ABSTRACT
We have previously shown that polygenic risk scores (PRS) can improve risk stratification of peripheral artery disease (PAD) in a large, retrospective cohort. Here, we evaluate the potential of PRS in improving the detection of PAD and prediction of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and adverse events (AE) in an institutional patient cohort. We created a cohort of 278 patients (52 cases and 226 controls) and fit a PAD-specific PRS based on the weighted sum of risk alleles. We built traditional clinical risk models and machine learning (ML) models using clinical and genetic variables to detect PAD, MACCE, and AE. The models' performances were measured using the area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and Brier score. We also evaluated the clinical utility of our PAD model using decision curve analysis (DCA). We found a modest, but not statistically significant improvement in the PAD detection model's performance with the inclusion of PRS from 0.902 (95% CI: 0.846-0.957) (clinical variables only) to 0.909 (95% CI: 0.856-0.961) (clinical variables with PRS). The PRS inclusion significantly improved risk re-classification of PAD with an NRI of 0.07 (95% CI: 0.002-0.137), p = 0.04. For our ML model predicting MACCE, the addition of PRS did not significantly improve the AUC, however, NRI analysis demonstrated significant improvement in risk re-classification (p = 2e-05). Decision curve analysis showed higher net benefit of our combined PRS-clinical model across all thresholds of PAD detection. Including PRS to a clinical PAD-risk model was associated with improvement in risk stratification and clinical utility, although we did not see a significant change in AUC. This result underscores the potential clinical utility of incorporating PRS data into clinical risk models for prevalent PAD and the need for use of evaluation metrics that can discern the clinical impact of using new biomarkers in smaller populations.
Subject(s)
Peripheral Arterial Disease , Humans , Peripheral Arterial Disease/genetics , Peripheral Arterial Disease/diagnosis , Female , Male , Aged , Middle Aged , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors , Machine Learning , Cardiovascular Diseases/genetics , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Retrospective Studies , Multifactorial Inheritance/genetics , Case-Control Studies , Area Under Curve , Genetic Risk ScoreABSTRACT
This cohort study uses a deidentified national administrative claims database to assess the association of eligibility expansion with abdominal aortic aneurysm screening and diagnosis.
Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal , Mass Screening , Humans , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/diagnostic imaging , UltrasonographyABSTRACT
This article highlights important performance metrics to consider when evaluating models developed for supervised classification or regression tasks using clinical data. When evaluating model performance, we detail the basics of confusion matrices, receiver operating characteristic curves, F1 scores, precision-recall curves, mean squared error, and other considerations. In this era, defined by the rapid proliferation of advanced prediction models, familiarity with various performance metrics beyond the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and the nuances of evaluating model value upon implementation is essential to ensure effective resource allocation and optimal patient care delivery.
Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care , ROC Curve , Humans , Models, Theoretical , Resource AllocationABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Frailty assessments have been incorporated into preoperative planning for surgery in the elderly population. Frailty in patients undergoing lower extremity amputation has been associated with increased short-term mortality. We compared 2 frailty scores, modified Frailty Index (mFI) and Risk Analysis Index (RAI), to evaluate the short- and long-term mortality stratified by frailty status after lower extremity amputation. METHODS: A retrospective review at a single Veterans Affairs Medical Center was performed for all patients with peripheral vascular disease that underwent an above or below the knee amputation from 2014 to 2019. Preoperative variables were obtained to calculate the mFI and RAI frailty scores. The frailty scoring systems were used to separate the patients into 3 cohorts: non-frail (mFI <0.45, RAI <20), frail (mFI 0.45-0.55; RAI 20-32), and very frail (mFI >0.55, RAI >32). The frailty groups with each scoring system were compared for 30-day outcomes (readmission, reoperation, adverse events, length of stay) and short- and long-term mortality. RESULTS: A total of 298 patients underwent lower extremity amputation. The number of non-frail patients was 98 (RAI) and 102 (mFI); frail patients 99 (RAI), and 123 (mFI); very frail patients 101 (RAI) and 73 (mFI). For the 30-day outcomes, only length of stay (mFI) was associated with increasing frailty. The short- and long-term mortality was associated with a worse survival with increasing frailty. At 1-year, the mortality by RAI was non-frail 8%; frail 24%, very frail 43% (P < 0.001); the mortality by mFI was non-frail 16%, frail 24%, very frail 41% (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative frailty scoring systems identify patients with worse short- and long-term mortality for lower extremity amputation. Frailty scoring should be considered as a screening tool for patients with peripheral vascular disease undergoing lower extremity amputation because of the high rate of frail and very frail patients. The frailty status may provide a more patient-centered approach to counsel patients and their families on the risks and benefits of amputation.
Subject(s)
Frailty , Peripheral Vascular Diseases , Humans , Aged , Frailty/complications , Frailty/diagnosis , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Treatment Outcome , Amputation, Surgical/adverse effects , Frail Elderly , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Lower Extremity/blood supplyABSTRACT
Today's digital health revolution aims to improve the efficiency of healthcare delivery and make care more personalized and timely. Sources of data for digital health tools include multiple modalities such as electronic medical records (EMR), radiology images, and genetic repositories, to name a few. While historically, these data were utilized in silos, new machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) technologies enable the integration of these data sources to produce multi-modal insights. Data fusion, which integrates data from multiple modalities using ML and DL techniques, has been of growing interest in its application to medicine. In this paper, we review the state-of-the-art research that focuses on how the latest techniques in data fusion are providing scientific and clinical insights specific to the field of cardiovascular medicine. With these new data fusion capabilities, clinicians and researchers alike will advance the diagnosis and treatment of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) to deliver more timely, accurate, and precise patient care.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the accuracy of multiple risk calculators for 30-day mortality on patients undergoing major lower extremity amputation. METHODS: The actual 30-day mortality at a single Veterans Affairs institution was compared to the predicted outcome from the following risk calculators: ACS-NSQIP, VASQIP, amputation scoring tool (AST), and POTTER elective. RESULTS: The overall calculated 30-day mortality was similar to the actual mortality with the VASQIP and POTTER elective risk calculators, while the NSQIP and AST over-estimated the 30-day mortality. The predictive accuracy of the POTTER and NSQIP risk calculators were moderate (AUC >0.7), and fair for the VASQIP and AST. CONCLUSION: Risk assessment tools can provide adjunctive data on predicted 30-day mortality in patients undergoing major lower extremity amputation. In our study, there were differences in predictability of the risk calculators for lower extremity amputation that should be considered when utilizing a risk assessment tool to improve physician-patient shared decision-making.
Subject(s)
Veterans , Amputation, Surgical , Humans , Lower Extremity/surgery , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The American College of Surgeons Risk Calculator (ACS-RC) provides an assessment of a patient's risk of 30-day postoperative complications. The Surgeon Adjusted Risk (SAR) parameter of the calculator allows for ad hoc adjustment of risk based on risk factors not considered by the model. This study aims to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the ACS-RC in vascular surgery patients undergoing major lower-extremity amputation (LEA) and identify additional risk factors that warrant use of the SAR parameter. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of 298 sequential amputations at a single institution. At the population level, the mean of predicted 30-day outcomes from the ACS-RC with a SAR score of 1 (no adjustment necessary) and 2 (risk somewhat higher than estimate) were compared to the rate of observed outcomes. Predictive accuracy at the individual level was completed using receiver operating curve area under the curve (AUC). Logistic regression with respect to mortality was performed over variables not considered by the ACS-RC. Efficacy of selectively utilizing the SAR parameter in predicting mortality was analyzed with a stratified analysis in which patients with risk factors significant for mortality were assigned increased risk. RESULTS: At the population level, ACS-RC grossly underpredicted serious complications, SSI, VTE, and unplanned RTOR, while overpredicting mortality and cardiac complications. At the individual level, SAR1 was more predictive for serious complications (AUC = 0.624), SSI (AUC = 0.610), and unplanned RTOR (AUC = 0.541). Conversely, SAR2 was more predictive for mortality (AUC = 0.709), cardiac complications (AUC = 0.561), and VTE (AUC = 0.539). Logistic regression identified history of CVA with a residual deficit (OR = 4.61, P = 0.033) and ischemic rest pain without tissue loss (OR = 4.497, P = 0.047) as independent risk factors for postoperative mortality. Stratified analysis with utilization of the SAR2 based on the 2 independent risk factors improved AUC in predicting mortality (AUC 0.792 from 0.709). CONCLUSIONS: Major LEAs are associated with high perioperative morbidity and mortality. In a veteran population, the ACS-RC showed mixed predictability at the population level and fair predictability at the individual level with regards to postoperative outcomes. Rest pain without tissue loss and history of CVA with residual deficit were identified as risk factors for postoperative mortality. Although ad hoc adjustment with the subjective SAR modifier based on the presence of these 2 risk factors increased the calculator's accuracy, this study highlights some potential limitations of the ACS-RC when applied to vascular surgery patients undergoing major LEA.
Subject(s)
Surgeons , Venous Thromboembolism , Amputation, Surgical/adverse effects , Humans , Lower Extremity , Pain , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome , United StatesABSTRACT
PURPOSE: To evaluate if income status affects the timing of presentation to orthopaedic care, surgical treatment, or continuity of care following a closed ankle fracture. METHODS: Th is retrospective study identified 434 patients with closed ankle fractures treated with operative fixation from 2014 to 2016. Median income data were extracted using the patients' ZIP codes and data from the U.S. Census Bureau. RESULTS: Lower-income patients presented to the hospital and received surgical treatment significantly later than others. They were also more often uninsured and nonadherent with postoperative weightbearing precautions. Additionally, these patients less frequently sought care on the day of their injury, and they had both shorter inpatient stays and duration of overall follow-up in comparison with others. CONCLUSION: Socioeconomic status is a vital consideration for improving patient access to acute orthopaedic surgical care. Lower-income patients are more susceptible to multiple time-sensitive delays in their care, and these patients frequently encounter difficulties maintaining appropriate follow-up carex.
Subject(s)
Ankle Fractures , Orthopedics , Hospitals , Humans , Medically Uninsured , Retrospective Studies , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To examine the incidence of surgical site complications associated with pronation-abduction ankle fracture-dislocations with an open medial tension wound. DESIGN: Retrospective case series. SETTING: Accredited Level-1 trauma center. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Forty-eight open pronation-abduction ankle fracture-dislocations with medial tension failure wounds treated at our institution from 2014 to 2016. INTERVENTION: Immediate irrigation and debridement along with surgical stabilization of open ankle fracture-dislocation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was deep surgical site infection. Secondary outcome measures included other surgical site complications and adverse radiographic events. RESULTS: A total of 5 patients (10.4%) developed a deep surgical site infection requiring additional surgical debridement. One of the patients with a deep surgical site infection required a below-knee amputation as a result of sepsis. Adverse radiographic outcomes included 3 fibular nonunions (6.3%), 3 implant failures related to syndesmotic fixations (6.3%), one periimplant fracture (2.1%), and postoperative collapse of the tibial plafond in 3 patients (6.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Open pronation-abduction ankle fracture-dislocations with medial tension failure wounds remain a challenging and potentially devastating injury. Our study suggests that with appropriate surgical debridement, early stabilization, and primary wound closure, acceptable outcomes with a relatively low risk of surgical site complications can be achieved. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
Subject(s)
Ankle Fractures , Ankle Injuries , Ankle Fractures/complications , Ankle Fractures/diagnostic imaging , Ankle Fractures/surgery , Fracture Fixation, Internal/adverse effects , Humans , Pronation , Retrospective Studies , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to examine the rates of surgical site complications of staple closure versus suture closure following open reduction and internal fixation of closed unstable ankle fractures. METHODS: Between 2014 and 2016, a total of 545 patients with closed ankle fractures were treated at our level-1 trauma centre by means of open reduction and internal fixation. A total of 360 patients matched the inclusion criteria and were included in the final analysis of this study. This included 119 patients undergoing wound closure using sutures and 241 patients using surgical staples. The demographics, clinical data, and injury characteristics were recorded. The primary outcome measure was the adverse event of any type of surgical site complication. RESULTS: The overall rate of patients with a surgical site complication was 15.6%. There was a trend towards a higher risk of surgical site complication in patients undergoing wound closure with sutures as compared with staples (20.2% versus 13.3%); however, this difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.0897). The rate of superficial surgical site infection also trended higher in patients undergoing wound closure with sutures versus staples without demonstrating statistical significance (10.1% versus 5%, P = 0.0678). The rate of deep surgical site infection was similar in both groups. CONCLUSION: The use of metal staples remains controversial in the setting of orthopedic surgery, particularly involving the foot and ankle. The current study supports that metal staples are a safe and reliable option in the closure of traumatic ankle fractures.
Subject(s)
Ankle Fractures , Ankle Fractures/surgery , Humans , Surgical Stapling/adverse effects , Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology , Surgical Wound Infection/etiology , Suture Techniques , Sutures/adverse effectsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To examine the impact of insurance status on access to orthopaedic care and incidence of surgical site complications in patients with closed unstable ankle fractures. DESIGN: Retrospective chart review. SETTING: Certified Level-1 urban trauma center and county facility. PARTICIPANTS: Four hundred eighty-nine patients with closed unstable ankle fractures undergoing open reduction and internal fixation between 2014 and 2016. INTERVENTION: Open reduction and internal fixation of unstable ankle fracture. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time from injury to presentation, time from injury to surgery, rate of surgical site infections, and loss to follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 489 patients (70.5% uninsured vs. 29.5% insured) were enrolled. Uninsured patients were more likely to be present to an outside hospital first (P = 0.004). Time from injury to presentation at our hospital was significantly longer in uninsured patients (4.5 ± 7.6 days vs. 2.3 ± 5.5 days, P < 0.001). Time from injury to surgery was significantly longer in uninsured patient (9.4 ± 8.5 days vs. 7.3 ± 9.1 days, P < 0.001). Uninsured patients were more likely to be lost to postoperative follow-up care (P = 0.002). A logistic regression analysis demonstrated that delayed surgical timing was directly associated with an increased risk of postoperative surgical site infection (P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Uninsured patients with ankle fractures requiring surgery experience significant barriers regarding access to health care. Delay of surgical management significantly increases the risk of surgical site infections in closed unstable ankle fractures. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
Subject(s)
Ankle Fractures , Ankle Fractures/epidemiology , Ankle Fractures/surgery , Fracture Fixation, Internal/adverse effects , Humans , Medically Uninsured , Retrospective Studies , Surgical Wound Infection/diagnosis , Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: This report highlights a rapidly progressive case of Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease (CJD) whose time from symptom onset to death spanned less than two months. We also explore the most recently available in-patient demographics data for discharges with CJD in the United States. METHODS: We reviewed a CJD case and systematically analyzed a retrospective cohort of CJD discharges using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) to evaluate the existing national data on the status of CJD demographics and dispositions in the United States in 2016. RESULTS: An estimated total of 710 hospital discharges with a diagnosis of CJD were seen across the United States in 2016. According to HCUP, the average age of patients was 66.15⯱â¯11.54 years with 48.6 % female. Average time to intubation from admission to hospital was 4.71⯱â¯7.32 days with a rate of intubation of 6.34 %. The mean hospital cost was $19,901.25 ± $18,743.48. The rate of in-hospital mortality was 8.45 %. No significant geographical differences were noted (pâ¯=â¯0.49). No significant differences were seen among incidence in specific ethnic groups (pâ¯=â¯0.33) or income quartiles (pâ¯=â¯0.90). CONCLUSIONS: Our data shows that the incidence of CJD in 2016 appears to be equally distributed among individuals in the United States by demographic categories. Additionally, our case-study from 2019 illustrates an important example for diagnosing a rapidly-progressing case of CJD.
Subject(s)
Brain/diagnostic imaging , Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Age of Onset , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome/diagnosis , Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome/diagnostic imaging , Disease Progression , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , United States/epidemiology , Young AdultABSTRACT
A specific treatment protocol for managing scapular spine fractures does not currently exist. The purpose of our report is to describe this type of injury and detail our treatment management in order to better elucidate this rare pathology. We present a case of a 26-year-old female with an acute scapular spine and base fracture after a motor vehicle collision. Successful treatment of an acute free-floating scapular spine fracture was achieved with open reduction and internal fixation utilizing an elbow plate. Since scapular spine fractures are an unfortunate, rare injury, it may impose difficult challenges to the treating surgeon. With our case report, we hope to contribute to the overall knowledge of scapular spine fractures and offer our experience with a successful and appropriate treatment option in our patient.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The release of catabolic stress hormones because of surgical trauma leads to a breakdown of fats, proteins, and carbohydrate stores and interference with immune function. This can delay wound healing and may increase the risk of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS)/sepsis and postoperative complications. Minimally invasive surgery can attenuate this response. Our purpose was (1) to compare neuroendocrine responses in patients undergoing open abdominal aneurysm repair with those in patients undergoing endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR), (2) to compare the incidence of SIRS/sepsis and all complications in these two groups, and (3) to look at the relationship between procedure type, neuroendocrine response, and incidence of SIRS/sepsis and complications. METHODS: Forty-six patients who underwent open repair and 19 who underwent EVAR were studied. A baseline (T1) 24-hour urine save was undertaken in the week before admission, and a second 24-hour save (T2) commenced at anesthetic induction to measure cortisol and catecholamines. The incidences of SIRS/sepsis and complications were recorded. RESULTS: Significant ( P = .001) increases in cortisol and adrenaline from T1 to T2 occurred in all patients. Controlling for the type of anesthetic, the administration of exogenous inotropes, and beta-adrenoreceptor antagonists (beta-blockers), there was a significant difference in cortisol (T2) associated with the type of procedure. Responses were greater in open patients in comparison to EVAR patients (F 3,61 = 5.0; P = .03). The incidence of SIRS (50% vs 32%), sepsis (26% vs 5%), and all complications (76% vs 32%) was significantly ( P = .02) higher in open than EVAR patients, respectively. Cortisol and adrenaline measured for 24 hours, commencing at the time of induction, tended to be higher in patients with SIRS/sepsis and all complications, but this did not reach significance. CONCLUSIONS: An attenuated glucocorticoid surge characterizes the reduced stress response experienced by patients undergoing EVAR compared with open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair. A reduction in the occurrence of SIRS is a feature of a more favorable postoperative course after an endovascular approach.
Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/surgery , Hydrocortisone/blood , Stress, Physiological/physiopathology , Vascular Surgical Procedures , Aged , Angioplasty , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/blood , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation , Catecholamines/urine , Epinephrine/blood , Female , Humans , Intraoperative Period , Male , Morbidity , Prospective Studies , Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome/etiology , Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome/physiopathology , Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome/prevention & control , Vascular Surgical Procedures/adverse effectsABSTRACT
A central tenet of nerve growth factor (NGF) action that is poorly understood is its ability to mediate cytoplasmic signaling, through its receptor TrkA, that is initiated at the nerve terminal and conveyed to the soma. We identified an NGF-induced protein that we termed Pincher (pinocytic chaperone) that mediates endocytosis and trafficking of NGF and its receptor TrkA. In PC12 cells, overexpression of Pincher dramatically stimulated NGF-induced endocytosis of TrkA, unexpectedly at sites of clathrin-independent macropinocytosis within cell surface ruffles. Subsequently, a system of Pincher-containing tubules mediated the delivery of NGF/TrkA-containing vesicles to cytoplasmic accumulations. These vesicles selectively and persistently mediated TrkA-erk5 mitogen-activated protein kinase signaling. A dominant inhibitory mutant form of Pincher inhibited the NGF-induced endocytosis of TrkA, and selectively blocked TrkA-mediated cytoplasmic signaling of erk5, but not erk1/2, kinases. Our results indicate that Pincher mediates pinocytic endocytosis of functionally specialized NGF/TrkA endosomes with persistent signaling potential.