Mortality outcomes in individuals with MASLD versus MASLD and increased alcohol intake.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has become a leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. A new entity termed MetALD has also been described and is defined as individuals with MASLD and increased alcohol intake. However, the natural history of MetALD compared with MASLD is unknown. We aimed to compare longitudinal outcomes in patients with MASLD versus MetALD. METHODS: This study was performed using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2011 to 2018. MASLD patients (defined by the United States Fatty Liver Index > 30) who met cardiometabolic criteria including body mass index (BMI) > 25 (BMI > 23 in Asians), hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and hypertriglyceridemia were included. MetALD was defined as MASLD with increased alcohol intake (3-6 standard drinks per day in males; 2-5 standard drinks per day in females). A comparison of overall, cardiovascular, cancer-related, and other causes of mortality in patients with MASLD versus MetALD was performed. RESULTS: A total of 2838 individuals with MASLD and 2557 individuals with MetALD were included with a median follow-up time of 56 months. MetALD patients were at increased risk of cancer-related mortality compared with patients with MASLD (hazard ratio 1.32; 95% confidence interval 1.14-1.53; P < 0.01). However, there was no significant difference in overall, cardiovascular, and other causes of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with MetALD were at higher risk for cancer-related mortality than MASLD. Close attention to regular cancer surveillance and accurate classification of alcohol consumption in individuals with diagnosed MASLD is warranted to help improve patient care and outcome.

Estimated Exposure to 6 Potentially Hepatotoxic Botanicals in US Adults.

Importance: Use of herbal and dietary supplements (HDSs) accounts for an increasing proportion of drug hepatotoxicity cases. Turmeric or curcumin, green tea extract, Garcinia cambogia, black cohosh, red yeast rice, and ashwagandha are the most frequently reported hepatoxic botanicals, but their prevalence and reasons for use in the general population are unknown. Objective: To assess the prevalence and clinical characteristics of adult consumers of 6 potentially hepatoxic botanicals. Design, Setting, and Participants: This survey study analyzed nationally representative data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), a nationally representative, cross-sectional survey of the general US population. Prescription drug and HDS exposure data in the past 30 days were analyzed, and 2020 US Census data were used for population estimates. Data were analyzed July 1, 2023, to February 1, 2024. Exposures: Adult NHANES participants enrolled between January 2017 and March 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: Baseline weighted characteristics of HDS users and users of 6 potentially hepatotoxic botanical products were compared with non-HDS users. Multivariable analysis was undertaken to identify factors associated with HDS use or at-risk botanical use. Results: Among 9685 adults enrolled in this NHANES cohort, the mean (SE) age was 47.5 (0.5) years, and 51.8% (95% CI, 50.2%-53.4%) were female. The overall prevalence of HDS product use was 57.6% (95% CI, 55.9%-59.4%), while the prevalence of using the 6 botanicals of interest was 4.7% (95% CI, 3.9%-5.7%). Turmeric-containing botanicals were most commonly used (n = 236), followed by products containing green tea (n = 92), ashwagandha (n = 28), Garcinia cambogia (n = 20), red yeast rice (n = 20), and black cohosh (n = 19). Consumers of these 6 botanicals were significantly older (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 2.36 [95% CI, 1.06-5.25]; P = .04 for 40-59 years of age and AOR, 3.96 [95% CI, 1.93-8.11]; P = .001 for ≥60 years of age), had a higher educational level (AOR, 4.78 [95% CI, 2.62-8.75]; P < .001), and were more likely to have arthritis (AOR, 2.27 [95% CI, 1.62-3.29]; P < .001) compared with non-HDS users. An estimated 15 584 599 (95% CI, 13 047 571-18 648 801) US adults used at least 1 of the 6 botanical products within the past 30 days, which was similar to the estimated number of patients prescribed potentially hepatotoxic drugs, including simvastatin (14 036 024 [95% CI, 11 202 460-17 594 452]) and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (14 793 837 [95% CI, 13 014 623-16 671 897]). The most common reason for consuming turmeric and green tea was to improve or maintain health. Conclusions and Relevance: In this survey study, an estimated 15.6 million US adults consumed at least 1 botanical product with liver liability within the past 30 days, comparable with the number of people who consumed nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and a commonly prescribed hypolipidemic drug. Given a lack of regulatory oversight on the manufacturing and testing of botanical products, clinicians should be aware of possible adverse events from consumption of these largely unregulated products.

Global epidemiology of alcohol-associated liver disease in adolescents and young adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of the study was to analyse the prevalence, incidence, and death of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) among adolescents and young adults globally, continentally, and nationally, focusing on trends over time. METHODS: The study analysed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2000 and 2019. It examined ALD's prevalence, incidence, and death in adolescents and young adults aged 15-29, segmented by region, nation, and sociodemographic index. The analysis utilised Joinpoint regression modelling to calculate the annual per cent change (APC) in the rate of these parameters over time. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 281,450 ALD prevalences, 18,930 incidences, and 3190 deaths among adolescents and young adults globally. From 2000 to 2019, the age-adjusted prevalence rate per 100,000 increased in the 25-29 age group (APC: +0.6%, p = 0.003), remained stable among ages 20-24 (p = 0.302) and ages 15-19 (p = 0.160). Prevalence increased significantly from age 15-19 to 20-24 (19-fold increase) and from age 20-24 to 25-29 (2.5-fold increase). ALD prevalence rates increased in all age groups in adolescents and young adults in Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean region. Around three-quarters of countries and territories experienced an increase in ALD incidence rates in young adults. CONCLUSION: Over two decades, the burden of ALD among adolescents and young adults has increased globally. The study emphasises the importance of public health policies aimed at reducing alcohol consumption and preventing ALD among younger populations.

Disparities in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and cardiometabolic conditions in low and lower middle-income countries: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and cardiometabolic conditions affect populations across economic strata. Nevertheless, there are limited epidemiological studies addressing these diseases in low (LICs) and lower-middle-income countries (lower MICs). Therefore, an analysis of the trend of MASLD and cardiometabolic conditions in these countries is necessary. METHODS: From 2000 to 2019, jointpoint regression analysis was employed to calculate the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for cardiometabolic conditions including MASLD, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), dyslipidemia (DLP), hypertension (HTN), obesity, peripheral artery disease (PAD), atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL), ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, and chronic kidney disease from HTN and T2DM, in LICs and lower MICs (according to the World Bank Classification 2019) using the Global Burden of Disease 2019 data. RESULTS: Among the eleven cardiometabolic conditions, MASLD (533.65 million), T2DM (162.96 million), and IHD (76.81 million) had the highest prevalence in LICs and Lower MICs in 2019. MASLD represented the largest proportion of global prevalence in these countries (43 %). From 2000 to 2019, mortality in LICs and lower MICs increased in all cardiometabolic conditions, with obesity-related mortality having the highest increase (+134 %). During this timeframe, there were increased age-standardized death rates (ASDR) from obesity, PAD, and AF/AFL. From all conditions, the DALYs-to-prevalence ratio was higher in LICs and lower MICs than the global average. CONCLUSION: The burden of MASLD and cardiometabolic conditions is increasing worldwide, with LICs and lower MICs experiencing higher (DALYs) disability per prevalence. As these conditions are preventable, counteracting these trends requires not only the modification of ongoing actions but also the strategizing of immediate interventions.

PNPLA3 risk allele is associated with risk of hepatocellular carcinoma but not decompensation in compensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G, TM6SF2-rs58542926-T, and HSD17B13-rs6834314-A polymorphisms have been associated with cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, and HCC. However, whether they remain associated with HCC and decompensation in people who already have cirrhosis remains unclear, which limits the clinical utility of genetics in risk stratification as HCC is uncommon in the absence of cirrhosis. We aimed to characterize the effects of PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotype on hepatic decompensation, HCC, and liver-related mortality or liver transplant in patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective study of patients in the Michigan Genomics Initiative who underwent genotyping. The primary predictors were PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotypes. Primary outcomes were either hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver-related mortality/transplant. We conducted competing risk Fine-Gray analyses on our cohort. RESULTS: We identified 732 patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. During follow-up, 50% of patients developed decompensation, 13% developed HCC, 24% underwent liver transplant, and 27% died. PNPLA3-rs738409-G genotype was associated with risk of incident HCC: adjusted subhazard hazard ratio 2.42 (1.40-4.17), p=0.0015 for PNPLA3-rs738409-GG vs. PNPLA3-rs738409-CC genotype. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was higher in PNPLA3-rs738409-GG carriers than PNPLA3-rs738409-CC/-CG carriers: 15.6% (9.0%-24.0%) vs. 7.4% (5.2%-10.0%), p<0.001. PNPLA3 genotype was not associated with decompensation or the combined outcome of liver-related mortality or liver transplant. TM6SF2 and HSD17B13 genotypes were not associated with decompensation or HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G allele is associated with an increased risk of HCC among patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. People with cirrhosis and PNPLA3-rs738409-GG genotype may warrant more intensive HCC surveillance.

Socio-economic association of alcohol use disorder and cardiovascular and alcohol-associated liver disease from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: Alcohol use leads to disabilities and deaths worldwide. It not only harms the liver but also causes alcohol use disorder (AUD) and heart disease. Additionally, alcohol consumption contributes to health disparities among different socio-economic groups. METHODS: We estimated global and regional trends in the burden of AUD, liver disease, and cardiovascular disease from alcohol using the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease study. RESULTS: In 2019, the highest disability-adjusted life years rate per 100,000 population was due to AUD (207.31 [95% Uncertainty interval (UI) 163.71-261.66]), followed by alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) (133.31 [95% UI 112.68-156.17]). The prevalence rate decreased for AUD (APC [annual percentage change] -0.38%) and alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy (APC -1.85%) but increased for ALD (APC 0.44%) and liver cancer (APC 0.53%). Although the mortality rate for liver cancer from alcohol increased (APC 0.30%), mortality rates from other diseases decreased. Between 2010 and 2019, the burden of alcohol-associated complications increased in countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI), contributing more significantly to the global burden. CONCLUSION: The global burden of AUD, liver, and cardiovascular disease has been high and increasing over the past decade, particularly for liver complications. Lower SDI countries are contributing more to this global burden. There is a pressing need for effective strategies to address this escalating burden.

Genetic risk accentuates dietary effects on hepatic steatosis, inflammation and fibrosis in a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Steatotic liver disease (SLD), characterized by elevated liver fat content (LFC), is influenced by genetics and diet. However, whether diet has a differential effect based on genetic risk is not well-characterized. We aimed to determine how genetic factors interact with diet to affect SLD in a large national biobank. METHODS: We included UK Biobank participants with dietary intake measured by 24-hour recall and genotyping. The primary predictors were dietary pattern, PNPLA3-rs738409-G, TM6SF2-rs58542926-T, a 16-variant hepatic steatosis polygenic risk score (PRS), and gene-environment interactions. The primary outcome was LFC, and secondary outcomes were iron-controlled T1 time (cT1, a measure of liver inflammation and fibrosis) and liver-related events/mortality. RESULTS: A total of 21,619 participants met inclusion criteria. In non-interaction models, Mediterranean diet and intake of fruit/vegetables/legumes and fish associated with lower LFC, while higher red/processed meat intake and all genetic predictors associated with higher LFC. In interaction models, all genetic predictors interacted with Mediterranean diet and fruit/vegetable/legume intake, while the steatosis PRS interacted with fish intake and the TM6SF2 genotype interacted with red/processed meat intake, to affect LFC. Dietary effects on LFC were up to 3.8-fold higher in PNPLA3-rs738409-GG vs. -CC individuals, and 1.4-3.0-fold higher in the top vs. bottom quartile of the steatosis PRS. Gene-diet interactions were stronger in participants with vs. without overweight. The steatosis PRS interacted with Mediterranean diet and fruit/vegetable/legume intake to affect cT1 and most dietary and genetic predictors associated with risk of liver-related events or mortality by age 70. CONCLUSIONS: Effects of diet on LFC and cT1 were markedly accentuated in patients at increased genetic risk for SLD, implying dietary interventions may be more impactful in these populations. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Genetic variants and diet both influence risk of hepatic steatosis, inflammation/fibrosis, and hepatic decompensation; however, how gene-diet interactions influence these outcomes has previously not been comprehensively characterized. We investigated this topic in the community-based UK Biobank and found that genetic risk and dietary quality interacted to influence hepatic steatosis and inflammation/fibrosis on liver MRI, so that the effects of diet were greater in people at elevated genetic risk. These results are relevant for patients and medical providers because they show that genetic risk is not fixed (i.e. modifiable factors can mitigate or exacerbate this risk) and realistic dietary changes may result in meaningful improvement in liver steatosis and inflammation/fibrosis. As genotyping becomes more routinely used in clinical practice, patients identified to be at high baseline genetic risk may benefit even more from intensive dietary counseling than those at lower risk, though future prospective studies are required.

Comparing serial and current liver stiffness measurements to predict decompensation in compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The utility of serial liver stiffness measurements (LSM) to predict decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) remains unclear. We aimed to validate whether comparing serial LSM is superior to using the current LSM to predict liver-related events (LRE) in patients with cACLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this retrospective analysis of an international registry, patients with cACLD and serial LSM were followed up until index LRE. We compared the performance of both the dynamic LSM changes and the current LSM in predicting LRE using Cox regression analysis, considering time zero of follow-up as the date of latest liver stiffness measurement. In all, 480 patients with cACLD with serial LSM were included from 5 countries. The commonest etiology of cACLD was viral (53%) and MASLD (34%). Over a median follow-up of 68 (IQR: 45 -92) months, 32% experienced a LSM decrease to levels below 10kPa (resolved cACLD) and 5.8% experienced LRE. Resolved cACLD were more likely to be nondiabetic and had better liver function. While a higher value of the current LSM was associated with higher LREs, LSM changes over time (LSM slope) were not associated with LRE. In multivariable Cox regression, neither the prior LSM nor the LSM slope added predictive value to latest liver stiffness measurement. CONCLUSIONS: Once the current LSM is known, previous LSM values do not add to the prediction of LREs in patients with cACLD.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Metabolic Syndrome and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Premenopausal Women: Global Trends and Projections to 2040.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and related metabolic disorders in premenopausal women. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 2010 and 2019, global evaluations of prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their age-standardized rate (ASR) were conducted for metabolic conditions such as MASLD, type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hypertension (HTN), obesity, and polycystic ovarian syndrome. Subgroup assessments were conducted according to geographical regions and the sociodemographic index. The predictive models were established to estimate mortality and DALYs through 2040. RESULTS: In 2019, the most significant ASR of deaths was found in HTN (11.37; 9.52 to 13.45), followed by obesity (10.49; 7.57 to 13.64). In contrast, the greatest ASR of DALYs was attributed to obesity (816.13; 581.41 to 1073.32), followed by HTN (634.73; 536.75 to 744.77). The mortality rates for dyslipidemia (-0.55%) and HTN (-0.72%) have been decreasing over time, but there has been an increase in obesity (+0.58%), type 2 diabetes mellitus (+0.85%), and MASLD (+0.51%). Lower sociodemographic index countries exhibit a higher disability-to-prevalence ratio. In 2040, obesity is predicted to cause the most deaths (+41.59% from 2019). CONCLUSION: The escalating impact of metabolic syndrome, the rising trends in death rates linked to obesity, and the disparities based on region and socioeconomic status in premenopausal women underscore the alarming increase in the global burden of metabolic syndrome.

Global and regional burden of alcohol-associated liver disease and alcohol use disorder in the elderly.

Background & Aims: Alcohol-associated liver diseases (ALDs) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) pose a global health risk. AUD is underrecognized in the elderly, and the burden of AUD complications, including ALD, may increase with aging populations and rising alcohol intake. However, there is a lack of epidemiological evidence on AUD and ALD in the elderly. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analyzed the prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized rates (ASRs), and temporal change from 2000 to 2019 of ALD and AUD in the overall population and the elderly (65-89 years). The findings were categorized by sex, region, nation, and sociodemographic index. Results: The prevalence rates of ALD in the elderly were higher than those in adolescents and young adults, whereas AUD levels were lower than those in adolescents and young adults. In 2019, there were 9.39 million cases (8.69% of cases in the overall population) of AUD, 3.23 million cases (21.8% of cases in the overall population) of alcohol-associated cirrhosis, and 68,468 cases (51.27% of cases in the overall population) of liver cancer from alcohol among the elderly. ASRs of the prevalence of ALD and AUD in the elderly increased in most regions; on the contrary, ASRs of death and DALYs decreased in most regions. Nevertheless, ASRs of death and DALYs from liver cancer from alcohol increased in many areas. Conclusions: Our findings highlighted the increased prevalence of ALD in the elderly, with a burden of AUD comparable with that in the overall population. Public health strategies on ALD and AUD targeting the elderly are urgently needed. Impact and implications: The burden of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) is increasing. Advances in healthcare and education have resulted in a remarkable spike in life expectancy and a consequential population aging. Nevertheless, little is known about the epidemiology of ALD and AUD in the elderly. Our study indicates the increasing burden of ALD and AUD in the elderly population, necessitating early detection, intervention, and tailored care to the unique needs and complexities faced by older individuals grappling with these conditions.

Disparities among ethnic groups in mortality and outcomes among adults with MASLD: A multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease and 10%-20% occurs in lean individuals. There is little data in the literature regarding outcomes in an ethnically-diverse patient populations with MASLD. Thus, we aim to investigate the natural history and ethnic disparities of MASLD patients in a diverse population, and stratified by body mass index categories. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective multicenter study on patients with MASLD at the Banner Health System from 2012 to 2022. Main outcomes included mortality and incidence of cirrhosis, cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus (DM), liver-related events (LREs), and cancer. We used competing risk and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis for outcome modelling. RESULTS: A total of 51 452 (cross-sectional cohort) and 37 027 (longitudinal cohort) patients were identified with 9.6% lean. The cohort was 63.33% European ancestry, 27.96% Hispanic ancestry, 3.45% African ancestry, and 2.31% Native American/Alaskan ancestry. Median follow-up was 45.8 months. After adjusting for confounders, compared to European individuals, Hispanic and Native American/Alaskan patients had higher prevalence of cirrhosis and DM, and individuals of Hispanic, African, and Native American/Alaskan ancestry had higher mortality and incidence of LREs and DM. Lean patients had higher mortality and incidence of LREs compared with non-lean patients. CONCLUSION: Native American/Alaskan, Hispanic, and African patients had higher mortality and incidence of LREs and DM compared with European patients. Further studies to explore the underlying disparities and intervention to prevent LREs in lean patients, particularly several ethnic groups, may improve clinical outcomes.

Comprehensive genetic study of the insulin resistance marker TG:HDL-C in the UK Biobank.

Insulin resistance (IR) is a well-established risk factor for metabolic disease. The ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG:HDL-C) is a surrogate marker of IR. We conducted a genome-wide association study of the TG:HDL-C ratio in 402,398 Europeans within the UK Biobank. We identified 369 independent SNPs, of which 114 had a false discovery rate-adjusted P value < 0.05 in other genome-wide studies of IR making them high-confidence IR-associated loci. Seventy-two of these 114 loci have not been previously associated with IR. These 114 loci cluster into five groups upon phenome-wide analysis and are enriched for candidate genes important in insulin signaling, adipocyte physiology and protein metabolism. We created a polygenic-risk score from the high-confidence IR-associated loci using 51,550 European individuals in the Michigan Genomics Initiative. We identified associations with diabetes, hyperglyceridemia, hypertension, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and ischemic heart disease. Collectively, this study provides insight into the genes, pathways, tissues and subtypes critical in IR.