Novel insights into weight loss: acupuncture combined with a very low-carbohydrate diet-a Swiss experience.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the effects of an acupuncture-diet program for treatment of overweight and obesity. METHODS: The program consisted of weekly acupuncture sessions combined with a very low-carbohydrate diet in patients with a body mass index (BMI) of 25 kg/m2 or above. Data were collected retrospectively between 2002 and 2021 in seven clinics in Switzerland through automated data extraction of existing medical records. The treatments described are standard care at the facilities where they took place. RESULTS: A total of 11,233 patients were included. In those with a BMI of 25 kg/m2 or above, a positive effect on body weight was noted with a peak average body weight loss of approximately 17.5 kg reached after 7 months. Long-term stabilization was at about 15.5 kg after 18 months. Significant male-female differences (p < 0.01) were observed with women losing less weight. Differences were also noted between overweight, obese and extremely obese patients suggesting a BMI-dependent effect. Maximum weight loss of patients with BMI of 35 kg/m2 or above was 29.8 ± 12 kg, while it was 18.8 ± 8 kg for obese patients (BMI = 30-34.9 kg/m2) and 12 ± 7 kg for overweight patients (BMI = 25-29.9 kg/m2), reflecting a significant overall difference between groups (p < 0.01). Compliance to the protocol by patients and physicians seemed to be another differentiating factor; more adherent patients appeared to lose more weight and preserve body weight loss better over time. CONCLUSION: Although this study lacked a control group and was retrospective and observational in nature, a program of acupuncture combined with a very low-carbohydrate diet appeared to be effective at inducing weight loss among obese patients. The observed weight reduction in this retrospective chart review represents a good starting point for further investigation of this approach via a comparative evaluation.

Impact of venous thromboembolism on the mortality in patients with cancer: a population-based cohort study.

Background: Despite recent improvements in the treatment of cancer, little is known about the long-term survival in patients with cancer and venous thromboembolism. We aimed to examine the five-year mortality of venous thromboembolism in cancer patients in a large population-based cohort study. Methods: Using Danish healthcare registries from 1995 to 2020, we obtained data on cancer patients with venous thromboembolism and comparison cohorts of cancer patients without venous thromboembolism, matched in terms of cancer type, age, sex, and year of cancer diagnosis, and adjusted for level of comorbidity and frailty using the Charlson Comorbidity Index Score and Hospital Frailty Risk Score, marital status, use of selected medications, and recent surgery (<90 days). Findings: During the study period, 886,536 patients were diagnosed with cancer. Of 1882 cancer patients diagnosed at the time of their venous thromboembolism, 44.4% (835/1882) had distant metastases. In this cohort, the one- and five-year mortality cumulative incidences were 68% (1284/1882) and 84% (1578/1882), respectively, in contrast to 38% (2135/5549) and 67% (3653/5549) in the comparison cohort. The mortality rate ratio was 4.34 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.95-4.78) for the first year of follow-up and 3.44 (95% CI 3.17-3.73) for the five-year follow-up period. Of the 23,366 patients diagnosed with venous thromboembolism after cancer diagnosis, 18% (4183/23,366) had distant metastases at the time of cancer diagnosis. The cumulative incidence of death at one year was 45% (10,465/23,366; mortality rate ratio 3.48, 95% CI 3.37-3.60) and at five years 69% (15,669/23,366; mortality rate ratio 2.57, 95% CI 2.50-2.63). Interpretation: Despite improved cancer treatment, venous thromboembolism in cancer patients is strongly associated with a poor prognosis. Funding: The study was supported by grants from the Independent Research Fund Denmark (record no. 3101-00102B) and the Karen Elise Jensen Foundation.

Impact of mild thrombocytopenia on bleeding and recurrent thrombosis in cancer.

Thrombocytopenia occurs frequently in patients with cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT), however prospective evaluation of clinical outcomes following randomization to anticoagulants is limited. The HOKUSAI VTE Cancer study was a randomized, open-label, non-inferiority, phase III trial comparing dalteparin with edoxaban in CAT patients. This post hoc analysis of Hokusai VTE Cancer Study was performed to compare outcomes in patients with platelet count ≤100 K/µL at one or more specified time points (baseline, 1-month, or 3-month) versus those without thrombocytopenia. Cumulative incidences at 180 days were calculated with death as a competing risk. The primary outcome was major bleeding; secondary outcomes were clinically relevant non-major bleeding (CRNMB), recurrent thrombosis, and survival. The analysis included 1,045 patients with primarily solid tumor malignancies (89%), median age 65 years, and 52% male. The thrombocytopenia group comprised 9.6% (N=101) of the cohort and relative to the non-thrombocytopenia cohort (N=944), experienced significantly higher major bleeding (9.0% vs. 4.0%, sub-distribution hazard ratio (SHR) 2.4, P=0.02) and CRNMB (17.9% vs. 9.6%, SHR 2.0, P=0.01). Thrombocytopenia did not impact recurrent VTE (9.8% vs. 7.4%, SHR 1.3, P=0.37) nor overall mortality (21.8% vs. 26.0%, HR 0.9, P=0.48). Major bleeding was higher in patients with thrombocytopenia and gastrointestinal malignancies receiving edoxaban versus dalteparin (16.8% vs 0, p.

Polygenic risk scores for prediction of cancer-associated venous thromboembolism in the UK Biobank cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend thromboprophylaxis for patients with cancer at high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Polygenic risk scores may improve VTE prediction but have not yet been evaluated in patients with cancer. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the performance of the 5-, 37-, 297-, extended 297- (additionally including factor V Leiden and prothrombin G20210A), and 100-single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) scores in predicting cancer-associated VTE in the UK Biobank, a population-based, prospective cohort study. METHODS: The primary outcome was VTE during 12 months after cancer diagnosis. Cancer and VTE diagnosis were based on ICD-10 codes. Discrimination was evaluated by c-indices and subdistribution hazard ratios in the upper vs 3 lower quartiles of the scores in a competing risk model. As a comparison, the c-index was calculated for the Khorana cancer type risk classification. RESULTS: Of 36 150 patients with cancer (median age, 66 years; 48.7% females), 1018 (2.8%) developed VTE. C-indices at 12 months ranged from 0.56 (95% CI, 0.54-0.58) for the 5-SNP to 0.60 (95% CI, 0.58-0.62) for the extended 297-SNP scores. The subdistribution hazard ratios ranged from 1.36 (95% CI, 1.19-1.56) for the 5-SNP to 1.90 (95% CI, 1.68-2.16) for the extended 297-SNP scores and were consistent after adjusting for cancer type. For the Khorana cancer type classification, the c-index was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.58-0.61), which increased to 0.65 (95% CI, 0.63-0.67, +0.05; 95% CI, 0.04-0.07) when combined with the extended 297-SNP score. CONCLUSION: These findings demonstrate that polygenic VTE risk scores can identify patients with cancer with a 1.9-fold higher VTE risk independent of cancer type. Combined clinical-genetic scores to improve cancer-associated VTE prediction should be evaluated further.

Diagnostic management of acute pulmonary embolism: a prediction model based on a patient data meta-analysis.

AIMS: Risk stratification is used for decisions regarding need for imaging in patients with clinically suspected acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to develop a clinical prediction model that provides an individualized, accurate probability estimate for the presence of acute PE in patients with suspected disease based on readily available clinical items and D-dimer concentrations. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual patient data meta-analysis was performed based on sixteen cross-sectional or prospective studies with data from 28 305 adult patients with clinically suspected PE from various clinical settings, including primary care, emergency care, hospitalized and nursing home patients. A multilevel logistic regression model was built and validated including ten a priori defined objective candidate predictors to predict objectively confirmed PE at baseline or venous thromboembolism (VTE) during follow-up of 30 to 90 days. Multiple imputation was used for missing data. Backward elimination was performed with a P-value <0.10. Discrimination (c-statistic with 95% confidence intervals [CI] and prediction intervals [PI]) and calibration (outcome:expected [O:E] ratio and calibration plot) were evaluated based on internal-external cross-validation. The accuracy of the model was subsequently compared with algorithms based on the Wells score and D-dimer testing. The final model included age (in years), sex, previous VTE, recent surgery or immobilization, haemoptysis, cancer, clinical signs of deep vein thrombosis, inpatient status, D-dimer (in µg/L), and an interaction term between age and D-dimer. The pooled c-statistic was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85-0.89; 95% PI, 0.77-0.93) and overall calibration was very good (pooled O:E ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87-1.14; 95% PI, 0.55-1.79). The model slightly overestimated VTE probability in the lower range of estimated probabilities. Discrimination of the current model in the validation data sets was better than that of the Wells score combined with a D-dimer threshold based on age (c-statistic 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.75) or structured clinical pretest probability (c-statistic 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76-0.81). CONCLUSION: The present model provides an absolute, individualized probability of PE presence in a broad population of patients with suspected PE, with very good discrimination and calibration. Its clinical utility needs to be evaluated in a prospective management or impact study. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO ID 89366.

Contact system and intrinsic pathway activation in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Despite high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with pancreatic cancer, there are little data on contact system activation in these patients. OBJECTIVES: To quantify contact system and intrinsic pathway activation and subsequent VTE risk in patients with pancreatic cancer. METHODS: Patients with advanced pancreatic cancer were compared with controls. Blood was drawn at baseline and patients were followed for 6 months. Complexes of proteases with their natural inhibitors, C1-esterase inhibitor (C1-INH), antithrombin (AT), or alpha-1 antitrypsin (α1at), were measured for complexes containing kallikrein (PKa:C1-INH), factor (F)XIIa (FXIIa:C1-INH), and FXIa (FXIa:C1-INH, FXIa:AT, FXIa:α1at). The association of cancer with complex levels was assessed in a linear regression model, adjusted for age, sex, and body mass index. In a competing risk regression model, we assessed associations between complex levels and VTE. RESULTS: One hundred nine patients with pancreatic cancer and 22 controls were included. The mean age was 66 years (SD, 8.4) in the cancer cohort and 52 years (SD, 10.1) in controls. In the cancer cohort, 18 (16.7%) patients developed VTE during follow-up. In the multivariable regression model, pancreatic cancer was associated with increased complexes of PKa:C1-INH (P < .001), FXIa:C1-INH (P < .001), and FXIa:AT (P < .001). High FXIa:α1at (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.48 per log increase; 95% CI, 1.02-2.16) and FXIa:AT (subdistribution hazard ratio, 2.78 highest vs lower quartiles; 95% CI, 1.10-7.00) were associated with VTE. CONCLUSION: Complexes of proteases with their natural inhibitors were elevated in patients with cancer. These data suggest that the contact system and intrinsic pathway activation are increased in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Treatment of Cancer-Associated Thrombosis: Recent Advances, Unmet Needs, and Future Direction.

Cancer-associated thrombosis, with the incidence rising over the years, is associated with significant morbidity and mortality in patients with cancer. Recent advances in the treatment of cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) include the introduction of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), which provide a more convenient and effective option than low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH). Nonetheless, important unmet needs remain including an increased risk of bleeding in certain patient subgroups such as those with gastroesophageal cancer, concerns about drug-drug interactions, and management of patients with severe renal impairment. Although DOACs are more convenient than LMWH, persistence can decline over time. Factor XI inhibitors have potential safety advantages over DOACs because factor XI appears to be essential for thrombosis but not hemostasis. In phase II trials, some factor XI inhibitors were superior to enoxaparin for the prevention of VTE after knee replacement surgery without increasing the risk of bleeding. Ongoing trials are assessing the efficacy and safety of factor XI inhibitors for the treatment of cancer-associated VTE.

Inhibition of thrombin-activatable fibrinolysis inhibitor via DS-1040 to accelerate clot lysis in patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a randomized phase 1b study.

BACKGROUND: The optimal treatment of intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) in hemodynamically stable patients remains unknown. Fibrinolytics reduce the risk of hemodynamic deterioration but increase bleeding risk. DS-1040, an inhibitor of thrombin-activatable fibrinolysis inhibitor, enhanced endogenous fibrinolytic activity without increasing bleeding risk in preclinical studies. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the tolerability and explore the efficacy of DS-1040 in patients with acute PE. METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, ascending doses of intravenous DS-1040 (20-80 mg) or placebo were added to enoxaparin (1 mg/kg twice daily) in patients with intermediate-risk PE. The primary endpoint was the number of patients with major or clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding. The percentage change in thrombus volume and right-to-left ventricular dimensions, assessed using quantitative computed tomography pulmonary angiography, at baseline and after 12 to 72 hours were used to explore the efficacy of DS-1040. RESULTS: Of 125 patients with all available data, 38 were randomized to placebo and 87 to DS-1040. The primary endpoint occurred in 1 patient in the placebo group (2.6%) and 4 patients who received DS-1040 (4.6%). One subject experienced major bleeding (DS-1040 80 mg group); no fatal or intracranial bleeding occurred. Thrombus volume was 25% to 45% lower after infusion, with no differences between the DS-1040 and placebo groups. There was no difference in the change from baseline right-to-left ventricular dimensions between the DS-1040 and placebo groups. CONCLUSION: In patients with acute PE, adding DS-1040 to standard anticoagulation was not associated with an increase in bleeding but did not improve thrombus resolution or right ventricular dilation.

Platelet RNA sequencing for cancer screening in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Platelet RNA sequencing has been shown to accurately detect cancer in previous studies. OBJECTIVES: To compare the diagnostic accuracy of platelet RNA sequencing with standard-of-care limited cancer screening in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE). METHODS: Patients aged ≥40 years with unprovoked VTE were recruited at 13 centers and followed for 12 months for cancer. Participants underwent standard-of-care limited cancer screening, and platelet RNA sequencing analysis was performed centrally at study end for cases and selected controls. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated, using the predefined primary positivity threshold of 0.54 for platelet RNA sequencing aiming at 86% test sensitivity, and an additional predefined threshold of 0.89 aiming at 99% test specificity. RESULTS: A total of 476 participants were enrolled, of whom 25 (5.3%) were diagnosed with cancer during 12-month follow-up. For each cancer patient, 3 cancer-free patients were randomly selected for the analysis. The sensitivity of limited screening was 72% (95% CI, 52-86) at a specificity of 91% (95% CI, 82-95). The area under the receiver operator characteristic for platelet RNA sequencing was 0.54 (95% CI, 0.41-0.66). At the primary positivity threshold, all patients had a positive test, for a sensitivity estimated at 100% (95% CI, 87-99) and a specificity of 8% (95% CI, 3.7-16.4). At the secondary threshold, sensitivity was 68% (95% CI, 48-83; p value compared with limited screening 0.71) at a specificity of 36% (95% CI, 26-47). CONCLUSION: Platelet RNA sequencing had poor diagnostic accuracy for detecting occult cancer in patients with unprovoked VTE with the current algorithm.

Recurrent venous thromboembolism and bleeding with extended anticoagulation: the VTE-PREDICT risk score.

AIMS: Deciding to stop or continue anticoagulation for venous thromboembolism (VTE) after initial treatment is challenging, as individual risks of recurrence and bleeding are heterogeneous. The present study aimed to develop and externally validate models for predicting 5-year risks of recurrence and bleeding in patients with VTE without cancer who completed at least 3 months of initial treatment, which can be used to estimate individual absolute benefits and harms of extended anticoagulation. METHODS AND RESULTS: Competing risk-adjusted models were derived to predict recurrent VTE and clinically relevant bleeding (non-major and major) using 14 readily available patient characteristics. The models were derived from combined individual patient data from the Bleeding Risk Study, Hokusai-VTE, PREFER-VTE, RE-MEDY, and RE-SONATE (n = 15,141, 220 recurrences, 189 bleeding events). External validity was assessed in the Danish VTE cohort, EINSTEIN-CHOICE, GARFIELD-VTE, MEGA, and Tromsø studies (n = 59 257, 2283 recurrences, 3335 bleeding events). Absolute treatment effects were estimated by combining the models with hazard ratios from trials and meta-analyses. External validation in different settings showed agreement between predicted and observed risks up to 5 years, with C-statistics ranging from 0.48-0.71 (recurrence) and 0.61-0.68 (bleeding). In the Danish VTE cohort, 5-year risks ranged from 4% to 19% for recurrent VTE and 1% -19% for bleeding. CONCLUSION: The VTE-PREDICT risk score can be applied to estimate the effect of extended anticoagulant treatment for individual patients with VTE and to support shared decision-making.

Redefining clinical venous thromboembolism phenotypes: a novel approach using latent class analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) are commonly classified by the presence or absence of provoking factors at the time of VTE to guide treatment decisions. This approach may not capture the heterogeneity of the disease and its prognosis. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate clinically important novel phenotypic clusters among patients with VTE without cancer and to explore their association with anticoagulant treatment and clinical outcomes. METHODS: Latent class analysis was performed with 18 baseline clinical variables in 3062 adult patients with VTE without active cancer participating in PREFER in VTE, a noninterventional disease registry. The derived latent classes were externally validated in a post hoc analysis of Hokusai-VTE (n = 6593), a randomized trial comparing edoxaban with warfarin. The associations between cluster membership and anticoagulant treatment, recurrent VTE, bleeding, and mortality after initial treatment were studied. RESULTS: The following 5 clusters were identified: young men cluster (n = 1126, 37%), young women cluster (n = 215, 7%), older people cluster (n = 1106, 36%), comorbidity cluster (n = 447, 15%), and history of venous thromboembolism cluster (n = 168, 5%). Patient characteristics varied by age, sex, medical history, and treatment patterns. Consistent clusters were evident on external validation. In Cox proportional hazard models, recurrence risk was lower in the young women cluster (hazard ratio [HR], 0.27; 95% CI, 0.12-0.61) compared with the comorbidity cluster, after adjusting for extended anticoagulation. The risk of bleeding was lower in young men, young women, and older people clusters (HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.38-0.66; HR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.11-0.46; and HR, 0.55; 95% CI 0.41-0.73, respectively). CONCLUSION: The heterogeneity of VTE cases extends beyond the distinction between provoked and unprovoked VTE.

Evaluation of markers of fibrinolysis and coagulation in pregnant women with human immunodeficiency virus.

INTRODUCTION: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in pregnant women is characterized by immune activation and inflammation despite suppressive antiretroviral therapy (ART). The extent to which ongoing inflammation contributes to activation of coagulation and fibrinolysis is unknown. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study included pregnant women in the following three groups: HIV negative (n = 109), HIV infected virologically suppressed (n = 109) and HIV infected with HIV viral load (VL) of >50 copies/mL (n = 80). Fibrinolytic activity was evaluated by measuring d-dimer and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) as well as thrombin-antithrombin (TAT) complex concentrations, as an index of coagulation, in the first, second and third trimesters. RESULTS: In this population, with a mean age of 33 ± 6 years, pregnancy outcomes were recorded for 277 (93.0 %) participants with live births. HIV infected participants with virological suppression and VL of >50 copies/mL showed significantly increasing levels of d-dimer and PAI-1 in the first, second and third trimesters, as compared to HIV negative participants. No significant differences were observed between HIV infected participants with virological suppression and HIV infected participants with VL > 50 copies/mL for levels of first and third trimester d-dimer and PAI-1 in each trimester. In addition, TAT complex levels in the first trimester were significantly increased in HIV infected virologically suppressed participants as compared to HIV negative participants. CONCLUSION: HIV infected virologically suppressed pregnant women show evidence of persistently impaired markers of fibrinolysis. Future research should explore the risk of adverse pregnancy complications among HIV infected pregnant women in the modern era of ART.

Profile of antiphospholipid antibodies in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected women with a history of thrombosis.

INTRODUCTION: Increased antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) have been described in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. However, the association between aPL and the increased risk of thrombosis in HIV requires further clarification. METHODS: We reviewed the medical records of 215 consecutive women with a history of thrombosis and/or obstetric complications (158 HIV-uninfected and 57 HIV-infected) between July 2017 and March 2021. Participants (n = 215) without clinical criteria manifestations for antiphospholipid syndrome were included as matched controls. Testing for lupus anticoagulant (LAC), anticardiolipin (aCL) and anti-beta2-glycoprotein1 (aß2GP1) IgM and IgG was performed. RESULTS: Thirty-two (10.1%) HIV-uninfected and 15 (13.2%) HIV-infected participants were positive at baseline for one of the five criteria aPL, with no statistically significant difference. The profile of the HIV-infected participants with thrombosis (n = 11) included LAC in 15.8%, aCL IgG in 3.5% and aß2GP1 IgG in 1.8%. In contrast, the HIV-infected controls (n = 4), included aCL IgM in 1.8% and aß2GP1 IgM in 5.3%. Only LAC was significantly associated with thrombosis (p < 0.003). On repeat testing, in a HIV-infected sub-population, 2/7 with thrombosis were positive, while 3/3 controls tested negative. CONCLUSION: In contrast to earlier reports, the prevalence and expression of aPL in HIV-infected women with a history of thrombosis in the present study, in the era of antiretroviral therapy, were similar to HIV-uninfected women. Baseline LAC positivity was associated with a significantly increased risk for thrombosis in HIV. Future studies are recommended to explore additional coagulation abnormalities in HIV.

Ruling out pulmonary embolism across different healthcare settings: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The challenging clinical dilemma of detecting pulmonary embolism (PE) in suspected patients is encountered in a variety of healthcare settings. We hypothesized that the optimal diagnostic approach to detect these patients in terms of safety and efficiency depends on underlying PE prevalence, case mix, and physician experience, overall reflected by the type of setting where patients are initially assessed. The objective of this study was to assess the capability of ruling out PE by available diagnostic strategies across all possible settings. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We performed a literature search (MEDLINE) followed by an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis (MA; 23 studies), including patients from self-referral emergency care (n = 12,612), primary healthcare clinics (n = 3,174), referred secondary care (n = 17,052), and hospitalized or nursing home patients (n = 2,410). Multilevel logistic regression was performed to evaluate diagnostic performance of the Wells and revised Geneva rules, both using fixed and adapted D-dimer thresholds to age or pretest probability (PTP), for the YEARS algorithm and for the Pulmonary Embolism Rule-out Criteria (PERC). All strategies were tested separately in each healthcare setting. Following studies done in this field, the primary diagnostic metrices estimated from the models were the "failure rate" of each strategy-i.e., the proportion of missed PE among patients categorized as "PE excluded" and "efficiency"-defined as the proportion of patients categorized as "PE excluded" among all patients. In self-referral emergency care, the PERC algorithm excludes PE in 21% of suspected patients at a failure rate of 1.12% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74 to 1.70), whereas this increases to 6.01% (4.09 to 8.75) in referred patients to secondary care at an efficiency of 10%. In patients from primary healthcare and those referred to secondary care, strategies adjusting D-dimer to PTP are the most efficient (range: 43% to 62%) at a failure rate ranging between 0.25% and 3.06%, with higher failure rates observed in patients referred to secondary care. For this latter setting, strategies adjusting D-dimer to age are associated with a lower failure rate ranging between 0.65% and 0.81%, yet are also less efficient (range: 33% and 35%). For all strategies, failure rates are highest in hospitalized or nursing home patients, ranging between 1.68% and 5.13%, at an efficiency ranging between 15% and 30%. The main limitation of the primary analyses was that the diagnostic performance of each strategy was compared in different sets of studies since the availability of items used in each diagnostic strategy differed across included studies; however, sensitivity analyses suggested that the findings were robust. CONCLUSIONS: The capability of safely and efficiently ruling out PE of available diagnostic strategies differs for different healthcare settings. The findings of this IPD MA help in determining the optimum diagnostic strategies for ruling out PE per healthcare setting, balancing the trade-off between failure rate and efficiency of each strategy.

Long-Term Risk of Major Bleeding after Discontinuing Anticoagulation for Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of major bleeding up to 5 years after discontinuing anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL (from inception to January 2021) to identify relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked or weakly provoked VTE who had completed (IMAGE_)3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on major bleeding events and person-years were obtained from authors of included studies to calculate study-level incidence rates. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results across studies. RESULTS: Of 1,123 records identified by the search, 20 studies (17 RCTs) and 8,740 patients were included in the analysis. During 13,011 person-years of follow-up after discontinuing anticoagulation, the pooled incidence of major bleeding (n = 41) and fatal bleeding (n = 7) per 100 person-years was 0.35 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.20-0.54) and 0.09 (95% CI: 0.05-0.15). The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding was of 1.0% (95% CI: 0.4-2.4%). The case-fatality rate of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation was 19.9% (95% CI: 10.6-31.1%). CONCLUSION: The risk of major bleeding once anticoagulants are discontinued in patients with a first unprovoked VTE is not zero. Estimates from this study can help clinicians counsel patients about the incremental risk of major bleeding with extended anticoagulation to guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

Safety and Efficiency of Diagnostic Strategies for Ruling Out Pulmonary Embolism in Clinically Relevant Patient Subgroups : A Systematic Review and Individual-Patient Data Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: How diagnostic strategies for suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) perform in relevant patient subgroups defined by sex, age, cancer, and previous venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unknown. PURPOSE: To evaluate the safety and efficiency of the Wells and revised Geneva scores combined with fixed and adapted D-dimer thresholds, as well as the YEARS algorithm, for ruling out acute PE in these subgroups. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE from 1 January 1995 until 1 January 2021. STUDY SELECTION: 16 studies assessing at least 1 diagnostic strategy. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual-patient data from 20 553 patients. DATA SYNTHESIS: Safety was defined as the diagnostic failure rate (the predicted 3-month VTE incidence after exclusion of PE without imaging at baseline). Efficiency was defined as the proportion of individuals classified by the strategy as "PE considered excluded" without imaging tests. Across all strategies, efficiency was highest in patients younger than 40 years (47% to 68%) and lowest in patients aged 80 years or older (6.0% to 23%) or patients with cancer (9.6% to 26%). However, efficiency improved considerably in these subgroups when pretest probability-dependent D-dimer thresholds were applied. Predicted failure rates were highest for strategies with adapted D-dimer thresholds, with failure rates varying between 2% and 4% in the predefined patient subgroups. LIMITATIONS: Between-study differences in scoring predictor items and D-dimer assays, as well as the presence of differential verification bias, in particular for classifying fatal events and subsegmental PE cases, all of which may have led to an overestimation of the predicted failure rates of adapted D-dimer thresholds. CONCLUSION: Overall, all strategies showed acceptable safety, with pretest probability-dependent D-dimer thresholds having not only the highest efficiency but also the highest predicted failure rate. From an efficiency perspective, this individual-patient data meta-analysis supports application of adapted D-dimer thresholds. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Dutch Research Council. (PROSPERO: CRD42018089366).