ABSTRACT
The Pharmpy Automatic Model Development (AMD) tool automates the building of population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models by utilizing a systematic stepwise process. In this study, the performance of the AMD tool was assessed using simulated datasets. Ten true models mimicking classical popPK models were created. From each true model, dataset replicates were simulated assuming a typical phase I study design-single and multiple ascending doses with/without dichotomous food effect, with rich PK sampling. For every dataset replicate, the AMD tool automatically built an AMD model utilizing NONMEM for parameter estimation. The AMD models were compared to the true and reference models (true model fitted to simulated datasets) based on their model components, predicted population and individual secondary PK parameters (SP) (AUC0-24, cmax, ctrough), and model quality metrics (e.g., model convergence, parameter relative standard errors (RSEs), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC)). The models selected by the AMD tool closely resembled the true models, particularly in terms of distribution and elimination, although differences were observed in absorption and inter-individual variability components. Bias associated with the derived SP was low. In general, discrepancies between AMD and true SP were also observed for reference models and therefore were attributed to the inherent stochasticity in simulations. In summary, the AMD tool was found to be a valuable asset in automating repetitive modeling tasks, yielding reliable PK models in the scenarios assessed. This tool has the potential to save time during early clinical drug development that can be invested in more complex modeling activities within model-informed drug development.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is a genetic muscle disorder that manifests during early childhood and is ultimately fatal. Recently approved treatments targeting the genetic cause of DMD are limited to specific subpopulations of patients, highlighting the need for therapies with wider applications. Pharmacologic inhibition of myostatin, an endogenous inhibitor of muscle growth produced almost exclusively in skeletal muscle, has been shown to increase muscle mass in several species, including humans. Taldefgrobep alfa is an anti-myostatin recombinant protein engineered to bind to and block myostatin signaling. Preclinical studies of taldefgrobep alfa demonstrated significant decreases in myostatin and increased lower limb volume in three animal species, including dystrophic mice. METHODS: This manuscript reports the cumulative data from three separate clinical trials of taldefgrobep alfa in DMD: a phase 1 study in healthy adult volunteers (NCT02145234), and two randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled studies in ambulatory boys with DMD-a phase 1b/2 trial assessing safety (NCT02515669) and a phase 2/3 trial including the North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA) as the primary endpoint (NCT03039686). RESULTS: In healthy adult volunteers, taldefgrobep alfa was generally well tolerated and resulted in a significant increase in thigh muscle volume. Treatment with taldefgrobep alfa was associated with robust dose-dependent suppression of free myostatin. In the phase 1b/2 trial, myostatin suppression was associated with a positive effect on lean body mass, though effects on muscle mass were modest. The phase 2/3 trial found that the effects of treatment did not meet the primary endpoint pre-specified futility analysis threshold (change from baseline of ≥ 1.5 points on the NSAA total score). CONCLUSIONS: The futility analysis demonstrated that taldefgrobep alfa did not result in functional change for boys with DMD. The program was subsequently terminated in 2019. Overall, there were no safety concerns, and no patients were withdrawn from treatment as a result of treatment-related adverse events or serious adverse events. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02145234, NCT02515669, NCT03039686.
The goal of this program was to develop a treatment to improve muscle function in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). Muscle weakness in patients with DMD is progressive, leading to the irreversible loss of walking ability and eventually death due to cardiorespiratory failure. One potential way of improving muscle function is to target a protein known as myostatin that acts in healthy muscle to regulate muscle size. Studies in animals have shown that blocking myostatin can increase muscle size. Taldefgrobep alfa is a drug designed to block myostatin and it was shown to induce muscle growth in animals. A study in healthy volunteers found that taldefgrobep alfa was able to increase muscle size in humans and was not associated with safety concerns. Following this, a study was conducted in boys with DMD who were either treated with taldefgrobep alfa or a placebo. This first study in patients found that treatment was able to reduce myostatin levels and had a small effect on muscle size, supporting a larger trial in more patients with DMD. The aim of the larger trial was to test if taldefgrobep alfa had a meaningful effect on muscle function in patients with DMD. Results from this key trial did not meet the targeted improvement in function and a decision was made to end the trial and halt the use of taldefgrobep alfa as a potential treatment for DMD. No patients stopped treatment with taldefgrobep alfa as a result of adverse safety effects and no safety concerns were identified.
ABSTRACT
Baloxavir marboxil, the prodrug of baloxavir acid, is an anti-influenza antiviral. Here, a pharmacokinetics-time to alleviation of symptoms (PK-TTAS) model was developed and used to (I) characterize the PK-TTAS relationship, (II) quantify the impact of covariates, and (III) predict TTAS in different ethnic groups. Data from 1781 otherwise-healthy (OwH) or high-risk (HR) patients included in phase II (JapicCTI-153090) and III studies (NCT02954354 and NCT02949011) were used; patients received either placebo or oral baloxavir marboxil. The natural distribution of TTAS in placebo-treated patients was modeled, then TTAS data from the baloxavir marboxil arms were added to model the impact of baloxavir acid concentration on TTAS. PK parameters estimated by a population PK model and informed by phase I data (NCT03959332 and KCT0003535) were included to simulate TTAS in Chinese and South Korean patients. Composite symptom score at baseline (TSS0), ethnicity, sex, and patient type (OwH or HR) significantly impacted the natural TTAS distribution. TTAS reduced with increasing baloxavir acid concentrations. Compared with placebo, high and low baloxavir acid exposures (AUC0-inf 5.13-16.65 and 0.72-5.13 µg.hr/mL, respectively) significantly reduced TTAS; no covariates affected the drug effect on TTAS. Simulated TTAS was similar between OwH or HR Chinese, South Korean, and other Asian patients, with median reductions from placebo between 18.3-18.8 hours and 21.2-22.0 hours in OwH and HR patients, respectively, assuming TSS0 > 10. Ethnicity (Asian vs. non-Asian) did not significantly impact the drug effect on TTAS; predicted TTAS was similar across different Asian populations. This suggests Chinese and South Korean patients may benefit from similar efficacy as other Asian patients.
Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents , Influenza A virus , Influenza B virus , Influenza, Human , Antiviral Agents/pharmacokinetics , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Clinical Studies as Topic , Dibenzothiepins/pharmacokinetics , Dibenzothiepins/therapeutic use , Ethnicity , Humans , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Influenza, Human/ethnology , Morpholines/pharmacokinetics , Morpholines/therapeutic use , Pyridones/pharmacokinetics , Pyridones/therapeutic use , Treatment Outcome , Triazines/pharmacokinetics , Triazines/therapeutic useABSTRACT
Baloxavir marboxil is an endonuclease inhibitor indicated for the treatment of influenza in patients ≥12 years. No data exist for Chinese patients in global studies. This randomized, open-label, phase I study evaluated the pharmacokinetics (PK) and safety of baloxavir marboxil in healthy Chinese volunteers and was used to anticipate efficacy in Chinese patients. Patients received a single oral dose of baloxavir marboxil (40 or 80 mg [1:1]). Serial blood samples were collected predose and at various timepoints up to 14 days postdose. Baloxavir marboxil and acid plasma concentrations were determined by liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry. PK parameters of baloxavir acid were estimated by noncompartmental analysis. Adverse events (AEs) were recorded. Time to alleviation of symptoms (TTAS) was simulated for otherwise healthy (OwH) and high-risk (HR) Chinese and Asian patients. Thirty-two male patients received baloxavir marboxil. Baloxavir acid plasma concentration peaked 4 h postdose. Mean maximum concentration (Cmax ) was 107.6 and 206.9 ng/ml, and mean area under the plasma concentration-time curve from zero to infinity (AUC0-inf ) was 6955 and 9643 ng·h/ml in the 40 and 80 mg cohorts, respectively. AEs were mild and transient; no new safety signals were identified. Simulated median TTAS for OwH and HR Chinese patients agreed with simulated values in Asian patients. PK parameters were similar to Asian populations in other studies. The globally adopted baloxavir marboxil dosing strategy was consistent with the established safety profile of baloxavir marboxil in this population. Simulated efficacy indicated Chinese patients could benefit from similar efficacy to Asian patients.
Subject(s)
Dibenzothiepins , Influenza, Human , Antiviral Agents , China , Dibenzothiepins/adverse effects , Humans , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Male , Morpholines , Pyridones/adverse effects , TriazinesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: RO7049389, a hepatitis B virus (HBV) core protein allosteric modulator being developed for the treatment of chronic HBV infection, was found to be safe and well tolerated in healthy participants (part 1 of this study). The objective of this proof-of-mechanism study (part 2) was to evaluate the safety, pharmacokinetics, and antiviral activity of RO7049389 in patients with chronic HBV infection. METHODS: This was a multicentre, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 1 study. Patients with chronic HBV infection who were not currently on anti-HBV therapy were enrolled at 11 liver disease centres in Hong Kong, New Zealand, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand. Seven patients per dose cohort were randomly assigned (6:1) to receive oral administration of RO7049389 at 200 mg or 400 mg twice a day, or 200 mg, 600 mg, or 1000 mg once a day, for 4 weeks, or matching placebo. Randomisation was via interactive voice web response system-generated numbers, with study participants, investigators, and site personnel masked to treatment allocation. The primary endpoint of the study was safety of RO7049389 and its antiviral effect on HBV DNA concentration at the end of treatment, assessed in all patients who received at least one dose of study drug. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02952924. FINDINGS: Between May 21, 2017, and April 3, 2019, 62 patients were screened for eligibility, and 37 eligible patients were enrolled in five dose cohorts sequentially. All adverse events were of mild or moderate intensity. Among the 31 patients who received RO7049389, the most common adverse events were headache (in five [16%] of 31 patients), increased alanine aminotransferase (ALT; five [16%]), increased aspartate aminotransferase (AST; four [13%]), upper respiratory tract infection (four [13%]), and diarrhoea (three [10%]). The most common moderate adverse events were ALT increase (three [10%]) and AST increase (two [6%]), and there were no serious adverse events. At the end of 4 weeks treatment, mean HBV DNA declines from baseline in RO7049389-treated patients were 2·44 log10 IU/mL (SD 0·98) in the 200 mg twice a day group, 3·33 log10 IU/mL (1·14) in the 400 mg twice a day group, 3·00 log10 IU/mL (0·54) in the 200 mg once a day group, 2·86 log10 IU/mL (0·79) in the 600 mg once a day group, and 3·19 log10 IU/mL (0·33) in the 1000 mg once a day group versus 0·34 log10 IU/mL (0·54) in the pooled placebo patients. INTERPRETATION: RO7049389 was safe and well tolerated and demonstrated antiviral activity over 4 weeks of treatment in patients with chronic HBV infection. These findings support further clinical development of RO7049389 as a component of novel combination treatment regimens for patients with chronic HBV infection. FUNDING: F Hoffmann-La Roche.
Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/pharmacokinetics , Hepatitis B virus/drug effects , Hepatitis B, Chronic/drug therapy , Administration, Oral , Adolescent , Adult , Allosteric Site , Antiviral Agents/administration & dosage , DNA, Viral/analysis , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Female , Hepatitis B virus/genetics , Hepatitis B, Chronic/metabolism , Hepatitis B, Chronic/virology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Young AdultABSTRACT
Purpose: What are the patient characteristics predictive of response to ranibizumab treatment? Methods: Model-based characterization of best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) time profiles of patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration under ranibizumab or sham treatment based on 24-month observations of BCVA in 2419 patients from randomized multicenter phase 3 trials of ranibizumab: ANCHOR, MARINA, PIER, and HARBOR. Goodness-of-fit plots and precision of parameter estimates were used for measure of accuracy. Results: The model incorporates a long-term effect on disease progression and an additive and more potent short-term effect of ranibizumab. Response to ranibizumab treatment and progression of the disease were found to be a function of seven baseline characteristics (visual acuity, age, leakage size, central retinal lesion thickness, presence or absence of cyst, type of choroidal neovascularization (CNV), and size of pigment epithelium detachment). A composite score of these seven baseline characteristics was derived and used to categorize response to ranibizumab treatment. The ranibizumab treatment arms of two proof-of-concept studies held out from the model development were used to validate the methodology. Conclusions: A composite score based on seven patient characteristics prior to treatment could be used to discriminate patients with predicted insufficient response to anti-vascular endothelial growth factor treatment. Translational Relevance: The method could be used to create a virtual ranibizumab treatment arm in clinical trials or to reduce the size of a ranibizumab active control arm.
Subject(s)
Macular Degeneration , Ranibizumab , Angiogenesis Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Humans , Intravitreal Injections , Macular Degeneration/drug therapy , Ranibizumab/therapeutic use , Tomography, Optical Coherence , Treatment Outcome , Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A/therapeutic useABSTRACT
The pharmacokinetics (PK) of RO7049389, a new hepatitis B virus (HBV) core protein allosteric modulator of class I, and of its active metabolite M5 were studied in fasted and fed conditions after single and multiple once-a-day and twice-a-day doses in healthy subjects and patients with HBV. The nonlinearity of the pharmacokinetics, the large variability, the small sample size per dose arms, the higher plasma exposure in Asians, and the heterogeneity in patient baseline characteristics seen in phase I studies made the ethnic sensitivity assessment and the selection of the recommended phase II dose difficult. A population PK model, simultaneously modeling RO7049389 and M5, was developed to characterize the complex PK, quantify ethnicity (i.e., Asian vs. non-Asian) and gender effects on the PK of RO7049389 and M5, and infer the quantity of RO7049389 in liver relative to plasma. Exposures in the liver are of particular importance for dose selection since the liver is the site of action of the compound. The model described and reproduced the population PK profiles as well as the between-subject variability of RO7049389 and its metabolite. It could show that the PK is similar between healthy subjects and in HBV patients, once the ethnicity and gender effects are accounted for. The model predicts that, despite a large difference in the plasma exposure of RO7049389 between Asians and non-Asians, the exposure in the liver is comparable, allowing the use of the same dose to treat Asian and non-Asian patients. This model provides a valuable basis to develop this new anti-HBV drug and to define optimal dosing.
Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/pharmacokinetics , Hepatitis B/drug therapy , Adult , Biological Transport , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Fasting , Female , Healthy Volunteers , Hepatitis B/ethnology , Humans , Liver , Male , Models, Biological , Racial Groups , Sex FactorsABSTRACT
Hepatitis B virus RNA (HBV RNA)-containing particles are encapsidated pre-genomic RNA (pgRNA) detectable in chronically infected patients in addition to virions (HBV DNA) that have been suggested as a marker of the treatment efficacy. This makes promising the use of core protein allosteric modulators, such as RG7907, which disrupt the nucleocapsid assembly and profoundly reduce HBV RNA. Here, we developed a multiscale model of HBV extending the standard viral dynamic models to analyse the kinetics of HBV DNA and HBV RNA in 35 patients treated with RG7907 for 28 days. We compare the predictions with those obtained in patients treated with the nucleotide analog tenofovir. RG7907 blocked 99.3% of pgRNA encapsidation (range: 92.1%-99.9%) which led to a decline of both HBV DNA and HBV RNA. As a consequence of its mode of action, the first phase of decline of HBV RNA was rapid, uncovering the clearance of viral particles with half-life of 45 min. In contrast, HBV DNA decline was predicted to be less rapid, due to the continuous secretion of already formed viral capsids (t1/2 = 17 ± 6 h). After few days, both markers declined at the same rate, which was attributed to the loss of infected cells (t1/2 â 6 ± 0.8 days). By blocking efficiently RNA reverse transcription but not its encapsidation, nucleotide analog in contrast was predicted to lead to a transient accumulation of HBV RNA both intracellularly and extracellularly. The model brings a conceptual framework for understanding the differences between HBV DNA and HBV RNA dynamics. Integration of HBV RNA in viral dynamic models may be helpful to better quantify the treatment effect, especially in viral-suppressed patients where HBV DNA is no longer detectable.
Subject(s)
Hepatitis B virus , RNA, Viral , DNA, Viral , Hepatitis B virus/genetics , Humans , Virion , Virus ReplicationABSTRACT
Baloxavir marboxil, a prodrug of cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor baloxavir acid, reduces the time to improvement of influenza symptoms in patients infected with type A or B influenza virus. To characterize its pharmacokinetics, a population pharmacokinetic model for baloxavir acid was developed using 11,846 plasma concentration data items from 1,827 subjects, including 2,341 plasma concentration data items from 664 patients at high risk of influenza complications. A three-compartment model with first-order elimination and first-order absorption with lag time well described the plasma concentration data. Body weight and race were found to be the most important factors influencing clearance and volume of distribution. The exposures in high-risk patients were similar to those in otherwise healthy patients, and no pharmacokinetic difference was identified regarding any risk factors for influenza complications. Exposure-response analyses were performed regarding the time to improvement of symptoms and the reduction in the influenza virus titer in high-risk patients. The analyses suggested that body weight-based dosage, 40 mg for patients weighing <80 kg and 80 mg for patients weighing ≥80 kg, can shorten the time to improvement of influenza symptoms and reduce virus titer for both type A and B influenza virus regardless of the exposure levels of the high-risk patients as well as for the otherwise healthy influenza patients. The results of our population pharmacokinetic and exposure-response analyses in patients with risk factors of influenza complications should provide useful information on the pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic characteristics of baloxavir marboxil and also for the optimization of dose regimens.
Subject(s)
Dibenzothiepins , Influenza, Human , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Humans , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Morpholines , Pyridones/therapeutic use , Triazines/therapeutic useABSTRACT
Dizziness, the most frequently observed adverse event in patients with major depressive disorder, was observed with basimglurant, a selective, orally active metabotropic glutamate receptor subtype 5 negative allosteric modulator. The potential relationship between dizziness and basimglurant exposure was explored. The pharmacokinetics of basimglurant was characterized with nonlinear mixed effects modeling using data from 288 trial participants enrolled in five clinical trials. The pharmacokinetics of basimglurant after daily oral administration of a modified release formulation was best described by a two-compartment disposition model with a transit compartment, lag time for the absorption, and first-order elimination. The largest covariate effects were the effect of smoking and male gender on apparent clearance followed by the effect of body weight on distribution volumes. Clearance was twofold higher in smokers and 40% higher in males. A logistic regression model showed a statistically significant correlation between basimglurant Cmax and incidence of dizziness. An increased risk of dizziness is predicted with increasing doses.
Subject(s)
Depressive Disorder, Major/drug therapy , Dizziness/chemically induced , Imidazoles/adverse effects , Imidazoles/pharmacokinetics , Models, Biological , Pyridines/adverse effects , Pyridines/pharmacokinetics , Receptor, Metabotropic Glutamate 5/metabolism , Allosteric Regulation , Humans , Imidazoles/therapeutic use , Pyridines/therapeutic useABSTRACT
PURPOSE: RO5323441 is a humanized anti-placental growth factor (PlGF) monoclonal antibody that has shown preclinical activity in several cancer models. The objective of this analysis is to examine the pharmacokinetic (PK) results from four Phase I studies that have been conducted with RO5323441 (n = 61) and to report an apparent drug-drug interaction observed when RO5323441 was administered in combination with bevacizumab. METHODS: The four Phase I studies were a multiple-ascending dose study in 23 patients with solid tumors (Study 1), an open-label study in seven patients with colorectal/ovarian cancer (Study 2), a sorafenib combination study in nine patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (Study 3), and a bevacizumab combination study in 22 patients with recurrent glioblastoma (Study 4). A two-compartment linear population PK model was developed from these four studies to characterize the PK of RO5323441 in patients with cancer. RESULTS: The PK properties of RO5323441 were similar in the first three studies. However, substantially higher RO5323441 exposures were observed in Study 4 when RO5323441 was administered in combination with bevacizumab. A linear two-compartmental population PK model indicated that the co-administration of bevacizumab would decrease the clearance of RO5323441 by 53%. Clinical data suggested that the decrease in RO5323441 clearance was inversely associated with bevacizumab exposure. CONCLUSIONS: The exact reason for the increase in RO5323441 exposure following bevacizumab co-administration is not currently known. One possibility is a drug-drug interaction via a target-trapping mechanism that is mediated by the vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-1 (VEGFR-1).
Subject(s)
Angiogenesis Inhibitors/pharmacokinetics , Antibodies, Monoclonal/pharmacokinetics , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/pharmacokinetics , Bevacizumab/pharmacokinetics , Membrane Proteins/antagonists & inhibitors , Membrane Proteins/immunology , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Drug Interactions , Female , Humans , Male , Models, Statistical , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/metabolism , Sex CharacteristicsABSTRACT
This work proposes and evaluates two methods (CM1 and CM2) for detecting non-compliance using concentration-time data and for obtaining estimates of population pharmacokinetic model parameters in a population with prevalent non-compliance. CM1 estimates individual residual variability (RV) and identifies subjects with higher than average RV as non-compliant. Exclusion of subjects with high RV from the analysis dataset reduces the bias in the estimates of the model parameters. Various methods of identification and exclusion of non-compliant subjects were tested, compared, and shown to reduce or eliminate bias in parameter estimates associated with non-compliance. The tested methods were (i) a pre-defined cutoff value of the random effect on RV, (ii) sequential exclusion of subjects with the highest RV percentiles, and (iii) use of a mixture model for RV. CM2 is applicable for the data with a specific sampling pattern that includes a potentially non-compliant outpatient part with several trough samples followed by a dense profile after the inpatient (compliant) dose. It relies only on the doses known to be administered (e.g., inpatient doses). In this method, all concentration measurements during the outpatient part of the study (except the trough value immediately preceding the inpatient dose) are removed from the dataset and an additional parameter (individual relative bioavailability of the outpatient doses) is introduced. For a number of simulated datasets with various sampling schemes and non-compliance patterns the proposed methods allowed to identify subjects with compliance problems and to reduce or eliminate bias in the estimates of the model parameters.
Subject(s)
Patient Compliance/statistics & numerical data , Pharmacokinetics , Algorithms , Biological Availability , Computer Simulation , Humans , Intestinal Absorption , Outpatients , Pharmaceutical Preparations/administration & dosageABSTRACT
PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to characterize trastuzumab population pharmacokinetics (PKs) in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer and the relationship of trastuzumab PK with patient response. METHODS: A nonlinear mixed effects PK model was built using data from the ToGA study. Patients were randomized to intravenous trastuzumab plus chemotherapy or chemotherapy alone. The influence of demographic, laboratory, and disease characteristics on PK parameters was assessed. An exploratory exposure-response analysis compared various PK parameters at steady state with best overall tumor response and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Trastuzumab PK was best described by a two-compartment model with parallel linear and nonlinear (Michaelis-Menten) elimination from the central compartment. Total clearance (and half-life) of trastuzumab was concentration-dependent. Body weight, prior gastrectomy, and serum albumin had the greatest influence on trastuzumab PK; increasing weight and decreasing albumin levels were associated with increased clearance, while prior gastrectomy correlated with decreased clearance. Median values for AUC, Cmax, and Cmin were lower in patients with progressive disease (PD) than other response categories, although the 1.5 interquartile ranges overlapped. Patients with the lowest Cmin had the highest PD rate and a shorter OS. CONCLUSIONS: In the advanced gastric cancer population, trastuzumab PK was best described by a two-compartment model with parallel linear and nonlinear elimination. Predicted PK exposure was lower than previously reported for breast cancer. Patients with the lowest Cmin had a shorter OS and the highest PD rate, but a distinct correlation was not observed for tumor response.
Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/pharmacokinetics , Esophageal Neoplasms/drug therapy , Esophageal Neoplasms/metabolism , Esophagogastric Junction/pathology , Receptor, ErbB-2/metabolism , Stomach Neoplasms/drug therapy , Stomach Neoplasms/metabolism , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/administration & dosage , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/blood , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/pharmacokinetics , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Capecitabine , Cisplatin/administration & dosage , Deoxycytidine/administration & dosage , Deoxycytidine/analogs & derivatives , Esophageal Neoplasms/blood , Esophageal Neoplasms/pathology , Esophagogastric Junction/metabolism , Female , Fluorouracil/administration & dosage , Fluorouracil/analogs & derivatives , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Receptor, ErbB-2/genetics , Stomach Neoplasms/blood , Stomach Neoplasms/pathology , Survival Analysis , Trastuzumab , Young AdultABSTRACT
Predicting late phase outcomes from early-phase findings can help inform decisions in drug development. If the measurements in early-phase differ from those in late phase, forecasting is more challenging. In this paper, we present a model-based approach for predicting glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in late phase using glucose and insulin concentrations from an early-phase study, investigating an anti-diabetic treatment. Two previously published models were used; an integrated glucose and insulin (IGI) model for meal tolerance tests and an integrated glucose-red blood cell-HbA1c (IGRH) model predicting the formation of HbA1c from the average glucose concentration (Cg,av ). Output from the IGI model was used as input to the IGRH model. Parameters of the IGI model and drug effects were estimated using data from a phase1 study in 59 diabetic patients receiving various doses of a glucokinase activator. Cg,av values were simulated according to a Phase 2 study design and used in the IGRH model for predictions of HbA1c. The performance of the model-based approach was assessed by comparing the predicted to the actual outcome of the Phase 2 study. We have shown that this approach well predicts the longitudinal HbA1c response in a 12-week study using only information from a 1-week study where glucose and insulin concentrations were measured.
Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/drug therapy , Glycated Hemoglobin/metabolism , Hypoglycemic Agents/therapeutic use , Models, Biological , Aged , Blood Glucose/drug effects , Computer Simulation , Decision Making , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/blood , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Drug Design , Female , Glucokinase/drug effects , Glucokinase/metabolism , Humans , Hypoglycemic Agents/administration & dosage , Insulin/blood , Male , Middle Aged , Time FactorsABSTRACT
UNLABELLED: Results from human studies with the PET radiotracer (S,S)-[(11)C]O-methyl reboxetine ([(11)C](S,S)-MRB), a ligand targeting the norepinephrine transporter (NET), are reported. Quantification methods were determined from test/retest studies, and sensitivity to pharmacological blockade was tested with different doses of atomoxetine (ATX), a drug that binds to the NET with high affinity (K(i)=2-5 nM). METHODS: Twenty-four male subjects were divided into different groups for serial 90-min PET studies with [(11)C](S,S)-MRB to assess reproducibility and the effect of blocking with different doses of ATX (25, 50 and 100 mg, po). Region-of-interest uptake data and arterial plasma input were analyzed for the distribution volume (DV). Images were normalized to a template, and average parametric images for each group were formed. RESULTS: [(11)C](S,S)-MRB uptake was highest in the thalamus (THL) and the midbrain (MBR) [containing the locus coeruleus (LC)] and lowest for the caudate nucleus (CDT). The CDT, a region with low NET, showed the smallest change on ATX treatment and was used as a reference region for the DV ratio (DVR). The baseline average DVR was 1.48 for both the THL and MBR with lower values for other regions [cerebellum (CB), 1.09; cingulate gyrus (CNG) 1.07]. However, more accurate information about relative densities came from the blocking studies. MBR exhibited greater blocking than THL, indicating a transporter density approximately 40% greater than THL. No relationship was found between DVR change and plasma ATX level. Although the higher dose tended to induce a greater decrease than the lower dose for MBR (average decrease for 25 mg=24+/-7%; 100 mg=31+/-11%), these differences were not significant. The different blocking between MBR (average decrease=28+/-10%) and THL (average decrease=17+/-10%) given the same baseline DVR indicates that the CDT is not a good measure for non-NET binding in both regions. Threshold analysis of the difference between the average baseline DV image and the average blocked image showed the expected NET distribution with the MBR (LC) and hypothalamus>THL>CNG and CB, as well as a significant change in the supplementary motor area. DVR reproducibility for the different brain regions was approximately 10%, but intersubject variability was large. CONCLUSIONS: The highest density of NETs was found in the MBR where the LC is located, followed by THL, whereas the lowest density was found in basal ganglia (lowest in CDT), consistent with the regional localization of NETs in the nonhuman primate brain. While all three doses of ATX were found to block most regions, no significant differences between doses were found for any region, although the average percent change across subjects of the MBR did correlate with ATX dose. The lack of a dose effect could reflect a low signal-to-noise ratio coupled with the possibility that a sufficient number of transporters were blocked at the lowest dose and further differences could not be detected. However, since the lowest (25 mg) dose is less than the therapeutic doses used in children for the treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder ( approximately 1.0 mg/kg/day), this would suggest that there may be additional targets for ATX's therapeutic actions.
Subject(s)
Morpholines , Norepinephrine Plasma Membrane Transport Proteins/metabolism , Radiopharmaceuticals , Adrenergic Uptake Inhibitors/pharmacokinetics , Adrenergic Uptake Inhibitors/pharmacology , Adult , Algorithms , Atomoxetine Hydrochloride , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Carbon Radioisotopes , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Humans , Image Processing, Computer-Assisted , Male , Morpholines/blood , Morpholines/pharmacokinetics , Norepinephrine Plasma Membrane Transport Proteins/antagonists & inhibitors , Positron-Emission Tomography , Propylamines/pharmacokinetics , Propylamines/pharmacology , Radiopharmaceuticals/blood , Radiopharmaceuticals/pharmacokinetics , Reboxetine , Reproducibility of ResultsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: This paper describes a developed pharmacokinetic model for the estimation of valproic acid (VPA) clearance (CL) calculated from routine clinical data taken from Egyptian epileptic patients. METHODS: Retrospective clinical data from 81 adult and paediatric epileptic patients with one trough VPA serum concentration per patient were analysed using NONMEM to estimate drug CL and determine the influence of different covariates. A qualification group of 20 epileptic children (3-13 years old) was used to evaluate the final model. RESULTS: The population CL as estimated by base model (no covariates) was 0.581 l h(-1) with inter-individual variability (C.V. %) of 17.4% and SD of residual error was 6.82 mg l(-1). Univariate selection and backward deletion of different covariates led to the development of the final regression model of CL as follows: CL(Lh-1) = 0.101 + 0.151 * CBZ + 0.000248 * VPADD + 0.0968 * age/20 + 0.0803 * INDI, in which CBZ indicates co-administration of carbamazepine, VPADD the daily dose of VPA and INDI uncontrolled epilepsy. The between-subject variability in CL was 23.6% while the standard deviation of the residual error was 5.24 mg l(-1). The model predictions in the qualification group were found to have no bias and satisfactory precision. CONCLUSION: The population pharmacokinetic model for VPA could be used for a priori recommendation and dose optimisation of that drug in the Egyptian population of epileptic patients.