Predictors of Atrial Arrhythmia in Adults with Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot.

Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF), the most common cyanotic congenital heart disease in adults, has excellent long-term survival. However, many patients (30-45%) develop late arrhythmias. Previous studies have identified predictors of arrhythmia (atrial or ventricular) using clinical markers that predate arrhythmia onset by many years. Our objective was to develop a predictive model for incident atrial arrhythmias within two years of clinical evaluation and diagnostic testing. A single-center nested unmatched case-control study of 174 adults with repaired TOF. We included only patients with results from ECG and echocardiogram data in the required time interval (3-24 months before first arrhythmia for cases; 24 months of follow-up for controls). A predictive multivariable model for risk of incident atrial arrhythmia was developed using logistic regression with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Of 41 demographic, surgical, and diagnostic variables, six were selected as having predictive value for atrial arrhythmia based on cross validation. The factors with the greatest predictive value in decreasing order were moderate / severe tricuspid regurgitation (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 149.42), QRS fragmentation (OR 28.08), severe pulmonary regurgitation (OR 8.22), RV systolic dysfunction (OR 2.95), 1st degree AV block (OR 2.59), and age at time of surgical repair (OR 1.02). Predictors for atrial arrhythmia in our study suggested abnormal right ventricle anatomical function and electrophysiologic properties (conduction and repolarization) as the primary underlying substrate.

Recent sexual violence exposure is associated with immune biomarkers of HIV susceptibility in women.

PROBLEM: HIV/AIDS and sexual violence act synergistically and compromise women's health. Yet, immuno-biological mechanisms linking sexual violence and increased HIV susceptibility are poorly understood. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional pilot study of HIV-uninfected women, comparing 13 women exposed to forced vaginal penetration within the past 12 weeks (Exposed) with 25 Non-Exposed women. ELISA assays were conducted for 49 biomarkers associated with HIV pathogenesis in plasma and cervicovaginal lavage (CVL). Differences between Exposed and Non-Exposed were analyzed by linear and logistic regression, using propensity score weighting to control for age, race, socioeconomic status, menstrual cycle, and contraceptive use. RESULTS: In CVL, Exposed women had significantly reduced chemokines MIP-3α (p < .01), MCP-1 (p < .01), and anti-HIV/wound-healing thrombospondin-1 (p = .03). They also had significantly increased inflammatory cytokine IL-1α (p < 0.01) and were more likely to have detectable wound-healing PDGF (p = .02). In plasma, Exposed women had reduced chemokines MIP-3α (p < .01) and IL-8 (p < .01), anti-inflammatory cytokine TGF-ß (p = .02), anti-HIV/antimicrobial HBD-2 (p = .02), and wound-healing MMP-1 (p = 0.02). They also had increased thrombospondin-1 (p < .01) and Cathepsin B (p = .01). After applying the stringent method of false discovery rate adjustment, differences for IL-1α (p = .05) and MCP-1 (p = .03) in CVL and MIP-3α (p = .03) in plasma remained significant. CONCLUSIONS: We report systemic and mucosal immune dysregulation in women exposed to sexual violence. As these biomarkers have been associated with HIV pathogenesis, dysregulation may increase HIV susceptibility.

Prevalence and trends in transmitted and acquired antiretroviral drug resistance, Washington, DC, 1999-2014.

BACKGROUND: Drug resistance limits options for antiretroviral therapy (ART) and results in poorer health outcomes among HIV-infected persons. We sought to characterize resistance patterns and to identify predictors of resistance in Washington, DC. METHODS: We analyzed resistance in the DC Cohort, a longitudinal study of HIV-infected persons in care in Washington, DC. We measured cumulative drug resistance (CDR) among participants with any genotype between 1999 and 2014 (n = 3411), transmitted drug resistance (TDR) in ART-naïve persons (n = 1503), and acquired drug resistance (ADR) in persons with genotypes before and after ART initiation (n = 309). Using logistic regression, we assessed associations between patient characteristics and transmitted resistance to any antiretroviral. RESULTS: Prevalence of TDR was 20.5%, of ADR 40.5%, and of CDR 45.1% in the respective analysis groups. From 2004 to 2013, TDR prevalence decreased for nucleoside and nucleotide analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors (15.0 to 5.5%; p = 0.0003) and increased for integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs) (0.0-1.4%; p = 0.04). In multivariable analysis, TDR was not associated with age, race/ethnicity, HIV risk group, or years from HIV diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: In this urban cohort of HIV-infected persons, almost half of participants tested had evidence of CDR; and resistance to INSTIs was increasing. If this trend continues, inclusion of the integrase-encoding region in baseline genotype testing should be strongly considered.