Epidemiological and clinical insights into the enterovirus D68 upsurge in Europe 2021/22 and the emergence of novel B3-derived lineages, ENPEN multicentre study.

Enterovirus D68 (EV-D68) infections are associated with severe respiratory disease and acute flaccid myelitis (AFM). The European Non-Polio Enterovirus Network (ENPEN) aimed to investigate the epidemiological and genetic characteristics of EV-D68 and its clinical impact during the fall-winter season of 2021/22. From 19 European countries, 58 institutes reported 10,481 (6.8%) EV-positive samples of which 1,004 (9.6%) were identified as EV-D68 (852 respiratory samples). Clinical data was reported for 969 cases. 78.9% of infections were reported in children (0-5 years); 37.9% of cases were hospitalised. Acute respiratory distress was commonly noted (93.1%) followed by fever (49.4%). Neurological problems were observed in 6.4% of cases with six reported with AFM. Phylodynamic/Nextstrain and phylogenetic analyses based on 694 sequences showed the emergence of two novel B3-derived lineages, with no regional clustering. In conclusion, we describe a large-scale EV-D68 European upsurge with severe clinical impact and the emergence of B3-derived lineages.

Increased circulation of echovirus 11 in the general population and hospital patients as elicited by the non-polio enterovirus laboratory-based sentinel surveillance in northern Italy, 2023.

OBJECTIVES: Following the alert of echovirus 11 (E-11) infection in neonates in EU/EEA Member States, we conducted an investigation of E-11 circulation by gathering data from community and hospital surveillance of enterovirus (EV) in northern Italy from 01 August 2021 to 30 June 2023. METHODS: Virological results of EVs were obtained from the regional sentinel surveillance database for influenza-like illness (ILI) in outpatients, and from the laboratory database of ten hospitals for inpatients with either respiratory or neurological symptoms. Molecular characterization of EVs was performed by sequence analysis of the VP1 gene. RESULTS: In our ILI series, the rate of EV-positive specimens showed an upward trend from the end of May 2023, culminating at the end of June, coinciding with an increase in EV-positive hospital cases. The E-11 identified belonged to the D5 genogroup and the majority (83%) were closely associated with the novel E-11 variant, first identified in severe neonatal infections in France since 2022. E-11 was identified sporadically in community cases until February 2023, when it was also found in hospitalized cases with a range of clinical manifestations. All E-11 cases were children, with 14 out of 24 cases identified through hospital surveillance. Of these cases, 60% were neonates, and 71% had severe clinical manifestations. CONCLUSION: Baseline epidemiological data collected since 2021 through EV laboratory-based surveillance have rapidly tracked the E-11 variant since November 2022, alongside its transmission during the late spring of 2023.

Long-read sequencing reveals chromothripsis in a molecularly unsolved case of Cornelia de Lange syndrome.

Thanks to a long-read sequencing (LRS) approach, in this study, we have reported a molecularly solved case of a proband with a clinical diagnosis of Cornelia de Lange syndrome (CDLS), which is a multisystemic disorder whose causative molecular defects involve cohesin complex genes, with NIPBL located at 5p13.2 accounting for approximately 50%-60% of CDLS cases. The first-tier tests revealed an abnormal karyotype 46,XY,t(5;15)(p13;q25)dn and a preserved NIPBL sequencing. Copy number variants (CNVs) at the translocation breakpoints, in disease genes, or in probably pathogenic loci were excluded by a-CGH analysis. Through fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) analysis on derivative chromosome 5, the breakpoint was relocated 3 Mb far from NIPBL 5'UTR, which seemed fully maintained as FISH-probe mapping to the gene showed no split signals. Moreover, tri-color FISH revealed an apparently balanced paracentric inversion including NIPBL on derivative 5. Based on the strong clinical suspicion, we evaluated the NIPBL transcript by RT-qPCR that revealed a normal amount of transcript till exon 22 and a halved amount of the transcript from exon 23 to 3'UTR, indicating the expression of a truncated transcript probably leading to a defective protein. Despite RT-qPCR confirmed the patient's CDLS clinical diagnosis, the molecular mechanism underlying this event remained to be an unsolved challenge for years. The LRS approach with nanopore technologies was able to fill the gap in this complex scenario and highlighted a chromothripsis event marked out at 5p13.2 by 36 breaks clustered in a 7.3-Mb region. The NIPBL gene was disrupted by 16 breaks and the resulting fragments were relocated in different positions and orientations. LRS confirmed the previous findings, and it has been proven to be crucial to define the complex chromosomal rearrangement in this patient which escaped current diagnostic investigations. Its application in the clinical practice will contribute to solve the unsolved.

How clinical laboratories select and use Analytical Performance Specifications (APS) in Italy.

OBJECTIVES: Even if the topic of the analytical quality required to provide laboratory results "fit for purpose" exists since the beginning of the modern medical laboratory, there is the suspect that the expression "Analytical Performance Specifications" (APS) is not well-known. To investigate this aspect a survey was conducted. METHODS: A questionnaire with seven questions related to the knowledge about the topic, the sources of information and the criteria used by the laboratories to set the APS and their applications was prepared. It was distributed to all the clinical pathology laboratories of Lombardy Region (143) and to the members of SIBioC Laboratory Medicine (excluding Lombardy). RESULTS: We received 201 replies: 127 from Lombardy and 74 from the rest of Italy. Fifteen percent declared to ignore the meaning of APS and only 64 % of those knowing the meaning of the term declared to use them in the daily practice. The state-of-the-art was the principle used more frequently to set APS (about 48 %) followed by biological variation (41 %), and APS were typically applied to set goals for Internal Quality Control for selected measurands. Usually imprecision or total error APS were used, much less frequently uncertainty APS. In fact only 27 % of the laboratories declared to have calculated the measurement uncertainty for part or the majority of their measurands. CONCLUSIONS: Even considering the limits of a survey that relies upon self-declarations, it appears clearly that, at list in Italy, there is some work to be done to promote the concept and the use of APS.

Quantification of serum HDV RNA by Robogene 2.0 in HDV patients is significantly influenced by the extraction methods.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Management of chronic hepatitis delta (CHD) requires reliable tests for HDV RNA quantification. The aim of the study was to compare two extraction methods for the quantification of HDV RNA in untreated and bulevirtide (BLV)-treated CHD patients. METHODS: Frozen sera from untreated and BLV-treated CHD patients were tested in a single-centre study for HDV RNA levels (Robogene 2.0, Roboscreen GmbH, Leipzig, Germany; LOD 6 IU/mL) with two extraction methods: manual (INSTANT Virus RNA/DNA kit; Roboscreen GmbH, Leipzig, Germany) versus automated (EZ1 DSP Virus Kit; Qiagen, Hilden, Germany). BLV-treated patients were sampled at baseline and during therapy. RESULTS: Two hundred sixty-four sera collected from 157 CHD (139 untreated, 18 BLV-treated) patients were analysed: age 51 (28-78), 59% males, 90% of European origin, 60% cirrhotics, ALT 85 (17-889) U/L, HBsAg 3.8 (1.7-4.6) Log IU/mL, 81% HBV DNA undetectable, 98% HDV genotype 1. Median HDV RNA was 4.53 (.70-8.10) versus 3.77 (.70-6.93) Log IU/mL by manual versus automated extraction (p < .0001). Manual extraction reported similar HDV RNA levels in 31 (20%) patients, higher in 119 (76%) [+.5 and +1 log10 in 60; > +1 log10 in 59] and lower in 7 (4%). Among 18 BLV-treated patients, rates of HDV RNA < LOD significantly differed between the two assays at Weeks 16 and 24 (0% vs. 22%, p = .02; 11% vs. 44%, p = .03), but not at later timepoints. By contrast, virological response rates were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Quantification of HDV RNA by Robogene 2.0 is influenced by the extraction method, the manual extraction being 1 Log more sensitive.

Modelling HDV kinetics under the entry inhibitor bulevirtide suggests the existence of two HDV-infected cell populations.

Background & Aims: Bulevirtide (BLV) was approved for the treatment of compensated chronic hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection in Europe in 2020. However, research into the effects of the entry inhibitor BLV on HDV-host dynamics is in its infancy. Methods: Eighteen patients with HDV under nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for hepatitis B, with compensated cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension, received BLV 2 mg/day. HDV RNA, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) were measured at baseline, weeks 4, 8 and every 8 weeks thereafter. A mathematical model was developed to account for HDV, HBsAg and ALT dynamics during BLV treatment. Results: Median baseline HDV RNA, HBsAg, and ALT were 4.9 log IU/ml [IQR: 4.4-5.8], 3.7 log IU/ml [IQR: 3.4-3.9] and 106 U/L [IQR: 81-142], respectively. During therapy, patients fit into four main HDV kinetic patterns: monophasic (n = 2), biphasic (n = 10), flat-partial response (n = 4), and non-responder (n = 2). ALT normalization was achieved in 14 (78%) patients at a median of 8 weeks (range: 4-16). HBsAg remained at pre-treatment levels. Assuming that BLV completely (∼100%) blocks HDV entry, modeling indicated that two HDV-infected cell populations exist: fast HDV clearing (median t1/2 = 13 days) and slow HDV clearing (median t1/2 = 44 days), where the slow HDV-clearing population consisted of ∼1% of total HDV-infected cells, which could explain why most patients exhibited a non-monophasic pattern of HDV decline. Moreover, modeling explained ALT normalization without a change in HBsAg based on a non-cytolytic loss of HDV from infected cells, resulting in HDV-free HBsAg-producing cells that release ALT upon death at a substantially lower rate compared to HDV-infected cells. Conclusion: The entry inhibitor BLV provides a unique opportunity to understand HDV, HBsAg, ALT, and host dynamics. Impact and implications: Mathematical modeling of hepatitis D virus (HDV) treatment with the entry inhibitor bulevirtide (BLV) provides a novel window into the dynamics of HDV RNA and alanine aminotransferase. Kinetic data from patients treated with BLV monotherapy can be explained by hepatocyte populations with different basal HDV clearance rates and non-cytolytic clearance of infected cells. While further studies are needed to test and refine the kinetic characterization described here, this study provides a new perspective on viral dynamics, which could inform evolving treatment strategies for HDV.

Estimation of the reference values and decision limits for growth hormone in newborns using dried blood spots.

OBJECTIVES: Severe deficiency of growth hormone (GHD) of the newborn is a rare but potentially life-threatening disease. GH measured during the first week of life, using dried blood spots (DBS), may offer several advantages. Aim of the study was to estimate the reference values for GH in newborns by a new analytical method using DBS. METHODS: Using a new developed analytical method, GH was estimated from DBS of 1,036 healthy newborns attending the Neonatology Unit of Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico of Milan in the period July-October 2021. Reference values for GH deficiency were estimated by the Harrell-Davis bootstrap method, with 90 %CI calculated by the bias-corrected and accelerated bootstrap method. RESULTS: All GH measurements required 33 analytical sessions (8 months) with a CV% for calibration curve slopes equal to 6.9 %. Intermediate precision evaluated by measurement of low (3 µg/L) and high (10 µg/L) quality controls was, respectively, 14 and 6.5 %. GH reference values, estimated at percentiles 1.0st, 2.5th and 5.0th, and their 90 %CI, were, respectively, 4.5 µg/L (90 %CI 3.8-5.1), 5.9 µg/L (90 %CI 5.4-6.4) and 7.0 µg/L (90 %CI 6.7-7.3). GH levels were not associated with sex, standard deviation scores, birth weight, gestational age, type of delivery or mother's variables (age, smoking habit, gestational diabetes). CONCLUSIONS: Validation data suggest that this method can be used to measured GH in newborns using DBS. The reference values estimated in this study are in accordance with previous published works using ELISA and may help confirming the clinical suspicion of neonatal GHD.

Predictors of controlled attenuation parameter in metabolic dysfunction.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatic fat content can be non-invasively estimated by controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) during transient elastography. The aim of this study was to examine the determinants and predictors of CAP values in individuals with metabolic dysfunction. METHODS: We enrolled 1230 consecutive apparently healthy individuals (Liver-Bible-2022 cohort) with ≥3 metabolic dysfunction features. CAP was measured by Fibroscan. CAP determinants and predictors were identified using backward stepwise analysis and introduced in generalized linear models. RESULTS: Participants were predominantly males (82.9%), mean age was 53.8 ± 6.4 years, 600 (48.8%) had steatosis (CAP ≥ 275 dB/m), and 27 had liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥ 8 kPa. CAP values correlated with LSM (p < 10-22). In multivariable analysis, fasting insulin and abdominal circumference (AC) were the main determinants of CAP (p < 10-6), together with body mass index (BMI; p < 10-4), age, diabetes, triglycerides, ferritin, and lower HDL and thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH; p < 0.05 for all). In a subset of 592 participants with thyroid hormone measurement, we found an association between higher free triiodothyronine levels, correlating with lower TSH, and CAP values, independent of TSH and of levothyroxine treatment (p = 0.0025). A clinical CAP score based on age, BMI, AC, HbA1c, ALT, and HDL predicted CAP ≥ 275 dB/m with moderate accuracy (AUROC = 0.73), which was better than that of the Fatty Liver Index and of ALT (AUROC = 0.70/0.61, respectively) and validated it in multiple cohorts. CONCLUSION: Abdominal adiposity and insulin resistance severity were the main determinants of CAP in individuals with metabolic dysfunction and may improve steatotic liver disease risk stratification. CAP values were modulated by the hypophysis-thyroid axis.

Early Postnatal Infection of Neonates Born to Mothers Infected by SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the rate of postnatal infection during the first month of life in neonates born to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-positive mothers during the predominant circulation of the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant. METHODS: This prospective, 10-center study enrolled mothers infected by SARS-CoV-2 at delivery and their infants, if both were eligible for rooming-in, between December 2021 and March 2022. Neonates were screened for SARS-CoV-2 RNA at 1 day of life (DOL), 2 to 3 DOL, before discharge, and twice after hospital discharge. Mother-infant dyads were managed under a standardized protocol to minimize the risk of viral transmission. Sequencing data in the study area were obtained from the Italian Coronavirus Disease 2019 Genomic platform. Neonates were included in the final analysis if they were born when the omicron variant represented >90% of isolates. RESULTS: Eighty-two percent (302/366) of mothers had an asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Among 368 neonates, 1 was considered infected in utero (0.3%), whereas the postnatal infection rate during virtually exclusive circulation of the omicron variant was 12.1%. Among neonates infected after birth, 48.6% became positive during the follow-up period. Most positive cases at follow-up were detected concurrently with the peak of coronavirus disease 2019 cases in Italy. Ninety-seven percent of the infected neonates were asymptomatic. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of early postnatal infection by the SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant is higher than that reported for previously circulating variants. However, protected rooming-in practice should still be encouraged given the paucity of symptoms in infected neonates.

Characterization of Immunogenicity and Safety of COVID-19 mRNA-1273 in HIV-Positive Italian Patients with Hemophilia: A Prospective Single-Center Cohort Study.

To characterize the immunogenicity of mRNA-1273 (Moderna, Cambridge, MA, USA) vaccine in HIV-positive hemophilic patients during the third COVID-19 wave in Italy and to investigate biomarkers of coagulation and endothelial perturbation before and after complete vaccination schedule, twenty-three consecutive adult HIV-positive patients with hemophilia were included. Blood was collected before and two weeks after vaccination. We measured anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike protein antibodies to assess immunogenicity; circulating biomarkers of coagulation (protein C and D-dimer), endothelial perturbation (von Willebrand factor (VWF)) and anti-Platelet Factor 4 (PF4) antibodies were analyzed. Flow-based analysis of thrombus formation was performed in nine patients using a flow-chamber device. Two weeks after completing the vaccination schedule, all patients had anti-spike antibodies values consistent with an effective immunization. Mean (±standard deviation) basal values of protein C and VWF (106 ± 21% and 171 ± 45%, respectively) were not significantly different from data obtained two weeks after the second dose (103 ± 20%, 162 ± 43%, respectively). D-dimer median values (interquartile range) were not significantly different at baseline (442 (603-142) ng/mL) and after the second dose (477 (654-262) ng/mL). Anti-PF4 antibodies were detected in three patients with no associated clinical manifestations. No significant differences were found in flow-based analysis of thrombus formation. Our data demonstrate that in HIV-positive patients with hemophilia, SARS-CoV-2 vaccination is effective and safe, with no effects on coagulation and endothelial perturbation.

Analysis of annual distributions of hemoglobin A2 values as a method to test for HbA2 standardization.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The monitoring of yearly distributions of HbA2 measured has been indicated as a reliable indicator of worldwide standardization. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Measurements/year of HbA2 have been collected over three consecutive years in 15 Italian laboratories each using the same analytical method over three years period. HbA2 distributions, cleaned of replicated measurements, were compared by the overlapping area of the raw probability density functions expressed by coefficient eta (η), and by comparing the reference intervals for the central part of each distribution estimated by the indirect method refineR using the R package "refineR". RESULTS: According to the overlapping areas analysis the distributions/year of the data provided by 4 centers able to perform at least 1000 measurements/year were similar in 2 consecutive years. Moreover, the reference intervals provided by 2 centers using the same analytical methods in two separate locations over the three consecutive years, were very similar. The highest overlap (99.7 %) was observed in one center over two consecutive years. The overlapping areas were very high (93.6-95.7%) in 8 out of 9 inter-comparisons. CONCLUSION: Despite the limitations of this study the yearly distribution of the HbA2 measured in various centers appears a reliable tool to test HbA2 standardization over different centers using different analytical methods.

Recommendations for Setting a Criterion and Assessing Commutability of Sample Materials Used in External Quality Assessment/Proficiency Testing Schemes.

It is important for external quality assessment materials (EQAMs) to be commutable with clinical samples; i.e., they should behave like clinical samples when measured using end-user clinical laboratory in vitro diagnostic medical devices (IVD-MDs). Using commutable EQAMs makes it possible to evaluate metrological traceability and/or equivalence of results between IVD-MDs. The criterion for assessing commutability of an EQAM between 2 IVD-MDs is that its result should be within the prediction interval limits based on the statistical distribution of the clinical sample results from the 2 IVD-MDs being compared. The width of the prediction interval is, among other things, dependent on the analytical performance characteristics of the IVD-MDs. A presupposition for using this criterion is that the differences in nonselectivity between the 2 IVD-MDs being compared are acceptable. An acceptable difference in nonselectivity should be small relative to the analytical performance specifications used in the external quality assessment scheme. The acceptable difference in nonselectivity is used to modify the prediction interval criterion for commutability assessment. The present report provides recommendations on how to establish a criterion for acceptable commutability for EQAMS, establish the difference in nonselectivity that can be accepted between IVD-MDs, and perform a commutability assessment. The report also contains examples for performing a commutability assessment of EQAMs.

Recommendations for Setting a Criterion for Assessing Commutability of Secondary Calibrator Certified Reference Materials.

A secondary higher-order calibrator is required to be commutable with clinical samples to be suitable for use in the calibration hierarchy of an end-user clinical laboratory in vitro diagnostic medical device (IVD-MD). Commutability is a property of a reference material that means results for a reference material and for clinical samples have the same numeric relationship, within specified limits, across the measurement procedures for which the reference material is intended to be used. Procedures for assessing commutability have been described in the literature. This report provides recommendations for establishing a quantitative criterion to assess the commutability of a certified reference material (CRM). The criterion is the maximum allowable noncommutability bias (MANCB) that allows a CRM to be used as a calibrator in a calibration hierarchy for an IVD-MD without exceeding the maximum allowable combined standard uncertainty for a clinical sample result (umaxCS). Consequently, the MANCB is derived as a fraction of the umaxCS for the measurand. The suitability of an MANCB for practical use in a commutability assessment is determined by estimating the number of measurements of clinical samples and CRMs required based on the precision performance and nonselectivity for the measurand of the measurement procedures in the assessment. Guidance is also provided for evaluating indeterminate commutability conclusions and how to report results of a commutability assessment.

Air pollution exposure, SARS-CoV-2 infection, and immune response in a cohort of healthcare workers of a large university hospital in Milan, Italy.

Several studies have examined the possible relationship between air pollutants and the risk of COVID-19 but most returned controversial findings. We tried to assess the association between (short- and long-term) exposure to particulate and gaseous pollutants, SARS-CoV-2 infections, and immune response in a population of healthcare workers (HCWs) with well-characterized individual data. We collected occupational and clinical characteristics of all HCWs who performed a nasopharyngeal swab (NPS) for detecting SARS-CoV-2 at the Policlinico Hospital in Milan (Lombardy, Italy) between February 24, 2020 (day after first documented case of COVID-19 in our hospital) and December 26, 2020 (day before start of the vaccination campaign). Each subject was assigned daily average levels of particulate matter ≤10 µm (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) retrieved from the air quality monitoring station closest to his/her residential address. Air pollution data were treated as time-dependent variables, generating person-days at risk. Multivariate Poisson regression models were fit to evaluate the rate of positive NPS and to assess the association between air pollution and antibody titer among NPS-positive HCWs. Among 3712 included HCWs, 635 (17.1%) had at least one positive NPS. A 10 µg/m3 increase in NO2 average concentration in the four days preceding NPS was associated with a higher risk of testing positive [Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) = 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01; 1.16)]. When considering a 1 µg/m3 increase in 2019 annual NO2 average, we observed a higher risk of infection (IRR: 1.02, 95%CI: 1.00; 1.03) and an increased antibody titer (+2.4%, 95%CI: 1.1; 3.6%). Findings on PM10 and O3 were less consistent and, differently from NO2, were not confirmed in multipollutant models. Our study increases the body of evidence suggesting an active role of air pollution exposure on SARS-CoV-2 infection and confirms the importance of implementing pollution reduction policies to improve public health.

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta variants in patients requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission for COVID-19, Northern Italy, December 2021 to January 2022.

This multicenter observational study included 171 COVID-19 adult patients hospitalized in the ICUs of nine hospitals in Lombardy (Northern Italy) from December, 1st 2021, to February, 9th 2022. During the study period, the Delta/Omicron variant ratio of cases decreased with a delay of two weeks in ICU patients compared to that in the community; a higher proportion of COVID-19 unvaccinated patients was infected by Delta than by Omicron whereas a higher rate of COVID-19 boosted patients was Omicron-infected. A higher number of comorbidities and a higher comorbidity score in ICU critically COVID-19 inpatients was positively associated with the Omicron infection as well in vaccinated individuals. Although people infected by Omicron have a lower risk of severe disease than those infected by Delta variant, the outcome, including the risk of ICU admission and the need for mechanical ventilation due to infection by Omicron versus Delta, remains uncertain. The continuous monitoring of the circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants remains a milestone to counteract this pandemic.

Long-term endoscopic surveillance in HBV compensated cirrhotic patients treated with Tenofovir or Entecavir for 11 years.

BACKGROUND: Long-term administration of TDF/ETV in patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis reduces HCC and decompensation events but the effect of this regimen on development/regression of oesophageal varices (EV) is currently unknown. AIM: To assess the risk of EV development/progression in this population. METHODS: A total of 186 Caucasian HBV-monoinfected compensated cirrhotics were enrolled in a long-term cohort study from TDF/ETV introduction. Upper GI endoscopies were performed according to Baveno recommendations. Primary endpoint was development/progression of oesophageal/gastric varices over time. RESULTS: At TDF/ETV start, median age was 61 years, 80% males, 60% HBV-DNA undetectable, 63% NUCs previously exposed, 73% normal ALT, 40% platelets <150,000/mmc and 25 (13%) with low-risk varices (LRV). During 11 years of antiviral therapy and 666 endoscopies performed, 9 patients either developed or had a progression of oesophageal or gastric varices with an 11-year cumulative probability of 5.1% (95% CI 3-10%); no patient bled. Out of 161 patients without EV at baseline, the 11-year probably was 4.5% with all varices developing within the first six years of treatment. In 25 patients with LRV at baseline, the 11-year probability of progression or regression was 9.3% and 58%, respectively. Only baseline platelet count (HR 0.96, p = 0.028) was associated with LRV development at multivariate analysis: platelet ≤90,000/mmc (AUROC 0.70) had 98.1% specificity, 42.9% sensitivity, 50% PPV for LRV onset. CONCLUSIONS: In compensated cirrhotic patients under long-term effective TDF/ETV treatment, the 11-year risk of developing/progressing EV is negligible, thus challenging the current endoscopic surveillance recommendations in patients without EV at baseline.

Reference intervals for glycated albumin during physiological pregnancy of Europid women: Evidences from a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Glycated albumin (GA) may assess glycometabolic control over a short period of time respect to HbA1c, and its use to screen for gestational diabetes in pregnancy has been suggested. To this regard few data on reference intervals (RI) for GA on Europid women have been collected, only from cross-sectional investigations. Aim of this work has been to collect trimester-specific RI for GA in physiological pregnancies, following a longitudinal prospective study. METHODS: Forty-five healthy pregnant Europid women have been enrolled for whom a GDM screening test was scheduled at 24-28 weeks, in 5 different Italian centers. Only those negative to the OGTT were included. The women had 4 successive visits at 6-10 weeks of gestation, at 16-18 weeks, at 24-28 weeks and at the end of pregnancy. ALT, AST, total bilirubin, C-reactive protein, cholinesterase, creatinine, GGT, glycated albumin, iron, total serum proteins, transferrin were measured in duplicate on aliquots of serum samples by a central laboratory. RESULTS: The RI (2.5-97.5 percentiles) for GA were 11.1-14.8 % (I visit), 10.9-15.6 % (II visit), 10.6-14.1 % (III visit) and 10.7-14.3 % (IV visit). The RI of other biomarkers confirmed previously published data. The RI for serum cholinesterase we present are novel, and were 5049-9906 U/L (Iv), 4212-8965 U/L (IIv), 3518-8470 U/L (IIIv) and 3945-8727 U/L (IVv). CONCLUSIONS: Trimester-specific RI are important for using GA and serum cholinesterase in pregnancy. However, considering the high inter-individual variability of both markers, the use of longitudinal interpretations of the individual variations of both proteins during pregnancy should be preferred.

Individual risk prediction of high grade prostate cancer based on the combination between total prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and free to total PSA ratio.

OBJECTIVES: Clinical practice guidelines endorse the stratification of prostate cancer (PCa) risk according to individual total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) values and age to enhance the individual risk-benefit ratio. We defined two nomograms to predict the individual risk of high and low grade PCa by combining the assay of tPSA and %free/tPSA (%f/tPSA) in patients with a pre-biopsy tPSA between 2 and 10 µg/L. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of 662 patients that had fPSA, tPSA, and a biopsy performed (41.3% with a final diagnosis of PCa). Logistic regression including age, tPSA and %f/tPSA was used to model the probability of having high or low grade cancer by defining 3 outcome levels: no PCa, low grade (International Society of Urological Pathology grade, ISUP<3) and high grade PCa (ISUP≥3). RESULTS: The nomogram identifying patients with: (a) high vs. those with low grade PCa and without the disease showed a good discriminating capability (∼80%), but the calibration showed a risk of underestimation for predictive probabilities >30% (a considerable critical threshold of risk), (b) ISUP<3 vs. those without the disease showed a discriminating capability of 63% and overestimates predictive probabilities >50%. In ISUP 5 a possible loss of PSA immunoreactivity has been observed. CONCLUSIONS: The estimated risk of high or low grade PCa by the nomograms may be of aid in the decision-making process, in particular in the case of critical comorbidities and when the digital rectal examinations are inconclusive. The improved characterization of the risk of ISUP≥3 might enhance the use for magnetic resonance imaging in this setting.