Health-Related Quality of Life Across the Spectrum of Pulmonary Hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Health-related quality of life (HRQOL) is frequently impaired in pulmonary arterial hypertension. However, little is known about HRQOL in other forms of pulmonary hypertension (PH). RESEARCH QUESTION: Does HRQOL vary across groups of the World Symposium on Pulmonary Hypertension (WSPH) classification system? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study included patients with PH from the Pulmonary Vascular Disease Phenomics (PVDOMICS) cohort study. HRQOL was assessed by using emPHasis-10 (e-10), the 36-item Medical Outcomes Study Short Form survey (physical component score [PCS] and mental component score), and the Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire. Pearson correlations between HRQOL and demographic, physiologic, and imaging characteristics within each WSPH group were tested. Multivariable linear regressions compared HRQOL across WSPH groups, adjusting for demographic characteristics, disease prevalence, functional class, and hemodynamics. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess associations between HRQOL and survival across WSPH groups. RESULTS: Among 691 patients with PH, HRQOL correlated with functional class and 6-min walk distance but not hemodynamics. HRQOL was severely depressed across WSPH groups for all measures except the 36-item Medical Outcomes Study Short Form survey mental component score. Compared with Group 1 participants, Group 2 participants had significantly worse HRQOL (e-10 score, 29 vs 24 [P = .001]; PCS, 32.9 ± 8 vs 38.4 ± 10 [P < .0001]; and Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire score, 50 vs 38 [P = .003]). Group 3 participants similarly had a worse e-10 score (31 vs 24; P < .0001) and PCS (33.3 ± 9 vs 38.4 ± 10; P < .0001) compared with Group 1 participants, which persisted in multivariable models (P < .05). HRQOL was associated in adjusted models with survival across Groups 1, 2, and 3. INTERPRETATION: HRQOL was depressed in PH and particularly in Groups 2 and 3 despite less severe hemodynamics. HRQOL is associated with functional capacity, but the severity of hemodynamic disease poorly estimates the impact of PH on patients' lives. Further studies are needed to better identify predictors and treatments to improve HRQOL across the spectrum of PH.

Long-Term Outcomes of Medical Management vs Bariatric Surgery in Type 2 Diabetes.

Importance: Randomized clinical trials of bariatric surgery have been limited in size, type of surgical procedure, and follow-up duration. Objective: To determine long-term glycemic control and safety of bariatric surgery compared with medical/lifestyle management of type 2 diabetes. Design, Setting, and Participants: ARMMS-T2D (Alliance of Randomized Trials of Medicine vs Metabolic Surgery in Type 2 Diabetes) is a pooled analysis from 4 US single-center randomized trials conducted between May 2007 and August 2013, with observational follow-up through July 2022. Intervention: Participants were originally randomized to undergo either medical/lifestyle management or 1 of the following 3 bariatric surgical procedures: Roux-en-Y gastric bypass, sleeve gastrectomy, or adjustable gastric banding. Main Outcome and Measures: The primary outcome was change in hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) from baseline to 7 years for all participants. Data are reported for up to 12 years. Results: A total of 262 of 305 eligible participants (86%) enrolled in long-term follow-up for this pooled analysis. The mean (SD) age of participants was 49.9 (8.3) years, mean (SD) body mass index was 36.4 (3.5), 68.3% were women, 31% were Black, and 67.2% were White. During follow-up, 25% of participants randomized to undergo medical/lifestyle management underwent bariatric surgery. The median follow-up was 11 years. At 7 years, HbA1c decreased by 0.2% (95% CI, -0.5% to 0.2%), from a baseline of 8.2%, in the medical/lifestyle group and by 1.6% (95% CI, -1.8% to -1.3%), from a baseline of 8.7%, in the bariatric surgery group. The between-group difference was -1.4% (95% CI, -1.8% to -1.0%; P < .001) at 7 years and -1.1% (95% CI, -1.7% to -0.5%; P = .002) at 12 years. Fewer antidiabetes medications were used in the bariatric surgery group. Diabetes remission was greater after bariatric surgery (6.2% in the medical/lifestyle group vs 18.2% in the bariatric surgery group; P = .02) at 7 years and at 12 years (0.0% in the medical/lifestyle group vs 12.7% in the bariatric surgery group; P < .001). There were 4 deaths (2.2%), 2 in each group, and no differences in major cardiovascular adverse events. Anemia, fractures, and gastrointestinal adverse events were more common after bariatric surgery. Conclusion and Relevance: After 7 to 12 years of follow-up, individuals originally randomized to undergo bariatric surgery compared with medical/lifestyle intervention had superior glycemic control with less diabetes medication use and higher rates of diabetes remission. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02328599.

Sleep-Related Hypoxia, Right Ventricular Dysfunction, and Survival in Patients With Group 1 Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Group 1 pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a progressive fatal condition characterized by right ventricular (RV) failure with worse outcomes in connective tissue disease (CTD). Obstructive sleep apnea and sleep-related hypoxia may contribute to RV dysfunction, though the relationship remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to prospectively evaluate the association of the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) and sleep-related hypoxia with RV function and survival. METHODS: Pulmonary Vascular Disease Phenomics (National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute) cohort participants (patients with group 1 PAH, comparators, and healthy control participants) with sleep studies were included. Multimodal RV functional measures were examined in association with AHI and percentage of recording time with oxygen saturation <90% (T90) per 10-unit increment. Linear models, adjusted for demographics, oxygen, diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide, pulmonary hypertension medications, assessed AHI and T90, and RV measures. Log-rank test/Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, oxygen, and positive airway pressure were constructed for transplantation-free survival analyses. RESULTS: Analysis included 186 participants with group 1 PAH with a mean age of 52.6 ± 14.1 years; 71.5% were women, 80.8% were Caucasian, and there were 43 events (transplantation or death). AHI and T90 were associated with decreased RV ejection fraction (on magnetic resonance imaging), by 2.18% (-2.18; 95% CI: -4.00 to -0.36; P = 0.019) and 0.93% (-0.93; 95% CI: -1.47 to -0.40; P < 0.001), respectively. T90 was associated with increased RV systolic pressure (on echocardiography), by 2.52 mm Hg (2.52; 95% CI: 1.61 to 3.43; P < 0.001); increased mean pulmonary artery pressure (on right heart catheterization), by 0.27 mm Hg (0.27; 95% CI: 0.05 to 0.49; P = 0.019); and RV hypertrophy (on electrocardiography), 1.24 mm (1.24; 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.40; P < 0.001). T90, but not AHI, was associated with a 17% increased 5-year risk for transplantation or death (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.28). In non-CTD-associated PAH, T90 was associated with a 21% increased risk for transplantation or death (HR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.34). In CTD-associated PAH, T90 was associated with RV dysfunction, but not death or transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Sleep-related hypoxia was more strongly associated than AHI with measures of RV dysfunction, death, or transplantation overall and in group 1 non-CTD-associated PAH but only with RV dysfunction in CTD-associated PAH. (Pulmonary Vascular Disease Phenomics Program [PVDOMICS]; NCT02980887).

Kynurenine pathway metabolism evolves with development of preclinical and scleroderma-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Understanding metabolic evolution underlying pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) development may clarify pathobiology and reveal disease-specific biomarkers. Patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) are regularly surveilled for PAH, presenting an opportunity to examine metabolic change as disease develops in an at-risk cohort. We performed mass spectrometry-based metabolomics on longitudinal serum samples collected before and near SSc-PAH diagnosis, compared with time-matched SSc subjects without PAH, in a SSc surveillance cohort. We validated metabolic differences in a second cohort and determined metabolite-phenotype relationships. In parallel, we performed serial metabolomic and hemodynamic assessments as the disease developed in a preclinical model. For differentially expressed metabolites, we investigated corresponding gene expression in human and rodent PAH lungs. Kynurenine and its ratio to tryptophan (kyn/trp) increased over the surveillance period in patients with SSc who developed PAH. Higher kyn/trp measured two years before diagnostic right heart catheterization increased the odds of SSc-PAH diagnosis (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.05-2.36, P = 0.028). The slope of kyn/trp rise during SSc surveillance predicted PAH development and mortality. In both clinical and experimental PAH, higher kynurenine pathway metabolites correlated with adverse pulmonary vascular and RV measurements. In human and rodent PAH lungs, expression of TDO2, which encodes tryptophan 2,3 dioxygenase (TDO), a protein that catalyzes tryptophan conversion to kynurenine, was significantly upregulated and tightly correlated with pulmonary hypertensive features. Upregulated kynurenine pathway metabolism occurs early in PAH, localizes to the lung, and may be modulated by TDO2. Kynurenine pathway metabolites may be candidate PAH biomarkers and TDO warrants exploration as a potential novel therapeutic target.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Our study shows an early increase in kynurenine pathway metabolism in at-risk subjects with systemic sclerosis who develop pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). We show that kynurenine pathway upregulation precedes clinical diagnosis and that this metabolic shift is associated with increased disease severity and shorter survival times. We also show that gene expression of TDO2, an enzyme that generates kynurenine from tryptophan, rises with PAH development.

Classification and Predictors of Right Ventricular Functional Recovery in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Normative changes in right ventricular (RV) structure and function have not been characterized in the context of treatment-associated functional recovery (RV functional recovery [RVFnRec]). The aim of this study is to assess the clinical relevance of a proposed RVFnRec definition. METHODS: We evaluated 63 incident patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension by right heart catheterization and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging at diagnosis and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing following treatment (≈11 months). Sex, age, ethnicity matched healthy control subjects (n=62) with 1-time cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and noninvasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing were recruited from the PVDOMICS (Redefining Pulmonary Hypertension through Pulmonary Vascular Disease Phenomics) project. We examined therapeutic cardiac magnetic resonance imaging changes relative to the evidence-based peak oxygen consumption (VO2peak)>15 mL/(kg·min) to define RVFnRec by receiver operating curve analysis. Afterload was measured as mean pulmonary artery pressure, resistance, compliance, and elastance. RESULTS: A drop in RV end-diastolic volume of -15 mL best defined RVFnRec (area under the curve, 0.87; P=0.0001) and neared upper 95% CI RV end-diastolic volume of controls. This cutoff was met by 22 out of 63 (35%) patients which was reinforced by freedom from clinical worsening, RVFnRec 1 out of 21 (5%) versus no RVFnRec 17 out of 42, 40% (log-rank P=0.006). A therapy-associated increase of 0.8 mL/mm Hg in compliance had the best predictive value of RVFnRec (area under the curve, 0.76; [95% CI, 0.64-0.88]; P=0.001). RVFnRec patients had greater increases in stroke volume, and cardiac output at exercise. CONCLUSIONS: RVFnRec defined by RV end-diastolic volume therapeutic decrease of -15 mL predicts exercise capacity, freedom from clinical worsening, and nears normalization. A therapeutic improvement of compliance is superior to other measures of afterload in predicting RVFnRec. RVFnRec is also associated with increased RV output reserve at exercise.

Classification and Predictors of Right Ventricular Functional Recovery in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Background: Normative changes in right ventricular (RV) structure and function have not been characterized in the context of treatment-associated functional recovery (RVFnRec). The aim of this study is to assess the clinical relevance of a proposed RVFnRec definition. Methods: We evaluated 63 incident patients with PAH by right heart catheterization and cardiac MRI (CMR) at diagnosis and CMR and invasive cardiopulmonary exercise (CPET) following treatment (∻11 months). Sex, age, race/ethnicity matched healthy control subjects (n=62) with one-time CMR and non-invasive CPET were recruited from the PVDOMICS project. We examined therapeutic CMR changes relative to the evidence-based peak oxygen consumption (VO2 peak )>15mL/kg/min to define RVFnRec by receiver operating curve analysis. Afterload was measured in the as mean pulmonary artery pressure, resistance, compliance, and elastance. Results: A drop in RV end-diastolic volume of -15 mL best defined RVFnRec (AUC 0.87, P=0.0001) and neared upper 95% CI RVEDV of controls. 22/63 (35%) of subjects met this cutoff which was reinforced by freedom from clinical worsening, RVFnRec 1/21 (5%) versus no RVFnRec 17/42, 40%, (log rank P=0.006). A therapy-associated increase of 0.8 mL/mmHg in compliance had the best predictive value of RVFnRec (AUC 0.76, CI 0.64-0.88, P=0.001). RVFnRec subjects had greater increases in stroke volume, and cardiac output at exercise. Conclusions: RVFnRec defined by RVEDV therapeutic decrease of -15mL predicts exercise capacity, freedom from clinical worsening, and nears normalization. A therapeutic improvement of compliance is superior to other measures of afterload in predicting RVFnRec. RVFnRec is also associated with increased RV output reserve at exercise. Clinical Perspective: What is new?: Right ventricular functional recovery (RVFnRec) represents a novel endpoint of therapeutic success in PAH. We define RVFnRec as treatment associated normative RV changes related to function (peak oxygen consumption). Normative RV imaging changes are compared to a well phenotyped age, sex, and race/ethnicity matched healthy control cohort from the PVDOMICS project. Previous studies have focused on RV ejection fraction improvements. However, we show that changes in RVEDV are perhaps more important in that improvements in LV function also occur. Lastly, RVFnRec is best predicted by improvements in pulmonary artery compliance versus pulmonary vascular resistance, a more often cited metric of RV afterload.What are the clinical implications?: RVFnRec represents a potential non-invasive assessment of clinical improvement and therapeutic response. Clinicians with access to cardiac MRI can obtain a limited scan (i.e., ventricular volumes) before and after treatment. Future study should examine echocardiographic correlates of RVFnRec.

Association of Shear Stress with Subsequent Lumen Remodeling in Hemodialysis Arteriovenous Fistulas.

BACKGROUND: Blood flow-induced wall shear stress is a strong local regulator of vascular remodeling, but its effects on arteriovenous fistula (AVF) remodeling are unclear. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we used computational fluid dynamics simulations and statistical mixed-effects modeling to investigate the associations between wall shear stress and AVF remodeling in 120 participants undergoing AVF creation surgery. Postoperative magnetic resonance imaging data at 1 day, 6 weeks, and 6 months were used to derive current wall shear stress by computational fluid dynamic simulations and to quantify subsequent changes in AVF lumen cross-sectional area at 1-mm intervals along the proximal artery and AVF vein. RESULTS: Combining artery and vein data, prior mean wall shear stress was significantly associated with lumen area expansion. Mean wall shear stress at day 1 was significantly associated with change in lumen area from day 1 to week 6 (11% larger area per interquartile range [IQR] higher mean wall shear stress, 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 5% to 18%; n =101), and mean wall shear stress at 6 weeks was significantly associated with change in lumen area from 6 weeks to month 6 (14% larger area per IQR higher, 95% CI, 3% to 28%; n =52). The association of mean wall shear stress at day 1 with lumen area expansion from day 1 to week 6 differed significantly by diabetes ( P =0.009): 27% (95% CI, 17% to 37%) larger area per IQR higher mean wall shear stress without diabetes and 9% (95% CI, -1% to 19%) with diabetes. Oscillatory shear index at day 1 was significantly associated with change in lumen area from day 1 to week 6 (5% smaller area per IQR higher oscillatory shear index, 95% CI, 3% to 7%), and oscillatory shear index at 6 weeks was significantly associated with change in lumen from 6 weeks to month 6 (7% smaller area per IQR higher oscillatory shear index, 95% CI, 2% to 11%). Wall shear stress spatial gradient was not significantly associated with subsequent remodeling. In a joint model, wall shear stress and oscillatory shear index statistically significantly interacted in their associations with lumen area expansion in a complex nonlinear fashion. CONCLUSIONS: Higher wall shear stress and lower oscillatory shear index were associated with greater lumen expansion after AVF creation surgery.

Clinical Characteristics and Transplant-Free Survival Across the Spectrum of Pulmonary Vascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: PVDOMICS (Pulmonary Vascular Disease Phenomics) is a precision medicine initiative to characterize pulmonary vascular disease (PVD) using deep phenotyping. PVDOMICS tests the hypothesis that integration of clinical metrics with omic measures will enhance understanding of PVD and facilitate an updated PVD classification. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to describe clinical characteristics and transplant-free survival in the PVDOMICS cohort. METHODS: Subjects with World Symposium Pulmonary Hypertension (WSPH) group 1-5 PH, disease comparators with similar underlying diseases and mild or no PH and healthy control subjects enrolled in a cross-sectional study. PH groups, comparators were compared using standard statistical tests including log-rank tests for comparing time to transplant or death. RESULTS: A total of 1,193 subjects were included. Multiple WSPH groups were identified in 38.9% of PH subjects. Nocturnal desaturation was more frequently observed in groups 1, 3, and 4 PH vs comparators. A total of 50.2% of group 1 PH subjects had ground glass opacities on chest computed tomography. Diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide was significantly lower in groups 1-3 PH than their respective comparators. Right atrial volume index was higher in WSPH groups 1-4 than comparators. A total of 110 participants had a mean pulmonary artery pressure of 21-24 mm Hg. Transplant-free survival was poorest in group 3 PH. CONCLUSIONS: PVDOMICS enrolled subjects across the spectrum of PVD, including mild and mixed etiology PH. Novel findings include low diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide and enlarged right atrial volume index as shared features of groups 1-3 and 1-4 PH, respectively; unexpected, frequent presence of ground glass opacities on computed tomography; and sleep alterations in group 1 PH, and poorest survival in group 3 PH. PVDOMICS will facilitate a new understanding of PVD and refine the current PVD classification. (Pulmonary Vascular Disease Phenomics Program PVDOMICS [PVDOMICS]; NCT02980887).

Design Features and Rationale of the BEAR-MOON (Bridge-Enhanced ACL Restoration Multicenter Orthopaedic Outcomes Network) Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: BEAR (bridge-enhanced anterior cruciate ligament [ACL] restoration), a paradigm-shifting technology to heal midsubstance ACL tears, has been demonstrated to be effective in a single-center 2:1 randomized controlled trial (RCT) versus hamstring ACL reconstruction. Widespread dissemination of BEAR into clinical practice should also be informed by a multicenter RCT to demonstrate exportability and compare efficacy with bone--patellar tendon-bone (BPTB) ACL reconstruction, another clinically standard treatment. PURPOSE: To present the design and initial preparation of a multicenter RCT of BEAR versus BPTB ACL reconstruction (the BEAR: Multicenter Orthopaedic Outcomes Network [BEAR-MOON] trial). Design and analytic issues in planning the complex BEAR-MOON trial, involving the US National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases, the US Food and Drug Administration, the BEAR implant manufacturer, a data and safety monitoring board, and institutional review boards, can usefully inform both clinicians on the trial's strengths and limitations and future investigators on planning of complex orthopaedic studies. STUDY DESIGN: Clinical trial. METHODS: We describe the distinctive clinical, methodological, and operational challenges of comparing the innovative BEAR procedure with the well-established BPTB operation, and we outline the clinical motivation, experimental setting, study design, surgical challenges, rehabilitation, outcome measures, and planned analysis of the BEAR-MOON trial. RESULTS: BEAR-MOON is a 6-center, 12-surgeon, 200-patient randomized, partially blinded, noninferiority RCT comparing BEAR with BPTB ACL reconstruction for treating first-time midsubstance ACL tears. Noninferiority of BEAR relative to BPTB will be claimed if the total score on the International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) subjective knee evaluation form and the knee arthrometer 30-lb (13.61-kg) side-to-side laxity difference are both within respective margins of 16 points for the IKDC and 2.5 mm for knee laxity. CONCLUSION: Major issues include patient selection, need for intraoperative randomization and treatment-specific postoperative physical therapy regimens (because of fundamental differences in surgical technique, initial stability construct, and healing), and choice of noninferiority margins for short-term efficacy outcomes of a novel intervention with evident short-term advantages and theoretical, but unverified, long-term benefits on other dimensions.

Arteriovenous Fistula Maturation, Functional Patency, and Intervention Rates.

Importance: National initiatives have emphasized the use of autogenous arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) for hemodialysis, but their purported benefits have been questioned. Objective: To examine AVF usability, longer-term functional patency, and remedial procedures to facilitate maturation, manage complications, or maintain patency in the Hemodialysis Fistula Maturation (HFM) Study. Design, Setting, and Participants: The HFM Study was a multicenter (n = 7) prospective National Institutes of Health National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases cohort study performed to identify factors associated with AVF maturation. A total of 602 participants were enrolled (dialysis, kidney failure: 380; predialysis, chronic kidney disease [CKD]: 222) with AVF maturation ascertained for 535 (kidney failure, 353; CKD, 182) participants. Interventions: All clinical decisions regarding AVF management were deferred to the individual centers, but remedial interventions were discouraged within 6 weeks of creation. Main Outcomes and Measures: In this case series analysis, the primary outcome was unassisted maturation. Functional patency, freedom from intervention, and participant survival were summarized using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: Most participants evaluated (n = 535) were men (372 [69.5%]) and had diabetes (311 [58.1%]); mean (SD) age was 54.6 (13.6) years. Almost two-thirds of the AVFs created (342 of 535 [64%]) were in the upper arm. The AVF maturation rates for the kidney failure vs CKD participants were 29% vs 10% at 3 months, 67% vs 38% at 6 months, and 76% vs 58% at 12 months. Several participants with kidney failure (133 [37.7%]) and CKD (63 [34.6%]) underwent interventions to facilitate maturation or manage complications before maturation. The median time from access creation to maturation was 115 days (interquartile range [IQR], 86-171 days) but differed by initial indication (CKD, 170 days; IQR, 113-269 days; kidney failure, 105 days; IQR, 81-137 days). The functional patency for the AVFs that matured at 1 year was 87% (95% CI, 83.2%-90.2%) and at 2 years, 75% (95% CI, 69.7%-79.7%), and there was no significant difference for those receiving interventions before maturation. Almost half (188 [47.5%]) of the AVFs that matured had further intervention to maintain patency or treat complications. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that AVF remains an accepted hemodialysis access option, although both its maturation and continued use require a moderate number of interventions to maintain patency and treat the associated complications.

A New Panel-Estimated GFR, Including ß2-Microglobulin and ß-Trace Protein and Not Including Race, Developed in a Diverse Population.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE: Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimation based on creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRcr-cys) is more accurate than estimated GFR (eGFR) based on creatinine or cystatin C alone (eGFRcr or eGFRcys, respectively), but the inclusion of creatinine in eGFRcr-cys requires specification of a person's race. ß2-Microglobulin (B2M) and ß-trace protein (BTP) are alternative filtration markers that appear to be less influenced by race than creatinine is. STUDY DESIGN: Study of diagnostic test accuracy. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Development in a pooled population of 7 studies with 5,017 participants with and without chronic kidney disease. External validation in a pooled population of 7 other studies with 2,245 participants. TESTS COMPARED: Panel eGFR using B2M and BTP in addition to cystatin C (3-marker panel) or creatinine and cystatin C (4-marker panel) with and without age and sex or race. OUTCOMES: GFR measured as the urinary clearance of iothalamate, plasma clearance of iohexol, or plasma clearance of [51Cr]EDTA. RESULTS: Mean measured GFRs were 58.1 and 83.2 mL/min/1.73 m2, and the proportions of Black participants were 38.6% and 24.0%, in the development and validation populations, respectively. In development, addition of age and sex improved the performance of all equations compared with equations without age and sex, but addition of race did not further improve the performance. In validation, the 4-marker panels were more accurate than the 3-marker panels (P < 0.001). The 3-marker panel without race was more accurate than eGFRcys (percentage of estimates greater than 30% different from measured GFR [1 - P30] of 15.6% vs 17.4%; P = 0.01), and the 4-marker panel without race was as accurate as eGFRcr-cys (1 - P30 of 8.6% vs 9.4%; P = 0.2). Results were generally consistent across subgroups. LIMITATIONS: No representation of participants with severe comorbid illness and from geographic areas outside of North America and Europe. CONCLUSIONS: The 4-marker panel eGFR is as accurate as eGFRcr-cys without requiring specification of race. A more accurate race-free eGFR could be an important advance.

The effect of frequent hemodialysis on matrix metalloproteinases, their tissue inhibitors, and FGF23: Implications for blood pressure and left ventricular mass modification in the Frequent Hemodialysis Network trials.

BACKGROUND: Frequent hemodialysis modifies serum phosphorus, blood pressure, and left ventricular mass (LVM). We ascertained whether frequent hemodialysis is associated with specific changes in biomarker profile among patients enrolled in the frequent hemodialysis network (FHN) trials. METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of biomarkers among patients enrolled to the FHN trials. In particular, we hypothesized that frequent hemodialysis is associated with changes in a specific set of biomarkers which are linked with changes in blood pressure or LVM. RESULTS: Among 332 randomized patients, 243 had biomarker data available. Of these, 124 patients were assigned to 3-times-a-week hemodialysis (94 [Daily Trial] and 30 [Nocturnal Trial]) and 119 patients were assigned to 6-times-a-week hemodialysis (87 [Daily Trial] and 32 [Nocturnal Trial]). Frequent hemodialysis lowered phosphate, blood pressures, LVM, log fibroblast growth factor (FGF)23, and tissue inhibitors of metalloproteinase (TIMP)-2 levels. The fall in phosphate was associated with changes in FGF23 (r = 0.48, P < 0.001) [Daily Trial] and (r = 0.55, P < 0.001) [Nocturnal Trial]) and tended to be associated with changes in systolic blood pressure (r = 0.18, P = 0.057) [Daily Trial] and (r = 0.31, P = 0.04) [Nocturnal Trial]. Within the Daily Trial, changes in MMP2 (r = 0.20, P = 0.034) were associated with changes in LVM. In the Nocturnal Trial, changes in TIMP-1 (r = 0.37, P = 0.029) and MMP 9 (r = -0.38, P = 0.01) were associated with LVM changes. MMP2 changes were associated with changes in systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Reduction of serum phosphate by frequent hemodialysis may modulate FGF23 levels and systolic blood pressure. Markers of matrix turnover are associated with LVM changes. Frequent hemodialysis may affect pathological mediators of chronic kidney disease-mineral bone-metabolism disorder.

GFR Slope as a Surrogate End Point for Kidney Disease Progression in Clinical Trials: A Meta-Analysis of Treatment Effects of Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: Surrogate end points are needed to assess whether treatments are effective in the early stages of CKD. GFR decline leads to kidney failure, but regulators have not approved using differences in the change in GFR from the beginning to the end of a randomized, controlled trial as an end point in CKD because it is not clear whether small changes in the GFR slope will translate to clinical benefits. METHODS: To assess the use of GFR slope as a surrogate end point for CKD progression, we performed a meta-analysis of 47 RCTs that tested 12 interventions in 60,620 subjects. We estimated treatment effects on GFR slope (mean difference in GFR slope between the randomized groups), for the total slope starting at baseline, chronic slope starting at 3 months after randomization, and on the clinical end point (doubling of serum creatinine, GFR<15 ml/min per 1.73 m2, or ESKD) for each study. We used Bayesian mixed-effects analyses to describe the association of treatment effects on GFR slope with the clinical end point and to test how well the GFR slope predicts a treatment's effect on the clinical end point. RESULTS: Across all studies, the treatment effect on 3-year total GFR slope (median R2=0.97; 95% Bayesian credible interval [BCI], 0.78 to 1.00) and on the chronic slope (R2 0.96; 95% BCI, 0.63 to 1.00) accurately predicted treatment effects on the clinical end point. With a sufficient sample size, a treatment effect of 0.75 ml/min per 1.73 m2/yr or greater on total slope over 3 years or chronic slope predicts a clinical benefit on CKD progress with at least 96% probability. CONCLUSIONS: With large enough sample sizes, GFR slope may be a viable surrogate for clinical end points in CKD RCTs.

Mineral Metabolism Disturbances and Arteriovenous Fistula Maturation.

BACKGROUND: The arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is central to haemodialysis treatment, but up to half of surgically created AVF fail to mature. Chronic kidney disease often leads to mineral metabolism disturbances that may interfere with AVF maturation through adverse vascular effects. This study tested associations between mineral metabolism markers and vein histology at AVF creation and unassisted and overall clinical AVF maturation. METHODS: Concentrations of fibroblast growth factor 23, parathyroid hormone, calcium, phosphate, and vitamin D metabolites: 1,25(OH)2D, 24,25(OH)2D, 25(OH)D, and bioavailable 25(OH)D were measured in pre-operative serum samples from 562 of 602 participants in the Haemodialysis Fistula Maturation Study, a multicentre, prospective cohort study of patients undergoing surgical creation of an autologous upper extremity AVF. Unassisted and overall AVF maturation were ascertained for 540 and 527 participants, respectively, within nine months of surgery or four weeks of dialysis initiation. Study personnel obtained vein segments adjacent to the portion of the vein used for anastomosis, which were processed, embedded, and stained for measurement of neointimal hyperplasia, calcification, and collagen deposition in the medial wall. RESULTS: Participants in this substudy were 71% male, 43% black, and had a mean age of 55 years. Failure to achieve AVF maturation without assistance occurred in 288 (53%) participants for whom this outcome was determined. In demographic and further adjusted models, mineral metabolism markers were not significantly associated with vein histology characteristics, unassisted AVF maturation failure, or overall maturation failure, other than a biologically unexplained association of higher 24,25(OH)2D with overall failure. This exception aside, associations were non-significant for continuous and categorical analyses and relevant subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Serum concentrations of measured mineral metabolites were not substantially associated with major histological characteristics of veins in patients undergoing AVF creation surgery, or with AVF maturation failure, suggesting that efforts to improve AVF maturation rates should increase attention to other processes such as vein mechanics, anatomy, and cellular metabolism among end stage renal disease patients.

The effect of increased frequency of hemodialysis on serum cystatin C and ß2-microglobulin concentrations: A secondary analysis of the frequent hemodialysis network (FHN) trial.

INTRODUCTION: Small molecular weight toxin clearance is the main method of assessment of hemodialysis efficiency. Middle molecules including cystatin C (CysC) and Beta-2 microglobulin (ß2-M) are understudied. We hypothesized that lowering of predialysis CysC and ß2-M serum concentrations would be affected by switching to more frequent hemodialysis. METHODS: Predialysis CysC and ß2-M serum concentrations were measured from serum samples of the Frequent Hemodialysis Network (FHN) Daily and Nocturnal Trials. The differences between predialysis concentrations at baseline (while on conventional thrice weekly dialysis) and those after 12-months of study (on more frequent dialysis) were compared separately by trial (Nocturnal, Daily). We tested the associations between predialysis serum CysC and ß2-M concentrations and outcomes. FINDINGS: Forty-nine percent and 52% of the patients from the FHN Daily and Nocturnal Trials respectively were included in this ancillary study. Predialysis serum CysC concentrations remained unchanged after intensifying hemodialysis dose by either modality. There was significant lowering of the serum ß2-M concentrations in the frequent Daily Trial hemodialysis group at 12 months in all patients and in patients without residual renal function at baseline (-3.8 ± 12.62 µg/mL, P = 0.004; -5.9 ± 12.99 µg/mL, P = 0.02, respectively). There were no significant differences between the baseline and the 12-months predialysis ß2-M serum concentrations in the two control groups (Daily 3× and Nocturnal 3× groups). No association between the changes in the two biomarkers between baseline and 12-months and in changes in left ventricular mass, physical-health composite scores, hospitalization rate, and death were found. The numbers of hospitalizations and deaths were small. DISCUSSION: ß2-M may be a better biomarker of dialysis dose than CysC. Reduction in the concentration of potentially toxic long-lived proteins of the size of ß-2M is one potential long-term benefit of more intensive dialysis that may be explored.

Association between change in serum bicarbonate and change in thyroid hormone levels in patients receiving conventional or more frequent maintenance haemodialysis.

AIM: Correction of metabolic acidosis in patients with chronic kidney disease has been associated with improvement in thyroid function. We examined whether changes in bicarbonate were associated with changes in thyroid function in patients with end-stage renal disease receiving conventional or more frequent haemodialysis. METHODS: In the Frequent Hemodialysis Network Trials, the relationship between changes in serum bicarbonate, free triiodothyronine (FT3) and free thyroxine (FT4) was examined among 147 and 48 patients with endogenous thyroid function who received conventional (3×/week) or more frequent (6×/week) haemodialysis (Daily Trial) or who received conventional or more frequent nocturnal haemodialysis (Nocturnal Trial). Equilibrated normalized protein catabolic rate (enPCR) was examined to account for nutritional factors affecting both acid load and thyroid function. RESULTS: Increasing dialysis frequency was associated with increased bicarbonate level. Baseline bicarbonate level was not associated with baseline FT3 and FT4. Change in bicarbonate level was not associated with changes in FT3 and FT4 in the Daily Trial nor for FT4 in the Nocturnal Trial (r ≤ 0.14, P > 0.21). While, a significant correlation between change in serum bicarbonate and change in FT3 (r = 0.44, P = 0.02) was observed in the Nocturnal Trial; findings were no longer significant after adjusting for change in enPCR (r = 0.37, P = 0.08). For participants with baseline bicarbonate <23 mmol/L, no association between change in bicarbonate and change in thyroid indices were seen in the Daily Trial; for the Nocturnal Trial, findings were also not significant for change in FT3 and the association between change in bicarbonate and change in FT4 (r = 0.54, P = 0.03) was no longer significant after adjusting for enPCR (r = 0.45, P = 0.11). CONCLUSION: Changes in bicarbonate were not associated with changes in thyroid hormone levels after adjusting for enPCR, as a marker of nutritional status. Future studies should examine whether improvement in acid base status improves thyroid function in haemodialysis patients with evidence of thyroid hypofunction.

Body mass index, calcium supplementation and risk of colorectal adenomas.

Calcium supplementation (1,200 mg/day) did not significantly reduce colorectal adenomas in our recent randomized, controlled trial (Vitamin D/Calcium Polyp Prevention Study, VCPPS, 2004-2013) in contrast to our previous trial (Calcium Polyp Prevention Study, CPPS, 1988-1996). To reconcile these findings, we identified participant characteristics that differed between the study populations and modified the effect of calcium supplementation on adenomas or high-risk findings (advanced or multiple adenomas). Compared to the CPPS, more participants in the VCPPS were obese (body mass index (BMI) ≥30 kg/m2 ; 37.5% vs. 24.4%) and fewer had normal BMI (BMI <25 kg/m2 ; 18.5% vs. 31%). BMI appeared to modify the effect of calcium supplementation on adenomas and especially on high risk-findings: in the VCPPS, there was a 44% reduction in high-risk findings among individuals whose BMI was normal (RR = 0.56, 95% CI = 0.26-1.23), but not among overweight (RR = 1.09, 95% CI = 0.62-1.91) or obese (RR = 1.54, 95% CI = 0.92-2.57) individuals (pinteraction = 0.03). Similarly, in the CPPS, there was a 56% reduction in high-risk findings among individuals whose BMI was normal (RR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.26-0.74), but not among overweight (RR = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.55-1.39) or obese (RR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.57-1.82) individuals (pinteraction = 0.02). Standardization of each trial's findings to the BMI distribution in the other attenuated calcium's protective effect on adenomas in the CPPS but enhanced it in the VCPPS. In conclusion, 1,200 mg/day calcium supplementation may reduce risk of colorectal adenomas among those with normal BMI but not in overweight or obese individuals; and differences in BMI distribution partially account for the apparent difference in calcium efficacy between the two trials.

The NHLBI LAM Registry: Prognostic Physiologic and Radiologic Biomarkers Emerge From a 15-Year Prospective Longitudinal Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The natural history of lymphangioleiomyomatosis (LAM) is mainly derived from retrospective cohort analyses, and it remains incompletely understood. A National Institutes of Health LAM Registry was established to define the natural history and identify prognostic biomarkers that can help guide management and decision-making in patients with LAM. METHODS: A linear mixed effects model was used to compute the rate of decline of FEV1 and to identify variables affecting FEV1 decline among 217 registry patients who enrolled from 1998 to 2001. Prognostic variables associated with progression to death/lung transplantation were identified by using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Mean annual decline of FEV1 was 89 ± 53 mL/year and remained remarkably constant regardless of baseline lung function. FEV1 decline was more rapid in those with greater cyst profusion on CT scanning (P = .02) and in premenopausal subjects (118 mL/year) compared with postmenopausal subjects (74 mL/year) (P = .003). There were 26 deaths and 43 lung transplantations during the evaluation period. The estimated 5-, 10-, 15-, and 20-year transplant-free survival rates were 94%, 85%, 75%, and 64%, respectively. Postmenopausal status (hazard ratio, 0.30; P = .0002) and higher baseline FEV1 (hazard ratio, 0.97; P = .008) or diffusion capacity of lung for carbon monoxide (hazard ratio, 0.97; P = .001) were independently associated with a lower risk of progression to death or lung transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: The median transplant-free survival in patients with LAM is > 20 years. Menopausal status, as well as structural and physiologic markers of disease severity, significantly affect the rate of decline of FEV1 and progression to death or lung transplantation in LAM.

Prediction of Arteriovenous Fistula Clinical Maturation from Postoperative Ultrasound Measurements: Findings from the Hemodialysis Fistula Maturation Study.

BACKGROUND: The utility of early postoperative ultrasound measurements in predicting arteriovenous fistula (AVF) clinical maturation is uncertain. METHODS: We investigated the relationships of ultrasound parameters with AVF clinical maturation in newly created AVF, measured at 1 day and 2 and 6 weeks, in 602 participants of a multicenter, observational cohort study. A backward elimination algorithm identified ultrasound measurements that independently predicted unassisted and overall AVF maturation. Candidate variables included AVF blood flow, diameter, and depth, upper arm arterial diameter, presence of stenosis, presence of accessory veins, seven case-mix factors (age, sex, black race, AVF location, diabetes, dialysis status, and body mass index), and clinical center. We evaluated the accuracy of the resulting models for clinical prediction. RESULTS: At each ultrasound measurement time, AVF blood flow, diameter, and depth each predicted in a statistically significant manner both unassisted and overall clinical maturation. Moreover, neither the remaining ultrasound parameters nor case-mix factors were associated with clinical AVF maturation after accounting for blood flow, diameter, and depth, although maturation probabilities differed among clinical centers before and after accounting for these parameters. The crossvalidated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for models constructed using these three ultrasound parameters was 0.69, 0.74, and 0.79 at 1 day and 2 and 6 weeks, respectively, for unassisted AVF clinical maturation and 0.69, 0.71, and 0.76, respectively, for overall AVF maturation. CONCLUSIONS: AVF blood flow, diameter, and depth moderately predicted unassisted and overall AVF clinical maturation. The other factors considered did not further improve AVF maturation prediction.