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1.
J Am Heart Assoc ; : e034254, 2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38780153

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Ten-year risk equations for incident heart failure (HF) are available for the general population, but not for patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), which is highly prevalent in HF cohorts. This study aimed to develop and validate 10-year risk equations for incident HF in patients with known ASCVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Ten-year risk equations for incident HF were developed using the United Kingdom Biobank cohort (recruitment 2006-2010) including participants with established ASCVD but free from HF at baseline. Model performance was validated using the Australian Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute Biobank cohort (recruitment 2000-2011) and compared with the performance of general population risk models. Incident HF occurred in 13.7% of the development cohort (n=31 446, median 63 years, 35% women, follow-up 10.7±2.7 years) and in 21.3% of the validation cohort (n=1659, median age 65 years, 25% women, follow-up 9.4±3.7 years). Predictors of HF included in the sex-specific models were age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure (treated or untreated), glucose (treated or untreated), cholesterol, smoking status, QRS duration, kidney disease, myocardial infarction, and atrial fibrillation. ASCVD-HF equations had good discrimination and calibration in development and validation cohorts, with superior performance to general population risk equations. CONCLUSIONS: ASCVD-specific 10-year risk equations for HF outperform general population risk models in individuals with established ASCVD. The ASCVD-HF equations can be calculated from readily available clinical data and could facilitate screening and preventative treatment decisions in this high-risk group.

2.
Circ Cardiovasc Interv ; 17(4): e013738, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38487882

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Suboptimal coronary reperfusion (no reflow) is common in acute coronary syndrome percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and is associated with poor outcomes. We aimed to develop and externally validate a clinical risk score for angiographic no reflow for use following angiography and before PCI. METHODS: We developed and externally validated a logistic regression model for prediction of no reflow among adult patients undergoing PCI for acute coronary syndrome using data from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI registry (2005-2020; development cohort) and the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society PCI registry (2006-2020; external validation cohort). RESULTS: A total of 30 561 patients (mean age, 64.1 years; 24% women) were included in the Melbourne Interventional Group development cohort and 440 256 patients (mean age, 64.9 years; 27% women) in the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society external validation cohort. The primary outcome (no reflow) occurred in 4.1% (1249 patients) and 9.4% (41 222 patients) of the development and validation cohorts, respectively. From 33 candidate predictor variables, 6 final variables were selected by an adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model for inclusion (cardiogenic shock, ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction with symptom onset >195 minutes pre-PCI, estimated stent length ≥20 mm, vessel diameter <2.5 mm, pre-PCI Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction flow <3, and lesion location). Model discrimination was very good (development C statistic, 0.808; validation C statistic, 0.741) with excellent calibration. Patients with a score of ≥8 points had a 22% and 27% risk of no reflow in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The no-reflow prediction in acute coronary syndrome risk score is a simple count-based scoring system based on 6 parameters available before PCI to predict the risk of no reflow. This score could be useful in guiding preventative treatment and future trials.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome , Myocardial Infarction , No-Reflow Phenomenon , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction , Adult , Humans , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Male , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/adverse effects , Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnostic imaging , Acute Coronary Syndrome/therapy , Coronary Angiography , Treatment Outcome , Risk Factors , Myocardial Infarction/etiology , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/diagnostic imaging , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/therapy , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/etiology , No-Reflow Phenomenon/diagnostic imaging , No-Reflow Phenomenon/etiology
4.
Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes ; 10(1): 89-98, 2024 Jan 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36808236

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The relationship between lower socioeconomic status (SES) and poor cardiovascular outcomes is well described; however, there exists a paucity of data exploring this association in cardiogenic shock (CS). This study aimed to investigate whether any disparities exist between SES and the incidence, quality of care or outcomes of CS patients attended by emergency medical services (EMS). METHODS AND RESULTS: This population-based cohort study included consecutive patients transported by EMS with CS between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019 in Victoria, Australia. Data were collected from individually linked ambulance, hospital, and mortality datasets. Patients were stratified into SES quintiles using national census data produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.A total of 2628 patients were attended by EMS for CS. The age-standardized incidence of CS amongst all patients was 11.8 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 11.4-12.3] per 100 000 person-years, with a stepwise increase from the highest to lowest SES quintile (lowest quintile 17.0 vs. highest quintile 9.7 per 100 000 person-years, P-trend < 0.001). Patients in lower SES quintiles were less likely to attend metropolitan hospitals and more likely to be received by inner regional and remote centres without revascularization capabilities. A greater proportion of the lower SES groups presented with CS due to non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) or unstable angina pectoris (UAP), and overall were less likely to undergo coronary angiography. Multivariable analysis demonstrated an increased 30-day all-cause mortality rate in the lowest three SES quintiles when compared with the highest quintile. CONCLUSION: This population-based study demonstrated discrepancies between SES status in the incidence, care metrics, and mortality rates of patients presenting to EMS with CS. These findings outline the challenges in equitable healthcare delivery within this cohort.


Subject(s)
Shock, Cardiogenic , Social Class , Humans , Shock, Cardiogenic/epidemiology , Shock, Cardiogenic/therapy , Shock, Cardiogenic/etiology , Cohort Studies , Incidence , Victoria , Hospitals
5.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 38: 100839, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37790074

ABSTRACT

Background: This study examined chest pain epidemiology and care quality for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander ('Indigenous') patients presenting to hospital via emergency medical services (EMS) with chest pain. Methods: State-wide population-based cohort study of consecutive patients attended by ambulance for acute chest pain with individual linkage to emergency, hospital admission and mortality data in the state of Victoria, Australia from January 2015 to June 2019. Multivariable models were used to assess for differences in pre-hospital and hospital adherence to care quality, process measures and clinical outcomes. Findings: From 204,969 EMS attendances for chest pain, 3890 attendances (1.9%) identified as Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander. Age-standardized incidence rates were higher overall for Indigenous people (3128 vs. 1147 per 100,000 person-years, incidence rate ratio 2.73, 95% CI 2.72-2.74), this difference being particularly striking for younger patients, women, and those residing in outer regional areas. In multivariable models, adherence to care quality and process measures was lower for attendances involving Indigenous people. In the pre-hospital setting, Indigenous people were less likely to be provided intravenous access or analgesia. In the hospital setting, Indigenous people were less likely to be seen by emergency clinicians within target time and less likely to transferred following myocardial infarction to a revascularization capable centre. Interpretation: Incidence of acute chest pain presentations is high among Indigenous people in Victoria, Australia. Opportunities to improve the quality of care for Indigenous Australians presenting with acute chest pain are identified. Funding: National Health and Medical Research Council, National Heart Foundation.

6.
ESC Heart Fail ; 10(6): 3398-3409, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37688465

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a common cause of morbidity and mortality, related to a broad range of sociodemographic, lifestyle, cardiometabolic, and comorbidity risk factors, which may differ according to the presence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We assessed the association between incident HF with baseline status across these domains, overall and separated according to ASCVD status. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 5758 participants from the Baker Biobank cohort without HF at baseline enrolled between January 2000 and December 2011. The primary endpoint was incident HF, defined as hospital admission or HF-related death, determined through linkage with state-wide administrative databases (median follow-up 12.2 years). Regression models were fitted adjusted for sociodemographic variables, alcohol intake, smoking status, measures of adiposity, cardiometabolic profile measures, and individual comorbidities. During 65 987 person-years (median age 59 years, 38% women), incident HF occurred among 784 participants (13.6%) overall. Rates of incident HF were higher among patients with ASCVD (624/1929, 32.4%) compared with those without ASCVD (160/3829, 4.2%). Incident HF was associated with age, socio-economic status, alcohol intake, smoking status, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C and HDL-C), with non-linear relationships observed for age, alcohol intake, BMI, waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, SBP, LDL-C, and HDL-C. Risk factors for incident HF were largely consistent regardless of ASCVD status, although diabetes status had a greater association with incident HF among patients without ASCVD. CONCLUSIONS: Incident HF is associated with a broad range of baseline sociodemographic, lifestyle, cardiometabolic, and comorbidity factors, which are mostly consistent regardless of ASCVD status. These data could be useful in efforts towards developing risk prediction models that can be used in patients with ASCVD.


Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis , Cardiovascular Diseases , Heart Failure , Humans , Female , Middle Aged , Male , Cardiovascular Diseases/complications , Cholesterol, LDL , Atherosclerosis/epidemiology , Atherosclerosis/complications , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Heart Failure/etiology , Risk Factors
7.
Heart Lung Circ ; 32(6): 709-718, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37100698

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies examining temporal variations in cardiovascular care have largely been limited to assessing weekend and after-hours effects. We aimed to determine whether more complex temporal variation patterns might exist in chest pain care. METHODS: This was a population-based study of consecutive adult patients attended by emergency medical services (EMS) for non-traumatic chest pain without ST elevation in Victoria, Australia between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019. Multivariable models were used to assess whether time of day and week stratified into 168 hourly time periods was associated with care processes and outcomes. RESULTS: There were 196,365 EMS chest pain attendances; mean age 62.4 years (standard deviation [SD] 18.3) and 51% females. Presentations demonstrated a diurnal pattern, a Monday-Sunday gradient (Monday peak) and a reverse weekend effect (lower rates on weekends). Five temporal patterns were observed for care quality and process measures, including a diurnal pattern (longer emergency department [ED] length of stay), an after-hours pattern (lower angiography or transfer for myocardial infarction, pre-hospital aspirin administration), a weekend effect (shorter ED clinician review, shorter EMS off-load time), an afternoon/evening peak period pattern (longer ED clinician review, longer EMS off-load time) and a Monday-Sunday gradient (ED clinician review, EMS offload time). Risk of 30-day mortality was associated with weekend presentation (Odds ratio [OR] 1.15, p=0.001) and morning presentation (OR 1.17, p<0.001) while risk of 30-day EMS reattendance was associated with peak period (OR 1.16, p<0.001) and weekend presentation (OR 1.07, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Chest pain care demonstrates complex temporal variation beyond the already established weekend and after-hours effect. Such relationships should be considered during resource allocation and quality improvement programs to improve care across all days and times of the week.


Subject(s)
Ambulances , Emergency Medical Services , Adult , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Male , Retrospective Studies , Emergency Service, Hospital , Delivery of Health Care , Chest Pain/diagnosis , Chest Pain/therapy , Victoria/epidemiology
8.
Resuscitation ; 187: 109787, 2023 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37028747

ABSTRACT

The effective recruitment and randomisation of patients in pre-hospital clinical trials presents unique challenges. Owing to the time critical nature of many pre-hospital emergencies and limited resourcing, the use of traditional methods of randomisation that may include centralised telephone or web-based systems are often not practicable or feasible. Previous technological limitations have necessitated that pre-hospital trialists strike a compromise between implementing pragmatic, deliverable study designs, with robust enrolment and randomisation methodologies. In this commentary piece, we present a novel smartphone-based solution that has the potential to align pre-hospital clinical trial recruitment processes to that of best-in-practice in-hospital and ambulatory care based studies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Smartphone , Research Design , Hospitals
9.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 81(10): 933-945, 2023 03 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36889871

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Discrepancies in cardiovascular care for women are well described, but few data assess the entire patient journey for chest pain care. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess sex differences in epidemiology and care pathways from emergency medical services (EMS) contact through to clinical outcomes following discharge. METHODS: This is a state-wide population-based cohort study including consecutive adult patients attended by EMS for acute undifferentiated chest pain in Victoria, Australia (January 1, 2015, to June 30, 2019). EMS clinical data were individually linked to emergency and hospital administrative datasets, and mortality data and differences in care quality and outcomes were assessed using multivariable analyses. RESULTS: In 256,901 EMS attendances for chest pain, 129,096 attendances (50.3%) were women, and mean age was 61.6 years. Age-standardized incidence rates were marginally higher for women compared with men (1,191 vs 1,135 per 100,000 person-years). In multivariable models, women were less likely to receive guideline-directed care across most care measures including transport to hospital, prehospital aspirin or analgesia administration, 12-lead electrocardiogram, intravenous cannula insertion, and off-load from EMS or review by emergency department clinicians within target times. Similarly, women with acute coronary syndrome were less likely to undergo angiography or be admitted to a cardiac or intensive care unit. Thirty-day and long-term mortality was higher for women diagnosed with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, but lower overall. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial differences in care are present across the spectrum of acute chest pain management from first contact through to hospital discharge. Women have higher mortality for STEMI, but better outcomes for other etiologies of chest pain compared with men.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction , Adult , Humans , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Cohort Studies , Sex Characteristics , Chest Pain/diagnosis , Chest Pain/epidemiology , Chest Pain/therapy , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis , Victoria/epidemiology
10.
J Geriatr Cardiol ; 20(1): 1-10, 2023 Jan 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36875161

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The impact of age on outcomes in cardiogenic shock (CS) is poorly described in the pre-hospital setting. We assessed the impact of age on outcomes of patients treated by emergency medical services (EMS). METHODS: This population-based cohort study included consecutive adult patients with CS transported to hospital by EMS. Successfully linked patients were stratified into tertiles by age (18-63, 64-77, and > 77 years). Predictors of 30-day mortality were assessed through regression analyses. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 3523 patients with CS were successfully linked to state health records. The average age was 68 ± 16 years and 1398 (40%) were female. Older patients were more likely to have comorbidities including pre-existing coronary artery disease, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, and cerebrovascular disease. The incidence of CS was significantly greater with increasing age (incidence rate per 100,000 person years 6.47 [95% CI: 6.1-6.8] in age 18-63 years, 34.34 [32.4-36.4] in age 64-77 years, 74.87 [70.6-79.3] in age > 77 years, P < 0.001). There was a step-wise increase in the rate of 30-day mortality with increasing age tertile. After adjustment, compared to the lowest age tertile, patients aged > 77 years had increased risk of 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.26 [95% CI: 1.96-2.60]). Older patients were less likely to receive inpatient coronary angiography. CONCLUSION: Older patients with EMS-treated CS have significantly higher rates of short-term mortality. The reduced rates of invasive interventions in older patients underscore the need for further development of systems of care to improve outcomes for this patient group.

11.
JAMA Intern Med ; 183(3): 203-211, 2023 03 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36715993

ABSTRACT

Importance: Prehospital point-of-care troponin testing and paramedic risk stratification might improve the efficiency of chest pain care pathways compared with existing processes with equivalent health outcomes, but the association with health care costs is unclear. Objective: To analyze whether prehospital point-of-care troponin testing and paramedic risk stratification could result in cost savings compared with existing chest pain care pathways. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this economic evaluation of adults with acute chest pain without ST-segment elevation, cost-minimization analysis was used to assess linked ambulance, emergency, and hospital attendance in the state of Victoria, Australia, between January 1, 2015, and June 30, 2019. Interventions: Paramedic risk stratification and point-of-care troponin testing. Main Outcomes and Measures: The outcome was estimated mean annualized statewide costs for acute chest pain. Between May 17 and June 25, 2022, decision tree models were developed to estimate costs under 3 pathways: (1) existing care, (2) paramedic risk stratification and point-of-care troponin testing without prehospital discharge, or (3) prehospital discharge and referral to a virtual emergency department (ED) for low-risk patients. Probabilities for the prehospital pathways were derived from a review of the literature. Multivariable probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 50 000 Monte Carlo iterations was used to estimate mean costs and cost differences among pathways. Results: A total of 188 551 patients attended by ambulance for chest pain (mean [SD] age, 61.9 [18.3] years; 50.5% female; 49.5% male; Indigenous Australian, 2.0%) were included in the model. Estimated annualized infrastructure and staffing costs for the point-of-care troponin pathways, assuming a 5-year device life span, was $2.27 million for the pathway without prehospital discharge and $4.60 million for the pathway with prehospital discharge (incorporating virtual ED costs). In the decision tree model, total annual cost using prehospital point-of-care troponin and paramedic risk stratification was lower compared with existing care both without prehospital discharge (cost savings, $6.45 million; 95% uncertainty interval [UI], $0.59-$16.52 million; lower in 94.1% of iterations) and with prehospital discharge (cost savings, $42.84 million; 95% UI, $19.35-$72.26 million; lower in 100% of iterations). Conclusions and Relevance: Prehospital point-of-care troponin and paramedic risk stratification for patients with acute chest pain could result in substantial cost savings. These findings should be considered by policy makers in decisions surrounding the potential utility of prehospital chest pain risk stratification and point-of-care troponin models provided that safety is confirmed in prospective studies.


Subject(s)
Myocardial Infarction , Troponin , Adult , Humans , Middle Aged , Point-of-Care Systems , Paramedics , Prospective Studies , Pain Management , Australia , Chest Pain/diagnosis , Emergency Service, Hospital/economics , Risk Assessment , Cost-Benefit Analysis
13.
Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes ; 9(6): 583-591, 2023 09 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36195327

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Risk-standardized mortality rates (RSMR) have been used to monitor hospital performance in procedural and disease-based registries, but limitations include the potential to promote risk-averse clinician decisions and a lack of assessment of the whole patient journey. We aimed to determine whether it is feasible to use RSMR at the symptom-level to monitor hospital performance using routinely collected, linked, clinical and administrative data of chest pain presentations. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 192 978 consecutive adult patients (mean age 62 years; 51% female) with acute chest pain without ST-elevation brought via emergency medical services (EMS) to 53 emergency departments in Victoria, Australia (1/1/2015-30/6/2019). From 32 candidate variables, a risk-adjusted logistic regression model for 30-day mortality (C-statistic 0.899) was developed, with excellent calibration in the full cohort and with optimism-adjusted bootstrap internal validation. Annual 30-day RSMR was calculated by dividing each hospital's observed mortality by the expected mortality rate and multiplying it by the annual mean 30-day mortality rate. Hospital performance according to annual 30-day RSMR was lower for outer regional or remote locations and at hospitals without revascularisation capabilities. Hospital rates of angiography or transfer for patients diagnosed with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) correlated with annual 30-day RSMR, but no correlations were observed with other existing key performance indicators. CONCLUSION: Annual hospital 30-day RSMR can be feasibly calculated at the symptom-level using routinely collected, linked clinical, and administrative data. This outcome-based metric appears to provide additional information for monitoring hospital performance in comparison with existing process of care key performance measures.


Subject(s)
Chest Pain , Hospitals , Adult , Humans , Female , Middle Aged , Male , Hospital Mortality , Chest Pain/diagnosis , Victoria/epidemiology
15.
Shock ; 58(3): 204-210, 2022 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36018300

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: Background: Regionalized systems of care for the management of cardiogenic shock (CS) are increasingly being utilized. This study aims to assess whether receiving hospital characteristics such as the availability of 24-hour coronary angiography, on-site cardiac surgery, and annual treated CS volume influence outcomes in patients transferred by emergency medical services (EMS) to hospital with CS. Methods: This population-based cohort study included consecutive adult patients with CS who were transferred to hospital by EMS between January 1, 2015 and June 30, 2019 in Victoria, Australia. Data were obtained from individually linked ambulance, hospital, and state death index data sets. The primary outcome assessed was 30-day mortality stratified by the availability of 24-hour coronary angiography (cardiac center) at the receiving hospital. Results: A total of 3,217 patients were transferred to hospital with CS. The population had an average age of 67.9 +/- 16.1 years, and 1,289 (40.1%) were female. EMS transfer to a cardiac center was associated with significantly reduced rates of 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.95), compared with noncardiac centers. Compared with the lowest annual CS volume quartile (<18 cases per year), hospitals in the highest volume quartile (>55 cases per year) had reduced risk of 30-day mortality (aOR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.56-0.91). A stepwise reduction in the adjusted probability of 30-day mortality was observed in patients transferred by EMS to trauma level 1 centers (34.6%), compared with cardiothoracic surgical centers (39.0%), noncardiac surgical metropolitan (44.9%), and rural (51.3%) cardiac centers, all P < 0.05. Conclusion: Receiving hospital characteristics are associated with survival outcomes in patients with CS. These finding have important implications for establishing regionalized systems of care for patients with CS who are transferred to hospital by EMS.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Shock, Cardiogenic , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Female , Hospital Mortality , Hospitals , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Shock, Cardiogenic/therapy , Trauma Centers , Treatment Outcome
16.
Sci Total Environ ; 848: 157716, 2022 Nov 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35914598

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Climate change has led to increased interest in studying adverse health effects relating to ambient temperatures. It is unclear whether incident chest pain is associated with non-optimal temperatures and how chest pain presentation rates might be affected by climate change. METHODS: The study included ambulance data of chest pain presentations in Melbourne, Australia from 1/1/2015 to 30/6/2019 with linkage to hospital and emergency discharge diagnosis data. A time series quasi-Poisson regression with a distributed lag nonlinear model was fitted to assess the temperature-chest pain presentation associations overall and according to age, sex, socioeconomic status, and event location subgroups, with adjustment for season, day of the week and long-term trend. Future excess chest pain presentations associated with cold and heat were projected under six general circulation models under medium and high emission scenarios. RESULTS: In 206,789 chest pain presentations, mean (SD) age was 61.2 (18.9) years and 50.3 % were female. Significant heat- and cold-related increased risk of chest pain presentations were observed for mean air temperatures above and below 20.8 °C, respectively. Excess chest pain presentations related to heat were observed in all subgroups, but appeared to be attenuated for older patients (≥70 years), patients of higher socioeconomic status (SES), and patients developing chest pain at home. We projected increases in heat-related chest pain presentations with climate change under both medium- and high-emission scenarios, which are offset by decreases in chest pain presentations related to cold temperatures. CONCLUSIONS: Heat- and cold- exposure appear to increase the risk of chest pain presentations, especially among younger patients and patients of lower SES. This will have important implications with climate change modelling of chest pain, in particular highlighting the importance of risk mitigation strategies to minimise adverse health impacts on hotter days.


Subject(s)
Climate Change , Cold Temperature , Chest Pain/epidemiology , Chest Pain/etiology , Female , Hot Temperature , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Temperature
17.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 79(23): 2333-2348, 2022 06 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35680185

ABSTRACT

Existing assessment pathways for acute chest pain are often resource-intensive, prolonged, and expensive. In this review, the authors describe existing chest pain pathways and current issues at the patient and system level, and provide an overview of recent advances in chest pain research that could inform improved outcomes for both patients and health systems. There are multiple avenues to improve existing models of chest pain care, including novel risk stratification pathways incorporating highly sensitive point-of-care troponin assays; new devices available before first medical contact that could allow clinicians to access vital signs and electrocardiogram data; artificial intelligence and precision medicine tools that may guide indications for further testing; and strategies to improve hospital benchmarking and performance monitoring to standardize care. Improving the speed and accuracy of chest pain diagnosis and management should be a priority for researchers and is likely to translate to substantive benefits for patients and health systems.


Subject(s)
Artificial Intelligence , Chest Pain , Biomarkers , Chest Pain/diagnosis , Chest Pain/etiology , Chest Pain/therapy , Electrocardiography , Emergency Service, Hospital , Humans , Troponin
18.
Med J Aust ; 217(5): 253-259, 2022 09 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35738570

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether ambulance offload time influences the risks of death or ambulance re-attendance within 30 days of initial emergency department (ED) presentations by adults with non-traumatic chest pain. DESIGN, SETTING: Population-based observational cohort study of consecutive presentations by adults with non-traumatic chest pain transported by ambulance to Victorian EDs, 1 January 2015 - 30 June 2019. PARTICIPANTS: Adults (18 years or older) with non-traumatic chest pain, excluding patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction (pre-hospital electrocardiography) and those who were transferred between hospitals or not transported to hospital (eg, cardiac arrest or death prior to transport). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome: 30-day all-cause mortality (Victorian Death Index data). SECONDARY OUTCOME: Transport by ambulance with chest pain to ED within 30 days of initial ED presentation. RESULTS: We included 213 544 people with chest pain transported by ambulance to EDs (mean age, 62 [SD, 18] years; 109 027 women [51%]). The median offload time increased from 21 (IQR, 15-30) minutes in 2015 to 24 (IQR, 17-37) minutes during the first half of 2019. Three offload time tertiles were defined to include approximately equal patient numbers: tertile 1 (0-17 minutes), tertile 2 (18-28 minutes), and tertile 3 (more than 28 minutes). In multivariable models, 30-day risk of death was greater for patients in tertile 3 than those in tertile 1 (adjusted rates, 1.57% v 1.29%; adjusted risk difference, 0.28 [95% CI, 0.16-0.42] percentage points), as was that of a second ambulance attendance with chest pain (adjusted rates, 9.03% v 8.15%; adjusted risk difference, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.57-1.18] percentage points). CONCLUSIONS: Longer ambulance offload times are associated with greater 30-day risks of death and ambulance re-attendance for people presenting to EDs with chest pain. Improving the speed of ambulance-to-ED transfers is urgently required.


Subject(s)
Ambulances , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction , Adult , Chest Pain/etiology , Electrocardiography , Emergency Service, Hospital , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/complications
19.
Cardiovasc Revasc Med ; 44: 53-59, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35739010

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest that colchicine may reduce cardiovascular events among patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes. This sub-study of the Australian COPS trial aimed to assess whether colchicine affects health status outcomes. METHODS: Health status was assessed at baseline and 12-months using the EuroQol-5 Dimension 5-level (EQ-5D-5L) score and the full 19-question Seattle Angina Questionnaire (SAQ). Data were available for 786 patients (388 randomized to colchicine, 398 to placebo). RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were well matched between groups; mean age was 60.1 (SD 14.8) years, and 20 % were female. Baseline health status scores were impaired, and most parameters demonstrated significant improvement from baseline to 12-months (EQ-5D-5L Visual Analogue Score [VAS] 69.3 to 77.7; SAQ angina frequency score 83.0 to 95.3, both p < 0.001). No significant differences in adjusted mean score change among any of the EQ-5D-5L or SAQ dimensions were observed between treatment groups in either intention-to-treat or per-protocol analysis. There were borderline interactions in EQ-5D-5L scores for those with previous MI vs not, and in SAQ scores for those with obesity vs not. In categorical analysis using observed data, patients treated with colchicine were more likely to have clinically significant improvement in physical limitation score over the period (36 % improved vs. 28 %, p < 0.05). Baseline health status scores were not associated with the primary endpoint at 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with colchicine did not appear to affect change in measures of health status following acute coronary syndromes, but it did lead to a greater likelihood of improvement in physical limitation scores. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN, ACTRN12615000861550. Registered 18/08/2015, https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=368973.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome , Quality of Life , Humans , Female , Middle Aged , Male , Surveys and Questionnaires , Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnosis , Acute Coronary Syndrome/drug therapy , Colchicine/adverse effects , Australia
20.
Cardiol Ther ; 11(3): 319-335, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35731471

ABSTRACT

Advances in coronary plaque imaging over the last few decades have led to an increased interest in the identification of novel high-risk plaque features that are associated with cardiovascular events. Existing practices focus on risk stratification and lipid monitoring for primary and secondary prevention of cardiac events, which is limited by a lack of assessment and treatment of vulnerable plaque. In this review, we summarize the multitude of studies that have identified plaque, haemodynamic and patient factors associated with risk of acute coronary syndrome. Future progress in multi-modal imaging strategies and in our understanding of high-risk plaque features could expand treatment options for coronary disease and improve patient outcomes.

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