Screening of dermatology drugs for aberrant use-patterns: An application of epidemiologic estimates and measures of inequality in drug use.

AIMS: Dermatology treatments require adherence for safe and effective use. Real-world healthcare databases can reveal drug utilization patterns and uncover inappropriate or unexpected use. This study aimed to analyse dermatology drug utilization patterns using epidemiological and inequality measures, leveraging Danish nationwide registries. It also assessed the feasibility of this method for detecting aberrant drug use. METHODS: We formed a 2019 cohort of all patients treated for skin conditions through Danish healthcare registries. We calculated prevalence, incidence rates and treatment duration for dermatological drugs. Inequality in drug utilization was assessed using Lorenz curves, Gini coefficients and other measures. RESULTS: The study encompassed 1 021 255 patients using 94 dermatology drugs. Most usage aligned with 'expected clinical use', but we detected inequality, with some drugs having high Gini coefficients and disproportionate consumption by the top percentile of users. Notable findings included potential inappropriate antibiotic use, excessive topical corticosteroid use and unexpected drug use duration. CONCLUSIONS: In Denmark, dermatology drugs are used primarily as anticipated, with minimal unexpected patterns. Specific follow-up is required to draw conclusions about inappropriate use. This approach demonstrates broad applicability for screening aberrant drug utilization.

Application of the waiting time distribution in a nationwide screening of real-world dermatology drug utilization for aberrant use patterns.

BACKGROUND: Inappropriate use of medicines may have critical consequences from individual, public health, and economic perspectives. Discovering wrongful medicine use may require intentional surveillance or screening. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study were to: (i) apply and evaluate the waiting time distribution (WTD) method as a screening tool for identifying aberrant drug use and (ii) evaluate the nationwide use of Dermatology drugs in Denmark for signals of aberrant drug use. METHOD: Dermatology drug use data from the Danish nationwide healthcare registries from 2018 to 2020 were used to produce WTDs that were analyzed for drug use patterns. The method provides estimates of the prevalence and incidence and enables estimation of mean treatment duration, drug relapse, and unexpected drug prescribing. RESULTS: The study included 2 027 889 individual drug users and analyzed 6 141 449 prescriptions. The analysis included approximately 100 dermatology drugs and drug categories and produced 56 WTD drug curves. The WTD patterns and epidemiological estimates confirmed that most drugs are used as intended and revealed few unexpected patterns for further investigation. Three unexpected findings were identified concerning (i) short-term use that would entail suboptimal clinical efficiency for minoxidil, (ii) sub-optimal use of topical tacrolimus, and (iii) potential undesirable increase in short-course doxycycline treatments. CONCLUSION: In Denmark, dermatology drugs are predominantly used as expected, with few unexpected use patterns identified. Targeted specific follow-up on the identified signals is necessary for conclusions about inappropriate use. The findings suggest that the WTD method is applicable for screening for aberrant drug use.

Psychotropic Medication Use and Psychiatric Disorders During the COVID-19 Pandemic Among Danish Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults.

Importance: The direct and indirect implications of the COVID-19 pandemic have been associated with the mental health of children and adolescents, but it is uncertain whether these implications have been associated with changes in prescribing and diagnosis patterns. Objective: To examine psychotropic medication use and rates of psychiatric disorders in Danish children, adolescents, and young adults during the COVID-19 pandemic. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based, descriptive register-based cohort study included all Danish individuals aged 5 to 24 years from January 1, 2017, until June 30, 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: Rates of filled prescriptions of psychotropic medications, including antipsychotics, anxiolytics, hypnotics, sedatives, antidepressants, and psychostimulants, and all inpatient and outpatient contacts with mental and behavioral disorders. Rates of new (incident) and total (prevalent) psychotropic medication use and psychiatric diagnoses were estimated. Rate ratios (RRs) were assessed between observed and expected numbers of incident psychotropic medication use or psychiatric diagnoses from March 2020 to June 30, 2022, comparing observed numbers with expected numbers predicted from the modeled prepandemic trend. Results: The study identified 108 840 (58 856 female individuals [54%]; median [IQR] age, 18 [14-22] years) incident psychotropic medication users. From March 2020 (first national lockdown) to June 2022, the rate of incident users of any psychotropic medication showed a relative increase of 18% (RR, 1.18; CI, 1.17-1.20) compared with expected numbers, which was primarily associated with an increase among those aged 12 to 17 years of 37% (RR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.34-1.41). Similarly, there was an overall relative increase of incident psychiatric disorders of 5% (incidence rate, 1.05; CI, 1.04-1.07) (incident cases, 114 048 [58 708 female individuals (51%)]), which was associated with an increase in hyperkinetic disorders (RR, 1.13; CI, 1.09-1.18) and anxiety disorders (RR, 1.04; CI, 1.02-1.06). Prevalence patterns showed similar trends of an overall increase in psychotropic medication use and psychiatric disorders. One of 3 new users of an individual drug group had filled a prescription for a drug from another psychotropic medication group within the prior 6 months. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this cohort study suggest that Danish youths experienced an increase in rates of psychotropic treatment and psychiatric disorder diagnoses during the COVID-19 pandemic, which was most pronounced among those aged 12 to 17 years. The increase was observed for children and adolescents with and without a psychiatric history within the last 5 years.

Trends in use of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder medication among children and adolescents in Scandinavia in 2010-2020.

The objective of the study was to compare the use of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) medication among children and adolescents in Scandinavia 2010-2020. Using aggregated prescription data for individuals aged 5-19 years, we calculated annual prevalence proportions of ADHD medication (users/1000 inhabitants) for each country, overall and stratified by age and sex. Overall, use of ADHD medication increased during 2010-2020 in all countries. The increase was pronounced in Sweden reaching 35 users/1000 inhabitants in 2020 (119% increase), whereas it reached 22/1000 in Denmark and Norway (equivalent to a 38% and 16% increase, respectively). Methylphenidate was the most frequently used drug and Sweden had the highest use reaching 25/1000 in 2020 compared to 16/1000 and 18/1000 in Denmark and Norway, respectively. Lisdexamfetamine use increased steadily and was also highest in Sweden (13/1000 in 2020). In 2020, atomoxetine use was higher in Sweden (4.6/1000) and Denmark (4.5/1000) compared to Norway (2.2/1000). From 2015, use of guanfacine increased in Sweden reaching 4.4/1000 in 2020 but remained low in Denmark (0.4/1000) and Norway (0.7/1000). Use of dexamphetamine was low (ranging from 0.47 to 0.75/1000 in 2020) in the three countries. ADHD medication use was highest in Sweden across all age groups. In all countries, the prevalence was higher in males compared to females. In conclusion, use of ADHD medication among children and adolescents in Scandinavia is increasing. The prevalence of use is higher in Sweden for all drug groups compared to Norway and Denmark.

Trends and predictors of specialist assessments in oral corticosteroid treated asthma among young adults.

Background: Repeated oral corticosteroid use indicates uncontrolled disease among asthma patients, and referral for asthma specialist assessment is recommended. We aimed to describe trends and predictors associated with specialist contacts among young adults with asthma and repeated oral corticosteroid use. Methods: Individuals aged 18-45 years with two or more dispensed asthma medication prescriptions and two dispended oral corticosteroid prescriptions (including short-term and long-term treatments) within 12 months during 1999-2018 were identified by use of Danish healthcare registers. The frequency of specialist contacts within 1 year of follow-up was assessed among individuals without previous specialist contacts within 5 years of inclusion. Factors associated with specialist contact were identified using logistic regression models. Furthermore, oral corticosteroid prescriber sources were assessed. Results: For the 11 223 individuals included, 2444 (22%) had previous specialist-contact care within 5 years prior of inclusion, and additionally 926 (8.3%) within 1 year of follow-up. Among those without previous specialist contacts (n=8779), the frequency of incident specialist contacts within 1 year of follow-up increased from 6.3% in 1999 to 18% in 2017. Factors associated with incident specialist contacts included dispensing ≥12 short-acting ß-agonist canisters and previous asthma-related emergency department visits and hospitalisations. The majority of oral corticosteroid prescriptions at baseline (71%) were prescribed by general practitioners, although with decreasing proportions from 1999 to 2018. Conclusions: The majority (70%) of young adults with asthma and repeated oral corticosteroid use do not seem to receive specialist assessment in Denmark. This highlights a potential room for improvement in the patient referral pathway for at-risk asthma patients.

Development and Validation of a Nordic Multimorbidity Index Based on Hospital Diagnoses and Filled Prescriptions.

Purpose: To develop the Nordic Multimorbidity Index (NMI), a multimorbidity measure specifically suited to the Nordic health and administrative registry data based on current diagnosis, treatment, and coding practices. Methods: The NMI was developed to predict 5-year mortality in a population-based cohort of randomly sampled Danish residents aged ≥40 years (n = 425,087) followed from 2013 to 2018. Included predictors were selected from hospital diagnoses and filled drug prescriptions based on a combination of subject matter knowledge and a data-driven approach using backwards elimination. The performance of the NMI was assessed in a temporal validation cohort of Danish residents followed from 2007 to 2012 and in six cohorts of new users of selected drugs. The discriminative performance of the NMI, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI) was assessed using the c-statistic from logistic regression models with 5-year mortality as dependent variable and the multimorbidity index score, age, and sex as independent variables. Results: The NMI included 50 predictors. In the temporal validation cohort, the c-statistic of the NMI (0.887, 95% CI 0.883-0.890) exceeded that of the CCI (0.871, 95% CI 0.868-0.874) and ECI (0.866, 95% CI 0.863-0.870). In all new user cohorts, the NMI outperformed the other indices with c-statistics ranging from 0.781 (95% CI 0.779-0.784) to 0.838 (95% CI 0.834-0.842). Conclusion: The NMI predicted 5-year mortality in a general Danish population and six cohorts of new users of selected drugs and was superior to the CCI and ECI. The NMI could be preferred over these indices to quantify the level of multimorbidity for, eg, descriptive purposes or confounding control. The NMI should be validated in other patient populations and other Nordic countries.

Low-dose oral corticosteroids in asthma associates with increased morbidity and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Long-term oral corticosteroid (OCS) treatment for severe asthma is known to cause significant adverse effects, but knowledge on effects of lower exposures in general asthma populations is limited. We aimed to explore this in a nationwide Danish asthma population. METHODS: Users of asthma medication aged 18-45 years were identified in the Danish nationwide registers during 1999-2018 and followed prospectively in an open-cohort design. Incident OCS users were matched 1:4 to nonusers by propensity scores with replacement. Associations between OCS use and incident comorbidities were examined by Cox regression. Mortality rates, causes of death and rates of unscheduled hospital visits were assessed. RESULTS: OCS users (n=30 352) had, compared with nonusers (n=121 408), an increased risk of all outcomes with evident dose-response relationships starting at cumulative doses of ≤500 mg (prednisolone-equivalent). Hazard ratios ranged from 1.24 (95% CI 1.18-1.30) for fractures to 8.53 (95% CI 3.97-18.33) for adrenal insufficiency. Depression/anxiety had the highest incidence rate difference at 4.3 (95% CI 3.6-5.0) per 1000 person-years. Asthma-specific mortality rates were generally low at 0.15 (95% CI 0.11-0.20) and 0.04 (95% CI 0.02-0.06) per 1000 person-years for OCS users and nonusers, respectively. Mortality rates and unscheduled hospital visits increased with increasing OCS exposure. CONCLUSION: The study findings should be interpreted with their observational nature in mind. However, we found that even at low cumulative exposure, OCS use in asthma management was associated with increased risk of comorbidities, mortality and unscheduled hospital visits. Effective strategies for optimising asthma control and reducing OCS use are pivotal in asthma management.

Statin Discontinuation and Cardiovascular Events Among Older People in Denmark.

Importance: Statin use is common in older persons. Given uncertainties in ongoing benefit, changes in health status, and shifting goals of care and preferences, statin discontinuation may be considered in some older persons, although there is currently little evidence to guide this decision. Objective: To evaluate the association between statin discontinuation and the rate of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among people aged 75 years or older who receive long-term statin treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included all persons in Denmark aged 75 years or older who were treated with statins for at least 5 consecutive years as of January 1, 2011. Participants were followed up until December 31, 2016. Data were analyzed from July to November, 2020. Exposure: Statin discontinuation. Main Outcomes and Measures: Rate of occurrence of MACE and its components (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, coronary revascularization, and death due to myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke) in persons continuing statins compared with those discontinuing statins. Confounding adjustment was done using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Analyses were conducted separately for primary prevention (no history of cardiovascular disease) and secondary prevention (history of cardiovascular disease). Results: The study included 67 418 long-term statin users, including 27 463 in the primary prevention analysis (median age, 79 years [IQR, 77-83 years]; 18 134 [66%] female) and 39 955 in the secondary prevention analysis (median age, 80 years [IQR, 77-84 years]; 18 717 [47%] female). In both primary and secondary prevention analyses, the rate of MACE was higher among persons who discontinued statins compared with those who continued statins. In the primary prevention cohort, the weighted rate difference was 9 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 5-12 per 1000 person-years) and the adjusted sub-hazard ratio was 1.32 (95% CI, 1.18-1.48), corresponding to 1 excess MACE per 112 persons who discontinued statins per year. In the secondary prevention cohort, the weighted rate difference was 13 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 8-17 per 1000 person-years) and the adjusted sub-hazard ratio was 1.28 (95% CI, 1.18-1.39), corresponding to 1 excess MACE per 77 persons who discontinued statins per year. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, among older adults receiving long-term statin treatment, discontinuation of statins was associated with a higher rate of MACE compared with statin continuation in both the primary and the secondary prevention cohorts. These findings suggest a need for robust evidence from randomized clinical trials.