Evaluation of histopathology, PCR, and qPCR to detect Mikrocytos mackini in oysters Crassostrea gigas using Bayesian latent class analysis.

Latent class analysis (LCA) is a common method to evaluate the diagnostic sensitivity (DSe) and specificity (DSp) for pathogen detection assays in the absence of a perfect reference standard. Here we used LCA to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of 3 tests for the detection of Mikrocytos mackini in Pacific oysters Crassostrea gigas: conventional polymerase chain reaction (PCR), real-time quantitative PCR (qPCR), and histopathology. A total of 802 Pacific oysters collected over 12 sampling events from 9 locations were assessed. Preliminary investigations indicated that standard LCA assumptions of test independence and constant detection accuracy across locations were likely unrealistic. This was mitigated by restructuring the LCA in a Bayesian framework to include test-derived knowledge about pathogen prevalence and load for categorizing populations into 2 classes of infection severity (low or high) and assessing separate DSe and DSp estimates for each class. Median DSp estimates were high (>96%) for all 3 tests in both population classes. DSe estimates varied between tests and population classes but were consistently highest for qPCR (87-99%) and lowest for histopathology (21-51%). Acknowledging that detection of M. mackini may be fitted to multiple diagnostic and management purposes, qPCR had the highest DSe while maintaining similar DSp to both conventional PCR and histopathology and thus is generally well-suited to most applications.

Cost-effectiveness of longitudinal surveillance for Piscirickettsia salmonis using qPCR in Atlantic salmon farms (Salmo salar) in Chile.

Costs of diagnostic testing including sample collection, sampling frequency and sample size are an important consideration in the evaluation of the economic feasibility of alternative surveillance strategies for detection of infectious diseases in aquatic animals. In Chile, Piscirickettsia salmonis is the primary reason for antibiotic treatments in farmed Atlantic salmon. In 2012, a surveillance and control programme for piscirickettsiosis was established with an overall goal of reducing antibiotic use. The present study estimated the cost-effectiveness of different sampling frequencies and sample sizes to achieve at least 95% confidence of early detection of P. salmonis at the netpen and farm levels using a validated qPCR test. We developed a stochastic model that incorporated variability in test accuracy, within-pen prevalence and sampling costs. Our findings indicated that the current piscirickettsiosis surveillance programme based on risk-based sampling of five moribund or dead fish from 2 to 3 netpens is cost-effective and gives a high probability of detection of P. salmonis in Atlantic salmon farms in Chile at both the netpen and farm levels. Results from this study should incentivize salmon farmers to establish cost-effective strategies for early detection of P. salmonis infection and the application of this approach to other highly infectious diseases.

Review of infectious agent occurrence in wild salmonids in British Columbia, Canada.

Wild Pacific salmonids (WPS) are economically and culturally important to the Pacific North region. Most recently, some populations of WPS have been in decline. Of hypothesized factors contributing to the decline, infectious agents have been postulated to increase the risk of mortality in Pacific salmon. We present a literature review of both published journal and unpublished data to describe the distribution of infectious agents reported in wild Pacific salmonid populations in British Columbia (BC), Canada. We targeted 10 infectious agents, considered to potentially cause severe economic losses in Atlantic salmon or be of conservation concern for wild salmon in BC. The findings indicated a low frequency of infectious hematopoietic necrosis virus, piscine orthoreovirus, viral haemorrhagic septicaemia virus, Aeromonas salmonicida, Renibacterium salmoninarum, Piscirickettsia salmonis and other Rickettsia-like organisms, Yersinia ruckeri, Tenacibaculum maritimum and Moritella viscosa. No positive results were reported for infestations with Paramoeba perurans in peer-reviewed papers and the DFO Fish Pathology Program database. This review synthesizes existing information, as well as gaps therein, that can support the design and implementation of a long-term surveillance programme of infectious agents in wild salmonids in BC.

Economic appraisal of vaccination against Streptoccocus agalactiae in Nile tilapia farms in Brazil.

Infection with Streptococcus agalactiae causes mortality and major economic losses in Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) farming worldwide. In Brazil, serotype strains Ia, Ib and III have been isolated in streptococcosis outbreaks, but serotype Ib is the most prevalent. Vaccination is considered an effective method to prevent economically-important diseases in aquaculture and has been associated with decreased use of antibiotics and improvements in fish survival. We developed a flexible partial-budget model to undertake an economic appraisal of vaccination against Streptococcus agalactiae in Nile tilapia farmed in net cages in large reservoirs. The model considers the benefits and costs that are likely to be associated with vaccination at the farm-level, in one production cycle. We built three epidemiological scenarios of cumulative mortality attributable to S. agalactiae (5%, 10%, and 20%, per production cycle) in a non-vaccinated farm. For each scenario, we applied a stochastic model to simulate the net return of vaccination, given a combination of values of "vaccine efficacy", "gain in feed conversion ratio", "feed price", "fish market price ", and "cost of vaccine dose". In the 20% cumulative mortality scenario, the net return would break-even (benefits ≥ costs) in at least 97.9% of interactions. Should cumulative mortality be lower than 10%, the profitability of vaccination would be more dependent on better feed conversion ratio. The inputs "feed price" and "cost of vaccine" had minor effects on the output, in all pre-vaccination mortality scenarios. Although our simulations are based on conservative values and consider uncertainty about the modeled parameters, we conclude that vaccination against S. agalactiae is likely to be profitable in Nile tilapia farms, under similar production conditions.