ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The boundaries of critical isthmuses for re-entrant ventricular tachycardia (VT) are formed by wavefront discontinuities (fixed lines of block, slow propagation, and rotational propagation) seen during baseline rhythm. It is unknown whether wavefront discontinuities can be automatically identified and targeted for ablation using electroanatomic mapping systems. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess the electrophysiologic characteristics of automatically projected wavefront discontinuity lines (WADLs) and outcomes of an ablation strategy targeting WADLs in a mixed cohort of VT patients. METHODS: Late activation substrate maps were analyzed from 1 or more baseline rhythm wavefronts. WADLs were identified using the Carto Extended Early Meets Late module. Number, total length, and distance to critical VT sites were measured. VT recurrence and VT-free survival were followed. RESULTS: In total, 49 patients underwent 52 ablations with 71 unique substrate maps analyzed (18.8% epicardial; 62.0% right ventricular paced, 28.2% sinus rhythm, 9.9% left ventricular paced). A total of 28 VT critical sites were identified in 24 patients. WADLs were present in 49 of 71 (69.0%) maps. WADLs were present regardless of cardiomyopathy etiology, mapping wavefront, or surface. At a WADL threshold of 30%, 73.9% of critical VT sites were in close proximity (≤15 mm) to a WADL. VT-free survival was 62% at 1 year, with a competing risk model estimating a 1-year risk of VT recurrence of 23%. CONCLUSIONS: WADLs can be automatically projected in a majority of patients in a mixed cohort of cardiomyopathy etiology, mapped wavefronts, and myocardial surfaces mapped. Targeting WADLs results in low rate of VT recurrence at 1 year.
Subject(s)
Catheter Ablation , Cicatrix , Electrophysiologic Techniques, Cardiac , Tachycardia, Ventricular , Humans , Tachycardia, Ventricular/surgery , Tachycardia, Ventricular/physiopathology , Female , Male , Catheter Ablation/methods , Middle Aged , Aged , Cicatrix/physiopathology , Electrophysiologic Techniques, Cardiac/methods , RecurrenceABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Myocardial electrical heterogeneity is critical for normal cardiac electromechanical function, but abnormal or excessive electrical heterogeneity is proarrhythmic. The spatial ventricular gradient (SVG), a vectorcardiographic measure of electrical heterogeneity, has been associated with arrhythmic events during long-term follow-up, but its relationship with short-term inducibility of ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: This study was designed to determine associations between SVG and inducible VAs during electrophysiology study. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted of adults without prior sustained VA, cardiac arrest, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator who underwent ventricular stimulation for evaluation of syncope and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia or for risk stratification before primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation. The 12-lead electrocardiograms were converted into vectorcardiograms, and SVG magnitude (SVGmag) and direction (azimuth and elevation) were calculated. Odds of inducible VA were regressed by logistic models. RESULTS: Of 143 patients (median age, 69 years; 80% male; median left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF], 47%; 52% myocardial infarction), 34 (23.8%) had inducible VAs. Inducible patients had lower median LVEF (38% vs 50%; P < .0001), smaller SVGmag (29.5 vs 39.4 mV·ms; P = .0099), and smaller cosine SVG azimuth (cosSVGaz; 0.64 vs 0.89; P = .0007). When LVEF, SVGmag, and cosSVGaz were dichotomized at their medians, there was a 39-fold increase in adjusted odds (P = .002) between patients with all low LVEF, SVGmag, and cosSVGaz (65% inducible) compared with patients with all high LVEF, SVGmag, and cosSVGaz (4% [n = 1] inducible). After multivariable adjustment, SVGmag, cosSVGaz, and sex but not LVEF or other characteristics remained associated with inducible VAs. CONCLUSION: Assessment of electrical heterogeneity by SVG, which reflects abnormal electrophysiologic substrate, adds to LVEF and identifies patients at high and low risk of inducible VA at electrophysiology study.
Subject(s)
Aortic Valve Stenosis , Heart Valve Prosthesis , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement , Humans , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/adverse effects , Pilot Projects , Feasibility Studies , Treatment Outcome , Aortic Valve/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Valve/surgery , Aortic Valve Stenosis/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery , Electrophysiology , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs). METHODS: The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains. RESULTS: Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics. CONCLUSIONS: The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cardiovascular Diseases , Heart Diseases , Stroke , Humans , United States/epidemiology , American Heart Association , COVID-19/epidemiology , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/therapy , Heart Diseases/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs). METHODS: The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2022 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population and an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, adverse pregnancy outcomes, vascular contributions to brain health, and the global burden of cardiovascular disease and healthy life expectancy. RESULTS: Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics. CONCLUSIONS: The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.
Subject(s)
Exercise , Health Behavior , Heart Diseases/epidemiology , Stroke/epidemiology , American Heart Association , Humans , Risk Factors , United StatesABSTRACT
A 27-year-old woman presented with palpitations and was found to have episodes of a non-sustained wide complex tachycardia. In this report, we discuss a differential diagnosis for the patient's wide complex tachycardia and the important ECG findings which lead to her diagnosis. (Level of Difficulty: Advanced.).
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: High-frequency jet ventilation (HFJV) is used during pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) to increase catheter stability and improve outcomes. In prior studies, hemodynamic intolerance to HFJV was rare. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the incidence of hemodynamic or respiratory intolerance of HFJV during PVI. METHODS: Retrospective observational analysis of consecutive patients undergoing PVI performed by 2 operators (PT, JW) at our institution between February 2019 and June 2020 who developed persistent hypotension or abnormal ventilatory parameters in association with HFJV. RESULTS: Among 194 PVIs, there were 8 cases (4%) of conversion from HFJV to conventional ventilation, 6 for refractory hypotension and 2 for persistently abnormal gas exchange. In 6 patients, including 5 of the 6 patients with refractory hypotension, a new, small pericardial effusion without tamponade was noted just after HFJV was initiated. In patients with persistent hypotension, a decrease in left ventricular filling and systolic function was frequently noted. Both the hemodynamic changes and effusion resolved almost immediately after discontinuation of HFJV. In 4 patients rechallenged with HFJV, the hypotension and/or effusion recurred quickly and again resolved immediately after return to conventional ventilation. CONCLUSION: HFJV-associated hypotension and systolic dysfunction, often accompanied by a transient pericardial effusion, is present in a small proportion of patients undergoing PVI, and resolves with cessation of HFJV. The mechanism of these changes is unclear and warrants further study.
ABSTRACT
AIMS: The exact circuit of atrioventricular nodal re-entrant tachycardia (AVNRT) remains elusive. To assess the location and dimensions of the AVNRT circuit. METHODS AND RESULTS: Both typical and atypical AVNRT were induced at electrophysiology study of 14 patients. We calculated the activation time of the fast and slow pathways, and consequently, the length of the slow pathway, by assuming an average conduction velocity of 0.04 mm/ms in the nodal area. The distance between the compact atrioventricular node and the slow pathway ablating electrode was measured on three-dimensionally reconstructed fluoroscopic images obtained in diastole and systole. We also measured the length of the histologically discrete right inferior nodal extension in 31 human hearts. The length of the slow pathway was calculated to be 10.8 ± 1.3 mm (range 8.2-12.8 mm). The distance from the node to the ablating electrode was measured in five patients 17.0 ± 1.6 mm (range 14.9-19.2 mm) and was consistently longer than the estimated length of the slow pathway (P < 0.001). The length of the right nodal inferior extension in histologic specimens was 8.1 ± 2.3 mm (range 5.3-13.7 mm). There were no statistically significant differences between these values and the calculated slow pathway lengths. CONCLUSION: Successful ablation affects the tachycardia circuit without necessarily abolishing slow conduction, probably by interrupting the circuit at the septal isthmus.
Subject(s)
Catheter Ablation , Tachycardia, Atrioventricular Nodal Reentry , Tachycardia, Ventricular , Atrioventricular Node/diagnostic imaging , Atrioventricular Node/surgery , Bundle of His , Electrocardiography , Heart Rate , Humans , Tachycardia, Atrioventricular Nodal Reentry/diagnosis , Tachycardia, Atrioventricular Nodal Reentry/surgerySubject(s)
Defibrillators, Implantable , Heart , Affect , Death, Sudden, Cardiac , Humans , PsychotherapyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Sudden death risk stratification of patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction remains challenging. Retrospective studies have suggested N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) may be a useful risk stratification tool. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to ascertain the utility of NT-proBNP as a predictor of appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapies in primary prevention ICD recipients. METHODS: This was a prospective study of 342 stable patients with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40% who received a primary prevention ICD. NT-proBNP assay was performed at the time of device implant and used as a dichotomized variable (1st-3rd NT-proBNP quartiles vs 4th NT-proBNP quartile) to predict primary (appropriate ICD therapies) and secondary (death, ICD-deactivation, chronic inotropic support, transplant) outcomes. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 35.0 months (interquartile range 15.2-55.3). In unadjusted analyses, NT-proBNP predicted both primary (hazard ratio [HR] 1.89; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-3.56); P = .049) and secondary outcomes (HR 2.13; 95% CI 1.18-3.85; P =.012). Multivariable analysis reaffirmed NT-proBNP as a primary outcome predictor (HR 4.31; 95% CI 1.92-9.70; P <.001) but not as a secondary outcome predictor (HR 1.23; 95% CI 0.61-2.50; P = .564). Instead, secondary outcome was predicted by patient age and renal function. In an unadjusted subanalysis limited to patients with blood urea nitrogen <30 mg/dL, NT-proBNP remained a primary endpoint predictor (HR 2.51; 95% CI 1.25-5.05; P = .010) but not a secondary endpoint predictor (HR 1.34; 95% CI 0.52-3.44; P = .541). Receiver operating analyses at 2- and 3-year follow-up timepoints confirmed that NT-proBNP significantly improved the performance of multivariable models designed to predict future appropriate ICD therapies. CONCLUSION: In multivariable analysis, NT-proBNP is a reasonable and specific predictor of future appropriate device therapies in primary prevention ICD recipients. In contrast, adjusted NT-proBNP does not predict all-cause mortality.
Subject(s)
Death, Sudden, Cardiac/prevention & control , Defibrillators, Implantable , Natriuretic Peptide, Brain/blood , Peptide Fragments/blood , Risk Assessment/methods , Stroke Volume/physiology , Ventricular Dysfunction, Left/blood , Ventricular Function, Left/physiology , Aged , Biomarkers/blood , Death, Sudden, Cardiac/epidemiology , Death, Sudden, Cardiac/etiology , Equipment Failure , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Primary Prevention , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Protein Precursors , Risk Factors , Ventricular Dysfunction, Left/complications , Ventricular Dysfunction, Left/therapyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Drugs belonging to diverse therapeutic classes can prolong myocardial refractoriness or slow conduction. These drugs may be effective and well-tolerated, but the risk of sudden cardiac death from torsades de pointes (TdP) remains a major concern. The corrected QT interval has significant limitations when used for risk stratification. Measurement of global electrical heterogeneity (GEH) could help identify the substrate vulnerable to drug-induced ventricular arrhythmias. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to improve risk stratification for drug-induced TdP by measuring GEH on the electrocardiogram (ECG). METHODS: We analyzed ECG data from a case-control study of patients with a history of drug-induced TdP as well as age- and sex-matched controls. Vectorcardiograms were constructed from ECGs. GEH was measured via the spatial ventricular gradient (SVG) vector (magnitude, azimuth, and elevation). Log odds coefficients for TdP were estimated using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 17 cases (47% male; age 58.9 ± 12.5 years) and 17 controls (29% male; age 61.0 ± 12.2 years), 34 ECGs were analyzed. SVG azimuth was significantly different between cases and controls (3.4 vs 22.0 degrees, respectively; P = 0.02). After adjusting for sex and QTc interval, odds of TdP increased by a factor of 3.2 for each 1 SD change in SVG azimuth from the control group mean (95% confidence interval 1.07-9.14; P = .04). QTc was not significant in the multivariable analysis (P = .20). CONCLUSION: SVG azimuth is correlated with a history of drug-induced TdP independent of QTc. GEH measurement may help identify patients at high risk for drug-induced arrhythmias.
Subject(s)
Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/adverse effects , Death, Sudden, Cardiac/epidemiology , Electrocardiography/drug effects , Heart Rate/drug effects , Torsades de Pointes/chemically induced , Case-Control Studies , Female , Heart Ventricles/physiopathology , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Torsades de Pointes/complications , Torsades de Pointes/physiopathology , United States/epidemiologySubject(s)
Arrhythmias, Cardiac , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/diagnosis , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/therapy , Asia , Consensus , Humans , Latin America , Risk AssessmentABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The optimal method to identify the arrhythmogenic substrate of scar-related ventricular tachycardia (VT) is unknown. Sites of activation slowing during sinus rhythm (SR) often colocalize with the VT circuit. However, the utility and limitations of such approach for guiding ablation are unknown. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter study in patients with infarct-related VT. The left ventricular (LV) was mapped during activation from 3 directions: SR (or atrial pacing), right ventricular, and LV pacing at 600 ms. Ablation was applied selectively to the cumulative area of slow activation, defined as the sum of all regions with activation times of ≥40 ms per 10 mm. Hemodynamically tolerated VTs were mapped with activation or entrainment. The primary outcome was a composite of appropriate implanted cardioverter-defibrillator therapies and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: In 85 patients, the LV was mapped during activation from 2.4±0.6 directions. The direction of LV activation influenced the location and magnitude of activation slowing. The spatial overlap of activation slowing between SR and right ventricular pacing was 84.2±7.1%, between SR and LV pacing was 61.4±8.8%, and between right ventricular and LV pacing was 71.3±9.6% (P<0.05 between all comparisons). Mapping during SR identified only 66.2±8.2% of the entire area of activation slowing and 58% critical isthmus sites. Activation from other directions by right ventricular and LV stimulation unmasked an additional 33% of slowly conducting zones and 25% critical isthmus sites. The area of maximal activation slowing often corresponded to the site where the wavefront first interacted with the infarct. During a follow-up period of 3.6 years, the primary end point occurred in 14 out of 85 (16.5%) patients. CONCLUSIONS: The spatial distribution of activation slowing is dependent on the direction of LV activation with the area of maximal slowing corresponding to the site where the wavefront first interacts with the infarct. This data may have implications for VT substrate mapping strategies.
Subject(s)
Catheter Ablation , Tachycardia, Ventricular/surgery , Action Potentials , Aged , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Catheter Ablation/mortality , Electrophysiologic Techniques, Cardiac , Europe , Female , Heart Rate , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Republic of Korea , Risk Factors , Tachycardia, Ventricular/diagnosis , Tachycardia, Ventricular/mortality , Tachycardia, Ventricular/physiopathology , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , United StatesABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to examine the safety and efficacy of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with irrigated catheters operated in a temperature-controlled mode for ventricular ablation. BACKGROUND: Techniques to increase RFA dimensions are associated with higher risk for steam-pops. A novel irrigated catheter with circumferential thermocouples embedded in its ablation surface provides real-time surface temperature data. This study hypothesized that RFA operated in a temperature-controlled mode may allow maximizing lesion dimensions while reducing the occurrence of steam-pops. METHODS: RFA with an irrigated catheter incorporating surface thermocouples was examined in 6 swine thigh muscle preparations and 15 beating ventricles at higher (50 W/60 s, Tmax50oC) and lower (50 W/60 s, Tmax45oC) temperature limits. Biophysical properties, lesion dimensions, and steam-pop occurrence were compared versus RFA with a standard catheter operated in power-control mode at higher (50 W/60 s) and lower (40W/60 s) power, and additionally at high power with half-normal saline (50 W/60 s). RESULTS: In the thigh muscle preparation, lesion depth and width were similar between all groups (p = 0.90 and p = 0.17, respectively). Steam-pops were most frequent with power-controlled ablation at 50 W/60 s (82%) and least frequent with temperature-controlled ablation at 50 W/60 s, Tmax45oC (0%; p < 0.001). In the beating ventricle, lesion depth was comparable between all RFA settings (p = 0.09). Steam-pops were most frequent using power-controlled ablation at 50 W/60 s (37%) and least frequent with temperature-controlled ablation at 50 W/60 s, Tmax45oC (7%; p < 0.001). Half-normal saline had no incremental effect on lesion dimensions at 50 W in either the thigh muscle or the beating heart. CONCLUSIONS: RFA using a novel irrigated catheter with surface thermocouples operated in a temperature-controlled mode can maximize lesion dimensions while reducing the risk for steam-pops.
Subject(s)
Catheter Ablation , Catheters , Heart Ventricles/surgery , Therapeutic Irrigation/instrumentation , Animals , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Catheter Ablation/instrumentation , Catheter Ablation/methods , Catheter Ablation/standards , Equipment Design , Heart Ventricles/pathology , Swine , TemperatureABSTRACT
Catheter ablation has brought major advances in the management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). As evidenced by multiple randomized trials, AF catheter ablation can reduce the risk of recurrent AF and improve quality of life. In some studies, AF ablation significantly reduced cardiovascular hospitalizations. Despite the existing data on AF catheter ablation, numerous knowledge gaps remain concerning this intervention. This report is based on a recent virtual workshop convened by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute to identify key research opportunities in AF ablation. We outline knowledge gaps related to emerging technologies, the relationship between cardiac structure and function and the success of AF ablation in patient subgroups in whom clinical benefit from ablation varies, and potential platforms to advance clinical research in this area. This report also considers the potential value and challenges of a sham ablation randomized trial. Prioritized research opportunities are identified and highlighted to empower relevant stakeholders to collaborate in designing and conducting effective, cost-efficient, and transformative research to optimize the use and outcomes of AF ablation.
Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/surgery , Catheter Ablation , Education , Humans , National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.) , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , United StatesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: In infarct-related ventricular tachycardia (VT), the circuit often corresponds to a location characterized by activation slowing during sinus rhythm (SR). However, the relationship between activation slowing during SR and vulnerability for reentry and correlation to components of the VT circuit are unknown. This study examined the relationship between activation slowing during SR and vulnerability for reentry and correlated these areas with components of the circuit. METHODS: In a porcine model of healed infarction, the spatial distribution of endocardial activation velocity was compared between SR and VT. Isthmus sites were defined using activation and entrainment mapping as areas exhibiting diastolic activity within the circuit while bystanders were defined as areas displaying diastolic activity outside the circuit. RESULTS: Of 15 swine, 9 had inducible VT (5.2±3.0 per animal) while in 6 swine VT could not be induced despite stimulation from 4 RV and LV sites at 2 drive trains with 6 extra-stimuli down to refractoriness. Infarcts with VT had a greater magnitude of activation slowing during SR. A minimal endocardial activation velocity cutoff ≤0.1 m/s differentiated inducible from noninducible infarctions (P=0.015). Regions of maximal endocardial slowing during SR corresponded to the VT isthmus (area under curve=0.84 95% CI, 0.78-0.90) while bystander sites exhibited near-normal activation during SR. VT circuits were complex with 41.7% exhibiting discontinuous propagation with intramural bridges of slow conduction and delayed quasi-simultaneous endocardial activation. Regions forming the VT isthmus borders had faster activation during SR while regions forming the inner isthmus were activated faster during VT. CONCLUSIONS: Endocardial activation slowing during SR may differentiate infarctions vulnerable for VT from those less vulnerable for VT. Sites of slow activation during SR correspond to sites forming the VT isthmus but not to bystander sites.
Subject(s)
Cicatrix/physiopathology , Endocardium/physiopathology , Heart Conduction System/physiopathology , Heart Rate/physiology , Heart Ventricles/diagnostic imaging , Myocardial Infarction/physiopathology , Tachycardia, Ventricular/etiology , Animals , Body Surface Potential Mapping/methods , Disease Models, Animal , Heart Ventricles/physiopathology , Myocardial Infarction/complications , Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis , Swine , Tachycardia, Ventricular/diagnosis , Tachycardia, Ventricular/physiopathologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The risk of death or appropriate therapy varies widely among recipients of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs). The goals of this study were to develop a risk prediction tool that jointly considers future outcome probabilities of ICD shock and death. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a secondary analysis of patients receiving ICDs as part of the SCD-HeFT trial (Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial). We applied an illness-death regression model to jointly model both ICD shocks and death under the semi-competing risks framework, which predicts for each patient their probability of having received ICD shocks, dying, or both at any given point in time. Among 803 ICD recipients (mean age, 60 years; 23% women) followed for a median of 41.1 months, 430 (53.5%) patients completed the study without dying or receiving an ICD shock, 206 (25.7%) received at least 1 shock but survived, 113 (14.1%) died before experiencing a shock, and 54 (6.7%) received at least 1 shock and subsequently died. Predicted outcome probabilities based on baseline demographic and clinical variables reveal substantial heterogeneity in joint shock and death risks, both between patients at each time point and for each single patient across time. Overall, predictive performance for ICD shock and death individually was adequate, based on area under the curve at 5 years of 0.65 for shocks and of 0.79 for death. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis of outcomes after ICD implantation provides an alternative predictive model for individual risk of death or ICD shocks. If validated, this may provide a useful tool for individualized counseling regarding likely outcomes after device implantation, while also informing the design of further studies to focus the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00000609.