Message from the President.

Anna Judson reflects on the power of the natural world to boost wellbeing as she takes time out to visit a project bringing beavers back to London.

Systemic inequalities in heat risk for greater London.

The temperature rise and increases in extreme heat events related to global climate change is a growing public health threat. Populations in temperate climates, including the UK, must urgently adapt to increased hot weather as current infrastructure primarily focusses on resilience to cold. As we adapt, care should be taken to ensure existing health inequalities are reduced. Lessons can be learned from regions that experience warmer climates and applied to adaptation in the UK. We identified known indicators of heat-health risk and explored their distribution across area level income for London. Understanding these indicators and their distributions across populations can support the development of interventions that have the dual aim of improving health and reducing inequalities. An exploratory analysis was conducted for each indicator at neighbourhood level to assess existence of disparities in their distributions across London. A systems-thinking approach was employed to deduce if these amount to systemic inequalities in heat risk, whereby those most exposed to heat are more susceptible and less able to adapt. Using this information, we proposed interventions and made recommendations for their implementation. We find inequalities across indicators relating to exposure, vulnerability, and adaptive capacity. Including inequalities in urban greening and access to greenspace, physical and mental health and access to communication and support. Through a system diagram we demonstrate how these indicators interact and suggest that systemic inequalities in risk exist and will become more evident as exposure increases with rising temperatures, depending on how we adapt. We use this information to identify barriers to the effective implementation of adaptation strategies and make recommendations on the implementation of interventions. This includes effective and wide-reaching communication considering the various channels and accessibility requirements of the population and consideration of all dwelling tenures when implementing policies relating to home improvements in the context of heat.

Real-world study of the multimorbidity and health service utilisation among individuals with non-diabetic hyperglycemia and type 2 diabetes mellitus in North West London.

INTRODUCTION: The prevalence of non-diabetic hyperglycemia (NDH) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is increasing. While T2DM is recognised to be associated with multimorbidity and early mortality, people with NDH are frequently thought to be devoid of such complications, potentially exposing individuals with NDH to suboptimal care. We therefore used the Discover London Secure Data Environment (SDE) dataset to appreciate the relationship of NDH/T2DM with multimorbidity, healthcare usage, and clinical outcomes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The dataset was retrospectively analysed between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2020 to understand the relationship between NDH/T2DM and multimorbidity primary/secondary healthcare usage and clinical outcomes. This was compared with a cohort of individuals with thyroid disease but no NDH/T2DM. RESULTS: The dataset identified 152,384 and 124,190 adults with NDH and T2DM compared with 11,626 individuals with thyroid disease (control group). Individuals with NDH and individuals with T2DM had a high burden of disease, with only 13.1% of individuals with either NDH or T2DM not found to be suffering from at least one of the disease states of interest. The three most common comorbidities experienced by individuals with NDH were hypertension (41.4%), hypercholesterolemia (37.5%), and obesity (29.8%) compared with retinopathy (68.7%), hypertension (59.4%), and obesity (45.8%) in individuals with T2DM. Comparatively, the most common comorbidities in the control group were depression (30.8%), hypercholesterolemia (24.4%), and hypertension (17.1%). 28 (control group), 12 (NDH), and 16 (T2DM) primary care contacts per individual per year were identified, with 27,881, 282,371, and 314,880 inpatient admissions for the control, NDH, and T2DM cohorts, respectively. Prescription of drugs used to treat T2DM in individuals with NDH and T2DM was 27,772 (18.2%) and 109,361 (88.1%), respectively, accounting for approximately one in five individuals with NDH developing T2DM. CONCLUSION: Both NDH and T2DM were associated with significant multimorbidity alongside primary and secondary care utilisation. Given the morbidity highlighted with NDH, we highlight the need for earlier detection of NDH, recognition of multimorbidity associated with both NDH and T2DM, as well as the need for the further implementation of interventions to prevent progression to T2DM/multimorbidity.

Causes of sudden unexpected death in infants with and without pre-existing conditions: a retrospective autopsy study.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated sudden unexpected death in infancy (SUDI) autopsy data from 1996 to 2015 inclusive, comparing findings from infants with and without pre-existing medical conditions. DESIGN: Large, retrospective single-centre autopsy series. SETTING: Tertiary paediatric hospital, London, UK. METHODS: Non-identifiable autopsy findings were extracted from an existing research database for infants older than 7 days up to and including 365 days old who died suddenly and unexpectedly (SUDI; n=1739). Cases were classified into SUDI with pre-existing condition (SUDI-PEC) (n=233) versus SUDI without PEC (SUDI non-PEC) (n=929), where PEC indicates a potentially life-limiting pre-existing medical condition. Findings were compared between groups including evaluation of type of PEC and whether the deaths were medically explained (infectious or non-infectious) or apparently unexplained. RESULTS: Median age of death was greater in SUDI-PEC compared with SUDI non-PEC (129 days vs 67 days) with similar male to female ratio (1.4:1). A greater proportion of deaths were classified as medically explained in SUDI-PEC versus SUDI non-PEC (73% vs 30%). Of the explained SUDI, a greater proportion of deaths were non-infectious for SUDI-PEC than SUDI non-PEC (66% vs 32%). SUDI-PEC (infectious) infants were most likely to have respiratory infection (64%), with susceptible PEC, including neurological, prematurity with a PEC, and syndromes or other anomalies. CONCLUSION: SUDI-PEC deaths occur later in infancy and are likely to have their death attributed to their PEC, even in the absence of specific positive autopsy findings. Future research should aim to further define this cohort to help inform SUDI postmortem guidelines, paediatric clinical practice to reduce infant death, and to reduce the risk of overattribution of deaths in the context of a PEC.

COVID-19 pandemic impact on hypertension management in North East London: an observational cohort study using electronic health records.

OBJECTIVE: There are established inequities in the monitoring and management of hypertension in England. The COVID-19 pandemic had a major impact on primary care management of long-term conditions such as hypertension. This study investigated the possible disproportionate impact of the pandemic across patient groups. DESIGN: Open cohort of people with diagnosed hypertension. SETTINGS: North East London primary care practices from January 2019 to October 2022. PARTICIPANTS: All 224 329 adults with hypertension registered in 193 primary care practices. OUTCOMES: Monitoring and management of hypertension were assessed using two indicators: (i) blood pressure recorded within 1 year of the index date and (ii) blood pressure control to national clinical practice guidelines. RESULTS: The proportion of patients with a contemporaneous blood pressure recording fell from a 91% pre-pandemic peak to 62% at the end of the pandemic lockdown and improved to 77% by the end of the study. This was paralleled by the proportion of individuals with controlled hypertension which fell from a 73% pre-pandemic peak to 50% at the end of the pandemic lockdown and improved to 60% by the end of the study. However, when excluding patients without a recent blood pressure recording, the proportions of patients with controlled hypertension increased to 81%, 80% and 78% respectively.Throughout the study, in comparison to the White ethnic group, the Black ethnic group was less likely to achieve adequate blood pressure control (ORs 0.81 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.85, p<0.001) to 0.87 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.91, p<0.001)). Conversely, the Asian ethnic group was more likely to have controlled blood pressure (ORs 1.09 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.14, p<0.001) to 1.28 (95% CI 1.23 to 1.32, p<0.001)). Men, younger individuals, more affluent individuals, individuals with unknown or unrecorded ethnicity or those untreated were also less likely to have blood pressure control to target throughout the study. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic had a greater impact on blood pressure recording than on blood pressure control. Inequities in blood pressure control persisted during the pandemic and remain outstanding.

Towards inclusive healthcare: evaluating knowledge, confidence and awareness of LGBTQ + health among Internal Medicine Trainees in London.

BACKGROUND: Patients from the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer plus (LGBTQ +) community face various health inequalities and report poor healthcare experiences. Little is known about how knowledgeable and confident UK doctors are around LGBTQ + health, and previous research demonstrates that UK medical schools rarely deliver teaching in this area. This research evaluated the level of knowledge, awareness and confidence of LGBTQ + health among Internal Medical Trainees (IMTs) in London. METHODS: London IMTs were invited to complete an online questionnaire evaluating knowledge, awareness and confidence in LGBTQ + health. Stratified analysis of results by demographics was performed. RESULTS: Three hundred and fifteen surveys were analysed from 796 eligible trainees (40%). Confidence in caring for LGBTQ + patients was variable. Confidence in discussing gender identity was lower than for sexual orientation. Knowledge of health issues affecting LGBTQ + patients varied. Most participants had never received training on LGBTQ + health at undergraduate (n = 201, 64%) or postgraduate level (n = 252, 80%), but the majority of participants felt that training would be useful (n = 233, 74%). Stratified analysis revealed that IMTs who received previous LGBTQ + teaching at undergraduate or postgraduate level were considerably more confident discussing sexual orientation with patients, compared to those who received no previous teaching. CONCLUSIONS: There is a clear need for education on LGBTQ + health, given the varied levels of knowledge and confidence identified. A significant majority of IMTs in London have never received teaching on LGBTQ + health, although there exists a strong desire for this. LGBTQ + health topics should be integrated into undergraduate and postgraduate training and examinations for IMTs. This would support IMTs in delivering high quality and inclusive care for all patients, particularly those of sexual orientation and gender identity minorities. There are relatively few published studies exploring competency in LGBTQ + health among doctors, and this is the first among UK Internal Medicine Trainees.

Evaluation of a Faith-Placed Health Education Service on Bowel Cancer Screening in Mosques in East London.

BACKGROUND: Bowel cancer screening using faecal immunochemical testing is provided in the United Kingdom with the aim of reducing mortality from colorectal cancer. However, there are low participant rates among ethnic minorities across the United Kingdom. Faith-placed interventions have the potential to improve screening rates among such populations, but studies examining their effectiveness are scarce. METHODS: We delivered a presentation on bowel cancer screening to 204 Muslims in seven mosques in East London (intervention group). All participants completed a questionnaire regarding attitudes, perceptions and knowledge of bowel cancer screening before and after the presentation. Concurrently, we administered the questionnaire to 72 subjects attending a mosque that did not receive the presentation (comparison group). RESULTS: The intervention group showed a greater willingness to do the test (90% vs. 67%, p < 0.001) and to recommend it to others (96% vs. 74%, p < 0.001), ability to complete the test by themselves (94% vs. 56%, p < 0.001) and confidence in noticing symptoms (78% vs. 32%, p < 0.001) after the presentation compared to before. There was a significant difference between the intervention group post-presentation and the comparison group on intention to do the test (90% vs. 79%, p = 0.02), recommending it to others (96% vs. 83%, p < 0.001), and confidence in their ability to complete the test by themselves (94% vs. 63%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: A culture-sensitive, faith-placed health education intervention delivered in mosques can substantially improve knowledge of bowel cancer screening and increase the intention to participate in the screening programme. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: The intervention presentation was developed using insights from four public involvement sessions with four to six members representative of the East London Muslim community. The sessions sought attendees' thoughts on appropriate ways to approach the intervention design for their community and asked for their views on the acceptability, appropriateness of messaging, format/design and likely impact of the presentation. Their views were then utilised to improve the presentation.

How Do We Better Serve Excluded Populations When Delivering Digital Health Technology? Inclusion Evaluation of a Digital Musculoskeletal Self-Management Solution.

BACKGROUND: Digital self-management platforms have been proposed as a solution to better support people manage their musculoskeletal (MSK) condition. However, research studies often explicitly exclude people who can't access internet connected devices. An important consideration is that digital exclusion (for people without access to an internet connected device) from these new digital options will worsen already existing inequality and inequity in healthcare. AIM: To evaluate the acceptability and potential causes of digital exclusion of the South West London (SWL) MSK self-management app. OBJECTIVES: (1) Explore why some patients are not using the app and any barriers they have. Explore why some clinicians are not prescribing the app. (2) Make recommendations, based on these findings, to improve digital inclusion. METHODS/DESIGN: An explanatory sequential mixed method service evaluation that consisted of initial questionnaires to identify suitable collaborators, followed by structured interviews of patients and clinicians. RESULTS: Following a comprehensive data analysis, 10 sub-themes were grouped into four main themes: (1) Beliefs: Importance of understanding the role of digital; face to face consultation is still valued and needed. (2) Barriers: Lack of digital literacy; lack of physical examination/contact with a clinician. (3) Enablers: Immediate access to advice and information; perceived better control over health; ease of use; no appointment needed. (4) Solutions: Support and training; greater awareness. CONCLUSIONS: As digital health technology develops, strategies must change, requiring deliberate work and investments to improve inclusion. Our findings highlight how digital technology design and delivery can be adapted to address the causes of digital exclusion.

Dentists, Their Handicraft Hobbies and City of London Livery Companies.

Many successful dentists also spend much time on hobbies. Unsurprisingly many of them involve the use of their hands, often but not always honing skills learned in dentistry. All the people discussed have another essential skill, the ability to design. The paper demonstrates clearly that striving for professional success leaves room for other activities.

Reduced risk for Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection observed in older adults with hybrid immunity.

BACKGROUND: Hybrid SARS-CoV-2 immunity may provide longer duration protection against severe SARS-CoV-2 infection and hospitalisation than purely vaccine-derived immunity. Older adults represent a high-risk group for severe disease, yet available data is skewed towards younger adults. METHODS: A prospective longitudinal study at a large London long-term care facility (LTCF) was conducted from March 2020 to April 2022 to assess the effect of hybrid versus vaccine-only immunity on SARS-CoV-2 infection in older adults during Omicron variant dominance. Hybrid immunity was assessed by a combination of SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction testing weekly (asymptomatic screening) and as required (symptomatic testing), as well as serial SARS-CoV-2 serology. RESULTS: 280 participants (median age 82 yrs, IQR 76-88 yrs; 95.4% male) were followed up. 168/280 (60%) had evidence of hybrid immunity prior to the Omicron variant wave. Participants with hybrid immunity had substantially lower odds of acquiring COVID-19 infection during the Omicron wave compared to those with vaccine-only immunity (unadjusted odds ratio 0.26, 95% CI 0.14-0.47, chi-squared P < .0001). Participants with hybrid immunity had an odds ratio of 0.40 (0.19-0.79) for asymptomatic infection and 0.15 (0.06-0.34) for symptomatic infection (Likelihood ratio test, P < .0001). DISCUSSION: Our data highlight potential opportunities to target ongoing booster vaccination campaigns for those most at risk of severe infection. Reporting of data in older adults will be of particular value to examine the effect of hybrid immunity as new variants continue to emerge and vaccination strategies evolve.

Christine Strullu-Derrien.

Interview with Christine Strullu-Derrien, who studies the origin and early evolution of microorganisms, as well as their interactions with plants, at the Natural History Museum in London and the National Museum of Natural History in Paris.

Application of information from external data to correct for collider bias in a Covid-19 hospitalised cohort.

BACKGROUND: Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, researchers have made use of electronic health records to research this disease in a rapidly evolving environment of questions and discoveries. These studies are prone to collider bias as they restrict the population of Covid-19 patients to only those with severe disease. Inverse probability weighting is typically used to correct for this bias but requires information from the unrestricted population. Using electronic health records from a South London NHS trust, this work demonstrates a method to correct for collider bias using externally sourced data while examining the relationship between minority ethnicities and poor Covid-19 outcomes. METHODS: The probability of inclusion within the observed hospitalised cohort was modelled based on estimates from published national data. The model described the relationship between patient ethnicity, hospitalisation, and death due to Covid-19 - a relationship suggested to be susceptible to collider bias. The obtained probabilities (as applied to the observed patient cohort) were used as inverse probability weights in survival analysis examining ethnicity (and covariates) as a risk factor for death due to Covid-19. RESULTS: Within the observed cohort, unweighted analysis of survival suggested a reduced risk of death in those of Black ethnicity - differing from the published literature. Applying inverse probability weights to this analysis amended this aberrant result to one more compatible with the literature. This effect was consistent when the analysis was applied to patients within only the first wave of Covid-19 and across two waves of Covid-19 and was robust against adjustments to the modelled relationship between hospitalisation, patient ethnicity, and death due to Covid-19 made as part of a sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, this analysis demonstrates the feasibility of using external publications to correct for collider bias (or other forms of selection bias) induced by the restriction of a population to a hospitalised cohort using an example from the recent Covid-19 pandemic.

Assessing the Impact of Non-Exhaust Emissions on the Asthmatic Airway (IONA) Protocol for a Randomised Three-Exposure Crossover Study.

BACKGROUND: People living with asthma are disproportionately affected by air pollution, with increased symptoms, medication usage, hospital admissions, and the risk of death. To date, there has been a focus on exhaust emissions, but traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) can also arise from the mechanical abrasion of tyres, brakes, and road surfaces. We therefore created a study with the aim of investigating the acute impacts of non-exhaust emissions (NEEs) on the lung function and airway immune status of asthmatic adults. METHODS: A randomised three-condition crossover panel design will expose adults with asthma using a 2.5 h intermittent cycling protocol in a random order at three locations in London, selected to provide the greatest contrast in the NEE components within TRAP. Lung function will be monitored using oscillometry, fractional exhaled nitric oxide, and spirometry (the primary outcome is the forced expiratory volume in one second). Biomarkers of inflammation and airborne metal exposure will be measured in the upper airway using nasal lavage. Symptom responses will be monitored using questionnaires. Sources of exhaust and non-exhaust concentrations will be established using source apportionment via the positive matrix factorisation of high-time resolution chemical measures conducted at the exposure sites. DISCUSSION: Collectively, this study will provide us with valuable information on the health effects of NEE components within ambient PM2.5 and PM10, whilst establishing a biological mechanism to help contextualise current epidemiological observations.

Integrated Analysis of Patient Networks and Plasmid Genomes to Investigate a Regional, Multispecies Outbreak of Carbapenemase-Producing Enterobacterales Carrying Both blaIMP and mcr-9 Genes.

BACKGROUND: Carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CPE) are challenging in healthcare, with resistance to multiple classes of antibiotics. This study describes the emergence of imipenemase (IMP)-encoding CPE among diverse Enterobacterales species between 2016 and 2019 across a London regional network. METHODS: We performed a network analysis of patient pathways, using electronic health records, to identify contacts between IMP-encoding CPE-positive patients. Genomes of IMP-encoding CPE isolates were overlaid with patient contacts to imply potential transmission events. RESULTS: Genomic analysis of 84 Enterobacterales isolates revealed diverse species (predominantly Klebsiella spp, Enterobacter spp, and Escherichia coli); 86% (72 of 84) harbored an IncHI2 plasmid carrying blaIMP and colistin resistance gene mcr-9 (68 of 72). Phylogenetic analysis of IncHI2 plasmids identified 3 lineages showing significant association with patient contacts and movements between 4 hospital sites and across medical specialties, which was missed in initial investigations. CONCLUSIONS: Combined, our patient network and plasmid analyses demonstrate an interspecies, plasmid-mediated outbreak of blaIMPCPE, which remained unidentified during standard investigations. With DNA sequencing and multimodal data incorporation, the outbreak investigation approach proposed here provides a framework for real-time identification of key factors causing pathogen spread. Plasmid-level outbreak analysis reveals that resistance spread may be wider than suspected, allowing more interventions to stop transmission within hospital networks.SummaryThis was an investigation, using integrated pathway networks and genomics methods, of the emergence of imipenemase-encoding carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales among diverse Enterobacterales species between 2016 and 2019 in patients across a London regional hospital network, which was missed on routine investigations.

"Smells like team spirit" the association between running club membership and performance in the London Marathon: An economic analysis.

This study examines the association between club membership and marathon performance using a dataset of 206,653 London Marathon runners. Our results show a statistically significant association between club membership and marathon performance for both males and females which sees club membership potentially mitigating pace decline with age and resulting in substantial improvements in finishing times of up to 40 minutes. We implement a production function framework and align with three principles of economic organisation. The findings have relevance for marathon participants, coaches, and athletic associations as well as implications beyond athletics to other sports or cooperative activities.

The impact of continuous lenalidomide maintenance treatment on people living with multiple myeloma-a single-centre, qualitative service evaluation study.

PURPOSE: Continuous lenalidomide maintenance treatment after autologous stem cell transplantation delivers improvement in progression free and overall survival among newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients and has been the standard of care in the UK since March 2021. However, there is scant information about its impact on patients' day-to-day lives. This service evaluation aimed to qualitatively assess patients receiving lenalidomide treatment at a cancer centre in London, in order that the service might better align with needs and expectations of patients. METHODS: We conducted 20 semi-structured interviews among myeloma patients who were on continuous lenalidomide maintenance treatment at a specialist cancer centre in London. Members of the clinical team identified potentially eligible participants to take part, and convenience sampling was used to select 10 male and 10 female patients, median age of 58 (range, 45-71). The median treatment duration was 11 months (range, 1-60 months). Participants were qualitatively interviewed following the same semi-structured interview guide, which was designed to explore patient experience and insights of lenalidomide. Reflexive thematic analysis was used for data analysis. RESULTS: Four overarching themes were as follows: (i) lenalidomide: understanding its role and rationale; (ii) reframing the loss of a treatment-free period to a return to normal life; (iii) the reality of being on lenalidomide: balancing hopes with hurdles; (iv) gratitude and grievances: exploring mixed perceptions of care and communication. Results will be used to enhance clinical services by tailoring communication to better meet patients' preferences when making treatment decisions. CONCLUSION: This study highlights that most patients feel gratitude for being offered continuous lenalidomide and perceive it as alleviating some fears concerning relapse. It reveals variations in side effects in different age groups; younger patients reported no/negligible side effects, whilst several older patients with comorbidities described significant symptom burden, occasionally leading to treatment discontinuation which caused distress at the perceived loss of prolonged remission. Future research should prioritise understanding the unique needs of younger patients living with multiple myeloma.