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2.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 84(14): 1328-1338, 2024 Oct 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39322327

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and remnants (TRL/remnants) have a causal, but not yet quantified, relationship with coronary heart disease (CHD): myocardial infarction plus revascularization. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to estimate TRL/remnant per-particle atherogenicity, investigate causal relationships with inflammation, and determine whether differences in the atherogenicity of TRL/remnants and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) impact the causal association of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) with CHD. METHODS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (N = 1,357) identified by genome-wide association in the UK Biobank were ranked into 10 clusters according to the effect on TRL/remnant-C vs LDL-C. Mendelian randomization analysis was used to estimate for each SNP cluster CHD ORs per 10 mg/dL apolipoprotein B (apoB) and per 0.33 mmol/L non-HDL-cholesterol, and to evaluate association of TRL/remnants with biomarkers of systemic inflammation. RESULTS: SNPs in cluster 1 predominantly affected LDL-C, whereas SNPs in cluster 10 predominantly affected TRL/remnant-C. CHD risk per genetically predicted increase in apoB and in non-HDL-C rose across clusters. ORs per 10 mg/dL higher apoB was 1.15 (95% CI: 1.11-1.19) in cluster 1 vs 1.70 (95% CI: 1.52-1.90) in cluster 10. Comparing ORs between these TRL/remnant-predominant and LDL-predominant clusters, we estimated that TRL/remnants were at least 3.9 (95% CI: 2.8-5.4) times more atherogenic than LDL on a per-particle basis. For non-HDL-C, CHD ORs per 0.33 mmol/L rose from 1.15 (95% CI: 1.11-1.19) for cluster 1 to 1.40 (95% CI: 1.30-1.50) for cluster 10. TRL/remnants exhibited causal relationships with inflammation, but this did not explain their greater atherogenicity. CONCLUSIONS: TRL/remnants are about 4 times more atherogenic than LDL. Variation in the causal association of non-HDL-C with CHD indicates that adjustment for percentage TRL/remnant-C may be needed for accurate risk prediction.


Subject(s)
Inflammation , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Triglycerides , Humans , Triglycerides/blood , Inflammation/blood , Inflammation/genetics , Male , Risk Assessment/methods , Female , Middle Aged , Atherosclerosis/blood , Atherosclerosis/epidemiology , Atherosclerosis/genetics , Lipoproteins/blood , Cholesterol/blood , Coronary Disease/blood , Coronary Disease/genetics , Coronary Disease/epidemiology , Genome-Wide Association Study , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Aged , Cholesterol, LDL/blood , Biomarkers/blood , Cholesterol, HDL/blood , United Kingdom/epidemiology
3.
Nat Ment Health ; 2(9): 1062-1070, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39263363

ABSTRACT

Childhood-onset type 1 diabetes (T1D) is associated with substantial psychiatric morbidity in later life, but it remains unknown whether these associations are due to common underlying biological mechanisms or the impacts of living with the condition and its treatment. Here, using Czech national register data, we identified children with T1D aged ≤14 years between 1994 and 2007 and estimated the risk of psychiatric disorders up to 24 years later. We found that children diagnosed with T1D had an elevated risk of developing substance use, mood, anxiety and personality disorders, and behavioral syndromes. Conversely, we found that children with T1D had a lower risk of developing psychotic disorders. In Mendelian randomization analysis, we found an association with schizophrenia, which, however, did not persist following multiple testing adjustment. The combined observational and Mendelian randomization evidence suggests that T1D diagnosis in childhood predisposes to far-reaching, extensive psychiatric morbidity, which is unlikely to be explicable by common underlying biological mechanisms. The findings of this study highlight that monitoring and addressing the mental health needs of children with T1D is imperative, whereas glucose dysregulation and/or inflammation implicated in schizophrenia pathogenesis warrants future research.

4.
PLoS Genet ; 20(9): e1011391, 2024 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39241053

ABSTRACT

Mendelian Randomization (MR) is a widely embraced approach to assess causality in epidemiological studies. Two-stage least squares (2SLS) method is a predominant technique in MR analysis. However, it can lead to biased estimates when instrumental variables (IVs) are weak. Moreover, the issue of the winner's curse could emerge when utilizing the same dataset for both IV selection and causal effect estimation, leading to biased estimates of causal effects and high false positives. Focusing on one-sample MR analysis, this paper introduces a novel method termed Mendelian Randomization with adaptive Sample-sPLitting with cross-fitting InstrumenTs (MR-SPLIT), designed to address bias issues due to IV selection and weak IVs, under the 2SLS IV regression framework. We show that the MR-SPLIT estimator is more efficient than its counterpart cross-fitting MR (CFMR) estimator. Additionally, we introduce a multiple sample-splitting technique to enhance the robustness of the method. We conduct extensive simulation studies to compare the performance of our method with its counterparts. The results underscored its superiority in bias reduction, effective type I error control, and increased power. We further demonstrate its utility through the application of a real-world dataset. Our study underscores the importance of addressing bias issues due to IV selection and weak IVs in one-sample MR analyses and provides a robust solution to the challenge.


Subject(s)
Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Mendelian Randomization Analysis/methods , Humans , Bias , Computer Simulation , Causality
5.
BMC Med ; 22(1): 374, 2024 Sep 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39256834

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have enabled Mendelian randomization analyses to be performed at an industrial scale. Two-sample summary data Mendelian randomization analyses can be performed using publicly available data by anyone who has access to the internet. While this has led to many insightful papers, it has also fuelled an explosion of poor-quality Mendelian randomization publications, which threatens to undermine the credibility of the whole approach. FINDINGS: We detail five pitfalls in conducting a reliable Mendelian randomization investigation: (1) inappropriate research question, (2) inappropriate choice of variants as instruments, (3) insufficient interrogation of findings, (4) inappropriate interpretation of findings, and (5) lack of engagement with previous work. We have provided a brief checklist of key points to consider when performing a Mendelian randomization investigation; this does not replace previous guidance, but highlights critical analysis choices. Journal editors should be able to identify many low-quality submissions and reject papers without requiring peer review. Peer reviewers should focus initially on key indicators of validity; if a paper does not satisfy these, then the paper may be meaningless even if it is technically flawless. CONCLUSIONS: Performing an informative Mendelian randomization investigation requires critical thought and collaboration between different specialties and fields of research.


Subject(s)
Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Mendelian Randomization Analysis/methods , Humans , Genome-Wide Association Study/methods
6.
Circ Genom Precis Med ; : e004755, 2024 Aug 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39119725

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Preeclampsia is a leading cause of maternal and perinatal morbidity and mortality. However, the current understanding of its underlying biological pathways remains limited. METHODS: In this study, we performed a cross-platform proteome- and transcriptome-wide genetic analysis aimed at evaluating the causal relevance of >2000 circulating proteins with preeclampsia, supported by data on the expression of over 15 000 genes across 36 tissues leveraging large-scale preeclampsia genetic association data from women of European ancestry. RESULTS: We demonstrate genetic associations of 18 circulating proteins with preeclampsia (SULT1A1, SH2B3, SERPINE2, RGS18, PZP, NOTUM, METAP1, MANEA, jun-D, GDF15 [growth/differentiation factor 15], FGL1, FGF5, FES, APOBR, ANP, ALDH-E2, ADAMTS13, and 3MG), among which 11 were either directly or indirectly supported by gene expression data, 9 were supported by Bayesian colocalization analyses, and 5 (SERPINE2, PZP, FGF5, FES, and ANP) were supported by all lines of evidence examined. Protein interaction mapping identified potential shared biological pathways through natriuretic peptide signaling, blood pressure regulation, immune tolerance, and thrombin activity regulation. CONCLUSIONS: This investigation identified multiple targetable proteins linked to cardiovascular, inflammatory, and coagulation pathways, with SERPINE2, PZP, FGF5, FES, and ANP identified as pivotal proteins with likely causal roles in the development of preeclampsia. The identification of these potential targets may guide the development of targeted therapies for preeclampsia.

7.
Genes (Basel) ; 15(8)2024 Aug 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39202419

ABSTRACT

Background: Adenosine triphosphate-citrate lyase (ACLY) inhibition has proven clinically efficacious for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) lowering and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk reduction. Clinical and genetic evidence suggests that some LDL-c lowering strategies, such as 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A reductase (HMGCR) inhibition with statin therapy increase body weight and the risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, whether ACLY inhibition affects metabolic risk factors is currently unknown. We aimed to investigate the effects of ACLY inhibition on glycaemic and anthropometric traits using Mendelian randomization (MR). Methods: As genetic instruments for ACLY inhibition, we selected weakly correlated single-nucleotide polymorphisms at the ACLY gene associated with lower ACLY gene expression in the eQTLGen study (N = 31,684) and lower LDL-c levels in the Global Lipid Genetic Consortium study (N = 1.65 million). Two-sample Mendelian randomization was employed to investigate the effects of ACLY inhibition on T2DM risk, and glycaemic and anthropometric traits using summary data from large consortia, with sample sizes ranging from 151,013 to 806,834 individuals. Findings for genetically predicted ACLY inhibition were compared to those obtained for genetically predicted HMGCR inhibition using the same instrument selection strategy and outcome data. Results: Primary MR analyses showed that genetically predicted ACLY inhibition was associated with lower waist-to-hip ratio (ß per 1 standard deviation lower LDL-c: -1.17; 95% confidence interval (CI): -1.61 to -0.73; p < 0.001) but not with risk of T2DM (odds ratio (OR) per standard deviation lower LDL-c: 0.74, 95% CI = 0.25 to 2.19, p = 0.59). In contrast, genetically predicted HMGCR inhibition was associated with higher waist-to-hip ratio (ß = 0.15; 95%CI = 0.04 to 0.26; p = 0.008) and T2DM risk (OR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.27 to 2.36, p < 0.001). The MR analyses considering secondary outcomes showed that genetically predicted ACLY inhibition was associated with a lower waist-to-hip ratio adjusted for body mass index (BMI) (ß = -1.41; 95%CI = -1.81 to -1.02; p < 0.001). In contrast, genetically predicted HMGCR inhibition was associated with higher HbA1c (ß = 0.19; 95%CI = 0.23 to 0.49; p < 0.001) and BMI (ß = 0.36; 95%CI = 0.23 to 0.49; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Human genetic evidence supports the metabolically favourable effects of ACLY inhibition on body weight distribution, in contrast to HMGCR inhibition. These findings should be used to guide and prioritize ongoing clinical development efforts.


Subject(s)
ATP Citrate (pro-S)-Lyase , Body Weight , Cholesterol, LDL , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/genetics , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/drug therapy , Cholesterol, LDL/blood , Body Weight/drug effects , ATP Citrate (pro-S)-Lyase/genetics , ATP Citrate (pro-S)-Lyase/antagonists & inhibitors , Hydroxymethylglutaryl CoA Reductases/genetics , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use
8.
Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol ; : 101967, 2024 Jun 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38951047

ABSTRACT

The explosion in Mendelian randomization (MR) publications is hard to ignore and shows no signs of slowing. Clinician readers, who may not be familiar with jargon-ridden methods, are expected to discern the good from the many low-quality studies that make overconfident claims of causality or stretch the plausibility of what MR can investigate. We aim to equip readers with foundational concepts, contextualized using examples in rheumatology, to appraise the many MR papers that are or will appear in their journals. We highlight the importance of assessing whether exposures are under plausibly specific genetic influence, whether the hypothesized causal pathways make biological sense, and whether results stand up to replication and use of control outcomes. Quality of research can vary substantially using MR as with any design, and all methods have inherent limitations. MR studies have provided and can still contribute valuable insights in the context of evidence triangulation.

9.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 39(8): 857-867, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39009924

ABSTRACT

Plasma low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol is positively associated with coronary artery disease risk while biliary cholesterol promotes gallstone formation. Different plasma LDL-cholesterol lowering pathways may have distinct effects on biliary cholesterol and thereby gallstone disease risk. We conducted a Mendelian randomization (MR) study using data from the UK Biobank (30,547 gallstone disease cases/336,742 controls), FinnGen (34,461 cases/301,383 controls) and Biobank Japan (9,305 cases/168,253 controls). We first performed drug-target MR analyses substantiated by colocalization to investigate the effects of plasma LDL-cholesterol lowering therapies on gallstone disease risk. We then performed clustered MR analyses and pathway analyses to identify distinct mechanisms underlying the association of plasma LDL-cholesterol with gallstone disease risk. For a 1-standard deviation reduction in plasma LDL-cholesterol, genetic mimics of statins were associated with lower gallstone disease risk (odds ratio 0.72 [95% confidence interval 0.62, 0.83]), but genetic mimics of PCSK9 inhibitors and targeting apolipoprotein B were associated with higher risk (1.11 [1.03, 1.19] and 1.23 [1.13, 1.35]). The association for statins was supported by colocalization (posterior probability 98.7%). Clustered MR analyses identified variant clusters showing opposing associations of plasma LDL-cholesterol with gallstone disease risk, with some evidence for ancestry-and sex-specific associations. Among variants lowering plasma LDL-cholesterol, those associated with lower gallstone disease risk were mapped to glycosphingolipid biosynthesis pathway, while those associated with higher risk were mapped to pathways relating to plasma lipoprotein assembly, remodelling, and clearance and ATP-binding cassette transporters. This MR study provides genetic evidence that different plasma LDL-cholesterol lowering pathways have opposing effects on gallstone disease risk.


Subject(s)
Cholesterol, LDL , Gallstones , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Humans , Cholesterol, LDL/blood , Gallstones/genetics , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Biological Specimen Banks , Japan/epidemiology , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Aged , Anticholesteremic Agents/therapeutic use
10.
Transl Psychiatry ; 14(1): 274, 2024 Jul 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38965219

ABSTRACT

Vitamin D deficiency has been linked to various chronic pain conditions. However, randomized trials of vitamin D supplementation have had mixed results. In contrast, systematic reviews of randomized trials indicate a protective effect of vitamin D supplementation on depression. We undertake a Mendelian randomization investigation in UK Biobank, a study of UK residents aged 40-65 at recruitment. We perform linear and non-linear Mendelian randomization analyses for four outcomes: fibromyalgia, clinical fatigue, chronic widespread pain, and probable lifetime major depression. We use genetic variants from four gene regions with known links to vitamin D biology as instruments. In linear analyses, genetically-predicted levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], a clinical marker of vitamin D status, were not associated with fibromyalgia (odds ratio [OR] per 10 nmol/L higher 25(OH)D 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93, 1.12), clinical fatigue (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.94, 1.05), chronic widespread pain (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.89, 1.02), or probable lifetime major depression (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.93, 1.01). In non-linear analyses, an association was observed between genetically-predicted 25(OH)D levels and depression in the quintile of the population with the lowest 25(OH)D levels (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.59, 0.94); associations were null in other strata. Our findings suggest that population-wide vitamin D supplementation will not substantially reduce pain or depression; however, targeted supplementation of deficient individuals may reduce risk of depression.


Subject(s)
Chronic Pain , Depressive Disorder, Major , Fibromyalgia , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Vitamin D Deficiency , Vitamin D , Humans , Vitamin D/blood , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Chronic Pain/genetics , Middle Aged , Fibromyalgia/genetics , Female , Male , Adult , Aged , Vitamin D Deficiency/genetics , Vitamin D Deficiency/epidemiology , Depressive Disorder, Major/genetics , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Fatigue/genetics , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
11.
Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci ; 65(8): 35, 2024 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39028976

ABSTRACT

Purpose: To investigate the causal effect of elevated blood pressure on primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) and POAG endophenotypes. Methods: Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was performed to investigate the causal effect of elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP) (N = 757,601) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (N = 757,601) on intraocular pressure (IOP) (N = 139,555), macular retinal nerve fiber layer (mRNFL) thickness (N = 33,129), ganglion cell complex (GCC) thickness (N = 33,129), vertical cup-to-disc ratio (VCDR) (N = 111,724), and POAG liability (Ncases = 16,677, Ncontrols = 199,580). The primary analysis was conducted using the inverse-variance weighted approach. Sensitivity analyses were performed to investigate robustness to horizontal pleiotropy, winner's curse, and collider bias. Multivariable MR was performed to investigate whether any effect of blood pressure on retinal ganglion cell degeneration was mediated through increased IOP. Results: Increased genetically predicted SBP and DBP associated with an increase in IOP (0.17 mm Hg [95% CI = 0.11 to 0.24] per 10 mm Hg higher SBP, P = 5.18 × 10-7, and 0.17 mm Hg [95% CI = 0.05 to 0.28 mm Hg] per 10 mm Hg higher DBP, P = 0.004). Increased genetically predicted SBP associated with a thinner GCC (0.04 µm [95% CI = -0.07 to -0.01 µm], P = 0.018) and a thinner mRNFL (0.04 µm [95% CI = -0.07 to -0.01 µm], P = 0.004), an effect that arises independently of IOP according to our mediation analysis. Neither SBP nor DBP associated with VCDR or POAG liability. Conclusions: These findings support a causal effect of elevated blood pressure on retinal ganglion cell degeneration that does not require intermediary changes in IOP. Targeted blood pressure control may help preserve vision by lowering IOP and, independently, by preventing retinal ganglion cell degeneration, including in individuals with a normal IOP.


Subject(s)
Blood Pressure , Glaucoma, Open-Angle , Intraocular Pressure , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Retinal Ganglion Cells , Intraocular Pressure/physiology , Retinal Ganglion Cells/pathology , Humans , Glaucoma, Open-Angle/genetics , Glaucoma, Open-Angle/physiopathology , Blood Pressure/physiology , Nerve Fibers/pathology , Retinal Degeneration/genetics , Retinal Degeneration/physiopathology , Male , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Female
12.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 31(Suppl 1)2024 Jun 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38989054

ABSTRACT

Background: The prevalence of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) and incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) is higher in women than in men. Although several cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors have been related to the risk of IAs or aSAH, it is unclear whether there are sex differences in causal relationships of these risk factors. Aims: The aim of this study was to determine sex differences in causal relationships between cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors and risk of aSAH and IA. Methods: We conducted a sex-specific two-sample Mendelian randomisation study using summary-level data from genome-wide association studies. We analysed low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C], triglycerides, non-HDL-C, total cholesterol, fasting glucose, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, smoking initiation, and alcohol use as exposures, and aSAH and IA (i.e., aSAH and unruptured IA combined) as outcomes. Results: We found statistically significant sex differences in the relationship between genetically proxied non-HDL-C and aSAH risk, with odds ratios (ORs) of 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.58, 0.88) in women and 1.01 (0.77, 1.31) in men (P-value for sex difference 0.044). Moreover, genetic liability to smoking initiation was related to a statistically significantly higher risk of aSAH in men compared to women (P-value for sex difference 0.007) with ORs of 3.81 (1.93, 7.52) and 1.12 (0.63, 1.99), respectively, and to a statistically significantly higher IA risk in men compared to women (P-value for sex difference 0.036) with ORs of 3.58 (2.04, 6.27) and 1.61 (0.98, 2.64), respectively. In addition, higher genetically proxied systolic and diastolic blood pressure were related to a higher risk of aSAH and IA in both women and men. Conclusions: Higher genetically proxied non-HDL-C was related to a lower risk of aSAH in women compared to men. Moreover, genetic liability to smoking initiation was associated with a higher risk for aSAH and IA in men compared to women. These findings may help improve understanding of sex differences in the development of aSAH and IA.


Subject(s)
Genome-Wide Association Study , Intracranial Aneurysm , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/genetics , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/blood , Female , Male , Intracranial Aneurysm/genetics , Intracranial Aneurysm/epidemiology , Sex Factors , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Incidence , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Health Status Disparities , Prevalence
13.
Eur Stroke J ; : 23969873241265224, 2024 Jul 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39081091

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) and incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) is higher in women than in men. Although several cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors have been related to the risk of IAs or aSAH, it is unclear whether there are sex differences in causal relationships of these risk factors. AIMS: The aim of this study was to determine sex differences in causal relationships between cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors and risk of aSAH and IA. METHODS: We conducted a sex-specific two-sample Mendelian randomization study using summary-level data from genome-wide association studies. We analysed low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C], triglycerides, non-HDL-C, total cholesterol, fasting glucose, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, smoking initiation, and alcohol use as exposures, and aSAH and IA (i.e. aSAH and unruptured IA combined) as outcomes. RESULTS: We found statistically significant sex differences in the relationship between genetically proxied non-HDL-C and aSAH risk, with odds ratios (ORs) of 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.58, 0.88) in women and 1.01 (0.77, 1.31) in men (p-value for sex difference 0.044). Moreover, genetic liability to smoking initiation was related to a statistically significantly higher risk of aSAH in men compared to women (p-value for sex difference 0.007) with ORs of 3.81 (1.93, 7.52) and 1.12 (0.63, 1.99), respectively, and to a statistically significantly higher IA risk in men compared to women (p-value for sex difference 0.036) with ORs of 3.58 (2.04, 6.27) and 1.61 (0.98, 2.64), respectively. In addition, higher genetically proxied systolic and diastolic blood pressure were related to a higher risk of aSAH and IA in both women and men. CONCLUSIONS: Higher genetically proxied non-HDL-C was related to a lower risk of aSAH in women compared to men. Moreover, genetic liability to smoking initiation was associated with a higher risk for aSAH and IA in men compared to women. These findings may help improve understanding of sex differences in the development of aSAH and IA.

14.
Am J Epidemiol ; 2024 Jun 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38904434

ABSTRACT

Mendelian randomization is an epidemiological technique that can explore the potential effect of perturbing a pharmacological target. Plasma caffeine levels can be used as a biomarker to measure the pharmacological effects of caffeine. Alternatively, this can be assessed using a behavioral proxy, such as average number of caffeinated drinks consumed per day. Either variable can be used as the exposure in a Mendelian randomization investigation, and to select which genetic variants to use as instrumental variables. Another possibility is to choose variants in gene regions with known biological relevance to caffeine level regulation. These choices affect the causal question that is being addressed by the analysis, and the validity of the analysis assumptions. Further, even when using the same genetic variants, the sign of Mendelian randomization estimates (positive or negative) can change depending on the choice of exposure. Some genetic variants that decrease caffeine metabolism associate with higher levels of plasma caffeine, but lower levels of caffeine consumption, as individuals with these variants require less caffeine consumption for the same physiological effect. We explore Mendelian randomization estimates for the effect of caffeine on body mass index, and discuss implications for variant and exposure choice in drug target Mendelian randomization investigations.

15.
Hum Reprod Open ; 2024(3): hoae033, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38911051

ABSTRACT

STUDY QUESTION: Are cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors causally associated with higher risk of infertility among women and men? SUMMARY ANSWER: We found evidence to support a causal relationship between smoking initiation and history of infertility in women. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Several CVD risk factors are associated with history of infertility. Previous studies using Mendelian randomization (MR) further support a causal relationship between BMI and infertility in women. STUDY DESIGN SIZE DURATION: We used data from the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) in Norway, a prospective population-based cohort study, including 26 811 women and 15 598 men participating in three survey collections in 1995-1997 (HUNT2), 2006-2008 (HUNT3), and 2017-2019 (HUNT4). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS SETTING METHODS: Our outcome was women's self-reported history of infertility, defined as ever having tried to conceive for 12 months or more or having used ART. We assigned the history of infertility reported by women to their male partners; therefore, the measure of infertility was on the couple level. We used both conventional multivariable analyses and one-sample MR analyses to evaluate the association between female and male CVD risk factors (including BMI, blood pressure, lipid profile measurements, and smoking behaviours) and history of infertility in women and men, separately. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: A total of 4702 women (18%) and 2508 men (16%) were classified with a history of infertility. We found a higher risk of infertility among female smokers compared to non-smokers in both multivariable and MR analyses (odds ratio (OR) in multivariable analysis, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.12-1.28; OR in MR analysis, 1.13; CI, 1.02-1.26), and potentially for higher BMI (OR in multivariable analysis, 1.13; CI, 1.09-1.18; OR in MR analysis, 1.11, CI, 0.92-1.34). In multivariable analysis in women, we also found evidence of associations between triglyceride levels, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, lifetime smoking index, and smoking intensity with higher risk of infertility. However, these results were not consistent in MR analyses. We found no robust or consistent associations between male CVD risk factors and infertility. LIMITATIONS REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our main limitation was that the CVD risk factors measured might not adequately capture the relevant time periods for when couples were trying to conceive. Additionally, we did not have information on causes of infertility in either women or men. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Women with infertility could have a worse CVD risk factor profile and thus public health interventions aimed at reducing the impact of some CVD risk factors, such as smoking and BMI, could reduce the burden of infertility. However, additional MR studies of the relationship between CVD risk factors and infertility with a larger sample size would be of value. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: The study was supported by a grant from the European Research Council under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreements no. 947684). This research was also supported by the Research Council of Norway through its Centres of Excellence funding scheme (project no. 262700) and partly funded by the Research Council of Norway, project: Women's fertility-an essential component of health and well-being (project no. 320656). D.A.L. and A.F. work in a unit that is supported by the University of Bristol and the UK Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00011/6). D.A.L.'s contribution to the article is supported by the European Research Council (101021566), the British Heart Foundation (CH/F/20/90003 and AA/18/7/34219). S.B.'s contribution to the article is supported by the Wellcome Trust (225790/Z/22/Z). B.M.B. is funded by The Liaison Committee for education, research and innovation in Central Norway; and the Joint Research Committee between St. Olavs Hospital and the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU. The genotyping in HUNT was financed by the National Institute of Health (NIH); University of Michigan; The Research Council of Norway; The Liaison Committee for education, research and innovation in Central Norway; and the Joint Research Committee between St. Olavs Hospital and the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU. None of the funding organizations influenced the study design, reporting, or interpretation of results. The views expressed in the present article are those of the authors and not necessarily any acknowledged funding organization. D.A.L. reports grants from Medtronic Ltd and Roche Diagnostics outside the submitted work. The other authors have no conflicts of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

17.
medRxiv ; 2024 Sep 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38798608

ABSTRACT

The authors have withdrawn their manuscript due to analytical errors invalidating the main study findings. The authors of this work discovered the errors after submitting the initial version of the preprint. Therefore, the authors do not wish this work to be cited as reference for the project. If you have any questions, please contact the corresponding author.

20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38788669

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) is an age-related inflammatory disease of unknown cause. We aimed to identify potentially modifiable risk factors and therapeutic targets for preventing or treating PMR. METHODS: We meta-analysed genetic association data from 8,156 cases of PMR (defined using diagnostic codes and self-report) and 416,495 controls of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and FinnGen. We then performed Mendelian randomization analyses to estimate the association between eight modifiable risk factors (using data from up to 1.2 million individuals) and 65 inflammation-related circulating proteins (up to 55,792 individuals), using the inverse variance weighted and pleiotropy robust methods. RESULTS: We identified three novel genome-wide significant loci in the IL1R1, NEK6 and CCDC88B genes and confirmation of previously described associations with HLA-DRB1 and ANKRD55. Genetically predicted smoking intensity (OR 1.32; 95%CI 1.08-1.60; p = 0.006) and visceral adiposity (OR 1.22; 95%CI 1.10-1.37; p = 3.10x10-4) were associated with PMR susceptibility. Multiple circulating proteins related to IL-1 family signaling were associated with PMR. IL-1 receptor-like 2, also known as IL-36 receptor (OR 1.25; p = 1.89x10-32), serum amyloid A2 (OR 1.06, 9.91x10-10) and CXCL6 (OR 1.09, p = 4.85x10-7) retained significance after correction for multiple testing. CONCLUSION: Reducing smoking and visceral adiposity at a population level might reduce incidence of PMR. We identified proteins that may play causal roles in PMR, potentially suggesting new therapeutic opportunities. Further research is needed before these findings are applied to clinical practice.

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