Germline testing and genetic counseling in biliary tract cancer: an operative proposal to improve the state of art.

INTRODUCTION: A genetic predisposition seems to be involved in biliary tract cancer, but the prevalence of germline mutations in BTC remains unclear, and the therapeutic role of the germline pathologic variants is still unknown. AREA COVERED: The aim of the present work is to systematically review the data available on the hereditary predisposition of biliary tract cancer by a specific research on PubMed, in order to highlight the most important critical points and to define the current possible role of germinal testing and genetic counseling in this setting of patients. EXPERT OPINION: Basing on data already available, we decided to start in our institution a specific genetic protocol focused on biliary tract cancer patients, which includes genetic counseling and, if indicated, germline test. The inclusion criteria are: 1) Patient with personal history of oncologic disease other than BTC, 2) Patient with familiar history of oncologic disease (considering relatives of first and second grade), 3) Patient with ≤ 50 years old, 4) Patient presenting a somatic mutation in genes involved in DNA damage repair pathways and mismatch repair. The aim of the presented protocol is to identify germline pathogenic variants with prophylactic and therapeutic impact, and to collect and integrate a significant amount of clinical, familial, somatic, and genetic data.

Updated survival outcomes with ivosidenib in patients with previously treated IDH1-mutated intrahepatic-cholangiocarcinoma: an Italian real-world experience.

Background: The results of the phase III ClarIDHy trial led to the FDA approval of ivosidenib as a therapeutic option for patients with locally advanced or metastatic cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) harboring isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (IDH1) mutations. We recently published the first data on the use of ivosidenib in a real-world setting. Objective: Here we report the updated survival results of 11 patients with locally advanced or metastatic IDH1-mutated CCA who received ivosidenib in clinical practice. Patients and methods: Patients treated with ivosidenib as second- and third-line treatments for advanced CCA have been collected with the aim to evaluate the survival outcomes. A molecular study has been performed by next generation sequencing essay. Results: Overall, 11 patients were included. After a median follow-up of 13.7 months, median progression-free survival from the start of treatment with ivosidenib was 4.4 months (95% CI: 2.0-5.8), whereas median overall survival was 15 months (95% CI: 6.6-15.0) regardless of treatment line. Disease control rate was 63%, with two patients achieving a partial response (18%). Eighteen percent of patients experienced at least one treatment-related adverse events (AEs), but no grade ⩾3 was reported. The most frequently observed grade 2 AEs were prolonged QT interval and hypomagnesemia. A molecular profiling was performed on 8 out of 11 patients, highlighting TP53, BAP1, CDKN2A, and CDKN2B as the most common co-altered genes in these patients. Conclusion: The present update confirms the results of our previous real-world experience on the use of ivosidenib in IDH1-mutated CCA. Real-world evidence on larger numbers of patients is needed to confirm our findings.

Past, present, and future of FGFR inhibitors in cholangiocarcinoma: from biological mechanisms to clinical applications.

INTRODUCTION: Biliary tract carcinoma (BTC) is a heterogenous group of aggressive hepatic malignancies, second to hepatocellular carcinoma per prevalence. Despite clinical research advancement, the overall 5-year survival rate is just above 2%. With the identification of somatic core mutations in half of cholangiocarcinomas. In the intrahepatic subtype (iCCA), it is possible to target mutational pathways of pharmacological interest. AREAS COVERED: Major attention has been drawn to fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR), especially the type 2 (FGFR2), found mutated in 10-15% of iCCAs. FGFR2 fusions became the target of novel tyrosine-kinase inhibitors investigated in clinical studies, showing promising results so as to gain regulatory approval by American and European committees in recent years. Such drugs demonstrated a better impact on the quality of life compared to standard chemotherapy; however, side effects including hyperphosphatemia, gastrointestinal, eye, and nail disorders are common although mostly manageable. EXPERT OPINION: As FGFR inhibitors may soon become the new alternative to standard chemotherapy in FGFR-mutated cholangiocarcinoma, accurate molecular testing and monitoring of acquired resistance mechanisms will be essential. The possible application of FGFR inhibitors in first-line treatment, as well as in combination with current standard treatments, remains the next step to be taken.

Clinical Outcomes After Progression on First-Line Therapies in IDH1 Mutated Versus Wild-Type Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Patients.

BACKGROUND: Isocitrate dehydrogenase-1 (IDH1) mutations occur in a significant proportion of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas (iCCAs). No data are available regarding the prognostic impact of IDH1 mutations in advanced iCCA patients after progression on first-line therapies. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the role of IDH1 mutation in advanced iCCA after progression on first-line therapies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: After progression on first-line therapies for advanced iCCA, consecutive patients were retrospectively collected. The IDH1 status was tested at baseline. This analysis aimed to examine the association between the presence of IDH1 missense mutations and survival outcomes in patients with advanced iCCA treated with a second-line therapy. RESULTS: The analysis included 119 patients; 56/119 (47%) were IDH1 mutated (IDH1m) and 63/119 (53%) were IDH1 wild type (IDH1 WT). At univariate analysis for overall survival (OS), the presence of IDH1 mutation was associated with a worse median OS (mOS; 8.2 vs. 14.1 months; hazard ratio [HR] 1.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-3.0, p = 0.0047). Patients harboring IDH1 mutations showed a worse objective response rate (ORR) compared with patients without IDH1 mutation, whereas no significant differences in disease control rate (DCR) were found. Multivariate analysis confirmed IDH1 mutations as an independent negative prognostic factor for OS (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.1-2.7, p = 0.0256). By evaluating only patients receiving FOLFOX as second-line therapy, no statistically significant differences were found in terms of both OS and PFS between IDH1m and IDH1 WT patients. In this subset of patients, those harboring an IDH1 mutation showed a worse ORR and DCR compared with those without. Finally, at univariate analysis for OS from third-line treatment, the presence of an IDH1 mutation was associated with a trend toward a worse mOS (6.0 vs. 11.9 months; HR 1.6, 95% CI 0.8-3.2, p = 0.25). CONCLUSION: The present analysis constitutes the first evidence of a negative prognostic impact of IDH1 mutations in a cohort of patients treated after progression on first-line therapies in contrast to IDH1 inhibitors.

Five years of lenvatinib in hepatocellular carcinoma: are there any predictive and/or prognostic factors?

INTRODUCTION: Lenvatinib was the first drug approved in 2017 for first-line treatment of hepatocarcinoma (HCC) after 10 years of Sorafenib as exclusive standard of care. The therapeutic armamentarium has recently expanded following the approval of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. AREAS COVERED: Numerous studies have been conducted during the past 5 years on Lenvatinib use in real-world settings in an effort to determine prognostic and predictive factors of Lenvatinib efficacy. In order to choose the most effective therapeutic approach, it may be helpful to summarize these results in this review. EXPERT OPINION: A subgroup that appears to benefit most from Lenvatinib therapy are patients with non-viral cirrhosis. This aspect is of great importance today considering the increase in NASH prevalence. Also, a significant proportion of BCLC B patients appear to respond well to Lenvatinib therapy. The biological heterogeneity highlighted in HCC patients, along with the growing number of therapeutic options, makes the identification of stratification tools able to define which patients are more likely to respond to a treatment rather than another one of crucial interest. Further investigation deepening the biological pathways underlying HCC carcinogenesis are of particular interest in order to pave the way for precision medicine even for HCC patients.

Retrospective Evaluation and Significance of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Prior to and 1 month Following Microwave Ablation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) recently demonstrated predictive value for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after thermal ablation. Microwave ablation (MWA) has been shown to induce changes in the immune landscape after HCC treatment. This study aims at identifying predictors of local tumor progression (LTP) and post-treatment NLR kinetics after MWA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from 108 consecutive patients who underwent percutaneous MWA of 119 HCCs with a 2450 Hz/100 W generator in two institutions from October 2014 to September 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Forty-five HCCs (42 patients) met inclusion criteria for analysis (technique efficacy, pre- and post-treatment NLR availability, follow-up > 6 months, absence of complications). NLR was analyzed prior to therapy and at 1-month follow-up; difference between the two time points was defined as ΔNLR1stFU. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 25 months, LTP occurred in 18 HCCs (40%) and 18 patients (42.9%). Multivariate competing risk regression comprising ΔNLR1stFU > 0, cirrhosis etiology and subcapsular location showed that the only independent predictor of LTP was ΔNLR1stFU > 0, on both a per-patient (HR = 2.7, p = 0.049) and per-tumor (HR = 2.8, p = 0.047) analysis. ΔNLR1stFU > 0 occurred in 24/42 patients (57.1%). In this subgroup, higher rates of female patients (p = 0.026), higher mean baseline NLR (p < 0.0001) and lower mean energy/size (p = 0.006) were observed. Upon ROC curve analysis, energy/size < 1414 J/mm predicted ΔNLR1stFU > 0 with 76% sensitivity and 70% specificity (AUC = 0.74). CONCLUSION: NLR increase after ablation was the only independent predictor of LTP, supporting the role of balance between systemic inflammation and immunity in recurrence after MWA. Ablation energy/tumor size predicted NLR increase, reinforcing the concept of immune ablation. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

The beneficial impact of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease on lenvatinib treatment in patients with non-viral hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: Lenvatinib is used to treat advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is becoming a major etiology of HCC. We aimed to evaluate the impact of MAFLD on the efficacy of lenvatinib. METHODS: We enrolled 320 patients with HCC who were treated with lenvatinib. All patients were classified into the MAFLD (n = 155) and non-MAFLD (n = 165) groups. Independent factors for overall survival (OS) were analyzed. In the stratification analysis, HCC was categorized as non-viral (n = 115) or viral HCC (n = 205). RESULTS: The OS rate was significantly higher in the MAFLD group than in the non-MAFLD group (median 21.1 vs. 15.1 months, p = 0.002). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that, in addition to albumin-bilirubin grade and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, MAFLD was identified as an independent factor for OS (HR 0.722, 95% CI 0.539-0.966, p = 0.028). In the stratification analysis, the OS rate was significantly higher in the MAFLD group than in the non-MAFLD group among patients with non-viral HCC (median 21.1 vs. 15.1 months, p = 0.002), but not in patients with viral HCC. Furthermore, MAFLD was an independent negative risk factor for OS in patients with non-viral HCC (HR 0.506, 95% CI 0.297-0.864, P < 0.01). However, MAFLD was not an independent factor for OS in patients with viral HCC. CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD was a beneficial factor for survival in patients with HCC treated with lenvatinib. Moreover, the better OS of the MAFLD group was more pronounced in patients with non-viral HCC. Lenvatinib may be a suitable agent for patients with non-viral HCC and MAFLD.

Molecular profile and its clinical impact of IDH1 mutated versus IDH1 wild type intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

IDH1-mutated cholangiocarcinomas (CCAs) are an interesting group of neoplasia with particular behavior and therapeutic implications. The aim of the present work is to highlight the differences characterizing IDH1m and IDH1wt CCAs in terms of genomic landscape. 284 patients with iCCA treated for resectable, locally advanced or metastatic disease were selected and studied with the FOUNDATION Cdx technology. A comparative genomic analysis and survival analyses for the most relevant altered genes were performed between IDH1m and IDH1wt patients. Overall, 125 patients were IDH1m and 122 IDH1wt. IDH1m patients showed higher mutation rates compared to IDH1wt in CDKN2B and lower mutation rates in several genes including TP53, FGFR2, BRCA2, ATM, MAP3K1, NOTCH2, ZNF703, CCND1, NBN, NF1, MAP3KI3, and RAD21. At the survival analysis, IDH1m and IDH1wt patients showed no statistically differences in terms of survival outcomes, but a trend in favor of IDH1wt patients was observed. Differences in prognostic values of the most common altered genes were reported. In surgical setting, in IDH1m group the presence of CDKN2A and CDKN2B mutations negatively impact DFS, whereas the presence of CDKN2A, CDKN2B, and PBRM1 mutations negatively impact OS. In advanced setting, in the IDH1m group, the presence of KRAS/NRAS and TP53 mutations negatively impact PFS, whereas the presence of TP53 and PIK3CA mutations negatively impact OS; in the IDH1wt group, only the presence of MTAP mutation negatively impact PFS, whereas the presence of TP53 mutation negatively impact OS. We highlighted several molecular differences with distinct prognostic implications between IDH1m and IDH1wt patients.

Next-generation sequencing analysis of cholangiocarcinoma identifies distinct IDH1-mutated clusters.

BACKGROUND: IDH1-mutated intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas (IDH1m iCCAs) could be treated with anti-IDH1 drugs, although the high heterogeneity in this class of tumours could limit treatment efficacy. METHODS: We selected 125 IDH1m iCCAs that were treated as resectable, locally advanced, or metastatic and were screened by the NGS-based FoundationOne gene panel. We conducted a mutation-based clustering of tumours and survival analysis. RESULTS: Three main clusters were identified. The most altered pathways in cluster 1 were cell cycle and apoptosis, RTK/RAS, PI3K, and chromatin modification. Of note, CDKN2A/2B were mutated in 41/44 patients of this cluster. In cluster 2, the most affected pathways were as follows: Chromatin modification, DNA damage control, PI3K, and RTK/RAS. In this cluster, the most frequently mutated genes were ARID1A and PBRM1. The most altered pathways in cluster 3 were as follows: Cell cycle and apoptosis, DNA damage control, TP53, and chromatin modification. Importantly, TP53 was mutated only in cluster 3 patients. In the cohort of patients treated with surgery, cluster 2 showed statistically significant better disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with patients in cluster 3 and cluster 1 (p = 0.0014 and p = 0.0003, respectively). In the advanced setting, cluster 2 experienced a statistically significant better PFS (p = 0.0012), a tendency toward a better OS from first-line treatment, and a better OS from first-line progression compared with patients in cluster 1 and cluster 3 (p = 0.0017). We proposed an easy-to-use algorithm able to stratify patients in the three clusters on the basis of the genomic profile. CONCLUSION: We highlighted three different mutation-based clusters with prognostic significance in a cohort of IDH1m iCCAs.

Real-World Data on Ivosidenib in Patients with Previously Treated Isocitrate Dehydrogenase 1-Mutated Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinomas: An Early Exploratory Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The results of the phase III ClarIDHy trial have led to US FDA approval of ivosidenib as a therapeutic option for patients with locally advanced or metastatic cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) harboring isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (IDH1) mutations. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we report the first real-world experience including eight patients with previously treated locally advanced or metastatic IDH1-mutated CCA treated with ivosidenib. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients treated with ivosidenib as second and third line for advanced CCA were collected with the aim of evaluating the survival outcomes. A molecular study has been performed by next-generation sequencing assay. RESULTS: After a median follow up of 9.4 months, median progression-free survival (PFS) from the start of treatment with ivosidenib was 4.4 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.3-5.8), whereas median overall survival (OS) was not reached. The disease control rate was 62.5%, with two patients achieving a partial response (25%); 12.5% of patients experienced a treatment-related adverse event (AE), but no grade 3 or higher AEs were reported. The observed grade 2 AEs were prolonged QT interval and hypomagnesemia (25% of the sample). Molecular profiling was performed on six of eight patients, highlighting TP53, BAP1, CDKN2A and CDKN2B as the most common co-altered genes in these patients. CONCLUSION: Efficacy outcomes were consistent with those reported in the ClarIDHy trial. Real-world experiences on larger samples are needed in order to confirm our results.

Validation of the easy-to-use lenvatinib prognostic index to predict prognosis in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with lenvatinib.

AIM: The identification of new prognostic factors able to stratify hepatocellular carcinoma patients candidate to first-line therapy is urgent. In the present work we validated the prognostic value of the lenvatinib prognostic index. METHODS: Data of Eastern and Western patients treated with lenvatinib as first-line for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B or C hepatocellular carcinoma were recollected. The lenvatinib prognostic index was composed by three classes of risk according with our previous study. The "low risk" group includes patients with prognostic nutritional index (PNI) >43.3 and with previous transarterial chemoembolization. The "medium risk" group includes patients with PNI >43.3, but without previous transarterial chemoembolization and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B. The "high risk" group includes patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 2, and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C. RESULTS: A total of 717 patients were included. The median overall survival was 20.7 months (95% CI 16.1-51.6) in patients with low risk (n = 223), 16.7 months (95% CI 13.3-47.0) in patients with medium risk (n = 264), and 10.7 months (95% CI 9.3-12.2) in patients with high risk (n = 230; HR 1, 1.29, and 1.92, respectively; p < 0.0001). Median progression-free survival was 7.3 months (95% CI 6.3-46.5) in patients with low risk, 6.4 months (95% CI 5.3-8.0) in patients with medium risk ,and 4.9 months (95% CI 4.3-5.5) in patients with high risk (HR 1, 1.07, 1.47 respectively; p = 0.0009). CONCLUSION: The lenvatinib prognostic index confirms its prognostic value on an external cohort of hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with Lenvatinib.

Platinum sensitivity in patients with IDH1/2 mutated vs wild-type intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: A propensity score-based study.

Isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)1/2 mutations are the most frequent druggable alterations in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA), reported in ~20% of cases. Preclinical evidence indicates that these mutations are associated with homologous recombination deficiency (HRD), which could be exploited as a target for platinum chemotherapy (ChT) and PARP inhibitors. However, the role of IDH1/2 mutations as surrogate biomarkers for platinum efficacy is unknown. We conducted a multicenter, propensity score-matched analysis to investigate the impact of IDH1/2 mutations on progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) in patients with iCCA treated with platinum-based ChT. An exploratory comparison of complex HRD estimates between IDH1/2 mutated and wild-type tumors from TCGA was also performed. A total of 120 cases were matched in a 1:1 ratio (60 IDH1/2 mutant and 60 wild-type). No differences were observed for platinum-based PFS (7.7 vs 7.3 months, P = .970), DCR (66.1% vs 74.1%, P = .361) and ORR (27.8% vs 25.0%, P = .741). IDH1/2 mutations showed mutual exclusivity with genomic alterations in ATM, BRCA2, MST1R, NF1, FGFR2 and CDKN2A/B losses, respectively, with no clear survival and response differences. Among TCGA tumors, IDH1/2 mutated CCA did not show higher HRD compared to wild-type cases. IDH1/2 mutations are not associated with increased sensitivity to platinum-based ChT in iCCA patients. Deeper genomic sequencing is needed to elucidate the HRD phenotype in IDH1/2 mutant iCCA and exploit its therapeutic vulnerabilities.

Gene mutational profile of BRCAness and clinical implication in predicting response to platinum-based chemotherapy in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Biliary tract cancers are rare malignancies with a poor prognosis and scarce therapeutic strategies. The significance of BRCAness in this setting is already unknown. METHOD: Tissue specimens of BTC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy have been analyzed through the FOUNDATIONPne assay. RESULTS: 72/150 (48%) BRCAness mutated and 78/150 (52.0%) wild type (WT) patients were included. The most commonly mutated genes in the BRCAness mutated group were: ARID1A (N = 32, 44%), CDKN2A (N = 23, 32%), KRAS/NRAS (N = 16, 22%), CDKN2B (N = 13, 18%), BRCA2 (N = 13, 18%), PBRM1 (N = 12, 17%), ATM (N = 11, 15%), FGFR2 (N = 10, 14%), TP53 (N = 8, 11%), IRS2 (N = 7, 10%), CREBBP (N = 7, 10%) (table 3, figure 1). At the univariate analysis BRCAness mutation was associated with longer median Progression Free Survival (mPFS) (HR 0.68; 95% CI 0.49-0.95; p = 0.0254); it was not associated with longer mOS but a trend toward a benefit in survival was found (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.50-1.19; p = 0.2388). Patients with BRCAness mutation showed a higher percentage of disease control rate (77.8 vs 67.9; p = 0.04) compared to patients WT. Multivariate analysis confirmed BRCAness mutation (HR 0.66; 95% CI: 0.45-0.98; p = 0.0422) as independent favorable prognostic factors for PFS and a positive trend was found for OS (HR 0.84; 95% CI: 0.53-1.33; p = 0.3652). CONCLUSION: BRCAness BTC patients showed a better PFS compared BRCAnessWT patients after exposure to platinum-based chemotherapy. Moreover, the OS curves' trend showed in our analysis suggests that BRCAness mutated patients could benefit from a maintenance therapy with PARPi.

Why does survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients remain so low? Key stumbling blocks and questions in preclinical and clinical development.

INTRODUCTION: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a complex disease, which involves diverse molecular pathways and etiologies. In recent years, several new systemic treatments have improved survival in advanced stage disease, but numerous significant challenges remain. No significant improvements have been achieved in the intermediate stage disease; this may be attributed to the difficulties in stratification of patients and the broad spectrum of clinical situations in terms of tumor burden and liver function. AREAS COVERED: This article considers the recent progress in first- and second-line therapy for advanced HCC. Investigational strategies conducted in intermediate stage HCC, which involve mainly combination therapy with locoregional approaches, and systemic drugs, antiangiogenics, immunotherapies (or both) are then examined. Later, the paper offers insights on the questions and challenges that lie ahead for treating HCC. EXPERT OPINION: Clinical and biomolecular markers for the stratification of patients are needed for therapeutic progress. Further molecular profiling data could enhance our knowledge of the molecular pathways underlying this tumor and facilitate the identification of targetable aberrations. This could offer opportunities for precision medicine approaches and improved survival.

Risk-adjusted analysis of survival variability among hospitals treating biliary malignancy.

Biliary tract cancer's (BTC) treatment main stone for advanced stages is constituted by chemotherapy. Surgical centralization and physicians' confidence in the use of new technologies and molecular analysis turned out to be of interest and potentially influencing survival. After applying a random-effect model, the relationship between each clinical variable on the main outcome was investigated through multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression. The risk-standardized outcomes were calculated for each centre involved. In the unadjusted cohort the median survival was 8.6 months (95%C.I.: 7.8-9.3) with a 9-month survival rate of 48.3% (95%C.I.: 45.0-51.5). A substantial heterogeneity across hospitals was found (I2: 70.3%). In multilevel mixed effect logistic regression, male, being treated for gallbladder cancer, higher ECOG, increased NLR, CEA and Ca 19.9 and low value of haemoglobin showed to increase the odds for 9-month mortality. The model estimated that the residual variance observed in 9-month mortality was attributable for the 2.6% to the treating hospital. Through a multilevel mixed effect model, average risk-standardized mortality within 9 months was 50.1%. As noticeable, all hospital's risk-standardized mortality falls within 95%C.I., thus all participating centres provided similar outcomes when adjusted for patient case-mix. Heterogenicity between hospital did not affect the outcome in term of overall survival.

Real Life Study of Lenvatinib Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: RELEVANT Study.

Introduction: In the REFLECT trial, lenvatinib was found to be noninferior compared to sorafenib in terms of overall survival. Here, we analyze the effects of lenvatinib in the real-life experience of several centers across the world and identify clinical factors that could be significantly associated with survival outcomes. Methods: The study population was derived from retrospectively collected data of HCC patients treated with lenvatinib. The overall cohort included western and eastern populations from 23 center in five countries. Results: We included 1,325 patients with HCC and treated with lenvatinib in our analysis. Median OS was 16.1 months. Overall response rate was 38.5%. Multivariate analysis for OS highlighted that HBsAg positive, NLR >3, and AST >38 were independently associated with poor prognosis in all models. Conversely, NAFLD/NASH-related etiology was independently associated with good prognosis. Median progression-free survival was 6.3 months. Multivariate analysis for progression-free survival revealed that NAFLD/NASH, BCLC, NLR, and AST were independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival. A proportion of 75.2% of patients suffered from at least one adverse effect during the study period. Multivariate analysis exhibited the appearance of decreased appetite grade ≥2 versus grade 0-1 as an independent prognostic factor for worse progression-free survival. 924 patients of 1,325 progressed during lenvatinib (69.7%), and 827 of them had a follow-up over 2 months from the beginning of second-line treatment. From first-line therapy, the longest median OS was obtained with the sequence lenvatinib and immunotherapy (47.0 months), followed by TACE (24.7 months), ramucirumab (21.2 months), sorafenib (15.7 months), regorafenib (12.7 months), and best supportive care (10.8 months). Conclusions: Our study confirms in a large and global population of patients with advanced HCC, not candidates for locoregional treatment the OS reported in the registration study and a high response rate with lenvatinib.

Role of circulating microRNAs to predict hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence in patients treated with radiofrequency ablation or surgery.

BACKGROUND: Loco-regional treatments have improved the survival of patients with early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but tumor relapse is a frequent event and survival rates remain low. Moreover, conflicting evidences address early HCC patients to surgery or radiofrequency ablation (RFA), with the clinical need to find predictive non-invasive biomarkers able to guide treatment choice and define patients survival. METHODS: Two independent case series of treatment-naïve HCC patients treated with local RFA, and a cohort of 30 HCC patients treated with liver surgery were enrolled. On the basis of literature evidence, we customized a panel of 21 miRNAs correlated with relapse and prognosis after local curative treatment of HCC. RESULTS: Expression levels of let-7c predict tumor relapse after RFA; we also investigated the same panel in a small cohort of HCC patients undergoing surgery, finding no statistically significance in predicting tumor relapse or survival. Moreover, interaction test indicated that let-7c expression levels are predictive for identifying a subset of patients that should be addressed to surgery. CONCLUSION: Results from this study could predict prognosis of early HCC patients, helping to address early HCC patients to surgery or RFA treatment.

A Novel Prognostic Tool in Western and Eastern Biliary Tract Cancer Patients Treated in First-line Setting: the ECSIPOT Index.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The need to estimate prognosis of advanced BTC (aBTC) patients treated with first-line chemotherapy is compelling. The aim of the study is to evaluate the ECSIPOT (psECogSIiPnigOT) index, influenced by PECS (PsECogSii) index, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and GOT. METHODS: This international study was conducted on a training cohort of 126 patients and in three validation cohorts, both European and Korean. ECSIPOT index formula: (PECS:0 = 1 point; PECS:1 = 1.4 points; PECS:2 = 3.2 points) + (PNI > 36.7 = 1 point; PNI < 36.7 = 2 points) + (GOT < 100 = 1 point; GOT > 100 = 2 points). Event-time distributions were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival curves were compared using the log-rank test. RESULTS: In the training cohort, mOS was 12.9, 6.3, and 2.8 months for patients with ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 2.11; ECSIPOT-2: HR 4.93; p < 0.0001). In the first validation cohort, mOS was 11.5, 7.3, and 3.3 months for ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 1.74; ECSIPOT-2: HR 3.41; p < 0.0001). In the second validation cohort, mOS was 25.2, 12.5, and 3.0 months for ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR = 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 2.33; ECSIPOT-2: HR 8.46; p < 0.0001). In the third validation cohort, mOS was 11.8, 8.1, and 4.6 months for ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR = 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 1.47; ECSIPOT-2: HR 3.17; p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis in all cohorts confirmed the ECSIPOT index as an independent prognostic factor for OS. CONCLUSION: The easy assessment and good risk-stratification performance make the ECSIPOT index a promising tool to comprehensively estimate the prognosis of aBTC patients.

Cholangiocarcinoma: new perspectives for new horizons.

INTRODUCTION: Biliary tract cancer represents a heterogeneous group of malignancies characterized by dismal prognosis and scarce therapeutic options. AREA COVERED: In the last years, a growing interest in BTC pathology has emerged, thus highlighting a significant heterogeneity of the pathways underlying the carcinogenesis process, from both a molecular and genomic point of view. A better understanding of these differences is mandatory to deepen the behavior of this complex disease, as well as to identify new targetable target mutations, with the aim to improve the survival outcomes. The authors decided to provide a comprehensive overview of the recent highlights on BTCs, with a special focus on the genetic, epigenetic and molecular alterations, which may have an interesting clinical application in the next future. EXPERT OPINION: In the last years, the efforts resulted from international collaborations have led to the identification of new promising targets for precision medicine approaches in the BTC setting. Further investigations and prospective trials are needed, but the hope is that these new knowledge in cooperation with the new technologies and procedures, including bio-molecular and genomic analysis as well radiomic studies, will enrich the therapeutic armamentarium thus improving the survival outcomes in a such lethal and complex disease.

Identification of Regorafenib Prognostic Index (REP Index) via Recursive Partitioning Analysis in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Systemic Treatment: A Real-World Multi-Institutional Experience.

BACKGROUND: The results of the pivotal RESORCE trial led to the approval of the tyrosine kinase inhibitor regorafenib as second-line treatment in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sorafenib failure. Data about prognostic factors in a second-line HCC setting are scarce. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to investigate prognostic factors in a cohort of patients with advanced HCC treated with regorafenib after progressing on sorafenib. METHODS: We retrieved the data of 259 patients affected by advanced HCC treated with regorafenib as second-line treatment from four different Italian institutions and one South Korean institution and performed a recursive partitioning analysis to build a score system. RESULTS: At the first-step univariate analysis for overall survival (OS), alkaline phosphatase (ALP) was the most significant parameter and was chosen as the first node in our tree model. In the subpopulation of patients presenting with ALP ≤122 U/L (n=155) at baseline, the most statistically significant split was by progression-free survival (PFS) on previous sorafenib treatment, between patients with a PFS ≥ 6 months (n = 59) and patients with a PFS < 6 months (n = 96). In the subpopulation of patients with ALP ≤ 122 U/L and PFS to sorafenib ≥ 6 months, the final split was determined between patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver disease (n = 22) and patients with no HBV-related liver disease (n = 37). In the subpopulation of patients presenting ALP >122 U/L (n = 104) at baseline, the most statistically significant split was by aspartate aminotransferase (AST) value, between patients with AST ≤ 56 U/L (n = 48) and patients with AST > 56 U/L (n = 56). We built the Regorafenib Prognostic Index (REP index) stratifying the population into "low-risk," "medium-risk," and "high-risk" groups. The difference in median OS between the three risk groups was statistically significant, being 20.8 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.0-46.3) in the "low-risk" group, 8.4 months (95% CI 7.2-1435.8) in the "medium-risk" group, and 5.5 months (95% CI 3.5-13.2) in the "high risk" group. The median PFS was 7.7 months (95% CI 3.7-19.3), 2.5 months (95% CI 2.1-28.8), and 2.4 months (95% CI 1.6-9.1) for the "low-risk," "medium-risk," and "high-risk" groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: The REP index is an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS in patients with advanced HCC treated with regorafenib.