Switch to fixed-dose doravirine (100 mg) with islatravir (0·75 mg) once daily in virologically suppressed adults with HIV-1 on bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide: 48-week results of a phase 3, randomised, controlled, double-blind, non-inferiority trial.

BACKGROUND: Doravirine and islatravir is an investigational, once-daily regimen with high antiviral potency, favourable safety and tolerability, and a low propensity for resistance. We investigated a switch from bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide to doravirine (100 mg) and islatravir (0·75 mg) in virologically suppressed adults with HIV-1. METHODS: We conducted a phase 3, multicentre, randomised, active-controlled, double-blind, double-dummy, non-inferiority trial at 89 research, community, and hospital-based clinics in 11 countries. Adults aged 18 years or older with fewer than 50 HIV-1 RNA copies per mL for at least 3 months on bictegravir (50 mg), emtricitabine (200 mg), and tenofovir alafenamide (25 mg) and no history of previous virological failure on any past or current regimen were randomly assigned (1:1) by a computer-generated randomisation allocation schedule, with block randomisation based on a block size of four, to switch to doravirine (100 mg) and islatravir (0·75 mg) or continue bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide orally once daily, with matching placebos taken by all participants. Participants, investigators, study staff, and sponsor personnel involved in study drug administration or clinical evaluation of participants were masked to treatment assignment until week 48. Participants were instructed at each visit to take one tablet from each of the two bottles received, one of study drug and one of placebo, once daily, and participants were assessed at baseline and weeks 4, 12, 24, 36, and 48. The primary endpoint was the proportion of participants with greater than or equal to 50 HIV-1 RNA copies per mL at week 48 in the full analysis set (ie, all participants who received at least one dose of study drug; US Food and Drug Administration snapshot; prespecified non-inferiority margin 4%). The study is ongoing, with all remaining participants in post-treatment follow-up, and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04223791. FINDINGS: We screened 726 individuals for eligibility between Feb 18 and Sept 3, 2020, of whom 643 (88·6%) participants were randomly assigned to a treatment group (183 [28·5%] women and 460 [71·5%] men). 322 participants were switched to doravirine (100 mg) and islatravir (0·75 mg) and 321 continued bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide (two participants [one with a protocol deviation and one who withdrew] assigned to bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide did not receive treatment). The last follow-up visit for the week 48 analysis occurred on Aug 26, 2021. At week 48, two (0·6%) of 322 participants in the doravirine and islatravir group compared with one (0·3%) of 319 participants in the bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group had greater than or equal to 50 HIV-1 RNA copies per mL (difference 0·3%, 95% CI -1·2 to 2·0). The per-protocol analysis showed consistent results. 25 (7·8%) participants in the doravirine and islatravir group had headache compared with 23 [7·2%] participants in the bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group; 101 (31·4%) compared with 98 (30·7%) had infections; and eight (2·5%) participants in each group discontinued therapy due to adverse events. 32 (9·9%) participants had treatment-related adverse events in the islatravir and doravirine group comapred with 38 (11·9%) in the bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group. In the islatravir and doravirine group, CD4 cell counts (mean change -19·7 cells per µL) and total lymphocyte counts (mean change -0·20 × 109/L) were decreased at 48 weeks. INTERPRETATION: Switching to daily doravirine (100 mg) and islatravir (0·75 mg) was non-inferior to bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide at week 48. However, decreases in CD4 cell and total lymphocyte counts do not support the further development of once-daily doravirine (100 mg) and islatravir (0·75 mg). FUNDING: Merck Sharp & Dohme, a subsidiary of Merck & Co.

Trends in mortality in people with HIV from 1999 to 2020: a multi-cohort collaboration.

BACKGROUND: Mortality among people with HIV declined with the introduction of combination antiretroviral therapy. We investigated trends over time in all-cause and cause-specific mortality in people with HIV from 1999-2020. METHODS: Data were collected from the D:A:D cohort from 1999 through January 2015 and RESPOND from October 2017 through 2020. Age-standardized all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates, classified using Coding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe), were calculated. Poisson regression models were used to assess mortality trends over time. RESULTS: Among 55716 participants followed for a median of 6 years (IQR 3-11), 5263 participants died (crude mortality rate [MR] 13.7/1000 PYFU; 95%CI 13.4-14.1). Changing patterns of mortality were observed with AIDS as the most common cause of death between 1999- 2009 (n = 952, MR 4.2/1000 PYFU; 95%CI 4.0-4.5) and non-AIDS defining malignancy (NADM) from 2010 -2020 (n = 444, MR 2.8/1000 PYFU; 95%CI 2.5-3.1). In multivariable analysis, all-cause mortality declined over time (adjusted mortality rate ratio [aMRR] 0.97 per year; 95%CI 0.96, 0.98), mostly from 1999 through 2010 (aMRR 0.96 per year; 95%CI 0.95-0.97), and with no decline shown from 2011 through 2020 (aMRR 1·00 per year; 95%CI 0·96-1·05). Mortality due all known causes except NADM also declined over the entire follow-up period. CONCLUSION: Mortality among people with HIV in the D:A:D and/or RESPOND cohorts decreased between 1999 and 2009 and was stable over the period from 2010 through 2020. The decline in mortality rates was not fully explained by improvements in immunologic-virologic status or other risk factors.

A single cell atlas of frozen shoulder capsule identifies features associated with inflammatory fibrosis resolution.

Frozen shoulder is a spontaneously self-resolving chronic inflammatory fibrotic human disease, which distinguishes the condition from most fibrotic diseases that are progressive and irreversible. Using single-cell analysis, we identify pro-inflammatory MERTKlowCD48+ macrophages and MERTK + LYVE1 + MRC1+ macrophages enriched for negative regulators of inflammation which co-exist in frozen shoulder capsule tissues. Micro-cultures of patient-derived cells identify integrin-mediated cell-matrix interactions between MERTK+ macrophages and pro-resolving DKK3+ and POSTN+ fibroblasts, suggesting that matrix remodelling plays a role in frozen shoulder resolution. Cross-tissue analysis reveals a shared gene expression cassette between shoulder capsule MERTK+ macrophages and a respective population enriched in synovial tissues of rheumatoid arthritis patients in disease remission, supporting the concept that MERTK+ macrophages mediate resolution of inflammation and fibrosis. Single-cell transcriptomic profiling and spatial analysis of human foetal shoulder tissues identify MERTK + LYVE1 + MRC1+ macrophages and DKK3+ and POSTN+ fibroblast populations analogous to those in frozen shoulder, suggesting that the template to resolve fibrosis is established during shoulder development. Crosstalk between MerTK+ macrophages and pro-resolving DKK3+ and POSTN+ fibroblasts could facilitate resolution of frozen shoulder, providing a basis for potential therapeutic resolution of persistent fibrotic diseases.

Absence of lunar phobia in European swarming vespertilionid bats.

"Lunar phobia" in bats has been widely discussed since its description in tropical bats in 1978. The phenomenon has been frequently contested and supported and was first reported in European bats in 2020. Our study seeks to clarify the debate by describing the relationship between the activity of selected swarming vespertilionid bats (Family: Vespertilionidae) and moonlight levels. To verify a potential connection to the latter, a swarming dataset was analysed in respect of estimated moonlight illumination. Moonlight estimates were based on geographical location and several lunar parameters, to accurately characterise the non-linear relationship between moon phase and illumination (lux). The swarming data consisted of 32 netting and 14 echolocation recording sessions collected between August and October 2014 and 2015. Our data included 3,265 netted bats from 13 species and 15,919 bat calls from 10 confirmed species. Data was collected at the large Central European hibernation/swarming site - Natura 2000 PLH080003 "Nietoperek" in western Poland (N 52.394400, E 15.480600). Generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) determined insignificant relationships between bats and moonlight illumination. Our analysis confirms an absence of impact of moonlight intensity on swarming bats and thereby rejects the lunar phobia phenomena in at least six insectivorous bat species (Myotis myotis, M. daubentonii, M. nattereri, M. bechsteinii, Barbastella barbastellus, Plecotus auritus) swarming in the autumn.

Editorial Commentary: Evidence for Patch Augmentation of Rotator Cuff Repair Is Weak.

Rotator cuff repair has a substantial failure rate despite various attempts to improve outcome and prevent a retear. Patch augmentation is an intuitively appealing approach to seek to reduce failure rate and improve outcomes for patients. Two main augmentation approaches are used: "on-lay" and "bridging." The literature is heterogeneous, and the best approach is uncertain. The evidence on patch augmentation for rotator cuff repair is both disparate and weak. Large randomized trials and registry data are required to move the field, ensure patient safety, and avoid wasting precious resources.

Predictors of severe and recurrent adult anaphylaxis, and gaps in the cascade of care: a retrospective, single-centre study 2009-2018.

BACKGROUND: Anaphylaxis is a severe, potentially fatal, systemic allergic reaction. Understanding predictors of recurrent and severe anaphylaxis in adults, and identifying gaps in ongoing anaphylaxis care, is needed to minimise its impact. AIMS: To evaluate the risk factors in adults with severe and recurrent anaphylaxis presentations and to evaluate the management of patients in regard to the recommended cascade of care. METHODS: We completed a retrospective audit of adults with confirmed anaphylaxis who presented to an inner-city emergency department from 1 January 2009 through 31 December 2018. Data recorded included demographics, background history, medication use, severity, co-factors, triggers, management, discharge disposition and referral for follow-up. Data were managed in REDCap and analysed using Stata. Associations were assessed through odds ratios (ORs) and t tests. RESULTS: Six hundred sixteen individuals had 689 episodes of anaphylaxis over the audit period. Age over 65 (OR: 5.4 (95% confidence interval, CI: 2.3-13.2), P < 0.0001) and history of asthma (OR: 1.6 (95% CI: 1.03-2.5), P = 0.03) were independent risk factors for severe anaphylaxis. History of food allergy (P < 0.001) and food as the trigger were associated with recurrent presentations (OR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.1-3.9, P = 0.01). Only 19% of patients met the recommended cascade of care, with post-adrenaline monitoring and recommending follow-up with an allergy specialist demonstrating the largest gaps. There were increased presentations with time but no difference in triggers or severity. CONCLUSIONS: Increased age and asthma were identified as risk factors for severe presentations. History of food allergy was a risk factor for recurrent presentations. Further research is needed on the gaps in care for adults with anaphylaxis to identify the reasons why, so we can better care for these patients.

A Hybrid Electrospun-Extruded Polydioxanone Suture for Tendon Tissue Regeneration.

Many surgical tendon repairs fail despite advances in surgical materials and techniques. Tendon repair failure can be partially attributed to the tendon's poor intrinsic healing capacity and the repurposing of sutures from other clinical applications. Electrospun materials show promise as a biological scaffold to support endogenous tendon repair, but their relatively low tensile strength has limited their clinical translation. It is hypothesized that combining electrospun fibers with a material with increased tensile strength may improve the suture's mechanical properties while retaining biophysical cues necessary to encourage cell-mediated repair. This article describes the production of a hybrid electrospun-extruded suture with a sheath of submicron electrospun fibers and a core of melt-extruded fibers. The porosity and tensile strength of this hybrid suture is compared with an electrospun-only braided suture and clinically used sutures Vicryl and polydioxanone (PDS). Bioactivity is assessed by measuring the adsorbed serum proteins on electrospun and melt-extruded filaments using mass spectrometry. Human hamstring tendon fibroblast attachment and proliferation were quantified and compared between the hybrid and control sutures. Combining an electrospun sheath with melt-extruded cores created a hybrid braid with increased tensile strength (70.1 ± 0.3N) compared with an electrospun only suture (12.9 ± 1 N, p < 0.0001). The hybrid suture had a similar force at break to clinical sutures, but lower stiffness and stress. The Young's modulus was 772.6 ± 32 MPa for the hybrid suture, 1693.0 ± 69 MPa for PDS, and 3838.0 ± 132 MPa for Vicryl, p < 0.0001. Hybrid sutures had lower overall porosity than electrospun-only sutures (40 ± 4% and 60 ± 7%, respectively, p = 0.0018) but had a significantly larger overall porosity and average pore diameter compared with surgical sutures. There were similar clusters of adsorbed proteins on electrospun and melt-extruded filaments, which were distinct from PDS. Tendon fibroblast attachment and cell proliferation on hybrid and electrospun sutures were significantly higher than on clinical sutures. This study demonstrated that a bioactive suture with increased tensile strength and lower stiffness could be produced by adding a core of 10 µm melt-extruded fibers to a sheath of electrospun fibers. In contrast to currently used sutures, the hybrid sutures promoted a bioactive response: serum proteins adsorbed, and fibroblasts attached, survived, grew along the sutures, and adopted appropriate morphologies.

Delabeling, safety, and impact of ß-lactam allergy testing: A systematic review.

Background: To improve ß-lactam delabeling outcomes, we need to understand current practice and the evidence base regarding its outcomes, safety, and impact. Objectives: We sought to assess the existing published evidence reporting on the effectiveness of penicillin allergy testing and delabeling. Methods: We conducted a systematic review of studies reporting ß-lactam delabeling practices and outcomes after testing, including ß-lactam use and patient understanding of the delabeling result. Searches of the PubMed, Scopus, and Embase databases; clinical trial registries; and websites of professional organizations were conducted. Data were extracted from the included studies in duplicate, with a third extraction if discrepancies remained. Results: We included 284 publications (covering 98,316 participants); 173 were prospective studies, with no randomized controlled trials. The overall study quality was low. In all, 95.6% of individuals who underwent provocation testing were delabeled. Factors associated with successful delabeling could not be determined because of significant heterogeneity between studies. Anaphylaxis due to testing occurred in 0.3% of participants (95 of 31,667). Subjects who did not undergo skin testing (6,980 patients in 31 studies) before challenge had higher rates of provocation test positivity (8.8% vs 4.1% [P < .0001]) and anaphylaxis (15.9% vs 2.7% [P < .0001]) than those subjects who underwent skin testing (51,607 patients in 177 studies). Six studies (2.1%) followed patients after testing to assess their adherence to prescribing recommendations. In all, 136 participants (20.6%) were actively avoiding ß-lactams despite delabeling. Conclusions: The available data suggest that penicillin allergy testing is safe and effective in delabeling most individuals, but the evidence base is incomplete and more work is required to assess the role of skin testing and the impact that delabeling is having on prescribing habits.

HIV drug resistance in the era of contemporary antiretroviral therapy: A clinical perspective.

Contemporary antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens have high barriers to the development of drug resistance. However, resistance to earlier antiretrovirals and uncommon cases of resistance to contemporary ART illustrate the continued need for good clinical management of HIV drug resistance. Here, we describe HIV drug-resistance mechanisms, the interaction of HIV drug-resistant mutations and the patterns of drug resistance to contemporary ART. We then provide guidance on the management of HIV drug resistance, including how to limit the development of resistance and manage virologic failure that is complicated by resistance. To complement this, links to resources and treatment guidelines are provided that can assist with the interpretation of HIV drug resistance test results and optimal ART selection in the clinic.

Cellular characterisation of advanced osteoarthritis knee synovium.

OBJECTIVES: Osteoarthritis (OA) is increasingly recognised as a whole joint disease, with an important role for synovium. However, the repertoire of immune cells and fibroblasts that constitute OA synovium remains understudied. This study aims to characterise the cellular composition of advanced OA synovium and to explore potential correlations between different cell types and patient demographics or clinical scores. METHODS: Synovium, collected from 10 patients with advanced OA during total knee replacement surgery, was collagenase-digested, and cells were stained for flow cytometry analysis. Formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded synovium was sectioned, stained with immunofluorescence, and imaged using the multiplex Cell DIVE platform. Patient demographics and clinical scores were also collected. RESULTS: The proportion of immune cells in OA synovium varied between patients (8-38% of all cells). Macrophages and T cells were the dominant immune cell populations, together representing 76% of immune cells. Age positively correlated with the proportion of macrophages, and negatively correlated with T cells. CCR6+ T cells were found in 6/10 patients; these patients had a higher mean Kellgren-Lawrence grade across the three knee compartments. Immunofluorescence staining showed that macrophages were present in the lining as well as distributed throughout the sublining, while T and B cells were mainly localised near vessels in the sublining. Fibroblast subsets (CD45-PDPN+) based on the expression of CD34/CD90 or FAP/CD90 were identified in all patient samples, and some populations correlate with the percentage of immune cells or clinical scores. Immunofluorescence staining showed that FAP expression was particularly strong in the lining layer, but also present throughout the sublining layer. CD90 expression was exclusively found around vessels in the sublining, while CD34 was mostly found in the sublining but also occasionally in the lining layer. CONCLUSIONS: There are significant differences in the relative proportions and subsets of immune cells in OA synovium; exploratory correlative analyses suggest that these differences might be correlated with age, clinical scores, or fibroblast subsets. Additional studies are required to understand how different cell types affect OA pathobiology, and if the presence or proportion of cell subsets relates to disease phenotypes.

Constraining the contribution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to Last Interglacial sea level.

Polar temperatures during the Last Interglacial [LIG; ~129 to 116 thousand years (ka)] were warmer than today, making this time period an important testing ground to better understand how ice sheets respond to warming. However, it remains debated how much and when the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets changed during this period. Here, we present a combination of new and existing absolutely dated LIG sea-level observations from Britain, France, and Denmark. Because of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), the LIG Greenland ice melt contribution to sea-level change in this region is small, which allows us to constrain Antarctic ice change. We find that the Antarctic contribution to LIG global mean sea level peaked early in the interglacial (before 126 ka), with a maximum contribution of 5.7 m (50th percentile, 3.6 to 8.7 m central 68% probability) before declining. Our results support an asynchronous melt history over the LIG, with an early Antarctic contribution followed by later Greenland Ice Sheet mass loss.

Anal cancer: a 20-year retrospective study from Australia.

BACKGROUNDS: Anal cancer is an uncommon condition, occurring at higher rates in specific subpopulations. Clinical experience is limited and substantial changes have recently occurred in our understanding of this condition. We, therefore, set out to characterize patients presenting with anal cancer and investigate whether there have been any changes over the past 20 years. METHODS: Retrospective audit of cases identified from pathology and clinical databases during the period 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2019. RESULTS: Two hundred and sixteen patients had anal squamous cell carcinomas, comprising 160 (74%) males and 56 (26%) females. Mean age at initial diagnosis was 55.1 ± 11.20 for males and 60.6 ± 15.18 for females (P = 0.02). At initial diagnosis, HIV-positive cases were significantly younger than HIV negative cases (mean 52.2 ± 9.35 vs. 62.8 ± 11.61, P < 0.001); 46% of cases were classified as intra-anal, 29% perianal and 25% both; 52% were > 2 cm at diagnosis. At presentation, intra-anal cases were larger and more advanced than perianal cases (P = 0.049). Compared with the period 2000-2009, anal cancers presented more commonly in 2010-2019 (148 vs. 76), were more likely to occur in HIV-negative people and to be diagnosed at a similar stage. CONCLUSION: The number of anal cancer cases almost doubled over the study period and people living with HIV presented 10 years younger than others. Perianal cases presented earlier than those originating in intra-anal locations. Together with the large size at diagnosis, this suggests the potential value of screening, particularly for intra-anal cancers in those at high risk.

Relationship between shoulder abduction strength and rotator cuff tear in elderly women: a general population study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of age-related rotator cuff tears on shoulder strength in a general population cohort. DESIGN: Cross sectional observational study. SETTING: This study was set in an outpatient clinic setting in Chingford, North East London, and was a component of the 20 year visit of the Chingford 1000 women cohort. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals were part of the Chingford 1000 women cohort, a 20-year-old longitudinal population study. This cohort has been extensively characterised as representative of the population of the UK. At the 20 year visit, 446 attended for shoulder assessment and were aged between 64 and 87. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Isometric shoulder abduction strength measured using a Nottingham Mecmesin Myometer and the presence of rotator cuff pathology, determined via ultrasound examination (GE voluson i portable ultrasound machine with a 10-16MHz linear probe). Shoulders were classified into normal, abnormal tendon/partial tear, full-thickness tears (>0 and ≤2.5 cm) and full-thickness tears (>2.5 cm). Symptoms were defined using the Oxford Shoulder Score, where an abnormal score was defined as symptomatic. RESULTS: 446 women (891 shoulders) aged 71 (range 65-84) were included in the study. Age, the presence of pain and the non-dominant arm were demonstrated to reduce strength. Rotator cuff tears and pathology had no isolated effect on shoulder strength in those aged under 70. However, in the over 70s full-thickness tears>0 and ≤2.5 cm, and >2.5 cm had mean reductions of 6.3 and 12.7 N, respectively (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Rotator cuff tears of all sizes in those aged under 70 were not associated with a loss of shoulder strength. In those aged over 70, strength was reduced by 30% with small and 40% with large full thickness tears. Loss in strength was associated a loss of ability to perform activities of daily living but only for large tears.

Neutralization of excessive levels of active TGF-ß1 reduces MSC recruitment and differentiation to mitigate peritendinous adhesion.

Peritendinous adhesion formation (PAF) can substantially limit the range of motion of digits. However, the origin of myofibroblasts in PAF tissues is still unclear. In this study, we found that the concentration of active TGF-ß1 and the numbers of macrophages, mesenchymal stromal cells (MSCs), and myofibroblasts in human and mouse adhesion tissues were increased. Furthermore, knockout of TGF-ß1 in macrophages or TGF-ß1R2 in MSCs inhibited PAF by reducing MSC and myofibroblast infiltration and collagen I and III deposition, respectively. Moreover, we found that MSCs differentiated into myofibroblasts to form adhesion tissues. Systemic injection of the TGF-ß-neutralizing antibody 1D11 during the granulation formation stage of PAF significantly reduced the infiltration of MSCs and myofibroblasts and, subsequently, PAF. These results suggest that macrophage-derived TGF-ß1 recruits MSCs to form myofibroblasts in peritendinous adhesions. An improved understanding of PAF mechanisms could help identify a potential therapeutic strategy.

Trophic relationship between Salix flowers, Orthosia moths and the western barbastelle.

We present the results of a study which describes the relationship between the western barbastelle Barbastella barbastellus a highly specialised moth predator, and its prey-moths of the genus Orthosia, another selective animal known to converge around a dominant producer of pollen and nectar in early spring-willow trees Salix sp. In order to describe this trophic relationship, we conducted acoustic recordings at five paired sites (willow/control tree) in proximity to known barbastelle hibernation sites (Natura 2000: PLH080003 and PLH200014) beginning in mid-March 2022 after the first willow blossom sighting. Our study confirms a relationship between willow trees and barbastelles during early spring, as their activity around them was significantly higher than control sites. We also explore the activity of barbastelles over time, finding that activity levels around willows significantly decrease from the night of the first recorded bat, while the abundance of non-moth specialist bats remains consistent. Short-time importance (directly after hibernation) of willows for a moth specialist bat is probably due to other species blossom, attracting alternative prey, and in consequence-the bat. This newly described relationship should influence current conservation measures aimed at barbastelles.

Paleolakes and socioecological implications of last glacial "greening" of the South African interior.

Determining the timing and drivers of Pleistocene hydrological change in the interior of South Africa is critical for testing hypotheses regarding the presence, dynamics, and resilience of human populations. Combining geological data and physically based distributed hydrological modeling, we demonstrate the presence of large paleolakes in South Africa's central interior during the last glacial period, and infer a regional-scale invigoration of hydrological networks, particularly during marine isotope stages 3 and 2, most notably 55 to 39 ka and 34 to 31 ka. The resulting hydrological reconstructions further permit investigation of regional floral and fauna responses using a modern analog approach. These suggest that the climate change required to sustain these water bodies would have replaced xeric shrubland with more productive, eutrophic grassland or higher grass-cover vegetation, capable of supporting a substantial increase in ungulate diversity and biomass. The existence of such resource-rich landscapes for protracted phases within the last glacial period likely exerted a recurrent draw on human societies, evidenced by extensive pan-side artifact assemblages. Thus, rather than representing a perennially uninhabited hinterland, the central interior's underrepresentation in late Pleistocene archeological narratives likely reflects taphonomic biases stemming from a dearth of rockshelters and regional geomorphic controls. These findings suggest that South Africa's central interior experienced greater climatic, ecological, and cultural dynamism than previously appreciated and potential to host human populations whose archaeological signatures deserve systematic investigation.

HIV treatment-as-prevention and its effect on incidence of HIV among cisgender gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men in Australia: a 10-year longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although HIV treatment-as-prevention reduces individual-level HIV transmission, population-level effects are unclear. We aimed to investigate whether treatment-as-prevention could achieve population-level reductions in HIV incidence among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBM) in Australia's most populous states, New South Wales and Victoria. METHODS: TAIPAN was a longitudinal cohort study using routine health record data extracted from 69 health services that provide HIV diagnosis and care to GBM in New South Wales and Victoria, Australia. Data from Jan 1, 2010, to Dec 31, 2019, were linked within and between services and over time. TAIPAN collected data from all cisgender GBM who attended participating services, resided in New South Wales or Victoria, and were 16 years or older. Two cohorts were established: one included HIV-positive patients, and the other included HIV-negative patients. Population prevalence of viral suppression (plasma HIV viral load <200 RNA copies per µL) was calculated by combining direct measures of viral load among the HIV-positive cohort with estimates for undiagnosed GBM. The primary outcome of HIV incidence was measured directly via repeat testing in the HIV-negative cohort. Poisson regression analyses with generalised estimating equations assessed temporal associations between population prevalence of viral suppression and HIV incidence among the subsample of HIV-negative GBM with multiple instances of HIV testing. FINDINGS: At baseline, the final sample (n=101 772) included 90 304 HIV-negative and 11 468 HIV-positive GBM. 59 234 patients in the HIV-negative cohort had two or more instances of HIV testing and were included in the primary analysis. Over the study period, population prevalence of viral suppression increased from 69·27% (95% CI 66·41-71·96) to 88·31% (86·37-90·35), while HIV incidence decreased from 0·64 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0·55-0·76) to 0·22 per 100 person-years (0·17-0·28). Adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics and HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) use, treatment-as-prevention achieved significant population-level reductions in HIV incidence among GBM: a 1% increase in population prevalence of viral suppression corresponded with a 6% decrease in HIV incidence (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0·94, 95% CI 0·93-0·96; p<0·0001). PrEP was introduced in 2016 with 17·60% uptake among GBM that year, which increased to 36·38% in 2019. The relationship between population prevalence of viral suppression and HIV incidence was observed before the availability of PrEP (IRR 0·98, 95% CI 0·96-0·99; p<0·0001) and was even stronger after the introduction of PrEP (0·80, 0·70-0·93; p=0·0030). INTERPRETATION: Our results suggest that further investment in HIV treatment, especially alongside PrEP, can improve public health by reducing HIV incidence among GBM. FUNDING: National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia.

Meaningful cognitive decline is uncommon in virally suppressed HIV, but sustained impairment, subtle decline and abnormal cognitive aging are not.

Background: High antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage and viral suppression among people with HIV (PWH) in Australia provide a unique context to study individual cognitive trajectories, cognitive aging and factors associated with longitudinal cognitive function during chronic and stable HIV disease. Methods: Participants from the Predictors of Adherence to Antiretroviral Therapy study (n = 457, recruited between September 2013 and November 2015, median age = 52 years, and all with HIV RNA <50 copies mL) completed a cognitive assessment with CogState Computerized Battery (CCB) at baseline, Month-12, and Month-24. Demographics, psycho-social and socioeconomic factors, healthcare seeking behaviors, HIV disease characteristics and comorbidities were assessed. The CCB data were corrected for age, sex and practice effect and averaged into a global z-score (GZS). Cognitive impairment was defined with the global deficit score method (GDS>0.5). Meaningful cognitive change was statistically defined (decline or improvement versus stability, i.e., 90% CI, that is p < 0.05, 2-tailed) using a novel evidence-based change score: the linear mixed-effect regression (LMER)-based GZS change score. A separate LMER model with a top-down variable selection approach identified the independent effects of age and other demographic, HIV disease characteristics, socioeconomic and health-related factors on the demographically corrected GZS. The combined definitions of change and cross-sectional impairment enabled the identification of cognitive trajectories. Findings: At Month-12 and Month-24, 6% and 7% showed meaningful cognitive decline and 4% and 3% improved respectively. Only 1% showed sustained decline. Incident impairment due to subtle cognitive decline (i.e., below the threshold of meaningful cognitive decline) was 31% and 25% at Month-12 and Month-24, while 14% showed sustained impairment (i.e., cognitively impaired at all study visits). Older age (≥50 years) and time interaction was associated with lower demographically corrected GZS (ß = -0.31, p < 0.001). Having a regular relationship, excellent English proficiency, and perceived stigma (avoidance) were associated with higher GZS (all p < 0.05). Relying on government subsidy, severe depression, and lower belief in ART necessity and higher concerns were associated with lower GZS (all p < 0.05). No HIV disease characteristics had a significant effect. Interpretations: Meaningful cognitive decline was not different from normal expectation in chronic stable HIV disease. Despite this, subtle cognitive decline, sustained cognitive impairment, and greater than normative-age cognitive aging were evident. Funding: Funding for the PAART study was provided in part by unrestricted educational grants from Gilead Sciences (www.gilead.com) (Grant Number: IN-AU-264- 0131), the Balnaves Foundation (www.balnavesfoundation.com), the Victorian Department of Health and Human Services (Australia) (www.dhs.vic.gov.au/home), Western Australia Health (www.health.wa.gov.au), the ACT Ministry of Health (Australia) (www.health.act.gov.au), and in-kind support from the Queensland Department of Health (Australia) (www.health.qld.gov.au), and NHMRC Partnership grant APP1058474 (PI: Carr, Andrew).

Water Resources in Africa under Global Change: Monitoring Surface Waters from Space.

Abstract: The African continent hosts some of the largest freshwater systems worldwide, characterized by a large distribution and variability of surface waters that play a key role in the water, energy and carbon cycles and are of major importance to the global climate and water resources. Freshwater availability in Africa has now become of major concern under the combined effect of climate change, environmental alterations and anthropogenic pressure. However, the hydrology of the African river basins remains one of the least studied worldwide and a better monitoring and understanding of the hydrological processes across the continent become fundamental. Earth Observation, that offers a cost-effective means for monitoring the terrestrial water cycle, plays a major role in supporting surface hydrology investigations. Remote sensing advances are therefore a game changer to develop comprehensive observing systems to monitor Africa's land water and manage its water resources. Here, we review the achievements of more than three decades of advances using remote sensing to study surface waters in Africa, highlighting the current benefits and difficulties. We show how the availability of a large number of sensors and observations, coupled with models, offers new possibilities to monitor a continent with scarce gauged stations. In the context of upcoming satellite missions dedicated to surface hydrology, such as the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT), we discuss future opportunities and how the use of remote sensing could benefit scientific and societal applications, such as water resource management, flood risk prevention and environment monitoring under current global change. Article Highlights: The hydrology of African surface water is of global importance, yet it remains poorly monitored and understoodComprehensive review of remote sensing and modeling advances to monitor Africa's surface water and water resourcesFuture opportunities with upcoming satellite missions and to translate scientific advances into societal applications.

Recent abacavir use and incident cardiovascular disease in contemporary-treated people with HIV.

OBJECTIVE: Assessing whether the previously reported association between abacavir (ABC) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remained amongst contemporarily treated people with HIV. DESIGN: Multinational cohort collaboration. METHODS: RESPOND participants were followed from the latest of 1 January 2012 or cohort enrolment until the first of a CVD event (myocardial infarction, stroke, invasive cardiovascular procedure), last follow-up or 31 December 2019. Logistic regression examined the odds of starting ABC by 5-year CVD or chronic kidney disease (CKD) D:A:D risk score. We assessed associations between recent ABC use (use within the past 6 months) and risk of CVD with negative binomial regression models, adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: Of 29 340 individuals, 34% recently used ABC. Compared with those at low estimated CVD and CKD risks, the odds of starting ABC were significantly higher among individuals at high CKD risk [odds ratio 1.12 (95% confidence interval = 1.04-1.21)] and significantly lower for individuals at moderate, high or very high CVD risk [0.80 (0.72-0.88), 0.75 (0.64-0.87), 0.71 (0.56-0.90), respectively]. During 6.2 years of median follow-up (interquartile range; 3.87-7.52), there were 748 CVD events (incidence rate 4.7 of 1000 persons-years of follow up (4.3-5.0)]. The adjusted CVD incidence rate ratio was higher for individuals with recent ABC use [1.40 (1.20-1.64)] compared with individuals without, consistent across sensitivity analyses. The association did not differ according to estimated CVD (interaction P  = 0.56) or CKD ( P  = 0.98) risk strata. CONCLUSION: Within RESPOND's contemporarily treated population, a significant association between CVD incidence and recent ABC use was confirmed and not explained by preferential ABC use in individuals at increased CVD or CKD risk.