Predicting chronic kidney disease progression with artificial intelligence.

BACKGROUND: The use of tools that allow estimation of the probability of progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) to advanced stages has not yet achieved significant practical importance in clinical setting. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning-based model for predicting the need for renal replacement therapy (RRT) and disease progression for patients with stage 3-5 CKD. METHODS: This was a retrospective, closed cohort, observational study. Patients with CKD affiliated with a private insurer with five-year follow-up data were selected. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were included, and the models were developed based on machine learning methods. The outcomes were CKD progression, a significant decrease in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and the need for RRT. RESULTS: Three prediction models were developed-Model 1 (risk at 4.5 years, n = 1446) with a F1 of 0.82, 0.53, and 0.55 for RRT, stage progression, and reduction in the eGFR, respectively,- Model 2 (time- to-event, n = 2143) with a C-index of 0.89, 0.67, and 0.67 for RRT, stage progression, reduction in the eGFR, respectively, and Model 3 (reduced Model 2) with C-index = 0.68, 0.68 and 0.88, for RRT, stage progression, reduction in the eGFR, respectively. CONCLUSION: The time-to-event model performed well in predicting the three outcomes of CKD progression at five years. This model can be useful for predicting the onset and time of occurrence of the outcomes of interest in the population with established CKD.

A Next-Generation Sequencing Strategy for Evaluating the Most Common Genetic Abnormalities in Multiple Myeloma.

Identification and characterization of genetic alterations are essential for diagnosis of multiple myeloma and may guide therapeutic decisions. Currently, genomic analysis of myeloma to cover the diverse range of alterations with prognostic impact requires fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH), single nucleotide polymorphism arrays, and sequencing techniques, which are costly and labor intensive and require large numbers of plasma cells. To overcome these limitations, we designed a targeted-capture next-generation sequencing approach for one-step identification of IGH translocations, V(D)J clonal rearrangements, the IgH isotype, and somatic mutations to rapidly identify risk groups and specific targetable molecular lesions. Forty-eight newly diagnosed myeloma patients were tested with the panel, which included IGH and six genes that are recurrently mutated in myeloma: NRAS, KRAS, HRAS, TP53, MYC, and BRAF. We identified 14 of 17 IGH translocations previously detected by FISH and three confirmed translocations not detected by FISH, with the additional advantage of breakpoint identification, which can be used as a target for evaluating minimal residual disease. IgH subclass and V(D)J rearrangements were identified in 77% and 65% of patients, respectively. Mutation analysis revealed the presence of missense protein-coding alterations in at least one of the evaluating genes in 16 of 48 patients (33%). This method may represent a time- and cost-effective diagnostic method for the molecular characterization of multiple myeloma.

Anomalies of vertebrae and ribs: Jarcho Levin syndrome. Description of a case and literature review.

Jarcho Levin syndrome is a congenital disorder characterized by the presence of rib and vertebral defects at birth. This syndrome is usually diagnosed in newborns with short neck and trunk and short stature. They present multiple vertebral anomalies at different levels of the spine, including "butterfly vertebrae", hemivertebrae and fused hypoplastic vertebrae. The small size of the thorax in newborns frequently leads to respiratory compromise and death in infancy. We report a new case with short trunk and neck and vertebral and costal anomalies without respiratory problems. A literature review was conducted.