Evaluating associations between patient-to-nurse ratios and mortality, process of care events and vital sign documentation on paediatric wards: a secondary analysis of data from the EPOCH cluster-randomised trial.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the associations between patient-to-nurse staffing ratios and rates of mortality, process of care events and vital sign documentation. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of data from the evaluating processes of care and outcomes of children in hospital (EPOCH) cluster-randomised trial. SETTING: 22 hospitals caring for children in Canada, Europe and New Zealand. PARTICIPANTS: Eligible hospitalised patients were aged>37 weeks and <18 years. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was all-cause hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included five events reflecting the process of care, collected for all EPOCH patients; the frequency of documentation for each of eight vital signs on a random sample of patients; four measures describing nursing perceptions of care. RESULTS: A total of 217 714 patient admissions accounting for 849 798 patient days over the course of the study were analysed. The overall mortality rate was 1.65/1000 patient discharges. The median (IQR) number of patients cared for by an individual nurse was 3.0 (2.8-3.6). Univariate Bayesian models estimating the rate ratio (RR) for the patient-to-nurse ratio and the probability that the RR was less than one found that a higher patient-to-nurse ratio was associated with fewer clinical deterioration events (RR=0.88, 95% credible interval (CrI) 0.77-1.03; P (RR<1)=95%) and late intensive care unit admissions (RR=0.76, 95% CrI 0.53-1.06; P (RR<1)=95%). In adjusted models, a higher patient-to-nurse ratio was associated with lower hospital mortality (OR=0.77, 95% CrI=0.57-1.00; P (OR<1)=98%). Nurses from hospitals with a higher patient-to-nurse ratio had lower ratings for their ability to influence care and reduced documentation of most individual vital signs and of the complete set of vital signs. CONCLUSIONS: The data from this study challenge the assumption that lower patient-to-nurse ratios will improve the safety of paediatric care in contexts where ratios are low. The mechanism of these effects warrants further evaluation including factors, such as nursing skill mix, experience, education, work environment and physician staffing ratios. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: EPOCH clinical trial registered on clinical trial.gov NCT01260831; post-results.

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic on Emergency Hospitalizations for Acute Respiratory Infections: The Experience of a Paediatric Tertiary Care Hospital in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Acute respiratory infections (ARIs) are a major healthcare issue in children. The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic changed the epidemiology of ARIs; the aims of this study are to characterize the epidemiological trend of ARI emergency hospitalizations and virology results and to estimate the association of ARI emergency hospitalizations with respiratory viruses from January 2018 to June 2023. METHODS: This study was carried out in an Italian tertiary care children's hospital (Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital). The demographic and clinical information of children who accessed the Emergency Department (ED) with ARI and were hospitalized were retrospectively extracted from the electronic health records. Multivariate linear regression model was used to compare the number of ARI hospital admissions with the reported temporal trends in viruses diagnosed from respiratory samples throughout the same time period. RESULTS: During the study period, there were 92,140 ED visits and 10,541 hospitalizations due to ARIs, reflecting an admission rate of 11.4%. The highest proportion of hospitalizations occurred in infants ≤ 1 year of age (n = 4840, 45.9% of total admissions), with a hospitalization rate of 22.6%. Emergency hospitalizations aligned closely with the predictions made by the multivariate regression model; peaks in hospitalizations reflected Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) circulation. CONCLUSIONS: ARI hospital urgent admissions are a relevant component of ARI disease burden in children. RSV prevention and control are crucial to limit the risk of urgent hospitalizations due to ARIs.

Epidemiology of respiratory syncytial virus in a large pediatric hospital in Central Italy and development of a forecasting model to predict the seasonal peak.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is responsible for the majority of acute lower respiratory infections in infants and can affect also older age groups. Restrictions linked to the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and their subsequent lifting caused a change in the dynamics of RSV circulation. It is therefore fundamental to monitor RSV seasonal trends and to be able to predict its seasonal peak to be prepared to the next RSV epidemics. METHODS: We performed a retrospective descriptive study on laboratory-confirmed RSV infections from Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital in Rome from 1st January 2018 to 31st December 2022. Data on RSV-positive respiratory samples (n = 3,536) and RSV-confirmed hospitalizations (n = 1,895) on patients aged 0-18 years were analyzed. In addition to this, a SARIMA (Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) forecasting model was developed to predict the next peak of RSV. RESULTS: Findings show that, after the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 pandemic season, where RSV circulation was almost absent, RSV infections presented with an increased and anticipated peak compared to pre-pandemic seasons. While mostly targeting infants below 1 year of age, there was a proportional increase in RSV infections and hospitalizations in older age groups in the post-pandemic period. A forecasting model built using RSV weekly data from 2018 to 2022 predicted the RSV peaks of 2023, showing a reasonable level of accuracy (MAPE 33%). Additional analysis indicated that the peak of RSV cases is expected to be reached after 4-5 weeks from case doubling. CONCLUSION: Our study provides epidemiological evidence on the dynamics of RSV circulation before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings highlight the potential of combining surveillance and forecasting to promote preparedness for the next RSV epidemics.

Acute Hepatitis of Unknown Origin in Children: Analysis of 17 Cases Admitted to the Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital in Rome.

This study described 17 cases of children admitted to the Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital with acute hepatitis of unknown origin between mid-April and November 2022. Following the World Health Organization's working case definition of probable cases, 17 children, with a median age of 2.1 years (interquartile range: 1.0-7.1), presenting with acute hepatitis non-AE, with serum transaminase >500 IU/L, were included in the study. A pre-specified set of microbiological tests was performed on different biological specimens for all pediatric patients. All patients resulted negative for the common hepatotropic viruses. The most common pathogen detected in blood specimens was human-herpes-virus-7 (52.9%). Adenovirus was detected more frequently in stool specimens (62.5%) than in respiratory (20.0%) or blood samples (17.6%). Regarding Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, one child tested positive two days after admission, while antibodies against spike and nucleoprotein were present in 82.3% of patients. A co-pathogen detection was observed in 94.1% of children. Overall, 16 children recovered without clinical complications, while one patient required liver transplantation. In these cases of acute hepatitis of unknown origin, adenovirus was mainly detected in stool samples. A co-pathogen detection was also frequently observed, suggesting that the etiology of this acute hepatitis is most probably multifactorial.

Pre-COVID-19-pandemic RSV epidemiology and clinical burden in pediatric primary care in Italy: a comparative analysis across two regions for the 2019/2020 season.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in children under 5 years have a significant clinical burden, also in primary care settings. This study investigates the epidemiology and burden of RSV in Italian children during the 2019/20 pre-pandemic winter season. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted in two Italian regions. Children with Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) visiting pediatricians were eligible. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected and analyzed via multiplex PCR for RSV detection. A follow-up questionnaire after 14 days assessed disease burden, encompassing healthcare utilization and illness duration. Statistical analyses, including regression models, explored associations between variables such as RSV subtype and regional variations. RESULTS: Of 293 children with ARI, 41% (119) tested positive for RSV. Median illness duration for RSV-positive cases was 7 days; 6% required hospitalization (median stay: 7 days). Medication was prescribed to 95% (110/116) of RSV cases, with 31% (34/116) receiving antibiotics. RSV subtype B and regional factors predicted increased healthcare utilization. Children with shortness of breath experienced a 36% longer illness duration. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights a significant clinical burden and healthcare utilization associated with RSV in pre-pandemic Italian primary care settings. Identified predictors, including RSV subtype and symptomatology, indicate the need for targeted interventions and resource allocation strategies. RSV epidemiology can guide public health strategies for the implementation of preventive measures.