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2.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 42(2): 165-176, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37891433

ABSTRACT

Internal validity is often the primary concern for health technology assessment agencies when assessing comparative effectiveness evidence. However, the increasing use of real-world data from countries other than a health technology assessment agency's target population in effectiveness research has increased concerns over the external validity, or "transportability", of this evidence, and has led to a preference for local data. Methods have been developed to enable a lack of transportability to be addressed, for example by accounting for cross-country differences in disease characteristics, but their consideration in health technology assessments is limited. This may be because of limited knowledge of the methods and/or uncertainties in how best to utilise them within existing health technology assessment frameworks. This article aims to provide an introduction to transportability, including a summary of its assumptions and the methods available for identifying and adjusting for a lack of transportability, before discussing important considerations relating to their use in health technology assessment settings, including guidance on the identification of effect modifiers, guidance on the choice of target population, estimand, study sample and methods, and how evaluations of transportability can be integrated into health technology assessment submission and decision processes.


Subject(s)
Technology Assessment, Biomedical , Humans , Uncertainty
3.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 876, 2023 Dec 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38093182

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Symptomatic COVID-19 and Long COVID, also referred to as post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC) or post-COVID conditions, have been widely reported in young, healthy people, but their prevalence has not yet been determined in student athletes. We sought to estimate the prevalence of reported COVID-19, symptomatic COVID-19, and Long COVID in college athletes in the United States attending 18 schools from spring 2020 to fall 2021. METHODS: We developed an online survey to measure the prevalence of student athletes who tested positive for COVID-19, developed Long COVID, and did not return to their sport during the relevant time period. We surveyed a convenience sample of 18 collegiate school administrators, representing about 7,000 student athletes. Of those schools surveyed, 16 responded regarding the spring 2020 semester, and 18 responded regarding the full academic year of fall 2020 to spring 2021 (both semesters). RESULTS: According to the survey responses, there were 9.8% of student athletes who tested positive for COVID-19 in spring 2020 and 25.4% who tested positive in the academic year of fall 2020 to spring 2021. About 4% of student athletes who tested positive from spring 2020 to spring 2021 developed Long COVID, defined as new, recurring, or ongoing physical or mental health consequences occurring 4 or more weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights that Long COVID occurs among young, healthy athletes and is a real consequence of COVID-19. Understanding the prevalence of Long COVID in this population requires longer follow-up and further study.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Prevalence , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Athletes/psychology , Students
4.
BMJ Open ; 13(10): e074559, 2023 10 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37848301

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Examine whether data from early access to medicines in the USA can be used to inform National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) health technology assessments (HTA) in oncology. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Oncology-based community and academic treatment centres in the USA. PARTICIPANTS: Patients present in a nationwide electronic health record (EHR)-derived deidentified database. INTERVENTIONS: Cancer drugs that underwent NICE technology appraisal (TA) between 2014 and 2019. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The count and follow-up time of US patients, available in the EHR, who were exposed to cancer drugs of interest in the period between Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval and dates relevant to the NICE appraisal process. RESULTS: In 59 of 60 TAs analysed, the cancer therapy was approved in the USA before the final appraisal by NICE. The median time from FDA approval to the publication of NICE recommendations was 18.5 months, at which time the US EHR-derived database had, on average, 269 patients (SD=356) exposed to the new therapy, with a median of 75.3 person-years (IQR: 13.1-173) in time-at-risk. A case study generated evidence on real-world overall survival and treatment duration. CONCLUSIONS: Across different cancer therapies, there was substantial variability in US real-world data accumulated between FDA approval and NICE decision milestones. The applicability of these data to generate evidence for HTA decision-making should be assessed on a case-by-case basis depending on the intended HTA use case.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Agents , Electronic Health Records , Neoplasms , Humans , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Retrospective Studies , Technology Assessment, Biomedical , Uncertainty , Neoplasms/drug therapy
5.
Front Pharmacol ; 14: 1180962, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37781703

ABSTRACT

Background: As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to advance with breakthroughs in natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning (ML), such as the development of models like OpenAI's ChatGPT, new opportunities are emerging for efficient curation of electronic health records (EHR) into real-world data (RWD) for evidence generation in oncology. Our objective is to describe the research and development of industry methods to promote transparency and explainability. Methods: We applied NLP with ML techniques to train, validate, and test the extraction of information from unstructured documents (e.g., clinician notes, radiology reports, lab reports, etc.) to output a set of structured variables required for RWD analysis. This research used a nationwide electronic health record (EHR)-derived database. Models were selected based on performance. Variables curated with an approach using ML extraction are those where the value is determined solely based on an ML model (i.e. not confirmed by abstraction), which identifies key information from visit notes and documents. These models do not predict future events or infer missing information. Results: We developed an approach using NLP and ML for extraction of clinically meaningful information from unstructured EHR documents and found high performance of output variables compared with variables curated by manually abstracted data. These extraction methods resulted in research-ready variables including initial cancer diagnosis with date, advanced/metastatic diagnosis with date, disease stage, histology, smoking status, surgery status with date, biomarker test results with dates, and oral treatments with dates. Conclusion: NLP and ML enable the extraction of retrospective clinical data in EHR with speed and scalability to help researchers learn from the experience of every person with cancer.

6.
PNAS Nexus ; 2(5): pgad095, 2023 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37152676

ABSTRACT

The spring-summer 2022 mpox outbreak had over 50,000 cases globally, most of them in gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM). In response to vaccine shortages, several countries implemented dose-sparing vaccination strategies, stretching a full-dose vaccine vial into up to five fractional-dose vaccines. Recent studies have found mixed results regarding the effectiveness of the mpox vaccine, raising the question of the utility of dose-sparing strategies. We used an age- and risk-stratified mathematical model of an urban MSM population in the United States with ∼12% high-risk MSM to evaluate potential benefits from implementing dose-sparing vaccination strategies in which a full dose is divided into 3.5 fractional doses. We found that results strongly depend on the fractional-dose vaccine effectiveness (VE) and vaccine supply. With very limited vaccines available, enough to protect with a full dose approximately one-third of the high-risk population, dose-sparing strategies are more beneficial provided that fractional doses preserved at least 40% of full-dose effectiveness (34% absolute VE), projecting 13% (34% VE) to 70% (68% absolute VE) fewer infections than full-dose strategies. In contrast, if vaccine supply is enough to cover the majority of the high-risk population, dose-sparing strategies can be outperformed by full-dose strategies. Scenarios in which fractional dosing was 34% efficacious resulted in almost three times more infections than full dosing. Our analysis suggests that when mpox vaccine supply is limited and fractional-dose vaccination retains moderate effectiveness, there are meaningful health benefits from providing a smaller dose to a larger number of people in the high-risk population. These findings should inform the public-health response to future mpox outbreaks.

7.
Cancers (Basel) ; 15(6)2023 Mar 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36980739

ABSTRACT

Meaningful real-world evidence (RWE) generation requires unstructured data found in electronic health records (EHRs) which are often missing from administrative claims; however, obtaining relevant data from unstructured EHR sources is resource-intensive. In response, researchers are using natural language processing (NLP) with machine learning (ML) techniques (i.e., ML extraction) to extract real-world data (RWD) at scale. This study assessed the quality and fitness-for-use of EHR-derived oncology data curated using NLP with ML as compared to the reference standard of expert abstraction. Using a sample of 186,313 patients with lung cancer from a nationwide EHR-derived de-identified database, we performed a series of replication analyses demonstrating some common analyses conducted in retrospective observational research with complex EHR-derived data to generate evidence. Eligible patients were selected into biomarker- and treatment-defined cohorts, first with expert-abstracted then with ML-extracted data. We utilized the biomarker- and treatment-defined cohorts to perform analyses related to biomarker-associated survival and treatment comparative effectiveness, respectively. Across all analyses, the results differed by less than 8% between the data curation methods, and similar conclusions were reached. These results highlight that high-performance ML-extracted variables trained on expert-abstracted data can achieve similar results as when using abstracted data, unlocking the ability to perform oncology research at scale.

8.
NPJ Digit Med ; 5(1): 117, 2022 Aug 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35974092

ABSTRACT

We present a general framework for developing a machine learning (ML) tool that supports clinician assessment of patient risk using electronic health record-derived real-world data and apply the framework to a quality improvement use case in an oncology setting to identify patients at risk for a near-term (60 day) emergency department (ED) visit who could potentially be eligible for a home-based acute care program. Framework steps include defining clinical quality improvement goals, model development and validation, bias assessment, retrospective and prospective validation, and deployment in clinical workflow. In the retrospective analysis for the use case, 8% of patient encounters were associated with a high risk (pre-defined as predicted probability ≥20%) for a near-term ED visit by the patient. Positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for future ED events was 26% and 91%, respectively. Odds ratio (OR) of ED visit (high- vs. low-risk) was 3.5 (95% CI: 3.4-3.5). The model appeared to be calibrated across racial, gender, and ethnic groups. In the prospective analysis, 10% of patients were classified as high risk, 76% of whom were confirmed by clinicians as eligible for home-based acute care. PPV and NPV for future ED events was 22% and 95%, respectively. OR of ED visit (high- vs. low-risk) was 5.4 (95% CI: 2.6-11.0). The proposed framework for an ML-based tool that supports clinician assessment of patient risk is a stepwise development approach; we successfully applied the framework to an ED visit risk prediction use case.

9.
Value Health ; 25(7): 1063-1080, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35779937

ABSTRACT

Advances in machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence offer tremendous potential benefits to patients. Predictive analytics using ML are already widely used in healthcare operations and care delivery, but how can ML be used for health economics and outcomes research (HEOR)? To answer this question, ISPOR established an emerging good practices task force for the application of ML in HEOR. The task force identified 5 methodological areas where ML could enhance HEOR: (1) cohort selection, identifying samples with greater specificity with respect to inclusion criteria; (2) identification of independent predictors and covariates of health outcomes; (3) predictive analytics of health outcomes, including those that are high cost or life threatening; (4) causal inference through methods, such as targeted maximum likelihood estimation or double-debiased estimation-helping to produce reliable evidence more quickly; and (5) application of ML to the development of economic models to reduce structural, parameter, and sampling uncertainty in cost-effectiveness analysis. Overall, ML facilitates HEOR through the meaningful and efficient analysis of big data. Nevertheless, a lack of transparency on how ML methods deliver solutions to feature selection and predictive analytics, especially in unsupervised circumstances, increases risk to providers and other decision makers in using ML results. To examine whether ML offers a useful and transparent solution to healthcare analytics, the task force developed the PALISADE Checklist. It is a guide for balancing the many potential applications of ML with the need for transparency in methods development and findings.


Subject(s)
Artificial Intelligence , Checklist , Economics, Medical , Humans , Machine Learning , Outcome Assessment, Health Care/methods
10.
Value Health ; 25(2): 230-237, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35094796

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to demonstrate enhanced survival extrapolation methods using electronic health record-derived real-world data (RWD). METHODS: The study population included patients diagnosed of ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer who started first-line treatment with anastrozole or letrozole between November 18, 2014, and November 18, 2015. Two patient cohorts were constructed: a clinical trial cohort from digitized MONARCH-3 clinical trial results and a RWD cohort from a deidentified electronic health record-derived database. RWD patients were weighted to trial baseline covariate distributions. Standard parametric approaches were applied to trial data and a "best-fit" model was selected. We demonstrate traditional and enhanced hybrid (pooling with weighted RWD at start, 75%, or end of trial) extrapolation approaches. RESULTS: Observed and estimated 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates in extrapolating the trial control arm (n = 165) were comparable across all methods. Compared with the observed 5-year mean PFS in the RWD cohort (n = 118) of 20.4 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 16.9-23.8), there was some variation among studied methods. Best-fit standard parametric model (log-normal) had 5-year mean PFS of 21.3 months (95% CI 18.2-24.9), and for the hybrid methods in order of estimate conservativeness was start of trial (20.8 months; 95% CI 18.5-23.2), 75% of trial (21.3 months; 95% CI 18.1-24.5), and end of trial (21.8 months; 95% CI 18.8-25.2). CONCLUSIONS: Our study leverages RWD to enhance long-term survival extrapolation. Future use cases should include applying patient eligibility criteria, weighting on baseline characteristics, and choice of time window to add RWD to trial data.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Electronic Health Records , Aged , Anastrozole/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Agents/therapeutic use , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Cohort Studies , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Letrozole/therapeutic use , Middle Aged , Progression-Free Survival , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Survival Rate
11.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 31(1): 46-54, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34227170

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Comparative-effectiveness studies using real-world data (RWD) can be susceptible to surveillance bias. In solid tumor oncology studies, analyses of endpoints such as progression-free survival (PFS) are based on progression events detected by imaging assessments. This study aimed to evaluate the potential bias introduced by differential imaging assessment frequency when using electronic health record (EHR)-derived data to investigate the comparative effectiveness of cancer therapies. METHODS: Using a nationwide de-identified EHR-derived database, we first analyzed imaging assessment frequency patterns in patients diagnosed with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC). We used those RWD inputs to develop a discrete event simulation model of two treatments where disease progression was the outcome and PFS was the endpoint. Using this model, we induced bias with differential imaging assessment timing and quantified its effect on observed versus true treatment effectiveness. We assessed percent bias in the estimated hazard ratio (HR). RESULTS: The frequency of assessments differed by cancer treatment types. In simulated comparative-effectiveness studies, PFS HRs estimated using real-world imaging assessment frequencies differed from the true HR by less than 10% in all scenarios (range: 0.4% to -9.6%). The greatest risk of biased effect estimates was found comparing treatments with widely different imaging frequencies, most exaggerated in disease settings where time to progression is very short. CONCLUSIONS: This study provided evidence that the frequency of imaging assessments to detect disease progression can differ by treatment type in real-world patients with cancer and may induce some bias in comparative-effectiveness studies in some situations.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Bias , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/diagnostic imaging , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/epidemiology , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Progression-Free Survival
12.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 12: 100281, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36776432

ABSTRACT

Background: Sabes, a treatment-as-prevention intervention among men who have sex with men and transgender women in Lima, Peru, was developed to identify HIV during early primary infection (<3 months from acquisition) through monthly serologic assays and HIV RNA tests. Newly diagnosed individuals were rapidly linked to care and offered to initiate ART. In this study we sought to study the cost-effectiveness of Sabes compared to the standard of care (SOC) for HIV testing and initiation of treatment. Methods: We adapted a compartmental model of HIV transmission to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the Sabes approach compared to the SOC using a government health care perspective, 20-year time horizon, and 3% annual discounting. We estimated the proportion of cases of HIV detected during early primary infection, reduction in HIV incidence and prevalence, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), and net monetary benefit. We analyzed costs using data from the Sabes study, the Peruvian Ministry of Health, published literature, and expert consultation. Findings: The Sabes intervention is projected to identify 9294 early primary HIV infections in Lima, Peru over 20 years. The intervention costs $6,896 per early primary infection diagnosed and by 2038 is expected to decrease the fraction of early infections among prevalent infections by 62%. Sabes is expected to improve health, resulting in greater total discounted QALYs per person than the SOC (16·7 vs 16·4, respectively). Sabes had an ICER of $1431 (22% per capita GDP in Peru) per QALY compared to SOC. Interpretation: Our analysis suggests that in Lima, Peru the Sabes intervention could be a cost-effective approach to reduce the burden of HIV even under stringent cost-effectiveness criteria. This finding suggests that programs that use frequent HIV testing, rapid linkage to care and initiation of ART should be considered as part of a comprehensive HIV prevention strategy. Funding: National Institutes of Health.

13.
J Thorac Oncol ; 16(12): 2139-2143, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34455068

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: For patients with NSCLC receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors, programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) tumor proportion score (TPS) has been validated as a predictive biomarker for improved overall survival (OS). Nevertheless, its histology-specific predictive value in patients with advanced squamous versus nonsquamous cancers remains unclear. To evaluate the differential value of PD-L1 TPS as a predictive biomarker for OS after first-line pembrolizumab in patients with squamous versus nonsquamous NSCLC. METHODS: Retrospective, observational study of patients diagnosed with having advanced NSCLC who were treated between October 2015 and April 2019 at community oncology clinics and academic medical centers in a deidentified electronic health record-derived database. Included patients were diagnosed with having advanced or metastatic NSCLC, received treatment with first-line, single-agent pembrolizumab, and had documentation of PD-L1 testing with a numeric result. Exclusion criteria included alterations in EGFR, ALK, and ROS1. The primary end point was OS from start of first-line pembrolizumab therapy by squamous or nonsquamous histology and PD-1 expression level measured by TPS (low, <50% or high, ≥50%). RESULTS: The cohort of 1460 patients with NSCLC who received pembrolizumab as a first-line therapy had a mean age of 72 years. Histology was 28% squamous and 72% nonsquamous. PD-L1 expression was low in 13% and high in 87%. No meaningful differences in age, sex, or smoking history were observed by PD-L1 TPS or histology type. A generalized gamma model adjusting for sex and stage at diagnosis found that for patients with nonsquamous histology, high PD-L1 TPS was significantly associated with improved OS by a median OS difference of 8.4 months (p < 0.001). In contrast, for patients with squamous histology, there was no evidence of association between PD-L1 expression level and OS (p = 0.283). PD-L1-related incremental differences in median OS between the patients with squamous and nonsquamous tumors were significantly different (p = 0.034). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with NSCLC treated with first-line pembrolizumab, high PD-L1 TPS is associated with OS among patients with nonsquamous NSCLC, but not among patients with squamous NSCLC.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Lung Neoplasms , Aged , B7-H1 Antigen/antagonists & inhibitors , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy , Protein-Tyrosine Kinases , Proto-Oncogene Proteins , Retrospective Studies
14.
Am J Manag Care ; 27(7): 274-281, 2021 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34314116

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Racial disparities in cancer care and outcomes remain a societal challenge. Medicaid expansion through the Affordable Care Act was intended to improve health care access and equity. This study aimed to assess whether state Medicaid expansions were associated with a reduction in racial disparities in timely treatment among patients diagnosed with advanced cancer. STUDY DESIGN: This difference-in-differences study analyzed deidentified electronic health record-derived data. Patients aged 18 to 64 years with advanced or metastatic cancers diagnosed between January 1, 2011, and January 31, 2019, and receiving systemic therapy were included. METHODS: The primary end point was receipt of timely treatment, defined as first-line systemic therapy starting within 30 days after diagnosis of advanced or metastatic disease. Racial disparity was defined as adjusted percentage-point (PP) difference for Black vs White patients, adjusted for age, sex, practice setting, cancer type, stage, insurance marketplace, and area unemployment rate, with time and state fixed effects. RESULTS: The study included 30,310 patients (12.3% Black race). Without Medicaid expansion, Black patients were less likely to receive timely treatment than White patients (43.7% vs 48.4%; adjusted difference, -4.8 PP; P < .001). With Medicaid expansion, this disparity was diminished and lost significance (49.7% vs 50.5%; adjusted difference, -0.8 PP; P = .605). The adjusted difference-in-differences estimate was a 3.9 PP reduction in racial disparity (95% CI, 0.1-7.7 PP; P = .045). CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid expansion was associated with reduced Black-White racial disparities in receipt of timely systemic treatment for patients with advanced or metastatic cancers.


Subject(s)
Medicaid , Neoplasms , Black or African American , Humans , Insurance Coverage , Neoplasms/therapy , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act , Racial Groups , United States
15.
Clin Lung Cancer ; 22(4): 260-267.e2, 2021 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33678584

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in never-smokers (NS) is vastly different from those with a smoking history in terms of etiology, driver mutations, and immunotherapy responsiveness. This study compares the real-world overall survival (OS) of NSCLC patients by smoking history and mutation status. METHODS: The study included 30,310 advanced or metastatic NSCLC patients in the Flatiron Health EHR-derived database who received biomarker testing results (EGFR, ALK, ROS1, and BRAF), and initiated therapy between 2011 and 2017, with follow up through June 2018. OS by smoking and driver mutation groups was summarized via Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, and compared in the context of a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: OS differed by smoking and driver-mutation categories (adjusted and stratified P< .001). The median OS for wild-type (WT) smoking patients was 9.6 months, for mutated (MT) smokers was 19.4 months (adjusted and stratified hazard ratio [HR] relative to WT smokers 0.65; 95% CI 0.60-0.71), for WT NS was 15.1 months (HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.73-0.83 relative to WT smokers), and for MT NS was 25.5 months (HR 0.52; 95% CI 0.48-0.58 relative to WT smokers). CONCLUSION: NS with NSCLC survived longer than those with smoking history, in both groups of WT and mutation-positive patients. Findings highlight that in NSCLC patients, a history of never smoking may have similar effect on hazard of death as the presence of an actionable mutation. Taken together, differences in heredity, mutations, and biologic history suggest that NS lung cancer is a distinct clinical entity and must be managed accordingly.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/epidemiology , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Smoking/epidemiology , Aged , Biomarkers, Tumor/metabolism , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/genetics , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/pathology , Databases, Factual , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/genetics , Lung Neoplasms/pathology , Male , Mutation , Non-Smokers/statistics & numerical data , Smokers/statistics & numerical data , Survival Rate
17.
J Med Econ ; 23(12): 1618-1622, 2020 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33081555

ABSTRACT

Electronic health records (EHRs) can define real world patient populations with high levels of clinical specificity, potentially addressing some of the shortcomings of other types of real world data (RWD) when informing decisions about the comparative effectiveness of medical technologies. An important but under-recognized concern for EHR-derived RWD, however, is that the rich clinical data permits creation of very homogenous subpopulations from the larger group of eligible patients, thereby reducing the representativeness of the cohort relative to clinical practice. In this article, we discuss the tradeoffs between choosing clinical specificity versus representativeness in population sampling for comparative effectiveness research. Using EHR-derived RWD, we provide an example in non-small cell lung cancer to illustrate the concepts, showing wide variation in outcomes among potential comparator cohorts. We close with several recommendations for selecting comparator populations from EHRs that address the balance between matching clinical guidelines and capturing practice variability in comparative effectiveness research.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Cohort Studies , Comparative Effectiveness Research , Electronic Health Records , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy
18.
JCO Oncol Pract ; 16(11): e1355-e1370, 2020 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32678688

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: As immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have transformed the care of patients with cancer, it is unclear whether treatment at the end of life (EOL) has changed. Because aggressive therapy at the EOL is associated with increased costs and patient distress, we explored the association between the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approvals of ICIs and treatment patterns at the EOL. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, observational study using patient-level data from a nationwide electronic health record-derived database. Patients had advanced melanoma, non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC; cancer types with an ICI indication), or microsatellite stable (MSS) colon cancer (a cancer type without an ICI indication) and died between 2013 and 2017. We calculated annual proportions of decedents who received systemic cancer therapy in the final 30 days of life, using logistic regression to model the association between the post-ICI FDA approval time and use of systemic therapy at the EOL, adjusting for patient characteristics. We assessed the use of chemotherapy or targeted/biologic therapies at the EOL, before and after FDA approval of ICIs using Pearson chi-square test. RESULTS: There was an increase in use of EOL systemic cancer therapy in the post-ICI approval period for both melanoma (33.9% to 43.2%; P < .001) and NSCLC (37.4% to 40.3%; P < .001), with no significant change in use of systemic therapy in MSS colon cancer. After FDA approval of ICIs, patients with NSCLC and melanoma had a decrease in the use of chemotherapy, with a concomitant increase in use of ICIs at the EOL. CONCLUSION: The adoption of ICIs was associated with a substantive increase in the use of systemic therapy at the EOL in melanoma and a smaller yet significant increase in NSCLC.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy , Death , Humans , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy , Retrospective Studies
19.
JCO Oncol Pract ; 16(10): e1216-e1221, 2020 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32496874

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The Oncology Care Model (OCM) is Medicare's first alternative payment model program for patients with cancer. As of October 2017, participating practices were required to report biomarker testing of patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (aNSCLC). Our objective was to evaluate the effect of this OCM reporting requirement on quality of care. METHODS: We selected patients with aNSCLC receiving care in practices in a nationwide de-identified electronic health record-derived database. We used an adjusted difference-in-differences (DID) logistic regression model to compare changes in biomarker testing rates (EGFR, ROS1, and ALK) and receipt of biomarker-guided therapy between patients in OCM versus non-OCM practices, before and after OCM implementation. RESULTS: The analysis included 14,048 patients from 45 OCM practices (n = 8,151) and 105 non-OCM practices (n = 5,897). The overall unadjusted rates for biomarker testing and receipt of biomarker-guided therapy increased over the study period (2011-2018) in both OCM (55.5% v 71.6%; 89.8% v 94.6%, respectively) and non-OCM (55.2% v 69.7%; 90.1% v 95.2%, respectively) practices. In the adjusted DID model, the rates of biomarker testing (odds ratio [OR], 1.09 [95% CI, 0.88 to 1.34]; P = .45) and receipt of biomarker-guided therapy (OR, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.52 to 1.45]; P = .58) were similar between OCM and non-OCM practices. CONCLUSION: OCM biomarker documentation and reporting requirements did not appear to increase the proportions of patients with aNSCLC who underwent testing or who received biomarker-guided therapy in OCM versus non-OCM practices.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers, Tumor , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Mandatory Reporting , Medicare , Aged , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/therapy , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/diagnosis , Lung Neoplasms/therapy , United States
20.
Future Oncol ; 16(2): 4341-4345, 2020 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31840537

ABSTRACT

Aim: Standard first-line treatment of advanced urothelial cell carcinoma involves cisplatin-based chemotherapy, with carboplatin or immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy (ICI) reserved for cisplatin-ineligible individuals. Methods: Using a large de-identified electronic health record-derived database of patients with advanced urothelial cell carcinoma in the USA, we examined trends in utilization of first-line systemic therapies in cisplatin-eligible patients from 1 January 2015 to 31 March 2018. Results: Among 1181 cisplatin-eligible patients, the quarterly proportion who received first-line ICI increased from 1 to 42% (ptrend <0.001), while the proportion who received cisplatin-based chemotherapy decreased from 53 to 33% (ptrend = 0.018). Patients receiving ICI were older than those receiving cisplatin (median age: 75 vs 68). Conclusion: Our analysis suggests rising off-label ICI use in cisplatin-eligible individuals, potentially because of ICI's favorable toxicity profile.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , B7-H1 Antigen/antagonists & inhibitors , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/drug therapy , Programmed Cell Death 1 Receptor/antagonists & inhibitors , Urologic Neoplasms/drug therapy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/administration & dosage , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/immunology , Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/pathology , Cisplatin/administration & dosage , Female , Humans , Immunotherapy/methods , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Treatment Outcome , Urologic Neoplasms/immunology , Urologic Neoplasms/pathology
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