ABSTRACT
Introduction: Few studies have evaluated baseline predictors of clinical outcomes among people with HIV starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the modern era of rapid ART initiation. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial of two rapid treatment initiation strategies for people with treatment-naïve HIV and tuberculosis symptoms at an urban clinic in Haiti. We used logistic regression models to assess associations between baseline characteristics and (1) retention in care at 48 weeks, (2) HIV viral load suppression at 48 weeks (among participants who underwent viral load testing), and (3) all-cause mortality. Results: 500 participants were enrolled in the study 11/2017-1/2020. Eighty-eight (18%) participants were diagnosed with tuberculosis, and ART was started in 494 (99%). After adjustment, less than secondary education (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.21, 95% CI 0.10-0.46), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 2.57, 95% CI 1.22-5.43), age (AOR 1.42 per 10-year increase, 95% CI 1.01-1.99), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 3.92, 95% CI 1.36-11.28) were significantly associated with retention. Age (AOR 1.36, 95% CI 1.05-1.75), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 1.75, 95% CI 1.07-2.85), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.28-0.89) were associated with viral suppression. Higher CD4 cell count at enrollment (unadjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.69, 95% CI 0.55-0.87) and anemia (OR 4.86, 95% CI 1.71-13.81) were associated with mortality. Conclusions: We identified sociodemographic, treatment-related, clinical, and laboratory-based predictors of clinical outcomes. These characteristics may serve as markers of sub-populations that could benefit from additional interventions to support treatment success after rapid treatment initiation.
ABSTRACT
Background: The World Health Organization recommends initiating same-day antiretroviral therapy (ART) while tuberculosis (TB) testing is under way for patients with non-meningitic symptoms at HIV diagnosis, though safety data are limited. C-reactive protein (CRP) testing may improve TB risk stratification in this population. Methods: In this baseline analysis of 498 adults (>18 years) with TB symptoms at HIV diagnosis who were enrolled in a trial of rapid ART initiation in Haiti, we describe test characteristics of varying CRP thresholds in the diagnosis of TB. We also assessed predictors of high CRP as a continuous variable using generalized linear models. Results: Eighty-seven (17.5%) participants were diagnosed with baseline TB. The median CRP was 33.0 mg/L (interquartile range: 5.1, 85.5) in those with TB, and 2.6 mg/L (interquartile range: 0.8, 11.7) in those without TB. As the CRP threshold increased from ≥1 mg/L to ≥10 mg/L, the positive predictive value for TB increased from 22.4% to 35.4% and negative predictive value decreased from 96.9% to 92.3%. With CRP thresholds varying from <1 to <10 mg/L, a range from 25.5% to 64.9% of the cohort would have been eligible for same-day ART and 0.8% to 5.0% would have untreated TB at ART initiation. Conclusions: CRP concentrations can be used to improve TB risk stratification, facilitating same-day decisions about ART initiation. Depending on the CRP threshold, one-quarter to two-thirds of patients could be eligible for same-day ART, with a reduction of 3- to 20-fold in the proportion with untreated TB, compared with a strategy of same-day ART while awaiting TB test results.
ABSTRACT
Article Summary: We assessed the association between C-reactive protein (CRP) and Mycobacterium tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis in symptomatic patients at HIV diagnosis. We found that CRP concentrations can improve tuberculosis risk stratification, facilitating decision making about whether (specific) tuberculosis testing is indicated before antiretroviral therapy initiation. Background: The World Health Organization recommends initiating same-day ART while tuberculosis testing is underway for patients with non-meningitic symptoms at HIV diagnosis, though safety data are limited. C-reactive protein (CRP) testing may improve tuberculosis risk stratification in this population. Methods: In this baseline analysis of 498 adults (>18 years) with tuberculosis symptoms at HIV diagnosis who were enrolled in a trial of rapid ART initiation in Haiti, we describe test characteristics of varying CRP thresholds in the diagnosis of TB. We also assessed predictors of high CRP (≥3 mg/dL) using generalized linear models. Results: Eighty-seven (17.5%) patients were diagnosed with baseline TB. The median CRP was 33.0 mg/L (IQR: 5.1, 85.5) in those with TB, and 2.6 mg/L (IQR: 0.8, 11.7) in those without TB. As the CRP threshold increased from ≥1 mg/L to ≥10 mg/L, the positive predictive value for TB increased from 22.4% to 35.4%, and negative predictive value decreased from 96.9% to 92.3%. With CRP thresholds varying from <1 to <10 mg/L, a range from 25.5% to 64.9% of the cohort would have been eligible for same-day ART, and 0.8% to 5.0% would have untreated TB at ART initiation. Conclusions: CRP concentrations can be used to improve TB risk stratification, facilitating same-day decisions about ART initiation. Depending on the CRP threshold, one-quarter to two-thirds of patients could be eligible for same-day ART, with a reduction of 3-fold to 20-fold in the proportion with untreated TB, compared with a strategy of same-day ART while awaiting TB test results.