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1.
Transfusion ; 64(2): 223-235, 2024 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38323704

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The optimal hemoglobin (Hb) threshold for red blood cell transfusions in adult patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) has not been defined. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a pilot randomized multi-center study of two transfusion algorithms (liberal, to maintain Hb 110-120 g/L, transfuse 2 units if Hb < 105 g/L and 1 unit if Hb 105-110 g/L vs. restrictive, 85-105 g/L, transfuse 2 units when Hgb < 85 g/L). Primary objectives were 70% compliance in maintaining the q2 week hemoglobin within the targeted range and the achievement of a 15 g/L difference in pre-transfusion Hb. Secondary outcomes included measures of quality of life (QOL), iron studies and safety. RESULTS: Twenty-eight patients were randomized between February 2015-2020, 13 to the restrictive arm and 15 to the liberal arm in three tertiary care centers. The compliance was 66% and 45% and the mean pre-transfusion Hb thresholds were 86 (standard deviation [SD] 8) and 98 g/L (SD 10) in the restrictive and liberal arms, (mean difference 11.8 g/L, p < .0001), respectively. Patients in the liberal arm experienced a mean of 3.4 (SD 2.6) more transfusion visits and received a mean of 5.3 (SD 5.5) more units of blood during the 12-week study. Ferritin increased by 1043 (SD 1516) IU/L and 148 (SD 1319) IU/L in the liberal and restrictive arms, respectively. Selected QOL scores were superior pre-transfusion and more patients achieved clinically important improvements in the liberal arm compared with the restrictive arm for selected symptoms and function domains. CONCLUSION: The results establish that policies for transfusion support can be delivered in practice at multiple hospitals, but further research is required to understand the full clinical effects and safety of liberal transfusion policies in MDS outpatients.


Subject(s)
Erythrocyte Transfusion , Myelodysplastic Syndromes , Adult , Humans , Erythrocyte Transfusion/methods , Quality of Life , Outpatients , Pilot Projects , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Hemoglobins/analysis
3.
JCO Oncol Pract ; 19(4): e559-e569, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36763927

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The role of frailty in affecting survival in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) is increasingly recognized. Despite this, a paucity of data exists on the association between frailty and other clinically meaningful outcomes including health care resource utilization and costs of care. METHODS: We linked the Ontario subset of the prospective Canadian MDS registry (including baseline patient/disease characteristics) to population-based health system administrative databases. Baseline frailty was calculated from the 15-item MDS-specific frailty scale (FS-15). Primary outcomes were public health care utilization and 30-day standardized costs of care (2019 Canadian dollars) determined for each phase of disease (initial, continuation, and terminal phases). Negative binomial regression was used to assess the association between frailty and health care costs with Poisson regression to explore predictors of hospitalization. RESULTS: Among 461 patients with complete FS-15 scores, 374 (81.1%) had a hospitalization with a mean length of stay of 10.6 days. Controlling for age, comorbidities, Revised International Prognostic Scoring System, and transfusion dependence, the FS-15 was independently associated with hospitalization during the initial (P = .02) and continuation (P = .01) phases but not the terminal disease phase (P = .09). The mean 30-day standardized cost per patient was $8,499 (median, $6,295; interquartile range, $2,798-$11,996), largely driven by cancer clinic visits and hospitalization. On multivariable analysis, the FS-15 was independently associated with costs of care during the initial disease phase (P = .02). CONCLUSION: We demonstrate an association between frailty and clinically meaningful outcomes including hospitalization and costs of care in patients with MDS. Our results suggest that baseline frailty may help to inform patients and physicians of expected outcomes.


Subject(s)
Frailty , Myelodysplastic Syndromes , Humans , Frailty/complications , Frailty/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/epidemiology , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/complications , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Ontario
4.
Leuk Lymphoma ; 64(3): 651-661, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36606533

ABSTRACT

Many patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR MDS) require long-term red blood cell (RBC) transfusions to manage anemia. The consequences of RBC transfusions in LR MDS with ring sideroblasts (LR MDS-RS) are not well known. We estimated the association between cumulative RBC dose density and clinical and patient-reported outcomes using data from the MDS-CAN registry for patients enrolled between January 2008 and December 2018. Outcomes included overall survival, hospitalization, and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). A total of 145 enrolled patients with LR MDS and RS ≥5% had a median follow-up time of 27.1 months; 45 had no transfusions during follow-up, 51 had <1 transfusion per month, and 49 had ≥1 transfusion per month. The cumulative density of RBC transfusions was associated with significantly greater mortality, hospitalization, and inferior HRQoL, suggesting that exposure to RBC transfusion may constitute a significant treatment burden in patients with LR MDS-RS.


Subject(s)
Erythrocyte Transfusion , Myelodysplastic Syndromes , Humans , Erythrocyte Transfusion/adverse effects , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/drug therapy , Quality of Life , Prospective Studies , Registries
5.
Haematologica ; 108(2): 532-542, 2023 02 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35979720

ABSTRACT

Iron overload (IO) reflected by elevated ferritin is associated with increased mortality in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), however, ferritin is an imperfect metric. Elevated labile plasma iron correlates with clinical outcomes and transferrin saturation (TSAT) >80%, but is not readily measurable. The trajectory of TSAT, and its association with clinical outcomes remain undefined. Canadian MDS registry patients were evaluated. Mean TSAT, mean ferritin and transfusion dose density (TDD) were determined. Survival was evaluated by TSAT and ferritin (<50%, 50-80%, >80%), (≤500 µg/L, 501-800 µg/L, >800 µg/L). In 718 patients, median age was 74 years; 12%, 31%, 29%, 15% and 13% were IPSS-R very low, low, intermediate, high and very high. TSAT and ferritin were moderately correlated (r=0.63, P<0.0001). TSAT increased over time in transfusion- dependent patients (P=0.006). Higher TSAT and ferritin were associated with inferior 5-year overall (OS), progression- free (PFS), and leukemia-free survival (LFS) (P≤0.008) and higher TDD with inferior 5-year OS. TSAT >80% trended with inferior cardiac death-free survival (P=0.053). In univariate analysis, age, IPSS-R, blast percentage by Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status, frailty, Charlson Comorbidity Index, iron chelation (Y/N), TDD, TSAT and ferritin were significantly associated with inferior OS. By multivariable analysis, TSAT >80% (P=0.007) remained significant for OS (R2 30.3%). In MDS, TSAT >80% and ferritin >800 µg/L portended inferior OS, PFS and LFS. TSAT may indicate the presence of oxidative stress, and is readily measurable in a clinical setting. The relationship between TSAT and cardiac death-free survival warrants further study.


Subject(s)
Iron , Myelodysplastic Syndromes , Humans , Aged , Canada , Ferritins , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/diagnosis , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Transferrins , Transferrin
6.
Leuk Lymphoma ; 63(13): 3165-3174, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36095125

ABSTRACT

Patients with lower-risk (LR) myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with ring sideroblasts (RS) have better prognosis than those without RS, but how they fare over time is not fully understood. This study's objective was to assess the natural history of LR MDS with RS ≥5% using MDS-CAN registry individual data. Kaplan-Meier estimates and generalized linear mixed models were used to describe time-to-event outcomes and continuous outcomes, respectively. One hundred and thirty-eight patients were enrolled; median times from diagnosis to enrollment and follow-up were 6.6 and 39.6 months, respectively. Within 5 years of enrollment, 65% of patients had ≥1 red blood cell transfusion dependence episode. Within 5 years of diagnosis, 59% developed iron overload, 38% received iron chelation therapy, 14% progressed to acute myeloid leukemia, and 42% died. Patients exhibited inferior health-related quality of life trends. These first real-world data in LR MDS-RS in Canada indicate a high level of morbidity and mortality over a 5-year period. Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02537990.


Subject(s)
Myelodysplastic Syndromes , Humans , Chelation Therapy , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/diagnosis , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/epidemiology , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Prognosis , Quality of Life , Registries
7.
Ann Hematol ; 101(5): 1023-1030, 2022 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35190844

ABSTRACT

Observational studies suggest an anti-neoplastic effect associated with statins, metformin, and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i), while sulfonylureas may have a neutral or detrimental effect. We linked the Ontario subset of a prospective Canadian myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) registry with provincial administrative databases. We assessed the impact of statin/oral hypoglycemic medication exposure on overall survival (OS) using Cox regression analysis, controlling for comorbidities and sociodemographic factors. Five hundred thirty-three patients aged ≥ 66 years were included: 49.3% used statins, 18.9% used metformin, 9.0% used sulfonylureas, and 6.4% used DPP4i. Three hundred ninety-five patients were lower-risk based on the International Prognostic Scoring System. On univariate analysis, we identified a marginal improvement in OS in the lower-risk group using DPP4i (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.95-1.00, P = 0.05), while there was no impact on mortality for higher-risk DPP4i users (HR 1.03, CI 0.99-1.07, P = 0.21). There was no mortality difference for statins (HR 1.00, CI 1.00-1.01, P = 0.93), metformin (HR 1.00, CI 0.99-1.01, P = 0.81), or sulfonylureas (HR 1.00, CI 0.99-1.02, P = 0.43) in the entire cohort, as well as when stratified into lower/higher-risk groups. On multivariable analysis in the lower-risk group, there was no association between DPP4i and OS (HR 0.98, CI 0.95-1.00, P = 0.06). Prospective studies with larger cohorts of patients and longer follow-up are required to further study the impact of DPP4i in MDS.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Dipeptidyl-Peptidase IV Inhibitors , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors , Metformin , Myelodysplastic Syndromes , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/drug therapy , Dipeptidyl-Peptidase IV Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Humans , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Hypoglycemic Agents/therapeutic use , Metformin/therapeutic use , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/complications , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/drug therapy , Ontario , Prospective Studies , Retrospective Studies , Sulfonylurea Compounds/therapeutic use , Treatment Outcome
9.
Br J Haematol ; 194(2): 319-324, 2021 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34060069

ABSTRACT

The incorporation of patient-reported outcomes with traditional disease risk classification was found to strengthen survival prediction in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). In the present Canadian MDS registry analysis, we validate a recently reported prognostic model, the Fatigue-International Prognostic Scoring System among higher-risk patients [FA-IPSS(h)], which incorporates patients' reported fatigue, assessed by the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Quality of Life-Core 30 (QLQ-C30), with a threshold of ≥45 points, in higher IPSS score, stratifying them into distinct subgroups with different survival outcomes. We further validated this concept, using the Revised IPSS >3·5 as cut-off for the definition of higher-risk MDS, and patients' reported fatigue according to Edmonton Symptom Self-Assessment Scale (ESAS) Global Fatigue Scale (GFS), a single-item fatigue rating scale, which is easier to deploy. This emphasises the power of self-reported fatigue at refining overall survival predictions in higher-risk MDS and further bolsters the importance of considering patient-related outcomes in global assessments.


Subject(s)
Fatigue/complications , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/complications , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Canada/epidemiology , Fatigue/diagnosis , Fatigue/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/diagnosis , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/epidemiology , Patient Reported Outcome Measures , Prognosis , Quality of Life , Registries
10.
BMJ Case Rep ; 14(1)2021 Jan 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33509859

ABSTRACT

A high functioning 74-year-old man with systemic lupus erythematosus presented to the emergency department with acute anxiety. He was found to have elevated cardiac enzymes and admitted to the cardiology service for investigation. In hospital, he developed an erythematous papular rash, and deteriorated to being somnolent and bedridden. He was found to have new multiterritory ischaemic strokes. It was eventually noted that he had persistent eosinophilia, present even on admission, which had been overlooked as the total leucocyte count was normal. Serology for antiphospholipid antibody syndrome (APS) was positive. He was diagnosed with hypereosinophilic syndrome (HES) secondary to new APS, and responded to high-dose steroids. This case highlights the importance of fully evaluating a leucocyte differential to make a diagnosis of HES. We discuss the definition, clinical manifestations, diagnostic approach and management of this important condition.


Subject(s)
Antiphospholipid Syndrome/diagnosis , Cardiomyopathies/diagnosis , Hypereosinophilic Syndrome/diagnosis , Ischemic Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Missed Diagnosis , Aged , Antiphospholipid Syndrome/complications , Antiphospholipid Syndrome/drug therapy , Antiphospholipid Syndrome/physiopathology , Cardiomyopathies/blood , Cardiomyopathies/drug therapy , Cardiomyopathies/etiology , Creatine Kinase/blood , Critical Illness , Exanthema/etiology , Glucocorticoids/therapeutic use , Humans , Hypereosinophilic Syndrome/drug therapy , Hypereosinophilic Syndrome/etiology , Hypereosinophilic Syndrome/physiopathology , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Ischemic Stroke/etiology , Leukocyte Count , Lupus Erythematosus, Systemic/complications , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Male , Paresis/etiology , Sleepiness , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Troponin/blood
13.
Leuk Res ; 76: 76-81, 2019 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30580105

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Severe thrombocytopenia affects 10% of patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and is associated with poor outcomes. The role for prophylactic platelet transfusions in the outpatient setting is unknown. OBJECTIVE/METHODS: To audit treatments, bleeding rates, and transfusion requirements of patients with MDS and persistent severe thrombocytopenia (PST) registered in a prospective MDS registry at our center. RESULTS: 99 (17%) of 586 total registry patients had PST; 28 were treated with tranexamic acid alone (TXA), 39 with TXA and prophylactic platelet transfusions (PROPH), 19 with PROPH alone, and 13 were untreated. Median duration of PST was 27 weeks and median overall survival was 0.9 years (95% CI 0.7-1.2). During the PST, 6% (6/99) of patients had a grade 4 bleeding event, from which 4 died. Platelet count at the time of grade 4 bleeding ranged from 2 to 19 × 109/L. 66% (27/41) of patients on TXA alone or untreated required no therapeutic platelet transfusions and experienced no grade 3-4 bleeds. There were no significant differences in grade 3-4 bleeding rates between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with MDS and PST had low rates of major bleeding but poor overall survival. Disparities in clinical practice likely relate to patient and provider heterogeneity and the lack of published evidence. The benefit of TXA and/or prophylactic platelet transfusions would be best evaluated by a randomized controlled trial.


Subject(s)
Myelodysplastic Syndromes/complications , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/epidemiology , Thrombocytopenia/epidemiology , Thrombocytopenia/etiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Disease Management , Female , Hemorrhage/etiology , Hemorrhage/prevention & control , Hemorrhage/therapy , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/diagnosis , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Patient Outcome Assessment , Platelet Count , Platelet Transfusion , Registries , Survival Analysis , Thrombocytopenia/diagnosis , Thrombocytopenia/therapy
14.
Hematol Oncol ; 2018 Apr 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29709062

ABSTRACT

Five-year overall survival for high-risk Follicular Lymphoma International Prognostic Index follicular lymphoma is only approximately 50% compared with 90% for low risk. To evaluate an approach to improve upon this poor outcome, we completed an exploratory phase II trial of intensified treatment for patients with intermediate and high-risk follicular lymphoma. Front-line treatment with chemo-immunotherapy consisting of rituximab, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, doxorubicin, and prednisone was followed by radio- immunotherapy with 90-Yttrium ibritumomab tiuxetan consolidation, and 2 years of rituximab maintenance. The 5-year overall survival for intermediate and high-risk patients was 88% and 83%, respectively. Of 33 enrolled patients, 3 were off study before receiving radio-immunotherapy. Three months post radio-immunotherapy, 28/33 (85%) patients had achieved complete response including 6 patients who had only a partial response to chemo-immunotherapy and converted to complete response after radio-immunotherapy. The 5-year progression-free survival for intermediate and high risk was 79% and 58%, respectively. Nine of 19 patients with molecular markers patients remain in molecular and clinical complete remission with a median follow-up of 48 months (range 3-84 months). Post radio-immunotherapy, hematologic toxicities were mostly grade 1 and 2. However, asymptomatic grade 3 or 4 thrombocytopenia and neutropenia occurred in 11%-36% and 10%-24% of patients, respectively. Myelodysplastic syndrome occurred in 1 patient 4 years post treatment. Whereas many patients had prolonged B-cell reduction and low immunoglobulin levels post treatment, previous immunities to rubella were maintained. More aggressive upfront approaches such as this may benefit higher risk follicular lymphoma, but confirmatory trials are required. http://www.clinicaltrials.gov: NCT01446562.

15.
Clin Case Rep ; 5(9): 1444-1449, 2017 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28878900

ABSTRACT

Intravascular large B-cell lymphoma (IVLBCL) is an aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma which can present with B symptoms, rash, and neurological deterioration. Up to 10% of cases of IVLBCL are associated with other hematological neoplasms, including this extremely rare presentation of IVLBCL as Richter's transformation in chronic lymphocytic leukemia.

16.
Br J Haematol ; 179(1): 83-97, 2017 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28677895

ABSTRACT

Analyses suggest iron overload in red blood cell (RBC) transfusion-dependent (TD) patients with myleodysplastic syndrome (MDS) portends inferior overall survival (OS) that is attenuated by iron chelation therapy (ICT) but may be biassed by unbalanced patient-related factors. The Canadian MDS Registry prospectively measures frailty, comorbidity and disability. We analysed OS by receipt of ICT, adjusting for these patient-related factors. TD International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) low and intermediate-1 risk MDS, at RBC TD, were included. Predictive factors for OS were determined. A matched pair analysis considering age, revised IPSS, TD severity, time from MDS diagnosis to TD, and receipt of disease-modifying agents was conducted. Of 239 patients, 83 received ICT; frailty, comorbidity and disability did not differ from non-ICT patients. Median OS from TD was superior in ICT patients (5·2 vs. 2·1 years; P < 0·0001). By multivariate analysis, not receiving ICT independently predicted inferior OS, (hazard ratio for death 2·0, P = 0·03). In matched pair analysis, OS remained superior for ICT patients (P = 0·02). In this prospective, non-randomized analysis, receiving ICT was associated with superior OS in lower IPSS risk MDS, adjusting for age, frailty, comorbidity, disability, revised IPSS, TD severity, time to TD and receiving disease-modifying agents. This provides additional evidence that ICT may confer clinical benefit.


Subject(s)
Erythrocyte Transfusion/adverse effects , Iron Chelating Agents/therapeutic use , Iron Overload/drug therapy , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/mortality , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Canada/epidemiology , Cause of Death , Chelation Therapy , Comorbidity , Female , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Humans , Iron Overload/blood , Iron Overload/epidemiology , Iron Overload/etiology , Male , Middle Aged , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/complications , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/epidemiology , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Prognosis , Registries , Risk , Survival Analysis , Transplantation, Homologous
17.
Leuk Res ; 38(7): 756-63, 2014 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24819395

ABSTRACT

Metronomic, low dose chemotherapy may have anti-angiogenic effects and augment the effects of lenalidomide in MDS and CMML. We evaluated the clinical efficacy, tolerability and anti-angiogenic effects of melphalan 2mg and lenalidomide 10mg for 21 days/28 in CMML (n=12) and higher risk MDS (n=8) patients in a prospective phase II study. The primary endpoint was overall response and secondary endpoints included survival, progression-free survival, toxicity and biomarkers of angiogenesis. The median age was 73 years, 55% were pretreated and transfusion dependent. The overall response rate was 3(15%) of 19 evaluable patients but 25% in CMML and 33% in pCMML. Dose reductions and/or delays were common due to myelosuppression. Transient spikes in circulating endothelial cells that declined below baseline were seen in responders and patients with CMML, suggesting anti-angiogenic activity. In conclusion, lenalidomide and metronomic low dose melphalan demonstrate signals of clinical and possible anti-angiogenic activity in patients with pCMML that require future validation. This trial was registered at clinicaltrial.gov under # NCT00744536.


Subject(s)
Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic/drug therapy , Melphalan/administration & dosage , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/drug therapy , Neovascularization, Pathologic/etiology , Thalidomide/analogs & derivatives , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Biomarkers/blood , Endothelial Cells/physiology , Humans , Lenalidomide , Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic/mortality , Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic/physiopathology , Melphalan/adverse effects , Middle Aged , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/mortality , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/physiopathology , Prospective Studies , Thalidomide/administration & dosage , Thalidomide/adverse effects , Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A/blood
18.
Leuk Lymphoma ; 55(10): 2296-300, 2014 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24397595

ABSTRACT

We evaluated 52 patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) who had received at least one red blood cell (RBC) transfusion. In the 4-week period following the first transfusion, 24 patients (group 1) required no transfusion, while 28 (group 2) required transfusion of two or more units of RBCs. Survival was greater in group 1 (440 weeks vs. 167 weeks, p < 0.01), even when only international prognostic scoring system (IPSS) low and intermediate-1 risk patients were analyzed (median overall survival 491 vs. 170 weeks, p < 0.05), independent of age, IPSS and progression to acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The intensity of transfusion required in the first few weeks after the first transfusion predicts disease severity and correlates with survival.


Subject(s)
Blood Transfusion , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/mortality , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Prognosis , Risk Factors
20.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 59(3): 224-33, 2006 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16488352

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Whether the number needed to treat (NNT) is sufficiently precise to use in clinical practice remains unclear. We compared unadjusted NNTs to quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, a more comprehensive measures of health benefit. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: From a subset (n = 65) of a dataset of 228 cost-effectiveness analyses, we compared how well NNTs predicted clinically important QALY gains using correlation analysis, multivariable models and receiver-operator curve (ROC) analysis. RESULTS: NNT was inversely correlated with QALY gains (P < .001); this relationship was affected by quality of life and life-expectancy gains of treatment (P 15 had a sensitivity of 82% to 100%. For ruling in therapies with high QALY gains (threshold >or=0.125 to >or=0.5 QALYs), an NNT 15 to rule in and out therapies with large QALY gains may provide general guidance regarding the magnitude of health benefit.


Subject(s)
Evidence-Based Medicine , Insurance Benefits , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Sample Size , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Humans , Life Expectancy , Multivariate Analysis , Quality of Life , ROC Curve , Sensitivity and Specificity , Treatment Outcome
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