ABSTRACT
Background and purpose: Biomarkers for prediction of outcome in patients with pancreatic cancer are wanted in order to personalize the treatment. This study investigated the value of longitudinal diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DWI) for prediction of overall survival (OS) in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). Materials and methods: The study included 45 patients with LAPC who received 5 fractions of 10 Gy on a 1.5T MRI-Linac. DWI was acquired prior to irradiation at each fraction. The analysis included baseline values and time-trends of the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) and DWI parameters obtained using a decomposition method. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model for OS was made using best-subset selection, using cross-validation based on Bootstrap. Results: The median OS from the first day of SBRT was 15.5 months (95% CI: 13.2-20.6), and the median potential follow-up time was 19.8 months. The best-performing multivariable model for OS included two decomposition-based DWI parameters: one baseline and one time-trend parameter. The C-Harrell index describing the model's discriminating power was 0.754. High baseline ADC values were associated with reduced OS, whereas no association between the ADC time-trend and OS was observed. Conclusion: Decomposition-based DWI parameters indicated value in the prediction of OS in LAPC. A DWI time-trend parameter was included in the best-performing model, indicating a potential benefit of acquiring longitudinal DWI during the SBRT course. These findings support both baseline and longitudinal DWI as candidate prognostic biomarkers, which may become tools for personalization of the treatment of patients with LAPC.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), a potential imaging biomarker for radiotherapy response, needs to be reproducible before translation into clinical use. The aim of this study was to evaluate the multi-centre delineation- and calculation-related ADC variation and give recommendations to minimize it. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Nine centres received identical diffusion-weighted and anatomical magnetic resonance images of different cancerous tumours (adrenal gland, pelvic oligo metastasis, pancreas, and prostate). All centres delineated the gross tumour volume (GTV), clinical target volume (CTV), and viable tumour volume (VTV), and calculated ADCs using both their local calculation methods and each of the following calculation conditions: b-values 0-500 vs. 150-500 s/mm2, region-of-interest (ROI)-based vs. voxel-based calculation, and mean vs. median. ADC variation was assessed using the mean coefficient of variation across delineations (CVD) and calculation methods (CVC). Absolute ADC differences between calculation conditions were evaluated using Friedman's test. Recommendations for ADC calculation were formulated based on observations and discussions within the Elekta MRI-linac consortium image analysis working group. RESULTS: The median (range) CVD and CVC were 0.06 (0.02-0.32) and 0.17 (0.08-0.26), respectively. The ADC estimates differed 18% between b-value sets and 4% between ROI/voxel-based calculation (p-values < 0.01). No significant difference was observed between mean and median (p = 0.64). Aligning calculation conditions between centres reduced CVC to 0.04 (0.01-0.16). CVD was comparable between ROI types. CONCLUSION: Overall, calculation methods had a larger impact on ADC reproducibility compared to delineation. Based on the results, significant sources of variation were identified, which should be considered when initiating new studies, in particular multi-centre investigations.