ABSTRACT
Around the world, data on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) are heterogeneous in terms of outcomes and reporting, and not all registries follow the Utstein recommendations for uniform OHCA data collection. This study reports data on OHCA occurring in recent years in a limited territory to analyze, in a homogenous setting, the circumstances and interventions affecting survival to hospital admission. OHCA data from the province of Varese for the years 2020-2022 were extracted from a prospective registry. For survival to hospital admission, the impact of pandemic waves and variables known to affect survival was evaluated both in the overall population and in the subgroup of patients in whom cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) was initiated or continued by the emergency medical service (EMS). Overall, 3263 OHCAs occurred mainly at home (88%), with a time to intervention of 13.7 min, which was significantly longer during lockdown (15.7 min). Bystanders performed CPR in 22% of the cases and used automatic external defibrillator (AED) in 2.2% of the cases. Overall survival to hospital admission was 7.7%. In the multivariate analysis, in the general population, occurrence near a public building (OR 1.92), the presence of witnesses (OR 2.65), and a shockable rhythm (OR 7.04) were independent predictors of survival to hospital admission, whereas age (OR 0.97) and occurrence during a pandemic wave (OR 0.62) were associated with significantly worse survival to hospital admission. In the group of patients who received CPR, AED shock by bystanders was the only independent predictor of survival (OR 3.14) to hospital admission. Among other factors, early defibrillation was of crucial importance to improve survival to hospital admission in possibly rescuable patients. The occurrence of OHCA during pandemic waves was associated with longer intervention time and worse survival to hospital admission.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The relationship between COVID-19 and out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCAs) has been shown during different phases of the first pandemic wave, but little is known about how to predict where cardiac arrests will increase in case of a third peak. AIM: To seek for a correlation between the OHCAs and COVID-19 daily incidence both during the two pandemic waves at a provincial level. METHODS: We considered all the OHCAs occurred in the provinces of Pavia, Lodi, Cremona, Mantua and Varese, in Lombardy Region (Italy), from 21/02/2020 to 31/12/2020. We divided the study period into period 1, the first 157 days after the outbreak and including the first pandemic wave and period 2, the second 158 days including the second pandemic wave. We calculated the cumulative and daily incidence of OHCA and COVID-19 for the whole territory and for each province for both periods. RESULTS: A significant correlation between the daily incidence of COVID-19 and the daily incidence of OHCAs was observed both during the first and the second pandemic period in the whole territory (R = 0.4, p<0.001 for period 1 and 2) and only in those provinces with higher COVID-19 cumulative incidence (period 1: Cremona R = 0.3, p = 0.001; Lodi R = 0.4, p<0.001; Pavia R = 0.3; p = 0.01; period 2: Varese R = 0.4, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that strictly monitoring the pandemic trend may help in predict which territories will be more likely to experience an OHCAs' increase. That may also serve as a guide to re-allocate properly health resources in case of further pandemic waves.
