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1.
Acta Anaesthesiol Scand ; 68(5): 655-663, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38438302

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether physicians treating critically ill patients have realistic perceptions of their patients' prognoses. METHODS: We sent a survey by email to Finnish anesthesiologists to investigate their ability to estimate the probability of 1-year survival of intensive care unit (ICU) patients based on data available at the beginning of intensive care. We presented 12 fictional but real-life-based patient cases and asked the respondent to estimate the probability of 1-year survival in each case by choosing one of the alternatives 5%, 10%-90% in 10% intervals and 95%. We compared the physicians' estimates to registry data-based realistic prognoses of comparable patients treated in the ICU. Based on the difference between the estimate and the realistic prognosis, we categorized the estimates into three groups: (1) difference less than 10 percentage points, (2) difference between 10 and 20 percentage points, and (3) difference over 20 percentage points. RESULTS: We received 210 responses (totally 2520 estimates). Of the respondents, 43 (20.5%) were specialists working mainly in the ICU, 81 (38.6%) were specialists working occasionally in the ICU, 47 (22.4%) were specialists not working in the ICU, and 39 (18.6%) were doctors in training. The difference between the estimate and the realistic prognosis was less than 10 percentage points for 1083 (43.0%) estimates, between 10 and 20 percentage points for 645 (25.6%) estimates, and over 20 percentage points for 792 (31.4%) estimates, out of which 612 (24.3% of all estimates) underestimated and 180 (7.1%) overestimated the likelihood of survival. The median error (the median of the differences between the estimate and the realistic prognosis) for all estimates was -8.8 [interquartile range (IQR), -20.0 to -0.2], which means that the most typical response underestimated the likelihood of survival by 9 percentage points. Based on the 12 estimates, we calculated the median error for each respondent. The median (IQR) of these median errors was -8.6 (-12.6 to -5.0) for specialists working mainly in the ICU, -8.1 (-13.0 to -5.2) for specialists working occasionally in the ICU, -9.7 (-17.7 to -6.3) for specialists not working in the ICU, and -9.1 (-14.5 to -5.1) for doctors in training (p = .29). CONCLUSION: Finnish anesthesiologists commonly misestimate the long-term prognoses of ICU patients, more often underestimating than overestimating the likelihood of 1-year survival. More education about critically ill patients' prognoses and better prediction tools are needed.


Subject(s)
Intensive Care Units , Physicians , Humans , Critical Illness , Critical Care , Prognosis
2.
Crit Care Med ; 52(4): e217-e218, 2024 Apr 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38483239
3.
Crit Care Med ; 52(3): 387-395, 2024 Mar 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37947476

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) is a common metric to benchmark ICUs. However, SMR may be artificially distorted by the admission of potential organ donors (POD), who have nearly 100% mortality, although risk prediction models may not identify them as high-risk patients. We aimed to evaluate the impact of PODs on SMR. DESIGN: Retrospective registry-based multicenter study. SETTING: Twenty ICUs in Finland, Estonia, and Switzerland in 2015-2017. PATIENTS: Sixty thousand forty-seven ICU patients. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We used a previously validated mortality risk model to calculate the SMRs. We investigated the impact of PODs on the overall SMR, individual ICU SMR and ICU benchmarking. Of the 60,047 patients admitted to the ICUs, 514 (0.9%) were PODs, and 477 (93%) of them died. POD deaths accounted for 7% of the total 6738 in-hospital deaths. POD admission rates varied from 0.5 to 18.3 per 1000 admissions across ICUs. The risk prediction model predicted a 39% in-hospital mortality for PODs, but the observed mortality was 93%. The ratio of the SMR of the cohort without PODs to the SMR of the cohort with PODs was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93-0.99). Benchmarking results changed in 70% of ICUs after excluding PODs. CONCLUSIONS: Despite their relatively small overall number, PODs make up a large proportion of ICU patients who die. PODs cause bias in SMRs and in ICU benchmarking. We suggest excluding PODs when benchmarking ICUs with SMR.


Subject(s)
Benchmarking , Intensive Care Units , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Hospital Mortality , Hospitalization
4.
Thorax ; 79(2): 120-127, 2024 01 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37225417

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a large number of critical care admissions. While national reports have described the outcomes of patients with COVID-19, there is limited international data of the pandemic impact on non-COVID-19 patients requiring intensive care treatment. METHODS: We conducted an international, retrospective cohort study using 2019 and 2020 data from 11 national clinical quality registries covering 15 countries. Non-COVID-19 admissions in 2020 were compared with all admissions in 2019, prepandemic. The primary outcome was intensive care unit (ICU) mortality. Secondary outcomes included in-hospital mortality and standardised mortality ratio (SMR). Analyses were stratified by the country income level(s) of each registry. FINDINGS: Among 1 642 632 non-COVID-19 admissions, there was an increase in ICU mortality between 2019 (9.3%) and 2020 (10.4%), OR=1.15 (95% CI 1.14 to 1.17, p<0.001). Increased mortality was observed in middle-income countries (OR 1.25 95% CI 1.23 to 1.26), while mortality decreased in high-income countries (OR=0.96 95% CI 0.94 to 0.98). Hospital mortality and SMR trends for each registry were consistent with the observed ICU mortality findings. The burden of COVID-19 was highly variable, with COVID-19 ICU patient-days per bed ranging from 0.4 to 81.6 between registries. This alone did not explain the observed non-COVID-19 mortality changes. INTERPRETATION: Increased ICU mortality occurred among non-COVID-19 patients during the pandemic, driven by increased mortality in middle-income countries, while mortality decreased in high-income countries. The causes for this inequity are likely multi-factorial, but healthcare spending, policy pandemic responses, and ICU strain may play significant roles.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Humans , Retrospective Studies , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/therapy , Critical Care/methods , Intensive Care Units , Registries
5.
Acta Neurochir (Wien) ; 165(12): 4003-4012, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37910309

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Antiplatelet and anticoagulant medication are increasingly common and can increase the risks of morbidity and mortality in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. Our study aimed to quantify the association of antiplatelet or anticoagulant use in intensive care unit (ICU)-treated TBI patients with 1-year mortality and head CT findings. METHOD: We conducted a retrospective, multicenter observational study using the Finnish Intensive Care Consortium database. We included adult TBI patients admitted to four university hospital ICUs during 2003-2013. The patients were followed up until the end of 2016. The national drug reimbursement database provided information on prescribed medication for our study. We used multivariable logistic regression models to assess the association between TBI severity, prescribed antiplatelet and anticoagulant medication, and their association with 1-year mortality. RESULTS: Of 3031 patients, 128 (4%) had antiplatelet and 342 (11%) anticoagulant medication before their TBI. Clopidogrel (2%) and warfarin (9%) were the most common antiplatelets and anticoagulants. Three patients had direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) medication. The median age was higher among antiplatelet/anticoagulant users than in non-users (70 years vs. 52 years, p < 0.001), and their head CT findings were more severe (median Helsinki CT score 3 vs. 2, p < 0.05). In multivariable analysis, antiplatelets (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.02-2.58) and anticoagulants (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.06-1.94) were independently associated with higher odds of 1-year mortality. In a sensitivity analysis including only patients over 70, antiplatelets (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.16-4.22) and anticoagulants (1.50, 95% CI 0.97-2.32) were associated with an increased risk of 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Both antiplatelet and anticoagulant use before TBI were risk factors in our study for 1-year mortality. Antiplatelet and anticoagulation medication users had a higher radiological intracranial injury burden than non-users defined by the Helsinki CT score. Further investigation on the effect of DOACs on mortality should be done in ICU-treated TBI patients.


Subject(s)
Anticoagulants , Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Adult , Humans , Aged , Anticoagulants/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/drug therapy , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications , Risk Factors , Intensive Care Units
6.
Intensive Care Med ; 49(7): 831-839, 2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37405413

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Recombinant erythropoietin (EPO) administered for traumatic brain injury (TBI) may increase short-term survival, but the long-term effect is unknown. METHODS: We conducted a pre-planned long-term follow-up of patients in the multicentre erythropoietin in TBI trial (2010-2015). We invited survivors to follow-up and evaluated survival and functional outcome with the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) (categories 5-8 = good outcome), and secondly, with good outcome determined relative to baseline function (sliding scale). We used survival analysis to assess time to death and absolute risk differences (ARD) to assess favorable outcomes. We categorized TBI severity with the International Mission for Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials in TBI model. Heterogeneity of treatment effects were assessed with interaction p-values based on the following a priori defined subgroups, the severity of TBI, and the presence of an intracranial mass lesion and multi-trauma in addition to TBI. RESULTS: Of 603 patients in the original trial, 487 patients had survival data; 356 were included in the follow-up at a median of 6 years from injury. There was no difference between treatment groups for patient survival [EPO vs placebo hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73 (0.47-1.14) p = 0.17]. Good outcome rates were 110/175 (63%) in the EPO group vs 100/181 (55%) in the placebo group (ARD 8%, 95% CI [Formula: see text] 3 to 18%, p = 0.14). When good outcome was determined relative to baseline risk, the EPO groups had better GOSE (sliding scale ARD 12%, 95% CI 2-22%, p = 0.02). When considering long-term patient survival, there was no evidence for heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) according to severity of TBI (p = 0.85), presence of an intracranial mass lesion (p = 0.48), or whether the patient had multi-trauma in addition to TBI (p = 0.08). Similarly, no evidence of treatment heterogeneity was seen for the effect of EPO on functional outcome. CONCLUSION: EPO neither decreased overall long-term mortality nor improved functional outcome in moderate or severe TBI patients treated in the intensive care unit (ICU). The limited sample size makes it difficult to make final conclusions about the use of EPO in TBI.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Erythropoietin , Multiple Trauma , Humans , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/drug therapy , Erythropoietin/therapeutic use , Treatment Outcome , Survival Analysis
7.
Trials ; 24(1): 417, 2023 Jun 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37337295

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a neurological emergency, affecting a younger population than individuals experiencing an ischemic stroke; aSAH is associated with a high risk of mortality and permanent disability. The noble gas xenon has been shown to possess neuroprotective properties as demonstrated in numerous preclinical animal studies. In addition, a recent study demonstrated that xenon could attenuate a white matter injury after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. METHODS: The study is a prospective, multicenter phase II clinical drug trial. The study design is a single-blind, prospective superiority randomized two-armed parallel follow-up study. The primary objective of the study is to explore the potential neuroprotective effects of inhaled xenon, when administered within 6 h after the onset of symptoms of aSAH. The primary endpoint is the extent of the global white matter injury assessed with magnetic resonance diffusion tensor imaging of the brain. DISCUSSION: Despite improvements in medical technology and advancements in medical science, aSAH mortality and disability rates have remained nearly unchanged for the past 10 years. Therefore, new neuroprotective strategies to attenuate the early and delayed brain injuries after aSAH are needed to reduce morbidity and mortality. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04696523. Registered on 6 January 2021. EudraCT, EudraCT Number: 2019-001542-17. Registered on 8 July 2020.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/complications , Diffusion Tensor Imaging , Xenon/therapeutic use , Prospective Studies , Single-Blind Method , Follow-Up Studies , Brain Injuries/complications , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Multicenter Studies as Topic
8.
J Neurosurg ; 139(5): 1420-1429, 2023 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37029677

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Posttraumatic hydrocephalus (PTH) is a recognized long-term complication of traumatic brain injury (TBI). The authors assessed the incidence and risk factors of PTH and its association with outcome in patients with TBI who were treated in the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: The authors used the Finnish Intensive Care Consortium (FICC) database to retrospectively identify all adult patients with TBI treated in 4 Finnish tertiary ICUs during 2003-2013. All patients were followed up from hospital discharge to a diagnosis of PTH, death, or the end of 2016. PTH was defined as a need for a postdischarge ventriculoperitoneal or ventriculoatrial shunt. The authors collected data on shunt-insertion procedures, mortality, and disability status from nationwide registries cross-linked to the FICC database. The authors calculated the occurrence and incidence rates of PTH and used multivariable logistic regression modeling to determine risk factors for PTH and its association with outcome. RESULTS: Sixty-one of 2882 patients (2.1%) developed PTH during a median follow-up time of 4.6 years, with a median of 102 days (interquartile range 54-220 days) between hospital discharge and PTH. Risk factors for PTH were increasing age (OR 1.02 per year, 95% CI 1.01-1.04); a midline shift of > 5 mm (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.01-3.48); traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (OR 3.59, 95% CI 1.79-7.21); external ventricular drainage (OR 3.54, 95% CI 1.68-7.46); and decompressive craniectomy (OR 3.68, 95% CI 1.37-9.88). PTH was independently associated with permanent disability after case-mix adjustment (OR 3.62, 95% CI 2.11-6.22). CONCLUSIONS: PTH is an uncommon long-term complication of TBI, with several risk factors that are identifiable early during neurointensive care. The development of PTH is independently associated with poor functional outcome. Whether earlier detection and treatment of PTH leads to improved outcomes remains unknown, highlighting the importance of adequate follow-up and prompt detection and treatment of the condition.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Hydrocephalus , Adult , Humans , Aftercare , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/therapy , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/epidemiology , Hydrocephalus/epidemiology , Hydrocephalus/etiology , Hydrocephalus/surgery , Incidence , Intensive Care Units , Patient Discharge , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
9.
Acta Anaesthesiol Scand ; 67(7): 964-971, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37118921

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We studied the prognostic ability of serum ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), compared to that of neuron-specific enolase (NSE). METHODS: In this post-hoc analysis of the FINNRESUSCI study, we measured serum concentrations of UCH-L1 in 249 OHCA patients treated in 21 Finnish intensive care units in 2010-2011. We evaluated the ability of UCH-L1 to predict unfavourable outcome at 12 months (defined as cerebral performance category 3-5) by assessing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), in comparison with NSE. RESULTS: The concentrations of UCH-L1 were higher in patients with unfavourable outcome than for those with favourable outcome: median concentration 10.8 ng/mL (interquartile range, 7.5-18.5 ng/mL) versus 7.8 ng/mL (5.9-11.8 ng/mL) at 24 h (p < .001), and 16.2 ng/mL (12.2-27.7 ng/mL) versus 11.5 ng/mL (9.0-17.2 ng/mL) (p < .001) at 48 h after OHCA. For UCH-L1 as a 12-month outcome predictor, the AUROC was 0.66 (95% confidence interval, 0.60-0.73) at 24 h and 0.66 (0.59-0.74) at 48 h. For NSE, the AUROC was 0.66 (0.59-0.73) at 24 h and 0.72 (0.65-0.80) at 48 h. The prognostic ability of UCH-L1 was not different from that of NSE at 24 h (p = .82) and at 48 h (p = .23). CONCLUSION: Concentrations of UCH-L1 in serum were higher in patients with unfavourable outcome than in those with favourable outcome. However, the ability of UCH-L1 to predict unfavourable outcome after OHCA was only moderate and not superior to that of NSE.


Subject(s)
Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest , Humans , Biomarkers , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/therapy , Prognosis , ROC Curve , Ubiquitin Thiolesterase
10.
Acta Anaesthesiol Scand ; 67(4): 481-486, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36636785

ABSTRACT

Critically ill patients are at risk of gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding. Counter measures to minimise this risk include the use of pharmacological stress ulcer prophylaxis (SUP). The effect of enteral nutrition as SUP on GI bleeding event rates is unknown. There are conflicting data describing the effect of co-administration of enteral nutrition with pharmacological SUP, and there is substantial variation in practice. We aim to conduct an exploratory post hoc analysis to evaluate the association of enteral nutrition with clinically important GI bleed rates in ICU patients included in the SUP-ICU trial, and to explore any interactions between enteral nutrition and pharmacologic SUP on patient outcomes. The SUP-ICU trial dataset will be used to assess if enteral nutrition is associated with the outcomes of interest. Extended Cox models will be used considering relevant competing events, including treatment allocation (SUP or placebo) and enteral nutrition as a daily time-varying covariate, with additional adjustment for severity of illness (SAPS II). Results will be presented as adjusted hazard ratios for treatment allocation and enteral nutrition, and for treatment allocation and enteral nutrition considering potential interactions with the other variable, all with 95% confidence intervals and p-values for the tests of interaction. All results will be considered as exploratory only. This post hoc analysis may yield important insights to guide practice and inform the design of future randomised clinical trial investigating the effect of enteral nutrition on GI bleeding.


Subject(s)
Peptic Ulcer , Stomach Ulcer , Humans , Critical Illness/therapy , Enteral Nutrition/methods , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/prevention & control , Intensive Care Units , Peptic Ulcer/prevention & control , Ulcer
11.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 20109, 2022 11 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36418906

ABSTRACT

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a serious condition, and a myocardial injury or dysfunction could contribute to the outcome. We assessed the prevalence and prognostic impact of cardiac involvement in a cohort with SAH. This is a prospective observational multicenter study. We included 192 patients treated for non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage. We performed ECG recordings, echocardiographic examinations, and blood sampling within 24 h of admission and on days 3 and 7 and at 90 days. The primary endpoint was the evidence of cardiac involvement at 90 days, and the secondary endpoint was to examine the prevalence of a myocardial injury or dysfunction. The median age was 54.5 (interquartile range [IQR] 48.0-64.0) years, 44.3% were male and the median World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) score was 2 (IQR 1-4). At day 90, 22/125 patients (17.6%) had left ventricular ejection fractions ≤ 50%, and 2/121 patients (1.7%) had evidence of a diastolic dysfunction as defined by mitral peak E-wave velocity by peak e' velocity (E/e') > 14. There was no prognostic impact from echocardiographic evidence of cardiac complications on neurological outcomes. The overall prevalence of cardiac dysfunction was modest. We found no demographic or SAH-related factors associated with 90 days cardiac dysfunction.


Subject(s)
Cardiomyopathies , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Female , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/diagnostic imaging , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/complications , Prevalence , Echocardiography , Stroke Volume , Cardiomyopathies/complications
12.
Acta Neurochir (Wien) ; 164(10): 2709-2717, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36050580

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Admission computed tomography (CT) scoring systems can be used to objectively quantify the severity of traumatic brain injury (TBI) and aid in outcome prediction. We aimed to externally validate the NeuroImaging Radiological Interpretation System (NIRIS) and the Helsinki CT score. In addition, we compared the prognostic performance of the NIRIS and the Helsinki CT score to the Marshall CT classification and to a clinical model. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective multicenter observational study using the Finnish Intensive Care Consortium database. We included adult TBI patients admitted in four university hospital ICUs during 2003-2013. We analyzed the CT scans using the NIRIS and the Helsinki CT score and compared the results to 6-month mortality as the primary outcome. In addition, we created a clinical model (age, Glasgow Coma Scale score, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, presence of severe comorbidity) and combined clinical and CT models to see the added predictive impact of radiological data to conventional clinical information. We measured model performance using area under curve (AUC), Nagelkerke's R2 statistics, and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: A total of 3031 patients were included in the analysis. The 6-month mortality was 710 patients (23.4%). Of the CT models, the Helsinki CT displayed best discrimination (AUC 0.73 vs. 0.70 for NIRIS) and explanatory variation (Nagelkerke's R2 0.20 vs. 0.15). The clinical model displayed an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.84-0.87). All CT models increased the AUC of the clinical model by + 0.01 to 0.87 (95% CI 0.85-0.88) and the IDI by 0.01-0.03. CONCLUSION: In patients with TBI treated in the ICU, the Helsinki CT score outperformed the NIRIS for 6-month mortality prediction. In isolation, CT models offered only moderate accuracy for outcome prediction and clinical variables outweighing the CT-based predictors in terms of predictive performance.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Adult , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/therapy , Critical Care , Finland/epidemiology , Glasgow Coma Scale , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Neuroimaging/methods , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods
13.
Eur Stroke J ; 7(3): 267-279, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36082247

ABSTRACT

Background: Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) entails significant mortality and morbidity. Severely ill ICH patients are treated in intensive care units (ICUs), but data on 1-year healthcare costs and patient care cost-effectiveness are lacking. Methods: Retrospective multi-center study of 959 adult patients treated for spontaneous ICH from 2003 to 2013. The primary outcomes were 12-month mortality or permanent disability, defined as being granted a permanent disability allowance or pension by the Social Insurance Institution by 2016. Total healthcare costs were hospital, rehabilitation, and social security costs within 12 months. A multivariable linear regression of log transformed cost data, adjusting for case mix, was used to assess independent factors associated with costs. Results: Twelve-month mortality was 45% and 51% of the survivors were disabled at the end of follow-up. The mean 12-month total cost was €49,754, of which rehabilitation, tertiary hospital and social security costs accounted for 45%, 39%, and 16%, respectively. The highest effective cost per independent survivor (ECPIS) was noted among patients aged >70 years with brainstem ICHs, low Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores, larger hematoma volumes, intraventricular hemorrhages, and ICH scores of 3. In multivariable analysis, age, GCS score, and severity of illness were associated independently with 1-year healthcare costs. Conclusions: Costs associated with ICHs vary between patient groups, and the ECPIS appears highest among patients older than 70 years and those with brainstem ICHs and higher ICH scores. One-third of financial resources were used for patients with favorable outcomes. Further detailed cost-analysis studies for patients with an ICH are required.

14.
NPJ Digit Med ; 5(1): 96, 2022 Jul 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35851612

ABSTRACT

Intensive care for patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) aims to optimize intracranial pressure (ICP) and cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP). The transformation of ICP and CPP time-series data into a dynamic prediction model could aid clinicians to make more data-driven treatment decisions. We retrained and externally validated a machine learning model to dynamically predict the risk of mortality in patients with TBI. Retraining was done in 686 patients with 62,000 h of data and validation was done in two international cohorts including 638 patients with 60,000 h of data. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased with time to 0.79 and 0.73 and the precision recall curve increased with time to 0.57 and 0.64 in the Swedish and American validation cohorts, respectively. The rate of false positives decreased to ≤2.5%. The algorithm provides dynamic mortality predictions during intensive care that improved with increasing data and may have a role as a clinical decision support tool.

16.
Acta Neurochir (Wien) ; 164(10): 2731-2740, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35838800

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Coagulopathy after traumatic brain injury (TBI) is associated with poor prognosis. PURPOSE: To assess the prevalence and association with outcomes of early thrombocytopenia in patients with TBI treated in the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: This is a retrospective multicenter study of adult TBI patients admitted to ICUs during 2003-2019. Thrombocytopenia was defined as a platelet count < 100 × 109/L during the first day. The association between thrombocytopenia and hospital and 12-month mortality was tested using multivariable logistic regression, adjusting for markers of injury severity. RESULTS: Of 4419 patients, 530 (12%) had early thrombocytopenia. In patients with thrombocytopenia, hospital and 12-month mortality were 26% and 48%, respectively; in patients with a platelet count > 100 × 109/L, they were 9% and 22%, respectively. After adjusting for injury severity, a higher platelet count was associated with decreased odds of hospital mortality (OR 0.998 per unit, 95% CI 0.996-0.999) and 12-month mortality (OR 0.998 per unit, 95% CI 0.997-0.999) in patients with moderate-to-severe TBI. Compared to patients with a normal platelet count, patients with thrombocytopenia not receiving platelet transfusion had an increased risk of 12-month mortality (OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.6-3.0), whereas patients with thrombocytopenia receiving platelet transfusion did not (OR 1.0, 95% CI 0.6-1.7). CONCLUSION: Early thrombocytopenia occurs in approximately one-tenth of patients with TBI treated in the ICU, and it is an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with moderate-to-severe TBI. Further research is necessary to determine whether this is modifiable by platelet transfusion.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Thrombocytopenia , Adult , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/therapy , Critical Care , Finland , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Retrospective Studies , Thrombocytopenia/complications , Thrombocytopenia/therapy
17.
Acta Neurochir (Wien) ; 164(1): 87-96, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34725728

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Several studies have suggested no change in the outcome of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) treated in intensive care units (ICUs). This is mainly due to the shift in TBI epidemiology toward older and sicker patients. In Finland, the share of the population aged 65 years and over has increased the most in Europe during the last decade. We aimed to assess changes in 12-month and hospital mortality of patients with TBI treated in the ICU in Finland. METHODS: We used a national benchmarking ICU database (Finnish Intensive Care Consortium) to study adult patients who had been treated for TBI in four tertiary ICUs in Finland during 2003-2019. We divided admission years into quartiles and used multivariable logistic regression analysis, adjusted for case-mix, to assess the association between admission year and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 4535 patients were included. Between 2003-2007 and 2016-2019, the patient median age increased from 54 to 62 years, the share of patients having significant comorbidity increased from 8 to 11%, and patients being dependent on help in activities of daily living increased from 7 to 15%. Unadjusted hospital and 12-month mortality decreased from 18 and 31% to 10% and 23%, respectively. After adjusting for case-mix, a reduction in odds of 12-month and hospital mortality was seen in patients with severe TBI, intracranial pressure monitored patients, and mechanically ventilated patients. Despite a reduction in hospital mortality, 12-month mortality remained unchanged in patients aged ≥ 70 years. CONCLUSION: A change in the demographics of ICU-treated patients with TBI care is evident. The outcome of younger patients with severe TBI appears to improve, whereas long-term mortality of elderly patients with less severe TBI has not improved. This has ramifications for further efforts to improve TBI care, especially among the elderly.


Subject(s)
Activities of Daily Living , Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Adult , Aged , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnosis , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/therapy , Critical Care , Finland/epidemiology , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies
18.
Acta Anaesthesiol Scand ; 66(1): 56-64, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34570897

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We sought to provide a description of surge response strategies and characteristics, clinical management and outcomes of patients with severe COVID-19 in the intensive care unit (ICU) during the first wave of the pandemic in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. METHODS: Representatives from the national ICU registries for each of the five countries provided clinical data and a description of the strategies to allocate ICU resources and increase the ICU capacity during the pandemic. All adult patients admitted to the ICU for COVID-19 disease during the first wave of COVID-19 were included. The clinical characteristics, ICU management and outcomes of individual countries were described with descriptive statistics. RESULTS: Most countries more than doubled their ICU capacity during the pandemic. For patients positive for SARS-CoV-2, the ratio of requiring ICU admission for COVID-19 varied substantially (1.6%-6.7%). Apart from age (proportion of patients aged 65 years or over between 29% and 62%), baseline characteristics, chronic comorbidity burden and acute presentations of COVID-19 disease were similar among the five countries. While utilization of invasive mechanical ventilation was high (59%-85%) in all countries, the proportion of patients receiving renal replacement therapy (7%-26%) and various experimental therapies for COVID-19 disease varied substantially (e.g. use of hydroxychloroquine 0%-85%). Crude ICU mortality ranged from 11% to 33%. CONCLUSION: There was substantial variability in the critical care response in Nordic ICUs to the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic, including usage of experimental medications. While ICU mortality was low in all countries, the observed variability warrants further attention.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Adult , Aged , Critical Care , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2
19.
Neurocrit Care ; 37(2): 447-454, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34966958

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest that case mortality of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) has decreased during the last decades, but most studies have been unable to assess case severities among individual patients. We aimed to assess changes in severity-adjusted aSAH mortality in patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, register-based study by using the prospectively collected Finnish Intensive Care Consortium database. Four out of five ICUs providing neurosurgical and neurointensive care in Finland participated in the Finnish Intensive Care Consortium. We extracted data on adult patients admitted to Finnish ICUs with aSAH between 2003 and 2019. The primary outcome was 12-month mortality during three periods: 2003-2008, 2009-2014, and 2015-2019. Using a multivariable logistic regression model-with variables including age, sex, World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grade, preadmission dependency, significant comorbidities, and modified Simplified Acute Physiology Score II-we analyzed whether admission period was independently associated with mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1,847 patients were included in the study. For the periods 2003-2008 and 2015-2019, the mean number of patients with aSAH admitted per year increased from 81 to 123. At the same time, the patients' median age increased from 55 to 58 years (p = 0.001), and the proportion of patients with World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grades I-III increased from 42 to 58% (p < 0.001). The unadjusted 12-month mortality declined from 30% in 2003-2008 to 23% in 2015-2019 (p = 0.001), but there was no statistically significant change in severity-adjusted mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Between 2003 and 2019, patients with aSAH admitted to ICUs became older and the proportion of less severe cases increased. Unadjusted mortality decreased but age and case severity adjusted-mortality remained unchanged.


Subject(s)
Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Adult , Critical Care , Finland/epidemiology , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/complications
20.
J Clin Med ; 10(18)2021 Sep 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34575337

ABSTRACT

The products of polyunsaturated fatty acid peroxidation are considered reliable biomarkers of oxidative injury in vivo. We investigated ischemia-reperfusion-related oxidative injury by determining the levels of lipid peroxidation biomarkers (isoprostane, isofuran, neuroprostane, and neurofuran) after cardiac arrest and tested the associations between the biomarkers and different arterial oxygen tensions (PaO2). We utilized blood samples collected during the COMACARE trial (NCT02698917). In the trial, 123 patients resuscitated from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest were treated with a 10-15 kPa or 20-25 kPa PaO2 target during the initial 36 h in the intensive care unit. We measured the biomarker levels at admission, and 24, 48, and 72 h thereafter. We compared biomarker levels in the intervention groups and in groups that differed in oxygen exposure prior to randomization. Blood samples for biomarker determination were available for 112 patients. All four biomarker levels peaked at 24 h; the increase appeared greater in younger patients and in patients without bystander-initiated life support. No association between the lipid peroxidation biomarkers and oxygen exposure either before or after randomization was found. Increases in the biomarker levels during the first 24 h in intensive care suggest continuing oxidative stress, but the clinical relevance of this remains unresolved.

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