Quantitative characterisation of ballistic cartridge cases from micro-CT.

Evaluation of cartridge cases is essential within forensic ballistic analysis and is used in an attempt to establish a connection to the weapon used to fire it. This study consists of two experiments. The aims of Experiment 1 were to establish whether micro-CT is appropriate and repeatable for ballistic cartridge case analysis and if measurements can be extracted repeatably and reliably. Experiment 2 aimed to compare cartridge cases from two weapons to establish the magnitude of variation within and between weapons. A total of 48 cartridge cases fired by two distinct weapons were collected and micro-CT scanned to a high resolution. One randomly selected cartridge was scanned ten times under the same conditions to ensure repeatability of the scanning conditions in Experiment 1. Three novel measurements to quantitatively assess the firing pin impressions were proposed in Experiment 1 and comparatively analysed from two weapons in Experiment 2. Experiment 1 showed that micro-CT is an effective and highly repeatable and reliable method for 3-dimensional imaging and measurement of ballistic cartridge cases. Furthermore, high agreement for inter-rater reliability was found between five raters. Quantitative micro-CT analysis of the firing pin impression measurements in Experiment 2 showed a significant difference between the two studied weapons using Welch's t-test (p < 0.01). This study shows the advantage and reliability of utilising micro-CT for firing pin impression analysis. Quantitation of the firing pin impression allows distinction between the weapons studied. With expansion to further weapons, application of this methodology could complement current analysis techniques through classification models.

Accurate prediction of saw blade thicknesses from false start measurements.

BACKGROUND: False start analysis is the examination of incomplete saw marks created on bone in an effort to establish information on the saw that created them. The present study aims to use quantitative data from micro-CT cross-sections to predict the thickness of the saw blade used to create the mark. Random forest statistical models are utilised for prediction to present a methodology that is useful to both forensic researchers and practitioners. METHOD: 340 false starts were created on 32 fleshed cadaveric leg bones by 38 saws of various classes. False starts were micro-CT scanned and seven measurements taken digitally. A regression random forest model was produced from the measurement data of all saws to predict the saw blade thickness from false starts with an unknown class. A further model was created, consisting of three random forests, to predict the saw blade thickness when the class of the saw is known. The predictive capability of the models was tested using a second sample of data, consisting of measurements taken from a further 17 false starts created randomly selected saws from the 38 in the experiment. RESULTS: Random forest models were able to accurately predict up to 100% of saw blade thicknesses for both samples of false starts. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the applicability of random forest statistical regression models for reliable prediction of saw blade thicknesses from false start data. The methodology proposed enables prediction of saw blade thickness from empirical data and offers a significant step towards reduced subjectivity and database formation in false start analysis. Application of this methodology to false start analysis, with a more complete database, will allow complementary results to current analysis techniques to provide more information on the saw used in dismemberment casework.

The role of SMAD4 in early-onset colorectal cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Chromosomal loss within the region of 18q and loss of SMAD4 expression have been reported to be frequent somatic events during colorectal cancer tumour progression; however, their associations with age at onset have not been widely studied. METHOD: We analysed 109 tumours from a population-based case-family study based on colorectal cancers diagnosed before the age of 45 years. These patients with early-onset colorectal cancer had been previously screened for germ-line mismatch repair gene mutations, microsatellite instability (that included the mononucleotide repeat in TGFbetaRII) and somatic k-ras mutations. We measured SMAD4 protein expression using immunohistochemistry and SMAD4 copy number using quantitative real-time PCR. RESULTS: Loss of SMAD4 protein expression was observed in 27/109 (25%) of cancers tested and was more commonly observed in rectal tumours (15/41, 36%) when compared with tumours arising in the colon (11/66, 17%) (P = 0.04). There was no association between SMAD4 protein expression and TGFbetaR11 mutation status, SMAD4 copy number, family history, MSI status, tumour stage or grade. CONCLUSION: Loss of SMAD4 expression is a common feature of early-onset colorectal tumours as it is in colorectal cancers diagnosed in other age-groups. Taken together, the molecular pathways (genetic and epigenetic) now known to be involved in early-onset colorectal cancer only explain a small proportion of the disease and require further exploration.

Withdrawing cardiovascular medications at a syncope clinic.

It is widely assumed in clinical practice that drug treatment associated with hypotension can result in falls and syncope, but there is actually very little evidence to support this. Therefore the data in all patients whose cardiovascular medications were stopped at a falls/syncope clinic were analysed to see if their symptoms were altered and if renewal of these medications was necessary at subsequent visits. Of 338 consecutive referrals, cardiovascular medications had been stopped in 65 (19%). At follow up 78% reported improvement in their original presenting symptoms and renewal of medication was not necessary in 77% off antianginals, 69% off antihypertensives, and 36% off antiarrhythmics. It was concluded that adjusting cardiovascular medications could help in the management of falls and syncope and may obviate the need for other treatment. These medications can be stopped in select patients if there is regular monitoring and this should reduce unwanted side effects and costs of these drugs.

Hospital readmissions. We'll meet again.

A 12-month study of emergency medical admissions at one trust suggests most readmissions could not be avoided. The re-admission rate within 28 days was 10 per cent, of which 5 per cent were found to be preventable. Readmissions were higher among smokers, men and people living in hostels. The study found no evidence of increased readmissions in winter.