ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Nomograms are easy-to-handle clinical tools which can help in estimating the risk of adverse outcome in certain population. This multi-center study aims to create and validate a simple and usable clinical prediction nomogram for individual risk of post-traumatic Intracranial Hemorrhage (ICH) after Mild Traumatic Brain Injury (MTBI) in patients treated with Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs). METHODS: From January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2019, all patients on DOACs evaluated for an MTBI in five Italian Emergency Departments were enrolled. A training set to develop the nomogram and a test set for validation were identified. The predictive ability of the nomogram was assessed using AUROC, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Of the 1425 patients in DOACs in the study cohort, 934 (65.5%) were included in the training set and 491 (34.5%) in the test set. Overall, the rate of post-traumatic ICH was 6.9% (7.0% training and 6.9% test set). In a multivariate analysis, major trauma dynamic (OR: 2.73, p = 0.016), post-traumatic loss of consciousness (OR: 3.78, p = 0.001), post-traumatic amnesia (OR: 4.15, p < 0.001), GCS < 15 (OR: 3.00, p < 0.001), visible trauma above the clavicles (OR: 3. 44, p < 0.001), a post-traumatic headache (OR: 2.71, p = 0.032), a previous history of neurosurgery (OR: 7.40, p < 0.001), and post-traumatic vomiting (OR: 3.94, p = 0.008) were independent risk factors for ICH. The nomogram demonstrated a good ability to predict the risk of ICH (AUROC: 0.803; CI95% 0.721-0.884), and its clinical application showed a net clinical benefit always superior to performing CT on all patients. CONCLUSION: The Hemorrhage Estimate Risk in Oral anticoagulation for Mild head trauma (HERO-M) nomogram was able to predict post-traumatic ICH and can be easily applied in the Emergency Department (ED).
Subject(s)
Brain Concussion , Craniocerebral Trauma , Humans , Brain Concussion/drug therapy , Brain Concussion/epidemiology , Nomograms , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Assessing the evolutive risk of septic patients in the emergency department (ED) is very complex. Predictive tools are available, but at an early stage, none of them can detect the tissue microvascular alterations underlying the septic process. Hypoalbuminemia is present in critically ill patients in the ICU, and some early indications also suggest its early role in septic patients. AIM: To investigate the role of serum albumin concentration in predicting 30-day mortality among patients with sepsis at their first evaluation in the ED. METHODS: Prospective observational study enrolling all patients with sepsis evaluated consecutively at the ED of the Merano Hospital from January to December 2021. The serum albumin concentration on admission was measured immediately upon patient arrival. A multivariate logistic regression model adjusted for possible confounders assessed the association between albumin levels at admission and 30-day mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate 30-day mortality between groups, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the discriminatory ability of albumin in predicting mortality. RESULTS: 459 patients with community-acquired sepsis were included. 17% (78/459) of patients died within 30 days. In surviving patients, the mean albumin level was 3.6 g/dL (SD 0.5), while among non-survivors it was 3.1 g/dL (SD 0.4), p < 0.001. The area under the ROC was 0.754 (95% CI 0.701-0.807). Multivariate analysis found that albumin was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, with an adjusted risk ratio of 2.991 (95% CI 1.619-5.525, p < 0.001) for each 1 g/dL decrease in albumin. CONCLUSIONS: Serum albumin concentration measured during initial ED assessment can be a useful prognostic marker of 30-day mortality in septic patients.
Subject(s)
Sepsis , Shock, Septic , Humans , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , ROC Curve , Serum Albumin , Emergency Service, Hospital , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: An immediate ECG on arrival of a patient with cardiovascular symptoms in the ED may anticipate the need for life-saving intervention. The aim was to evaluate whether ECG interpretation during nurse triage can improve triage system performance in patients with cardiovascular symptoms. METHODS: All patients who required an assessment for cardiovascular symptoms were considered for this observational study. During triage assessment, the nurses assessed the patient's level of urgency applying the MTS, then again after this evaluation (confirming or modifying the level of urgency based on personal clinical experience) and after interpretation of the patient's ECG. The main study outcome was the diagnosis of an acute cardiovascular event. RESULTS: Of the 1211 patients in the study, 10.5% presented the main study outcome. ECG interpretation in triage exhibited a nurse-physician agreement of 92.9% (p<0.001). increased patient priority in 7.5% of cases and reduced it in 39.6%. The discriminatory ability of the triage system had an area under the ROC of 0.712and 0.845 after ECG interpretation. ECG interpretation improved the baseline assessment of priority, with an NRI of 60.1% (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: ECG interpretation in triage can be a simple and safe tool that improves the assessment of patient priority.
Subject(s)
Nurses , Triage , Humans , Emergency Service, Hospital , Electrocardiography , Prospective StudiesABSTRACT
Currently, all patients, regardless of the type of head injury, should undergo a head computerized tomography (CT) if on oral anticoagulant therapy. The aim of the study was to assess the different incidences of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) between patients with minor head injury (mHI) and patients with mild traumatic brain injury (MTBI) and whether there were differences in the risk of death at 30 days as a result of trauma or neurosurgery. A retrospective multicenter observational study was conducted from January 1, 2016, to February 1, 2020. All patients on DOACs therapy who suffered head trauma and underwent a head CT were extracted from the computerized databases. Patients were divided into two groups MTBI vs mHI all in DOACs treatment. Whether a difference in the incidence of post-traumatic ICH was present was investigated, and pre- and post-traumatic risk factors were compared between the two groups to assess the possible association with ICH risk by propensity score matching. 1425 with an MTBI in DOACs were enrolled. Of these, 80.1% (1141/1425) had an mHI and 19.9% (284/1425) had an MTBI. Of these, 16.5% (47/284) patients with MTBI and 3.3% (38/1141) with mHI reported post-traumatic ICH. After propensity score matching, ICH was consistently found to be more associated with patients with MTBI than with mHI (12.5% vs 5.4%, p = 0.027). Risk factors associated with immediate ICH in mHI patients were high energy impact, previous neurosurgery, trauma above the clavicles, post-traumatic vomiting and headache. Patients on MTBI (5.4%) were found to be more associated with ICH than those with mHI (0.0%, p = 0.002). also when the need for neurosurgery or death within 30 days were considered. Patients on DOACs with mHI have a lower risk of presenting with post-traumatic ICH than patients with MTBI. Furthermore, patients with mHI have a lower risk of death or neurosurgery than patients with MTBI, despite the presence of ICH.
Subject(s)
Brain Concussion , Craniocerebral Trauma , Humans , Brain Concussion/complications , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Intracranial Hemorrhages/etiology , Intracranial Hemorrhages/complications , Risk Factors , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: During the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic, local health authorities in most Italian regions prescribed a reduction of ordinary outpatient and community mental health care. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on access to the emergency departments (ED) for psychiatric consultation in the pandemic years 2020 and 2021 compared to 2019. METHODS: This is a retrospective study conducted by using routinely collected administrative data of the two EDs of the Verona Academic Hospital Trust (Verona, Italy). All ED psychiatry consultations registered from 01.01.2020 to 31.12.2021 were compared with those registered in the pre-pandemic year (01.01.2019 to 31.12.2019). The association between each recorded characteristic and the year considered was estimated by chi-square or Fisher's exact test. RESULTS: A significant reduction was observed between 2020 and 2019 (-23.3%) and between 2021 and 2019 (-16.3%). This reduction was most evident in the lockdown period of 2020 (-40.3%) and in the phase corresponding to the second and third pandemic waves (-36.1%). In 2021, young adults and people with diagnosis of psychosis showed an increase in requests for psychiatric consultation. CONCLUSIONS: Fear of contagion may have been an important factor in the overall reduction in psychiatric consultations. However, psychiatric consultations for people with psychosis and for young adults increased. This finding underlines the need for mental health services to implement alternative outreach strategies aimed to support, in times of crisis, these vulnerable segments of the population.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Young Adult , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Retrospective Studies , Communicable Disease Control , Hospitals , Emergency Service, Hospital , Referral and ConsultationABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Assessing the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients with a mild traumatic brain injury (MTBI) who are taking direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) is challenging. Currently, extensive use of computed tomography (CT) is routine in the emergency department (ED). OBJECTIVE: This study aims to investigate whether the clinical and laboratory characteristics presented at the ED evaluation can also estimate the risk of post-traumatic ICH in DOAC-treated patients with MTBI. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted in three EDs in Italy from January 1, 2016 to March 15, 2020. All patients treated with DOACs who were evaluated for an MTBI in the ED were enrolled. The primary outcome of the study was the presence of post-traumatic ICH in the head CT performed in the ED. RESULTS: Of 930 patients on DOACs with MTBI who were enrolled, 6.8% (63 of 930) had a post-traumatic ICH and 1.5% (14 of 930) were treated with surgery or died as a result of the ICH. None of the laboratory factors were associated with an increased risk of ICH. On multivariate analysis, previous neurosurgical intervention, major trauma dynamic, post-traumatic loss of consciousness, post-traumatic amnesia, Glasgow Coma Scale score of 14, and evidence of trauma above the clavicles were associated with a higher risk of post-traumatic ICH. The net clinical benefit provided by risk factor assessment appears superior to the strategy of performing CT on all DOAC-treated patients. CONCLUSIONS: Assessment of the clinical characteristics presented at ED admission can help identify DOAC-treated patients with MTBI who are at risk of ICH.
Subject(s)
Brain Concussion , Intracranial Hemorrhage, Traumatic , Humans , Brain Concussion/therapy , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Intracranial Hemorrhage, Traumatic/complications , Intracranial Hemorrhage, Traumatic/drug therapy , Intracranial Hemorrhages/etiology , Risk Factors , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The presence of oral anticoagulant therapy (OAT) alone, regardless of patient condition, is an indication for CT imaging in patients with mild traumatic brain injury (MTBI). Currently, no specific clinical decision rules are available for OAT patients. The aim of the study was to identify which clinical risk factors easily identifiable at first ED evaluation may be associated with an increased risk of post-traumatic intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) in OAT patients who suffered an MTBI. METHODS: Three thousand fifty-four patients in OAT with MTBI from four Italian centers were retrospectively considered. A decision tree analysis using the classification and regression tree (CART) method was conducted to evaluate both the pre- and post-traumatic clinical risk factors most associated with the presence of post-traumatic ICH after MTBI and their possible role in determining the patient's risk. The decision tree analysis used all clinical risk factors identified at the first ED evaluation as input predictor variables. RESULTS: ICH following MTBI was present in 9.5% of patients (290/3054). The CART model created a decision tree using 5 risk factors, post-traumatic amnesia, post-traumatic transitory loss of consciousness, greater trauma dynamic, GCS less than 15, evidence of trauma above the clavicles, capable of stratifying patients into different increasing levels of ICH risk (from 2.5 to 61.4%). The absence of concussion and neurological alteration at admission appears to significantly reduce the possible presence of ICH. CONCLUSIONS: The machine-learning-based CART model identified distinct prognostic groups of patients with distinct outcomes according to on clinical risk factors. Decision trees can be useful as guidance in patient selection and risk stratification of patients in OAT with MTBI.
Subject(s)
Brain Concussion , Anticoagulants/adverse effects , Brain Concussion/complications , Brain Concussion/drug therapy , Decision Trees , Hemorrhage/drug therapy , Humans , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Repeat head CT in patients on direct oral anticoagulant therapy (DOACs) with minor traumatic brain injury (MTBI) after an initial CT scan without injury on arrival in the Emergency Department (ED) is a common clinical practice but is not based on clear evidence. AIM: To assess the incidence of delayed intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) in patients taking DOACs after an initial negative CT and the association of clinical and risk factors presented on patient arrival in the ED. METHODS: This retrospective multicentre observational study considered patients taking DOACs undergoing repeat CT after a first CT free of injury for the exclusion of delayed ICH after MTBI. Timing between trauma and first CT in the ED and pre- or post-trauma risk factors were analysed to assess a possible association with the risk of delayed ICH. RESULTS: A total of 1426 patients taking DOACs were evaluated in the ED for an MTBI. Of these, 68.3% (916/1426) underwent a repeat CT after an initial negative CT and 24 h of observation, with a rate of delayed ICH of 1.5% (14/916). Risk factors associated with the presence of a delayed ICH were post-traumatic loss of consciousness, post-traumatic amnesia and the presence of a risk factor when the patient presented to the ED within 8 h of the trauma. None of the patients with delayed ICH at 24-h repeat CT required neurosurgery or died within 30 days. CONCLUSIONS: Delayed ICH is an uncommon event at the 24-h control CT and does not affect patient outcome. Studying the timing and characteristics of the trauma may indicate patients who may benefit from more in-depth management.
Subject(s)
Brain Concussion , Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Anticoagulants/adverse effects , Brain Concussion/complications , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Humans , Intracranial Hemorrhages/chemically induced , Intracranial Hemorrhages/diagnostic imaging , Intracranial Hemorrhages/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/adverse effectsABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Early detection of SARS-CoV-2 patients is essential to contain the pandemic and keep the hospital secure. The rapid antigen test seems to be a quick and easy diagnostic test to identify patients infected with SARS-CoV-2. To assess the possible role of the antigen test in the Emergency Department (ED) assessment of potential SARS-CoV-2 infection in both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. METHODS: Between 1 July 2020 and 10 December 2020, all patients consecutively assessed in the ED for suspected COVID-19 symptoms or who required hospitalisation for a condition not associated with COVID-19 were subjected to a rapid antigen test and RT-PCR swab. The diagnostic accuracy of the antigen test was determined in comparison to the SARS-CoV-2 PCR test using contingency tables. The possible clinical benefit of the antigen test was globally evaluated through decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: A total of 3899 patients were subjected to antigen tests and PCR swabs. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of the antigen test were 82.9%, 99.1% and 97.4% (Cohen's K = 0.854, 95% CI 0.826-0.882, p < 0.001), respectively. In symptomatic patients, sensitivity was found to be 89.8%, while in asymptomatic patients, sensitivity was 63.1%. DCA appears to confirm a net clinical benefit for the preliminary use of antigen tests. CONCLUSIONS: The antigen test performed in the ED, though not ideal, can improve the overall identification of infected patients. While it appears to perform well in symptomatic patients, in asymptomatic patients, although it improves their management, it seems not to be definitive.
Subject(s)
Antigens, Viral/analysis , COVID-19 Testing/methods , COVID-19/diagnosis , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Asymptomatic Infections , Emergency Service, Hospital , Female , Humans , Italy , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and SpecificityABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between serum albumin levels in the ED and the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study conducted from 15 March 2020 to 5 April 2020 at the EDs of three different hospitals in Italy. Data from 296 patients suffering from COVID-19 consecutively evaluated at EDs at which serum albumin levels were routinely measured on patients' arrival in the ED were analysed. Albumin levels were measured, and whether these levels were associated with the presence of severe SARS-CoV-2 infection or 30-day survival was determined. Generalised estimating equation models were used to assess the relationship between albumin and study outcomes, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression was used to plot the adjusted dose-effect relationship for possible clinical confounding factors. RESULTS: The mean albumin level recorded on entry was lower in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection than in those whose infections were not severe (3.5 g/dL (SD 0.3) vs 4 g/dL (SD 0.5)) and in patients who had died at 30 days post-ED arrival compared with those who were alive at this time point (3.3 g/dL (SD 0.3) vs 3.8 g/dL (SD 0.4)). Albumin <3.5 g/dL was an independent risk factor for both severe infection and death at 30 days, with adjusted odd ratios of 2.924 (1.509-5.664) and 2.615 (1.131-6.051), respectively. RCS analysis indicated that there was an adjusted dose-response association between the albumin values recorded on ED and the risk of severe infection and death. CONCLUSION: Albumin levels measured on presentation to the ED may identify patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection in whom inflammatory processes are occurring and serve as a potentially useful marker of disease severity and prognosis.
Subject(s)
Albumins/analysis , COVID-19 , COVID-19/blood , COVID-19/pathology , Emergency Service, Hospital , Humans , Italy , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
PURPOSE: To evaluate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Ophthalmic Emergency Department (OED) activity of the tertiary eye centre of Verona. METHODS: OED reports of patients visited during lockdown (COVID-period) and in the corresponding period of 2017, 2018 and 2019 (COVID-free period) have been retrieved to draw a comparison. Patients' demographic and clinical data recorded and analysed are the following: age, gender, previous ocular history, aetiology, symptoms onset, type of symptoms, discharge diagnosis, urgency and severity of diagnosis. RESULTS: OED consultations dropped from 20.6 ± 7.3 visits/day of the COVID-free period to 8.6 ± 4.6 visits/day of the COVID-period. In the COVID-period patients waited longer before physically going to the OED, lamented more vision loss and less redness and reported a higher percentage of traumatic events when compared to the COVID-free period. A significant reduction of ocular surface conditions occurred, while vitreo-retinal disorders increased. Overall, both urgency and severity of diagnosed diseases raised significantly in the COVID-period. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic drove a significant reduction of the overall OED activity. People with less urgent and milder conditions preferred to wait and endure their ocular discomfort for a few days rather than leaving home and risking to contract the infection. Our analysis highlights how several times the OED is used improperly by patients diagnosed with non-urgent disorders. A more accurate use of the OED would allow a reduction of management costs and the avoidance of overcrowding, which can lead to delays in the care of patients that really need assistance.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Communicable Disease Control , Emergency Service, Hospital , Humans , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Although the use of soft cervical collars in the emergency department (ED), for whiplash-associated disorders (WAD), is controversial, it is still widely adopted. The purpose of our study was to investigate the impact of the early use of soft cervical collars on the return to the ED, within three months of a road traffic collision. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study on WAD patients from two EDs in Verona (Italy). Patients in the earlier acute phase of WAD (within 48 h from the trauma) were included; those with serious conditions (WAD IV) were excluded. As an end point, we considered patients who returned to the ED complaining of WAD symptoms within three months as positive outcome for WAD persistence. RESULTS: 2162 patients were included; of those, 85.4% (n = 1847/2162) received a soft cervical collar prescription. Further, 8.4% (n = 156/1847) of those with a soft cervical collar prescription, and 2.5% (n = 8/315) of those without a soft cervical collar (p < 0.001) returned to the ED within three months. The use of the soft cervical collar was an independent risk factor for ED return within three months, with an OR, adjusted for possible clinical confounders, equal to 3.418 (95% CI 1.653-7.069; p < 0.001). After the propensity score matching, 25.5% of the patients (n = 25/98) using the soft cervical collar returned to the ED at three months, compared to the 6.1% (n = 6/98) that did not adopt the soft cervical collar. The use of a soft cervical collar was associated with ED return with an OR = 4.314 (95% CI 2.066-11.668; p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that the positioning of the soft collar in a cohort of patients with acute WAD, following a rear-end car collision, is an independent potential risk factor to the return to the ED. Clinically, the use of the collar is a non-recommended practice and seems to be related to an increased risk of delayed recovery. There is a need to inform healthcare providers involved in the ED of the aim to limit the use of the soft cervical collar. A closer collaboration between clinicians (e.g., physicians, physical therapists, nurses) is suggested in the ED. Future primary studies should determine differences between having used or not having used the collar, and compare early physical therapy in the ED compared with the utilization of the collar.
ABSTRACT
The sensitivity of triage systems in identifying acute cardiovascular events in patients presented to the emergency department with chest pain is not optimal. Recently, a clinical score, the Emergency Department Assessment of Chest Pain Score (EDACS), has been proposed for a rapid assessment without additional instruments. To evaluate whether the integration of EDACS into triage evaluation of patients with chest pain can improve the triage's predictive validity for an acute cardiovascular event, a single-center prospective observational study was conducted. This study involved all patients who needed a triage admission for chest pain between January 1, 2020, and December 31, 2020. All enrolled patients first underwent a standard triage assessment and then the EDACS was calculated. The primary outcome of the study was the presence of an acute cardiovascular event. The discriminatory ability of EDACS in triage compared with standard triage assessment was evaluated by comparing the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve, decision curve analysis, and net reclassification improvement. The study involved 1,596 patients, of that 7.3% presented the study outcome. The discriminatory ability of triage presented an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.688 that increased to 0.818 after the application of EDACS in the triage assessment. EDACS improved the baseline assessment of priority assigned in triage, with a net reclassification improvement of 33.6% (p <0.001), and the decision curve analyses demonstrated that EDACS in triage resulted in a clear net clinical benefit. In conclusion, the results of the study suggest that EDACS has a good discriminatory capacity for acute cardiovascular events and that its implementation in routine triage may improve triage performance in patients with chest pain.
Subject(s)
Chest Pain/diagnosis , Risk Assessment/methods , Triage/standards , Chest Pain/epidemiology , Electrocardiography , Emergency Service, Hospital , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , ROC CurveABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Although the preliminary evidence seems to confirm a lower incidence of post-traumatic bleeding in patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) compared to those on vitamin K antagonists (VKAs), the recommended management of mild traumatic brain injury (MTBI) in patients on DOACs is the same as those on the older VKAs, risking excessive use of CT in the emergency department (ED). AIM: To determine which easily identifiable clinical risk factors at the first medical evaluation in the ED may indicate an increased risk of post-traumatic intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) in patients on DOACs with MTBI. METHODS: Patients on DOACs who were evaluated in the ED for an MTBI from 2016 to 2020 at four centres in Northern Italy were considered. A decision tree analysis using the chi-square automatic interaction detection (CHAID) method was conducted to assess the risk of post-traumatic ICH after an MTBI. Known pre- and post-traumatic clinical risk factors that are easily identifiable at the first medical evaluation in the ED were used as input predictor variables. RESULTS: Among the 1146 patients on DOACs in this study, post-traumatic ICH was present in 6.5% (75/1146). Decision tree analysis using the CHAID method found post-traumatic TLOC, post-traumatic amnesia, major trauma dynamic, previous neurosurgery and evidence of trauma above the clavicles to be the strongest predictors associated with the presence of post-traumatic ICH in patients on DOACs. The absence of a concussion seems to indicate subgroups at very low risk of requiring neurosurgery. CONCLUSIONS: The machine-based CHAID model identified distinct prognostic groups of patients with distinct outcomes based on clinical factors. Decision trees can be useful as guides for patient selection and risk stratification.
Subject(s)
Anticoagulants/administration & dosage , Brain Concussion/complications , Decision Trees , Intracranial Hemorrhages/etiology , Administration, Oral , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Glasgow Coma Scale , Humans , Italy , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Vitamin K/antagonists & inhibitorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The established clinical risk factors for post-traumatic intracranial bleeding have not been evaluated in patients receiving DOACs yet. AIM: Evaluating the association between clinic and patient characteristics and post-traumatic intracranial bleeding (ICH) in patients with mild traumatic brain injury (MTBI) and DOACs. METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study conducted on three Emergency Departments. Multivariate analysis provided association in terms of OR with the risk of ICH. The performance of the multivariate model, described in a nomogram, has been tested with discrimination and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Of 473 DOACs patients with MTBI, 8.5% had post-traumatic ICH. On multivariable analysis, major dynamics (odds ratio [OR] 6.255), post-traumatic amnesia (OR 3.961), post-traumatic loss of consciousness (LOC, OR 7.353), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score < 15 (OR 3.315), post-traumatic headache (OR 4.168) and visible trauma above the clavicles (OR 3.378) were associated with a higher likelihood of ICH. The multivariate model, used for the nomogram construction, showed a good performance (AUC bias corrected with 5000 bootstraps resample 0.78). The DCAs showed a net clinical benefit of the prognostic model. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical risk factors can be used in DOACs patients to better define the risk of post-traumatic ICH.
Subject(s)
Brain Concussion/complications , Factor Xa Inhibitors/adverse effects , Intracranial Hemorrhage, Traumatic/etiology , Case-Control Studies , Female , Glasgow Coma Scale , Humans , Male , Neurosurgical Procedures/adverse effects , ROC Curve , Retrospective Studies , Risk FactorsSubject(s)
Brain Concussion , Neurosurgery , Anticoagulants/adverse effects , Emergency Service, Hospital , Humans , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
More clinical data are required on the safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). Although patients treated with warfarin and DOACs have a similar risk of bleeding, short-term mortality after a gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) episode in DOAC-treated patients has not been clarified. The objective of this study was to assess differences in 30-day mortality in patients treated with DOACs or warfarin admitted to the emergency department (ED) for GIB. This was a multicentre retrospective study conducted over 2 years. The study included patients evaluated at three different EDs for GIB. The baseline characteristics were included. Subsequently, we assessed the differences in past medical history and clinical data between the two study groups (DOAC and warfarin users). Differences between the two groups were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves. Among the 284 patients presenting GIB enrolled in the study period, 39.4% (112/284) were treated with DOACs and 60.6% (172/284) were treated with warfarin. Overall, 8.1% (23/284) of patients died within 30 days. Among the 172 warfarin-treated patients, 8.7% (15/172) died within 30 days from ED evaluation. In the 112 DOAC-treated patients, the mortality rate was 7.1% (8/112). The Cox regression analysis, adjusted for possible clinical confounders, and the Kaplan-Meier curves did not outline differences between the two treatment groups. The present study shows no differences between DOACs and warfarin in short-term mortality after GIB.
Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/mortality , Factor Xa Inhibitors/standards , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/complications , Mortality/trends , Warfarin/standards , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anticoagulants/standards , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Factor Xa Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Female , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/mortality , Humans , Italy/epidemiology , Male , Retrospective Studies , Statistics, Nonparametric , Treatment Outcome , Warfarin/therapeutic useABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients taking direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) after mild traumatic brain injury (MTBI) is unclear. OBJECTIVES: To assess the differences in the risk of developing early, delayed, and comprehensive bleeding after MTBI among patients treated with DOACs as compared with those treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). METHODS: All MTBI patients taking oral anticoagulants in our emergency department between June 2017 and August 2018 were included. All patients on oral anticoagulants underwent immediate cerebral computed tomography (CT) and a second CT scan after 24 h of clinical observation. RESULTS: There were 451 patients enrolled: 268 were on VKAs and 183 on DOACs. Of the DOAC-treated patients, 7.7% (14/183) presented overall intracranial bleeding, compared with 14.9% (40/268) of VKA-treated patients (p = 0.026). Early bleeding was present in 5.5% (10/183) of DOAC-treated patients and in 11.6% (31/268) of VKA-treated patients (p = 0.030). Multivariable analysis showed that VKA therapy (odds ratio [OR] 2.327), high-energy impact (OR 11.229), amnesia (OR 2.814), loss of consciousness (OR 5.286), Glasgow Coma Scale score < 15 (OR 4.719), and the presence of lesion above the clavicles (OR 2.742) were associated with significantly higher risk of global ICH. A nomogram was constructed to predict ICH using these six variables. Discrimination of the nomogram revealed good predictive abilities (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.817). CONCLUSIONS: DOAC-treated patients seem to have lower risk of posttraumatic intracranial bleeding compared with VKA-treated patients.
Subject(s)
Brain Concussion/classification , Factor Xa Inhibitors/adverse effects , Intracranial Hemorrhages/physiopathology , Time Factors , Vitamin K/antagonists & inhibitors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Brain Concussion/physiopathology , Emergency Service, Hospital/organization & administration , Factor Xa Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Female , Humans , Italy , Male , Retrospective Studies , Severity of Illness IndexABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The usual history of chronic heart failure (HF) is characterized by frequent episodes of acute decompensation (ADHF), needing urgent management in the emergency department (ED). Since the diagnostic accuracy of routine laboratory tests remains quite limited for predicting short-term mortality in ADHF, this retrospective study investigated the potential significance of combining red blood cell distribution width (RDW) with other conventional tests for prognosticating ADHF upon ED admission. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study including visits for episodes of ADHF recorded in the ED of the Uni versity Hospital of Verona throughout a 4-year period. Demo - graphic and clinical features were recorded upon patient presentation. All patients were subjected to standard Chest X-ray, electrocardiogram (ECG) and laboratory testing in - cluding creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), complete blood cell count (CBC), sodium, chloride, potassium and RDW. The 30-day overall mortality after ED presentation was defined as primary endpoint. RESULTS: The values of sodium, creatinine, BNP and RDW were higher in patients who died than in those who survived, whilst hypochloremia was more frequent in patients who died than in those who survived. The multivariate model, incorporating these parameters, displayed a modest efficiency for predicting 30-day mortality after ED admission (AUC, 0.701; 95% CI, 0.662-0.738; p=0.001). Notably, the inclusion of RDW in the model significantly enhanced prediction efficiency, with an AUC of 0.723 (95% CI, 0.693-0.763; p<0.001). These results were confirmed with net reclassification improvement (NRI) analysis, showing that combination of RDW with conventional laboratory tests resulted in a much better prediction performance (net reclassification index, 0.222; p=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The results of our study show that prognostic assessment of ADHF patients in the ED can be significantly improved by combining RDW with other conventional laboratory tests.