%. The bivariate analysis detected a significant association of FRS with age, sex, residence, literacy, marital status, obesity, smoking, alcoholism, blood pressure (BP), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and glycaemic status of the study subjects. The logistic regression analysis has identified age >50 years, male sex, hypertension, smoking and diabetes mellitus as significant determinants of high FRS. Conclusion: Adults living in the West Tripura District of India have a high prevalence of CVD risk factors. About one-fifth of this population has a high risk of CVE in 10 years. Controlling hypertension, smoking and diabetes mellitus may help reduce this risk.

Cardiovascular risk and the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based and case‒control studies.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is associated with increases in morbidity and mortality worldwide. The mechanisms of how SARS-CoV-2 may cause cardiovascular (CV) complications are under investigation. The aim of the study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on CV risk. METHODS: These are single-centre Bialystok PLUS (Poland) population-based and case‒control studies. The survey was conducted between 2018 and 2022 on a sample of residents (n = 1507) of a large city in central Europe and patients 6-9 months post-COVID-19 infection (n = 126). The Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation 2 (SCORE2), the Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation 2-Older Persons (SCORE2-OP), the Cardiovascular Disease Framingham Heart Study and the LIFEtime-perspective model for individualizing CardioVascular Disease prevention strategies in apparently healthy people (LIFE-CVD) were used. Subsequently, the study populations were divided into CV risk classes according to the 2021 ESC Guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in clinical practice. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 4 groups: a general population examined before (I, n = 691) and during the COVID-19 pandemic (II, n = 816); a group of 126 patients post-COVID-19 infection (III); and a control group matched subjects chosen from the pre-COVID-19 pandemic (IV). Group II was characterized by lower blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) values than group I. Group III differed from the control group in terms of lower LDL-c level. There was no effect on CV risk in the general population, but in the population post-COVID-19 infection, CV risk was lower using FS-lipids, FS-BMI and LIFE-CVD 10-year risk scores compared to the prepandemic population. In all subgroups analysed, no statistically significant difference was found in the frequency of CV risk classes. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic did not increase the CV risk calculated for primary prevention. Instead, it prompted people to pay attention to their health status, as evidenced by better control of some CV risk factors. As the COVID-19 pandemic has drawn people's attention to health, it is worth exploiting this opportunity to improve public health knowledge through the design of wide-ranging information campaigns.

Genetic distance and ancestry proportion modify the association between maternal genetic risk score of type 2 diabetes and fetal growth.

BACKGROUND: Maternal genetic risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) has been associated with fetal growth, but the influence of genetic ancestry is not yet fully understood. We aimed to investigate the influence of genetic distance (GD) and genetic ancestry proportion (GAP) on the association of maternal genetic risk score of T2D (GRST2D) with fetal weight and birthweight. METHODS: Multi-ancestral pregnant women (n = 1,837) from the NICHD Fetal Growth Studies - Singletons cohort were included in the current analyses. Fetal weight (in grams, g) was estimated from ultrasound measurements of fetal biometry, and birthweight (g) was measured at delivery. GRST2D was calculated using T2D-associated variants identified in the latest trans-ancestral genome-wide association study and was categorized into quartiles. GD and GAP were estimated using genotype data of four reference populations. GD was categorized into closest, middle, and farthest tertiles, and GAP was categorized as highest, medium, and lowest. Linear regression analyses were performed to test the association of GRST2D with fetal weight and birthweight, adjusted for covariates, in each GD and GAP category. RESULTS: Among women with the closest GD from African and Amerindigenous ancestries, the fourth and third GRST2D quartile was significantly associated with 5.18 to 7.48 g (weeks 17-20) and 6.83 to 25.44 g (weeks 19-27) larger fetal weight compared to the first quartile, respectively. Among women with middle GD from European ancestry, the fourth GRST2D quartile was significantly associated with 5.73 to 21.21 g (weeks 18-26) larger fetal weight. Furthermore, among women with middle GD from European and African ancestries, the fourth and second GRST2D quartiles were significantly associated with 117.04 g (95% CI = 23.88-210.20, p = 0.014) and 95.05 g (95% CI = 4.73-185.36, p = 0.039) larger birthweight compared to the first quartile, respectively. The absence of significant association among women with the closest GD from East Asian ancestry was complemented by a positive significant association among women with the highest East Asian GAP. CONCLUSIONS: The association between maternal GRST2D and fetal growth began in early-second trimester and was influenced by GD and GAP. The results suggest the use of genetic GD and GAP could improve the generalizability of GRS.

A Systematic Review of Family History, Race/Ethnicity, and Genetic Risk on Prostate Cancer Detection and Outcomes: Considerations in PSA-based Screening.

AIM: To investigate the role of family history, race/ethnicity, and genetics in prostate cancer (PCa) screening. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of articles from January 2013 through September 2023 that focused on the association of race/ethnicity and genetic factors on PCa detection. Of 10,815 studies, we identified 43 that fulfilled our pre-determined PICO (Patient, Intervention, Comparison and Outcome) criteria. RESULTS: Men with ≥1 first-degree relative(s) with PCa are at increased risk of PCa, even with negative imaging and/or benign prostate biopsy. Black men have higher PCa risk, while Asian men have lower risk. Most of the differences in risks are attributable to environmental and socioeconomic factors; however, genetic differences may play a role. Among numerous pathogenic variants that increase PCa risk, BRCA2, MSH2, and HOXB13 mutations confer the highest risk of PCa. Polygenic risk score (PRS) models identify men at higher PCa risk for a given age and PSA; these models improve when considering other clinical factors and when the model population matches the study population's ancestry. CONCLUSIONS: Family history of PCa, race/ethnicity, pathogenic variants (particularly BRCA2, MSH2, and HOXB13), and PRS are associated with increased PCa risk and should be considered in shared decision-making to determine PCa screening regimens.