Mortality trend of ischemic heart disease (2008-2022): A retrospective analysis of epidemiological data.

BACKGROUND: Age-sex specific trend analyses of ischemic heart disease (IHD)-related mortality and prevalent risk factors can improve our understanding and approach to the disease. METHODS: We performed a 15-year retrospective epidemiological analysis of acute and chronic IHD-related mortality and prevalent cardiovascular risk factors using administrative data from Veneto, a socio-economically homogeneous Italian region. Standard mortality statistics using the underlying cause of death (UCOD) and deaths with any mention of IHD in death certificates (MCOD) from ICD-10 codes I20-I25 was performed between 2008 and 2022. RESULTS: A total of 134,327 death certificates reported IHD-related deaths, representing 18.6% of all deaths. Proportional mortality decreased from 14.6% in 2008 to 7.8% in 2022 for deaths with IHD as the UCOD and from 23.5% to 14.6% for deaths with IHD among the MCOD. A more pronounced decline of proportionate and case-specific mortality rate was seen in women. The decline in mortality over the whole study period was larger for acute (vs. chronic) IHD. The COVID-19 pandemic led to a marked increase in mortality in 2020 (+12.2%) with a subsequent further decline. IHD-related deaths displayed a typical seasonal pattern with more deaths during winter. The prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors was higher in IHD (vs. no IHD) deaths: this association appeared more pronounced in younger adults. CONCLUSIONS: We provided an analysis of epidemiological trends in IHD-related mortality and prevalence of risk factors. Our findings indicate a change in the pattern of cardiovascular deaths and may suggest a switch in death from acute to chronic conditions.

Low Colorectal Cancer Risk After Resection of High-Risk Pedunculated Polyps.

BACKGROUND: Post-fecal immunochemical test (FIT) colonoscopy represents a setting with an enriched prevalence of advanced adenomas. Due to an expected higher risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), postpolypectomy surveillance is recommended, generating a substantially increased load on endoscopy services. The aim of our study was to investigate postpolypectomy CRC risk in a screening population of FIT+ subjects after resection of low-risk adenomas (LRAs) or high-risk adenomas (HRAs). METHODS: We retrieved data from a cohort of patients undergoing postpolypectomy surveillance within a FIT-based CRC screening program in Italy between 2002 and 2017 and followed-up to December 2021. Main outcomes were postpolypectomy CRC incidence and mortality risks according to type of adenoma (LRA/HRA) removed at colonoscopy as well as morphology, size, dysplasia, and location of the index lesion. We adopted as comparators FIT+/colonoscopy-negative and FIT- patients. The absolute risk was calculated as the number of incident CRCs per 100,000 person-years of follow-up. We used Cox multivariable regression models to identify associations between CRC risks and patient- and polyp-related variables. RESULTS: Overall, we included 87,248 post-FIT+ colonoscopies (133 endoscopists). Of these, 42,899 (49.2%) were negative, 21,650 (24.8%) had an LRA, and 22,709 (26.0%) an HRA. After a median follow-up of 7.25 years, a total of 635 CRCs were observed. For patients with LRAs, CRC incidence (hazard ratio [HR], 1.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92-1.53) was not increased compared with the FIT+/colonoscopy-negative group, while for HRAs a significant increase in CRC incidence (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.14-2.04) was found. The presence of 1 or more risk factors among proximal location, nonpedunculated morphology, and high-grade dysplasia explained most of this excess CRC risk in the HRA group (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.36-2.52). Patients with only distal pedunculated polyps without high-grade dysplasia, representing 39.2% of HRA, did not have increased risk compared with the FIT- group (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.59-1.28). CONCLUSIONS: CRC incidence is significantly higher in patients with HRAs diagnosed at colonoscopy. However, such excess risk does not appear to apply to patients with only distal pedunculated polyps without high-grade dysplasia, an observation that could potentially reduce the burden of surveillance in FIT programs.

Mortality related to HCV and other chronic liver diseases in Veneto (Italy), 2008-2021: Changes in trends and age-period-cohort effects.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of this study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents on mortality related to chronic liver diseases (CLD). METHODS: Age-standardized mortality rates were computed based on CLD as the underlying cause of death (UCOD) and as any mention in death certificates (multiple causes of death-MCOD). Time trends in age-standardized mortality rates were investigated using generalized estimation equation models. Additionally, we conducted age, period, and birth cohort (APC) analyses on CLD-related mortality associated with alcohol and hepatitis C virus (HCV). RESULTS: Between 2008 and 2021, among residents in the Veneto region (Northeastern Italy) aged ≥35 years, there were 20 409 deaths based on the UCOD and 30 069 deaths based on MCOD from all CLD. We observed a 4% annual decline in age-standardized MCOD-based mortality throughout 2008-2021, with minor peaks corresponding to COVID-19 epidemic waves. Starting in 2016, the decline in HCV-related mortality accelerated further (p < .001). A peak in HCV-related mortality in the 1963-1967 birth cohort was observed, which levelled off by the end of the study period. Mortality related to alcoholic liver disease declined at a slower pace, becoming the most common aetiology mentioned in death certificates. CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrates a significant decrease in HCV-related mortality at the population level in Italy with the introduction of DAAs. Continuous monitoring of MCOD data is warranted to determine if this favourable trend will continue. Further studies utilizing additional health records are needed to clarify the role of other CLD etiologies.

Excess diabetes-related deaths: The role of comorbidities through different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Diabetes confers an excess risk of death to COVID-19 patients. Causes of death are now available for different phases of the pandemic, encompassing different viral variants and COVID-19 vaccination. The aims of the present study were to update multiple causes of death data on diabetes-related mortality during the pandemic and to estimate the impact of common diabetic comorbidities on excess mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: Diabetes-related deaths in 2020-2021 were compared with the 2018-2019 average; furthermore, age-standardized rates observed during the pandemic were compared with expected figures obtained from the 2008-2019 time series through generalized estimating equation models. Changes in diabetes mortality associated with specific comorbidities were also computed. Excess diabetes-related mortality was +26% in 2020 and +18% in 2021, after the initiation of the vaccination campaign. The presence of diabetes and hypertensive diseases was associated with the highest mortality increase, especially in subjects aged 40-79 years, +41% in 2020 and +30% in 2021. CONCLUSION: The increase in diabetes-related deaths exceeded that observed for all-cause mortality, and the risk was higher when diabetes was associated with hypertensive diseases. Notably, the excess mortality decreased in 2021, after the implementation of vaccination against COVID-19.

An Updated Pooled Analysis of Off-Label Under and Over-Dosed Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Off-label, under-, and overdosed direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are commonly prescribed to patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but real-world evidence on their effectiveness and safety is limited. METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched from 01 July 2020 to 28 February 2022 to update a previous systematic review with the same search strategy from the inception to 30 June 2020. Eligible studies were those that reported effectiveness (stroke/systemic embolism and myocardial infarction) or safety (gastrointestinal or major bleeding and death) outcomes of off-label doses of DOACs compared to on-label doses in AF patients. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed to estimate the pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Subgroup analyses were performed by specific DOACs and geographic regions. RESULTS: Twenty-two studies were included. Off-label, underdosed DOACs, compared to on-label doses, were not associated with an increased risk of stroke (HR 1.03, 95%CI: 0.88-1.17) but were associated with an increased risk of death (HR 1.26, 95%CI: 1.09-1.43). However, risk varied depending on the active ingredient. No other safety outcomes were associated with underdosed DOACs. No significant differences were observed by geographic regions. Compared to on-label DOACs, overdosing increased the risk of stroke (HR 1.17, 95%CI: 1.04-1.31), major bleeding (HR 1.18, 95%CI: 1.05-1.31), and death (HR 1.19, 95%CI: 1.03-1.35). Risk varied between geographical regions. CONCLUSIONS: Off-label underdoses, compared to on-label dosing of DOACs, did not increase the risk of stroke but did increase overall mortality. Overdosed DOACs, compared to on-label doses, were associated with an increased risk of stroke, major bleeding, and death. Future studies must examine these associations, focusing on specific active ingredients and geographic settings.

Frailty and the risk of infection-related hospitalizations in older age: Differences by sex.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the extent to which frailty is associated with infection-related hospitalizations in older men and women, and to explore whether, among women, previous exposure to endogenous estrogens in terms of age at menopause and number of pregnancies modify such a relationship. STUDY DESIGN: The sample comprised 2784 participants in the Progetto Veneto Anziani aged ≥65 years. At baseline and after 4.4 years, frailty was identified according to the presence of three or more of the following: weakness, exhaustion, weight loss, low physical activity, and low walking speed. A passive follow-up on infection-related hospitalizations and mortality was performed for 10 years of observation through linkage with regional registers. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The association between frailty and infection-related hospitalizations was assessed through mixed-effects Cox regressions. RESULTS: Frailty was significantly associated with a 78 % higher risk of infection-related hospitalization, with stronger results in men (hazard ratio = 2.32, 95 % confidence interval 1.63-3.30) than in women (hazard ratio = 1.54, 95 % confidence interval 1.18-2.02). Focusing on women, we found a possible modifying effect for the number of pregnancies but not menopausal age. Women who had experienced one or no pregnancy demonstrated a higher hazard of infection-related hospitalization as a function of frailty (hazard ratio = 3.00, 95 % confidence interval 1.58-5.71) than women who had experienced two or more pregnancies (hazard ratio = 1.68, 95 % confidence interval 1.18-2.39). CONCLUSION: Frailty in older age increases the risk of infection-related hospitalizations, especially in men. The "immunologic advantage" of the female sex in younger age seems to persist also after menopause as a function of the number of pregnancies a woman has experienced.

Early-life exposure to antibiotics and subsequent development of atopic dermatitis.

BACKGROUND: Antibiotic exposure may be associated with atopic dermatitis (AD). We assessed the risk of developing AD among children early exposed to antibiotics. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: From the Italian Pedianet database, children aged 0-14 years between 2004-2017 were enrolled from birth up to at least one year. Cox proportional-hazards models were fitted to estimate Hazard Ratios (HR) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for the association between antibiotic exposure during the first year of life with incident AD. Exposure was also considered as a time-varying variable. RESULTS: 73,816 children were included in the final cohort, of which 34,202 had at least one antibiotic prescription. Incident AD was present in 8% of unexposed and exposed children. Early antibiotic exposure was not associated with any excess risk of AD compared to unexposed children (HR: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.97-1.07), and no dose-response effect was observed. In the time-varying analysis, antibiotic exposure was significantly associated with AD onset (1.12, 1.07-1.17). However, when taking into account the time-lag between exposure and outcome, risks progressively decreased, suggesting possible protopathic bias. CONCLUSION: These results are not suggestive of any significant association between exposure to antibiotics and subsequent AD onset and support the possible presence of protopathic bias.