The predictors of lymphopenia and its effects on survival in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

To investigate the impact of the effective radiation dose to immune cells (EDIC) and gross tumor volume (GTV) on lymphopenia and survival in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LAESCC). Between January 2013 and December 2020, 272 LAESCC patients were treated with definitive radiotherapy in two institutions. Based on radiation doses to the lungs, heart, and body region scanned, EDIC was calculated as an equal uniform dose to the total blood considering blood flow and fraction effect. The radiotherapy plan was used to calculate the GTVs. Lymphopenia was graded based on the lowest lymphocyte count during RT. The overall survival (OS), progress-free survival (PFS), and local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) were analyzed statistically. The lowest lymphocyte count was significantly correlated with EDIC (r= -0.389, p < .001) and GTV (r= -0.211, p < .001). Lymphopenia, EDIC, and GTV are risk factors for patients with ESCC. In a Kaplan-Meier analysis with EDIC and GTV as stratification factors, lymphopenia was not associated with OS in the EDIC>12.9 Gy group (p = .294)and EDIC ≤ 12.9 Gy group, and it was also not associated with OS in GTV>68.8 cm3 group (p = .242) and GTV ≤ 68.8 cm3 group(p = .165). GTV and EDIC had an impact on the relationship between lymphopenia and OS in patients with LAESCC undergoing definitive RT. Poorer OS, PFS, and LRFS are correlated with lymphopenia, higher EDIC, and larger GTV.

Progress in second-line antibody therapies for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: The prognosis of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is poor. Although cytotoxic drugs have been widely used in advanced ESCC, several antibody agents have recently been reported to be effective. AREAS COVERED: Nivolumab and pembrolizumab are anti-PD-1 antibodies that improve immunosuppression by binding to programmed death-1 (PD-1), leading to an antitumor effect. Randomized phase III trials have found these immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) to be effective as second-line treatment. ATTRACTION-3, which compared nivolumab monotherapy with taxane monotherapy in patients with previously treated advanced ESCC, reported prolonged overall survival in the nivolumab group. KEYNOTE-181 found that overall survival was longer in patients with PD-L1-positive ESCC who received second-line treatment with pembrolizumab than in those who received chemotherapy. Sym004 and amivantamab are antibodies that target the epidermal growth factor receptor and have demonstrated efficacy in the treatment of other tumors in recent phase I studies. Furthermore, clinical trials on antibody-drug conjugates such as enfortumab vedotin and DS-7300 for solid tumors are currently ongoing. EXPERT OPINION: The standard first-line treatments for patients with advanced ESCC contain ICIs. Therefore, drugs with different mechanisms of action that can overcome resistance to ICIs are needed as second-line or later-line treatments to improve clinical outcomes in these patients.

A phase 2 study of spartalizumab (PDR001) among patients with recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (KCSG HN18-17, K-MASTER project 12).

Spartalizumab (PDR001) is a humanized IgG4 monoclonal antibody targeting programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1). We conducted a single-arm, phase 2 trial to investigate the efficacy and safety of spartalizumab in patients with refractory esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Patients with histologically confirmed ESCC who experienced disease progression after platinum-based chemotherapy received 300 mg of intravenous spartalizumab every three weeks until disease progression or occurrence of unacceptable toxicity. The primary endpoint was centrally assessed objective response according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, version 1.1. Adverse events were closely monitored throughout the study. From March 2020 through April 2021, 44 patients with ESCC were enrolled. Of the 44 patients, the objective response rate was 20.5% (95% confidence interval: 8.5-32.4). With a median follow-up of 10.9 months, median progression-free survival and overall survival were 3.2 months and 11.2 months, respectively. In addition, the median duration of response was 24.7 months. The most common grade 3 or 4 adverse event was grade 3 dysphagia (eight [18%] patients). Biomarker analyses explored programmed cell death ligand 1 and CD20 as potential predictive markers for PD-1 blockade. Spartalizumab showed promising activity with a manageable safety profile, indicating its potential as a new treatment option for patients with refractory ESCC. Trial registration: The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under the identifier NCT03785496.

A novel mitochondrial metabolism-related gene signature for predicting the prognosis of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is one of the most lethal cancers worldwide. Due to the important role of mitochondrial metabolism in cancer progression, a clinical prognostic model based on mitochondrial metabolism and clinical features was constructed in this study to predict the prognosis of ESCC. Firstly, the mitochondrial metabolism scores (MMs) were calculated based on 152 mitochondrial metabolism-related genes (MMRGs) by single sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA). Subsequently, univariate Cox regression and LASSO algorithm were used to identify prognosis-associated MMRG and risk-stratify patients. Functional enrichment, interaction network and immune-related analyses were performed to explore the features differences in patients at different risks. Finally, a prognostic nomogram incorporating clinical factors was constructed to assess the prognosis of ESCC. Our results found there were differences in clinical features between the MMs-high group and the MMs-low group in the TCGA-ESCC dataset (P<0.05). Afterwards, we identified 6 MMRGs (COX10, ACADVL, IDH3B, AKR1A1, LIAS, and NDUFB8) signature that could accurately distinguish high-risk and low-risk ESCC patients. A predictive nomogram that combined the 6 MMRGs with sex and N stage to predict the prognosis of ESCC was constructed, and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve at 1, 2 and 3 years were 0.948, 0.927 and 0.848, respectively. Finally, we found that COX10, one of 6 MMRGs, could inhibit the malignant progression of ESCC in vitro. In summary, we constructed a clinical prognosis model based on 6 MMRGs and clinical features which can accurately predict the prognosis of ESCC patients.

Practice pattern and risk of not receiving planned surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: Unlike the initial plan, some patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma cannot or do not receive surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). This study aimed to report the epidemiology of patients not receiving surgery after nCRT and to evaluate the potential risk of refusing surgery. METHODS: We analysed patients with clinical stage T3-T4aN0M0 or T1-T4aN1-N3M0 oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent nCRT as an initial treatment intent between January 2005 and March 2020. Patients not receiving surgery were categorized using predefined criteria. To evaluate the risk of refusing surgery, a propensity-matched comparison with those who received surgery was performed. Recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was compared between groups, according to clinical response to nCRT. RESULTS: Among the study population (n = 715), 105 patients (14.7%) eventually failed to reach surgery. There were three major patterns of not receiving surgery: disease progression before surgery (n = 25), functional deterioration at reassessment (n = 47), and patient's refusal without contraindications (n = 33). After propensity-score matching, the RFS curves of the surgery group and the refusal group were significantly different (P < 0.001), while OS curves were not significantly different (P = 0.069). In patients who achieved clinical complete response on re-evaluation, no significant difference in the RFS curves (P = 0.382) and in the OS curves (P = 0.290) was observed between the surgery group and the refusal group. However, among patients who showed partial response or stable disease on re-evaluation, the RFS and OS curves of the refusal group were overall significantly inferior compared to those of the surgery group (both P < 0.001). The 5-year RFS rates were 10.3% for the refusal group and 48.2% for the surgery group, and the 5-year OS rates were 8.2% for the refusal group and 46.1% for the surgery group. CONCLUSIONS: Patient's refusal remains one of the major obstacles in completing the trimodality therapy for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Refusing surgery when offered may jeopardize oncological outcome, particularly in those with residual disease on re-evaluation after nCRT. These results provide significant implications for consulting patients who are reluctant to oesophagectomy after nCRT.

Doublet chemotherapy, triplet chemotherapy, or doublet chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy as neoadjuvant treatment for locally advanced oesophageal cancer (JCOG1109 NExT): a randomised, controlled, open-label, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant therapy is the standard treatment for patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). However, the prognosis remains poor and more intensive neoadjuvant treatment might be needed to improve patient outcomes. We therefore aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant doublet chemotherapy, triplet chemotherapy, and doublet chemotherapy plus radiotherapy in patients with previously untreated locally advanced OSCC. METHODS: In this randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial, patients aged 20-75 years with previously untreated locally advanced OSCC and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1 were recruited from 44 centres across Japan. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1:1) centrally via a web-based system to receive neoadjuvant doublet chemotherapy (two courses of fluorouracil [800 mg/m2 per day intravenously on days 1-5] and cisplatin [80 mg/m2 per day on day 1] separated by an interval of 3 weeks [NeoCF]), triplet chemotherapy (three courses of fluorouracil [750 mg/m2 per day on days 1-5], cisplatin [70 mg/m2 per day on day 1], and docetaxel [70 mg/m2 per day on day 1] repeated every 3 weeks [NeoCF+D]), or doublet chemotherapy (two courses of fluorouracil [1000 mg/m2 per day on days 1-4] and cisplatin [75 mg/m2 per day on day 1] separated by an interval of 4 weeks) plus 41·4 Gy radiotherapy [NeoCF+RT]) followed by oesophagectomy with regional lymph node dissection. Randomisation was stratified by T stage and institution. Participants, investigators, and those assessing outcomes were not masked to group assignment. The primary endpoint was overall survival, analysed by intention to treat. Analysis of safety included all patients who received at least one course of chemotherapy, and analysis of surgical complications included those who also underwent surgery. This study is registered with the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials, jRCTs031180202, and the trial is complete. FINDINGS: A total of 601 patients (529 male individuals and 72 female individuals) were randomly assigned between Dec 5, 2012, and July 20, 2018, with 199 patients in the NeoCF group, 202 patients in the NeoCF+D group, and 200 patients in the NeoCF+RT group. Compared with the NeoCF group, during a median follow-up period of 50·7 months (IQR 23·8-70·7), the 3-year overall survival rate was significantly higher in the NeoCF+D group (72·1% [95% CI 65·4-77·8] vs 62·6% [55·5-68·9]; hazard ratio [HR] 0·68, 95% CI 0·50-0·92; p=0·006) but not in the NeoCF+RT group (68·3% [61·3-74·3]; HR 0·84, 0·63-1·12; p=0·12). Grade 3 or higher febrile neutropenia occurred in two (1%) of 193 patients in the NeoCF group, 32 (16%) of 196 patients in the NeoCF+D group, and nine (5%) of 191 patients in the NeoCF+RT group. Treatment-related adverse events leading to termination of neoadjuvant therapy were more common in the NeoCF+D group (18 [9%] of 202 participants) than in the NeoCF+RT group (12 [6%] of 200) and NeoCF group (eight [4%] of 199). There were three (2%) treatment-related deaths during neoadjuvant therapy in the NeoCF group, four (2%) deaths in the NeoCF+D group, and two (1%) deaths in the NeoCF+RT group. Grade 2 or higher postoperative pneumonia, anastomotic leak, and recurrent laryngeal nerve paralysis were reported in 19 (10%), 19 (10%), and 28 (15%) of 185 patients, respectively, in the NeoCF group; 18 (10%), 16 (9%), and 19 (10%) of 183 patients, respectively, in the NeoCF+D group; and 23 (13%), 23 (13%), and 17 (10%) of 178 patients, respectively, in the NeoCF+RT group. The in-hospital deaths following surgery included three deaths in the NeoCF group, two deaths in the NeoCF+D group, and one in the NeoCF+RT group. INTERPRETATION: Neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy followed by oesophagectomy resulted in a statistically significant overall survival benefit compared with doublet chemotherapy and might be the new standard of care for locally advanced OSCC who are in good condition in Japan. Neoadjuvant doublet chemotherapy plus radiotherapy did not show significant improvement of survival compared with doublet chemotherapy. FUNDING: Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development and National Cancer Center Research and Development Fund.

Latest insights into the global epidemiological features, screening, early diagnosis and prognosis prediction of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

As a highly invasive carcinoma, esophageal cancer (EC) was the eighth most prevalent malignancy and the sixth leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide in 2020. Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the major histological subtype of EC, and its incidence and mortality rates are decreasing globally. Due to the lack of specific early symptoms, ESCC patients are usually diagnosed with advanced-stage disease with a poor prognosis, and the incidence and mortality rates are still high in many countries, especially in China. Therefore, enormous challenges still exist in the management of ESCC, and novel strategies are urgently needed to further decrease the incidence and mortality rates of ESCC. Although the key molecular mechanisms underlying ESCC pathogenesis have not been fully elucidated, certain promising biomarkers are being investigated to facilitate clinical decision-making. With the advent and advancement of high-throughput technologies, such as genomics, proteomics and metabolomics, valuable biomarkers with high sensitivity, specificity and stability could be identified for ESCC. Herein, we aimed to determine the epidemiological features of ESCC in different regions of the world, especially in China, and focused on novel molecular biomarkers associated with ESCC screening, early diagnosis and prognosis prediction.

Simultaneous integrated boost intensity-modulated radiotherapy (SIB-IMRT) combined with nimotuzumab for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC): A phase II clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the feasibility, safety and efficacy of concurrent simultaneous integrated boost intensity-modulated radiotherapy (SIB-IMRT) combined with nimotuzumab in the treatment of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC). METHODS: Eligible patients were histologically proven to have locally advanced ESCC, and were unable to tolerate or refuse concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). Enrolled patients underwent concurrent SIB-IMRT in combination with nimotuzumab. SIB-IMRT: For the planning target volume of clinical target volume (PTV-C), the prescription dose was 50.4 Gy/28fractions, 1.8 Gy/fraction, 5fractions/week, concurrently, the planning target volume of gross tumor (PTV-G) undergone an integrated boost therapy, with a prescription dose of 63 Gy/28fractions, 2.25 Gy/fraction, 5 fractions/week. Nimotuzumab was administered concurrently with radiotherapy, 200 mg/time, on D1, 8, 15, 22, 29, and 36, with a total accumulation of 1200 mg through intravenous infusion. The primary endpoint of the study was the safety and efficacy of the combined treatment regimen, and the secondary endpoints were 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year local control and survival outcomes. RESULTS: (1) From December 2018 to August 2021, 35 patients with stage II-IVA ESCC were enrolled and 34 patients completed the full course of radiotherapy and the intravenous infusion of full-dose nimotuzumab. The overall completion rate of the protocol was 97.1%. (2) No grade 4-5 adverse events occurred in the entire group. The most common treatment-related toxicity was acute radiation esophagitis, with a total incidence of 68.6% (24/35). The incidence of grade 2 and 3 acute esophagitis was 25.7% (9/35) and 17.1% (6/35), respectively. The incidence of acute radiation pneumonitis was 8.6% (3/35), including one case each of Grades 1, 2, and 3 pneumonitis. Adverse events in other systems included decreased blood cells, hypoalbuminemia, electrolyte disturbances, and skin rash. Among these patients, five experienced grade 3 electrolyte disturbances during the treatment period (three with grade 3 hyponatremia and two with grade 3 hypokalemia). (3) Efficacy: The overall CR rate was 22.8%, PR rate was 71.4%, ORR rate was 94.2%, and DCR rate was 97.1%.(4) Local control and survival: The 1-, 2-, and 3-year local control (LC) rate, progression-free survival(PFS) rate, and overall survival(OS) rate for the entire group were 85.5%, 75.4%, and 64.9%; 65.7%, 54.1%, and 49.6%; and 77.1%, 62.9%, and 54.5%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of SIB-IMRT and nimotuzumab for locally advanced esophageal cancer demonstrated good feasibility, safety and efficacy. It offered potential benefits in local control and survival. Acute radiation esophagitis was the primary treatment-related toxicity, which is clinically manageable. This comprehensive treatment approach is worthy of further clinical exploration (ChiCTR1900027936).

Prognostic value of genomic mutation signature associated with immune microenvironment in southern Chinese patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

The genomic landscape of esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC), as well as its impact on the regulation of immune microenvironment, is not well understood. Thus, tumor samples from 92 patients were collected from two centers and subjected to targeted-gene sequencing. We identified frequently mutated genes, including TP53, KMT2C, KMT2D, LRP1B, and FAT1. The most frequent mutation sites were ALOX12B (c.1565C > T), SLX4 (c.2786C > T), LRIG1 (c.746A > G), and SPEN (c.6915_6917del) (6.5%). Pathway analysis revealed dysregulation of cell cycle regulation, epigenetic regulation, PI3K/AKT signaling, and NOTCH signaling. A 17-mutated gene-related risk model was constructed using random survival forest analysis and showed significant prognostic value in both our cohort and the validation cohort. Based on the Estimation of Stromal and Immune cells in Malignant Tumor tissues using Expression (ESTIMATE) algorithm, the Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE) algorithm, and the MCPcounter algorithm, we found that the risk score calculated by the risk model was significantly correlated with stimulatory immune checkpoints (TNFSF4, ITGB2, CXCL10, CXCL9, and BTN3A1; p < 0.05). Additionally, it was significantly associated with markers that are important in predicting response to immunotherapy (CD274, IFNG, and TAMM2; p < 0.05). Furthermore, the results of immunofluorescence double staining showed that patients with high risk scores had a significantly higher level of M2 macrophage than those with low risk scores (p < 0.05). In conclusion, our study provides insights into the genomic landscape of ESCC and highlights the prognostic value of a genomic mutation signature associated with the immune microenvironment in southern Chinese patients with ESCC.

Prognostic and clinicopathological value of Ki-67 in patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The relationship between Ki-67 expression and the prognosis of patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) has been extensively studied. However, their findings were inconsistent. Consequently, the present meta-analysis was performed to identify the precise value of Ki-67 in predicting the prognosis of ESCC. DESIGN: The current meta-analysis was carried out in accordance with the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses. DATA SOURCES: Electronic databases of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library were systematically searched until 26 September 2023. STATISTICAL METHODS: Pooled HRs and corresponding 95% CIs were calculated to estimate the role of Ki-67 in predicting overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in ESCC. Between-study heterogeneity was evaluated using Cochrane's Q test and I2 statistics. Specifically, significant heterogeneities were identified based on p<0.10 on the Q statistic test or I2>50% so the random-effects model should be used; otherwise, the fixed-effects model should be used. The relationship between Ki-67 and clinicopathological characteristics of ESCC was evaluated by combining ORs with their corresponding 95% CIs. RESULTS: 11 articles with 1124 patients were included in the present meta-analysis. Based on our analysis, increased Ki-67 expression was markedly associated with poor OS (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.15 to 2.28, p=0.006) and DFS (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.22 to 2.43, p=0.002) in ESCC. Moreover, subgroup analysis revealed that Ki-67 upregulation significantly predicted OS and DFS when a Ki-67 threshold of >30% was used. Nonetheless, Ki-67 was not significantly associated with sex, T stage, N stage, TNM stage, tumour differentiation or tumour location. CONCLUSIONS: In the present meta-analysis, high Ki-67 expression significantly predicted OS and DFS in patients with ESCC, especially when Ki-67>30% was used as the threshold. These results suggest that Ki-67 could serve as an effective and reliable prognostic indicator for ESCC.

A nomogram based on pretreatment radiomics and dosiomics features for predicting overall survival associated with esophageal squamous cell cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To propose a nomogram-based survival prediction model for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy using pretreatment computed tomography (CT), positron emission tomography (PET) radiomics and dosiomics features, and common clinical factors. METHODS: Radiomics and dosiomics features were extracted from CT and PET images and dose distribution from 2 institutions. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with logistic regression was used to select radiomics and dosiomics features by calculating the radiomics and dosiomics scores (Rad-score and Dos-score), respectively, in the training model. The model was trained in 81 patients and validated in 35 patients at Center 1 using 10-fold cross validation. The model was externally tested in 26 patients at Center 2. The predictive clinical factors, Rad-score, and Dos-score were identified to develop a nomogram model. RESULTS: Using LASSO Cox regression, 13, 11, and 19 CT, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features, respectively, were selected. The clinical factors T-stage, N-stage, and clinical stage were selected as significant prognostic factors by univariate Cox regression. In the external validation cohort, the C-index of the combined model of CT-based radiomics, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features with clinical factors were 0.74, 0.82, and 0.92, respectively. Significant differences in overall survival (OS) in the combined model of CT-based radiomics, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features with clinical factors were observed between the high- and low-risk groups (P = 0.019, 0.038, and 0.014, respectively). CONCLUSION: The dosiomics features have a better predicter for OS than CT- and PET-based radiomics features in ESCC treated with radiotherapy. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The current study predicted the overall survival for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. The dosiomics features have a better predicter for overall survival than CT- and PET-based radiomics features.

The patterns and risk factors for relapse in oesophageal squamous cell cancers that achieve pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to investigate the patterns and risk factors for recurrence in patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma with a pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). METHODS: Between January 2008 and December 2018, a total of 96 patients with pCR were enrolled in this study. Lymph nodes with a pCR [LN-ypCR response (+)] were defined as those lymph nodes without residual tumour but with the presence of treatment response to nCRT. Prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analysed with Cox proportional hazards models and Fine-Gray competing risk models. Lymph node (LN) stations were counted according to the Japan Esophageal Society classification. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 51.5 months. Recurrence occurred in 15 cases (15.6%) with a 9.9-month median time to recurrence and a 15.6-month median survival after recurrence. The majority of recurrent diseases developed within the first 2 years postoperatively. Distant recurrences were detected in 14 cases (14.6%), in which the most common recurrence sites were no.104 LN and the lung, followed by no.16 LN. The mean RFS in the whole cohort was 116.6 months. The LN-ypCR response (+) was identified as the independent prognostic factor for worse RFS in both the multivariate Cox model and the Fine-Gray competing risk model (P = 0.001 and P = 0.002, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Relapse is not rare in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma cases with pCR after nCRT. Distant recurrences, the predominant pattern of relapse, occur primarily within the first 2 years after oesophagectomy. Patients with pCR with an LN-ypCR response (+) have a higher risk for postoperative recurrence.

Efficacy and survival of nivolumab treatment for recurrent/unresectable esophageal squamous-cell carcinoma: real-world clinical data from a large multi-institutional cohort.

BACKGROUND: Real-world clinical outcomes of and prognostic factors for nivolumab treatment for esophageal squamous-cell carcinoma (ESCC) remain unclear. This study aimed to evaluate real-world outcomes of nivolumab monotherapy in association with relevant clinical parameters in recurrent/unresectable advanced ESCC patients. METHODS: This population-based multicenter cohort study included a total of 282 patients from 15 institutions with recurrent/unresectable advanced ESCC who received nivolumab as a second-line or later therapy between 2014 and 2022. Data, including the best overall response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS), were retrospectively collected from these patients. RESULTS: Objective response and disease control rates were 17.0% and 47.9%, respectively. The clinical response to nivolumab treatment significantly correlated with development of overall immune-related adverse events (P < .0001), including rash (P < .0001), hypothyroidism (P = .03), and interstitial pneumonia (P = .004). Organ-specific best response rates were 20.6% in lymph nodes, 17.4% in lungs, 15.4% in pleural dissemination, and 13.6% in primary lesions. In terms of patient survival, the median OS and PFS was 10.9 and 2.4 months, respectively. Univariate analysis of OS revealed that performance status (PS; P < .0001), number of metastatic organs (P = .019), C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR; P < .0001), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (P = .001), and PMI (P = .024) were significant. Multivariate analysis further identified CAR [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-2.25, P = .0053)] in addition to PS (HR = 1.65, 95% CI 1.23-2.22, P = .0008) as independent prognostic parameters. CONCLUSIONS: CAR and PS before nivolumab treatment are useful in predicting long-term survival in recurrent/unresectable advanced ESCC patients with second-line or later nivolumab treatment. TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN000040462.

Risk factors for recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after pathological complete response to neoadjuvant therapy followed by esophagectomy.

BACKGROUND: Prognosis of patients who achieve pathological complete response (pCR) with neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is better than that of non-pCR patients. Currently, there is no indication for adjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy after achieving pCR. However, recurrence risk after pCR is reportedly 10%-20% with a poor prognosis. Therefore, we investigated the preoperative risk factors for recurrence in patients with pCR. METHODS: We analyzed 56 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent esophagectomy after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) or neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and were histologically diagnosed with pCR. Preoperative factors were compared between patients with and without recurrence to identify the risk factors. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients who achieved pCR received NACRT and 8 received NAC. Ten patients who experienced recurrence (17.9%) had undergone NACRT. The cN2 lesions were more frequent, and pre-NAT blood hemoglobin (Hb) was lower in the recurrence group. In addition, the pre-NAT cross-sectional area (CSA) product of the major and minor diameters of the primary tumor before NAT was significantly higher in recurrent cases (p = 0.041). Multivariate analysis, including the cTNM stage, pre-NAT Hb, and pre-NAT CSA, identified high pre-NAT CSA as the only risk factor for recurrence (odds ratio 11.6, 95% confidence interval 1.3-104.1, and p = 0.028). Cox regression analysis of recurrence-free and overall survival identified only high pre-NAT CSA as a prognostic factor. CONCLUSIONS: The recurrence risk is relatively high even in patients who achieve pCR after NAT. High pre-NAT CSA of the primary tumor is a risk factor for recurrence necessitating close surveillance.

Capecitabine or Capecitabine Plus Oxaliplatin Versus Fluorouracil Plus Cisplatin in Definitive Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy for Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (CRTCOESC): A Multicenter, Randomized, Open-Label, Phase 3 Trial.

PURPOSE: This phase 3 trial aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of capecitabine or capecitabine plus oxaliplatin (XELOX) with those of fluorouracil plus cisplatin (PF) in definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (DCRT) for inoperable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: Patients were randomly assigned to receive two cycles of capecitabine, XELOX, or PF along with concurrent intensity-modulated radiation therapy. Patients in each arm were again randomly assigned to receive two cycles of consolidation chemotherapy or not. The primary end points were 2-year overall survival (OS) rate and incidence of grade ≥3 adverse events (AEs). RESULTS: A total of 246 patients were randomly assigned into the capecitabine (n = 80), XELOX (n = 85), and PF (n = 81) arms. In capecitabine, XELOX, and PF arms, the 2-year OS rate was 75%, 66.7%, and 70.9% (capecitabine v PF: hazard ratio [HR], 0.91 [95% CI, 0.61 to 1.35]; nominal P = .637; XELOX v PF: 0.86 [95% CI, 0.58 to 1.27]; P = .444); the median OS was 40.9 (95% CI, 34.4 to 49.9), 41.9 (95% CI, 28.6 to 52.1), and 35.4 (95% CI, 30.4 to 45.4) months. The incidence of grade ≥3 AEs during the entire treatment was 28.8%, 36.5%, and 45.7%, respectively. Comparing the consolidation chemotherapy with the nonconsolidation chemotherapy groups, the median OS was 41.9 (95% CI, 34.6 to 52.8) versus 36.9 (95% CI, 28.5 to 44) months (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.52 to 0.99]; nominal P = .0403). CONCLUSION: Capecitabine or XELOX did not significantly improve the 2-year OS rate over PF in DCRT for inoperable locally advanced ESCC. Capecitabine showed a lower incidence of grade ≥3 AEs than PF did.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors as the second-line treatment for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a cost-effectiveness analysis based on network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have demonstrated superior clinical efficacy in prolonging overall survival (OS) as the second-line treatment for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and were recommended by the guidelines. However, it remains uncertain which ICI is the most cost-effective. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of ICIs as the second-line treatment for ESCC based on the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS: A network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to obtain the Hazard ratios (HRs) for indirect comparisons. A three-state Markov model with a 10-year time horizon was conducted to assess the cost-effectiveness. The state transition probabilities were calculated with Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves data from clinical trial and HRs from the NMA. Utilities and costs were derived from local charges or previously published studies. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were performed to examine model robustness. The results were assessed based on the total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: Five clinical trials (ATTRACTION-3, ESCORT, KEYNOTE-181, ORIENT-2, RATIONALE-302) with a total of 1797 patients were included in the NMA. The NMA showed that both camrelizumab and tislelizumab received relatively high rankings for progression-free survival (PFS) and OS. Compared with sintilimab, treatment with tislelizumab and camrelizumab gained 0.018 and 0.034 additional QALYs, resulting in incremental ICERs of $75,472.65/QALY and $175,681.9/QALY, respectively. Nivolumab and pembrolizumab produced lower QALYs and greater costs, suggesting that both were dominated in comparison to sintilimab. HRs and health state utilities were the most influential parameters in most univariate sensitivity analyses of paired comparisons. PSA results suggested that sintilimab had an 84.4% chance of being the most cost-effective treatment regimen at the WTP threshold of $38,223.34/QALY. In the scenario analysis, sintilimab would no longer be cost-effective, if the price of camrelizumab was assumed to decrease by 64.6% or the price of tislelizumab was assumed to decrease by 16.9%. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among the five potential competing ICIs, sintilimab was likely to be the most cost-effective regimen as the second-line treatment for locally advanced or metastatic ESCC in China.

High incidence of lung cancer death after curative endoscopic submucosal dissection for superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Following treatment of superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), surveillance for a second primary malignancy (SPM) is necessary. However, detailed evidence regarding the timing and prognosis of SPMs is insufficient. We aimed to clarify the details of SPMs and their effects on patient outcomes. METHODS: This retrospective, multicenter study involved 11 hospitals. Patients with superficial ESCC curatively resected using endoscopic submucosal dissection between May 2005 and December 2012, were included in this study. RESULTS: The 5-year survival rate of 187 patients was 92.6% during a median follow-up duration of 96.8 months. Thirty-one patients died, 14 of whom died of SPMs. Compared to patients with SPMs detectable by esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD), patients with SPMs detectable only by modalities other than EGD had a significantly higher mortality rate (p < 0.001). Patients with second primary lung cancer (LC) had a high mortality rate (56.3%). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that multiple Lugol-voiding lesions (LVLs) tended to be associated with SPMs (p = 0.077, hazard ratio [HR] 4.43, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.91-6.50), and metachronous ESCC was an independent risk factor for the incidence of second primary LC (p = 0.037, HR 3.51, 95% CI: 1.08-11.41). CONCLUSIONS: SPMs that cannot be detected by EGD, such as LC, must be considered after the curative resection of ESCC. We suggest strict screening by both EGD and computed tomography for patients with multiple LVLs or metachronous ESCC to detect SPMs in their early stages.

Survival outcomes of neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy versus chemotherapy for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) is the standard preoperative treatment for resectable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Some studies reported neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) could improve pathological response with manageable safety. However, few studies have compared the efficacy and safety of NICT and NCT, especially survival outcomes. In this study, we compared the efficacy and safety of NICT and NCT after a median follow-up of 36.0 months. METHODS: This was a retrospective study with a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM). Locally advanced ESCC patients treated with neoadjuvant sintilimab plus chemotherapy or chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy were reviewed. The primary outcome was recurrence-free survival (RFS). RESULTS: Forty-five patients were identified in each group by PSM. The pathological complete response (pCR) rate in NICT and NCT group were 28.9% and 8.9% (P = 0.02). The hazard ratio (HR) was 0.396 (95% CI 0.171-0.919, p = 0.025) for RFS and 0.377 (95% CI 0.145-0.981, p = 0.038) for overall survival (OS), 3-year RFS was 80.6% and 62.1%, 3-year OS was 86.2% and 68.1%. Patients with pCR, MPR or downstaging had better 3-year RFS and 3-year OS. The incidences of postoperative complications and treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) were similar. CONCLUSION: This trial preliminarily shows that NICT improves pathological and survival outcomes over NCT for resectable locally advanced ESCC, with acceptable and manageable safety.

Endoscopic submucosal dissection versus surgery for T1b esophageal carcinoma: a single-center retrospective study.

INTRODUCTION: Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is a preferred treatment option for superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SESCC). However, only few studies compared long-term survival outcomes of ESD with surgery, especially for T1b SESCC. This study compared the overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DSS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and complication rates of both, to evaluate the value of ESD in patients with T1b SESCC. METHODS: We reviewed patients who underwent ESD (n = 47) or surgery (n = 73) for T1b SESCC at Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine from 2009 to 2021. To increase the precision of our results interpretation, subgroups were analyzed according to the depth of tumor invasion and elderly people. RESULTS: In the ESD and surgery groups, the overall mortality rates were 0/100 and 12.3/100 person years, incidence rates of recurrence were 2.13/100 and 11/100 person years, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed no significant different in OS, DSS and RFS. Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and depth of submucosal invasion were identified as risk factors for cancer recurrence in multivariate analysis. For elderly people, no significant differences were found in OS, DSS and RFS between different treatments. CONCLUSION: ESD are related to lower complication rates and shorter hospital stay than surgery in long-term outcomes for patients with pT1b SESCC. But in pT1b-SM2 patients, we still need long-term follow-up.

Nivolumab plus chemotherapy or ipilimumab versus chemotherapy in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (CheckMate 648): 29-month follow-up from a randomized, open-label, phase III trial.

BACKGROUND: First-line nivolumab plus chemotherapy and nivolumab plus ipilimumab both demonstrated significant overall survival (OS) benefit versus chemotherapy in previously untreated patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in the CheckMate 648 trial, leading to approvals of both nivolumab-containing regimens in many countries. We report longer-term follow-up data. METHODS: This open-label, phase III trial (NCT03143153) enrolled adults with previously untreated, unresectable, advanced, recurrent, or metastatic ESCC. Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to nivolumab plus chemotherapy, nivolumab plus ipilimumab, or chemotherapy. Primary endpoints were OS and progression-free survival (PFS) by blinded independent central review. Hierarchical testing was performed first in patients with tumor cell programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression of ≥1% and then in the overall population. RESULTS: A total of 970 patients were randomly assigned. After 29 months of minimum follow-up, nivolumab plus chemotherapy continued to demonstrate improvement in OS versus chemotherapy (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.59 [95% CI: 0.46-0.76]) in patients with tumor cell PD-L1 expression of ≥1% and in the overall population (HR = 0.78 [95% CI: 0.65-0.93]) and with nivolumab plus ipilimumab versus chemotherapy (HR = 0.62 [95% CI: 0.48-0.80]) in patients with tumor cell PD-L1 expression of ≥1% and in the overall population (HR = 0.77 [95% CI: 0.65-0.92]). In patients with tumor cell PD-L1 expression of ≥1%, nivolumab plus chemotherapy demonstrated PFS benefit versus chemotherapy (HR = 0.67 [95% CI: 0.51-0.89]); PFS benefit was not observed with nivolumab plus ipilimumab versus chemotherapy (HR = 1.04 [95% CI: 0.79-1.36]). Among all treated patients (n = 936), Grade 3-4 treatment-related adverse events were reported in 151 (49%, nivolumab plus chemotherapy), 105 (32%, nivolumab plus ipilimumab), and 110 (36%, chemotherapy) patients. CONCLUSIONS: Nivolumab plus chemotherapy and nivolumab plus ipilimumab continued to demonstrate clinically meaningful OS benefit versus chemotherapy with no new safety signals identified with longer follow-up, further supporting use as first-line standard treatment options for patients with advanced ESCC.