Diagnostic accuracy of small-for-gestational-age status for infant mortality and school-age outcomes of live births <28 weeks' gestation: a cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the diagnostic accuracy of small-for-gestational-age (SGA; <10th centile) status for infant mortality and adverse school-age outcomes in infants born extremely preterm (EP; <28 weeks' gestation). DESIGN: Geographical cohort studies. SETTING: The state of Victoria, Australia. PATIENTS: For mortality, live births 22-27 weeks' gestation from 2009 to 2017 offered active care after birth. For school-age outcomes, survivors to 8 years' corrected age born in 1991-1992, 1997 or 2005. EXPOSURES: SGA <10th centile on four commonly used growth references: three derived from neonatal data (Fenton, UK-WHO and Intergrowth Newborn Size) and one from fetal data (Intergrowth Estimated Fetal Weight). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: (a) Infant mortality; (b) major neurodevelopmental disability, and poor performance on tests of IQ, academic achievement, motor function, and executive function. RESULTS: Infant mortality data were available for 2040 infants, and neurodevelopmental data for 499 children. Diagnostic accuracy of SGA status was low overall and varied with the growth reference. Positive predictive values for infant mortality ranged from 18% to 21%, only marginally higher than its 18% prevalence. Compared with a prevalence of 17%, positive predictive values for major neurodevelopmental disability ranged from 30% to 38% for the neonatal growth references but was only 20% for Intergrowth Estimated Fetal Weight. SGA status was also associated with lower IQ, poor academic achievement and poor motor performance. CONCLUSIONS: Among infants born EP, the diagnostic accuracy of SGA status was low for both infant mortality and adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes at school age, but importantly varied with the growth reference used to identify SGA status.

Protocol for a randomised controlled trial comparing two CPAP levels to prevent extubation failure in extremely preterm infants.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory distress syndrome is a complication of prematurity and extremely preterm infants born before 28 weeks' gestation often require endotracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation. In this high-risk population, mechanical ventilation is associated with lung injury and contributes to bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Therefore, clinicians attempt to extubate infants as quickly and use non-invasive respiratory support such as nasal continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) to facilitate the transition. However, approximately 60% of extremely preterm infants experience 'extubation failure' and require reintubation. While CPAP pressures of 5-8 cm H2O are commonly used, the optimal CPAP pressure is unknown, and higher pressures may be beneficial in avoiding extubation failure. Our trial is the Extubation CPAP Level Assessment Trial (ÉCLAT). The aim of this trial is to compare higher CPAP pressures 9-11 cm H2O with a current standard pressures of 6-8 cmH2O on extubation failure in extremely preterm infants. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: 200 extremely preterm infants will be recruited prior to their first extubation from mechanical ventilation to CPAP. This is a parallel group randomised controlled trial. Infants will be randomised to one of two set CPAP pressures: CPAP 10 cmH2O (intervention) or CPAP 7 cmH2O (control). The primary outcome will be extubation failure (reintubation) within 7 days. Statistical analysis will follow standard methods for randomised trials on an intention to treat basis. For the primary outcome, this will be by intention to treat, adjusted for the prerandomisation strata (GA and centre). We will use the appropriate parametric and non-parametric statistical tests. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval has been granted by the Monash Health Human Research Ethics Committees. Amendments to the trial protocol will be submitted for approval. The findings of this study will be written into a clinical trial report manuscript and disseminated via peer-reviewed journals (on-line or in press) and presented at national and international conferences.Trial registration numberACTRN12618001638224; pre-results.

Very preterm birth before arrival at hospital.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to report perinatal characteristics of very preterm births before arrival (BBAs) at a hospital, and perinatal and infant mortality rates up to one year, comparing BBAs with births in a hospital. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A population-based cohort study of 22-31 weeks' gestation births in the state of Victoria, Australia from 1990-2009. BBAs were defined as unintentional births at home or on route to hospital. Perinatal data were obtained from the Department of Health and Human Services, Victoria. Perinatal and infant mortality data comparing BBAs with births in hospitals were analysed by logistic regression, adjusted for gestational age, birthweight and sex. RESULTS: One hundred and thirty-three BBAs were recorded: 51 (38%) stillbirths and 82 (62%) livebirths. Compared with births in a hospital, BBAs were less mature (26.3 weeks (SD 2.9) vs 27.7 weeks (SD 2.8), P < 0.001) and a higher proportion were born to teenagers: 13% versus 5% (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.86, P < 0.001). BBAs were significantly more likely to be stillborn (aOR 2.13, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.41, 3.23, P < 0.001) die within 28 days of livebirth (aOR 2.97, 95% CI 1.54, 5.73, P = 0.001) or die within a year of livebirth (aOR 2.87, 95% CI 1.51, 5.46, P = 0.001) compared with hospital births. Overall, 54 BBAs survived to one year (41% all BBAs, 67% liveborn BBAs), compared with 69% of hospital births (87% of livebirths). CONCLUSIONS: Very preterm birth before arrival is more common in teenagers and is associated with significantly increased risks of perinatal and infant mortality compared with birth in a hospital.

Outcomes of infants born at 22-27 weeks' gestation in Victoria according to outborn/inborn birth status.

OBJECTIVES: To compare mortality and serious morbidity rates between outborn and inborn livebirths at 22-27 weeks' gestation. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Victoria, Australia. PATIENTS: Livebirths at 22-27 weeks' gestation free of major malformations in 2010-2011. INTERVENTIONS: Outcome data for outborn (born outside a tertiary perinatal centre) infants compared with inborn (born in a tertiary perinatal centre) infants were analysed by logistic regression, adjusted for gestational age, birth weight and sex. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Infant mortality and serious morbidity rates to hospital discharge. RESULTS: 541 livebirths free of major malformations were recorded. By 1 year, 49 (58%) outborns and 140 (31%) inborns died (adjusted OR (aOR) 2.78, 95% CI 1.52 to 5.09, p=0.001). In total, 445 infants were admitted to neonatal intensive care unit (NICU); 93 died by 1 year (14/49 outborns and 79/396 inborns), (aOR 1.75, 95% CI 0.87 to 3.55, p=0.12). There were no significant differences in rates of necrotising enterocolitis, intraventricular haemorrhage, retinopathy of prematurity, bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) or the combined outcome of death or BPD in outborn infants compared with inborn infants. Outborns had an increased risk of cystic periventricular leukomalacia (cPVL) compared with inborns (12.2% vs 2.8%, respectively; aOR 5.34, 95% CI 1.84 to 15.54, p=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality rates remained higher for outborn livebirths at 22-27 weeks' gestation compared with inborn peers in 2010-2011. Outborn infants admitted to NICU did not have substantially different rates of mortality or serious morbidity compared with inborns, with the exception of cPVL. Longer-term health consequences of outborn birth before 28 weeks' gestation need to be determined.

What are we telling the parents of extremely preterm babies?

BACKGROUND: Parent counselling and decision-making regarding the management of preterm labour and birth are influenced by information provided by healthcare professionals regarding potential infant outcomes. AIM: The aim of this study was to determine whether perinatal healthcare providers had accurate perceptions of survival and major neurosensory disability rates of very preterm infants born in non-tertiary hospitals ('outborn') and tertiary perinatal centres ('inborn'). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A web-based survey was distributed to midwives, nurses, obstetricians and neonatologists working in non-tertiary and tertiary maternity hospitals, and the perinatal/neonatal emergency transport services in Victoria, Australia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Estimates of survival rates at 24 and 28-weeks' gestation were compared with actual survival rates of a population-based cohort of 24 and 28-weeks' gestation infants, born free of lethal anomalies in Victoria in 2001-2009. Estimates of major neurosensory disability rates in 24 and 28-week survivors were compared with actual disability rates in 24 and 28-week children born in Victoria averaged over three eras: 1991-1992, 1997 and 2005. RESULTS: Response rates varied as follows: 83% of non-tertiary midwives, 4% of obstetricians, 55% of tertiary centre staff and 68% of transport team staff responded (total of 30%). Overall, respondents underestimated survival and overestimated major neurosensory disability rates in both outborn and inborn 24 and 28-week infants. Outborn infants were perceived to have much worse prospects for survival and for survival with major disability compared with inborn peers. CONCLUSION: Many clinicians overestimated rates of adverse outcomes. These clinicians may be misinforming parents about their child's potential for a favourable outcome.

Why birthplace still matters for infants born before 32 weeks: Infant mortality associated with birth at 22-31 weeks' gestation in non-tertiary hospitals in Victoria over two decades.

BACKGROUND: Very preterm infants born in non-tertiary hospitals ('outborn') are known to have higher mortality rates compared with infants 'inborn' in tertiary centres. AIM: The aim of this study was to report changes over time in the incidence of outborn livebirths, 22-31 weeks and infant mortality rates for outborn compared with inborn births. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study of consecutive livebirths, 22-31 weeks' gestation in Victoria from 1990 to 2009. The relationship between birthplace, gestational age, birthweight, sex and infant mortality were analysed by logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 13,760 livebirths, 22-31 weeks: 14% were outborn. The proportion of outborn livebirths fell from 19% in 1991 to a nadir of 9% in 1997, but climbed to 17% by 2009. At all times, outborns had higher mortality rates compared with inborns. The overall infant mortality rate was 250.6 per 1000 outborn compared with 113.3 per 1000 inborn livebirths (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.76 (95% CI 2.32, 3.27, P < 0.001). There were no differences between outborn and inborn mortality risks for 22-week livebirths (OR 7.04, 95% CI 0.87, 56.8, P = 0.067), but there were at 23-27 weeks (aOR 3.16, 95% CI 2.52, 3.96, P < 0.001) and at 28-31 weeks (aOR 1.66, 95% CI 1.19, 2.31, P = 0.003). Over time, mortality rates fell for inborn 23-27 week infants. Mortality rates fell for outborn 23-27 week infants in 1990-2005, but rose in 2006-2009. CONCLUSIONS: Outborn livebirths at 22-31 weeks' gestation occur too frequently and are associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality. Strategies to reduce outborn livebirths are required.