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3.
Breast Cancer Res Treat ; 198(3): 523-533, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36800117

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The Ontario Breast Screening Program (OBSP) offers free screening mammograms every 2 years, to women aged 50-74. Study objectives were to determine demographic characteristics associated with the adherence to OBSP and if women screened in the OBSP have a lower stage at diagnosis than non-screened eligible women. METHODS: We used the Ontario cancer registry (OCR) to identify 48,927 women, aged 51-74 years, diagnosed with breast cancer between 2010 and 2017. These women were assigned as having undergone adherent screening (N = 26,108), non-adherent screening (N = 6546) or not-screened (N = 16,273) in the OBSP. We used multinomial logistic regression to investigate the demographic characteristics associated with screening behaviour, as well as the association between screening status and stage at diagnosis. RESULTS: Among women with breast cancer, those living in rural areas (versus the largest urban areas) had a lower odds of not being screened (odds ratio [OR] 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68, 0.78). Women in low-income (versus high-income) communities were more likely not to be screened (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.33, 1.51). When stratified, the association between income and screening status only held in urban areas. Non-screened women were more likely to be diagnosed with stage II (OR 1.91, 95% CI 1.82, 2.01), III (OR 2.96, 95% CI 2.76, 3.17), or IV (OR 8.96, 95% CI 7.94, 10.12) disease compared to stage I and were less likely to be diagnosed with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that targeting OBSP recruitment efforts to lower income urban communities could increase screening rates. OBSP adherent women were more likely to be diagnosed with earlier stage disease, supporting the value of this initiative and those like it.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Female , Humans , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Ontario/epidemiology , Breast/pathology , Mammography , Mass Screening , Demography
4.
Can J Diabetes ; 2022 May 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35953411

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The COVID-19 pandemic and related public health prevention measures have led to a disruption of the delivery of routine care and may have had an impact on the quality of diabetes care. Our aim in this study was to evaluate the extent to which structure, process and outcome quality measures in diabetes care changed in the first 6 months of the pandemic compared with previous periods. METHODS: A before-and-after observational study of all community-living Ontario residents >20 years of age and living with diabetes. The patients were divided into 3 cohorts: a pandemic cohort, alive March to September 2020 (n=1,393,404); reference cohort 1, alive March to September 2019 (n=1,415,490); and reference cohort 2, alive September 2019 to February 2020 (n=1,444,000). Outcome measures were in-person/virtual visits to general practitioners and specialists, eye examinations, glycated hemoglobin (A1C) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) testing, filled prescriptions, and admissions to emergency departments (EDs) and hospitals for acute and chronic diabetes complications. RESULTS: The probability of an in-person visit to a GP decreasing by 47% (95% confidence interval [CI], 47% to 47%) in the pandemic period compared with both previous periods. The probability of having an eye exam was lower by 43% (95% CI, 44% to 43%), an A1C test by 28% (95% CI, 29% to 28%) and an LDL test by 31% (95% CI, 31% to 31%) in the pandemic period compared with the same 6-month period the year before. There were very small decreases in drug prescriptions and decreases of 18% and 16% in ED and hospital visits for complications. CONCLUSIONS: We observed disruptions to both structure and processes measures of diabetes care in Ontario during the first wave of the pandemic.

5.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 75(9): 843-853, 2021 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34172513

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Most dementia algorithms are unsuitable for population-level assessment and planning as they are designed for use in the clinical setting. A predictive risk algorithm to estimate 5-year dementia risk in the community setting was developed. METHODS: The Dementia Population Risk Tool (DemPoRT) was derived using Ontario respondents to the Canadian Community Health Survey (survey years 2001 to 2012). Five-year incidence of physician-diagnosed dementia was ascertained by individual linkage to administrative healthcare databases and using a validated case ascertainment definition with follow-up to March 2017. Sex-specific proportional hazards regression models considering competing risk of death were developed using self-reported risk factors including information on socio-demographic characteristics, general and chronic health conditions, health behaviours and physical function. RESULTS: Among 75 460 respondents included in the combined derivation and validation cohorts, there were 8448 cases of incident dementia in 348 677 person-years of follow-up (5-year cumulative incidence, men: 0.044, 95% CI: 0.042 to 0.047; women: 0.057, 95% CI: 0.055 to 0.060). The final full models each include 90 df (65 main effects and 25 interactions) and 28 predictors (8 continuous). The DemPoRT algorithm is discriminating (C-statistic in validation data: men 0.83 (95% CI: 0.81 to 0.85); women 0.83 (95% CI: 0.81 to 0.85)) and well-calibrated in a wide range of subgroups including behavioural risk exposure categories, socio-demographic groups and by diabetes and hypertension status. CONCLUSIONS: This algorithm will support the development and evaluation of population-level dementia prevention strategies, support decision-making for population health and can be used by individuals or their clinicians for individual risk assessment.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , Dementia , Dementia/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Ontario/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
6.
Eur J Cancer ; 149: 117-127, 2021 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33853037

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Many women diagnosed with early-stage hormone-sensitive breast cancer die of causes other than their breast cancer. These competing risks can create challenges in analysing and clearly communicating data on risk of breast cancer recurrence or death. Here, we quantify the impact of competing risks on estimates of disease recurrence and benefit from therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using data from the MA.27, MA.17 and MA.17R trials of adjuvant endocrine therapy in early breast cancer, we compared Kaplan-Meier (KM) and competing risk methods for disease-free survival (DFS) and distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS). Each trial was analysed separately. In KM analyses, participants were censored at the time of non-breast cancer death. Competing risk analyses comprised cumulative incidence functions in which non-breast cancer death was a competing risk. RESULTS: Non-breast cancer deaths were observed more often in older participants, in those with lower risk of breast cancer and after longer follow-up. Compared with conventional analyses, estimates of the proportion of participants with DFS or DRFS events were lower in competing risk analyses, with this difference increasing over the course of follow-up. The absolute treatment benefit was similar or modestly lower in competing risk analyses. CONCLUSION: Compared with KM methods, competing risk analyses result in lower estimates of DFS and DRFS events and similar or modestly lower absolute benefit from experimental endocrine therapy. Over a long time horizon, competing risk methods may be preferable to KM methods when estimating future risk of recurrence in early-stage hormone-sensitive breast cancer. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov; NCT00003140, NCT00754845, NCT00066573.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/therapeutic use , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Aged , Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/adverse effects , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Cause of Death , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant , Disease Progression , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Time Factors
7.
Eur Heart J ; 40(48): 3913-3920, 2019 12 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31318428

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Develop a score to predict the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after early stage breast cancer (EBC) to facilitate personalized decision-making about potentially cardiotoxic treatments and interventions to reduce cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using administrative databases, we assembled a cohort of women diagnosed with EBC in Ontario between 2003 and 2014, with follow-up through 2015. Two-thirds of the cohort were used for risk score derivation; the remainder were reserved for its validation. The outcome was a composite of hospitalizations for acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina, transient ischaemic attack, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, heart failure (HF), or cardiovascular death. We developed the score by regressing MACE incidence against candidate predictors in the derivation sample using a Fine-Gray model. Discrimination was assessed in the validation sample using Wolber's c-index for prognostic models with competing risks, while calibration was assessed by comparing predicted and observed MACE incidence. The risk score was derived in 60 294 women and validated in 29 810 women. Age, hypertension, diabetes, ischaemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation, HF, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral vascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and chronic kidney disease were significantly associated with MACE incidence and incorporated into the score. Ten-year MACE incidence was >40-fold higher for patients in the highest score decile compared to the lowest. The c-index was 81.9% (95% confidence interval 80.9-82.9%) at 5 years and 79.8% (78.8-80.8%) at 10 years in the validation cohort, with good agreement between predicted and observed MACE incidence. CONCLUSION: Cardiovascular prognosis after EBC can be estimated using patients' pre-treatment characteristics.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/complications , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , Aged , Cardiotoxins/adverse effects , Cardiovascular Diseases/chemically induced , Case-Control Studies , Cerebrovascular Disorders/epidemiology , Clinical Decision-Making , Cohort Studies , Death , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Incidence , Ischemic Attack, Transient/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Ontario/epidemiology , Peripheral Vascular Diseases/epidemiology , Prognosis , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , Stroke/epidemiology
8.
J Health Organ Manag ; 33(3): 286-303, 2019 May 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31122120

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between hospital adoption and use of computed tomography (CT) scanners, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) machines and in-patient mortality and length of stay. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: This study used panel data (2007-2010) from 124 hospital corporations operating in Ontario, Canada. Imaging use focused on medical patients accounting for 25 percent of hospital discharges. Main outcomes were in-hospital mortality rates and average length of stay. A model for each outcome-technology combination was built, and controlled for hospital structural characteristics, market factors and patient characteristics. FINDINGS: In 2010, 36 and 59 percent of hospitals had adopted MRI machines and CT scanners, respectively. Approximately 23.5 percent of patients received CT scans and 3.5 percent received MRI scans during the study period. Adoption of these technologies was associated with reductions of up to 1.1 percent in mortality rates and up to 4.5 percent in length of stay. The imaging use-mortality relationship was non-linear and varied by technology penetration within hospitals. For CT, imaging use reduced mortality until use reached 19 percent in hospitals with one scanner and 28 percent in hospitals with 2+ scanners. For MRI, imaging use was largely associated with decreased mortality. The use of CT scanners also increased length of stay linearly regardless of technology penetration (4.6 percent for every 10 percent increase in use). Adoption and use of MRI was not associated with length of stay. RESEARCH LIMITATIONS/IMPLICATIONS: These results suggest that there may be some unnecessary use of imaging, particularly in small hospitals where imaging is contracted out. In larger hospitals, the results highlight the need to further investigate the use of imaging beyond certain thresholds. Independent of the rate of imaging use, the results also indicate that the presence of CT and MRI devices within a hospital benefits quality and efficiency. ORIGINALITY/VALUE: To the authors' knowledge, this study is the first to investigate the combined effect of adoption and use of medical imaging on outcomes specific to CT scanners and MRI machines in the context of hospital in-patient care.


Subject(s)
Hospital Mortality , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/statistics & numerical data , Ontario/epidemiology , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/statistics & numerical data
9.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 111(8): 854-862, 2019 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30715404

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Data are limited regarding the risk of heart failure (HF) requiring hospital-based care after early stage breast cancer (EBC) and its relationship to other types of cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of EBC patients (diagnosed April 1, 2005-March 31, 2015) matched 1:3 on birth-year to cancer-free control subjects. We identified hospitalizations and emergency department visits for CVD through March 31, 2017. We used cumulative incidence function curves to estimate CVD incidence and cause-specific regression models to compare CVD rates between cohorts. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: We identified 78 318 EBC patients and 234 954 control subjects. The 10-year incidence of CVD hospitalization was 10.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.5% to 11.1%) after EBC and 9.1% (95% CI = 8.9% to 9.2%) in control subjects. Ischemic heart disease was the most common reason for CVD hospitalization after EBC. After regression adjustment, the relative rates compared with control subjects remained statistically significantly elevated for HF (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.14 to 1.29, P < .001), arrhythmias (HR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.23 to 1.39, P < .001), and cerebrovascular disease (HR 1.10, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.17, P = .002) hospitalizations. It was rare for HF hospital presentations (2.9% of cases) to occur in EBC patients without recognized risk factors (age >60 years, hypertension, diabetes, prior CVD). Anthracycline and/or trastuzumab were used in 28 950 EBC patients; they were younger than the overall cohort with lower absolute rates of CVD, hypertension, and diabetes. However, they had higher relative rates of CVD in comparison with age-matched control subjects. CONCLUSIONS: Atherosclerotic diagnoses, rather than HF, were the most common reasons for CVD hospitalization after EBC. HF hospital presentations were often preceded by risk factors other than chemotherapy, suggesting potential opportunities for prevention.


Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Adult , Aged , Anthracyclines/adverse effects , Anthracyclines/therapeutic use , Atherosclerosis/etiology , Atherosclerosis/pathology , Breast Neoplasms/complications , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant/adverse effects , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus/etiology , Diabetes Mellitus/pathology , Female , Heart Failure/diagnosis , Heart Failure/etiology , Heart Failure/pathology , Humans , Hypertension/epidemiology , Hypertension/etiology , Hypertension/pathology , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Proportional Hazards Models , Risk Factors , Trastuzumab/adverse effects , Trastuzumab/therapeutic use
10.
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes ; 11(7): e004580, 2018 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29997149

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Ignoring competing risks in time-to-event analyses can lead to biased risk estimates, particularly for elderly patients with multimorbidity. We aimed to demonstrate the impact of considering competing risks when estimating the cumulative incidence and risk of stroke among elderly atrial fibrillation patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using linked administrative databases, we identified patients with atrial fibrillation aged ≥66 years discharged from hospital in ON, Canada between January 1, 2007, and March 31, 2011. We estimated the cumulative incidence of stroke hospitalization using the complement of the Kaplan-Meier function and the cumulative incidence function. This was repeated after stratifying the cohort by presence of prespecified comorbidities: chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cancer, or dementia. The full cohort was used to regress components of the CHA2DS2VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes mellitus, stroke, vascular disease, sex) score on the hazard of stroke hospitalization using the Fine-Gray and Cox methods. These models were subsequently used to predict the 5-year risk of stroke hospitalization. Among 136 156 patients, the median CHA2DS2VASc score was 4 and 84 728 patients (62.2%) had ≥1 prespecified comorbidity. The 5-year cumulative incidence of stroke was 5.4% (95% confidence interval, 5.3%-5.5%), whereas that of death without stroke was 48.8% (95% confidence interval, 48.5%-49.1%). The incidence of both events was overestimated by the Kaplan-Meier method; stroke incidence was overestimated by a relative factor of 39%. The degree of overestimation was larger among patients with non-CHA2DS2VASc comorbidity because of higher incidence of death without stroke. The Fine-Gray model demonstrated better calibration than the Cox model, which consistently overpredicted stroke incidence. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of death without stroke was 9-fold higher than that of stroke, leading to biased estimates of stroke risk with traditional time-to-event methods. Statistical methods that appropriately account for competing risks should be used to mitigate this bias.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Stroke/epidemiology , Administrative Claims, Healthcare , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/mortality , Atrial Fibrillation/therapy , Bias , Cause of Death , Comorbidity , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Ontario/epidemiology , Preventive Health Services , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/mortality , Stroke/prevention & control , Time Factors
11.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 101: 79-86, 2018 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29879465

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To conduct a Bayesian evidence synthesis using commonly available statistical procedures to estimate fracture risk for postmenopausal women undergoing hormonal therapy for breast cancer. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Using linked administrative data, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of women aged 66 years or older diagnosed with stage I to III breast cancer in Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 2003, and February 28, 2010. We used data augmentation to perform Bayesian Cox regression of the hazard of a hip, spine, or wrist/forearm fracture, adjusting for age, history of fragility fracture, corticosteroid use, osteoporosis, rheumatoid arthritis, dementia, or diabetes diagnoses. RESULTS: Of 10,259 included in the sample, 3,733 initiated on tamoxifen and 6,526 on an aromatase inhibitor. Posterior probabilities that the hazard ratio (HR) exceeded 1 for aromatase inhibitor compared with tamoxifen were 46% (HR = 0.99, 95% credible interval [CrI] 0.71, 1.25), 35% (HR = 0.94, 95% CrI 0.78, 1.26), and 76% (HR = 1.08, 95% CrI 0.88, 1.32) with an uninformative prior, and 63% (HR = 1.04, 95% CrI 0.83, 1.3), 84% (HR = 1.12, 95% CrI 0.89, 1.4), and 89% (HR = 1.13, 95% CrI 0.93, 1.36) with an informative prior, for hip, spine, and wrist/forearm fractures, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Prior information resulted in higher posterior probabilities. The strength of evidence for increased risk varied by fracture site.


Subject(s)
Aromatase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Fractures, Bone/epidemiology , Tamoxifen/therapeutic use , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/adverse effects , Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/therapeutic use , Aromatase Inhibitors/adverse effects , Bayes Theorem , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Evidence-Based Medicine , Female , Fractures, Bone/chemically induced , Humans , Meta-Analysis as Topic , Neoplasm Staging , Ontario/epidemiology , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Regression Analysis , Retrospective Studies , Tamoxifen/adverse effects , Treatment Outcome
12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29770971

ABSTRACT

Measuring the value of medical imaging is challenging, in part, due to the lack of conceptual frameworks underlying potential mechanisms where value may be assessed. To address this gap, this article proposes a framework that builds on the large body of literature on quality of hospital care and the classic structure-process-outcome paradigm. The framework was also informed by the literature on adoption of technological innovations and introduces 2 distinct though related aspects of imaging technology not previously addressed specifically in the literature on quality of hospital care: adoption (a structural hospital characteristic) and use (an attribute of the process of care). The framework hypothesizes a 2-part causality where adoption is proposed to be a central, linking factor between hospital structural characteristics, market factors, and hospital outcomes (ie, quality and efficiency). The first part indicates that hospital structural characteristics and market factors influence or facilitate the adoption of high technology medical imaging within an institution. The presence of this technology, in turn, is hypothesized to improve the ability of the hospital to deliver high quality and efficient care. The second part describes this ability throughout 3 main mechanisms pointing to the importance of imaging use on patients, to the presence of staff and qualified care providers, and to some elements of organizational capacity capturing an enhanced clinical environment. The framework has the potential to assist empirical investigations of the value of adoption and use of medical imaging, and to advance understanding of the mechanisms that produce quality and efficiency in hospitals.

14.
Clin Colorectal Cancer ; 16(4): 397-404.e1, 2017 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28434884

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The addition of oxaliplatin to adjuvant treatment regimens for colorectal cancer has been shown to improve overall survival at the expense of increased toxicity. The incidence and severity of toxicity might be greater among older patients who might also derive less benefit from oxaliplatin. We evaluated the association between adjuvant oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy and neurotoxicity outcomes in an elderly cohort of patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A population-based cohort of patients aged > 65 years with stage II and III colorectal cancer treated with adjuvant therapy in Ontario, Canada was identified using the Ontario Cancer Registry. Cause-specific hazard models were used to estimate the effect of oxaliplatin exposure on the cause-specific hazard ratio (CHR) of peripheral neuropathy after accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: We identified 3607 patients aged > 65 years with stage II and III colorectal cancer. Of these patients, 1541 (43%) had been treated with an oxaliplatin-based regimen. Compared with subjects receiving non-oxaliplatin-based regimens, patients aged ≥ 70 years at the time of cancer diagnosis who are subsequently treated with oxaliplatin were more likely to develop peripheral neuropathy (CHR, 2.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.53-3.35; P < .0001). This association was not significant in patients aged 66 to 69 years (CHR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.50-1.72; P = .812). Formal interaction testing confirmed that the effect of oxaliplatin on neuropathy was more pronounced in patients aged ≥ 70 years compared with patients aged 66 to 69 years (P = .03). CONCLUSION: Colorectal cancer patients aged ≥ 70 years at the time of cancer diagnosis who are subsequently treated with oxaliplatin have a significant risk of developing peripheral neuropathy. This should be considered in clinical decision making, especially because of the limited data supporting an oxaliplatin benefit in this age group.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Colorectal Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neurotoxicity Syndromes/etiology , Peripheral Nervous System Diseases/chemically induced , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/administration & dosage , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant/adverse effects , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant/methods , Cohort Studies , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Female , Humans , Male , Neoplasm Staging , Neurotoxicity Syndromes/epidemiology , Organoplatinum Compounds/administration & dosage , Oxaliplatin , Peripheral Nervous System Diseases/epidemiology , Registries
15.
JAMA Cardiol ; 2(1): 88-93, 2017 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27732702

ABSTRACT

Importance: There is increasing interest in the effect of cardiovascular disease on cancer survivors. However, there are limited contemporary population-based data on the risk of cardiovascular death after early-stage breast cancer. Objective: To describe the incidence of cardiovascular death in a contemporary population of women with early-stage breast cancer while accounting for competing risks. Design, Setting, and Participants: A population-based cohort study was conducted among 98 999 women diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer between April 1, 1998, and March 31, 2012. Patients were followed up until death or were censored on December 31, 2013. Baseline characteristics were determined from administrative databases and the Ontario Cancer registry. Vital statistics data were used to determine the cause of death. Cumulative incidence functions were used to estimate the incidence of cause-specific mortality. We studied the association between baseline characteristics and rates of cardiovascular death using cause-specific hazard functions. The analyses accounted for competing risks of noncardiovascular death. Statistical analysis was performed from July 16, 2015, to August 4, 2016. Exposures: Early-stage breast cancer, age, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and diabetes. Main Outcomes and Measures: Cause of death, which was classified as breast cancer, cardiovascular disease, other cancers, or other noncancer causes. Results: Of the 98 999 women (median age, 60 years [interquartile range, 50-71 years]) in the study, 21 123 (21.3%) died during follow-up. The median time to death was 4.2 years (IQR, 2.2-7.1 years). Breast cancer was the most common cause of death (10 550 deaths [49.9%]); 3444 deaths [16.3%] were from cardiovascular causes. Cardiovascular death was infrequent in women younger than 66 years without prior cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or hypertension. Among women 66 years or older, the risks of breast cancer death and cardiovascular death at 10 years were 11.9% (95% CI, 11.6%-12.3%) and 7.6% (95% CI, 7.3%-7.9%), respectively. Among patients with prior cardiovascular disease, the risk of death from breast cancer and cardiovascular disease were equivalent for the first 5 years, after which death from cardiovascular causes was more frequent (10-year cumulative incidence, 14.6% [95% CI, 13.7%-15.4%] for breast cancer vs 16.9% [95% CI, 16.0%-17.8%] for cardiovascular disease). For women 66 years or older who survived 5 years or more after diagnosis of breast cancer, cardiovascular disease exceeded breast cancer as the leading cause of death at 10 years after diagnosis, when the cumulative incidence of each was 5%. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular death is an important competing risk for older women with early-stage breast cancer. This finding mandates adequate attention to cardiovascular preventive therapy after diagnosis of breast cancer.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Aged , Breast Neoplasms/complications , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Cause of Death , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Insurance, Health , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Ontario , Registries , Risk Assessment
16.
Healthc Policy ; 12(2): 76-88, 2016 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28032826

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Nursing home (NH) residents are frequently transferred to the emergency department (ED) but there is little data on inter-facility variation, which has implications for intervention planning and implementation. OBJECTIVES: To describe variation in ED transfer rates (TRs) across NHs and the association with NH characteristics. DESIGN/SETTING: Retrospective cohort study using linked administrative data from Ontario. PARTICIPANTS: 71,780 residents of 604 NHs in 2010 and followed for one year. MEASUREMENTS: Funnel plots were used to identify high transfer NHs and logistic regression to test the association with NH location, size, ownership and historical ED transfer rate. RESULTS: One-year ED transfer rates ranged from 4.3% to 58.6% (mean 28.4%); 115 (19%) NHs were considered high. Being within five minutes of an ED, larger size and high historical ED transfer rate were associated with being a high ED transfer home. CONCLUSION: There was substantial variation across NHs. Consideration of characteristics such as proximity to an ED may be important in the development and targeting of different interventions for NHs.


Subject(s)
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Homes for the Aged/statistics & numerical data , Nursing Homes/statistics & numerical data , Patient Transfer/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Ontario , Retrospective Studies , Young Adult
17.
Eur J Cancer ; 68: 11-21, 2016 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27693889

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Aromatase inhibitors (AIs) may increase cardiovascular risk relative to tamoxifen in post-menopausal women with breast cancer. This risk has not been well-quantified outside of clinical trials. METHODS: Observational population-based cohort study of women aged >55 years diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer between 2005 and 2010. Women treated with AIs or tamoxifen were followed to March 2012. The primary outcome was hospitalisation for myocardial infarction (MI). Cause-specific hazards were compared using tamoxifen as the reference group. Inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score was used to reduce confounding due to measured baseline covariates. Results were confirmed using two cause-specific hazards models. Subgroup analyses included women aged ≥66 years, those with prior ischaemic heart disease, and a 'lower-risk group' aged <74 years with stage I-II cancer and no prior ischaemic heart disease. RESULTS: In 7409 aromatase inhibitor-treated and 1941 tamoxifen-treated women, the median age was 71 versus 74 years, respectively (p < 0.001). Baseline prevalence of ischaemic heart disease was similar (17.0% versus 16.9%, p = 0.96). Over a mean of 1184 d of follow-up, there were 123 hospitalisations for MI; the cause-specific hazard was higher with AIs (hazard ratio 2.02; 95% confidence interval 1.16-3.53 in the weighted sample). We observed comparable patterns within pre-defined subgroups and when adjusted using cause-specific hazards models. CONCLUSION: Aromatase inhibitors are associated with a higher risk of MI compared with tamoxifen. This risk should be accounted for when managing aromatase inhibitor-treated women.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/therapeutic use , Aromatase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Registries , Tamoxifen/therapeutic use , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Information Storage and Retrieval , Logistic Models , Neoplasm Staging , Ontario/epidemiology , Postmenopause , Propensity Score , Proportional Hazards Models , Risk Factors
19.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 108(6): djv402, 2016 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26839345

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A higher risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in patients with diabetes has been well documented. However, little is known regarding diabetes incidence in CRC survivors. This may have substantial impact on CRC survivorship care as well as enhancing the understanding of the interplay between the two diseases. We explored whether the incidence of diabetes was higher among patients with CRC than matched control subjects. METHODS: Using population-based data from Ontario, Canada, we generated a dataset comprising 39 707 incident CRC cases and 198 535 age- and sex-matched control subjects (1:5) dating from April 2002 to March 2010. We used cause-specific hazard models to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) for diabetes overall and in subgroups stratified by receipt of systemic chemotherapy, diagnosis of metastatic disease, and site of cancer. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4.81 years, the association between CRC and diabetes varied: The rate of developing diabetes was 53% higher among CRC patients compared with control subjects in the first year postdiagnosis (HR = 1.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.42 to 1.64) and remained increased by 19% in the fifth year postdiagnosis (HR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.35). Findings were similar in subgroups of patients who had colon cancer, received systemic chemotherapy, or had no evidence of metastasis. CONCLUSION: We found that CRC patients were statistically significantly more likely to develop subsequent diabetes than persons without CRC for up to five years after the diagnosis. Our study suggests that active screening and counseling regarding modifiable risk factors may be warranted in this high-risk group.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/complications , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Databases, Factual , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Ontario/epidemiology , Proportional Hazards Models , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Survivors/statistics & numerical data
20.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 64(1): 47-54, 2016 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26782851

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effects of postoperative rehabilitation on the outcomes of older adults with dementia who experienced hip fracture. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Ontario, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling adults with dementia who underwent hip fracture surgery between 2003 and 2011. Participants were categorized as no rehabilitation, complex continuing care (CCC), home-care based rehabilitation (HCR), and inpatient rehabilitation (IPR). MEASUREMENTS: Time to long-term care (LTC) placement, mortality, and risk of repeat hip fracture and falls. RESULTS: Of 11,200 individuals with dementia who experienced a hip fracture during the study period, 4,494 (40.1%) received no rehabilitation, 2,474 (22.1%) were admitted to CCC, 1,157 (10.3%) received HCR, and 3,075 (27.4%) received IPR. HCR and IPR were associated with less risk of LTC admission after discharge from hospital than no rehabilitation. All three forms of rehabilitation were associated with lower risk of mortality than no rehabilitation, with the greatest effect observed with IPR. HCR was associated with a higher risk of falls than no rehabilitation (P=.03); there were no other significant between-group differences in risk of falls or repeat fractures (P>.05). CONCLUSION: Postfracture rehabilitation for older adults with dementia is associated with lower risk of LTC placement and mortality. Improving access to rehabilitation services for this vulnerable population may improve postfracture outcomes.


Subject(s)
Dementia/rehabilitation , Hip Fractures/rehabilitation , Postoperative Care/methods , Aged, 80 and over , Dementia/complications , Dementia/mortality , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Fracture Fixation , Hip Fractures/complications , Hip Fractures/surgery , Humans , Male , Ontario/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate , Treatment Outcome
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