Revised Intensity Battle Score (RIBS): Development of a Clinical Score for Predicting Poor Outcomes After Rib Fractures.

BACKGROUND: Patients with rib fractures have variable clinical courses and it is difficult to predict which patients will do poorly. Ideally this prediction would happen at the time of admission to facilitate effective triage. One scoring system devised to this end, is the Battle score. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of the Battle score as triage tool, and to re-tool it for performance in an inpatient trauma setting. METHODS: A multivariate logistic regression model was trained on patients admitted to a level one trauma center with at least one rib fracture. A composite outcome was used to classify those who had poor outcomes. Eighteen candidate predictors were analyzed in univariate analysis, then the most promising fed into the logistic model until a triage score was built and internally validated by bootstrapping. RESULTS: Of the 838 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 145 (17.3%) patients had a defined poor outcome. The relevant predictors included in the final scoring system were number of ribs fractured, chest tube, pulmonary contusions, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and Glasgow coma score. Age was not found to be predictive. This score was found to have higher fidelity in predicting poor outcomes than the original Battle score (AUROC .858 vs .649.). DISCUSSION: An easy to calculate clinical scoring system was created to triage patients with rib fractures at the time of admission. Age may be of less importance than previously thought, while injury burden and history of lung disease may play a larger role.

How did we reform our out of control massive transfusion protocol program?

BACKGROUND: The massive transfusion protocol (MTP) is designed to quickly provide blood products at a fixed ratio for the exsanguinating patient. At our academic medical center, the frequency of MTP activation increased over 10-fold between 2008 and 2015, putting inordinate stress on our transfusion service. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Gathering a large number of relevant stakeholders, we performed a multidisciplinary root cause analysis (RCA) in response to the acute clinical need to reform our MTP. RESULTS: Through the RCA, we identified four principal opportunities for improvement (OFI) associated with our MTP: education, stewardship, process improvement, and communication. Through the deployment of new approaches to each of these OFI, we reduced MTP activations, blood product waste, and transfusion service technologist stress. CONCLUSION: The MTP is amenable to improvement, and, although time intensive, the RCA process yields significant favorable effects: improving communication with colleagues, reducing stress within the transfusion service, and improving resource utilization. Activation of the MTP at our institution is now more aligned with its primary purpose: rapidly providing large quantities of blood products to exsanguinating patients.

Advancing Continuous Predictive Analytics Monitoring: Moving from Implementation to Clinical Action in a Learning Health System.

In the intensive care unit, clinicians monitor a diverse array of data inputs to detect early signs of impending clinical demise or improvement. Continuous predictive analytics monitoring synthesizes data from a variety of inputs into a risk estimate that clinicians can observe in a streaming environment. For this to be useful, clinicians must engage with the data in a way that makes sense for their clinical workflow in the context of a learning health system (LHS). This article describes the processes needed to evoke clinical action after initiation of continuous predictive analytics monitoring in an LHS.

Cardiorespiratory dynamics measured from continuous ECG monitoring improves detection of deterioration in acute care patients: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Charted vital signs and laboratory results represent intermittent samples of a patient's dynamic physiologic state and have been used to calculate early warning scores to identify patients at risk of clinical deterioration. We hypothesized that the addition of cardiorespiratory dynamics measured from continuous electrocardiography (ECG) monitoring to intermittently sampled data improves the predictive validity of models trained to detect clinical deterioration prior to intensive care unit (ICU) transfer or unanticipated death. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We analyzed 63 patient-years of ECG data from 8,105 acute care patient admissions at a tertiary care academic medical center. We developed models to predict deterioration resulting in ICU transfer or unanticipated death within the next 24 hours using either vital signs, laboratory results, or cardiorespiratory dynamics from continuous ECG monitoring and also evaluated models using all available data sources. We calculated the predictive validity (C-statistic), the net reclassification improvement, and the probability of achieving the difference in likelihood ratio χ2 for the additional degrees of freedom. The primary outcome occurred 755 times in 586 admissions (7%). We analyzed 395 clinical deteriorations with continuous ECG data in the 24 hours prior to an event. Using only continuous ECG measures resulted in a C-statistic of 0.65, similar to models using only laboratory results and vital signs (0.63 and 0.69 respectively). Addition of continuous ECG measures to models using conventional measurements improved the C-statistic by 0.01 and 0.07; a model integrating all data sources had a C-statistic of 0.73 with categorical net reclassification improvement of 0.09 for a change of 1 decile in risk. The difference in likelihood ratio χ2 between integrated models with and without cardiorespiratory dynamics was 2158 (p value: <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiorespiratory dynamics from continuous ECG monitoring detect clinical deterioration in acute care patients and improve performance of conventional models that use only laboratory results and vital signs.

Hemorrhage Prediction Models in Surgical Intensive Care: Bedside Monitoring Data Adds Information to Lab Values.

Hemorrhage is a frequent complication in surgery patients; its identification and management have received increasing attention as a target for quality improvement in patient care in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). The purposes of this work were 1) to find an early detection model for hemorrhage by exploring the range of data mining methods that are currently available, and 2) to compare prediction models utilizing continuously measured physiological data from bedside monitors to those using commonly obtained laboratory tests. We studied 3766 patients admitted to the University of Virginia Health System Surgical Trauma Burn ICU. Hemorrhage was defined as three or more units of red blood cells transfused within 24 h without red blood cell transfusion in the preceding 24 h. 222 patients (5.9%) experienced a hemorrhage, and multivariate models based on vital signs and their trends showed good results (AUC = 76.1%). The hematocrit, not surprisingly, had excellent performance (AUC = 87.7%). Models that included both continuous monitoring and laboratory tests had the best performance (AUC = 92.2%). The results point to a combined strategy of continuous monitoring and intermittent lab tests as a reasonable clinical approach to the early detection of hemorrhage in the surgical ICU.

New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in the Critically Ill.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of new-onset atrial fibrillation with outcomes, including ICU length of stay and survival. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort of ICU admissions. We found atrial fibrillation using automated detection (≥ 90 s in 30 min) and classed as new-onset if there was no prior diagnosis of atrial fibrillation. We identified determinants of new-onset atrial fibrillation and, using propensity matching, characterized its impact on outcomes. SETTING: Tertiary care academic center. PATIENTS: A total of 8,356 consecutive adult admissions to either the medical or surgical/trauma/burn ICU with available continuous electrocardiogram data. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: From 74 patient-years of every 15-minute observations, we detected atrial fibrillation in 1,610 admissions (19%), with median burden less than 2%. Most atrial fibrillation was paroxysmal; less than 2% of admissions were always in atrial fibrillation. New-onset atrial fibrillation was subclinical or went undocumented in 626, or 8% of all ICU admissions. Advanced age, acute respiratory failure, and sepsis were the strongest predictors of new-onset atrial fibrillation. In propensity-adjusted regression analyses, clinical new-onset atrial fibrillation was associated with increased hospital mortality (odds ratio, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.01-2.63) and longer length of stay (2.25 d; CI, 0.58-3.92). New-onset atrial fibrillation was not associated with survival after hospital discharge (hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.76-1.28 and hazard ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.67-1.83, respectively, for subclinical and clinical new-onset atrial fibrillation). CONCLUSIONS: Automated analysis of continuous electrocardiogram heart rate dynamics detects new-onset atrial fibrillation in many ICU patients. Though often transient and frequently unrecognized, new-onset atrial fibrillation is associated with poor hospital outcomes.

A pilot comparison of standardized online surgical curricula for use in low- and middle-income countries.

IMPORTANCE: Surgical conditions are an important component of global disease burden, due in part to critical shortages of adequately trained surgical providers in low- and middle-income countries. OBJECTIVES: To assess the use of Internet-based educational platforms as a feasible approach to augmenting the education and training of surgical providers in these settings. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Access to two online curricula was offered to 75 surgical faculty and trainees from 12 low- and middle-income countries for 60 days. The Surgical Council on Resident Education web portal was designed for general surgery trainees in the United States, and the School for Surgeons website was built by the Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland specifically for the College of Surgeons of East, Central and Southern Africa. Participants completed an anonymous online survey detailing their experiences with both platforms. Voluntary respondents were daily Internet users and endorsed frequent use of both print and online textbooks as references. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Likert scale survey questionnaire responses indicating overall and content-specific experiences with the Surgical Council on Resident Education and School for Surgeons curricula. RESULTS: Survey responses were received from 27 participants. Both online curricula were rated favorably, with no statistically significant differences in stated willingness to use and recommend either platform to colleagues. Despite regional variations in practice context, there were few perceived hurdles to future curriculum adoption. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Both the Surgical Council on Resident Education and School for Surgeons educational curricula were well received by respondents in low- and middle-income countries. Although one was designed for US surgical postgraduates and the other for sub-Saharan African surgical providers, there were no significant differences detected in participant responses between the two platforms. Online educational resources have promise as an effective means to enhance the education of surgical providers in low- and middle-income countries.

Burn management in sub-Saharan Africa: opportunities for implementation of dedicated training and development of specialty centers.

BACKGROUND: In low- and middle-income countries burn injuries remain responsible for a large burden of death and disability. Given an annual worldwide incidence of almost 11 million new individuals affected per year, major burn injuries have a higher annual incidence than HIV and tuberculosis combined. METHODS: A survey instrument was adapted for use as an international assessment tool and then used to measure the availability of personnel, materials, equipment, medicines, and facility resources in nine Rwandan hospitals, including three referral centers. RESULTS: Forty-four percent of surveyed hospitals had a dedicated acute-care burn ward, while two-thirds had intensive care options. Relevant wound-care supplies were widely available, but gaps in the availability of critical pieces of equipment such as monitors, ventilators, infusion pumps, electrocautery, and dermatomes were discovered in many of the surveyed institutions, including referral hospitals. Early excision and grafting were not performed in any of the hospitals and there were no physicians with specialty training in burn care. CONCLUSIONS: Whereas all surveyed hospitals were theoretically equipped to handle the initial resuscitation of burn patients, none of the hospitals were capable of delivering comprehensive care due to gaps in equipment, personnel, protocols, and training. Accordingly, steps to improve capacity to care for those with thermal injury should include training of physicians specialized in critical care and trauma surgery, as well as plastic and reconstructive surgery. Consideration should be given to creation of national referral centers specializing in burn care.

Effects of leading mortality risk factors among trauma patients vary by age.

BACKGROUND: Patient age is well recognized as a factor that contributes to increased mortality risk among trauma patients. Less well recognized is the potential that the strength of the effects of other risk factors that increase mortality risk may depend on a patient's age. This study examines whether the statistical relationship between trauma patient survival and key mortality risk factors varies significantly by patient age in years, across mechanisms of injury. METHODS: The statistical interaction between age and values of key risk factors included in the Trauma Quality Improvement Program mortality risk adjustment model is assessed using patient data included in the 2008 National Trauma Data Bank National Sample Program. Multivariable logistic regression analysis is used to assess the statistical significance of the interaction effect on patient morality risk for key mortality risk factors and patient age in years, across mechanisms of injury. RESULTS: Statistically significant interactions (p < 0.01) occurred between age and each of the selected risk factors, for each common mechanism of injury. Differences also occurred in the direction of the interactions between age and selected risk factors, across mechanism of injury. CONCLUSION: The effects of key risk factors included in trauma patient mortality risk adjustment models vary depending on patient age in years, for each commonly occurring mechanism of injury. Statistical models assessing patient mortality risk could be meaningfully improved by accounting for these interaction effects. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and epidemiologic study, level III.

The effect of dead-on-arrival and emergency department death classification on risk-adjusted performance in the American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program.

BACKGROUND: The American College of Surgeons' Trauma Quality Improvement Program is focused on identifying variations in outcomes across trauma centers for the purposes of performance improvement. In previous analyses, patients who died in the emergency department were excluded. We investigated the effect of inclusion and exclusion of emergency department (ED) deaths (dead on arrival [DOA] and died in ED [DIE]) on analyses of overall risk-adjusted trauma center performance. METHODS: Data for patients admitted to 65 Trauma Quality Improvement Program hospitals during the 2009 calendar year was used. A logistic regression model was developed to estimate risk-adjusted mortality. Trauma centers were then ranked based on their observed-to-expected (O/E) mortality ratio with 90% confidence intervals (CIs) and classified by outlier status: low outliers/high performers had a 90% CI for O/E mortality ratio of less than 1, and high outliers/low performers had a 90% CI for O/E mortality ratio of greater than 1. Changes in outlier status, rank, and quartile were examined with and without DOA and DIE patients included in the analyses to discern the impact of such exclusions on overall risk-adjusted center-specific performance. RESULTS: Thirty-one trauma centers (48%) reported no DOA patients in 2009, while 6 centers (9%) reported more than 10. Of 224 patients, 14 (6.2%) had a documented time of death of more than 30 minutes after ED arrival despite being recorded as DOA. Forty-one trauma centers (63%) changed rank by three positions or less. Ten trauma centers changed their quartile ranking by a single quartile, but no centers were found to change quartile rank more than one quartile. Changes in outlier status occurred for 6 trauma centers (9%). CONCLUSION: The relative frequency of patients classified as DOA varies greatly between trauma centers. Misclassification of patients as DOA occurs. Inclusion of ED deaths in risk-adjusted analysis of mortality results in a small but insignificant change in predicting the outcome results of a trauma center. This change is less than the rate of finding a center to be a high or low outlier by chance alone using the 90% CI. Inclusion of DOA and DIE patients in risk-adjusted analysis of mortality is appropriate and eliminates the bias introduced by exclusion of ED deaths owing to misuse of the DOA classification. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic/epidemiologic study, level III.

Evaluation and management of geriatric trauma: an Eastern Association for the Surgery of Trauma practice management guideline.

BACKGROUND: Aging patients constitute an increasing proportion of patients treated at trauma centers. Previous and existing guidelines addressing care of the injured elder have not adequately addressed emerging data regarding optimal means for undertaking triage decisions, correcting coagulopathy, and the limitations of supraphysiologic resuscitation. METHODS: More than 400 MEDLINE citations published between the years 2000 and 2008 were identified and screened. A total of 90 references were selected for the evidentiary table followed by consensus-based discussions regarding the level of evidence and the strength of recommendations that could be derived from the related findings of the individual studies. RESULTS: In general, a lower threshold for trauma activation should be used for injured patients aged 65 years or older who are evaluated at trauma centers. Furthermore, elderly patients with at least one body system with an AIS score of 3 or higher or a base deficit of -6 or less should be treated at trauma centers, preferably in intensive care units staffed by surgeon-intensivists. In addition, all elderly patients who receive daily therapeutic anticoagulation should have appropriate assessment of their coagulation profile and cross-sectional imaging of the brain as soon as possible after admission where appropriate. In patients aged 65 years or older with a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score less than 8, if substantial improvement in GCS is not realized within 72 hours of injury, consideration should be given to limiting further aggressive therapeutic interventions. CONCLUSION: Effective evidence-based care of aging patients necessitates aggressive triage, correction of coagulopathy, and limitation of care when clinical evidence points toward an overwhelming likelihood of poor long-term prognosis.

Ocular injuries in trauma patients: an analysis of 28,340 trauma admissions in the 2003-2007 National Trauma Data Bank National Sample Program.

BACKGROUND: Trauma-induced eye injuries are the leading cause of monocular blindness in the United States. Few studies to date have focused on ocular injuries in the trauma population. Our intent was to determine the annual percentage of ocular injury, types of injuries, and percentage with ocular injury-related procedures performed during the same hospitalization. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis of 28,340 patient records included in the National Trauma Data Bank National Sample Program from 2003 to 2007. Patients with ocular injuries and related procedures were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis and procedure codes and were subsequently grouped into categories of ocular injury using the criteria of the Barell body region injury diagnosis matrix. Weighted national estimates for the proportion of patients with ocular trauma were calculated based on the relative weights for patients in each facility within the sample universe. Weighted frequencies were expressed as a percentage of the total population of trauma admissions, with 95% confidence intervals calculated for precision. RESULTS: During the time frame examined, 1.97% to 6.00% of annual trauma patient admissions included ocular injuries. The most common injuries were contusions or superficial injuries and then closed orbit fractures accounting for 0.95% to 2.48% and 0.58% to 2.37% of all injuries, respectively. Between 0.56% and 1.52% of annual trauma admission had both ocular trauma and related procedures during their hospitalization. Popular treatments were therapeutic procedures on eyelids, conjunctiva, and/or cornea occurring in 0.15% to 0.84% of all trauma patients. Facial fracture-related procedures were reported for between 0.16% and 0.65% of all trauma patient admissions. CONCLUSION: The National Trauma Data Bank National Sample Program can be used to create useful estimates of ocular injury characteristics among patients seen in the population seen in trauma centers, including types of ocular injury and related procedures performed during the same admission. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Epidemiologic study, level V.

The surgical safety checklist: lessons learned during implementation.

Procedural checklists may be useful for increasing the reliability of safety-critical processes because of their potential capacity to improve teamwork, situation awareness, and error catching. To test the hypothesized utility and adaptability of checklists to surgical teams, we performed a randomized controlled trial of procedural checklists to determine their capacity to increase the frequency of safety-critical behaviors during 47 laparoscopic cholecystectomies. Ten attending surgeons at an academic tertiary care center were randomized into two equal groups - half of these surgeons received basic team training and used a preprocedural checklist whereas the other half performed standard laparoscopic cholecystectomies. All procedures were videotaped and scored by trained reviewers for the presence of safety-critical behaviors. There were no differences detected in patient outcomes, case times, or technical proficiency between groups. Cases performed by surgeons in the intervention (checklist) group were significantly more likely to involve positive safety-related team behaviors such as case presentations, explicit discussions of roles and responsibilities, contingency planning, equipment checks, and postcase debriefings. Overall, situational awareness did not significantly differ between the intervention and control groups. Participants in the intervention (checklist) group consistently rated their cases as involving less satisfactory subjective levels of comfort, team efficiency, and communication compared with those performed by surgeons in the control group. Surgical procedural safety checklists have the capacity to increase the frequency of positive team behaviors in the operating room during laparoscopic surgery. Adapting to the use of a procedural checklist may be initially uncomfortable for participants.

What is the safety of nonemergent operative procedures performed at night? A study of 10,426 operations at an academic tertiary care hospital using the American College of Surgeons national surgical quality program improvement database.

BACKGROUND: Ever-increasing numbers of in-house acute care surgeons and competition for operating room time during normal daytime business hours have led to an increased frequency of nonemergent general and vascular surgery procedures occurring at night when there are fewer residents, consultants, nurses, and support staff available for assistance. This investigation tests the hypothesis that patients undergoing such procedures after hours are at increased risk for postoperative morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Clinical data for 10,426 operative procedures performed over a 5-year period at a single academic tertiary care hospital were obtained from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Database. The prevalence of preoperative comorbid conditions, postoperative length of stay, morbidity, and mortality was compared between two cohorts of patients: one who underwent nonemergent operative procedures at night and other who underwent similar procedures during the day. Subsequent statistical comparisons utilized chi tests for comparisons of categorical variables and F-tests for continuous variables. RESULTS: Patients undergoing procedures at night had a greater prevalence of serious preoperative comorbid conditions. Procedure complexity as measured by relative value unit did not differ between groups, but length of stay was longer after night procedures (7.8 days vs. 4.3 days, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing nonemergent general and vascular surgery procedures at night in an academic medical center do not seem to be at increased risk for postoperative morbidity or mortality. Performing nonemergent procedures at night seems to be a safe solution for daytime overcrowding of operating rooms.

Trauma.

In terms of cost and years of potential lives lost, injury arguably remains the most important public health problem facing the United States. Care of traumatically injured patients depends on early surgical intervention and avoiding delays in the diagnosis of injuries that threaten life and limb. In the critical care phase, successful outcomes after injury depend almost solely on diligence, attention to detail, and surveillance for iatrogenic infections and complications.

Effects of peritoneal injury and endotoxin on myoelectric activity and transit.

BACKGROUND: The combined effects of peritoneal injury and intraabdominal infection on gastrointestinal motility in postoperative ileus are poorly understood MATERIALS AND METHODS: Sprague Dawley rats underwent placement of three electrodes on the small intestine and a tube gastrostomy. Animals were divided into four groups: a control (n = 12), a peritoneal injury (PI, n = 12), a peritoneal injection of lipopolysaccharide (LPS, n = 12), and a LPS + PI group (n = 12). After myoelectric activity recording on postoperative day (POD) 1, half of the rats in each group underwent intestinal transit studies. The remainder of the rats underwent another myoelectric activity recording as well as intestinal transit study at 48 h after operation RESULTS: Although six to eight of rats in the control, PI, and LPS groups recovered migrating myoelectric complex (MMC) on POD 1, no rats in the LPS + PI group recovered MMC by POD 1. The transit distance on POD 1 in the PI (36 +/- 2.5 cm) and LPS + PI group (38 +/- 2.8 cm) was shorter than that in the control group (53 +/- 2.0 cm, P < 0.05) CONCLUSIONS: Full recovery of liquid intestinal transit precedes the return of MMC activity after abdominal surgery in the rats. Peritoneal injury causes decreased intestinal transit and when combined with intraabdominal injection of LPS may cause the delayed recovery of MMC activity.