Central lymph node ratio is an important recurrence prognostic factor for pediatric differentiated thyroid cancer.

Background: The current risk stratification methods for Pediatric Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma (DTC) are deemed inadequate due to the high recurrence rates observed in this demographic. This study investigates alternative clinicopathological factors, specifically the Central Lymph Node Ratio (CLNR), for improved risk stratification in pediatric DTC. Methods: A retrospective review of 100 pediatric DTC patients, aged 19 or younger, treated between December 2012 and January 2021 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University was conducted. Clinicopathological variables were extracted, and univariate logistic regression identified factors correlated with recurrence. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis and subsequent statistical tests were used to assess the significance of these factors. Results: The CLNR, with a cutoff value of 77.78%, emerged as a significant predictor of recurrence. Patients with a CLNR above this threshold had a 5.467 times higher risk of recurrence. The high CLNR group showed a higher proportion of male patients, clinically lymph node positivity (cN1), and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) compared to the low-risk group (p<0.05). Conclusion: CLNR is a valuable predictor for recurrence in pediatric DTC and aids in stratifying patients based on Recurrence-Free Survival (RFS). For patients with a high CLNR, aggressive iodine-131 therapy, stringent TSH suppression, and proactive postoperative surveillance are recommended to mitigate recurrence risk and facilitate timely detection of recurrent lesions.

Emerging chemotherapy-based treatments in anaplastic thyroid cancer: an updated analysis of prospective studies.

Background: For patients with anaplastic thyroid cancer (ATC) without mutational driver genes, chemotherapy is suggested to be the first-line treatment option. However, the benefits of chemotherapy in treating ATC are limited. In this analysis, we collected the prospective data reported since 2010 to analyze the emerging chemotherapy-based treatments in ATC comprehensively. Methods: For this updated analysis, we searched PubMed (MEDLINE), Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases from 1 January 2010 to 7 February 2024 for prospective clinical studies that contained chemotherapy-based treatments. This analysis was done to pool overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rates (ORRs), disease control rates (DCRs), and grade 3 or worse treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs). Results: Six prospective clinical trials with 232 patients were included. Chemotherapy was commonly combined with targeted therapy or radiotherapy. The pooled median OS was 6.0 months (95% CI 4.1-9.7), and the median PFS was 3.2 months (95% CI 1.9-6.0) in patients with ATC who received chemotherapy-based strategies. The integrated ORR and DCR were 21% (95% CI 15%-27%) and 64% (95% CI 55%-72%), respectively. Regarding the grade 3 or worse TRAE, the pooled incidence was 68% (95% CI 47%-86%). Conclusion: Although the emerging chemotherapy-based treatments showed antitumor activity in patients with ATC, these strategies failed to prolong the survival time substantially. More practical, safe, and novel therapeutic regimens for patients with ATC warrant further investigations.

Ultrasound-based nomogram to predict the recurrence in papillary thyroid carcinoma using machine learning.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is not unusual and associated with risk of death. This study is aimed to construct a nomogram that combines clinicopathological characteristics and ultrasound radiomics signatures to predict the recurrence in PTC. METHODS: A total of 554 patients with PTC who underwent ultrasound imaging before total thyroidectomy were included. Among them, 79 experienced at least one recurrence. Then 388 were divided into the training cohort and 166 into the validation cohort. The radiomics features were extracted from the region of interest (ROI) we manually drew on the tumor image. The feature selection was conducted using Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. And multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to build the combined nomogram using radiomics signatures and significant clinicopathological characteristics. The efficiency of the nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to analyze the recurrence-free survival (RFS) in different radiomics scores (Rad-scores) and risk scores. RESULTS: The combined nomogram demonstrated the best performance and achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.851 (95% CI: 0.788 to 0.913) in comparison to that of the radiomics signature and the clinical model in the training cohort at 3 years. In the validation cohort, the combined nomogram (AUC = 0.885, 95% CI: 0.805 to 0.930) also performed better. The calibration curves and DCA verified the clinical usefulness of combined nomogram. And the Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that in the training cohort, the cumulative RFS in patients with higher Rad-score was significantly lower than that in patients with lower Rad-score (92.0% vs. 71.9%, log rank P < 0.001), and the cumulative RFS in patients with higher risk score was significantly lower than that in patients with lower risk score (97.5% vs. 73.5%, log rank P < 0.001). In the validation cohort, patients with a higher Rad-score and a higher risk score also had a significantly lower RFS. CONCLUSION: We proposed a nomogram combining clinicopathological variables and ultrasound radiomics signatures with excellent performance for recurrence prediction in PTC patients.

Development of a novel dynamic nomogram for predicting overall survival in anaplastic thyroid cancer patients with distant metastasis: a population-based study based on the SEER database.

Background: Anaplastic thyroid cancer (ATC) is highly invasive, prone to distant metastasis (DM), and has a very poor prognosis. This study aims to construct an accurate survival prediction model for ATC patients with DM, providing reference for comprehensive assessment and treatment planning. Methods: We extracted data of ATC patients with DM diagnosed between 2004 and 2019 from the SEER database, randomly dividing them into a training set and a validation set in a ratio of 7:3. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were sequentially performed on the training set to identify independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and construct nomograms for 3-month, 6-month, and 8-month OS for ATC patients with DM based on all identified independent prognostic factors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, decision curve analysis (DCA) curve analysis, and calibration curves were separately plotted on the training and validation sets to demonstrate the model's performance. Furthermore, patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups based on their risk scores, and the Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves were used to illustrate the survival differences between the two groups. Results: A total of 322 patients were included in this study. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified five independent prognostic factors for OS in ATC patients with DM: surgery, tumor size, age, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy. Nomograms for 3-month, 6-month, and 8-month OS were established based on these factors. The training set AUC values (3-month AUC: 0.767, 6-month AUC: 0.789, 8-month AUC: 0.795) and validation set AUC values (3-month AUC: 0.753, 6-month AUC: 0.798, 8-month AUC: 0.806) as well as the calibration curves demonstrated excellent applicability and accuracy of the model. Additionally, the DCA curves indicated substantial clinical net benefit of the model. The KM curves also confirmed the model's excellent stratification ability for patient OS. Conclusion: The nomogram developed in this study accurately predicts OS for ATC patients with DM. It can assist clinicians in formulating appropriate treatment strategies for these patients.

Tumor deposits in thyroid carcinomas.

Tumor deposits (TDs) are defined as discontinuous neoplastic masses within the lymphatic drainage pathway of the primary tumor. The poor prognostic implication of these masses have been demonstrated in various cancers. The aim of this study is to investigate the incidence of TDs in our thyroid carcinoma cases, which has not been studied so far to the best of our knowledge, and to determine the prognostic value of their existence. In this retrospective cohort study, 194 thyroid carcinoma cases with cervical lymph node sampling and/or dissection were reevaluated for TDs. The case series consisted of 176 thyroid papillary carcinoma (TPC) and 18 thyroid medullary carcinoma (TMC) patients. TDs were detected in 54 (27.8%) patients. TMC cases (55.6%) had significantly more TDs compared to TPCs (25.0%; P = .006). TDs were more common in women (P = .045), and in multifocal tumors (P = .017). In addition, cases with TDs had larger tumor size (P = .002), more lymphatic invasion (P = .009), extrathyroidal extension (P < .001), and distant metastasis (P < .001). The mean follow-up period of the patients was 120.1 months (range, 4-341 months). Locoregional recurrence detected in 17 patients (8.8%) was more common in TMC (33.3%) than TPC cases (6.3%; P = .002). Distant metastasis was identified in 27 patients (13.9%). Ten-year recurrence free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) for all patients were 89.0% and 92.4%, respectively. Mean estimated OS time for TD negative and TD positive cases were: 281.9 (±17.2), 325.6 (±6.2) and 217.6 (±27.4) months, respectively (P = .002). Sex (P = .001), tumor type (P = .002), pT classification of the tumor (P < .001), perineural invasion (P = .002) and TDs (P = .002) were significantly associated with OS. In TPC cases individually, extrathyroidal extension (P = .001) and TDs (P = .002) were significantly correlated with distant metastasis. In multivariate analysis, only tumor size was detected as an independent prognostic marker in TPC cases (P = .005). Our results demonstrate the existence of TDs in thyroid carcinoma cases, and indicate a more aggressive behavior pattern of TDs in these tumors.

Well-defined survival outcome disparity across age cutoffs at 45 and 60 for medullary thyroid carcinoma: a long-term retrospective cohort study of 3601 patients.

Background: Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) is a challenging malignancy. The survival outcome of MTC based on AJCC staging system does not render a discriminant classifier among early stages. Methods: 3601 MTC patients from 2000 to 2018 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Smooth curve fitting, Cox proportional hazard regression and competing risk analysis were applied. Results: A linear correlation between age and log RR (relative risk of overall death) was detected. Overlaps were observed between K-M curves representing patients aged 45-50, 50-55, and 55-60. The study cohort was divided into 3 subgroups with 2 age cutoffs set at 45 and 60. Each further advanced age cutoff population resulted in a roughly "5%" increase in MTC-specific death risks and an approximately "3 times" increase in non-MTC-specific death risks. Conclusions: The survival outcome disparity across age cutoffs at 45 and 60 for MTC has been well defined.

Evaluation of the value of combined thyroid function-related indexes in the prognosis prediction of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer.

This study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of thyroid function-related indices in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). This retrospective analysis included 90 patients diagnosed with DTC and treated at our hospital from January 2010 to January 2019. Patients were classified into 2 groups based on whole-body imaging results: 67 with a favorable prognosis and 23 with a poor prognosis. The study compared clinical data and thyroid function indices between these groups to assess their efficacy in prognostic prediction. Patients in the poor prognosis group had a higher occurrence of T3-4 stage cancer (P = .006) and ≥2 lymph node metastases (P = .019). Notably, levels of total thyroxine (TT4), thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), and thyroglobulin antibody (Tg-Ab) were significantly elevated in this group (P < .001 for each). Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed substantial predictive accuracy for TT4, TSH, and Tg-Ab (area under curve of 0.747, 0.820, and 0.720, respectively). The columnar graphical model used for prediction demonstrated a high concordance index (C-index = 0.919), superior to single-indicator evaluations. Thyroid function indices, specifically TT4, TSH, and Tg-Ab, play a crucial role in the prognostic assessment of patients with DTC. The column-line diagram model effectively enhances prophetic prediction, aiding in clinical decision-making.

Association of BRAF or TERT Promoter Mutations and Advanced Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIM: BRAF and TERT promoter mutations are associated with the poor prognosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma. This single-center retrospective study investigated the influence of these genes on advanced cases. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Advanced cases who underwent gene panel testing and cases who underwent complete resection were classified as groups A and C, respectively. The gene mutations were determined using gene panel testing or Sanger sequencing using tumor DNA. RESULTS: The study included 51 cases in group A and 44 cases in group C. In group A, all cases had unresectable lesions or distant metastasis; 82.4% of cases showed no accumulation of radioactive iodine in metastasis and 47.1% of cases were administered drug therapy. Meanwhile, all cases of group C did not have distant metastasis. The prevalence of TERT promoter mutations was significantly higher in group A compared to group C (70.6% vs. 18.2%, p<0.001). However, there was no significant difference in the prevalence of BRAF mutations between the two groups (86.3% vs. 90.9%). In Group C, disease-free survival was significantly shorter in patients harboring the TERT promoter mutations (p<0.001), despite no significant difference in that according to the BRAF mutation status. In addition, there was no significant difference in overall survival in group A according to the TERT promoter mutation status. CONCLUSION: Advanced papillary thyroid carcinoma was associated with the TERT promoter mutations, but not with BRAF mutation. Meanwhile, TERT promoter mutations did not affect overall survival among the advanced cases.

Prognostic prediction of patients having classical papillary thyroid carcinoma with a 4 mRNA-based risk model.

The dysregulation of protein-coding genes involved in various biological functions is closely associated with the progression of thyroid cancer. This study aimed to investigate the effects of dysregulated gene expressions on the prognosis of classical papillary thyroid carcinoma (cPTC). Using expression profiling datasets from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, we performed differential expression analysis to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis were used to identify DEGs, which were used to construct a risk model to predict the prognosis of cPTC patients. Functional enrichment analysis unveiled the potential significance of co-expressed protein-encoding genes in tumors. We identified 4 DEGs (SALL3, PPBP, MYH1, and SYNDIG1), which were used to construct a risk model to predict the prognosis of cPTC patients. These 4 genes were independent of clinical parameters and could be functional in cPTC carcinogenesis. Furthermore, PPBP exhibited a strong correlation with poorer overall survival (OS) in the advanced stage of the disease. This study suggests that the 4-gene signature could be an independent prognostic biomarker to improve prognosis prediction in cPTC patients older than 46.

Comparative analysis through propensity score matching in thyroid cancer: unveiling the impact of multiple malignancies.

Background: The incidence of thyroid cancer is on the rise worldwide, with childhood exposure to radiation being the sole acknowledged catalyst for its emergence. Nonetheless, numerous other factors that may pose risks are awaiting thorough examination and validation. This retrospective study aims to explore the malignancies linked to thyroid cancer and contrast the survival rates of those afflicted with a solitary tumor versus those with multiple primary neoplasms (MPN). Methods: This retrospective study examined data from King Hussein Cancer Center (KHCC), Jordan. Among 563 patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer, 30 patients had thyroid malignancy as part of MPN. For a 1:3 propensity score-matched analysis, 90 patients with only a primary thyroid malignancy were also enrolled. Results: Hematologic and breast malignancies were among the most frequent observed cancers alongside thyroid neoplasm. Patients who had MPN were diagnosed at older age, had higher body mass index and presented with higher thyroglobulin antibody levels (p < 0.05 for each). Additionally, MPN patient displayed a stronger family history for cancers (p= 0.002). A median follow-up duration of 135 months unveiled that MPN patients faced a worse 5-year survival compared to their counterparts with a singular neoplasm (87% vs 100% respectively; p < 0.01). However, no distinction emerged in the 5-year event-free survival between these two groups. Conclusion: MPN correlates with a significantly altered survival outcome of thyroid cancer patients. The diagnosis of thyroid carcinoma at an older age, accompanied by elevated initial thyroglobulin antibody levels and a notable familial predisposition, may raise concerns about the potential occurrence of synchronous or metachronous tumors.

Prognostic factors of patients with thyroid cancer and bone metastasis at presentation.

Objective: While bone metastases (BMs) are present in a minority of thyroid cancer (TC) patients at the time of initial diagnosis, there has been growing concern regarding their impact on life expectancy and quality of life. The aim of this study was to identify prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in these patients and provide therapeutic recommendations based on the findings. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we included 82 patients diagnosed as TC with BM received treatment in our department from 2011.03 to 2023.03 (average follow-up duration was 3.02 years). The retrospective study was performed according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate the OS and CSS, while the univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were employed to determine prognostic factors associated with OS and CSS. Also, 287 patients' data were collected from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2015 to confirm the prognostic factors identified in the retrospective study. Results: The average survival time of the 82 patients was estimated to be 5.818 years (with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 4.767 to 6.868 years). The cox regression analysis showed that older age (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.045, 95% CI: 1.001-1.092, P = 0.047), larger tumor size (>5cm, HR = 11.087, 95% CI: 3.728 - 32.976, P = 0.000), and the presence of extraosseous metastasis (HR = 3.247, 95% CI: 1.376 - 7.665, P = 0.007) were statistically significant factors associated with worse CSS. The results were furtherly confirmed in 287 SEER-sourced patients (age (HR = 1.020, 95% CI: 1.006 - 1.034, P = 0.006), tumor size (HR = 2.917, 95% CI: 2.044 - 4.161, P = 0.000), and extraosseous metastasis (HR = 3.726, 95% CI: 2.571 - 5.398, P = 0.000)). Conclusions: These results offer a population-based assessment of prognostic factors for patients with TC and BMs, revealing that age, primary tumor size (>5cm), and presence of extraosseous metastases are independent prognostic factors that correlate with worse survival. Accordingly, treatment for such patients ought to concentrate on systemic integrative therapy instead of surgical intervention.

Exploration of the prognostic value of methylation regulators related to m5C in papillary thyroid carcinoma.

The incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) has increased significantly in recent years, and for patients with metastatic and recurrent PTC, the options for treatment currently available are insufficient. To date, the exact molecular mechanism underlying PTC is still not fully understood. 5-Methylcytosine (m5C) RNA methylation is associated with the prognosis of a variety of tumors. However, the molecular mechanisms and biomarkers associated with m5C in the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of this disease have not been fully elucidated. Ten m5C regulators with significantly different expression levels were included in this study. Immune infiltration analysis revealed significant negative correlations between most of these regulators and regulatory T cells. TRDMT1, NSUN5, and NSUN6 had high weights and strong correlations in the protein-protein interaction network. Using gene ontology, Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes, and gene set enrichment analysis, 1489 differentially expressed genes were screened from The Cancer Genome Atlas messenger RNA matrix, indicating that these differentially expressed genes were significantly enriched in various pathways and functions related to cancers. Four m5C regulators, NSUN2, NSUN4, NSUN6, and DNMT3B, were screened as prognostic markers by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis, and NSUN2 and NSUN6 were identified as risk factors for poor prognosis. We found that the prognostic prediction model constructed using the m5C regulators NSUN2, NSUN4, NSUN6, and DNMT3B showed good prognostic prediction ability and diagnostic ability. This model was applied to predict the survival probability of patients with PTC, the prediction ability of 5-year survival was the best. The multi-factor prognostic prediction model combined with the tumor node metastasis stage and risk score grouping showed better prognostic predictive power.

Vandetanib in locally advanced or metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer refractory to radioiodine therapy.

The VERIFY study aimed to determine the efficacy of vandetanib in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) that is either locally advanced or metastatic and refractory to radioiodine (RAI) therapy. Specifically, VERIFY is a randomized, double-blind, multicenter phase III trial aimed to determine the efficacy and safety of vandetanib in tyrosine kinase inhibitor-naive patients with locally advanced or metastatic RAI-refractory DTC with documented progression (NCT01876784). Patients were randomized 1:1 to vandetanib or placebo. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary endpoints included best objective response rate, overall survival (OS), safety, and tolerability. Patients continued to receive randomized treatment until disease progression or for as long as they were receiving clinical benefit unless criteria for treatment discontinuation were met. Following randomization, 117 patients received vandetanib, and 118 patients received a placebo. Median PFS was 10.0 months in the vandetanib group and 5.7 months in the placebo group (hazard ratio: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.55-1.03; P = 0.080). OS was not significantly different between treatment arms. Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) of grade ≥3 were reported in 55.6% of patients in the vandetanib arm and 25.4% in the placebo arm. Thirty-three deaths (28.2%; one related to study treatment) occurred in the vandetanib arm compared with 16 deaths (13.6%; two related to treatment) in the placebo arm. No statistically significant improvement was observed in PFS in treatment versus placebo in patients with locally advanced or metastatic, RAI-refractory DTC. Moreover, active treatment was associated with more adverse events and more deaths than placebo, though the difference in OS was not statistically significant.

Identification of disulfidptosis-associated genes and characterization of immune cell infiltration in thyroid carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The primary objective of this study is to conduct a comprehensive screening and analysis of differentially expressed genes related to disulfidoptosis (DEDRGs) in thyroid carcinoma (THCA). This entails delving into the intricate characterization of immune cell infiltration within the THCA context and subsequently formulating and validating a novel prognostic model. METHOD: To achieve our objectives, we first delineated two distinct subtypes of disulfidoptosis-related genes (DRGs) via consensus clustering methodology. Subsequently, employing the limma R package, we identified the DEDRGs critical for our investigation. These DEDRGs underwent meticulous validation across various databases, alongside an in-depth analysis of gene regulation. Employing functional enrichment techniques, we explored the potential molecular mechanisms underlying disulfidoptosis in THCA. Furthermore, we scrutinized the immune landscape within the two identified subtypes utilizing CIBERSORT and ESTIMATE algorithms. The construction of the prognostic model for THCA entailed intricate methodologies including univariate, multivariate Cox regression, and LASSO regression algorithms. The validity and efficacy of our prognostic model were corroborated through Kaplan-Meier survival curves and ROC curves. Additionally, a nomogram was meticulously formulated to facilitate the prediction of patient prognosis. To fortify our findings, we conducted a comprehensive Bayesian co-localization analysis coupled with rigorous in vitro experimentation, aimed at unequivocally establishing the validity of the identified DEDRGs. RESULT: Our analyses unveiled Cluster C1, characterized by elevated expression levels of DEDRGs, as harboring a favorable prognosis accompanied by abundant immune cell infiltration. Correlation analyses underscored predominantly positive associations among the DEDRGs, further affirming their significance in THCA. Differential expression patterns of DEDRGs between tumor samples and normal tissues were evident across the GEPIA and HPA databases. Insights from the TIMER database underscored a robust correlation between DEDRGs and immune cell infiltration. KEGG analysis elucidated the enrichment of DEDRGs primarily in pivotal pathways including MAPK, PPAR signaling pathway, and Proteoglycans in cancer. Furthermore, analyses using CIBERSORT and ESTIMATE algorithms shed light on the crucial role played by DEDRGs in shaping the immune microenvironment. The prognostic model, anchored by five genes intricately associated with THCA prognosis, exhibited commendable predictive accuracy and was intricately linked to the tumor immune microenvironment. Notably, patients categorized with low-risk scores stood to potentially benefit more from immunotherapy. The validation of DEDRGs unequivocally underscores the protective role of INF2 in THCA. CONCLUSION: In summary, our study delineates two discernible subtypes intricately associated with DRGs, revealing profound disparities in immune infiltration and survival prognosis within the THCA milieu. The implications of our findings extend to potential treatment strategies for THCA patients, which could entail targeted interventions directed towards DEDRGs and prognostic genes, thereby influencing disulfidptosis and the immune microenvironment. Moreover, the robust predictive capability demonstrated by our prognostic model, based on the five genes (ANGPTL7, FIRRE, ODAPH, PROKR1, SFRP5), underscores its potential clinical utility in guiding personalized therapeutic approaches for THCA patients.

Thyroid cancer trends in China and its comparative analysis with G20 countries: Projections for 2020-2040.

Background: Thyroid cancer, a leading type of endocrine cancer, accounts for 3-4% of all cancer diagnoses. This study aims to analyse and compare thyroid cancer patterns in China and the Group twenty (G20) countries, and predict these trend for the upcoming two decades. Methods: This observational longitudinal study utilised data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. We used metrics including incidence, mortality, mortality-incidence ratio (MIR), age-standardised rate (ASR) and average annual percent change (AAPC) to examine thyroid cancer trends. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify periods manifesting notable changes. The association between sociodemographic index (SDI) and AAPC were investigated. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to predict thyroid cancer trends from 2020 to 2040. Results: From 1990 to 2019, thyroid cancer incidence cases in China increased by 289.6%, with a higher AAPC of age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) in men. Contrastingly, the G20 demonstrated a smaller increase, particularly among women over 50. Despite the overall age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) was higher in the G20, the increase in mortality was less pronounced than in China. Age-standardised incidence rate increased across all age groups and genders, with a notable rise among men aged 15-49. ASMR decreased in specific age groups and genders, especially among women. Conversely, the ASMR significantly increased in group aged over 70. The MIR exhibited a declining trend, but this decrease was less noticeable in men and the group aged over 70. Joinpoint analysis pinpointed significant shifts in overall ASIR and ASMR, with the most pronounced increase in ASIR during 2003-2011 in China and 2003-2010 in the G20. Predictions suggested a continual ASIR uptrend, especially in the 50-69 age group, coupled with a predicted ASMR downturn among the elderly by 2040. Moreover, the proportion of thyroid cancer deaths attributable to high body mass index (BMI) escalated, with significant increase in Saudi Arabia and a rise to 7.4% in China in 2019. Conclusions: Thyroid cancer cases in incidence and mortality are escalating in both China and the G20. The increasing trend may be attributed to factors beyond overdiagnosis, including environmental and genetic factors. These findings emphasise the necessity for augmenting prevention, control, and treatment strategies. They also highlight the significance of international collaboration in addressing the global challenge posed by thyroid cancer.

Analysis of lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA interactions identified a novel biomarker LINC00657 to improve prognosis prediction of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is the most common type of thyroid cancer. Identification of novel biomarkers can potentially help explore the underlying molecular mechanisms of PTC. Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) are involved in cancer development. However, understanding the role of lncRNA in PTC remains challenging. METHODS: Based on the competitive endogenous RNA (ceRNA) theory, we constructed a comprehensive PTC-related lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA network using data from The Cancer Genome Atlas. To evaluate the prognostic power, we performed survival analysis for patients with PTC with low and high lncRNA expression levels, and examined the relationship between lncRNA and immune-related functions. RESULTS: We identified a hub node, long intergenic non-coding RNA, LINC00657, as a novel prognostic biomarker in PTC. LINC00657 was differentially expressed between tumor and adjacent normal samples. Low LINC00657 expression levels was significantly associated with better survival outcome. Our functional analyses showed that LINC00657 was related with infiltration of CD8+ T cell and macrophage; immune check point molecules; and immune metagenes such as IgG, LCK, MHC_I/II and etc. These results suggest that LINC00657 is an immune-related biomarker with potential clinical applicability. Additionally, cancer-related signaling pathway and high frequency of gene BRAF mutation were found in PTC samples with high LINC00657 expression level, which were consistent with previous findings. CONCLUSION: LINC00657 is an immune-related biomarker that can potentially improve prognosis prediction in PTC. Our study provided new treatment target of PTC in clinical practice and offered the novel insights in elucidating the functional role of lncRNAs.

The role of [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT in diagnostic and prognostic assessment of medullary thyroid cancer: a 15-year experience with 109 patients.

Objective: Correct diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) are crucial to treat patients. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value of [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT in patients with MTC. Methods: We reviewed MTC patients who underwent [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT from June 2008 to November 2023. Clinical characteristics, follow-up data, and the following [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT parameters were recorded: maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), mean standardized uptake value (SUVmean), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and SUVmean of multiple organs. The diagnostic value of PET/CT for the detection of tumor lesions was calculated. Serum basal calcitonin (bCt) and stimulated calcitonin (sCt) were determined. Receiver operating characteristics, Kaplan-Meier, and Cox regression analyses were performed. Results: In total, 109 patients (50 women, 59 men; average age, 55 ± 14 years) were included in the analysis. The patient-related sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT were 95%, 93%, and 94%, respectively. The lesion-related sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 65%, 99%, and 72%, respectively. The optimal cutoff values of bCt, sCt, and CEA to obtain positive [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT results were 64 pg/mL, 1808 pg/mL, and 4 µg/L, respectively. Patients with negative [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT had longer overall survival than patients with positive [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT results (P = 0.017). Significant positive correlations were found between bCt, sCt, and CEA with SUVmax, SUVmean, and MTV of [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT (P < 0.001). [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT results and MTV may be useful for the evaluation of the prognosis of patients with recurrent MTC, while age and MTV were independent prognostic factors in patients with primary MTC. For all patients, SUVmean of the left kidney, liver, aorta, and pancreas might be used to independently predict OS. Conclusion: [18F]F-DOPA PET/CT had great value for diagnosis and prognostic assessment in patients with MTC. The DOPA PET/CT parameter SUVmean and MTV showed significant association with OS.

Risk of second primary thyroid cancer in cancer survivors.

A risk factor for thyroid cancer (TC) may be a history of former cancer and cancer therapy. The precise risk of a second primary thyroid carcinoma has not yet been revealed. In this study, we evaluated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of second primary thyroid cancer (SPTC) with consideration of different conditions and further analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics and survival of these patients. The cohort was selected from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program between 1975 and 2019. The standardized incidence ratios, morbidity risk, clinicopathological features, and survival of second primary thyroid carcinoma were analyzed. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance covariates. Kaplan-Meier method was performed to assess the survival outcomes. Overall, 7066 patients with SPTC and 83,113 patients with primary TC were identified. The SIR of TC in tumor patients was 1.51/10,000, statistically higher than the natural population (0.94/10,000, P < 0.05). The most significant tumors contributing to the increased SIRs of SPTC were acute lymphocytic leukemia (3.49/10,000), Hodgkin's lymphoma-nodal (3.29/10,000), salivary gland cancer (3.23/10,000), and kidney and renal pelvis cancer (3.05/10,000). The incidence of TC increased significantly in tumor patients who received radiotherapy/chemotherapy before age 35. The age at diagnosis of the SPTC was much older than the primary TC (64.01 vs. 49.55 years, p < 0.001). The SPTC had a higher percentage of histological grades 3/4 (23.14% vs. 15.19%, p < 0.001). Survival analyses demonstrated a worse prognosis for the SPTC group compared to the primary TC group. But after PSM, the survival outcomes of the two groups tended to be equivalent (P = 0.584). The SIRs of TC are higher in tumor patients. The most significant factors contributing to the increased risk of SPTC were some specific former tumors and acceptance of radiotherapy/ chemotherapy before age 35. There was no significant difference in survival between SPTC and primary TC.

Trends and projections of the global burden of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2030.

Background: We aimed to explore the burden of thyroid cancer worldwide from 1990 to 2019 and to project its future trends from 2020 to 2030. Methods: Based on annual data on thyroid cancer cases from 1990 to 2019 available in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, we calculated the age-standardised incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates for thyroid cancer. We used the estimated annual percentage change (EPAC) to quantify the temporal trends in these age-standardised rates from 1990 to 2019 and applied generalised additive models to project the disease burden from 2020 to 2030. Results: The global age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) of thyroid cancer increased from 1990 to 2019, with a higher overall disease burden in women than in men at both study time points. The male-to-female ratios for the ASIR increased from 0.41 in 1990 to 0.51 in 2019, while the ratio for the age-standardised death rate (ASDR) increased from 0.60 to 0.82. The models predicted the United Arab Emirates would have the fastest rising trend in both the ASIR (estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) = 4.19) and age-standardised DALY rate (EAPC = 4.36) in 2020-30, while Saint Kitts and Nevis will have the fastest rising trend in the ASDR (EAPC = 2.29). Meanwhile, the growth trends for the ASDR and age-standardised DALY rate are projected to increase across countries in this period. A correlation analysis of the global burden of thyroid cancer between 1990-2019 and 2020-30 showed a significant positive correlation between the increase in the ASIR and socio-demographic index (SDI) in low-SDI and low-middle-SDI countries. Conclusions: The global burden of thyroid cancer is increasing, especially in the female population and in low-middle-SDI regions, underscoring a need to target them for effective prevention, diagnosis, and treatment.

A Competing Risk Nomogram for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients With Primary Squamous Cell Thyroid Carcinoma.

Objective: Primary squamous cell thyroid carcinoma (PSCTC) is an extremely rare carcinoma, accounting for less than 1% of all thyroid carcinomas. However, the factors contributing to PSCTC outcomes remain unclear. This study aimed to identify the prognostic factors and develop a prognostic predictive model for patients with PSCTC. Methods: The analysis included patients diagnosed with thyroid carcinoma between 1975 and 2016 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Prognostic differences among the 5 pathological types of thyroid carcinomas were analyzed. To determine prognostic factors in PSCTC patients, the Cox regression model and Fine-Gray competing risk model were utilized. Based on the Fine-Gray competing risk model, a nomogram was established for predicting the prognosis of patients with PSCTC. Results: A total of 198,757 thyroid carcinoma patients, including 218 PSCTC patients, were identified. We found that PSCTC and anaplastic thyroid cancer had the worst prognosis among the 5 pathological types of thyroid carcinoma (P < .001). According to univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, age (71-95 years) was an independent risk factor for poorer overall survival and disease-specific survival in PSCTC patients. Using Fine-Gray regression analysis, the total number of in situ/malignant tumors for patient (Number 1) (≥2) was identified as an independent protective factor for prognosis of PSCTC. The area under the curve, the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves and decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram was capable of predicting the prognosis of PSCTC patients accurately. Conclusion: The competing risk nomogram is highly accurate in predicting prognosis for patients with PSCTC, which may help clinicians to optimize individualized treatment decisions.