Effect of stress-induced hyperglycemia on long-term mortality in non-diabetic patients with acute type A aortic dissection: a retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Acute Type A Aortic Dissection (AAAD) is one of the most life-threatening diseases, often associated with transient hyperglycemia induced by acute physiological stress. The impact of stress-induced hyperglycemia on the prognosis of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction has been reported. However, the relationship between stress-induced hyperglycemia and the prognosis of AAAD patients remains uncertain. METHODS: The clinical data of 456 patients with acute type A aortic dissection were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were divided into two groups based on their admission blood glucose. Cox model regression analysis was performed to assess the relationship between stress-induced hyperglycemia and the 30-day and 1-year mortality rates of these patients. RESULTS: Among the 456 patients, 149 cases (32.7%) had AAAD combined with stress-induced hyperglycemia (SIH). The results of the multifactor regression analysis of the Cox model indicated that hyperglycemia (RR = 1.505, 95% CI: 1.046-2.165, p = 0.028), aortic coarctation involving renal arteries (RR = 3.330, 95% CI: 2.237-4.957, p < 0.001), aortic coarctation involving superior mesenteric arteries (RR = 1.611, 95% CI: 1.056-2.455, p = 0.027), and aortic coarctation involving iliac arteries (RR = 2.034, 95% CI: 1.364-3.035, p = 0.001) were independent influences on 1-year postoperative mortality in AAAD patients. CONCLUSION: The current findings indicate that stress-induced hyperglycemia measured on admission is strongly associated with 1-year mortality in patients with AAAD. Furthermore, stress-induced hyperglycemia may be related to the severity of the condition in patients with AAAD.

Development and validation of a machine learning-based model to predict isolated post-challenge hyperglycemia in middle-aged and elder adults: Analysis from a multicentric study.

INTRODUCTION: Due to the high cost and complexity, the oral glucose tolerance test is not adopted as the screening method for identifying diabetes patients, which leads to the misdiagnosis of patients with isolated post-challenge hyperglycemia (IPH), that is., patients with normal fasting plasma glucose (<7.0 mmoL/L) and abnormal 2-h postprandial blood glucose (≥11.1 mmoL/L). We aimed to develop a model to differentiate individuals with IPH from the normal population. METHODS: Data from 54301 eligible participants were obtained from the Risk Evaluation of Cancers in Chinese Diabetic Individuals: a longitudinal (REACTION) study in China. Data from 37740 participants were used to develop the diagnostic system. External validation was performed among 16561 participants. Three machine learning algorithms were used to create the predictive models, which were further evaluated by various classification algorithms to establish the best predictive model. RESULTS: Ten features were selected to develop an IPH diagnosis system (IPHDS) based on an artificial neural network. In external validation, the AUC of the IPHDS was 0.823 (95% CI 0.811-0.836), which was significantly higher than the AUC of the Taiwan model [0.799 (0.786-0.813)] and that of the Chinese Diabetes Risk Score model [0.648 (0.635-0.662)]. The IPHDS model had a sensitivity of 75.6% and a specificity of 74.6%. This model outperformed the Taiwan and CDRS models in subgroup analyses. An online site with instant predictions was deployed at https://app-iphds-e1fc405c8a69.herokuapp.com/. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed IPHDS could be a convenient and user-friendly screening tool for diabetes during health examinations in a large general population.

Anthropometry for predicting cardiometabolic disease risk factors in adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: Early screening prevents chronic diseases by identifying at-risk adolescents through anthropometric measurements, but predictive value in diverse groups is uncertain. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of 12- to 19-year-old individuals from the 2017-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) assessed the predictive ability of BMI percentile, total body fat percentage, waist circumference (WC), and waist-hip ratio (WHR) for four cardiometabolic risk factors across race and ethnicity groups using receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: The unweighted sample (N = 1194; 51.2% male individuals; 23.7% Hispanic, 13.2% non-Hispanic Black [NHB], 51.1% non-Hispanic White [NHW], 12.0% other/multirace) had a weighted prevalence of elevated blood pressure of 2.7%, hyperglycemia of 36.8%, hypertriglyceridemia of 4.8%, and low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol of 15%. WHR (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.77), WC (AUC = 0.77), and BMI percentile (AUC = 0.73) outperformed total body fat percentage (AUC = 0.56) in predicting elevated blood pressure (p < 0.001 for all). BMI percentile was more accurate than total body fat percentage in predicting hypertriglyceridemia (AUC = 0.70 vs. 0.59; p = 0.02) and low HDL cholesterol (AUC = 0.69 vs. 0.59; p < 0.001). Race and ethnicity-based predictions varied: NHW adolescents had the highest AUC (0.89; p < 0.01) for elevated blood pressure prediction compared with Hispanic and NHB adolescents (AUC = 0.77 for both). Total body fat percentage was more accurate in predicting low HDL cholesterol among Hispanic versus NHW adolescents (AUC = 0.73 vs. 0.58; p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: WHR, WC, and BMI percentile are better predictors of cardiometabolic risk factors in adolescents than total body fat percentage. Predictive abilities differed by race and ethnicity, highlighting the importance of tailored risk assessment strategies.

Additive effect of admission hyperglycemia on left ventricular stiffness in patients following acute myocardial infarction verified by CMR tissue tracking.

BACKGROUND: Stress hyperglycemia occurs frequently in patients following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and may aggravate myocardial stiffness, but relevant evidence is still lacking. Accordingly, this study aimed to examine the impact of admission stress hyperglycemia on left ventricular (LV) myocardial deformation in patients following AMI. METHODS: A total of 171 patients with first AMI (96 with normoglycemia and 75 with hyperglycemia) underwent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) examination were included. AMI patients were classified according to admission blood glucose level (aBGL): < 7.8 mmol/L (n = 96), 7.8-11.1 mmol/L (n = 41) and ≥ 11.1 mmol/L (n = 34). LV strains, including global radial/circumferential/longitudinal peak strain (PS)/peak systolic strain rate (PSSR)/peak diastolic strain rate (PDSR), were measured and compared between groups. Further, subgroup analyses were separately conducted for AMI patients with and without diabetes. Multivariate analysis was employed to assess the independent association between aBGL and LV global PS in AMI patients. RESULTS: LV global PS, PSSR and PDSR were decreased in radial, circumferential and longitudinal directions in hyperglycemic AMI patients compared with normoglycemic AMI patients (all P < 0.05). These differences were more obvious in patients with diabetes than those without diabetes. AMI patients with aBGL between 7.8 and 11.1 mmol/L demonstrated significant decreased radial and longitudinal PS, radial PSSR, and radial and longitudinal PDSR than those with aBGL < 7.8 mmol/L (all P < 0.05). AMI patients with aBGL ≥ 11.1 mmol/L showed significantly decreased PS, PSSR and PDSR in all three directions than those with aBGL < 7.8 mmol/L, and decreased longitudinal PSSR than those with aBGL between 7.8 and 11.1 (all P < 0.05). Further, aBGL was significantly and independently associated with radial (ß = - 0.166, P = 0.003) and longitudinal (ß = 0.143, P = 0.008) PS. CONCLUSIONS: Hyperglycemia may exacerbate LV myocardial stiffness in patients experienced first AMI, leading to reduction in LV strains. aBGL was an independent indicator of impaired LV global PS in AMI patients. Blood glucose monitoring is more valuable for AMI patients with diabetes.

A Rare Case of Hyperglycemia, Ketoacidosis, and Central Facial Paralysis in a Newly-Diagnosed Diabetic Woman.

BACKGROUND Diabetes mellitus is a chronic disease that occurs when the pancreas does not produce enough insulin or when the body is unable to effectively use the insulin it produces. Uncontrolled diabetes mellitus is usually associated with neurological manifestations, such as hemichorea, focal epileptic seizures, peripheral neuropathy, and peripheral facial paralysis. This report describes a 59-year-old woman presenting with hyperglycemia and ketoacidosis due to newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus, as well as a temporary episode of central facial paralysis, which regressed within a few days after medical treatment and metabolic correction. CASE REPORT A 59-year-old patient with hypertension and a family history of diabetes mellitus presented with polyuro-polydipsic syndrome and signs of metabolic ketoacidosis, with an elevated anion gap, compatible with newly discovered type 1 diabetes mellitus. Six hours after admission, we noted the abrupt onset of left central facial paralysis, with no brain damage shown on magnetic resonance imaging. Initially, the diagnosis was transient ischemic attack. After a second, normal cerebral magnetic resonance image on the fourth day, and clinical improvement on the fifth day after metabolic correction by insulin therapy and rehydration, the diagnosis of a regressive central facial paralysis was retained. CONCLUSIONS Central facial paralysis in diabetic ketoacidosis is a rare neuroendocrine entity. The pathophysiological mechanisms that can explain the occurrence of central facial paralysis are not yet described and require further investigation. This report highlights the importance of diagnosis, early management of hyperglycemia and diabetic ketoacidosis, and reversibility of central facial paralysis after treatment.

Acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio as an outcome predictor in ischemic stroke in patients with and without diabetes mellitus.

OBJECTIVE: Elevated plasma glucose levels are common in patients suffering acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and acute hyperglycemia has been defined as an independent determinant of adverse outcomes. The impact of acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio (ACR) has been analyzed in other diseases, but its impact on AIS prognosis remains unclear. The main aim of this study was to assess whether the ACR was associated with a 3-month poor prognosis in patients with AIS. RESEARCH, DESIGN AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of patients admitted for AIS in Hospital del Mar, Barcelona. To estimate the chronic glucose levels (CGL) we used the formula eCGL= [28.7xHbA1c (%)]-46.7. The ACR (glycemic at admission / eCGL) was calculated for all subjects. Tertile 1 was defined as: 0.28-0.92, tertile 2: 0.92-1.13 and tertile 3: > 1.13. Poor prognosis at 3 months after stroke was defined as mRS score 3-6. RESULTS: 2.774 subjects with AIS diagnosis were included. Age, presence of diabetes, previous disability (mRS), initial severity (NIHSS) and revascularization therapy were associated with poor prognosis (p values < 0.05). For each 0.1 increase in ACR, there was a 7% increase in the risk of presenting a poor outcome. The 3rd ACR tertile was independently associated with a poor prognosis and mortality. In the ROC curves, adding the ACR variable to the classical clinical model did not increase the prediction of AIS prognosis (0.786 vs. 0.781). CONCLUSIONS: ACR was positively associated with a poor prognosis and mortality at 3-months follow-up after AIS. Subjects included in the 3rd ACR tertile presented a higher risk of poor prognosis and mortality. Baseline glucose or ACR did not add predictive value in comparison to only using classical clinical variables.

High stress hyperglycemia ratio predicts adverse clinical outcome in patients with coronary three-vessel disease: a large-scale cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary three-vessel disease (CTVD) accounts for one-third of the overall incidence of coronary artery disease, with heightened mortality rates compared to single-vessel lesions, including common trunk lesions. Dysregulated glucose metabolism exacerbates atherosclerosis and increases cardiovascular risk. The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is proposed as an indicator of glucose metabolism status but its association with cardiovascular outcomes in CTVD patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains unclear. METHODS: 10,532 CTVD patients undergoing PCI were consecutively enrolled. SHR was calculated using the formula: admission blood glucose (mmol/L)/[1.59×HbA1c (%)-2.59]. Patients were divided into two groups (SHR Low and SHR High) according to the optimal cutoff value of SHR. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess the relationship between SHR and long-term prognosis. The primary endpoint was cardiovascular (CV) events, composing of cardiac death and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: During the median follow-up time of 3 years, a total of 279 cases (2.6%) of CV events were recorded. Multivariable Cox analyses showed that high SHR was associated with a significantly higher risk of CV events [Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.99, 95% Confidence interval (CI) 1.58-2.52, P < 0.001). This association remained consistent in patients with (HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.08-2.10, P = 0.016) and without diabetes (HR 1.97, 95% CI 1.42-2.72, P < 0.001). Additionally, adding SHR to the base model of traditional risk factors led to a significant improvement in the C-index, net reclassification and integrated discrimination. CONCLUSIONS: SHR was a significant predictor for adverse CV outcomes in CTVD patients with or without diabetes, which suggested that it could aid in the risk stratification in this particular population regardless of glucose metabolism status.

Correlation Between the Glycemia Risk Index and Longitudinal Hemoglobin A1c in Children and Young Adults With Type 1 Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: The glycemia risk index (GRI) is a composite metric developed and used to estimate quality of glycemia in adults with diabetes who use continuous glucose monitor (CGM) devices. In a cohort of youth with type 1 diabetes (T1D), we examined the utility of the GRI for evaluating quality of glycemia between clinic visits by analyzing correlations between the GRI and longitudinal glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) measures. METHOD: Using electronic health records and CGM data, we conducted a retrospective cohort study to analyze the relationship between the GRI and longitudinal HbA1c measures in youth (T1D duration ≥1 year; ≥50% CGM wear time) receiving care from a Midwest pediatric diabetes clinic network (March 2016 to May 2022). Furthermore, we analyzed correlations between HbA1c and the GRI high and low components, which reflect time spent with high/very high and low/very low glucose, respectively. RESULTS: In this cohort of 719 youth (aged = 2.5-18.0 years [median = 13.4; interquartile range [IQR] = 5.2]; 50.5% male; 83.7% non-Hispanic White; 68.0% commercial insurance), baseline GRI scores positively correlated with HbA1c measures at baseline and 3, 6, 9, and 12 months later (r = 0.68, 0.65, 0.60, 0.57, and 0.52, respectively). At all time points, strong positive correlations existed between HbA1c and time spent in hyperglycemia. Substantially weaker, negative correlations existed between HbA1c and time spent in hypoglycemia. CONCLUSIONS: In youth with T1D, the GRI may be useful for evaluating quality of glycemia between scheduled clinic visits. Additional CGM-derived metrics are needed to quantify risk for hypoglycemia in this population.

Contributions of elevated CRP, hyperglycaemia, and type 2 diabetes to cardiovascular risk in the general population: observational and Mendelian randomization studies.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the contributions of low-grade inflammation measured by C-reactive protein (CRP), hyperglycaemia, and type 2 diabetes to risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) death in the general population, and whether hyperglycaemia and high CRP are causally related. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Observational and bidirectional, one-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses in 112,815 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study and the Copenhagen City Heart Study, and bidirectional, two-sample MR with summary level data from two publicly available consortia, CHARGE and MAGIC. RESULTS: Observationally, higher plasma CRP was associated with stepwise higher risk of IHD and CVD death, with hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) of 1.50 (1.38, 1.62) and 2.44 (1.93, 3.10) in individuals with the 20% highest CRP concentrations. The corresponding hazard ratios for elevated plasma glucose were 1.10 (1.02, 1.18) and 1.22 (1.01, 1.49), respectively. Cumulative incidences of IHD and CVD death were 365% and 592% higher, respectively, in individuals with both type 2 diabetes and plasma CRP ≥ 2 mg/L compared to individuals without either. Plasma CRP and glucose were observationally associated (ß-coefficient: 0.02 (0.02, 0.03), p = 3 × 10- 20); however, one- and two-sample MR did not support a causal effect of CRP on glucose (-0.04 (-0.12, 0.32) and - 0.03 (-0.13, 0.06)), nor of glucose on CRP (-0.01 (-0.08, 0.07) and - 0.00 (-0.14, 0.13)). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated concentrations of plasma CRP and glucose are predictors of IHD and CVD death in the general population. We found no genetic association between CRP and glucose, or vice versa, suggesting that lowering glucose pharmacologically does not have a direct effect on low-grade inflammation.

Association between the stress hyperglycemia ratio and 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis: a retrospective cohort study and predictive model establishment based on machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a severe form of systemic inflammatory response syndrome that is caused by infection. Sepsis is characterized by a marked state of stress, which manifests as nonspecific physiological and metabolic changes in response to the disease. Previous studies have indicated that the stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) can serve as a reliable predictor of adverse outcomes in various cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. However, there is limited research on the relationship between the SHR and adverse outcomes in patients with infectious diseases, particularly in critically ill patients with sepsis. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the association between the SHR and adverse outcomes in critically ill patients with sepsis. METHODS: Clinical data from 2312 critically ill patients with sepsis were extracted from the MIMIC-IV (2.2) database. Based on the quartiles of the SHR, the study population was divided into four groups. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The relationship between the SHR and adverse outcomes was explored using restricted cubic splines, Cox proportional hazard regression, and Kaplan‒Meier curves. The predictive ability of the SHR was assessed using the Boruta algorithm, and a prediction model was established using machine learning algorithms. RESULTS: Data from 2312 patients who were diagnosed with sepsis were analyzed. Restricted cubic splines demonstrated a "U-shaped" association between the SHR and survival rate, indicating that an increase in the SHR is related to an increased risk of adverse events. A higher SHR was significantly associated with an increased risk of 28-day mortality and in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis (HR > 1, P < 0.05) compared to a lower SHR. Boruta feature selection showed that SHR had a higher Z score, and the model built using the rsf algorithm showed the best performance (AUC = 0.8322). CONCLUSION: The SHR exhibited a U-shaped relationship with 28-day all-cause mortality and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis. A high SHR is significantly correlated with an increased risk of adverse events, thus indicating that is a potential predictor of adverse outcomes in patients with sepsis.

Association of stress hyperglycemia ratio with left ventricular function and microvascular obstruction in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: a 3.0 T cardiac magnetic resonance study.

BACKGROUND: Stress hyperglycemia, which is associated with poor prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), can be determined using the stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR). Impaired left ventricular function and microvascular obstruction (MVO) diagnosed using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) have also been proven to be linked to poor prognosis in patients with AMI and aid in risk stratification. However, there have been no studies on the correlation between fasting SHR and left ventricular function and MVO in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (ASTEMI). Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the additive effect of fasting SHR on left ventricular function and global deformation in patients with ASTEMI and to explore the association between fasting SHR and MVO. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent CMR at index admission (3-7 days) after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) were enrolled in this study. Basic clinical, biochemical, and CMR data were obtained and compared among all patients grouped by fasting SHR tertiles: SHR1: SHR < 0.85; SHR2: 0.85 ≤ SHR < 1.01; and SHR3: SHR ≥ 1.01. Spearman's rho (r) was used to assess the relationship between fasting SHR and left ventricular function, myocardial strain, and the extent of MVO. Multivariable linear regression analysis was performed to evaluate the determinants of left ventricular function and myocardial strain impairment in all patients with AMI. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were performed to investigate the correlation between fasting SHR and the presence and extent of MVO in patients with AMI and those with AMI and diabetes mellitus (DM). RESULTS: A total of 357 patients with ASTEMI were enrolled in this study. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and left ventricular global function index (LVGFI) were significantly lower in SHR2 and SHR3 than in SHR1. Compared with SHR1 and SHR2 groups, left ventricular strain was lower in SHR3, as evidenced by global radial (GRS), global circumferential (GCS), and global longitudinal (GLS) strains. Fasting SHR were negatively correlated with LVEF, LVGFI, and GRS (r = - 0.252; r = - 0.261; and r = - 0.245; all P<0.001) and positively correlated with GCS (r = 0.221) and GLS (r = 0.249; all P <0.001). Multivariable linear regression analysis showed that fasting SHR was an independent determinant of impaired LVEF, LVGFI, GRS, and GLS. Furthermore, multivariable regression analysis after adjusting for covariates signified that fasting SHR was associated with the presence and extent of MVO in patients with AMI and those with AMI and DM. CONCLUSION: Fasting SHR in patients with ASTEMI successfully treated using PPCI is independently associated with impaired cardiac function and MVO. In patients with AMI and DM, fasting SHR is an independent determinant of the presence and extent of MVO.

Impact of macronutrients intake on glycemic homeostasis of preterm infants: evidence from continuous glucose monitoring.

Nutritional intake could influence the blood glucose profile during early life of preterm infants. We investigated the impact of macronutrient intake on glycemic homeostasis using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). We analyzed macronutrient intake in infants born ≤ 32 weeks gestational age (GA) and/or with birth weight ≤ 1500 g. CGM was started within 48 h of birth and maintained for 5 days. Mild and severe hypoglycemia were defined as sensor glucose (SG) < 72 mg/dL and <47 mg/dL, respectively, while mild and severe hyperglycemia were SG > 144 mg/dL and >180 mg/dL. Data from 30 participants were included (age 29.9 weeks (29.1; 31.2), birthweight 1230.5 g (1040.0; 1458.6)). A reduced time in mild hypoglycemia was associated to higher amino acids intake (p = 0.011) while increased exposure to hyperglycemia was observed in the presence of higher lipids intake (p = 0.031). The birthweight was the strongest predictor of neonatal glucose profile with an inverse relationship between the time spent in hyperglycemia and birthweight (p = 0.007).  Conclusions: Macronutrient intakes influence neonatal glucose profile as described by continuous glucose monitoring. CGM might contribute to adjust nutritional intakes in preterm infants. What is Known: • Parenteral nutrition may affect glucose profile during the first days of life of preterm infants. What is New: • Continuous glucose monitoring describes the relationship between daily parenteral nutrient intakes and time spent in hypo and hyperglycemic ranges.

Effects of the stress hyperglycemia ratio on long-term mortality in patients with triple-vessel disease and acute coronary syndrome.

AIMS: Risk assessment for triple-vessel disease (TVD) remain challenging. Stress hyperglycemia represents the regulation of glucose metabolism in response to stress, and stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is recently found to reflect true acute hyperglycemic status. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of SHR and its role in risk stratification in TVD patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: A total of 3812 TVD patients with ACS with available baseline SHR measurement were enrolled from two independent centers. The endpoint was cardiovascular mortality. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between SHR and cardiovascular mortality. The SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) II (SSII) was used as the reference model in the model improvement analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 219 (5.8%) TVD patients with ACS suffered cardiovascular mortality. TVD patients with ACS with high SHR had an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality after robust adjustment for confounding (high vs. median SHR: adjusted hazard ratio 1.809, 95% confidence interval 1.160-2.822, P = 0.009), which was fitted as a J-shaped pattern. The prognostic value of the SHR was found exclusively among patients with diabetes instead of those without diabetes. Moreover, addition of SHR improved the reclassification abilities of the SSII model for predicting cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS. CONCLUSIONS: The high level of SHR is associated with the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS, and is confirmed to have incremental prediction value beyond standard SSII. Assessment of SHR may help to improve the risk stratification strategy in TVD patients who are under acute stress.

A Critical Discussion of Alert Evaluations in the Context of Continuous Glucose Monitoring System Performance.

Many continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems provide functionality which alerts users of potentially unwanted glycemic conditions. These alerts can include glucose threshold alerts to call the user's attention to hypoglycemia or hyperglycemia, predictive alerts warning about impeding hypoglycemia or hyperglycemia, and rate-of-change alerts. A recent review identified 129 articles about CGM performance studies, of which approximately 25% contained alert evaluations. In some studies, real alerts were assessed; however, most of these studies retrospectively determined the timing of CGM alerts because not all CGM systems record alerts which necessitates manual documentation. In contrast to assessment of real alerts, retrospective determination allows assessment of a variety of alert settings for all three types of glycemic condition alerts. Based on the literature and the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute's POCT05 guideline, two common approaches to threshold alert evaluation were identified, one value-based and one episode-based approach. In this review, a critical discussion of the two approaches, including a post hoc analysis of clinical study data, indicates that the episode-based approach should be preferred over the value-based approach. For predictive alerts, fewer results were found in the literature, and retrospective determination of CGM alert timing is complicated by the prediction algorithms being proprietary information. Rate-of-change alert evaluations were not reported in the identified literature, and POCT05 does not contain recommendations for assessment. A possible approach is discussed including post hoc analysis of clinical study data. To conclude, CGM systems should record alerts, and the episode-based approach to alert evaluation should be preferred.

Development of Machine Learning Models for the Identification of Elevated Ketone Bodies During Hyperglycemia in Patients with Type 1 Diabetes.

Aims: Diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) is a serious life-threatening condition caused by a lack of insulin, which leads to elevated plasma glucose and metabolic acidosis. Early identification of developing DKA is important to start treatment and minimize complications and risk of death. The aim of the present study is to develop and test prediction model(s) that gives an alarm about their risk of developing elevated ketone bodies during hyperglycemia. Methods: We analyzed data from 138 type 1 diabetes patients with measurements of ketone bodies and continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data from over 30,000 days of wear time. We utilized a supervised binary classification machine learning approach to identify elevated levels of ketone bodies (≥0.6 mmol/L). Data material was randomly divided at patient level in 70%/30% (training/test) dataset. Logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF) classifier were compared. Results: Among included patients, 913 ketone samples were eligible for modeling, including 273 event samples with ketone levels ≥0.6 mmol/L. An area under the receiver operating characteristic curve from the RF classifier was 0.836 (confidence interval [CI] 90%, 0.783-0.886) and 0.710 (CI 90%, 0.646-0.77) for the LR classifier. Conclusions: The novel approach for identifying elevated ketone levels in patients with type 1 diabetes utilized in this study indicates that CGM could be a valuable resource for the early prediction of patients at risk of developing DKA. Future studies are needed to validate the results.

The relative and combined ability of stress hyperglycemia ratio and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide to predict all-cause mortality in diabetic patients with multivessel coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are independently associated with increased mortality risk in diabetic patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the role of these biomarkers in patients with diabetes and multivessel disease (MVD) remains unknown. The present study aimed to assess the relative and combined abilities of these biomarkers to predict all-cause mortality in patients with diabetes and MVD. METHODS: This study included 1148 diabetic patients with MVD who underwent coronary angiography at Tianjin Chest Hospital between January 2016 and December 2016. The patients were divided into four groups according to their SHR (SHR-L and SHR-H) and NT-proBNP (NT-proBNP-L and NT-proBNP-H) levels. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association of SHR and NT-proBNP levels with all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a mean 4.2 year follow-up, 138 patients died. Multivariate analysis showed that SHR and NT-proBNP were strong independent predictors of all-cause mortality in diabetic patients with MVD (SHR: HR hazard ratio [2.171; 95%CI 1.566-3.008; P < 0.001; NT-proBNP: HR: 1.005; 95%CI 1.001-1.009; P = 0.009). Compared to patients in the first (SHR-L and NT-proBNP-L) group, patients in the fourth (SHR-H and NT-proBNP-H) group had the highest mortality risk (HR: 12.244; 95%CI 5.828-25.721; P < 0.001). The areas under the curve were 0.615(SHR) and 0.699(NT-proBNP) for all-cause mortality. Adding either marker to the original models significantly improved the C-statistic and integrated discrimination improvement values (all P < 0.05). Moreover, combining SHR and NT-proBNP levels into the original model provided maximal prognostic information. CONCLUSIONS: SHR and NT-proBNP independently and jointly predicted all-cause mortality in diabetic patients with MVD, suggesting that strategies to improve risk stratification in these patients should incorporate SHR and NT-porBNP into risk algorithms.

International Diabetes Federation Position Statement on the 1-hour post-load plasma glucose for the diagnosis of intermediate hyperglycaemia and type 2 diabetes.

Many individuals with intermediate hyperglycaemia (IH), including impaired fasting glycaemia (IFG) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), as presently defined, will progress to type 2 diabetes (T2D). There is confirmatory evidence that T2D can be prevented by lifestyle modification and/or medications, in people with IGT diagnosed by 2-h plasma glucose (PG) during a 75-gram oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Over the last 40 years, a wealth of epidemiological data has confirmed the superior value of 1-h plasma glucose (PG) over fasting PG (FPG), glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and 2-h PG in populations of different ethnicity, sex and age in predicting diabetes and associated complications including death. Given the relentlessly rising prevalence of diabetes, a more sensitive, practical method is needed to detect people with IH and T2D for early prevention or treatment in the often lengthy trajectory to T2D and its complications. The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) Position Statement reviews findings that the 1-h post-load PG ≥ 155 mg/dL (8.6 mmol/L) in people with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) during an OGTT is highly predictive for detecting progression to T2D, micro- and macrovascular complications, obstructive sleep apnoea, cystic fibrosis-related diabetes mellitus, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, and mortality in individuals with risk factors. The 1-h PG of 209 mg/dL (11.6 mmol/L) is also diagnostic of T2D. Importantly, the 1-h PG cut points for diagnosing IH and T2D can be detected earlier than the recommended 2-h PG thresholds. Taken together, the 1-h PG provides an opportunity to avoid misclassification of glycaemic status if FPG or HbA1c alone are used. The 1-h PG also allows early detection of high-risk people for intervention to prevent progression to T2D which will benefit the sizeable and growing population of individuals at increased risk of T2D. Using a 1-h OGTT, subsequent to screening with a non-laboratory diabetes risk tool, and intervening early will favourably impact the global diabetes epidemic. Health services should consider developing a policy for screening for IH based on local human and technical resources. People with a 1-h PG ≥ 155 mg/dL (8.6 mmol/L) are considered to have IH and should be prescribed lifestyle intervention and referred to a diabetes prevention program. People with a 1-h PG ≥ 209 mg/dL (11.6 mmol/L) are considered to have T2D and should have a repeat test to confirm the diagnosis of T2D and then referred for further evaluation and treatment. The substantive data presented in the Position Statement provides strong evidence for redefining current diagnostic criteria for IH and T2D by adding the 1-h PG.