Accounting for the Origins and Toll of COVID 19 The key role of Overweight in COVID-19.

Both global and US data show associations between COVID-19 death rates and overweight or obesity, which are also risk factors for several other outcomes. Evidence suggests that among the strategies to reduce overweight and obesity are the simple actions of increasing fruit and vegetable consumption and physical activity. Potential benefits include saving thousands of lives and billions of dollars in a future pandemic and reduced risk of other chronic conditions.

Updated Estimates of Chronic Conditions Affecting Risk for Complications from Coronavirus Disease, United States.

We updated estimates of adults at risk for coronavirus disease complications on the basis of data for China by using recent US hospitalization data. This update to our previous publication substitutes obesity for cancer as an underlying condition and increases adults reporting any of the conditions from 45.4% to 56.0%.

Population-Based Estimates of Chronic Conditions Affecting Risk for Complications from Coronavirus Disease, United States.

We estimated that 45.4% of US adults are at increased risk for complications from coronavirus disease because of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, respiratory disease, hypertension, or cancer. Rates increased by age, from 19.8% for persons 18-29 years of age to 80.7% for persons >80 years of age, and varied by state, race/ethnicity, health insurance status, and employment.

Cognitive Impairment and Cardiovascular Disease: A Comparison of Risk Factors, Disability, Quality of Life, and Access to Health Care.

OBJECTIVES: Cognitive difficulties or impairment may be an early step in the development of dementia. Several modifiable risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) may also increase the risk of dementia. The objective of our study was to compare adults with subjective cognitive impairment (SCI), using the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) cognitive disability measure, with adults who reported CVD. METHODS: We examined data on 3 key outcomes among 302 008 adult respondents aged ≥45 in the 2017 BRFSS: respondents with SCI only, respondents with CVD only, and respondents with both conditions. We compared measures of disability, quality of life, access to health care, and a composite measure of the following 7 risk factors: current smoking, diabetes, high cholesterol, hypertension, inadequate fruit and vegetable consumption, obesity, and sedentary lifestyle. We also estimated population-attributable risk (PAR). RESULTS: Among respondents, 7.9% reported SCI only, 11.1% reported CVD only, and 3.2% reported both conditions, with differences by age and sex. Adults with SCI only were more likely than adults with CVD only to report other disability, worse access to health care, and poorer quality of life, even though adults with CVD were older. Compared with adults with neither condition, adults with any of the 3 outcomes were more likely to report having each of the 7 risk factors; we found a linear association with an increasing number of risk factors. Five or 6 risk factors contributed to PARs for each of the 3 key outcomes. PARs for SCI only were highest for ever smoking (17.2%) and sedentary lifestyle (12.8%), whereas for CVD only, PARs were highest for hypertension (35.5%) and high cholesterol (22.9%). CONCLUSION: Despite differences between adults with SCI and adults with CVD in several demographic and health-related measures, the overall similarity in PARs for SCI and CVD suggests potential benefits from using effective CVD interventions to address SCI.

The impact of key modifiable risk factors on leading chronic conditions.

We studied associations between 7 cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors (RFs) and 9 chronic conditions and estimated population-attributable risk. Data (N = 358,218) were from the 2017 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Outcomes included asthma, arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), cognitive impairment, CVD, and kidney disease. Risk factors (RF) were obesity, ever smoking, sedentary lifestyle, and inadequate fruit and vegetable consumption, while hypertension, high cholesterol, and diabetes were considered in both categories. Stata was used to study associations in both unadjusted and adjusted analysis. Population-attributable risk was estimated in Excel using adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and compared results using all RFs versus only those where causality was confirmed by other studies. RF prevalence rates ranged from 10.8% (95% CI 10.6, 11.0) for diabetes to 84.1% (83.8, 84.3) for inadequate fruit and vegetable consumption. Almost all adults (95.2%) reported ≥1 RF. Highest total PARs for RFs with confirmed causality were for obesity and ever smoking, and for hypertension when all RFs were considered. Total PARs for the 9 outcomes averaged 37.2-41.5% when results were limited to RFs with confirmed causality. Although the number of risk factors for which causality had been confirmed ranged from 1 to 6, all 9 outcomes showed linear dose response gradients with added risk factors. While all 7 RFs appeared important to address, targeting smoking and obesity with programs that have shown previous success offers the greatest potential for reducing burden for these 9 chronic diseases.

Differences Between Younger and Older US Adults With Multiple Chronic Conditions.

INTRODUCTION: Adults with multiple (≥2) chronic conditions (MCCs) account for a large portion of US health care costs. Despite the increase in MCC rates with age, most people with MCCs are working age. The study objective was to compare adults with MCCs who were younger than 65 years with those aged 65 years or older on selected measures to better understand the differences between groups and inform interventions that could lower health care costs. METHODS: Data from respondents to the 2015 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data (N = 201,711) were used to compare adults aged 65 or older with MCCs with those younger than 65 with MCCs in unadjusted and adjusted analyses on chronic conditions, quality of life measures, disability status, access to health care, and modifiable risk factors. MCCs were based on up to 12 chronic conditions (heart disease, stroke, asthma, arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, high cholesterol, cognitive impairment, diabetes, depression, chronic kidney disease, cancer other than skin, and hypertension). RESULTS: Consistent with 80% of all adults being younger than 65, more than 60% of adults with MCCs were younger than 65 years. Compared with adults aged 65 or older with MCCs, those younger than 65 were more likely to report asthma, cognitive impairment, depression, smoking, obesity, poorer access to health care, disability, and worse quality of life in both unadjusted and adjusted analysis. CONCLUSION: To decrease the burden of chronic diseases, adults younger than 65 with MCCs should get the treatment they need to reduce the chance of developing more chronic conditions as they age. The ultimate goal is to improve health status and reduce health care costs for everyone with MCCs.

Linear association between number of modifiable risk factors and multiple chronic conditions: Results from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.

Multiple (≥2) chronic conditions (MCCs) are responsible for a large fraction of healthcare costs. Our aim was to examine possible associations between MCCs and composite measures of behavioral risk factors (RFs). Data were publicly available 2013 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and included 483,865 non-institutionalized US adults ages ≥18years. Chronic conditions included asthma, arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cognitive impairment, heart disease, stroke, cancer, and kidney disease. RFs included obesity, current smoking, sedentary lifestyle, inadequate fruit and vegetable consumption, and sleeping other than 7-8h, while depression, hypertension, high cholesterol, and diabetes were considered in each category. Stata was used to study associations between 2 different MCCs and 2 composite measures of RFs in both unadjusted and adjusted analysis. Over 96% of respondents reported ≥1 of the 9 RFs and 71.5% reported ≥1 of the chronic conditions. For each combination there was a linear increase (with similar slopes) in MCC rate with more RFs and a statistically significant increase in adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for the MCC with each additional RF. For the MCC based on 8 chronic conditions, ORs were 1.3 (95% CI 1.1, 1.6) for 1 RF, 2.3 (1.9, 2.7) for 2, 3.7 (3.1, 4.4) for 3, 5.7 (4.8, 6.8) for 4, 9.1 (7.6, 10.8) for 5, 14.6 (12.2, 17.4) for 6, 24.0 (19.7, 29.2) for 7, 38.1 (29.6, 48.9) for 8, and 100.0 (56.3, 177.8) for all 9, each vs. zero RFs. Findings highlight the need for effective integrated programs to address multiple RFs and chronic conditions.

Dose-response gradients between a composite measure of six risk factors and cognitive decline and cardiovascular disease.

We created a composite risk factor index which includes 6 risk factors (diabetes, hypertension, obesity, depression, sedentary lifestyle, and current smoking) previously shown to be associated with cognitive decline (CD) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) as well as cardiovascular disease (CVD). Using 2011 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System results for 95,147 adults ages ≥45years we found that 77.3% of study adults reported ≥1 risk factor (RF) while <1% reported all 6. Reporting any RFs increased risk for CD and CVD, with a dose-response gradient shown for increasing numbers of RFs from 0 to 6. Number of RFs, % of adults with CD and CVD respectively were: 0 RF: 5.8% w/CD, 4.4% w/CVD; 1 RF: 9.6% w/CD, 10.8% w/CVD; 2 RF: 12.7% w/CD, 17.6% w/CVD; 3 RF: 19.3% w/CD, 23.7% w/CVD; 4 RF: 24.6% w/CD, 29.7% w/CVD: 5 RF: 39.0% w/CD. 32.2% w/CVD; and all 6 RF: 54.4% w/CD and 43.7% w/CVD. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were similar except they tended to be higher for CVD compared with CD, with ORs for all 6 RF compared with 0 RF of 11.2 (95% confidence interval 5.2-24.3) for CD and 16.3 (8.5-31.2) for CVD. While dose-response gradients had been reported for individual RFs, our study found dose-response gradients for increasing numbers of RFs and similar strengths of associations for CD and CVD, plus adds prevalence results from a representative survey. The similarity between CVD and CD results supports evidence from other studies and suggests potential benefits of coordinating CVD and CD/AD prevention efforts.

A healthy lifestyle composite measure: Significance and potential uses.

OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to create and explore potential uses of a composite "Healthy Lifestyle" measure based on Healthy People 2020 (HP2020) Objectives for behaviors shown to be associated with morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Data were from the 2013 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (N=412,942) on five modifiable behaviors with HP2020 Objectives (leisure time exercise, eating fruits and vegetables 5 or more times/day, getting ≥7h of sleep/24h, not smoking and not drinking excessively). These indicators were combined to form an all-or-none composite Healthy Lifestyle (HLS) measure. Associations between the HLS measure and demographic and other measures, plus details of component measures, were reported. RESULTS: Results indicated that only 7.7% of adults reported a HLS with wide variation among states and demographic groups. Both unadjusted and logistic regression results found associations between a HLS and better health, lower rates of chronic disease and better access to health care. Over one fourth of all respondents (28.0%) needed to only improve fruit and vegetable consumption to be practicing a HLS. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, few adults were practicing five behaviors that are generally recognized as healthy. All-or-none metrics like this HLS measure offer a fresh perspective on modifiable behaviors and the need for improvement. Examination of measure components can help explain demographic differences and identify strategies for improvement.

Psychological and health problems in a geographically proximate population time-sampled continuously for three months after the September 11th, 2001 terrorist incidents.

This study assessed the mental and physical health status and psychological problems related to the September 11th terrorist incidents among a representative sample of adults living near New York City, using continuously time-sampled data collected throughout 2001. Prevalence estimates for poor mental or physical health after September 11th (October through December) were comparable to those for the entire year of 2001 (i.e. approximately 33%). Psychological problems related to the terrorist incidents were reported by more than half of the respondents, and appeared to peak in prevalence approximately two to three months following the incidents, followed by a decline in the next month and subsequent year. Poor mental health, female gender, media re-exposure, and ongoing or increased alcohol use were risk factors for psychological problems, while older age (65+ years old) and being married were protective factors. Risk factors for poor physical and mental health or psychological problems were generally stable over the three-month period following September 11th, but some changes were identified consistent with stage models of post-disaster psychological adjustment. Implications are discussed for using continuous time-sampling as a strategy to research patterns of relatively acute stress-related sequelae of terrorism in populations whose members are affected despite primarily not having been at the disaster epicenter.

Factors associated with receiving help and risk factors for disaster-related distress among Connecticut adults 5-15 months after the September 11th terrorist incidents.

BACKGROUND: To obtain prevalence estimates and identify factors associated with psychological problems and receipt of help by a geographically proximate population in which some persons had direct exposure but the overall prevalence of direct exposure was low, 5-15 months after the September 11th, 2001 terrorist incidents. METHOD: Telephone survey data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) (Connecticut Module) with a randomly selected cohort of 2741 women and 1899 men aged 18 and older were examined using bivariate Chi Square and multivariate logistic regression analyses of weighted data. RESULTS: One in three respondents reported 9/11-related psychological problems, 26% of whom reported receiving formal services or peer support. Risk factors for reporting psychological problems included being surveyed earlier, female gender, age 64 or younger, Hispanic ethnicity, disability, recent depression, and reporting one day or more in the past 30 of poor mental health, sleep problems or worry. Poor mental health was associated with receipt of formal services, and increased alcohol use was associated with receipt of peer support. CONCLUSION: In the post-impact recovery period following mass trauma, psychological problems by persons with ongoing mental health conditions or increased alcohol use warrant continuing public and professional attention. Women, Hispanics, and disabled adults also may be under-served.

A population survey of smallpox knowledge, perceptions, and healthcare-seeking behavior surrounding the Iraq invasion--Connecticut 2002-03.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge and perceptions about smallpox would probably influence public behavior following an intentional smallpox release. We assessed public knowledge, perceptions, and related healthcare-seeking behavior in Connecticut during the period of heightened interest in smallpox preparedness surrounding the Iraq invasion. METHODS: Smallpox-related questions were added to Connecticut's Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System survey, an ongoing statewide adult population-based survey during December 2002-July 2003 and November-December 2003. RESULTS: Among 4,074 respondents, when asked about a hypothetical febrile illness, 72% would first contact their primary care provider (PCP) on weekdays. During nights and weekends, respondents would depend nearly equally on PCPs and emergency departments (37% versus 36%). Most knew smallpox is transmissible from person to person (72%) but not that the majority infected with smallpox survive (38%) or that smallpox is most contagious after the appearance of rash (11%). Knowledge regarding transmissibility and mortality improved during the study period (p < 0.001). Only 31% recognized that vaccinia vaccine is riskier than routine vaccines; 41% would choose vaccination if available. Concern about smallpox's potential use as a weapon was high but decreased after President Bush declared "mission accomplished" in Iraq in May 2003 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Despite national coverage of smallpox by the media, most respondents lacked basic knowledge regarding the disease. Incorrect perceptions regarding vaccinia vaccine's risks could increase inappropriate vaccine demand among nonexposed people with vaccine contraindications during a mass vaccination campaign. Current perceptions should inform future smallpox preparedness planning. In addition, both PCPs and emergency medicine clinicians should be targeted for education regarding smallpox diagnosis.

Predictors of help seeking among Connecticut adults after September 11, 2001.

OBJECTIVES: We conducted a population-based telephone survey in an attempt to determine correlates of formal and informal help seeking after September 11, 2001. METHODS: Between October 15 and December 31, 2001, 1774 Connecticut Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System respondents were asked questions directly related to their experiences of September 11. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that receipt of formal help was predicted by sleep problems, close association with a victim, reports of increased smoking or drinking, and receipt of informal help. Age, gender, reports of 1 or more problems, and formal help seeking predicted receipt of informal help. CONCLUSIONS: Public health planning and bioterrorism preparedness should include programs addressing increased smoking and drinking, sleep problems, and bereavement in the wake of disasters.