Global burden of cardiovascular diseases: projections from 2025 to 2050.

AIMS: The prediction of future trends in cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and their risk factors can assist policy-makers in healthcare planning. This study aims to project geospatial trends in CVDs and their underlying risk factors from 2025 to 2050. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using historical data on mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, encompassing the period of 1990 to 2019, Poisson regression was performed to model mortality and DALYs associated with CVD and its associated risk factors from 2025 to 2050. Subgroup analysis was based on GBD super-regions. Between 2025 and 2050, a 90.0% increase in cardiovascular prevalence, 73.4% increase in crude mortality, and 54.7% increase in crude DALYs are projected, with an expected 35.6 million cardiovascular deaths in 2050 (from 20.5 million in 2025). However, age-standardized cardiovascular prevalence will be relatively constant (-3.6%), with decreasing age-standardized mortality (-30.5%) and age-standardized DALYs (-29.6%). In 2050, ischaemic heart disease will remain the leading cause of cardiovascular deaths (20 million deaths) while high systolic blood pressure will be the main cardiovascular risk factor driving mortality (18.9 million deaths). Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia super-region is set to incur the highest age-standardized cardiovascular mortality rate in 2050 (305 deaths per 100 000 population). CONCLUSION: In the coming decades, the relatively constant age-standardized prevalence of global CVD suggests that the net effect of summative preventative efforts will likely continue to be unchanged. The fall in age-standardized cardiovascular mortality reflects the improvement in medical care following diagnosis. However, future healthcare systems can expect a rapid rise in crude cardiovascular mortality, driven by the ageing global populace. The continued rise in CVD burden will largely be attributed to atherosclerotic diseases. REGISTRATION: Not applicable.

The global cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden is expected to rise in the next few decades, driven primarily by an ageing populace worldwide. When standardized by age and population, CVD prevalence is expected to remain relatively constant, while mortality is expected to fall. This suggests that the effects of primary prevention efforts are set to remain roughly constant, while worldwide treatment outcomes are anticipated to improve.High blood pressures, dietary risks, and high cholesterol are the predominant risk factors expected to drive cardiovascular diseases from 2025 to 2050. A high body-mass index is likely to see a rapid rise in certain regions. Effective region-specific interventions are vital to arrest the CVD trajectory.

Clinical phenotypes and outcomes of patients with left ventricular thrombus: an unsupervised cluster analysis.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular thrombus (LVT) can develop in a diverse group of patients with various underlying causes, resulting in divergent natural histories and trajectories with treatment. Our aim was to use cluster analysis to identify unique clinical profiles among patients with LVT and then compare their clinical characteristics, treatment strategies, and outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study involving 472 patients with LVT whose data were extracted from a tertiary center's echocardiography database, from March 2011 to January 2021. We used the TwoStep cluster analysis method, examining 19 variables. RESULTS: Our analysis of the 472 patients with LVT revealed two distinct patient clusters. Cluster 1, comprising 247 individuals (52.3%), was characterized by younger patients with a lower incidence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and relatively fewer comorbidities compared with Cluster 2. Most patients had LVT attributed to an underlying ischemic condition, with a larger proportion being due to post-acute myocardial infarction in Cluster 1 (68.8%), and due to ischemic cardiomyopathy in Cluster 2 (57.8%). Notably, patients in Cluster 2 exhibited a reduced likelihood of LVT resolution (hazard ratio [HR] 0.58, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44-0.77, p < 0.001) and a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.27, 95% CI 1.43-3.60, p = 0.001). These associations persisted even after adjusting for variables such as anticoagulation treatment, the presence of left ventricular aneurysms, and specific LVT characteristics such as mobility, protrusion, and size. CONCLUSION: Through TwoStep cluster analysis, we identified two distinct clinical phenotypes among patients with LVT, each distinguished by unique baseline clinical attributes and varying prognoses.

Clinical predictors and outcomes of ST-elevation myocardial infarction related cardiogenic shock in the Asian population.

Background: Cardiogenic shock (CS) complicating myocardial infarction is associated with poor outcomes. Data among Asian populations are scarce. We aimed to investigate the long-term outcomes, prognostic factors, and predictors of CS among Asian ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) for STEMI within our regional STEMI network between 2015 and 2019. The long-term outcomes of those with and without CS were compared. Clinical predictors of outcomes and development of CS were investigated. Results: A total of 1791 patients who underwent PPCI were included. Patients completed at least 2 years' follow-up with a median follow-up period of 2.6 years (IQR 1.0, 3,9). Overall, 208/1791 (11.6 %) STEMI patients developed CS. These patients were older (61.1 ± 12.5 vs 57.8 ± 12.2, P < 0.001) and mostly men (87.0 %). All-cause mortality (59.9 % vs 4.7 % P < 0.001), cardiac mortality (43.8 % vs 2.2 %, P < 0.001) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) was significantly higher in the CS group (59.1 % vs 14.0 %, P < 0.001). Independent predictors of survival were higher index LVEF (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR] 0.967, 95 %CI 0.951-0.984, p < 0.001) and higher arterial pH at onset of shock (aHR 0.750, 0.626-0.897, p = 0.002). Increased serum lactate concentration independently predicts poor prognosis (aHR 1.084, 95 % CI 1.046-1.124, p < 0.001). Conclusion: In Asian STEMI patients who underwent PPCI, CS was associated with poor outcomes. Higher LVEF on index admission was associated with better outcomes; while lactic acidosis independently predicted mortality.

Pre-treatment radiological factors associated with poor functional outcome in an Asian cohort of large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke patients undergoing mechanical thrombectomy.

Background and aims: Endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is the current standard of care for large vessel occlusion (LVO) acute ischemic stroke (AIS); however, up to two-thirds of EVT patients have poor functional outcomes despite successful reperfusion. Many radiological markers have been studied as predictive biomarkers for patient outcomes in AIS. This study seeks to determine which clinico-radiological factors are associated with outcomes of interest to aid selection of patients for EVT for LVO AIS. Methods: A retrospective study of patients who underwent EVT from 2016 to 2020 was performed. Data on various radiological variables, such as anatomical parameters, clot characteristics, collateral status, and infarct size, were collected alongside traditional demographic and clinical variables. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed for the primary outcomes of functional independence at 3 months post-stroke (modified Rankin Scale 0-2) and secondary outcomes of in-hospital mortality and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Results: The study cohort comprised 325 consecutive patients with anterior circulation LVO AIS (54.5% male) with a median age of 68 years (interquartile range 57-76). The median NIHSS was 19. Age, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), Alberta mCTA score, ASPECTS, clot length, thrombus HU and mTICI score and the angle between ICA and CCA were associated with functional outcomes at 3 months on univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, age, Alberta mCTA collaterals and NIHSS were significantly associated with functional outcomes, while ASPECTS approached significance. Conclusion: Among the many proposed radiological markers for patients in the hyperacute setting undergoing EVT, the existing well-validated clinico-radiological measures remain strongly associated with functional status.

Contemporary Incidence of Cognitive Impairment or Dementia in Patients Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Despite the high prevalence of cognitive impairment or dementia post-coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), the incidence of cognitive impairment or dementia post-CABG in contemporary practice is currently unclear. Therefore, this paper aims to investigate the incidence and associated risk factors of cognitive impairment or dementia in patients' post-CABG. METHODS: A systematic search across three databases (PubMed, SCOPUS, and Embase) was conducted for studies published in or after 2013 that reported cognitive impairment or dementia post-CABG. Subgroup analyses and meta-regression by risk factors were performed to determine their influence on the results. RESULTS: This analysis included 23 studies with a total of 2,620 patients. The incidence of cognitive impairment or dementia less than 1 month, 2 to 6 months, and more than 12 months post-CABG was 35.96% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 28.22-44.51, I2 = 87%), 21.33% (95% CI: 13.44-32.15, I2 = 88%), and 39.13% (95% CI: 21.72-58.84, I2 = 84%), respectively. Meta-regression revealed that studies with more than 80% of the cohort diagnosed with hypertension were significantly associated with incidence of cognitive impairment or dementia less than 1 month post-CABG. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis demonstrates a high incidence of cognitive impairment or dementia in patients' post-CABG in contemporary practice, particularly less than 1 month post-CABG and more than 12 months post-CABG. We found that hypertension was a significant risk factor in the short-term (less than 1 month) follow-up period for cognitive impairment or dementia post-CABG. Future research should be done to assess strategies to reduce cognitive impairment post-CABG.

Effect of Cangrelor on Infarct Size in ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Treated by Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Randomized Controlled Trial (The PITRI Trial).

BACKGROUND: The administration of intravenous cangrelor at reperfusion achieves faster onset of platelet P2Y12 inhibition than oral ticagrelor and has been shown to reduce myocardial infarction (MI) size in the preclinical setting. We hypothesized that the administration of cangrelor at reperfusion will reduce MI size and prevent microvascular obstruction in patients with ST-segment-elevation MI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention. METHODS: This was a phase 2, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted between November 2017 to November 2021 in 6 cardiac centers in Singapore. Patients were randomized to receive either cangrelor or placebo initiated before the primary percutaneous coronary intervention procedure on top of oral ticagrelor. The key exclusion criteria included presenting <6 hours of symptom onset; previous MI and stroke or transient ischemic attack; on concomitant oral anticoagulants; and a contraindication for cardiovascular magnetic resonance. The primary efficacy end point was acute MI size by cardiovascular magnetic resonance within the first week expressed as percentage of the left ventricle mass (%LVmass). Microvascular obstruction was identified as areas of dark core of hypoenhancement within areas of late gadolinium enhancement. The primary safety end point was Bleeding Academic Research Consortium-defined major bleeding in the first 48 hours. Continuous variables were compared by Mann-Whitney U test (reported as median [first quartile-third quartile]), and categorical variables were compared by Fisher exact test. A 2-sided P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Of 209 recruited patients, 164 patients (78%) completed the acute cardiovascular magnetic resonance scan. There were no significant differences in acute MI size (placebo, 14.9% [7.3-22.6] %LVmass versus cangrelor, 16.3 [9.9-24.4] %LVmass; P=0.40) or the incidence (placebo, 48% versus cangrelor, 47%; P=0.99) and extent of microvascular obstruction (placebo, 1.63 [0.60-4.65] %LVmass versus cangrelor, 1.18 [0.53-3.37] %LVmass; P=0.46) between placebo and cangrelor despite a 2-fold decrease in platelet reactivity with cangrelor. There were no Bleeding Academic Research Consortium-defined major bleeding events in either group in the first 48 hours. CONCLUSIONS: Cangrelor administered at the time of primary percutaneous coronary intervention did not reduce acute MI size or prevent microvascular obstruction in patients with ST-segment-elevation MI given oral ticagrelor despite a significant reduction of platelet reactivity during the percutaneous coronary intervention procedure. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03102723.

Inflammatory risk contributes to post-COVID endothelial dysfunction through anti-ACKR1 autoantibody.

Subclinical vascular impairment can be exacerbated in individuals who experience sustained inflammation after COVID-19 infection. Our study explores the prevalence and impact of autoantibodies on vascular dysfunction in healthy COVID-19 survivors, an area that remains inadequately investigated. Focusing on autoantibodies against the atypical chemokine receptor 1 (ACKR1), COVID-19 survivors demonstrated significantly elevated anti-ACKR1 autoantibodies, correlating with systemic cytokines, circulating damaged endothelial cells, and endothelial dysfunction. An independent cohort linked these autoantibodies to increased vascular disease outcomes during a median 6.7-yr follow-up. We analyzed a single-cell transcriptome atlas of endothelial cells from diverse mouse tissues, identifying enriched Ackr1 expressions in venous regions of the brain and soleus muscle vasculatures, which holds intriguing implications for tissue-specific venous thromboembolism manifestations reported in COVID-19. Functionally, purified immunoglobulin G (IgG) extracted from patient plasma did not trigger cell apoptosis or increase barrier permeability in human vein endothelial cells. Instead, plasma IgG enhanced antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity mediated by patient PBMCs, a phenomenon alleviated by blocking peptide or liposome ACKR1 recombinant protein. The blocking peptide uncovered that purified IgG from COVID-19 survivors possessed potential epitopes in the N-terminal extracellular domain of ACKR1, which effectively averted antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity. Our findings offer insights into therapeutic development to mitigate autoantibody reactivity in blood vessels in chronic inflammation.

Mandibular Advancement vs CPAP for Blood Pressure Reduction in Patients With Obstructive Sleep Apnea.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension guidelines recommend diagnosis and treatment of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in patients with hypertension. The mandibular advancement device (MAD) is an oral appliance therapy for patients who decline or cannot tolerate continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP). OBJECTIVES: We compared the relative effectiveness of MAD vs CPAP in reducing 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure (BP). METHODS: In an investigator-initiated, randomized, noninferiority trial (prespecified margin 1.5 mm Hg), 321 participants aged ≥40 years with hypertension and increased cardiovascular risk were recruited at 3 public hospitals for polysomnography. Of these, 220 participants with moderate-to-severe OSA (apnea-hypopnea index ≥15 events per hour) were randomized to either MAD or CPAP (1:1). The primary outcome was the difference between the 24-hour mean arterial BP at baseline and 6 months. RESULTS: Compared with baseline, the 24-hour mean arterial BP decreased by 2.5 mm Hg (P = 0.003) at 6 months in the MAD group, whereas no change was observed in the CPAP group (P = 0.374). The between-group difference was -1.6 mm Hg (95% CI: -3.51 to 0.24, noninferiority P < 0.001). The MAD group demonstrated a larger between-group reduction in all secondary ambulatory BP parameters compared with the CPAP group, with the most pronounced effects observed in the asleep BP parameters. Both the MAD and CPAP improved daytime sleepiness, with the between-group difference similar (P = 0.384). There were no between-group differences in cardiovascular biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: MAD is noninferior to CPAP for reducing 24-hour mean arterial BP in participants with hypertension and increased cardiovascular risk. (Cardiosleep Research Program on Obstructive Sleep Apnea, Blood Pressure Control and Maladaptive Myocardial Remodeling-Non-inferiority Trial [CRESCENT]; NCT04119999).

Use of wearable technology in cardiac monitoring after cryptogenic stroke or embolic stroke of undetermined source: a systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: Prolonged cardiac monitoring after cryptogenic stroke or embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) is necessary to identify atrial fibrillation (AF) that requires anticoagulation. Wearable devices may improve AF detection compared to conventional management. We aimed to review the evidence for the use of wearable devices in post-cryptogenic stroke and post-ESUS monitoring. METHODS: We performed a systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus and clinicaltrials.gov on 21 July 2022, identifying all studies that investigated the use of wearable devices in patients with cryptogenic stroke or ESUS. The outcomes of AF detection were analysed. Literature reports on electrocardiogram (ECG)-based (external wearable, handheld, patch, mobile cardiac telemetry [MCT], smartwatch) and photoplethysmography (PPG)-based (smartwatch, smartphone) devices were summarised. RESULTS: A total of 27 relevant studies were included (two randomised controlled trials, seven prospective trials, 10 cohort studies, six case series and two case reports). Only four studies compared wearable technology to Holter monitoring or implantable loop recorder, and these studies showed no significant differences on meta-analysis (odds ratio 2.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74-7.48, I 2 = 70%). External wearable devices detected AF in 20.7% (95% CI 14.9-27.2, I 2 = 76%) of patients and MCT detected new AF in 9.6% (95% CI 7.4%-11.9%, I 2 = 56%) of patients. Other devices investigated included patch sensors, handheld ECG recorders and PPG-based smartphone apps, which demonstrated feasibility in the post-cryptogenic stroke and post-ESUS setting. CONCLUSION: Wearable devices that are ECG or PPG based are effective for paroxysmal AF detection after cryptogenic stroke and ESUS, but further studies are needed to establish how they compare with Holter monitors and implantable loop recorder.

Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction Is Associated with Poor Functional Outcomes after Endovascular Thrombectomy.

INTRODUCTION: With the advent of endovascular thrombectomy (ET), patients with acute ischaemic strokes (AIS) with large vessel occlusion (LVO) have seen vast improvements in treatment outcomes. Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) has been shown to herald poorer prognosis in conditions such as myocardial infarction. However, whether LVDD is related to functional recovery and outcomes in ischaemic stroke remains unclear. We studied LVDD for possible relation with clinical outcomes in patients with LVO AIS who underwent ET. METHODS: We studied a retrospective cohort of 261 LVO AIS patients who had undergone ET at a single comprehensive stroke centre and correlated LVDD to short-term mortality (in-hospital death) as well as good functional recovery defined as modified Rankin Scale of 0-2 at 3 months. RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 65-years-old and were predominantly male (54.8%). All of the patients underwent ET with 206 (78.9%) achieving successful reperfusion. Despite this, 25 (9.6%) patients demised during the hospital admission and 149 (57.1%) did not have good function recovery at 3 months. LVDD was present in 82 (31.4%) patients and this finding indicated poorer outcomes in terms of functional recovery at 3 months (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.04-4.54, p = 0.038) but was not associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR 2.18, 95% CI 0.60-7.99, p = 0.240) after adjusting for various confounders. CONCLUSION: In addition to conventional echocardiographic indices such as left ventricular ejection fraction, LVDD may portend poorer outcomes after ET, and this relationship should be investigated further.

Efficacy and safety of tirzepatide, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and other weight loss drugs in overweight and obesity: a network meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This network meta-analysis evaluates the efficacy and safety of tirzepatide compared to glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) and other weight loss drugs in the treatment of overweight and obesity. METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL were searched for randomized controlled trials on tirzepatide, GLP-1 RA, and weight loss drugs approved by the US Food and Drug Administration. A network meta-analysis was performed, drawing direct and indirect comparisons between treatment groups. Network diagrams and surface under the cumulative ranking curve analysis were performed for primary (≥5%, ≥10%, ≥15%, absolute weight loss) and secondary outcomes and adverse effects. RESULTS: Thirty-one randomized controlled trials, involving more than 35,000 patients, were included in this study. Tirzepatide 15 mg ranked in the top three across weight-related parameters, glycemic profile (glycated hemoglobin), lipid parameters (total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides), and blood pressure. Tirzepatide 15 mg had the highest efficacy compared with placebo for achieving ≥15% weight loss (risk ratio 10.24, 95% CI: 6.42-16.34). As compared to placebo, tirzepatide and GLP-1 RA across all doses had significant increases in gastrointestinal adverse effects. CONCLUSIONS: The superiority of tirzepatide and GLP-1 RA in inducing weight loss and their ability to target multiple metabolic parameters render them promising candidates in the treatment of patients with overweight and obesity.

Remote intensive management to improve antiplatelet adherence in acute myocardial infarction: a secondary analysis of the randomized controlled IMMACULATE trial.

This study aim to investigate if remote intensive coaching for the first 6 months post-AMI will improve adherence to the twice-a-day antiplatelet medication, ticagrelor. Between July 8, 2015, to March 29, 2019, AMI patients were randomly assigned to remote intensive management (RIM) or standard care (SC). RIM participants underwent 6 months of weekly then two-weekly consultations to review medication side effects and medication adherence coaching by a centralized nurse practitioner team, whereas SC participants received usual cardiologist face-to-face consultations. Adherence to ticagrelor were determined using pill counting and serial platelet reactivity measurements for 12 months. A total of 149 (49.5%) of participants were randomized to RIM and 152 (50.5%) to SC. Adherence to ticagrelor was similar between RIM and SC group at 1 month (94.4 ± 0.7% vs. 93.6±14.7%, p = 0.537), 6 months (91.0±14.6% vs. 90.6±14.8%, p = 0.832) and 12 months (87.4±17.0% vs. 89.8±12.5%, p = 0.688). There was also no significant difference in platelet reactivity between the RIM and SC groups at 1 month (251AU*min [212-328] vs. 267AU*min [208-351], p = 0.399), 6 months (239AU*min [165-308] vs. 235AU*min [171-346], p = 0.610) and 12 months (249AU*min [177-432] vs. 259AU*min [182-360], p = 0.678). Sensitivity analysis did not demonstrate any association of ticagrelor adherence with bleeding events and major adverse cardiovascular events. RIM, comprising 6 months of intensive coaching by nurse practitioners, did not improve adherence to the twice-a-day medication ticagrelor compared with SC among patients with AMI. A gradual decline in ticagrelor adherence over 12 months was observed despite 6 months of intensive coaching.

CURATE.AI-assisted dose titration for anti-hypertensive personalized therapy: study protocol for a multi-arm, randomized, pilot feasibility trial using CURATE.AI (CURATE.AI ADAPT trial).

Aims: Artificial intelligence-driven small data platforms such as CURATE.AI hold potential for personalized hypertension care by assisting physicians in identifying personalized anti-hypertensive doses for titration. This trial aims to assess the feasibility of a larger randomized controlled trial (RCT), evaluating the efficacy of CURATE.AI-assisted dose titration intervention. We will also collect preliminary efficacy and safety data and explore stakeholder feedback in the early design process. Methods and results: In this open-label, randomized, pilot feasibility trial, we aim to recruit 45 participants with primary hypertension. Participants will be randomized in 1:1:1 ratio into control (no intervention), home blood pressure monitoring (active control; HBPM), or CURATE.AI arms (intervention; HBPM and CURATE.AI-assisted dose titration). The home treatments include 1 month of two-drug anti-hypertensive regimens. Primary endpoints assess the logistical (e.g. dose adherence) and scientific (e.g. percentage of participants for which CURATE.AI profiles can be generated) feasibility, and define the progression criteria for the RCT in a 'traffic light system'. Secondary endpoints assess preliminary efficacy [e.g. mean change in office blood pressures (BPs)] and safety (e.g. hospitalization events) associated with each treatment protocol. Participants with both baseline and post-treatment BP measurements will form the intent-to-treat analysis. Following their involvement with the CURATE.AI intervention, feedback from CURATE.AI participants and healthcare providers will be collected via exit survey and interviews. Conclusion: Findings from this study will inform about potential refinements of the current treatment protocols before proceeding with a larger RCT, or potential expansion to collect additional information. Positive results may suggest the potential efficacy of CURATE.AI to improve BP control. Trial registration number: NCT05376683.

Predictors of major adverse cardiac events among patients with chest pain and low HEART score in the emergency department.

AIM: For patients who present to the emergency departments (ED) with undifferentiated chest pain, the risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) may be underestimated in low-HEART score patients. We aimed to identify characteristics of patients who were classified as low risk by HEART score but subsequently developed MACE at 6 weeks. METHODS: We studied a multiethnic cohort of patients who presented with chest pain arousing suspicion of acute coronary syndrome to EDs in the Netherlands and Singapore. Patients were risk-stratified using HEART score and followed up for MACE at 6 weeks. Risk factors of developing MACE despite low HEART scores (scores 0-3) were identified using logistic and Cox regression models. RESULTS: Among 1376 (39.8%) patients with low HEART scores, 63 (4.6%) developed MACE at 6 weeks. More males (53/806, 6.6%) than females (10/570, 2.8%) with low HEART score developed MACE. There was no difference in outcomes between ethnic groups. Among low-HEART score patients with 2 points for history, 21% developed MACE. Among low-HEART score patients with 1 point for troponin, 50% developed MACE, while 100% of those with 2 points for troponin developed MACE. After adjusting for HEART score and potential confounders, male sex was independently associated with increased odds (OR 4.12, 95%CI 2.14-8.78) and hazards (HR 3.93, 95%CI 1.98-7.79) of developing MACE despite low HEART score. CONCLUSION: Male sex, highly suspicious history and elevated troponin were disproportionately associated with MACE. These characteristics should prompt clinicians to consider further investigation before discharge.

Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants versus Low Molecular Weight Heparin for Cancer-Related Venous Thromboembolic Events: Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in cancer patients. Low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) has been the standard of care but new guidelines have approved the use of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC). By conducting an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing the outcomes of NOAC versus LMWH in cancer patients, we aim to determine an ideal strategy for the prophylaxis of VTE and prevention of VTE recurrence. Three databases were searched from inception until 19 October 2022. IPD was reconstructed from Kaplan-Meier curves. Shared frailty, stratified Cox and Royston-Parmar models were fit to compare the outcomes of venous thromboembolism recurrence and major bleeding. For studies without Kaplan-Meier curves, aggregate data meta-analysis was conducted using random-effects models. Eleven RCTs involving 4844 patients were included. Aggregate data meta-analysis showed that administering NOACs led to a significantly lower risk of recurrent VTE (RR = 0.65; 95%CI: 0.50-0.84) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (RR = 0.60; 95%CI: 0.40-0.90). In the IPD meta-analysis, NOAC when compared with LMWH has an HR of 0.65 (95%CI: 0.49-0.86) for VTE recurrence. Stratified Cox and Royston-Parmar models demonstrated similar results. In reducing risks of recurrent VTE and DVT among cancer patients, NOACs are superior to LMWHs without increased major bleeding.

Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events Score Underestimates Post-Acute Coronary Syndrome Mortality among Cancer Patients.

Background Patients with prior cancer are at increased risk of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) with poorer post-ACS outcomes. We aimed to ascertain if the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score accurately predicts mortality risk among patients with ACS and prior cancer. Methods We linked nationwide ACS and cancer registries from 2007 to 2018 in Singapore. A total of 24,529 eligible patients had in-hospital and 1-year all-cause mortality risk calculated using the GRACE score (2471 prior cancer; 22,058 no cancer). Results Patients with prior cancer had two-fold higher all-cause mortality compared to patients without cancer (in-hospital: 22.8% versus 10.3%, p < 0.001; 1-year: 49.0% vs. 18.7%, p < 0.001). Cardiovascular mortality did not differ between groups (in-hospital: 5.2% vs. 4.8%, p = 0.346; 1-year: 6.9% vs. 6.1%, p = 0.12). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the GRACE score for prediction of all-cause mortality was less for prior cancer (in-hospital: 0.64 vs. 0.80, p < 0.001; 1-year: 0.66 vs. 0.83, p < 0.001). Among patients with prior cancer and a high-risk GRACE score > 140, in-hospital revascularization was not associated with lower cardiovascular mortality than without in-hospital revascularization (6.7% vs. 7.6%, p = 0.50). Conclusions The GRACE score performs poorly in risk stratification of patients with prior cancer and ACS.

Targeted Plasma Metabolomics Reveals Association of Acute Myocardial Infarction Risk with the Dynamic Balance between Trimethylamine-N-oxide, Betaine, and Choline.

The relationship between trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO), betaine, and choline with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) end point remains unclear. We analyzed plasma TMAO, betaine, and choline concentrations in AMI cases and non-AMI community-dwelling controls by LC-MS/MS to understand how the balance between these metabolites helps to reduce AMI risk. Results showed that the odds ratio (OR) for the highest versus lowest quartiles of betaine was 0.30 (95% CI, 0.10-0.82) after adjustment for AMI risk factors, and the unadjusted OR for quartile 3 versus quartile 1 of TMAO was 2.47 (95% CI, 1.02-6.17) (p < 0.05). The study populations with "high betaine + low TMAO" had a significant protective effect concerning AMI with a multivariable-adjusted OR of 0.20 (95% CI, 0.07-0.55) (p < 0.01). Multivariate linear regression showed that the chronological age was correlated with TMAO concentrations among AMI patients (95% CI, 0.05-3.24, p < 0.01) but not among the controls. This implies a further potential interplay between age and metabolite combination─AMI risk association.

What's the optimal duration of anticoagulation in patients with left ventricular thrombus?

INTRODUCTION: Left ventricular thrombus (LVT) occurs in acute myocardial infarction and in ischemic and non-ischemic cardiomyopathies. LVT may result in embolic stroke. Currently, the duration of anticoagulation for LVT is unclear. This is an important clinical question as prolonged anticoagulation is associated with increased bleeding risks, while premature discontinuation may result in embolic complications. AREAS COVERED: There are no randomized trial data regarding anticoagulation duration for LVT. Guidelines and expert consensus recommend anticoagulation for 3-6 months with cessation of anticoagulation if interval imaging demonstrates thrombus resolution. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) is more sensitive and specific compared to echocardiography for LVT detection, and may be appropriate for high-risk patients. Prolonged anticoagulation may be considered in unresolved protuberant or mobile LVT, and in patients with resolved LVT but persistent depressed left ventricular ejection fraction and/or myocardial akinesia or dyskinesia. EXPERT OPINION: CMR will likely be increasingly used for LVT surveillance to guide anticoagulation duration. Further research is needed to determine which patients with persistent LVT on CMR benefit from prolonged anticoagulation.

Trends and predictions of metabolic risk factors for acute myocardial infarction: findings from a multiethnic nationwide cohort.

Background: Understanding the trajectories of metabolic risk factors for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is necessary for healthcare policymaking. We estimated future projections of the incidence of metabolic diseases in a multi-ethnic population with AMI. Methods: The incidence and mortality contributed by metabolic risk factors in the population with AMI (diabetes mellitus [T2DM], hypertension, hyperlipidemia, overweight/obesity, active/previous smokers) were projected up to year 2050, using linear and Poisson regression models based on the Singapore Myocardial Infarction Registry from 2007 to 2018. Forecast analysis was stratified based on age, sex and ethnicity. Findings: From 2025 to 2050, the incidence of AMI is predicted to rise by 194.4% from 482 to 1418 per 100,000 population. The largest percentage increase in metabolic risk factors within the population with AMI is projected to be overweight/obesity (880.0% increase), followed by hypertension (248.7% increase), T2DM (215.7% increase), hyperlipidemia (205.0% increase), and active/previous smoking (164.8% increase). The number of AMI-related deaths is expected to increase by 294.7% in individuals with overweight/obesity, while mortality is predicted to decrease by 11.7% in hyperlipidemia, 29.9% in hypertension, 32.7% in T2DM and 49.6% in active/previous smokers, from 2025 to 2050. Compared with Chinese individuals, Indian and Malay individuals bear a disproportionate burden of overweight/obesity incidence and AMI-related mortality. Interpretation: The incidence of AMI is projected to continue rising in the coming decades. Overweight/obesity will emerge as fastest-growing metabolic risk factor and the leading risk factor for AMI-related mortality. Funding: This research was supported by the NUHS Seed Fund (NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03) and National Medical Research Council Research Training Fellowship (MOH-001131). The SMIR is a national, ministry-funded registry run by the National Registry of Diseases Office and funded by the Ministry of Health, Singapore.