Challenges with Estimating Long-Term Overall Survival in Extensive Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer: A Validation-Based Case Study.

Objective: The study aimed to explore methods and highlight the challenges of extrapolating the overall survival (OS) of immunotherapy-based treatment in first-line extensive stage small-cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC). Methods: Standard parametric survival models, spline models, landmark models, mixture and non-mixture cure models, and Markov models were fitted to 2-year data of the CASPIAN Phase 3 randomised trial of PD-L1 inhibitor durvalumab added to platinum-based chemotherapy (NCT03043872). Extrapolations were compared with updated 3-year data from the same trial and the plausibility of long-term estimates assessed. Results: All models used provided a reasonable fit to the observed Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival data. The model which provided the best fit to the updated CASPIAN data was the mixture cure model. In contrast, the landmark analysis provided the least accurate fit to model survival. Estimated mean OS differed substantially across models and ranged from (in years) 1.41 (landmark model) to 4.81 (mixture cure model) for durvalumab plus etoposide and platinum and from 1.01 (landmark model) to 2.00 (mixture cure model) for etoposide and platinum. Conclusion: While most models may provide a good fit to K-M data, it is crucial to assess beyond the statistical goodness-of-fit and consider the clinical plausibility of the long-term predictions. The more complex cure models demonstrated the best predictive ability at 3 years, potentially providing a better representation of the underlying method of action of immunotherapy; however, consideration of the models' clinical plausibility and cure assumptions need further research and validation. Our findings underscore the significance of adopting a clinical perspective when selecting the most appropriate approach to model long-term survival, particularly when considering the use of more complex models.

Durvalumab Treatment Patterns for Patients with Unresectable Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA): A Nationwide, Real-World Study.

BACKGROUND: Durvalumab is approved for the treatment of adults with unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) post-chemoradiotherapy (CRT). This real-world study describes patient characteristics and durvalumab treatment patterns (number of doses and therapy duration; treatment initiation delays, interruptions, discontinuations, and associated reasons) among VHA-treated patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of adults with unresectable stage III NSCLC receiving durvalumab at the VHA between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2020. Patient characteristics and treatment patterns were presented descriptively. RESULTS: A total of 935 patients were included (median age: 69 years; 95% males; 21% Blacks; 46% current smokers; 16% ECOG performance scores ≥ 2; 50% squamous histology). Durvalumab initiation was delayed in 39% of patients (n = 367). Among the 200 patients with recorded reasons, delays were mainly due to physician preference (20%) and CRT toxicity (11%). Overall, patients received a median (interquartile range) of 16 (7-24) doses of durvalumab over 9.0 (2.9-11.8) months. Treatment interruptions were experienced by 19% of patients (n = 180), with toxicity (7.8%) and social reasons (2.6%) being the most cited reasons. Early discontinuation occurred in 59% of patients (n = 551), largely due to disease progression (24.2%) and toxicity (18.2%). CONCLUSIONS: These real-world analyses corroborate PACIFIC study results in terms of the main reasons for treatment discontinuation in a VHA population with worse prognostic factors, including older age, predominantly male sex, and poorer performance score. One of the main reasons for durvalumab initiation delays, treatment interruptions, or discontinuations was due to toxicities. Patients could benefit from improved strategies to prevent, identify, and manage CRT and durvalumab toxicities timely and effectively.

Durvalumab real-world treatment patterns and outcomes in patients with stage III non-small-cell lung cancer treated in a US community setting.

Background: For eligible patients with unresectable stage III non-small-cell lung cancer, durvalumab consolidation therapy following chemoradiotherapy is the standard of care. Methods: This was a retrospective study of durvalumab-treated patients diagnosed between 1 August 2017 and 29 February 2020. Electronic health record data were assessed descriptively, with Kaplan-Meier methods used for duration of treatment and overall survival (OS). Results: Among 528 patients (median age 70 years, 51.5% male), the median duration of treatment was 7.1 months (95% CI: 6.0-9.0). Estimated 1- and 2-year OS rates were 83.5 and 64.0%, respectively, with median OS not reached. Conclusion: This study confirmed an OS benefit with durvalumab after chemoradiotherapy in a real-world setting, consistent with the results from the PACIFIC phase III clinical trial.

What is this article about? Durvalumab is a treatment approved for patients with a specific type of lung cancer. Clinical trials have shown durvalumab is an effective therapy for these patients. We conducted this study to better understand what happens to patients treated with durvalumab who were not enrolled in clinical trials. What were the results? Patients who were treated with durvalumab in this study tended to survive as long as patients who received it as part of a clinical trial. What do the results of the study mean? Studies like this one may better represent patients who are less likely to take part in clinical trials. Future studies may examine long-term outcomes of durvalumab and factors associated with better outcomes.

Health Equity in Patients Receiving Durvalumab for Unresectable Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in the US Veterans Health Administration.

BACKGROUND: Real-world evidence is limited regarding the relationship between race and use of durvalumab, an immunotherapy approved for use in adults with unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) post-chemoradiotherapy (CRT). This study aimed to evaluate if durvalumab treatment patterns differed by race in patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC in a Veterans Health Administration (VHA) population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of White and Black adults with unresectable stage III NSCLC treated with durvalumab presenting to any VHA facility in the US from January 1, 2017, to June 30, 2020. Data captured included baseline characteristics and durvalumab treatment patterns, including treatment initiation delay (TID), interruption (TI), and discontinuation (TD); defined as CRT completion to durvalumab initiation greater than 42 days, greater than 28 days between durvalumab infusions, and more than 28 days from the last durvalumab dose with no new durvalumab restarts, respectively. The number of doses, duration of therapy, and adverse events were also collected. RESULTS: A total of 924 patients were included in this study (White = 726; Black = 198). Race was not a significant factor in a multivariate logistic regression model for TID (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.81-2.37), TI (OR, 1.58; 95% CI, 0.90-2.76), or TD (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.50-1.38). There were also no significant differences in median (interquartile range [IQR]) number of doses (White: 15 [7-24], Black: 18 [7-25]; P = .25) or median (IQR) duration of therapy (White: 8.7 months [2.9-11.8], Black: 9.8 months [3.6-12.0]; P = .08), although Black patients were less likely to experience an immune-related adverse event (28% vs. 36%, P = .03) and less likely to experience pneumonitis (7% vs. 14%, P < .01). CONCLUSION: Race was not found to be linked with TID, TI, or TD in this real-world study of patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC treated with durvalumab at the VHA.

Unintended Consequences Following the 2014 American Academy of Pediatrics Policy Change for Palivizumab Prophylaxis among Infants Born at Less than 29 Weeks' Gestation.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to compare outpatient respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) immunoprophylaxis (IP) use and relative RSV hospitalization (RSVH) rates for infants <29 weeks' gestational age (wGA) versus term infants before and after the 2014 American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) policy change. STUDY DESIGN: Infants were identified in the MarketScan Commercial and Multi-State Medicaid databases. Outpatient RSV IP receipt and relative <29 wGA/term hospitalization risks in 2012 to 2014 and 2014 to 2016 were assessed using rate ratios and a difference-in-difference model. RESULTS: Outpatient RSV IP receipt by infants <29 wGA and aged <3 months in the Commercial and Medicaid populations and those aged 3 to <6 months in the Medicaid population declined after 2014. Relative RSVH risks for infants <29 wGA were numerically greater after 2014, with infants aged <3 months and Medicaid infants experiencing the greatest increases. Difference-in-difference results indicated a significantly increased relative risk of RSVH for infants <29 wGA versus term (both cohorts aged 0 to <6 months) in the Medicaid-insured population (1.68, p = 0.0054). A nonsignificant increase of similar magnitude occurred in the commercially insured population (1.57, p = 0.2867). CONCLUSION: The 2014 policy change was associated with a decrease in RSV IP use and an increase in RSVH risk among otherwise healthy infants <29 wGA.

Update on respiratory syncytial virus hospitalizations among U.S. preterm and term infants before and after the 2014 American Academy of Pediatrics policy on immunoprophylaxis: 2011-2017.

Palivizumab is the only licensed respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) immunoprophylaxis (IP) available to prevent severe RSV disease in high-risk pediatric populations, including infants born at 29-34 weeks' gestational age (wGA). In 2014, the American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) stopped recommending RSV IP use for otherwise healthy 29-34 wGA infants and stated that 29-34 wGA infants and term infants have similar RSV hospitalization (RSVH) rates. This study aimed to compare RSV IP use and RSVH rates in 29-34 wGA infants and term infants during the 3 RSV seasons before and after the 2014 AAP policy change. RSV IP use in otherwise healthy infants 29-30, 31-32, and 33-34 wGA was estimated from pharmacy or outpatient medical claims for palivizumab. RSVH rates in the first 6 months of life were calculated per 100 infant-seasons. RSVH rate ratios were used to compare preterm infants and term infants before and after the policy change. Across infant cohorts (29-34 wGA) and chronologic age groups (<3 months and 3-<6 months), absolute decreases in RSV IP use between the combined 2011-2014 seasons and 2014-2017 seasons ranged from 7% to 38% and from 68% to 97%, respectively. Compared with 2011-2014, the RSVH risk increased 2.09-fold (P< .001) and 1.76-fold (P< .001) in 2014-2017 for infants born at 29-34 wGA and aged <6 months with commercial and Medicaid insurance, respectively. Overall, RSV IP use declined in the RSV seasons following the 2014 RSV IP policy change, and RSVH increased among 29-34 wGA infants aged <6 months.

Impact of the 2014 American Academy of Pediatrics Immunoprophylaxis Policy on the Rate, Severity, and Cost of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Hospitalizations among Preterm Infants.

OBJECTIVE: This study examined the rate, severity, and cost of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalizations among preterm infants 29 to 34 weeks gestational age (wGA) versus term infants before and after a 2014 change in the American Academy of Pediatrics policy for RSV immunoprophylaxis. STUDY DESIGN: Preterm (29-34 wGA) and term infants born from July 2011 to March 2017 and aged < 6 months were identified in a U.S. commercial administrative claims database. RSV hospitalization (RSVH) rate ratios, severity, and costs were evaluated for the 2011 to 2014 and 2014 to 2017 RSV seasons. Postpolicy changes in RSVH risks for preterm versus term infants were assessed with difference-in-difference (DID) modeling to control for patient characteristics and temporal trends. RESULTS: In the DID analysis, prematurity-associated RSVH risk was 55% greater in 2014 to 2017 versus 2011 to 2014 (relative risk = 1.55, 95% confidence interval: 1.10-2.17, p = 0.011). RSVH severity increased among preterm infants after 2014 and was highest among those aged < 3 months. Differences in mean RSVH costs for preterm infants in 2014 to 2017 versus 2011 to 2014 were not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: RSVH risk for preterm versus term infants increased after the policy change, confirming previous national analyses. RSVHs after the policy change were more severe, particularly among younger preterm infants.

Healthcare resource utilization and costs in the 12 months following hospitalization for respiratory syncytial virus or unspecified bronchiolitis among infants.

Aims: To examine healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs within 12 months after hospitalization for respiratory syncytial virus (RSVH) or unspecified bronchiolitis (UBH) in infants.Materials and methods: Infants born July 1, 2009-June 30, 2015 were identified in the MarketScan Medicaid and Commercial databases and were assigned to one of three cohorts: RSVH (with/without UBH), UBH, or comparator (no RSVH or UBH). Each infant was identified as pre-term (5 groups) or term (2 groups) based on weeks gestational age (wGA). Index dates were the first admission dates for RSVH or UBH infants and were randomly assigned to comparator infants based on time from birth to index in the RSVH cohort. HRU, all-cause costs, and incremental cost differences between hospitalized and comparator infants were assessed over 12 months post-index with and without the index hospitalization. Results were propensity score weighted to balance pre-index characteristics across hospitalization cohorts.Results: This study identified 15,872 RSVH infants, 6,081 UBH infants, and 986,087 comparator infants in the Medicaid population and 5,755 RSVH infants, 1,888 UBH infants, and 696,302 comparator infants in the commercial population. HRU in follow-up was greater for RSVH and UBH infants relative to comparator infants in both populations, including hospitalizations (commercial: 7.4%, 11.0%, 1.7%; Medicaid: 12.3%, 15.3%, 3.2%) and emergency department visits (commercial: 33.0%, 33.3%, 17.2%; Medicaid: 65.8%, 68.5%, 51.4%). HRU was highest among RSVH and UBH infants born at <29 wGA. Hospitalized infants had numerically higher follow-up costs than comparator infants, with incremental differences reaching $19,896 among Medicaid UBH infants and $37,417 among commercial RSVH infants.Limitations: RSV/UB may be miscoded in claims data.Conclusions: Infants hospitalized for RSV or UB largely had greater subsequent HRU and costs in the first year after index hospitalization than comparator infants. Absolute and incremental follow-up costs relative to comparator infants were highest among infants <29 wGA.

Prospective observational study in patients with obstructive lung disease: NOVELTY design.

Asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have overlapping clinical features and share pathobiological mechanisms but are often considered distinct disorders. Prospective, observational studies across asthma, COPD and asthma-COPD overlap are limited. NOVELTY is a global, prospective observational 3-year study enrolling ∼12 000 patients ≥12 years of age from primary and specialist clinical practices in 19 countries (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02760329). NOVELTY's primary objectives are to describe patient characteristics, treatment patterns and disease burden over time, and to identify phenotypes and molecular endotypes associated with differential outcomes over time in patients with a diagnosis/suspected diagnosis of asthma and/or COPD. NOVELTY aims to recruit real-world patients, unlike clinical studies with restrictive inclusion/exclusion criteria. Data collected at yearly intervals include clinical assessments, spirometry, biospecimens, patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and healthcare utilisation (HCU). PROs and HCU will also be collected 3-monthly via internet/telephone. Data will be used to identify phenotypes and endotypes associated with different trajectories for symptom burden, clinical progression or remission and HCU. Results may allow patient classification across obstructive lung disease by clinical outcomes and biomarker profile, rather than by conventional diagnostic labels and severity categories. NOVELTY will provide a rich data source on obstructive lung disease, to help improve patient outcomes and aid novel drug development.

Cost effectiveness of budesonide/formoterol added to tiotropium bromide versus placebo added to tiotropium bromide in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: Australian, Canadian and Swedish healthcare perspectives.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a progressive inflammatory lung disease associated with increasing morbidity and mortality and an economic burden that stretches beyond the patient to healthcare systems. Avoiding exacerbations and subsequent hospitalizations is an important clinical aim and can avoid significant costs associated with the disease. International guidelines recommend the addition of an inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) to a long-acting ß2-adrenoceptor agonist (LABA) for patients with severe to very severe COPD and a history of exacerbations. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate retrospectively over a 3-month period, the cost effectiveness of budesonide/formoterol added to tiotropium bromide (tiotropium) compared with placebo added to tiotropium in COPD patients eligible for ICS/LABA combination therapy, based on the CLIMB study (NCT00496470). METHODS: A cost-effectiveness analysis of data from the 12-week, randomized, double-blind CLIMB study of COPD patients (n = 659; eligible for ICS/LABA; aged ≥ 40 years) comparing budesonide/formoterol (Symbicort® Turbuhaler® 320/9 µg twice daily) added to tiotropium (18 µg daily) or placebo added to tiotropium was conducted. A severe exacerbation was defined as a requirement for systemic glucocorticosteroids and/or ED visit and/or hospitalization. The effectiveness variable used for this analysis was the number of severe exacerbations avoided. Direct costs (medications, hospitalizations, ED and GP visits) were calculated by applying year 2009 unit costs from Australia ($A), Canada ($Can) and Sweden (Swedish krona [SEK]) to the study's pooled resource use. One-way sensitivity analyses for each country's mean incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and sensitivity to overall exacerbations were conducted. Bootstrapping was performed to estimate the variation around resource use, exacerbations and each country's mean incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. RESULTS: The mean number of severe exacerbations per patient 3-month period was 0.11 in the budesonide/formoterol added to tiotropium arm and 0.29 in the placebo added to tiotropium arm--a 62% reduction in the rate of severe exacerbations. Treatment with budesonide/formoterol added to tiotropium costs less in Australia and Canada (-$A90 [-€58] and -$Can4.51 [-€3]) and only slightly more in Sweden (SEK444 [€43]), i.e. the savings associated with fewer exacerbations more than offset the additional budesonide/formoterol drug cost in Australia and Canada, and partially offset it in Sweden. In the Australian and Canadian perspectives, budesonide/formoterol added to tiotropium was a dominant treatment (fewer exacerbations at a lower cost) compared with placebo added to tiotropium. In Sweden, the estimated incremental cost per avoided exacerbation was SEK2502 (€244.40). CONCLUSION: Budesonide/formoterol added to tiotropium was the dominant strategy compared with placebo added to tiotropium based on a 12-week study in COPD patients eligible for ICS/LABA combination therapy in Australia and Canada, and appears to be a cost-effective strategy in Sweden.