Artificial Intelligence Assessment of Biological Age from Transthoracic Echocardiography: Discrepancies to Chronologic Age Predict Significant Excess Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Age and sex can be estimated by artificial intelligence based on various sources. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to test whether convolutional neural networks could be trained to estimate the age and predict the sex using standard transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), and to evaluate its prognostic implications. METHODS: The algorithm was trained on 76,342 patients, validated in 22,825 patients, and tested in 20,960 patients. It was then externally validated using data from a different hospital (N=556). Finally, a prospective cohort of handheld point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) devices (N=319; ClinicalTrials.Gov NCT05455541) was used to confirm the findings. Multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate the association between age-estimation and chronological age with overall survival. RESULTS: The mean average error in age estimation was 4.9 years, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.922. The probabilistic value of sex had an overall accuracy of 96.1% and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.993. External validation and prospective study cohorts yielded consistent results. Finally, survival analysis demonstrated that age prediction ≥ 5 years of chronological age was associated with an independent 34% increased risk of death during follow-up (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Applying artificial intelligence to the standard TTE allows prediction of sex and estimation of age. Machine-based estimation is an independent predictor of overall survival and, with further evaluation, can be used for risk stratification and estimation of biological age.

Correlation between artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram and echocardiographic features in aortic stenosis.

Aims: An artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) is a promising tool to detect patients with aortic stenosis (AS) before developing symptoms. However, functional, structural, or haemodynamic components reflected in AI-ECG responsible for its detection are unknown. Methods and results: The AI-ECG model that was developed at Mayo Clinic using a convolutional neural network to identify patients with moderate-severe AS was applied. In patients used as the testing group, the correlation between the AI-ECG probability of AS and echocardiographic parameters was investigated. This study included 102 926 patients (63.0 ± 16.3 years, 52% male), and 28 464 (27.7%) were identified as AS positive by AI-ECG. Older age, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, and heart failure were more common in the positive AI-ECG group than in the negative group (P < 0.001). The AI-ECG was correlated with aortic valve area (ρ = -0.48, R2 = 0.20), peak velocity (ρ = 0.22, R2 = 0.08), and mean pressure gradient (ρ = 0.35, R2 = 0.08). The AI-ECG also correlated with left ventricular (LV) mass index (ρ = 0.36, R2 = 0.13), E/e' (ρ = 0.36, R2 = 0.12), and left atrium volume index (ρ = 0.42, R2 = 0.12). Neither LV ejection fraction nor stroke volume index had a significant correlation with the AI-ECG. Age correlated with the AI-ECG (ρ = 0.46, R2 = 0.22) and its correlation with echocardiography parameters was similar to that of the AI-ECG. Conclusion: A combination of AS severity, diastolic dysfunction, and LV hypertrophy is reflected in the AI-ECG to detect AS. There seems to be a gradation of the cardiac anatomical/functional features in the model and its identification process of AS is multifactorial.

Accelerated Aging in LMNA Mutations Detected by Artificial Intelligence ECG-Derived Age.

OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate early aging in patients with lamin A/C (LMNA) gene mutations after hypothesizing that they have a biological age older than chronological age, as such a finding impacts care. PATIENT AND METHODS: We applied a previously trained convolutional neural network model to predict biological age by electrocardiogram (ECG) [Artificial Intelligence (AI)-ECG age] to LMNA patients evaluated by multiple ECGs from January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2019. The age gap was the difference between chronological age and AI-ECG age. Findings were compared with age-/sex-matched controls. RESULTS: Thirty-one LMNA patients who had a total of 271 ECGs were studied. The median age at symptom onset was 22 years (range, <1-53 years; n=23 patients); eight patients were asymptomatic family members carrying the LMNA mutation. Cardiac involvement was detected by ECG and echocardiogram in 16 patients and consisted of ventricular arrhythmias (13), atrial fibrillation (12), and cardiomyopathy (6). Four patients required cardiac transplantation. Fourteen patients had neurological manifestations, mainly muscular dystrophy. LMNA mutation carriers, including asymptomatic carriers, were 16 years older by AI-ECG than non-LMNA carriers, suggesting accelerated biological age. Most LMNA patients had an age gap of more than 10 years, compared with controls (P<.001). Consecutive AI-ECG analysis showed accelerated aging in the LMNA group compared with controls (P<.0001). There were no significant differences in age-gap among LMNA patients based on phenotype. CONCLUSION: AI-ECG predicted that LMNA patients have a biological age older than chronological age and accelerated aging even in the absence of cardiac abnormalities by traditional methods. Such a finding could translate into early medical intervention and serve as a disease biomarker.

Real-world performance, long-term efficacy, and absence of bias in the artificial intelligence enhanced electrocardiogram to detect left ventricular systolic dysfunction.

Aims: Some artificial intelligence models applied in medical practice require ongoing retraining, introduce unintended racial bias, or have variable performance among different subgroups of patients. We assessed the real-world performance of the artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram to detect left ventricular systolic dysfunction with respect to multiple patient and electrocardiogram variables to determine the algorithm's long-term efficacy and potential bias in the absence of retraining. Methods and results: Electrocardiograms acquired in 2019 at Mayo Clinic in Minnesota, Arizona, and Florida with an echocardiogram performed within 14 days were analyzed (n = 44 986 unique patients). The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate performance of the algorithm among age groups, racial and ethnic groups, patient encounter location, electrocardiogram features, and over time. The artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram to detect left ventricular systolic dysfunction had an AUC of 0.903 for the total cohort. Time series analysis of the model validated its temporal stability. Areas under the curve were similar for all racial and ethnic groups (0.90-0.92) with minimal performance difference between sexes. Patients with a 'normal sinus rhythm' electrocardiogram (n = 37 047) exhibited an AUC of 0.91. All other electrocardiogram features had areas under the curve between 0.79 and 0.91, with the lowest performance occurring in the left bundle branch block group (0.79). Conclusion: The artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram to detect left ventricular systolic dysfunction is stable over time in the absence of retraining and robust with respect to multiple variables including time, patient race, and electrocardiogram features.

Electrocardiogram-Artificial Intelligence and Immune-Mediated Necrotizing Myopathy: Predicting Left Ventricular Dysfunction and Clinical Outcomes.

Objective: To characterize the utility of an existing electrocardiogram (ECG)-artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm of left ventricular dysfunction (LVD) in immune-mediated necrotizing myopathy (IMNM). Patients and Methods: A retrospective cohort observational study was conducted within our tertiary-care neuromuscular clinic for patients with IMNM meeting European Neuromuscular Centre diagnostic criteria (January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2020). A validated AI algorithm using 12-lead standard ECGs to detect LVD was applied. The output was presented as a percent probability of LVD. Electrocardiograms before and while on immunotherapy were reviewed. The LVD-predicted probability scores were compared with echocardiograms, immunotherapy treatment response, and mortality. Results: The ECG-AI algorithm had acceptable accuracy in LVD prediction in 74% (68 of 89) of patients with IMNM with available echocardiograms (discrimination threshold, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.6-0.87). This translates into a sensitivity of 80.0% and specificity of 62.8% to detect LVD. Best cutoff probability prediction was 7 times more likely to have LVD (odds ratio, 6.75; 95% CI, 2.11-21.51; P=.001). Early detection occurred in 18% (16 of 89) of patients who initially had normal echocardiograms and were without cardiorespiratory symptoms, of which 6 subsequently advanced to LVD cardiorespiratory failure. The LVD probability scores improved for patients on immunotherapy (median slope, -3.96; R = -0.12; P=.002). Mortality risk was 7 times greater with abnormal LVD probability scores (hazard ratio, 7.33; 95% CI, 1.63-32.88; P=.009). Conclusion: In IMNM, an AI-ECG algorithm assists detection of LVD, enhancing the decision to advance to echocardiogram testing, while also informing on mortality risk, which is important in the decision of immunotherapy escalation and monitoring.

Artificial intelligence-derived cardiac ageing is associated with cardiac events post-heart transplantation.

Aims: An artificial intelligence algorithm detecting age from 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) has been suggested to reflect 'physiological age'. An increased physiological age has been associated with a higher risk of cardiac mortality in the non-transplant population. We aimed to investigate the utility of this algorithm in patients who underwent heart transplantation (HTx). Methods and results: A total of 540 patients were studied. The average ECG ages within 1 year before and after HTx were used to represent pre- and post-HTx ECG ages. Major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was defined as any coronary revascularization, heart failure hospitalization, re-transplantation, and mortality. Recipient pre-transplant ECG age (mean 63 ± 11 years) correlated significantly with recipient chronological age (mean 49 ± 14 years, R = 0.63, P < 0.0001), while post-transplant ECG age (mean 54 ± 10 years) correlated with both the donor (mean 32 ± 13 years, R = 0.45, P < 0.0001) and the recipient ages (R = 0.38, P < 0.0001). During a median follow-up of 8.8 years, 307 patients experienced MACE. Patients with an increase in ECG age post-transplant showed an increased risk of MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.58, 95% confidence interval (CI): (1.24, 2.01), P = 0.0002], even after adjusting for potential confounders [HR: 1.58, 95% CI: (1.19, 2.10), P = 0.002]. Conclusion: Electrocardiogram age-derived cardiac ageing after transplantation is associated with a higher risk of MACE. This study suggests that physiological age change of the heart might be an important determinant of MACE risk post-HTx.

Detection of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy by an artificial intelligence electrocardiogram in children and adolescents.

BACKGROUND: There is no established screening approach for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). We recently developed an artificial intelligence (AI) model for the detection of HCM based on the 12­lead electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) in adults. Here, we aimed to validate this approach of ECG-based HCM detection in pediatric patients (age ≤ 18 years). METHODS: We identified a cohort of 300 children and adolescents with HCM (mean age 12.5 ± 4.6 years, male 68%) who had an ECG and echocardiogram at our institution. Patients were age- and sex-matched to 18,439 non-HCM controls. Diagnostic performance of the AI-ECG model for the detection of HCM was estimated using the previously identified optimal diagnostic threshold of 11% (the probability output derived by the model above which an ECG is considered to belong to an HCM patient). RESULTS: Mean AI-ECG probabilities of HCM were 92% and 5% in the case and control groups, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the AI-ECG model for HCM detection was 0.98 (95% CI 0.98-0.99) with corresponding sensitivity 92% and specificity 95%. The positive and negative predictive values were 22% and 99%, respectively. The model performed similarly in males and females and in genotype-positive and genotype-negative HCM patients. Performance tended to be superior with increasing age. In the age subgroup <5 years, the test's AUC was 0.93. In comparison, the AUC was 0.99 in the age subgroup 15-18 years. CONCLUSIONS: A deep-learning, AI model can detect pediatric HCM with high accuracy from the standard 12­lead ECG.

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiography to Screen Patients with Dilated Cardiomyopathy.

Undiagnosed dilated cardiomyopathy (DC) can be asymptomatic or present as sudden cardiac death, therefore pre-emptively identifying and treating patients may be beneficial. Screening for DC with echocardiography is expensive and labor intensive and standard electrocardiography (ECG) is insensitive and non-specific. The performance and applicability of artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiography (AI-ECG) for detection of DC is unknown. Diagnostic performance of an AI algorithm in determining reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was evaluated in a cohort that comprised of DC and normal LVEF control patients. DC patients and controls with 12-lead ECGs and a reference LVEF measured by echocardiography performed within 30 and 180 days of the ECG respectively were enrolled. The model was tested for its sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive (NPV) and positive predictive values (PPV) based on the prevalence of DC at 1% and 5%. The cohort consisted of 421 DC cases (60% males, 57±15 years, LVEF 28±11%) and 16,025 controls (49% males, age 69 ±16 years, LVEF 62±5%). For detection of LVEF≤45%, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.955 with a sensitivity of 98.8% and specificity 44.8%. The NPV and PPV were 100% and 1.8% at a DC prevalence of 1% and 99.9% and 8.6% at a prevalence of 5%, respectively. In conclusion AI-ECG demonstrated high sensitivity and negative predictive value for detection of DC and could be used as a simple and cost-effective screening tool with implications for screening first degree relatives of DC patients.

Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Electrocardiogram for the Early Detection of Cardiac Amyloidosis.

OBJECTIVE: To develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-based tool to detect cardiac amyloidosis (CA) from a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). METHODS: We collected 12-lead ECG data from 2541 patients with light chain or transthyretin CA seen at Mayo Clinic between 2000 and 2019. Cases were nearest neighbor matched for age and sex, with 2454 controls. A subset of 2997 (60%) cases and controls were used to train a deep neural network to predict the presence of CA with an internal validation set (n=999; 20%) and a randomly selected holdout testing set (n=999; 20%). We performed experiments using single-lead and 6-lead ECG subsets. RESULTS: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.91 (CI, 0.90 to 0.93), with a positive predictive value for detecting either type of CA of 0.86. By use of a cutoff probability of 0.485 determined by the Youden index, 426 (84%) of the holdout patients with CA were detected by the model. Of the patients with CA and prediagnosis electrocardiographic studies, the AI model successfully predicted the presence of CA more than 6 months before the clinical diagnosis in 59%. The best single-lead model was V5 with an AUC of 0.86 and a precision of 0.78, with other single leads performing similarly. The 6-lead (bipolar leads) model had an AUC of 0.90 and a precision of 0.85. CONCLUSION: An AI-driven ECG model effectively detects CA and may promote early diagnosis of this life-threatening disease.

Electrocardiogram screening for aortic valve stenosis using artificial intelligence.

AIMS: Early detection of aortic stenosis (AS) is becoming increasingly important with a better outcome after aortic valve replacement in asymptomatic severe AS patients and a poor outcome in moderate AS. We aimed to develop artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) using a convolutional neural network to identify patients with moderate to severe AS. METHODS AND RESULTS: Between 1989 and 2019, 258 607 adults [mean age 63 ± 16.3 years; women 122 790 (48%)] with an echocardiography and an ECG performed within 180 days were identified from the Mayo Clinic database. Moderate to severe AS by echocardiography was present in 9723 (3.7%) patients. Artificial intelligence training was performed in 129 788 (50%), validation in 25 893 (10%), and testing in 102 926 (40%) randomly selected subjects. In the test group, the AI-ECG labelled 3833 (3.7%) patients as positive with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.85. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 78%, 74%, and 74%, respectively. The sensitivity increased and the specificity decreased as age increased. Women had lower sensitivity but higher specificity compared with men at any age groups. The model performance increased when age and sex were added to the model (AUC 0.87), which further increased to 0.90 in patients without hypertension. Patients with false-positive AI-ECGs had twice the risk for developing moderate or severe AS in 15 years compared with true negative AI-ECGs (hazard ratio 2.18, 95% confidence interval 1.90-2.50). CONCLUSION: An AI-ECG can identify patients with moderate or severe AS and may serve as a powerful screening tool for AS in the community.

Vascular Aging Detected by Peripheral Endothelial Dysfunction Is Associated With ECG-Derived Physiological Aging.

Background An artificial intelligence algorithm that detects age using the 12-lead ECG has been suggested to signal "physiologic age." This study aimed to investigate the association of peripheral microvascular endothelial function (PMEF) as an index of vascular aging, with accelerated physiologic aging gauged by ECG-derived artificial intelligence-estimated age. Methods and Results This study included 531 patients who underwent ECG and a noninvasive PMEF assessment using reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry. Abnormal PMEF was defined as reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry index ≤2.0. Accelerated or delayed physiologic aging was calculated by the Δ age (ECG-derived artificial intelligence-estimated age minus chronological age), and the association between Δ age and PMEF as well as its impact on composite major adverse cardiovascular events were investigated. Δ age was higher in patients with abnormal PMEF than in patients with normal PMEF (2.3±7.8 versus 0.5±7.7 years; P=0.01). Reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry index was negatively associated with Δ age after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (standardized ß coefficient, -0.08; P=0.048). The highest quartile of Δ age was associated with an increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events compared with the first quartile of Δ age in patients with abnormal PMEF, even after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (hazard ratio, 4.72; 95% CI, 1.24-17.91; P=0.02). Conclusions Vascular aging detected by endothelial function is associated with accelerated physiologic aging, as assessed by the artificial intelligence-ECG Δ age. Patients with endothelial dysfunction and the highest quartile of accelerated physiologic aging have a marked increase in risk for cardiovascular events.