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1.
J Mycol Med ; 34(3): 101490, 2024 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38852225

ABSTRACT

Due to large outbreaks observed worldwide, Candida auris has emerged as a major threat to healthcare facilities. To prevent these phenomena, a systematic screening should be performed in patients transferred from regions where the pathogen is highly endemic. In this study, we recorded and analyzed French mycologists' current knowledge and practice regarding C. auris screening and diagnosis. Thirty-six centers answered an online questionnaire. Only 11 (30.6 %) participants were aware of any systematic screening for C. auris for patients admitted to their hospital. In the case of post-admission screening, axillae/groins (n = 21), nares (n = 7), rectum (n = 9), and mouth (n = 6) alone or various combinations were the body sites the most frequently sampled. Only six centers (8.3 %) reported using a commercially available plate allowing the differentiation of C. auris colonies from that of other Candida species, while five laboratories (13.8 %) had implemented a C. auris-specific qPCR. Considering the potential impact on infected patients and the risk of disorganization in the care of patients, it is crucial to remember to biologists and clinicians the utmost importance of systematic screening on admission.

2.
J Environ Radioact ; 277: 107450, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38762981

ABSTRACT

In the long-term after atmospheric deposit onto a forest ecosystem, Cs-137 becomes incorporated into the biogeochemical cycle of stable elements and progressively reaches a quasi-equilibrium state. This study aimed at determining to what extent Cs-137 activity distribution in tree vegetation could be predicted from that of stable caesium (Cs-133) and potassium (K), which are known to be stable chemical analogues and competitors for Cs-137 intake in tree organs. Field campaigns that focused on beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) were conducted in 2021 in three French forest stands with contrasted characteristics regarding either the contribution of global vs. Chornobyl fallouts, soil or climatic conditions. Decades after Cs-137 fallouts, it was found that more than 80% of the total radioactive inventory in the system remained confined in the top 20 cm mineral layers, while organic layers and beech vegetation (including roots) contributed each to less than 1.5%. The enhanced downward migration of Cs-137 in cambisol than podzol forest sites was presumably due to migration of clay particles and bioturbation. The distribution of Cs-137 and Cs-133 inventories in beech trees was very similar among sites but differed from that of K due a higher accumulation of Cs isotopes in roots (40-50% vs. < 25% for K). The aggregated transfer factor (Tag) of Cs-137 calculated for aerial beech organs were all lower than those reported in literature more than 20 years ago, this suggesting a decrease of bioavailability in soil due to ageing processes. Regarding their variability, Tags were generally lower by a factor 5 at the cambisol site, which was fairly well explained by a much higher value of RIP (radiocesium immobilisation potential). Cs-137 concentrations in trees organs normalized by the soil exchangeable fractions were linearly correlated to those of Cs-133 and the best fit was found for the linear regression model without intercept indicating that no more contribution of the foliar uptake could be observed on long term. Provided that the vertical distribution of caesium concentrations and fine root density are properly measured or estimated, Cs-133 was shown to be a much better proxy than K to estimate the root transfer of Cs-137.


Subject(s)
Cesium Radioisotopes , Fagus , Forests , Radiation Monitoring , Soil Pollutants, Radioactive , Fagus/metabolism , Fagus/chemistry , Soil Pollutants, Radioactive/analysis , Soil Pollutants, Radioactive/metabolism , Cesium Radioisotopes/analysis , Cesium Radioisotopes/metabolism , France , Trees/chemistry , Potassium/analysis , Potassium/metabolism , Chernobyl Nuclear Accident
3.
J Environ Radioact ; 242: 106770, 2022 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34864504

ABSTRACT

This paper compares the Morris, Spearman and Sobol' methods of sensitivity analysis in radiological risk assessment. The determination of the most influential parameters on model with regards to the propagation of their uncertainties to output variables, is of greatest interest. This study aims to determine the relative importance of parameters uncertainties on the dose calculation uncertainty in the framework of a scenario of routine discharges discussed in the context of an IAEA working group. The scenario considers atmospheric and liquid discharges of three different types of radionuclides (14C, tritium as HTO and 110mAg) from a nuclear power plant located by the side of a river. It is concluded that the most reliable and practical method according to the ability of ranking influential parameters and the easiness of its application is the Spearman method. As key result, the three first influential variables for annual total dose for all pathways and all radionuclides were the water dissolved inorganic carbon concentration, the volatilisation rate constant and the soil layer solid liquid distribution in 14C.


Subject(s)
Nuclear Power Plants , Radiation Monitoring
4.
Med Mycol ; 59(2): 126-138, 2021 Feb 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32534456

ABSTRACT

Interlaboratory evaluations of Mucorales qPCR assays were developed to assess the reproducibility and performance of methods currently used. The participants comprised 12 laboratories from French university hospitals (nine of them participating in the Modimucor study) and 11 laboratories participating in the Fungal PCR Initiative. For panel 1, three sera were each spiked with DNA from three different species (Rhizomucor pusillus, Lichtheimia corymbifera, Rhizopus oryzae). For panel 2, six sera with three concentrations of R. pusillus and L. corymbifera (1, 10, and 100 genomes/ml) were prepared. Each panel included a blind negative-control serum. A form was distributed with each panel to collect results and required technical information, including DNA extraction method, sample volume used, DNA elution volume, qPCR method, qPCR template input volume, qPCR total reaction volume, qPCR platform, and qPCR reagents used. For panel 1, assessing 18 different protocols, qualitative results (positive or negative) were correct in 97% of cases (70/72). A very low interlaboratory variability in Cq values (SD = 1.89 cycles) were observed. For panel 2 assessing 26 different protocols, the detection rates were high (77-100%) for 5/6 of spiked serum. There was a significant association between the qPCR platform and performance. However, certain technical steps and optimal combinations of factors may also impact performance. The good reproducibility and performance demonstrated in this study support the use of Mucorales qPCR as part of the diagnostic strategy for mucormycosis.


Subject(s)
Clinical Laboratory Techniques/standards , DNA, Fungal/genetics , Molecular Diagnostic Techniques/standards , Mucorales/genetics , Mucormycosis/blood , Mucormycosis/diagnosis , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction/standards , Clinical Laboratory Techniques/instrumentation , Clinical Laboratory Techniques/methods , France , Hospitals, University/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Observer Variation , Reproducibility of Results
5.
J Mycol Med ; 30(3): 101002, 2020 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32507472

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Rhino-orbital-aspergillosis (ROA) is a rare but serious disease in immunocompetent patients. Diagnosis is often delayed due to the absence of specific clinical symptoms. We describe the case of a patient who presented initially with ROA which spread progressively to the right ethmoid-sphenoid sinuses and then to the brain. OBSERVATION: A 61-year-old patient with a history of well-controlled diabetes presented with a sudden severe decrease in right visual acuity. Cerebral MRI showed the presence of an infiltrate in the right orbital apex extending to the homolateral cavernous sinus without any cerebral involvement. A diagnosis of right orbital myositis was made and corticosteroid therapy was started. His symptoms worsened progressively leading to quasi-blindness. A new MRI showed the development of right sphenoid-ethmoid osteolytic lesions. A fungal aetiology was suspected and tests for fungal biomarkers found a ß-(1-3)-D-glucan level of 99pg/ml but negative galactomannan. An ethmoid biopsy was performed for histological and mycological investigations, including the detection of Aspergillus DNA by qPCR. qPCR was positive and culture resulted in the isolation of multi-sensitive Aspergillus fumigatus. Treatment was initiated with voriconazole. Due to persistence of blindness and the appearance of a lesion extending to the right frontal lobe, surgical excision was performed followed by antifungal treatment for a total duration of 1year. The patient is currently stable, but has persistence of blindness in the right eye. CONCLUSION: Invasive ROA is a rare but serious disease in immunocompetent patients which should be evoked in the differential diagnosis of a tumour or vasculitis. Early diagnosis is essential for optimal management.


Subject(s)
Aspergillosis/diagnosis , Central Nervous System Fungal Infections/diagnosis , Eye Infections, Fungal/microbiology , Immunocompetence , Invasive Fungal Infections/diagnosis , Rhinitis/microbiology , Antifungal Agents/therapeutic use , Aspergillosis/drug therapy , Aspergillosis/microbiology , Aspergillus fumigatus/isolation & purification , Blindness/diagnosis , Blindness/microbiology , Central Nervous System Fungal Infections/complications , Central Nervous System Fungal Infections/drug therapy , Central Nervous System Fungal Infections/microbiology , Diabetes Complications/drug therapy , Diabetes Complications/microbiology , Eye Infections, Fungal/complications , Eye Infections, Fungal/diagnosis , Eye Infections, Fungal/drug therapy , Humans , Invasive Fungal Infections/drug therapy , Invasive Fungal Infections/microbiology , Male , Middle Aged , Neuroaspergillosis/complications , Neuroaspergillosis/diagnosis , Neuroaspergillosis/drug therapy , Neuroaspergillosis/microbiology , Orbital Diseases/diagnosis , Orbital Diseases/drug therapy , Orbital Diseases/microbiology , Rhinitis/complications , Rhinitis/diagnosis , Rhinitis/drug therapy , Voriconazole/therapeutic use
6.
Sci Total Environ ; 568: 557-565, 2016 Oct 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27039272

ABSTRACT

An important step in building a computational model is its documentation; a comprehensive and structured documentation can improve the model applicability and transparency in science/research and for regulatory purposes. This is particularly crucial and challenging for environmental and/or human exposure models that aim to establish quantitative relationships between personal exposure levels and their determinants. Exposure models simulate the transport and fate of a contaminant from the source to the receptor and may involve a large set of entities (e.g. all the media the contaminants may pass though). Such complex models are difficult to be described in a comprehensive, unambiguous and accessible way. Bad communication of assumptions, theory, structure and/or parameterization can lead to lack of confidence by the user and it may be source of errors. The goal of this paper is to propose a standard documentation protocol (SDP) for exposure models, i.e. a generic format and a standard structure by which all exposure models could be documented. For this purpose, a CEN (European Committee for Standardisation) workshop was set up with objective to agree on minimum requirements for the amount and type of information to be provided on exposure models documentation along with guidelines for the structure and presentation of the information. The resulting CEN workshop agreement (CWA) was expected to facilitate a more rigorous formulation of exposure models description and the understanding by users. This paper intends to describe the process followed for defining the SDP, the standardisation approach, as well as the main components of the SDP resulting from a wide consultation of interested stakeholders. The main outcome is a CEN CWA which establishes terms and definitions for exposure models and their elements, specifies minimum requirements for the amount and type of information to be documented, and proposes a structure for communicating the documentation to different users.


Subject(s)
Documentation/standards , Environmental Exposure , Environmental Monitoring/methods , Risk Assessment/methods , Humans , Models, Theoretical
7.
J Environ Radioact ; 139: 91-102, 2015 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25464045

ABSTRACT

SYMBIOSE is a modelling platform that accounts for variability and uncertainty in radiological impact assessments, when simulating the environmental fate of radionuclides and assessing doses to human populations. The default database of SYMBIOSE is partly based on parameter values that are summarized within International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) documents. To characterize uncertainty on the transfer parameters, 331 Probability Distribution Functions (PDFs) were defined from the summary statistics provided within the IAEA documents (i.e. sample size, minimal and maximum values, arithmetic and geometric means, standard and geometric standard deviations) and are made available as spreadsheet files. The methods used to derive the PDFs without complete data sets, but merely the summary statistics, are presented. Then, a simple case-study illustrates the use of the database in a second-order Monte Carlo calculation, separating parametric uncertainty and inter-individual variability.


Subject(s)
Radioisotopes/analysis , Uncertainty
8.
J Environ Radioact ; 124: 191-204, 2013 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23811129

ABSTRACT

This paper describes a dynamic compartment model (TOCATTA) that simulates tritium transfer in agricultural plants of several categories including vegetables, pasture and annual crops, exposed to time-varying HTO concentrations of water vapour in the air and possibly in irrigation and rainwater. Consideration is also given to the transfer pathways of HTO in soil. Though the transfer of tritium is quite complex, from its release into the environment to its absorption and its incorporation within the organic material of living organisms, the TOCATTA model is relatively simple, with a limited number of compartments and input parameters appropriate to its use in an operational mode. In this paper, we took the opportunity to have data obtained on an ornamental plant - an indoor palm tree - within an industrial building where tritium was released accidentally over several weeks (or months). More specifically, the model's ability to provide hindsight on the chronology of the release scenario is discussed by comparing model predictions of TFWT and OBT activity concentrations in the plant leaves with measurements performed on three different leaves characterized by different developmental stages. The data-model comparison shows some limitations, mainly because of a lack of knowledge about the initial conditions of the accident and when it actually started and about the processes involved in the transfer of tritium. Efforts are needed in both experimental and modelling areas for future evaluation of tritium behaviour in agricultural soil and plants exposed to gaseous HTO releases and/or to irrigation with contaminated water.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants, Radioactive/metabolism , Models, Theoretical , Plants/metabolism , Soil Pollutants, Radioactive/metabolism , Tritium/metabolism , Plant Leaves/metabolism
9.
J Environ Radioact ; 115: 73-82, 2013 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22885152

ABSTRACT

With intentions of integrating a portion of their respective research efforts into a trans-national programme that will enhance radioecology, eight European organisations recently formed the European Radioecology ALLIANCE (www.er-alliance.org). The ALLIANCE is an Association open to other organisations throughout the world with similar interests in promoting radioecology. The ALLIANCE members recognised that their shared radioecological research could be enhanced by efficiently pooling resources among its partner organizations and prioritising group efforts along common themes of mutual interest. A major step in this prioritisation process was to develop a Strategic Research Agenda (SRA). An EC-funded Network of Excellence in Radioecology, called STAR (Strategy for Allied Radioecology), was formed, in part, to develop the SRA. This document is the first published draft of the SRA. The SRA outlines a suggested prioritisation of research topics in radioecology, with the goal of improving research efficiency and more rapidly advancing the science. It responds to the question: "What topics, if critically addressed over the next 20 years, would significantly advance radioecology?" The three Scientific Challenges presented within the SRA, with their 15 associated research lines, are a strategic vision of what radioecology can achieve in the future. Meeting these challenges will require a directed effort and collaboration with many organisations the world over. Addressing these challenges is important to the advancement of radioecology and in providing scientific knowledge to decision makers. Although the development of the draft SRA has largely been a European effort, the hope is that it will initiate an open dialogue within the international radioecology community and its stakeholders. This is an abbreviated document with the intention of introducing the SRA and inviting contributions from interested stakeholders. Critique and input for improving the SRA are welcomed via a link on the STAR website (www.star-radioecology.org).


Subject(s)
Ecology , Radioactivity , Research , Environment , Radioactive Pollutants , Societies, Scientific
10.
Food Microbiol ; 28(4): 639-47, 2011 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21511123

ABSTRACT

Competition between background microflora and microbial pathogens raises questions about the application of predictive microbiology in situ, i.e., in non-sterile naturally contaminated foods. In this article, we present a review of the models developed in predictive microbiology to describe interactions between microflora in foods, with a special focus on two approaches: one based on the Jameson effect (simultaneous deceleration of all microbial populations) and one based on the Lotka-Volterra competition model. As an illustration of the potential of these models, we propose various modeling examples in estimation and in prediction of microbial growth curves, all related to the behavior of Listeria monocytogenes with lactic acid bacteria in three pork meat products (fresh pork meat and two types of diced bacon).


Subject(s)
Food Microbiology/methods , Lactobacillus/growth & development , Listeria monocytogenes/growth & development , Meat Products/microbiology , Models, Biological , Animals , Colony Count, Microbial , Swine
11.
Food Microbiol ; 28(2): 311-20, 2011 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21315989

ABSTRACT

Models on Clostridium perfringens growth which have been published to date have all been deterministic. A probabilistic model describing growth under non-isothermal conditions was thus proposed for predicting C. perfringens growth in beef-in-sauce products cooked and distributed in a French hospital. Model parameters were estimated from different types of data from various studies. A Bayesian approach was proposed to model the overall uncertainty regarding parameters and potential variability on the 'work to be done' (h(0)) during the germination, outgrowth and lag phase. Three models which differed according to their description of this parameter h(0) were tested. The model with inter-curve variability on h(0) was found to be the best one, on the basis of goodness-of-fit assessment and validation with literature data on results obtained under non-isothermal conditions. This model was used in two-dimensional Monte Carlo simulations to predict C. perfringens growth throughout the preparation of beef-in-sauce products, using temperature profiles recorded in a hospital kitchen. The median predicted growth was 7.8×10(-2) log(10) cfu·g(-1) (95% credibility interval [2.4×10(-2), 0.8]) despite the fact that for more than 50% of the registered temperature profiles cooling steps were longer than those required by French regulations.


Subject(s)
Clostridium perfringens/growth & development , Food Preservation/methods , Meat Products/microbiology , Models, Biological , Bayes Theorem , Colony Count, Microbial , Consumer Product Safety , Cooking/methods , Food Handling/methods , Humans , Kinetics , Monte Carlo Method , Predictive Value of Tests , Temperature
12.
J Gynecol Obstet Biol Reprod (Paris) ; 40(2): 156-61, 2011 Apr.
Article in French | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21167660

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To compare evolution and characteristics of in utero transfers (IUT) in Basse-Normandie area, France, between 2004 and 2008, and to describe characteristics of IUT in 2008. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Analysis of data from the IUT registry, collected prospectively since 2004. RESULTS: An average of five IUT per week was observed. The rate of IUT regularly increased (P=0.003) and reached 16.2 per 1000 pregnancies in 2008. Extra network IUT decreased steadily (P=0.04). For level 3 units, the proportion of IUT from level 2 units increased (P<10(-3)). Before 32 weeks of gestational age, all IUT were done towards a level 3 unit. Median time between IUT and delivery and caesarean section rates were variable according to IUT indication (for threats of premature delivery, respectively 5 days and 23.3%). The rate of retransfer towards initial unit of towards a birth site of relevant level was 5.3%. CONCLUSION: The IUT registry gives useful information on evolution and characteristics of IUT in our area. An increased regionalisation and more frequent adequate IUT were observed. The registry must now serve as a basis for practices assessment.


Subject(s)
Perinatal Care/trends , Regional Health Planning/trends , Cesarean Section/statistics & numerical data , Delivery, Obstetric , Female , France/epidemiology , Gestational Age , Humans , Patient Transfer/statistics & numerical data , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications/therapy , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Registries
13.
Int J Food Microbiol ; 128(1): 158-64, 2008 Nov 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18617285

ABSTRACT

A quantitative risk assessment for Escherichia coli O157:H7 in frozen ground beef patties consumed by children under 10 years of age in French households was conducted by a national study group describing an outbreak which occurred in France in 2005. Our exposure assessment model incorporates results from French surveys on consumption frequency of ground beef patties, serving size and consumption preference, microbial destruction experiments and microbial counts on patties sampled from the industrial batch which were responsible for the outbreak. Two different exposure models were proposed, respectively for children under the age of 5 and for children between 5 and 10 years. For each of these two age groups, a single-hit dose-response model was proposed to describe the probability of hemolytic and uremic syndrome (HUS) as a function of the ingested dose. For each group, the single parameter of this model was estimated by Bayesian inference, using the results of the exposure assessment and the epidemiological data collected during the outbreak. Results show that children under 5 years of age are roughly 5 times more susceptible to the pathogen than children over 5 years. Exposure and dose-response models were used in a scenario analysis in order to validate the use of the model and to propose appropriate guidelines in order to prevent new outbreaks. The impact of the cooking preference was evaluated, showing that only a well-done cooking notably reduces the HUS risk, without annulling it. For each age group, a relation between the mean individual HUS risk per serving and the contamination level in a ground beef batch was proposed, as a tool to help French risk managers.


Subject(s)
Escherichia coli O157/growth & development , Food Contamination/analysis , Food Handling/methods , Frozen Foods/microbiology , Meat Products/microbiology , Risk Assessment , Age Factors , Animals , Bayes Theorem , Cattle , Child , Child, Preschool , Colony Count, Microbial , Cooking , Disease Outbreaks , Escherichia coli Infections/epidemiology , Escherichia coli Infections/etiology , Escherichia coli Infections/microbiology , Female , Foodborne Diseases/epidemiology , France/epidemiology , Hemolytic-Uremic Syndrome/epidemiology , Hemolytic-Uremic Syndrome/etiology , Hemolytic-Uremic Syndrome/microbiology , Humans , Male
14.
Zoonoses Public Health ; 54(3-4): 103-17, 2007.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17456140

ABSTRACT

Decisions on food safety involve consideration of a wide range of concerns including the public health impact of foodborne illness, the economic importance of the agricultural sector and the food industry, and the effectiveness and efficiency of interventions. To support such decisions, we propose an integrated scientific approach combining veterinary and medical epidemiology, risk assessment for the farm-to-fork food chain as well as agricultural and health economy. Scientific advice is relevant in all stages of the policy cycle: to assess the magnitude of the food safety problem, to define the priorities for action, to establish the causes for the problem, to choose between different control options, to define targets along the food chain and to measure success.


Subject(s)
Consumer Product Safety , Food Contamination/prevention & control , Food Handling/standards , Foodborne Diseases/prevention & control , Public Health , Animals , Decision Making , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Food Chain , Food Microbiology , Humans , Meat/microbiology , Meat/standards , Public Policy , Risk
15.
Lett Appl Microbiol ; 44(4): 406-11, 2007 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17397479

ABSTRACT

AIM: To investigate Listeria monocytogenes contamination and behaviour in naturally contaminated French cold-smoked salmon (CSS). METHOD AND RESULTS: Between 2001 and 2004, L. monocytogenes was detected in 104 of 1010 CSS packs, produced by nine French plants, with different prevalence (from 0% to 41%). The initial contamination, measured with a sensitive filtration method, was low (92% of contaminated products below 1 CFU g(-1)) and growth was limited. CONCLUSION: Growth was consistent with results of a predictive model including microbial competition. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: To be included in a quantitative risk assessment.


Subject(s)
Food Microbiology , Food Preservation , Listeria monocytogenes/growth & development , Listeria monocytogenes/isolation & purification , Salmon/microbiology , Animals , Cold Temperature , Colony Count, Microbial , Food Packaging , Risk Assessment
16.
Int J Food Microbiol ; 106(2): 159-68, 2006 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16216370

ABSTRACT

Salting and smoking are ancient processes for fish preservation. The effects of salt and phenolic smoke compounds on the growth rate of L. monocytogenes in cold-smoked salmon were investigated through physico-chemical analyses, challenge tests on surface of cold-smoked salmon at 4 degrees C and 8 degrees C, and a survey of the literature. Estimated growth rates were compared to predictions of existing secondary models, taking into account the effects of temperature, water phase salt content, phenolic content, and additional factors (e.g. pH, lactate, dissolved CO2). The secondary model proposed by Devlieghere et al. [Devlieghere, F., Geeraerd, A.H., Versyck, K.J., Vandewaetere, B., van Impe, J., Debevere, J., 2001. Growth of Listeria monocytogenes in modified atmosphere packed cooked meat products: a predictive model. Food Microbiology 18, 53-66.] and modified by Giménez and Dalgaard [Giménez, B., Dalgaard, P., 2004. Modelling and predicting the simultaneous growth of Listeria monocytogenes and spoilage micro-organisms in cold-smoked salmon. Journal of Applied Microbiology 96, 96-109.] appears appropriate. However, further research is needed to understand all effects affecting growth of L. monocytogenes in cold-smoked salmon and to obtain fully validated predictive models for use in quantitative risk assessment.


Subject(s)
Food Handling/methods , Food Preservation/methods , Listeria monocytogenes/growth & development , Salmon/microbiology , Seafood/microbiology , Animals , Consumer Product Safety , Food Packaging/methods , Humans , Hydrogen-Ion Concentration , Oxygen/metabolism , Phenols/pharmacology , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Assessment , Sodium Chloride/pharmacology , Temperature
17.
Int J Food Microbiol ; 106(2): 195-208, 2006 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16216374

ABSTRACT

An attempt to use a Bayesian approach to model variability and uncertainty separately in microbial growth in a risk assessment is presented. It was conducted within the framework of a French project aiming at assessing the exposure to Listeria monocytogenes in cold-smoked salmon. The chosen model describes the effect of time and temperature on bacterial growth. A Bayesian approach close to the one proposed by Pouillot et al. [Int. J. Food Microbiol. 81 (2003) 87] is used to estimate the variability and uncertainty of growth parameters from both literature data and data experimentally acquired during the project. Variability between strains and between products is taken into account. The growth of the food flora of cold-smoked salmon is also modelled by the same method. The results obtained for both models are used to predict the simultaneous growth of L. monocytogenes and food flora in cold-smoked salmon with a competitive model, expressing variability and uncertainty through a second-order Monte Carlo simulation.


Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem , Consumer Product Safety , Listeria monocytogenes/growth & development , Models, Biological , Salmon/microbiology , Animals , Colony Count, Microbial , Humans , Monte Carlo Method , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Assessment , Temperature , Time Factors
18.
J Appl Microbiol ; 99(5): 1019-42, 2005.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16238733

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To evaluate the performances of models predicting the growth rate or the growth probability of Listeria monocytogenes in food. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cardinal and square root type models including or not interactions between environmental factors and probability models were evaluated for their ability to describe the behaviour of L. monocytogenes in liquid dairy products, cheese, meat and seafood products. Models excluding interactions seemed sufficient to predict the growth rate of L. monocytogenes. However, the accurate prediction of growth/no-growth limits needed to take interactions into account. A complete and a simplified form (preservatives deducted) of a new cardinal model including interactions and parameter values were suggested to predict confidence limits for the growth rate of L. monocytogenes in food. This model could also be used for the growth probability prediction. CONCLUSIONS: The new cardinal model including interactions was efficient to predict confidence limits for the growth rate of L. monocytogenes and its growth probability in liquid dairy products, meat and seafood products. In cheese, the model was efficient to predict the absence of growth of the pathogen. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: The suggested model can be used for risk assessment and risk management concerning L. monocytogenes in dairy, meat and seafood products.


Subject(s)
Dairy Products/microbiology , Food Microbiology , Listeria monocytogenes/growth & development , Meat/microbiology , Animals , Cattle , Cheese/microbiology , Colony Count, Microbial , Fishes/microbiology , Hydrogen-Ion Concentration , Lactic Acid/analysis , Meat Products/microbiology , Microbial Sensitivity Tests/methods , Milk/microbiology , Models, Biological , Poultry/microbiology , Probability , Seafood/microbiology , Swine , Temperature
19.
Rev Med Suisse ; 1(25): 1656-60, 2005 Jun 22.
Article in French | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16117030
20.
Int J Food Microbiol ; 104(2): 161-77, 2005 Oct 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16009440

ABSTRACT

In this research, we question the straight-forward use of the classical sum of squared error criterion for identifying the typical parameters of a primary model (like growth rate mumax and lag time lambda) when applied to growth curves obtained in and on food products. Firstly, we base our reflections on 62 Listeria monocytogenes laboratory challenge tests collected in various environments (broth, crushed cold-smoked salmon, and surface of cold-smoked salmon slices). Whereas growth data in broth resulted in residual values consistent with a Gaussian distribution, growth data in the crushed product and even more on the surface of slices appeared different. Secondly, we propose the use of an alternative so-called robust non-linear regression method suitable when experimental error is non-normally distributed, which seems, according to this research, typical for microbial challenge tests in/on food products, and which lead to apparent outliers or leverage points in the experimental data. Properties of the robust regression procedure are illustrated on simulated data first, whereafter its use on the considered challenge tests is illustrated. To conclude, reflections on the assumptions and related realism underlying challenge tests and recommendations for fitting growth curves obtained in and on food products are presented.


Subject(s)
Listeria monocytogenes/growth & development , Models, Biological , Models, Statistical , Salmon/microbiology , Seafood/microbiology , Animals , Consumer Product Safety , Food Microbiology , Kinetics
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