Does Dual-Energy Computed Tomography Material Decomposition Improve Radiomics Capability to Predict Survival in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients? A Preliminary Investigation.

OBJECTIVE: Our study objective was to explore the additional value of dual-energy CT (DECT) material decomposition for squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN) survival prognostication. METHODS: A group of 50 SCCHN patients (male, 37; female, 13; mean age, 63.6 ± 10.82 years) with baseline head and neck DECT between September 2014 and August 2020 were retrospectively included. Primary tumors were segmented, radiomics features were extracted, and DECT material decomposition was performed. We used independent train and validation datasets with cross-validation and 100 independent iterations to identify prognostic signatures applying elastic net (EN) and random survival forest (RSF). Features were ranked and intercorrelated according to their prognostic importance. We benchmarked the models against clinical parameters. Intraclass correlation coefficients were used to analyze the interreader variation. RESULTS: The exclusively radiomics-trained models achieved similar ( P = 0.947) prognostic performance of area under the curve (AUC) = 0.784 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.775-0.812) (EN) and AUC = 0.785 (95% CI, 0.759-0.812) (RSF). The additional application of DECT material decomposition did not improve the model's performance (EN, P = 0.594; RSF, P = 0.198). In the clinical benchmark, the top averaged AUC value of 0.643 (95% CI, 0.611-0.675) was inferior to the quantitative imaging-biomarker models ( P < 0.001). A combined imaging and clinical model did not improve the imaging-based models ( P > 0.101). Shape features revealed high prognostic importance. CONCLUSIONS: Radiomics AI applications may be used for SCCHN survival prognostication, but the spectral information of DECT material decomposition did not improve the model's performance in our preliminary investigation.

Radiomics for therapy-specific head and neck squamous cell carcinoma survival prognostication (part I).

BACKGROUND: Treatment plans for squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN) are individually decided in tumor board meetings but some treatment decision-steps lack objective prognostic estimates. Our purpose was to explore the potential of radiomics for SCCHN therapy-specific survival prognostication and to increase the models' interpretability by ranking the features based on their predictive importance. METHODS: We included 157 SCCHN patients (male, 119; female, 38; mean age, 64.39 ± 10.71 years) with baseline head and neck CT between 09/2014 and 08/2020 in this retrospective study. Patients were stratified according to their treatment. Using independent training and test datasets with cross-validation and 100 iterations, we identified, ranked and inter-correlated prognostic signatures using elastic net (EN) and random survival forest (RSF). We benchmarked the models against clinical parameters. Inter-reader variation was analyzed using intraclass-correlation coefficients (ICC). RESULTS: EN and RSF achieved top prognostication performances of AUC = 0.795 (95% CI 0.767-0.822) and AUC = 0.811 (95% CI 0.782-0.839). RSF prognostication slightly outperformed the EN for the complete (ΔAUC 0.035, p = 0.002) and radiochemotherapy (ΔAUC 0.092, p < 0.001) cohort. RSF was superior to most clinical benchmarking (p ≤ 0.006). The inter-reader correlation was moderate or high for all features classes (ICC ≥ 0.77 (± 0.19)). Shape features had the highest prognostic importance, followed by texture features. CONCLUSIONS: EN and RSF built on radiomics features may be used for survival prognostication. The prognostically leading features may vary between treatment subgroups. This warrants further validation to potentially aid clinical treatment decision making in the future.