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2.
Lancet Public Health ; 7(1): e74-e85, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34756176

ABSTRACT

Stroke is the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability worldwide and its burden is increasing rapidly in low-income and middle-income countries, many of which are unable to face the challenges it imposes. In this Health Policy paper on primary stroke prevention, we provide an overview of the current situation regarding primary prevention services, estimate the cost of stroke and stroke prevention, and identify deficiencies in existing guidelines and gaps in primary prevention. We also offer a set of pragmatic solutions for implementation of primary stroke prevention, with an emphasis on the role of governments and population-wide strategies, including task-shifting and sharing and health system re-engineering. Implementation of primary stroke prevention involves patients, health professionals, funders, policy makers, implementation partners, and the entire population along the life course.


Subject(s)
Stroke/prevention & control , Costs and Cost Analysis , Developing Countries , Global Health , Health Policy , Humans , Stroke/economics
3.
Front Neurol ; 13: 1070523, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36742046

ABSTRACT

Background: Reducing pre- and in-hospital delays plays an important role in increasing the rate of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke. In Egypt, the IVT rate has increased steadily but is still far away from an ideal rate. Aim: The study aimed to investigate the factors associated with pre- and in-hospital delays of IVT among patients with acute ischemic stroke coming from urban and rural communities. Methods: This prospective, multicenter, observational cohort study was conducted from January 2018 to January 2019. Patients with acute ischemic stroke, who did not receive IVT, were included in the study. Patients were recruited from three large university stroke centers in Egypt, Assiut (south of Egypt), Tanta (north of Egypt), both serving urban and rural patients, and the University Hospital in Cairo (capital city), only serving an urban community. All participants underwent the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and full neurological assessment, urgent laboratory investigations, and computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging to confirm the stroke diagnosis. The patients were subjected to a structured questionnaire that was designed to determine the parameters and time metrics for the pre- and in-hospital delays among patients from rural and urban regions. Results: A total of 618 patients were included in the study, of which 364 patients (58.9%) lived in rural regions and 254 (41.1%) in urban regions. General demographic characteristics were similar between both groups. Approximately 73.3% of patients who arrived within the therapeutic time window were urban patients. The time from symptom onset till hospital arrival (onset to door time, ODT) was significantly longer among rural patients (738 ± 690 min) than urban patients (360 ± 342 min). Delayed onset to alarm time (OAT), initial misdiagnosis, and presentation to non-stroke-ready hospitals were the most common causes of pre-hospital delay and were significantly higher in rural patients. For patients arriving within the time window, the most common causes of in-hospital delays were prolonged laboratory investigations and imaging duration. Conclusion: The limited availability of stroke-ready hospitals in rural Egypt leads to delays in stroke management, with subsequent treatment inequality of rural patients with acute stroke.

4.
Nat Rev Neurol ; 17(10): 634-656, 2021 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34526674

ABSTRACT

Stroke is a leading cause of disability, dementia and death worldwide. Approximately 70% of deaths from stroke and 87% of stroke-related disability occur in low-income and middle-income countries. At the turn of the century, the most common diseases in Africa were communicable diseases, whereas non-communicable diseases, including stroke, were considered rare, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. However, evidence indicates that, today, Africa could have up to 2-3-fold greater rates of stroke incidence and higher stroke prevalence than western Europe and the USA. In Africa, data published within the past decade show that stroke has an annual incidence rate of up to 316 per 100,000, a prevalence of up to 1,460 per 100,000 and a 3-year fatality rate greater than 80%. Moreover, many Africans have a stroke within the fourth to sixth decades of life, with serious implications for the individual, their family and society. This age profile is particularly important as strokes in younger people tend to result in a greater loss of self-worth and socioeconomic productivity than in older individuals. Emerging insights from research into stroke epidemiology, genetics, prevention, care and outcomes offer great prospects for tackling the growing burden of stroke on the continent. In this article, we review the unique profile of stroke in Africa and summarize current knowledge on stroke epidemiology, genetics, prevention, acute care, rehabilitation, outcomes, cost of care and awareness. We also discuss knowledge gaps, emerging priorities and future directions of stroke medicine for the more than 1 billion people who live in Africa.


Subject(s)
Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/therapy , Africa/epidemiology , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Age Factors , Cause of Death , Humans , Incidence , Stroke Rehabilitation/statistics & numerical data
5.
Cerebrovasc Dis Extra ; 11(2): 55-60, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33975306

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Coronavirus disease 2019 (CO-VID-19) has an increased propensity for systemic hypercoagulability and thromboembolism. An association with cerebrovascular diseases, especially cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT), has been reported among these patients. The objective of the present study was to identify risk factors for CVT as well as its presentation and outcome in COVID-19 patients. METHODS: This is a multicenter and multinational observational study. Ten centers in 4 countries (Pakistan, Egypt, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates) participated in this study. The study included patients (aged >18 years) with symptomatic CVT and recent COVID-19 infection. RESULTS: Twenty patients (70% men) were included. Their mean age was 42.4 years, with a male-to-female ratio of 2.3:1. Headache (85%) and seizures (65%) were the common presenting symptoms, with a mean admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 13. CVT was the presenting feature in 13 cases (65%), while 7 patients (35%) developed CVT while being treated for COVID-19 infection. Respiratory symptoms were absent in 45% of the patients. The most common imaging finding was infarction (65%), followed by hemorrhage (20%). The superior sagittal sinus (65%) was the most common site of thrombosis. Acute inflammatory markers were raised, including elevated serum D-dimer (87.5%), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (69%), and C-reactive protein (47%) levels. Homocysteine was elevated in half of the tested cases. The mortality rate was 20% (4 patients). A good functional outcome was seen in the surviving patients, with a mean modified Rankin Scale score at discharge of 1.3. Nine patients (45%) had a modified Rankin Scale score of 0-1 at discharge. CONCLUSION: COVID-19-related CVT is more common among males at older ages when compared to previously reported non-COVID-19-related CVT cases. CVT should be suspected in COVID-19 patients presenting with headache or seizures. Mortality is high, but functional neurological outcome is good among survivors.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/diagnosis , Intracranial Thrombosis/epidemiology , Intracranial Thrombosis/virology , Venous Thrombosis/epidemiology , Venous Thrombosis/virology , Adult , COVID-19/therapy , Egypt , Female , Humans , Intracranial Thrombosis/diagnosis , Male , Middle Aged , Pakistan , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Singapore , United Arab Emirates , Venous Thrombosis/diagnosis
6.
Int J Stroke ; 16(8): 889-901, 2021 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33988062

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Improving stroke services is critical for reducing the global stroke burden. The World Stroke Organization-World Health Organization-Lancet Neurology Commission on Stroke conducted a survey of the status of stroke services in low and middle-income countries (LMICs) compared to high-income countries. METHODS: Using a validated World Stroke Organization comprehensive questionnaire, we collected and compared data on stroke services along four pillars of the stroke quadrangle (surveillance, prevention, acute stroke, and rehabilitation) in 84 countries across World Health Organization regions and economic strata. The World Health Organization also conducted a survey of non-communicable diseases in 194 countries in 2019. RESULTS: Fewer surveillance activities (including presence of registries, presence of recent risk factors surveys, and participation in research) were reported in low-income countries than high-income countries. The overall global score for prevention was 40.2%. Stroke units were present in 91% of high-income countries in contrast to 18% of low-income countries (p < 0.001). Acute stroke treatments were offered in ∼ 60% of high-income countries compared to 26% of low-income countries (p = 0.009). Compared to high-income countries, LMICs provided less rehabilitation services including in-patient rehabilitation, home assessment, community rehabilitation, education, early hospital discharge program, and presence of rehabilitation protocol. CONCLUSIONS: There is an urgent need to improve access to stroke units and services globally especially in LMICs. Countries with less stroke services can adapt strategies from those with better services. This could include establishment of a framework for regular monitoring of stroke burden and services, implementation of integrated prevention activities and essential acute stroke care services, and provision of interdisciplinary care for stroke rehabilitation.


Subject(s)
Stroke Rehabilitation , Stroke , Developing Countries , Global Health , Humans , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/therapy , Surveys and Questionnaires , World Health Organization
8.
Int J Stroke ; 16(1): 93-99, 2021 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32026763

ABSTRACT

Africa is the world's most genetically diverse, second largest, and second most populous continent, with over one billion people distributed across 54 countries. With a 23% lifetime risk of stroke, Africa has some of the highest rates of stroke worldwide and many occur in the prime of life with huge economic losses and grave implications for the individual, family, and the society in terms of mental capital, productivity, and socioeconomic progress. Tackling the escalating burden of stroke in Africa requires prioritized, multipronged, and inter-sectoral strategies tailored to the unique African epidemiological, cultural, socioeconomic, and lifestyle landscape. The African Stroke Organization (ASO) is a new pan-African coalition that brings together stroke researchers, clinicians, and other health-care professionals with participation of national and regional stroke societies and stroke support organizations. With a vision to reduce the rapidly increasing burden of stroke in Africa, the ASO has a four-pronged focus on (1) research, (2) capacity building, (3) development of stroke services, and (4) collaboration with all stakeholders. This will be delivered through advocacy, awareness, and empowerment initiatives to bring about people-focused changes in policy, clinical practice, and public education. In the spirit of the African philosophy of Ubuntu "I am because we are," the ASO will harness the power of diversity, inclusiveness, togetherness, and team work to build a strong, enduring, and impactful platform for tackling stroke in Africa.


Subject(s)
Stroke , Africa/epidemiology , Capacity Building , Humans , Organizations , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/therapy
9.
Front Neurol ; 11: 666, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32793099

ABSTRACT

Objectives: To establish a novel transcranial color-coded sonography (TCCS) grading system for collateral circulation in cases of symptomatic chronic total carotid occlusion (TCO), and to correlate this new grading system with cerebrovascular reserve capacity (CVR) measured by SPECT. Methods: Thirty-four patients with symptomatic chronic TCO recruited from the neurovascular ultrasound laboratory of the department of Neurology at Cairo University Hospital during 3 years' time period and diagnosed by color-coded duplex were subjected to: clinical assessment, grading of cerebral collaterals using a proposed TCCS criteria, Brain SPECT studies at rest and with dipyridamole stress. Results: The new grading system for cerebral collateral circulation showed a significant positive correlation with CVR (P < 0.001 and Spearman correlation coefficient 0.686). Conclusion: The current study showed that this new TCCS grading system for cerebral collaterals is a reliable indicator for cerebral perfusion and reserve capacity in cases of chronic symptomatic TCO.

10.
Int J Stroke ; 15(5): 540-554, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32362244

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: On 11 March 2020, World Health Organization (WHO) declared the COVID-19 infection a pandemic. The risk of ischemic stroke may be higher in patients with COVID-19 infection similar to those with other respiratory tract infections. We present a comprehensive set of practice implications in a single document for clinicians caring for adult patients with acute ischemic stroke with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 infection. METHODS: The practice implications were prepared after review of data to reach the consensus among stroke experts from 18 countries. The writers used systematic literature reviews, reference to previously published stroke guidelines, personal files, and expert opinion to summarize existing evidence, indicate gaps in current knowledge, and when appropriate, formulate practice implications. All members of the writing group had opportunities to comment in writing on the practice implications and approved the final version of this document. RESULTS: This document with consensus is divided into 18 sections. A total of 41 conclusions and practice implications have been developed. The document includes practice implications for evaluation of stroke patients with caution for stroke team members to avoid COVID-19 exposure, during clinical evaluation and performance of imaging and laboratory procedures with special considerations of intravenous thrombolysis and mechanical thrombectomy in stroke patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection. CONCLUSIONS: These practice implications with consensus based on the currently available evidence aim to guide clinicians caring for adult patients with acute ischemic stroke who are suspected of, or confirmed, with COVID-19 infection. Under certain circumstances, however, only limited evidence is available to support these practice implications, suggesting an urgent need for establishing procedures for the management of stroke patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection.


Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia/therapy , Coronavirus Infections/transmission , Pneumonia, Viral/transmission , Stroke/therapy , Betacoronavirus , Brain Ischemia/diagnosis , Brain Ischemia/epidemiology , COVID-19 , Cerebral Angiography , Comorbidity , Computed Tomography Angiography , Coronavirus Infections/blood , Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Disease Management , Health Personnel , Humans , Infectious Disease Transmission, Patient-to-Professional/prevention & control , Magnetic Resonance Angiography , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Pandemics , Patient Isolators , Perfusion Imaging , Pneumonia, Viral/blood , Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Risk , SARS-CoV-2 , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology , Thrombophilia/blood , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
11.
Am J Emerg Med ; 38(7): 1548.e5-1548.e7, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32444298

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To present guidance for clinicians caring for adult patients with acuteischemic stroke with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 infection. METHODS: The summary was prepared after review of systematic literature reviews,reference to previously published stroke guidelines, personal files, and expert opinionby members from 18 countries. RESULTS: The document includes practice implications for evaluation of stroke patientswith caution for stroke team members to avoid COVID-19 exposure, during clinicalevaluation and conduction of imaging and laboratory procedures with specialconsiderations of intravenous thrombolysis and mechanical thrombectomy in strokepatients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection. RESULTS: Conclusions-The summary is expected to guide clinicians caring for adult patientswith acute ischemic stroke who are suspected of, or confirmed, with COVID-19infection.


Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia/therapy , Coronavirus Infections/complications , Infection Control , Pneumonia, Viral/complications , Stroke/therapy , Betacoronavirus , Brain Ischemia/diagnostic imaging , COVID-19 , Disease Management , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Stroke/diagnostic imaging
13.
Front Neurol ; 10: 1248, 2019.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31824414

ABSTRACT

Intracranial atherosclerotic disease (ICAD) is considered a major cause of recurrent cerebrovascular events. ICAD continues to be a disease without an effective method of reducing the risk of recurrent stroke and death, even with aggressive, highly monitored medical treatment. We reviewed data from three randomized controlled studies that published data comparing intracranial stenting vs. medical treatment for symptomatic severe-ICAD. Ethnic, demographic, clinical, and procedural differences were observed among the data from these trials that might influence their results. Future research should aim at establishing refined selection criteria that can identify high-risk ICAD patients who may benefit from intracranial stenting.

14.
Nature ; 574(7778): 353-358, 2019 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31619795

ABSTRACT

Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2-to end preventable child deaths by 2030-we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000-2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32% of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58% of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographical inequalities to inform appropriate investments and implementations that will help to improve the health of all populations.


Subject(s)
Child Mortality/trends , Infant Mortality/trends , Child , Geography , Global Health , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Organizational Objectives , Public Health , Socioeconomic Factors , United Nations
15.
JAMA Oncol ; 5(12): 1749-1768, 2019 12 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31560378

ABSTRACT

Importance: Cancer and other noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are now widely recognized as a threat to global development. The latest United Nations high-level meeting on NCDs reaffirmed this observation and also highlighted the slow progress in meeting the 2011 Political Declaration on the Prevention and Control of Noncommunicable Diseases and the third Sustainable Development Goal. Lack of situational analyses, priority setting, and budgeting have been identified as major obstacles in achieving these goals. All of these have in common that they require information on the local cancer epidemiology. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study is uniquely poised to provide these crucial data. Objective: To describe cancer burden for 29 cancer groups in 195 countries from 1990 through 2017 to provide data needed for cancer control planning. Evidence Review: We used the GBD study estimation methods to describe cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). Results are presented at the national level as well as by Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income, educational attainment, and total fertility rate. We also analyzed the influence of the epidemiological vs the demographic transition on cancer incidence. Findings: In 2017, there were 24.5 million incident cancer cases worldwide (16.8 million without nonmelanoma skin cancer [NMSC]) and 9.6 million cancer deaths. The majority of cancer DALYs came from years of life lost (97%), and only 3% came from years lived with disability. The odds of developing cancer were the lowest in the low SDI quintile (1 in 7) and the highest in the high SDI quintile (1 in 2) for both sexes. In 2017, the most common incident cancers in men were NMSC (4.3 million incident cases); tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer (1.5 million incident cases); and prostate cancer (1.3 million incident cases). The most common causes of cancer deaths and DALYs for men were TBL cancer (1.3 million deaths and 28.4 million DALYs), liver cancer (572 000 deaths and 15.2 million DALYs), and stomach cancer (542 000 deaths and 12.2 million DALYs). For women in 2017, the most common incident cancers were NMSC (3.3 million incident cases), breast cancer (1.9 million incident cases), and colorectal cancer (819 000 incident cases). The leading causes of cancer deaths and DALYs for women were breast cancer (601 000 deaths and 17.4 million DALYs), TBL cancer (596 000 deaths and 12.6 million DALYs), and colorectal cancer (414 000 deaths and 8.3 million DALYs). Conclusions and Relevance: The national epidemiological profiles of cancer burden in the GBD study show large heterogeneities, which are a reflection of different exposures to risk factors, economic settings, lifestyles, and access to care and screening. The GBD study can be used by policy makers and other stakeholders to develop and improve national and local cancer control in order to achieve the global targets and improve equity in cancer care.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/epidemiology , Disabled Persons , Global Burden of Disease , Global Health , Humans , Incidence , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
17.
Int J Stroke ; 14(7): 715-722, 2019 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30860454

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND METHODS: Stroke incidence and mortality are reported to have increased in the Middle-East and North African (MENA) countries during the last decade. This was a prospective observational study to examine the baseline characteristics of stroke patients in the MENA region and to compare the MENA vs. the non-MENA stroke cohort in the Safe Implementation of Treatments in Stroke (SITS) International Registry. RESULTS: Of the 13,822 patients with ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke enrolled in the SITS-All Patients Protocol between June 2014 and May 2016, 5897 patients (43%) were recruited in MENA. The median onset-to-door time was 5 h (IQR: 2:20-13:00), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score was 8 (4-13) and age was 65 years (56-76). Hypertension (66%) and diabetes (38%) were the prevailing risk factors; large artery stenosis > 50% (25.3%) and lacunar strokes (24.1%) were the most common ischemic stroke etiologies. In comparison, non-MENA countries displayed an onset-to-door time of 5:50 h (2:00-18:45), a median of NIHSS 6 (3-14), and a median age of 66 (56-76), with other large vessel disease and cardiac embolism as the main ischemic stroke etiologies. Hemorrhagic strokes (10%) were less common compared to non-MENA countries (13.9%). In MENA, only a low proportion of patients (21%) was admitted to stroke units. CONCLUSIONS: MENA patients are slightly younger, have a higher prevalence of diabetes and slightly more severe ischemic strokes, commonly of atherosclerotic or microvascular etiology. Admission into stroke units and long-term follow-up need to be improved. It is suspected that cardiac embolism and atrial fibrillation are currently underdiagnosed in MENA countries.


Subject(s)
Stroke/epidemiology , Africa, Northern/epidemiology , Aged , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Middle East/epidemiology , Prospective Studies
18.
Int J Neurosci ; 129(5): 455-460, 2019 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30372650

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aims to investigate the relationship between cerebrovascular reserve (CVR) capacity, as measured by single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and collateral blood flow, according to a transcranial colour-coded duplex(TCCD), in patients with symptomatic total carotid occlusion (TCO). Additionally, the study aims to determine whether vascular risk factors have an effect on collateral blood flow, as well as on the CVR. METHODS: Thirty-four patients with chronic TCO, diagnosed by carotid duplex scanning and confirmed by other vascular imaging modalities, who had ischaemic symptoms either as stroke or transient ischaemic attack, were subjected to clinical assessment, SPECT under dipyridamole stress, and grading of cerebral collateral blood flow using TCCD. Demographics and vascular risk factors were correlated with SPECT and TCCD findings. RESULTS: CVR showed a significant positive correlation with the intensity of collaterals with P value <0.001 and a Spearman correlation coefficient of 0.686. Hypertension was the only predictor of poor collaterals (p value =0.049; OR =11.5 with 95% CI 1.01-131.16).Smoking was predictive of poor CVR as measured by qualitative SPECT (p value =0.02; OR =13.2 with 95% CI 1.4-120.6). CONCLUSION: Cerebral collaterals have an important role in the maintenance of CVR in patients with TCO. Preventive measures should be directed towards hypertension and smoking to preserve cerebral collateral patency and consequently improve CVR in patients with TCO.


Subject(s)
Carotid Artery Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Stenosis/diagnostic imaging , Cerebrovascular Circulation , Collateral Circulation , Ischemic Attack, Transient/diagnostic imaging , Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Tomography, Emission-Computed, Single-Photon/methods , Adult , Aged , Carotid Artery Diseases/physiopathology , Carotid Stenosis/physiopathology , Cerebrovascular Circulation/physiology , Collateral Circulation/physiology , Female , Humans , Ischemic Attack, Transient/physiopathology , Male , Middle Aged , Stroke/physiopathology , Ultrasonography, Doppler, Color , Ultrasonography, Doppler, Transcranial/methods
19.
N Engl J Med ; 379(25): 2429-2437, 2018 12 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30575491

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The lifetime risk of stroke has been calculated in a limited number of selected populations. We sought to estimate the lifetime risk of stroke at the regional, country, and global level using data from a comprehensive study of the prevalence of major diseases. METHODS: We used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2016 estimates of stroke incidence and the competing risks of death from any cause other than stroke to calculate the cumulative lifetime risks of first stroke, ischemic stroke, or hemorrhagic stroke among adults 25 years of age or older. Estimates of the lifetime risks in the years 1990 and 2016 were compared. Countries were categorized into quintiles of the sociodemographic index (SDI) used in the GBD Study, and the risks were compared across quintiles. Comparisons were made with the use of point estimates and uncertainty intervals representing the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles around the estimate. RESULTS: The estimated global lifetime risk of stroke from the age of 25 years onward was 24.9% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.5 to 26.2); the risk among men was 24.7% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.3 to 26.0), and the risk among women was 25.1% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.7 to 26.5). The risk of ischemic stroke was 18.3%, and the risk of hemorrhagic stroke was 8.2%. In high-SDI, high-middle-SDI, and low-SDI countries, the estimated lifetime risk of stroke was 23.5%, 31.1% (highest risk), and 13.2% (lowest risk), respectively; the 95% uncertainty intervals did not overlap between these categories. The highest estimated lifetime risks of stroke according to GBD region were in East Asia (38.8%), Central Europe (31.7%), and Eastern Europe (31.6%), and the lowest risk was in eastern sub-Saharan Africa (11.8%). The mean global lifetime risk of stroke increased from 22.8% in 1990 to 24.9% in 2016, a relative increase of 8.9% (95% uncertainty interval, 6.2 to 11.5); the competing risk of death from any cause other than stroke was considered in this calculation. CONCLUSIONS: In 2016, the global lifetime risk of stroke from the age of 25 years onward was approximately 25% among both men and women. There was geographic variation in the lifetime risk of stroke, with the highest risks in East Asia, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.).


Subject(s)
Stroke/epidemiology , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cause of Death , Female , Global Burden of Disease , Global Health , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Risk , Sex Distribution , Socioeconomic Factors
20.
J Vasc Interv Neurol ; 10(1): 68-72, 2018 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29922411

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Stroke ranks as the second leading cause of death and the leading cause of morbidity worldwide. Large intracranial arterial stenosis (ICAS) is a major cause of stroke. METHODS: This study investigated the prevalence and associated vascular risk factors of ICAS in a high-risk population in Qalyeubia Governorate, Egypt. A cross-sectional pilot survey using transcranial Doppler (TCD) was conducted at Toukh Central Hospital and Aghore El-qubra primary healthcare units in the Qalyeubia Governorate from 1 January 2016 until the end of June 2016. RESULTS: A total of 153 participants were included in this study. The prevalence of asymptomatic ICAS was 13.1%. Among the modifiable risk factors, cardiac diseases, hypertension, diabetes, obesity, dyslipidemia, physical inactivity, and smoking were the strongest independent predictors of ICAS. CONCLUSION: This pilot study concluded that the prevalence of asymptomatic ICAS is relatively high in Egypt, and modifiable risk factors were the strongest predisposing factors of ICAS. TCD is an efficient non-invasive modality for the diagnostic evaluation of ICAS.

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