ABSTRACT
A coupled photosynthesis-stomatal conductance model with single layer sunlit and shaded leaf canopy scaling is developed for the Pleim-Xiu land surface model (LSM) option in the meteorology and air quality modeling system - WRF/CMAQ (Weather Research and Forecast model and Community Multiscale Air Quality model). The photosynthesis-based model for the PX LSM (PX PSN) is implemented and evaluated in a diagnostic box model that has evapotranspiration and ozone deposition components taken directly from WRF/CMAQ. We evaluate PX PSN for latent heat (LH) estimation at four FLUXNET sites with different vegetation types and landscape characteristics and at one FLUXNET site with ozone flux measurements against the simple Jarvis approach used in the current PX LSM. Overall, the PX PSN simulates LH as well as the PX Jarvis approach. The PX PSN, however, shows distinct advantages over the PX Jarvis approach on grassland that likely results from its treatment of C3 and C4 plants for CO2 assimilation estimation. Simulations using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LAI rather than LAI observations assess how the model would perform with the grid averaged data available in the Eulerian grid model (WRF/CMAQ). While MODIS LAI generally follows the seasonality of the observed LAI, it cannot capture the extreme highs and lows of the site measurements. MODIS LAI estimates degrade model performance at all sites but one site having old and tall trees. Ozone deposition velocity and ozone flux along with LH are simulated especially well by PX PSN as compared to significant PX Jarvis overestimation.
ABSTRACT
In jurisdictions including the US and the EU ground transportation and marine fuels have recently been required to contain lower concentrations of sulfur, which has resulted in reduced atmospheric SO(x) emissions. In contrast, the maximum sulfur content of aviation fuel has remained unchanged at 3000 ppm (although sulfur levels average 600 ppm in practice). We assess the costs and benefits of a potential ultra-low sulfur (15 ppm) jet fuel standard ("ULSJ"). We estimate that global implementation of ULSJ will cost US$1-4bn per year and prevent 900-4000 air quality-related premature mortalities per year. Radiative forcing associated with reduction in atmospheric sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium loading is estimated at +3.4 mW/m(2) (equivalent to about 1/10th of the warming due to CO(2) emissions from aviation) and ULSJ increases life cycle CO(2) emissions by approximately 2%. The public health benefits are dominated by the reduction in cruise SO(x) emissions, so a key uncertainty is the atmospheric modeling of vertical transport of pollution from cruise altitudes to the ground. Comparisons of modeled and measured vertical profiles of CO, PAN, O(3), and (7)Be indicate that this uncertainty is low relative to uncertainties regarding the value of statistical life and the toxicity of fine particulate matter.