ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The incidence of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) and ROP screening criteria differ between countries. We assessed whether ROP screening could be reduced based on the local ROP incidence. METHODS: Observational cohort study of infants born in Switzerland between 2006 and 2015 <32 0/7 weeks. Chronological and postmenstrual ages at ROP treatment were analyzed. A model to identify ROP treatment on patients born between 2006 and 2012 (training set) was developed and tested on patients born between 2013 and 2015 (validation set). RESULTS: Of 7817 live-born infants, 1098 died within the first 5 weeks of life. The remaining 6719 infants were included into analysis. All patients requiring ROP treatment would have been identified if screening had been performed before reaching 60 days of life or 37 3/7 weeks postmenstrual age, whichever came first. The training and validation sets included 4522 and 2197 preterm infants encompassing 56 and 20 patients receiving ROP treatment, respectively. All patients would have required screening to reach 100% sensitivity. To reach a sensitivity of 95.0% and a specificity of 87.6%, we predicted a reduction in 13.2% of patients requiring screening (c-statistic = 0.916). CONCLUSIONS: A substantial reduction of infants requiring screening seems possible, but necessitates prospective testing of new screening criteria.
Subject(s)
Population Surveillance , Retinopathy of Prematurity/diagnosis , Retinopathy of Prematurity/therapy , Humans , Incidence , Infant, Newborn , Infant, Very Low Birth Weight , Male , Retinopathy of Prematurity/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity , Switzerland/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a severe complication of preterm birth and can lead to severe visual impairment or even blindness if untreated. The incidence of ROP requiring treatment is increasing in some developed countries in conjunction with higher survival rates at the lower end of gestational age (GA). MATERIAL AND METHODS: The incidence of ROP and severe ROP (sROP) requiring treatment in Switzerland was analysed using the SwissNeoNet registry. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of very preterm infants with a GA below 32 weeks who were born between 2006 and 2015 in Switzerland. Patient characteristics were stratified according to GA. RESULTS: 9.3% and 1.8% of very preterm infants in Switzerland developed ROP of any stage and sROP, respectively. The incidence of ROP treatment was 1.2%. Patients with 24 and 25 weeks GA had the highest proportion of ROP treatment at 14.5% and 7.3%, respectively, whereas the proportion of treated infants at or above a GA of 29 weeks was 0.06%. Similarly, the risk of sROP declined strongly with increasing GA. During the observation period of 10 years, the incidence of ROP treatment ranged between 0.8% and 2.0%. Incidences of sROP or ROP treatment did not increase over time. CONCLUSION: The incidence of ROP treatment in Switzerland is low and was stable over the analysed period. The low incidence of sROP in patients with a GA of 29 weeks or more leaves room for a redefinition of ROP screening criteria.
