Elevated resting heart rate is associated with mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease.

A higher heart rate is recognized as an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events in the general population. However, the association between elevated heart rate and clinical adverse outcomes in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (CKD) has not been sufficiently investigated. A total of 1353 participants enrolled in the Fukushima CKD Cohort Study were examined to investigate associations between resting heart rate and clinical adverse outcomes using Cox proportional hazards analysis. The primary outcome of the present study was all-cause mortality, with cardiovascular events as the secondary outcome. Participants were stratified into four groups based on resting heart rate levels at baseline (heart rate < 70/min, ≥ 70 and < 80/min, ≥ 80 and < 90/min, and ≥ 90/min). During the median observation period of 4.9 years, 123 participants died, and 163 cardiovascular events occurred. Compared with the reference level heart rate < 70/min group, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were 1.74 (1.05-2.89) and 2.61 (1.59-4.29) for the heart rate ≥ 80 and < 90/min group and heart rate ≥ 90/min group, respectively. A significantly higher risk of cardiovascular events was observed in the heart rate ≥ 80/min and < 90/min group (adjusted HR 1.70, 1.10-2.62), but not in the heart rate ≥ 90/min group (adjusted HR 1.45, 0.90-2.34). In patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD, a higher resting heart rate was associated with increased all-cause mortality.

Pulse pressure modifies the association between diastolic blood pressure and decrease in kidney function: the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study.

Background: Unlike systolic blood pressure (SBP), the prognostic value of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in kidney function has not been established. We hypothesized that pulse pressure (PP), which is associated with arteriosclerosis, would affect the prognostic value of DBP. Methods: This longitudinal study used data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study was conducted between 2008 and 2014. The participants were stratified into three PP subgroups (low PP ≤39, normal PP 40-59 and high PP ≥60 mmHg). The exposures of interest were SBP and DBP, and the association between SBP/DBP and kidney outcomes (30% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline) was examined in each PP subgroup using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Among 725 022 participants, 20 414 (2.8%) developed kidney outcomes during a median follow-up period of 34.6 months. Higher SBP was consistently associated with a higher incidence of kidney outcome in all PP subgroups. Although DBP had a positive linear association with the incidence of kidney outcome in low- and normal-PP subgroups, both lower (≤60 mmHg) and higher (≥101 mmHg) DBP were associated with a higher incidence of kidney outcome in the high-PP subgroup, with a U-shaped curve. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of ≤60 mmHg (reference: 61-80 mmHg in normal-PP subgroup) and ≥101 mmHg were 1.26 (1.15-1.38) and 1.86 (1.62-2.14), respectively. Conclusions: In this large population-based cohort, DBP was differently associated with kidney outcome by PP level; lower DBP was significantly associated with a higher incidence of kidney outcome in the high-PP subgroup but not in the low- and normal-PP subgroups.

Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index is associated with adverse outcomes in patients with hypertension: the Fukushima Cohort study.

Malnutrition is reportedly associated with adverse clinical outcomes in various populations. However, associations between nutritional status and adverse outcomes in patients with hypertension have not been sufficiently elucidated. We therefore aimed to investigate the impact of nutritional status as evaluated by the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) on adverse outcomes in patients with hypertension. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1588 hypertensive patients enrolled in the Fukushima Cohort Study. Participants were categorized into tertiles (T1-T3) according to GNRI at baseline. The primary endpoint of the present study was a kidney event, defined as a combination of a 50% decline in eGFR from baseline and end-stage kidney disease requiring kidney replacement therapy. Associations between GNRI and kidney events were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Median age was 64 years, 55% were men, median eGFR was 63.1 mL/min/1.73 m2, and median GNRI was 101.3. The lower GNRI group (T1) showed an increased incidence of kidney events in the Kaplan-Meier curve analysis. Compared to the highest GNRI group (T3), lower GNRI carried a higher risk of kidney events for both T2 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.38, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71-2.68) and T1 (HR 3.59, 95%CI 1.96-6.63). Similar relationships were observed for risks of all-cause death and cardiovascular events. Lower GNRI was associated with kidney events, all-cause death, and cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension. Nutritional status as evaluated by GNRI could offer a simple and useful predictor of adverse outcomes in this population.

Cigarette smoking and progression of kidney dysfunction: a longitudinal cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Cigarette smoking is one of the most important life-modifiable risk factors for CVD events. The effect on CKD progression caused by smoking remained uncertain, while the effect on CVD had been established. METHOD: The study population included participants from the specific health check and specific health guidance, an annual health check-up for all inhabitants of Japan who were aged between 40 and 74 years. 149,260 subjects (male, 37.1%; female, 62.9%) were included in this analysis. RESULTS: The relationship between smoking status along with new-onset proteinuria and eGFR deterioration more than 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 was examined. Median observation periods were 1427 days [738, 1813] in males and 1437 days [729, 1816] in females. In male participants, the strongest factor upon kidney dysfunction was new-onset proteinuria (1.41 [1.31 1.51], P < 0.001). The second strongest factor on kidney deterioration was smoking (1.24 [1.16 1.31], P < 0.001). In female participants, strongest factor upon kidney dysfunction was smoking (1.27 [1.16-1.39], P < 0.001). The second strongest factor on kidney deterioration was new-onset proteinuria (1.26 [1.17 1.36], P < 0.001). To reveal the relationship of effects from new-onset proteinuria and smoking on the kidney function, the participants were divided into four groups with and without new-onset proteinuria and smoking. The group with both proteinuria and smoking had significantly worst renal prognosis (P for trend < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Large longitudinal observation study revealed smoking has an evil effect on the progression of CKD. This evil effect could be observed in CKD patients with proteinuria as well as in general population without new-onset proteinuria.

Predicting CKD progression using time-series clustering and light gradient boosting machines.

Predicting the transition of kidney function in chronic kidney disease is difficult as specific symptoms are lacking and often overlooked, and progress occurs due to complicating factors. In this study, we applied time-series cluster analysis and a light gradient boosting machine to predict the trajectories of kidney function in non-dialysis dependent chronic kidney disease patients with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) ≥ 45 mL/min/1.73 m2. Based on 5-year changes in estimated GFR, participants were stratified into groups with similar trajectories by cluster analysis. Next, we applied the light gradient boosting machine algorithm and Shapley addictive explanation to develop a prediction model for clusters and identify important parameters for prediction. Data from 780 participants were available for analysis. Participants were classified into five classes (Class 1: n = 78, mean [± standard deviation] estimated GFR 100 ± 19.3 mL/min/1.73 m2; Class 2: n = 176, 76.0 ± 9.3 mL/min/1.73 m2; Class 3: n = 191, 59.8 ± 5.9 mL/min/1.73 m2; Class 4: n = 261, 52.7 ± 4.6 mL/min/1.73 m2; and Class 5: n = 74, 53.5 ± 12.0 mL/min/1.73 m2). Declines in estimated GFR were 8.9% in Class 1, 12.2% in Class 2, 4.9% in Class 3, 12.0% in Class 4, and 45.1% in Class 5 during the 5-year period. The accuracy of prediction was 0.675, and the top three most important Shapley addictive explanation values were 1.61 for baseline estimated GFR, 0.12 for hemoglobin, and 0.11 for body mass index. The estimated GFR transition of patients with preserved chronic kidney disease mostly depended on baseline estimated GFR, and the borderline for estimated GFR trajectory was nearly 50 mL/min/1.73 m2.

Association between high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T levels and incident stroke in the elderly Japanese population: Results from the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-based Cohort Study.

Elevated levels of circulating high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) are associated with cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to examine whether hs-cTnT levels are associated with incident stroke in the elderly population. The Iwate Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization pooled participant data for a community-based cohort study (n = 15,063, 69.6 ± 3.4 years), with a mean follow-up period of 5.23 years for all-cause death and incident stroke. The follow-up revealed 316 incident strokes, including atherothrombotic (n = 98), cardioembolic (n = 54), lacunar (n = 63), hemorrhagic (n = 101), and 178 all-cause deaths. Participants were classified into quartiles according to hs-cTnT levels (Q1 ≦ 4 ng/L, Q2: 5-6 ng/L, Q3: 7-9 ng/L, and Q4 > 9 ng/L). After adjusting for sex, age, smoking, drinking, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, hemoglobin A1c, and lipid profile, a Cox proportional hazard model showed that higher hs-cTnT levels were associated with ischemic stroke (Q1 vs. Q4, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.24, 95 % confidence interval [CI] = 1.12-4.51, p = 0.023). The incident of total stroke was not associated with hs-cTnT levels (Q1 vs. Q4, HR 1.39, 95 % CI = 0.89-1.74, p = 0.145). Numerical differences were highest regarding incident lacunar stroke subtypes; however, this association was not statistically significant. Higher hs-cTnT concentrations were associated with ischemic stroke in the elderly Japanese population.